Gold fell into a high-level consolidation.Although the gold price briefly fell back to 3100 points, the strength was limited. The big positive line quickly broke through, showing that the short-term momentum was insufficient, the long-term was still strong, and the probability of a new high was greatly increased. On the hourly chart, the gold price maintained high fluctuations, and the strength and sustainability of the retracement were not strong. The technical form of the small-level cycle was gradually adjusted in place, and it was expected to continue to rise in the late trading. The upper resistance was concentrated in the 3127-3133 range, and the lower support was in the 3107-3103 range.
Strategy: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3093, target at 3120-3130, and break at 3140.
Goldidea
With the heavy tariff policy coming, will gold rise or fall?On the technical side of gold, the 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving average of gold is sticking together, and the lower shadows of the K-line appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate that the technical repair after the sideways shock is expected to usher in a second rise. The hourly chart shows that the price range is tightening, and the technical pattern is gradually adjusted in place. The current upper resistance is 3137-3142, and the lower support is 3111-3107.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 3135-3140 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3146, and the target is 3115-3100. If it breaks, it will be 3080.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 3082-3077 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 3072, and the target is 3130-3160.
Gold Price Analysis April 2The D1 candle has a red candle and the selling pressure has started to take profit of Gold but it is still unclear.
The most recent H4 candle cluster shows 2 important price zones 3135 and 3108. Breaking this boundary will form a new trend.
Trading plan: Gold pushes to 3108 and does not break this zone in the European session, then BUY GOLD to 3124. At the end of the European session, if it breaks 3124, then keep the order to 3135 and 3164 in the US session if it breaks the resistance. If it breaks 3108, do not buy anymore but wait for Sell Break out 3108, target day 3084, pay attention to the price reaction at 3100 (resistance of last night's session). If 3100 is broken, then SELL DCA, not BUY at 3100. Scenario 2: Price does not return to 3108 first but to 3124 in the European session. If it is not broken, then SELL 3124 to 3108 and breaks the 3108 area in the US session, then the TP scenario is the same as scenario 1. If 3124 is broken, then 3135 waits for a breakout when it breaks, it will be better to SELL down today. (Note the SELL scalp point around 3142)
Gold - Looking To Buy Dips In The Short TermH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD - on resistance- Could Bitcoin resume its Gains Over GoldAs you can see, GOLD has come to a point where it has been rejected twice previously.
And on each of the previous occasions, PA ended up back on the lower trend line., taking around 2 years to do so on each occasions
GOLD MOVES SO SLOW - mostly due to its HUGE market cap..... But thats another story
Has the recent rise of Gold come to a line of defeat ?
The Daily chart here shows how PA is stalling at this moment in time
Each push is getting Shorter. PA is tired.
PA is Getting OVERBOUGHT on many time frames. It needs a break
The thing is, Mr Trump will later today introduce the "liberation Tariffs"
The expectation is of FEAR as reprisals and reduced markets could cause issues in the USA , including reversing the Drop in inflation.
If the Tariffs backfire, the $ will Drop..and people will look to safe haves
Traditionally GOLD. Maybe Gold can break through its old nemesis of rejection.
But PA Is TIRED
BITCOIN has been under pressure recently, following posting a new ATH and this has taken a toll on the BTC XAUT trading pair while Gold has risen.
We can see how PA dropped and has in fact, fallen below the lower line of support.
But it needs to be understood is that RSI and MACD are now in very positive positions to make a push higher.
Gold is tired
In the Near Future, we may well see the tables turn in Bitcoins Favour again
But Me Trumps, today, May actually upset that idea.
We just have to wait and see how sentiment is towards Risk assets later today , after the announcement of these Tariffs.
But, in the Longer term, once the dust settles, I do see Bitcoin taking over again and continuing its rise to greatness.....
ENJOY
Time Will tell
GOLD is in buy zone!XAUUSD has just drop to daily support with strong price action formation on the lower timeframe with an inverted head & shoulder showing possible bounce off the daily support level. As long term trend is up, we may see a sudden bounce to neck line where daily resistance is.
A possible buy trade is high probability.
Gold Price Analysis April 1D1 candle is still showing a remarkable increase of Gold. Signaling that the uptrend will continue for another half.
The wave in the h4 frame is still continuing a strong uptrend and no correction wave has appeared.
H1 is trading in the border zone of 3126 and 3142. The trading plan for GOLD to close below 3032 shows a clear downtrend to 3106. On the contrary, if the candle closes above, wait for the 3142 zone to confirm that it does not break the price, then SELL to 3106. 3163-3165 is the Target for the BUY signal to break the ATH when the candle confirms above 3143
Gold Price Analysis March 31Fundamental Analysis
Gold price attracts safe-haven flows for the third straight day amid rising trade tensions.
Fed rate cut bets weigh on the USD and also lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Overbought conditions on the daily chart now warrant some caution for bullish traders.
Technical Analysis
Gold continues to hit ATH levels and is very difficult to trade with a large amount of Fomo BUY. The important point to retest the BUY signal today is at 3100-3098. And 3145 is the target level for the ATH peak of Gold today.
What do you think of the above analysis? Please leave your comments.
Gold continues to hit new highs! Trend analysisGold hit a new record high again, rising from 2858 to 3086. After four rounds of surges, gold is now close to the 3100 mark. The overall bull market is still there, and the general trend is still bullish. For gold's upper pressure, pay attention to the breakthrough of 3085-90 US dollars, which is the upper track position of the weekly Bollinger band. For upward breakthrough, pay attention to the integer position of 3100 US dollars, which is also the upper track position of the daily Bollinger band.
Strategy: Gold 3070 long, stop loss 3060, target 3100
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY analysis week 14🌐Fundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25% - 4.50% range and forecast core PCE inflation to average 2.8% by year-end. The higher-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates for an extended period. Investors are concerned that these tariffs could add to global inflationary pressures and trigger a recession.
In Japan, the Tokyo CPI rose sharply in March, boosting expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year. The hot inflation data also supported the Yen's appreciation against other currencies.
🕯Technical Analysis
USDJPY is still in a bullish recovery. The pair is facing support at 149.200, preventing further declines. The weekly high around 151.100 is still acting as key resistance before the pair breaks out to 152.000. Conversely, if the trend breaks at 149.200, weekly support is seen at 148.300.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 151.300-151.100 SL 150.500
SELL USDJPY 152.000-152.200 SL 152.400
BUY USDJPY 149.300-149.100 SL 148.900
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis and Surge Factors Current Price: Gold is trading around $3,074.31 per ounce, marking a significant rise of 0.6% and reaching a record high of $3,077.44.
Technical Analysis
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The psychological level at $3,000 has been a robust support, with prices consistently holding above this mark during recent consolidations.
Resistance: The new all-time high at $3,077.44 now serves as the immediate resistance level.
Moving Averages:
The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is trending upward, reinforcing the ongoing bullish momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is approaching overbought territory, suggesting that while the bullish trend is strong, a short-term pullback could occur.
Key Factors Behind Today's Surge
U.S. Tariff Announcements:
President Donald Trump's recent implementation of a 25% tariff on auto imports has intensified fears of a global trade war. This uncertainty has driven investors towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Market Reactions:
The announcement led to a decline in Asian stock markets, with significant losses in South Korea and Japan. The auto industry, vital to these economies, faced substantial impacts, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold.
Analyst Forecasts:
Financial institutions have revised their gold price forecasts upwards. Citi Research increased its three-month gold price target to $3,200 per ounce, citing robust demand from official sectors and exchange-traded funds.
NOTE
Gold's ascent to record highs is primarily driven by escalating trade tensions and the resultant market uncertainty. Technical indicators support the bullish trend, though caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and market reactions closely, as these will continue to influence gold's trajectory in the near term.
Stay Informed & Trade Wisely! 🛡️📈
Gold Analysis March 27Yesterday's D1 candle is still a contested candle with no clear winner. If it maintains this, there may be a strong sell-off on Friday.
The wave structure is expanding in an upward direction after a push into the Asian session. The price is reacting around the 3028 area. If gold cannot break 3028, it is possible to BUY back to the peak of the Asian session in the morning around 3038. If this peak is broken, DCA will add an order towards the target of 3044. On the contrary, if the European session cannot break the peak of 3038, SELL to 3020 and if the US breaks 3020, DCA SELL to 3006. On the contrary, if it does not break, Buy back around 3020 and the gold margin will fluctuate around 3020-3028 until the end of the day.
XAUUSD – Daily (D1) Analysis🧱 Market Structure
The D1 structure is clearly bullish – price is printing HHs and HLs consistently.
Current push is a continuation from previous consolidation, breaking structure upwards.
No CHoCH or BOS bearish yet – buyers still in control.
🔵 Key Zones (marked on your chart)
1. Near-term Liquidity / Resistance
Price is approaching a marked supply zone / premium area at the top (same one from W1).
This is likely to act as a reaction point – either:
Sweep liquidity and reverse
Break through and continue higher
2. Imbalances / Mitigation Zones Below Price
These zones are clean mitigation targets if price rejects from the top:
Zone Level Description
2955 Fair value gap / inefficiency (imbalance)
2790–2800 Strong structure zone + FVG + OB
2740–2750 Potential OB + previous consolidation
2495 Deep retracement level – less likely short-term
🧩 Order Flow Observation
Very little sign of exhaustion in candles right now.
The only reason to expect reversal is if:
Price hits the extreme premium zone
We see a strong daily rejection or
Lower timeframes shift (CHoCH / BOS)
📉 EMA Perspective (implied)
Assuming EMA 21/50/200:
Price is well above EMA 21 & 50, indicating strong short-term bullish trend.
A return to EMA 21 (probably around ~2950–2970) would be a healthy pullback.
📌 Bias – Daily
Term Bias Reason Daily
✅ Bullish Clean bullish structure, no shift Short-term
⚠️ Watchful
If price hits supply zone with reaction
Ideal setup
Rejection from premium + CHoCH on H4/H1
🧠 Trade Ideas (based on D1)
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Price holds above 3060 and breaks 3090+
Entry on breakout + retest of minor OB on H1
Target: ATH sweep and continuation
SL: Below minor HL / reaction low
🔽 Bearish Scenario
Price enters supply zone → forms bearish D1 candle (engulfing / pinbar)
Look for CHoCH on H4/H1 to enter short
Target levels: 2950 ➝ 2800 ➝ 2750
SL: Above daily high or OB
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Price Analysis March 25The D1 gold candlestick confirmed a clear decline. Some late-day buying pressure around 3000 pushed the gold price a bit.
H4 has formed a bearish wave with an important price of 3028. If H4 cannot break 3028 today, there will likely be a strong sell-off of gold at the end of the day.
Trading scenario. Gold is pushing up from the 3015 price zone. Target in the European session is 3027-3028. If this zone cannot be broken at the end of the session, SELL and hold at 3008. If the US confirms a break of 3008, hold at 2983. In case of a break of 3028, the sellers are weak. Be careful of false break of 3028. If the break is real, wait for 3035 to SELL today.
Gold does not push up to 3027 but closes below 3015, then SELL to 3008. At the end of the session, if it breaks 3008, hold to 2983. If it doesn't break, then BUY again to the 3008 area, target 3028.
XAUUSD The ultimate Sniper Entry Plan for 25 March 2025XAU/USD - Daily Review & Sniper Entry Plan - March 25th, 2025
✨ Overall Bias:
Monthly: Bullish, but with a candle showing exhaustion, potential pullback towards discount.
Weekly: Indecision, but we have a small CHoCH on the structure - possible correction towards the 2980 zone.
Daily: Clear bearish candle on Friday, followed by a mild correction on Monday. Liquidity grab below 3000, but close above.
🌐 Timeframe Breakdown:
D1:
Last confirmed CHoCH.
Imbalance and FVG in the 3022-3035 zone.
Potential bearish OB between 3031-3036.
RSI below 50, momentum fading.
H4:
Lower highs / lower lows structure.
Bearish confirmation: BOS + rejection from OB.
Imbalance 3016-3026.
EMA 21 and 50 acting as dynamic resistance.
H1:
Last CHoCH in the 3024 zone.
Bearish engulfing confirmation.
Unfilled FVG: 3016-3020.
RSI < 40, increasing volume on bearish candles.
M30 / M15:
BOS on M15 and retest in the area of interest.
Last swing high at 3018.13.
Liquidity above 3018 and 3024 (EQH), below 3000 (EQL).
🔹 Sniper Entry Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Short)
Entry: 3018 - 3022 (FVG zone + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci)
Confirmation: M15 bearish engulfing or BOS + retest.
SL: above 3028
TP1: 3000
TP2: 2985 (discount zone + liquidity)
Scenario 2 (Long - Countertrend/Scalp)
Entry: 2985 - 2990 (liquidity zone )
Confirmation: M15 BOS + bullish pattern (engulfing/pin)
SL: below 2979
TP1: 3000
TP2: 3015
🔹 POI (Key Zones):
3022-3028: FVG + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci - potential short zone
3018.13: EQH - liquidity inducement
2985: Daily OB + 78.6% Fibonacci - potential buy zone
🌍 EMA Guide:
EMA 5 < 21 on H1 and M30: bearish momentum
EMA 50 acting as dynamic resistance (on H1: 3022)
🔹 Conclusion: Favorable short on retracement to the 3018-3022 zone with confirmation. Target remains the 2985 zone for liquidity. Market response around 2985 will give clarity for potential buy/scalp.
⏳ Expectations: After the Daily close, we can expect liquidity inducement towards 3020+, followed by a dump towards 2990-2985.
🔔 Don't forget to Like, Share, and Follow for more updates! Let's hit that target together! 💰📈
👉 Like if you found this helpful and follow for future setups!
Gold - Short Term Sell Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 20th I shared this idea "Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Lower"
We expected to see retraces and further continuation lower. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bearish move delivered, as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish
SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.
Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.
Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.
FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.
EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).
EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.
✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.
🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)
SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.
Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.
Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.
Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.
Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.
RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.
🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.
🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement
SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4
Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)
FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940
Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970
EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening
POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)
🔁 Scenario:
If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.
If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.
🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet
PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation
OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten
RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal
POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)
🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress
SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS
OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction
Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032
EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend
RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short
EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement
🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):
Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033
TP1: 3010
TP2: 2995
SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated
Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation
✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells
Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033
Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)
✨ If you enjoy my analysis, I’d really appreciate it if you followed my TradingView profile and left a boost\like on the post. Thank you!
Gold Price Analysis March 24Fundamental Analysis
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on a three-day rally from multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-driven US economic slowdown could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon. This, coupled with geopolitical risks, acted as a non-yielding driver for Gold and helped limit downside momentum. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through before confirming that XAU/USD has topped out in the near term and positioning for any meaningful corrective slide.
Technical Analysis
Friday's D1 saw strong selling pressure with the sharpest drop from 3046 to 3000. Late in the day, bulls pushed the price back 50% of the D candle. This shows that bears have entered the market but the downtrend will take some time.
The h4 structure is quite nice to see the buy and sell wave structure.
Scenario 1: In the 3026 zone of the European session, selling pressure has appeared. If the price pushes up to break the 3026 zone at the end of the session, it will give a BUY signal, break 3026, target 3037. When the US session breaks 3037, keep the order until 3045. The 3045 zone gives a good SELL signal for today if the price finds it. When the price reaches 3037 and cannot break this zone when the US enters, it can SELL to 3026, further than 3018. Scenario 2: The price does not break 3026 but falls, then wait for support around 3013 and support 3003.
Gold price analysis March 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve’s forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts by the end of the year helped the US Dollar (USD) gain positive momentum for the third consecutive day, which, in turn, is seen as undermining the commodity. The decline could also be due to some profit-taking heading into the weekend.
However, bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue its rate-cutting cycle will limit the USD’s gains and act as a non-yielding driver for Gold prices. Moreover, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policies and their impact on the global economic outlook, coupled with geopolitical risks, deter traders from placing strong bearish bets on the safe-haven bullion.
⭐️Technical analysis
D1 candle has started to show a bearish candle after many consecutive days of increase. However, the buyers have pushed the price from the 3026 area, showing that a strong buying force is still in this area.
The European session, gold traded within the 3025 and 3038 range, the h4 structure shows this. Gold is pushing up to 3038, until the end of the European session, gold cannot break 3038, giving a SELL signal to 3025, the US breaks 3025, then it heads towards support 3008. In the opposite direction, Gold pushes back to 3025 first and does not break this area in the European session, giving a BUY signal to 3038 and heads towards ATH when the US breaks this area. Pay attention to the 2 areas of 3025 and 3038 to trade breakouts.
Gold Price Analysis March 20⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices fell slightly after hitting a record high on Thursday, ending a three-day winning streak. Profit-taking pressure from buyers, along with positive risk sentiment in the market, weakened gold. At the same time, the modest increase in the USD also put downward pressure on gold prices in the European trading session.
However, expectations of an early Fed rate cut could limit the USD's rise, supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns about former President Donald Trump's trade policy and escalating tensions in the Middle East could continue to act as factors driving gold demand. This requires investors to be cautious before making trading decisions.
⭐️Technical analysis
The D1 candle has not yet shown any signs of a reversal in GOLD. Therefore, the trading strategy has not yet shown any signs of peak detection or peak catching. BUY is still easier to win.
Yesterday's US session buy zone 3038 in today's European trading session plays an important resistance zone. Currently, gold has confirmed a break of 3045 for a SELL signal and is heading towards 3038. Before 2 hours of the end of the European session, if gold does not break through this zone, it is still possible to BUY around 3038. 3031 and 3029 play the role of resistance zones for the day when breaking through 3038. Today, waiting for a retest to BUY is the safest