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World gold may reach 2,700 USD this weekendHello everyone! Recently, gold prices have increased sharply, nearly 570 USD/ounce, after the US Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates by another 0.5%. Currently, gold is on track to reach a new high, expected to reach 2,700 USD/ounce. The upcoming important event is the US presidential election, which can create many unpredictable fluctuations in the market, which will further promote gold as a safe haven channel that many investors prioritize.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ConanTradingFX
XAU/USD 27 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge printing all time highs with price pulling back very minimally. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Bearish CHoCH has been printed indicating bearish pullback phase initiation. We also have established an internal range. You will note the internal range has extensively narrowed, allowing price to confirm swing pullback phase by printing bearish iBOS. However, we remain bullish. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, however, due to the narrowing of the internal range and all HTF's requiring pullback, it would not be unrealistic is price printed a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Intraday expectation was met with price printing bullish iBOS. Price is now contained within an internal range and is in discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high. Expecting reaction from discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not be unexpected if price prints a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Price Analysis September 27Fundamental Analysis Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some sellers over the weekend and fell further from its all-time high, around the $2,685-$2,686 region hit on Thursday. The decline was financed by some buying of the US Dollar (USD), which tends to weaken demand for the commodity. In addition, the bullish market mood, fueled by China’s new stimulus measures, turned out to be another factor driving outflows from the safe-haven precious metal. That said, expectations of a more aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) kept the USD confined to a familiar range that has been maintained for about two weeks and within striking distance of the YTD low set last week. This, coupled with the risk of further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, should limit losses for Gold. Traders may also prefer to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. Technical Analysis Currently, the trading range of gold is very wide. and Gold can make an ATH at any time during this period. The lower border area is focused on ports 2650 and 2640. The upper area of ​​ATH is focused on the round ports 2690 and 2700. If gold holds above the 2662 hook until the middle of the US session, we can still set up buy orders in this area to the upper resistance areas, and if it breaks 2662, wait for retest and sell to 2650-2640 BUY XAUUSD 2651-2649 Stoploss 2646 BUY XAUUSD 2641-2639 Stoploss 2636 SELL XAUUSD 2688-2690 Stoploss 2693 SELL XAUUSD 2699-2701 Stoploss 2704
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold prices continue to hold high amid profit-taking pressureHello everyone, let’s join in analyzing today’s gold prices! XAUUSD is continuing its strong uptrend, currently trading around $2,659. In the short term, the bullish momentum is clear, with the trendline, EMAs, and other technical factors all supporting buyers despite previous pressure. However, with the profit-taking resistance still intact at $2,670, buyers may significantly weaken, especially with today’s scheduled news, which could cause major volatility. Traders might consider selling if the price forms a double top around $2,670, with a target of $2,625. SELL GOLD: 2670 - 2672 STOPLOSS: 2675 TP: 2640 , 2625 Wishing you all successful trades and great profits!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ConanTradingFX
Gold Price Analysis September 25Fundamental Analysis Gold rose to a fresh record high of $2,670 an ounce on Wednesday after a surprise drop in U.S. consumer confidence data on Tuesday raised expectations of more aggressive policy easing and deeper interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates are good for gold because they reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets, making it more attractive to investors. The People's Bank of China's biggest stimulus move since the Covid pandemic announced on Tuesday, which included steep cuts in borrowing costs as part of a package of measures to revive the slumping economy, also supported gold prices. Escalating tensions in the Middle East after Israel resumed bombing Hezbollah targets in Lebanon further boosted safe-haven flows into the yellow metal. Technical Analysis Gold is sideways in a narrow range and waiting for clear buying and selling forces at the support level of 2650 to see how the price reacts when the US session enters. If it cannot break through 2650, a new ATH can be established today. Pay attention to the resistance zones at the top of 2670-2680 and see the price reaction in this zone to SELL. Important support is at the 2640 zone Trading signals BUY GOLD zone 2650 SL 2645 BUY GOLD zone 2640 SL 2635 SELL GOLD zone 2670 SL 2675 SELL GOLD zone 2680 SL 2685
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAU/USD 25 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge printing all time highs as US economic data and geopolitical tensions have influenced market sentiment which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, we therefore have established an internal range. Intraday expectation: As price has made it's first indication of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH, this could potentially initiate H4 pullback phase with price pulling back to discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Yesterday's intraday analysis was correct as price did target weak internal high, printing a further bullish iBOS. Price is now contained within an internal range and is in discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high. Expecting reaction from discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Will Gold Break Resistance at $2,670?Hello everyone, Today, the price of gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold steady around the highs, with the resistance level of $2,670 on the 4-hour chart still intact. Currently, gold is hovering around $2,653, down slightly by 0.14% on the day. On the technical chart, it is worth noting that the resistance at $2,670 may be under pressure from profit-taking after yesterday's action. The RSI is trending down, although the price is still supported by the 34 and 89 EMAs, with a dynamic support level around $2,610. The rising DOW also suggests that the price of gold will continue to rise without any significant reversal signs. Based on the Fibonacci level, if the rally continues, the next recovery level could be $2,625 (0.618). New take profit level to watch: 2743 Support level to watch: 2625, 2611 What do you think about this assessment?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ConanTradingFX
Gold price analysis September 24Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell after hitting a fresh all-time high around the $2,640 region on Tuesday and slid to the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session. Rising US Treasury yields helped revive demand for the US Dollar (USD), prompting some profit-taking around the commodity amid a mildly overbought condition on the daily chart. However, any meaningful corrective decline in Gold prices appears to be limited after the Federal Reserve (Fed) stepped up bets on more aggressive policy easing. Additionally, persistent geopolitical risks, US political uncertainty and a gloomy global economic outlook will support the safe-haven XAU/USD as traders look to Fed Governor Michelle Bowman’s speech for fresh impetus. Technical Analysis Gold retreats from the 2640 peak. Technically, wave 5 of the Elliot wave has completed and the ABC correction wave is forming towards 2604. If the 2624 zone where gold is currently located is broken, we will get the 2603 level when the US session jumps in. If the European session price cannot break 2625, we will still wait and prioritize the sell side when retesting the 2640 peak. The 2593-2595 zone is considered a good buy zone. Upper resistance: 2640 - 2645 - 2650 - 2658 Support: 2615 - 2610 - 2605 - 2600 - 2688 - 2657 Sell 2654 - 2656. Stoploss 2659 Sell 2640-2642. Stoploss 2445 Canh BUY scalp 2615 Canh BUY 2604 - 2606. Stoploss 2600 Canh BUY 2593-2595. Stoploss 2590
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
Gold is waiting for something to correct?Hello everyone, What do you think about gold prices? Currently, gold prices today continue to show strength as gold is trading around $2629. It is clear that the metal is still showing strength based on the breakout last week. The reason for the increase in the metal is that the looser-than-expected monetary policy of economists and the forecast of further cuts boosted the demand for gold, a hedge against risk. However, the US 10-year government bond yield increased, making the gold market more cautious. At that time, a clearer view of the direction of gold will become clear. Today we have some important milestones: XAUUSD sell zone 2650 - 2652 XAUUSD buy zone 2629 - 2627
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ConanTradingFX
Gold prices continue uptrend from $2600Conan, hello everyone! Today, gold prices continue to show strength, maintaining an UPtrend with an important resistance level at $2636, but have not been able to break it yet. Currently, gold is trading around $2629, up slightly by 0.03% on the day. In the coming time, this uptrend is likely to continue, supported by the Fed's decision to cut interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty. Technically, $2602 is forming as an important support in the uptrend channel. After consolidating here, we can expect gold prices to reach the first profit-taking target at $2690, corresponding to the Fibonacci level of 1.618. Stay tuned to capture these potential trading opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ConanTradingFX
"Gold Approaching Peaks: What Lies Ahead in the Market?"Gold (XAUUSD) is under pressure amid the strengthening U.S. dollar at the start of the week. After briefly testing last week's highs, the precious metal appears to be forming a false breakout. While the overall trend remains bullish, anticipation of significant news may lead to a brief moment of volatility and market anxiety. The rising yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds, driven by declining interest rates, have provided further momentum to the dollar. This development adds an element of unpredictability to the market, as the movements deviate from what many analysts had been expecting. The upcoming direction for gold will largely hinge on key Eurozone and U.S. PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) data. If these reports reignite recession fears, the strengthening U.S. dollar could shift the current market dynamics and trigger a new wave of correction in gold prices from their recent highs. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain a critical factor that could influence market sentiment. On the technical side, gold faces immediate resistance at the 2625, 2631, and 2650 levels, while support can be found at 2614, 2602, and 2589. There is a possibility of a correction from the 2625 level, as market conditions suggest a buildup of uncertainty ahead of upcoming economic announcements. Profit-taking could exacerbate this correction as traders look to secure gains ahead of potential market shifts. However, if gold continues its upward momentum and successfully breaks through the 2631 resistance, this could pave the way for a move towards the 2640-2650 range, opening the door for further gains. Traders, if you found this idea helpful or have your own insights to share, feel free to drop a comment. I’d love to hear your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
XAUUSDConan, hello everyone! Gold (XAU/USD) maintained its bullish momentum and traded at a fresh record high above $2,610 on Friday. Rising expectations that global central banks will follow the Fed in easing policy and cutting interest rates have boosted XAU/USD. However, a close look at the short-term chart shows that the yellow metal is struggling to capitalize on the immediate support at $2,618 to break above the resistance at $2,625 ahead of the weekend. Both the short-term and medium-term outlooks suggest that the bears are gradually gaining strength. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending down in the bullish zone, indicating a potential momentum shift and a resumption of the correction. Current support is at $2618, if this level is broken the price will drop rapidly towards the targets to watch at $2610 and $2605.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ConanTradingFX
XAUUSD Big Move Will be there? | 2h Analysis Hello, community! 👋 How are you all doing this week? I hope you’re ready for some insightful trading opportunities. Let's dive into the analysis for XAU/USD (gold), as it looks promising for a bearish trend. Market Overview This week, XAU/USD is presenting a potential bearish scenario. After observing the current market conditions and price action, I’ve identified a key resistance level at 2641. This level is critical for our bearish outlook, and I’ll explain the setup in detail. Key Levels Entry Level: 2641 First Target: 2603 Second Target: 2580 Third Target: 2547 Stop Loss: 100 pips above the entry (approximately 2741) Trading Strategy Entry Confirmation: Wait for a clear rejection (chock) at the 2641 level before entering the trade. This confirmation is crucial to ensure that the bearish momentum is established. Target Management: The first target is set at 2603, which is a realistic point to take partial profits. The second target at 2580 provides a further profit-taking opportunity as we approach the anticipated bearish trend. Finally, the third target is 2547, representing a solid point for potential further downside. Stop Loss Consideration: Place a stop loss 100 pips above the entry level, allowing for some volatility while protecting your capital. This positioning ensures that any unexpected bullish movement does not significantly impact your account. Conclusion In summary, the bearish outlook for XAU/USD appears favorable this week, with strategic entry and exit points. Remember to wait for that crucial rejection at 2641 before executing the trade. Let’s stay disciplined and focused, and I wish everyone a week full of profitable trades! 🌟 Feel free to follow for more insights and updates! Happy trading! 📈
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by HouseofProfit
Golden Outlook: Key Trends to Watch in the Week AheadFrom a technical standpoint, things are straightforward: both the broader market and shorter timeframes reflect a bullish trend. This alone provides a foundation for crafting a solid strategy. Key approaches could involve either capitalizing on false breakouts or bounces from key support levels, or alternatively, riding the momentum when resistance gives way, signaling continuation. However, it's not all smooth sailing. There are fundamental hurdles on the horizon, notably the upcoming GDP report and a crucial speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. These events have the potential to stir up market volatility as traders anticipate potential shifts in economic policy and performance. Given this backdrop, it's likely that gold will persist in its upward trajectory. Yet, we can't discount the possibility of pullbacks or market shakeouts, especially if traders decide to lock in profits after the recent rally, or as a defensive move ahead of next week's U.S. macroeconomic data and Powell’s remarks. Recommendation: A. Avoid attempting to predict trend reversals. First, you'll never be able to pinpoint these zones with certainty. Second, by the time you do, your performance may suffer, leading to unnecessary stop-loss hits. Instead, focus on identifying robust levels and trading within the prevailing trend. Traders, if you found this idea helpful or have your own insights to share, feel free to drop a comment. I’d love to hear your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
EURUSD week 39 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD faced selling pressure above 1.1150 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair fell as the US dollar (USD) recovered. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's value against six major currencies, rebounded sharply to near 101.00 However, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains uncertain, following the Fed's aggressive rate cut and growing market expectations that the US central bank will continue its aggressive policy easing cycle. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers appeared to focus on restoring strength in the labour market as inflation eases to the bank's 2% target. In terms of interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal funds rate heading towards 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect a further 75 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. 🕯Technical Analysis The EURUSD uptrend has seen some minor corrections but the buying pressure remains strong, so the immediate price range the pair faces next week is around 1.222 and 1.112. The highest measured Fibonacci extension of 1.618 will be around 1.126 and a retracement of the strategic support zone of 1.108 will keep the pair from a long slide. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD zone 1.126-1.128 Stoploss 1.130 BUY EURUSD zone 1.112-1.110 Stoploss 1.108
by TVS-Trader
2
Trading Signals September 20Fundamental Analysis Bullish gold extended gains after recording losses on Wednesday following the Fed decision. Officials sided with the larger of the two cuts expected by Wall Street, justifying their decision by pointing to inflation progressing steadily toward the Fed’s 2% target. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed that the Fed could maintain labor strength by adjusting policy. Meanwhile, US employment data is in focus after Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, in which he shifted focus to achieving the maximum employment mandate. On Thursday, the US Department of Labor revealed that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits was lower than expected, indicating strength in the labor market. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields followed in Gold’s footsteps, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yielding 3.74%, up three and a half basis points. However, this did not support the greenback, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell 0.31% to 100.62. Technical Analysis The price zone to watch in today's European session is 2610 new ATH peak. If the price fails to break this zone in the middle of the European session, Gold can be sold to the breakout zone when the European session is 2600-2595. When the US session fails to break the 2595 zone, BUY again and continue to hold long-term combined with the old BUY signals in the 254x 247x zone of the previous days, we have a long-term BUY signal up to 27xx Trading signal Breakout upper boundary: 2593 - 2600 -2605 - 2615 Upper resistance: 2593 - 2600 -2605 - 2615 Breakout lower boundary: 2580 - 2572 - 2565 - 2557 - 2550 Support: 2580 - 2572 - 2565 - 2557 - 2550 SELL 2613 - 2615. Stoploss 2619 BUY 2580 - 2578. Stoploss 2574 BUY 2567 - 2565. Stoploss 2561
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold prices trade near historic highsGold prices hovered near the all-time high reached earlier this week amid a weaker USD and expectations of further Fed rate cuts. Moreover, concerns about economic slowdown in the US and China further supported the safe-haven asset XAU/USD. On the technical chart, XAU/USD is on track to retest recent highs and even extend gains, despite the positive market sentiment, as investors shed the USD. In addition, technical indicators have extended their advances into positive levels, albeit with limited upside strength as the XAU/USD pair develops below its recent highs. Given the current situation, do you expect a long-term bullish wave?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BB_TradingFX
STRONG BULLISH MOMENTUM Today, the technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold against the US Dollar) indicates a strong bullish momentum. The price is hovering around $2,585, with upward momentum supported by various technical indicators: RSI : 60.59, indicating a strong Buy . MACD: Positive at 4.42, reinforcing the buying sentiment. Moving Averages: The majority of moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA100) are signaling a Buy. Take profit level: $2,592 and $2,600.87 entry Levels: $2,577.55 and $2,574.33 Overall, the short-term trend for gold seems bullish, driven by demand for safe-haven assets and technical buy signals. Traders should watch for resistance at the $2,620 level
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BELLATRIXFX
Gold Analysis September 19Fundamental Analysis Gold prices regained positive momentum after yesterday’s pullback from an all-time high and continued their steady intraday gains heading into Thursday’s European session. The US dollar (USD) saw an intraday reversal from a one-week high and now appears to have stalled its recovery from its lowest since July 2023 hit the previous day. This, coupled with concerns over a recession in the United States (US) and China, along with the risk of further escalation in tensions in the Middle East, prompted some safe-haven flows into the precious metal. With Thursday’s positive move, Gold now appears to have snapped a two-day losing streak, although the possibility of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could limit any further gains. In fact, the US central bank decided to start its policy easing cycle by cutting borrowing costs by 50 basis points on Wednesday. However, the Fed has lowered market expectations for excessive rate cuts in the future. This still supports a modest increase in US Treasury yields, which could limit the USD's losses and limit the gains of the non-yielding yellow metal. Technical analysis Gold has recovered very strongly from the Fibonacci retracement level of 2547-2545. At the moment, we need to understand what it wants each session and how it pushes the price. So Gold can absolutely continue to push higher in 3 sessions when Asia and Europe have not had any significant declines. The important price zone is 2588. If this zone breaks when the US enters, do not sell and wait for 2600 SELL to react. It is easy to have a false break, so the beautiful BUY point in the area I determined yesterday at 254x will be held until 263x. Today is a difficult day to trade. If the US session at 19:30 cannot break the 2588 area, it is possible to SELL to the destination area at 2565 - 2545 SELL attention zone 2588-2600-2612-2618 BUY attention zone 2565-2545
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1