NVDA - approaching neckline (bull watch)NVDA was gyrating in a wild and wide base in the last 6 months. On 14 Dec it even went above the 200 day moving average but alas it proved to be shortlived as it began to retace 61.8% of the swing (AB) , forming what is now apparent a potential inverse Head & Shoulders pattern.
As of now NVDA is trading above it's 200 day moving average again (a postiive) and a golden cross could happen (although not yet) in the near future (2nd positive if and when it does happen). The odds of a successful breakup is higher than it was earlier.
An aggressive trader would buy the next breakup @ 184 (#1 in chart) with initial stop loss below 170 while a more conservative approach is to wait for the 1st pullback after the breakup and only enter the trade as it rebound and starts to surpass the first high above the neckline (#2).
The #2 or more conservative way of going long is to wait for the upside momentum to be firmer such that retracements are likely to be less steep by then.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may or may not enter into this trade. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Goldencross
SPX - case for optimismOn Jan 3, I posted that SPX had been trading in a diamond pattern since late May, a potentially bottoming formation in a bearish market. It has been 2 weeks since and this pattern continues to play out.
2 days ago, SPX managed to close above its 200 day moving average and stopped right at the critical longer term trendline resistence again. This is the 3rd attempt testing the 200 day MA as well as the trendline resistence in the past 1.5 months.
The odds have increased that it will eventually test the 4100 level in the not too distant future, We may face some resistence at 4100 but the next pullback could be an opportunity to buy the dips, especially if pull backs do not bring it below the 200 day moving average again or formed a higher low.
Signs that a new bull could have returned (in the following order):
1. trading above both longer term trendline resistence (black) AND 200 day moving average
2. Golden cross, ie 50day MA crossing above 200day MA. May happen within the next couple of weeks? However, the market could continue to gyrate wildly for weeks more until the 200 day MA can flatten out
3. finally, trading above the 4100 level and by then the 200 day MA could be starting to slope upwards
Let's see.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may or may not enter into this trade. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
MELI - could be ripe for breakup soonThere are several factors that are aligning in MELI's favour for sustainable recovery in the near future (minor pullbacks not withstanding):
1. Since hitting the low in June2022, it began to whip saw sideways within an ascending triangle pattern. This is a possible reversal pattern when formed after a downtrend.
2. A golden cross on 22 Dec2022: another signal that the trend is possibly reversing up although the stock could still continue to whipsaw for several weeks (sometimes up to a couple of months) until the 200day moving average could flatten or start turning up.
3. Very strong volume in the last 2 days that propelled the stock to move 15.6% in just 2 days to retest the neckline of the ascending triangle.
Watching to see if a (valid) breakup will materialise in the near future (perhaps after the next minor pullback).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may or may not enter into this trade. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
MATIC | Golden Cross Potential & Looking PumpableDropping this idea for a good TV buddy here who was about to shart it.
I have no fundamentals atm, just pure TA and hopefully it plays out well for you.
Key Features :
1. Reverse Fib from High
2. 50/200 EMA's heading for convergence / cross over above
3. Pitchfork (theoretical) looking like it wants to fill the upper channel
4. Volume Profile looks a bit supportive and converging with EMA's
5. Market over all in relief mode
For the sharters, I'd look for something a bit higher as indicated by the arrow.
I wouldn't necessarily long this here but I can't say it'd be a bad idea off the 236 reverse Fib, there's a slight reversal pattern / bottom shaping up in there too but DYOR.
Again, I whipped this up on the super fly, totally jammed over here.
* * * Not Investment Advice * * *
Good luck!
$IWM Daily Chart GOLDEN CROSSPotential Golden Cross incoming which can provide some drastic movement to the upside. Golden Cross is when 50 day (blue) MA crosses over 200 day MA (orange) for any new traders. Higher probability when using higher time frames like the daily, weekly or monthly chart. The higher the time frame, the stronger the signal IMO
ETSY- Flag formationETSY has been trading above it's 200 day MA since 10 Nov22 and a Golden Cross since 30 Nov22. The trend is still up despite the steep pullbacks that this stock is prone to. At the moment we are seeing yet another "flag" formation, the next buy will be triggered should it start to break above this flag (124-127 depending on when the breakup occur, if it happens).
So let's see!
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
XAUUSD Bull Market RallyMACD recently crossed and price has made higher highs and higher lows since breaking out of the rectangle formation. ADX is showing a strong trend (34) as D+ continues rising.
Golden cross appears to be imminent as the 50 SMA continues to rise towards the 200 SMA.
Looking for a strong move through the .618 fibonacci level (1893.66)
Targets: $1969, $2066 and then a new all time high $2346
GE - uptrend underway?The chat is self explanatory. Double Bottom, and then a golden cross. Finally a high volume candle on 4 Jan23 that propelled it quickly from 66.31to 71.94 (8.5%) in 3 days.
Initial stops can be placed just under the high volume candle (ie < 66.70).
However with numerous near term resistences looming, expected to face some pullbacks / consolidation along the way up. Near term dips will present good opportunity to long. Do not chase if the stock has been rising as it approach earnings release (expected on 24 Jan) as it could then more likely than not to sell off on "news" (good or bad).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
TOL - Buy the dipsHome builders had a steep fall in the 1st half of 2022 and had been building a base in the 2nd half. They have now emerged from the base and appear to be on the slow path to recovery.
TOL has seen at least 3 gap ups since it's last golden cross on 8 Nov22. A sign that moemntum has been building since this golden cross. There was an attempt to break above it's neckline @ 5.50 on 13 dec but soon dips below again (a shallow dip though) until it propelled above the neckline again at the start of this year.
Any near term dip would be a low risk opportunity to long with initial stops just below $49.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
EVR - morphing into uptrendGolden crossed on 8 Dec22. However a stock could still be volatile for an average of 2-6 weeks after a Golden Cross has occurred before it began to trend more consistently. About 4 weeks post golden cross now, will this stock be ready to break above 117 soon?
Warning: Earnings is expected on 1st February, there is always risks to trade or hold positions through earnings.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Divi's Laboratories Long Term Technical Analysis :
-- Strict Stop Loss = 3150
-- Risk : Reward = 1 : 3
-- Target - 1 = 4059
-- Target - 2 = 4597
-- Target - 3 = 4988
-- Strong support at 3039.
-- Re enter the trade at 3185
-- Touching 200 EMA
Fundamental Analysis :
-- Divi's Lab has a healthy ROE.
-- Over the last 5 years, revenue has grown at a yearly rate of 17%
-- ROCE: Maintaining healthy ROCE of 31.64% (1 year), 28.31(3 years), and 26.9% over the past 5 years.
-- Healthy dividend payout
-- Debt-to-Equity: Divi''s Lab has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00
-- CAGR: 10 years - 19%
-- Cash Flow: Positive cash flow over the last 5 years
-- P/E ratio: 10 years PE is close to the average PE. So Stock is not overvalued
FUTU - Breakout for Big Jump (150% Gain)Futu - a Chinese online brokerage & wealth management platform has finally broken its resistance of accumulation zone forming an ascending-triangle chart pattern.
This stock has tremendous potential. Let's know why:
1. Accumulation Completed
Futu entered accumulation stage (stage 1) somewhere in December 2021 following a steep fall inline with general market decline. Its growth was contained. But after a long accumulation period of about 1 year it has finally broken its accumulation zone with ascending triangle pattern, and has swiftly entered advanced stage (stage 2). One word of caution here: Buying volumes are not so high, but golden cross is imminent.
2. Earnings
Futu's revenues, which had slowed down in FY-2022, have again geared up with PQ growth of 11% in the recent quarter. Likewise, net income has grown 17%. These increases are not so high as they were in the previous years when Futu did mind-boggling growth, but mild gains are quite possible. Moreover, as it is a fast growing brokerage platform, its growth will resonate with the general market growth.
RETA - breaking upAfter a huge plunge in Dec 2021, RETA had been consolidating in a wide range for the past 11 months. It's 200 day moving average has begun to flatten out since 27 September and the stock has also started to trade above this moving average since 14 Oct. The 200 day moving average have been tested a couple of times since and has proven to be the support so far (@ 29).
Last Friday RETA finally had a close above the long term consolidation neckline @40.65, on good volume, with Golden Cross about to materialise soon.
The stock is a long with initial stop loss just under it's 200 day Moving Average and recent pivot low (currently @ 29).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
An even bigger inverse h&s pattern appears on ALGOOn our way to hit the 2 targets I posted about previously from former inv h&s neckline breakouts, algo has now brought price action above an even higher inverse head and shoulder neckline. Stoch RSI is pretty over extended at this point so it would not surprise me at all if we see a dip back down to retest the neckline or even a few wicks or a candle close below the neckline before we are ready to validate the breakout above this new neckline. Of course, it could also just decide it wants to pump all the way to our next measured move target with no correction at all. I will keep hodling, but if I was leveraged i would dial down a good portion of my leverage after hitting the previous targets and try to add it back in upon a successful retest of the new neckline as support…if we do dip below the neckline as long as it holds the 50ma as support any dip below should be temporary. We maintain overall support on the 50 and then solidify support on the white neckline here we will likely validate another inv h&s breakout by the time algo’s golden cross occurs. *not financial advice*
Golden Cross is a Golden Strategy?Hello Hello Traders ,
Please if you like the ideas, don't forget to support them with likes and comments thank you very much.
Here we go ,
I want to talk with yours about Golden Cross.
Defination,
The golden cross is a chart pattern with a short-term and a long-term moving average. Generally, 50-day data is used for short-term moving average and 200-day data is used for long-term moving average. This pattern can occur at any time, and the main idea is that the short-term average and the long-term average cross the long-term average from the bottom up.
Let's look at the stages of when we can decide that it is a golden cross.
Step 1 ,
⦁ During a downtrend, the short-term moving average is below the long-term moving average.
Step 2 ,
⦁ With the appearance of a trend change in the market, short-term moving averages exceed long-term moving averages
Step 3 ,
⦁ In an uptrend, the short-term moving averages stay above the long-term moving averages.
The summarize of the Steps,
The first phase requires that a downtrend finally bottoms out as the sell-off is exhausted. In the second phase, the short-term moving average surpasses the longer-term moving average, indicating a trend reversal. This is a bullish signal. In the final stage, the uptrend continues until higher prices and its short-term movements remain above the average, long-term. Until the intersection of death is seen.
When we look Our Chart ,
I examined 2 golden crosses of BTC-USDT formed between 27 July and 19 November.
First Orange circle , As you can see on the chart on July 27, the 50-day bitcoin average cuts the 200-day average from below. At this stage, we see that the BTC-USDT value has increased with the high purchases. With the death cross that took place on September 13, btc usdt went down with high sales.
Second Orange Circle, As you can see on the chart on Octobe 6 the 50-day bitcoin average cuts the 200-day average from below. The rise with high purchases shows us the effect of golden cross on coins. With the realization of the golden cross, btc usdt continued to rise above the 50-day average and saw the top point in the period on November 11th. With the death cross that took place on November 19, btc usdt started to decline.
Conclusion,
Period represents a specific time period. The most commonly used moving averages when evaluating the gold cross indicator are the 50 and 200-period moving averages. In general, larger timeframes create stronger permanent breaks.
The higher the chart time frame, the stronger and more persistent the golden cross break will be.
The long-term moving average is a strong support area when the crossover occurs. Therefore, when there is a golden cross, it is a high buy zone and at this time we can make the necessary investment in the coin.
I really hope it will be useful for you.
Make big profits!
XRP | Stick a Fork in it :)So we've still got a longer term uptrend and Fibonacci channels seem to be holding fast and true. We still have a pretty strong forecast for a golden cross (50 EMA up over 200 EMA).
With the recent pump we've got two possible fork situations with the nearest term fork taking us lower but the the broader trend would indicate more room for higher levels.
I like the idea of a stop entry buy if this breaks into the upper 1.618 Fib channel and then topping around 0.70 . . let's see what happens.
We're double toppy at the moment but again, let's look at broader momentum.
Remember, XRP has a tendency to dump hard after pumps so always DCA / split your stash and be super careful with leverage.
XRP is like dynamite so handle with CARRRRRE :O
* * * not investment advice * * *
"MATIC" Polygon growth potentialHello guys.
hope you are good
today im going to explain a few about the reasons MATIC skyrocketing these days.
i look this happenings in 2 sides:
first Fundamental News
and second Technically.
lets go...
"On Monday, deltaDAO, a data economy solutions company, launched its Gaia-X Web3 Ecosystem network upgrade based on Polygon Supernet.
The Polygon team said the collaboration brings the blockchain at the heart of European data economy.
The partnership enables a global trustless data economy where users are in full control of their data, it added
Antoni Martin, co-founder of Polygon, said the partnership will help provide an open and federated data economy for the European digital ecosystem.
Earlier, Wall Street bank JP Morgan said it successfully executed a trade using the Polygon blockchain network.
This came as a big boost to the Polygon community as it led to MATIC price rise.
Similarly, another major collaboration news came in the form of Instagram with Meta saying it will be using Polygon for its first NFT marketplace. "
Sooo excellent reasons exist for this rally.
now lets see it technically...
the price action breackout a long side move from JULY and surpass the 200MA.
and break the important 1$ resistance.
asnd when we add 55EMA to the chart we see a nice GOLDEN CROSS.
what a nice situation...
lets imagine its just a step of correction so we have C wave in play with at least 78.6% fibonacci level target 1.76$.
and maybe 100% level on 2.6$!
BUT...
be careful if bitcoin come back below 20000 , maybe we see a pullback to 200MA and price 1$ or 0.97$
and after that again it starts.
and in the end
all of this analyze is my personal opinion and you shuold DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
so i use I THINK already :)
dont forget to manage your capital and risks.
and dont forget we play in a VERY RISKY market
so ALL THINGS POSSIBLE...
i hope success for all of you my dear friends.
Speculative double bottom on digibyteDigibyte has done nothing to show that its about to reverse its downtrend yet, however we are starting to see the inklings of a possible double bottom forming. This is still so early in the pattern that its almost pure speculation on my part at this point. You should never try to trade a pattern until it has confirmed either a breakout or a breakdown. Although this could easily end up a fakeout that sends digibyte lower continuing its downtrend, with so many alts recently seeing bullish surges there is certainly a chance this double bottom could end up playing out. If it were to it would be close to a 180% gain from this level. WE can see there is also a possibility here in the near future of a golden cross. The fact that many other alt coins have recently seen successful golden crosses with QNT leading the way, gives us bullish confluence that increases the probability that digibyte could also experience a successful golden cross in the near future. Still mostly speculation at this point, but just enough bullish confluence to keep an eye on this one and see how it develops. *not financial advice*