GBPNZD (Butterfly Pattern) - 4h ChartBullish Butterfly Pattern
- A-B must touch 0.786, but cannot exceed X
- B-C touches 0.382, but sometimes goes further (does not exceed A)
- ABCD formation. D has to reach outside X and touch 1.272 or 1.618
- First TP at 0.618 (Fibo D-A)
- Second TP at 0.382 (Fibo D-A)
- Third TP back to where it all started at top
Left Leg:
We can see an ABCD pattern been completed inside left leg
- 4 clear points
- consolidation between B and C
- clear resistance at point D for bearish movement
Right Leg:
After ABCD pattern there was a bullish impulse for point C of Butterfly Pattern, this iniciated a bearish Elliott Impulse
- 5 clear points
- 1 and 4 don't overlap
- 0-1 same distance as 4-5
At this point point 5 gave us D completion at 1.618 for bullish movement, but there has to be some type of consolidation at this area after so much movement, trade well and look for bullish entries.
Good Trading. - 4h Chart
Goldenratio
$ELF BTC - beautiful falling wedge - 100%++ at 1:26 risk/rewardGood day traders
I hesitated putting this idea up because at the moment, BTC might see support and rebound or it might just slip right through the triangle support and head towards the 4800 range. With that being an unknown, I normally would recommend a trade like this after the signal from BTC but with such a short stop at the moment, It’s a low enough risk trade that I feel confident about sharing
Firstly, let’s look at the daily, we have a first wave that did 320%. Three hundred percent (insert jaw drop emoji here)!!! I don’t know many coin that did that much during their first push after the recovery from CME fall.
Secondly, that push was eventually followed by a second wave correction that should end either today or tomorrow at or near the 100D MA.
Third, back to the main 4H chart, we see that there’s a beautiful falling wedge which should terminate just between the .618 and .65 fib retracement levels. With the 100D MA right at the golden fib zone between .618 and .65, chances are high we'll get a bounce.
With those 3 things in play, if the crypto gods are willing, and if the stars align tonight, AND AND AND IF we see bullish momentum from BTC, we’ll likely see ELF bouncing from this descending wedge support to exit the wedge and make its way towards the first target at 19500, then on to 26000. We should expect more out of this push, but how far will depend on how these first few waves move. We'll re-estimate after we get the 1-2 push. I will likely update this idea or make a new one by then.
The wonderful thing about this trade is the ridiculous short stop. We’ll be stopping at roughly 11750 because if we get to that price, our wedge would likely be invalidated.
Entries: between .00012100 and .00012600
Stop below .00011750
Target: .000255, take half profit at .00019, and spread the rest all the way up to .000255
If you are the better safe than sorry type, wait for a signal from BTC or wait til we break out of the wedge for entry. Your stop and targets would be the same.
Found this idea to be entertaining or absolute garbage? Feel free to let me know with a like or comment. As always, good luck and stay safe!
Kinashi-San
*The ideas and comments expressed herein are my personal opinions and should not be taken as financial advice. Being a trader, at any given point in time, I may or may not be holding the asset in question. This is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold.*
BTC almost at ideal support: 0.618 fib + big support levelThe .618 fib level is known as the golden ratio, a place where usually a lot of buyers will be stepping in.
This .618 fib level of the last run up is at ~7800 USD. Also a big support level ~7600 USD.
Depending on the price action at these levels this could be a good opportunity to build a long position.
AUDUSD (2618 and ABCs) - Daily Chart2618 Setup
- double floor
- measure impulse
- retracement at 0.618
- TP at -0.27 and -0.618
Double Flooe + 0.618 = 2618
There's a perfect support and retest for that double floor that gave us this bullish impulse towards -0.618, at this point a major retracement is needed for further bullish movement, ABCs gave us that by consolidating and reaching 0.786 for major retracement.
MACD shows lower low expecting bullish impulse.
Good Trading. - Daily Chart
XVG done correctingVerge has tipped the golden correction ratio from the Elliott wave structure it was in.
It bounced back up and managed to get out of the downward channel and it showing bullish signs for the next uptrend/Elliott wave structure.
Lot of FUD but nothing to worry about ;)
"NOT a financial advisor, seriousness reduces life. Make sure you feel blessed when waking up, millions of people died during their last night sleep."
If you want to donate crypto:
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Litecoin... almost thereLitecoin is at a critical pivot I have been highlighting for a long time in several posts. The 'golden ratio' of .618 Fibonacci resistance which LTC is currently teetering around (now a few dollars below). We need to see a solid extension above this level, which equates to about 163, to establish a firmly bullish perspective going forward as far as technical analysis is concerned. The importance of Fibonnaci levels is critical and this is shown with 11 elliptical circles showing where Fibonnaci levels have served as support/ resistance. Recent bullish development include:
1) A reversal in volume patterns with respect to price indicated by the upward sloping green line which is preceded by 4 or 5 downward sloping magenta ones.
2) Positive RSI developments indicated with a white dashed line.
3) Failure of the 'death-cross' to occur which happens when the 50-day movilng average dips below the 200. LTC is also above both of these moving averages.
4) Bullish MACD crossover visible at the bottom.
At the time of writing RSI is indicating LTC is a bit overbought and may pull back a bit but I doubt this would be the start of a large drop. If you find this info useful please give a like, criticisms welcome.
BTC!! breaking out of Wedge before completing the Golden Wave!Happy easter Monday to erbody in Aus!
instead of eggs I’ve been hunting the golden ratio.
As we can see here we have a nice Fibbonaci trend matching a 5 wave elliot with a WXY correction wave. In the Fibonacci B section I’ve shown the 3,3,3 pattern for you of a WXY correction, but it gets a little small in the d section to map out so you’ll have to trust me.
If the waves continue to line up with the Fibonacci date sequence we should see another low on May 5th. However, given the descending wedge building pressure at the end the cycle is going to break up or down. The consensus seems to be down, but I’m not so bearish.
Two signals showing reason to go long:
1) in Fib e, waves 2 and 4 close on or above the green trend line, being the average of the 10 close points it acts like a support and resistance for shifting trends.
2) the 3rd correction wave of the series closes above the x trend line.
I feel like BTC is our hero, hanging off the edge, And no matter how many times his fingers are trampled on, he doesn't let go. One hand slips, 4 fingers left, now 3, now 2? But we know our protagonist will be saved somehow!
*Disclaimer: don't take trading advice from anyone built on a narrative.*
Good luck and count those bull pins!
BTC!! breaking out of Wedge before completing the Golden Wave!Happy easter Monday to erbody in Aus!
instead of eggs I’ve been hunting the golden ratio.
As we can see here we have a nice Fibbonaci trend matching a 5 wave elliot with a WXY correction wave. In the Fibonacci B section I’ve shown the 3,3,3 pattern for you of a WXY correction, but it gets a little small in the d section to map out so you’ll have to trust me.
If the waves continue to line up with the Fibonacci date sequence we should see another low on May 5th. However, given the descending wedge building pressure at the end the cycle is going to break up or down. The consensus seems to be down, but I’m not so bearish.
Two signals showing reason to go long:
1) in Fib e, waves 2 and 4 close on or above the green trend line, being the average of the 10 close points it acts like a support and resistance for shifting trends.
2) the 3rd correction wave of the series closes above the x trend line.
I feel like BTC is our hero, hanging off the edge, And no matter how many times his fingers are trampled on, he doesn't let go. One hand slips, 4 fingers left, now 3, now 2? But we know our protagonist will be saved somehow!
*Disclaimer: don't take trading advice from anyone built on a narrative.*
Good luck and count those bull pins!
GBPJPY (Bullish Cypher Pattern) -4h ChartConfirmations for Cypher Pattern:
- A to B must touch 0.382 but cannot exceed 0.618
- B to C must touch 1.272 but cannot close below 1.414 (Trend-Based Fib Extension)
- C to D must touch 0.786 of X to C
- First TP at 0.618 of D to C (Fibonacci)
- Second TP at 0.382 of D to C (Fibonacci)
Look how X to B distance is 0.384 (around 0.382!)
A to C distance is 1.271 (around 1.272!)
X to D distance is 0.834 (around 0.786 - 0.886!)
B to D distance is 1.618 (exactly at 1.618!)
AUDUSD (Sell Breakout) -4h ChartI measured bearish impulse by placing 0.236 right below ABCs and we can see how price retraced around 0.618, at this point I expect to sell the breakout all the way to previous support where -0.27 is, with Trend-Based Fib Extension I confirmed area with 1.618 around -0.27.
MACD has a strong resistance at top, which confirms bearish impulse.
Good Trading. -4h Chart
EASY Daily TREND BUY OFF 61.8 GOLDEN RATIOwe have many reasons to enter an easy buy off gold, WE HAVE A HEAD AND SHOULDERS on a 4H, We have a trendline touch on the daily and off the daily we can come to the senses of the 61.8 touch and a engulfing candle on the daily meaning we still in a bullish trend and on that note we have a daily touch on the golden ratio which is the 61.8 which means we have a high probability of going to previous resistance and past that i say its a safe buy for the next day or two! happy trading
USDWTI (Oil)First we got a pretty good resistance with a double top, which means we have a possible 2618 trade:
- double top
- measure impulse
- wait for retracement at 0.618
Double top + 0.618 = 2618 technique
I measured bearish impulse so I could confirm areas with some Support & Resistance and we can see how each pattern or consolidation was formed around those areas, even fibonacci retracements respect those areas.
Also used some Support & Resistance on MACD to confirm divergence.
BAT PATTERN
-Left Leg
At first there's an ABCs formation right at where bearish Bat Pattern began, we can see how it went bearish forming an Elliott Impulse with 5 clear points and each consolidation that was formed respected fibonacci retracements.
-Right Leg
After an Elliott Impulse there's always some type of consolidation, which is exactly what we got with that double floor at the bottom, right after that retest it formed a pullback that I measured with Trend-Based Fib Extension, we can se how 1.618 - 1.414 area is exactly around bearish area.
We got 0.886 -0.786 area from Bat Pattern, 1.618 - 1.414 area from Trend-Based Fib Extension and 0.618 from 2618 technique all at the same area!!!
Good Trading. -1h Chart
Daily SAFE SELL! ABCD PATTERN OFF 61.8 BEAR PATTERNWe have on a daily time frame a sell order that will complete im sure to the 1.27 i usually like to reciprocate the 61.8 to the 1.618 how ever we still are in a bullish trend which will make the trend line and support area a hard area to break and i will expect it to retrace back into bullish before we can break into the 1.618 area which may take some time but i have no doubt that we will eventually get there but we did break previous low which gives us the short term sell for the next couple days, Its a safe SELL!
(FINALLY) A Live BTCUSD chart minus the auxillary indicators!I finally spat the dummy and just created a new chart layout without all the additional indicators displayed below the candlesticks.
Now we have some clarity at last!
If anyone has any idea how to publish an idea with displaying all indicators, please let me know!
As we can see from channels, yesterday we broke below the upwards channel drawn between Wave 4 and Wave 5 on a 'cycle' EW timeframe.
This wasn't maintained for long before a bounce back. I spent ~2/3 of my fiat account on various crypto's at this point - prepared for the price to not reach this low again, but also prepared to have some remaining funds for a further potential drop.
We are nearing the end of an ABC correction no doubts about it. What remains to be seen is if we are now beginning Wave 5 in a EW supercycle, or if this rally is temporary - a 'primary' Wave B within a 'cycle' Wave C, with a final (primary and cycle) Wave C drop yet to come, which would complete the correction before the supercycle Wave 5 begins.
In any case, my projection for bitcoin is $33,000 USD by March 2018. However, at this stage, this figure is a guestimate at best. I am constantly modifying my analyzes to account for the most recently available data.
The red box drawn still accounts for all my predictions and speculations on BTCUSD since 29th December 2017. I still believe we will see price move to within this box, but most likely not lower than $11,000 USD - price is unlikely to move within the lower half of the red box.
That being said, a foreseen future event often becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy - making it occur earlier than anticipated. We may well see this at play in the near future.