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Gold price analysis September 24Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell after hitting a fresh all-time high around the $2,640 region on Tuesday and slid to the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session. Rising US Treasury yields helped revive demand for the US Dollar (USD), prompting some profit-taking around the commodity amid a mildly overbought condition on the daily chart. However, any meaningful corrective decline in Gold prices appears to be limited after the Federal Reserve (Fed) stepped up bets on more aggressive policy easing. Additionally, persistent geopolitical risks, US political uncertainty and a gloomy global economic outlook will support the safe-haven XAU/USD as traders look to Fed Governor Michelle Bowman’s speech for fresh impetus. Technical Analysis Gold retreats from the 2640 peak. Technically, wave 5 of the Elliot wave has completed and the ABC correction wave is forming towards 2604. If the 2624 zone where gold is currently located is broken, we will get the 2603 level when the US session jumps in. If the European session price cannot break 2625, we will still wait and prioritize the sell side when retesting the 2640 peak. The 2593-2595 zone is considered a good buy zone. Upper resistance: 2640 - 2645 - 2650 - 2658 Support: 2615 - 2610 - 2605 - 2600 - 2688 - 2657 Sell 2654 - 2656. Stoploss 2659 Sell 2640-2642. Stoploss 2445 Canh BUY scalp 2615 Canh BUY 2604 - 2606. Stoploss 2600 Canh BUY 2593-2595. Stoploss 2590
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
Gold is waiting for something to correct?Hello everyone, What do you think about gold prices? Currently, gold prices today continue to show strength as gold is trading around $2629. It is clear that the metal is still showing strength based on the breakout last week. The reason for the increase in the metal is that the looser-than-expected monetary policy of economists and the forecast of further cuts boosted the demand for gold, a hedge against risk. However, the US 10-year government bond yield increased, making the gold market more cautious. At that time, a clearer view of the direction of gold will become clear. Today we have some important milestones: XAUUSD sell zone 2650 - 2652 XAUUSD buy zone 2629 - 2627
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ConanTradingFX
Gold prices continue uptrend from $2600Conan, hello everyone! Today, gold prices continue to show strength, maintaining an UPtrend with an important resistance level at $2636, but have not been able to break it yet. Currently, gold is trading around $2629, up slightly by 0.03% on the day. In the coming time, this uptrend is likely to continue, supported by the Fed's decision to cut interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty. Technically, $2602 is forming as an important support in the uptrend channel. After consolidating here, we can expect gold prices to reach the first profit-taking target at $2690, corresponding to the Fibonacci level of 1.618. Stay tuned to capture these potential trading opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ConanTradingFX
"Gold Approaching Peaks: What Lies Ahead in the Market?"Gold (XAUUSD) is under pressure amid the strengthening U.S. dollar at the start of the week. After briefly testing last week's highs, the precious metal appears to be forming a false breakout. While the overall trend remains bullish, anticipation of significant news may lead to a brief moment of volatility and market anxiety. The rising yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds, driven by declining interest rates, have provided further momentum to the dollar. This development adds an element of unpredictability to the market, as the movements deviate from what many analysts had been expecting. The upcoming direction for gold will largely hinge on key Eurozone and U.S. PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) data. If these reports reignite recession fears, the strengthening U.S. dollar could shift the current market dynamics and trigger a new wave of correction in gold prices from their recent highs. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain a critical factor that could influence market sentiment. On the technical side, gold faces immediate resistance at the 2625, 2631, and 2650 levels, while support can be found at 2614, 2602, and 2589. There is a possibility of a correction from the 2625 level, as market conditions suggest a buildup of uncertainty ahead of upcoming economic announcements. Profit-taking could exacerbate this correction as traders look to secure gains ahead of potential market shifts. However, if gold continues its upward momentum and successfully breaks through the 2631 resistance, this could pave the way for a move towards the 2640-2650 range, opening the door for further gains. Traders, if you found this idea helpful or have your own insights to share, feel free to drop a comment. I’d love to hear your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
XAUUSDConan, hello everyone! Gold (XAU/USD) maintained its bullish momentum and traded at a fresh record high above $2,610 on Friday. Rising expectations that global central banks will follow the Fed in easing policy and cutting interest rates have boosted XAU/USD. However, a close look at the short-term chart shows that the yellow metal is struggling to capitalize on the immediate support at $2,618 to break above the resistance at $2,625 ahead of the weekend. Both the short-term and medium-term outlooks suggest that the bears are gradually gaining strength. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending down in the bullish zone, indicating a potential momentum shift and a resumption of the correction. Current support is at $2618, if this level is broken the price will drop rapidly towards the targets to watch at $2610 and $2605.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ConanTradingFX
XAUUSD Big Move Will be there? | 2h Analysis Hello, community! 👋 How are you all doing this week? I hope you’re ready for some insightful trading opportunities. Let's dive into the analysis for XAU/USD (gold), as it looks promising for a bearish trend. Market Overview This week, XAU/USD is presenting a potential bearish scenario. After observing the current market conditions and price action, I’ve identified a key resistance level at 2641. This level is critical for our bearish outlook, and I’ll explain the setup in detail. Key Levels Entry Level: 2641 First Target: 2603 Second Target: 2580 Third Target: 2547 Stop Loss: 100 pips above the entry (approximately 2741) Trading Strategy Entry Confirmation: Wait for a clear rejection (chock) at the 2641 level before entering the trade. This confirmation is crucial to ensure that the bearish momentum is established. Target Management: The first target is set at 2603, which is a realistic point to take partial profits. The second target at 2580 provides a further profit-taking opportunity as we approach the anticipated bearish trend. Finally, the third target is 2547, representing a solid point for potential further downside. Stop Loss Consideration: Place a stop loss 100 pips above the entry level, allowing for some volatility while protecting your capital. This positioning ensures that any unexpected bullish movement does not significantly impact your account. Conclusion In summary, the bearish outlook for XAU/USD appears favorable this week, with strategic entry and exit points. Remember to wait for that crucial rejection at 2641 before executing the trade. Let’s stay disciplined and focused, and I wish everyone a week full of profitable trades! 🌟 Feel free to follow for more insights and updates! Happy trading! 📈
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by HouseofProfit
Golden Outlook: Key Trends to Watch in the Week AheadFrom a technical standpoint, things are straightforward: both the broader market and shorter timeframes reflect a bullish trend. This alone provides a foundation for crafting a solid strategy. Key approaches could involve either capitalizing on false breakouts or bounces from key support levels, or alternatively, riding the momentum when resistance gives way, signaling continuation. However, it's not all smooth sailing. There are fundamental hurdles on the horizon, notably the upcoming GDP report and a crucial speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. These events have the potential to stir up market volatility as traders anticipate potential shifts in economic policy and performance. Given this backdrop, it's likely that gold will persist in its upward trajectory. Yet, we can't discount the possibility of pullbacks or market shakeouts, especially if traders decide to lock in profits after the recent rally, or as a defensive move ahead of next week's U.S. macroeconomic data and Powell’s remarks. Recommendation: A. Avoid attempting to predict trend reversals. First, you'll never be able to pinpoint these zones with certainty. Second, by the time you do, your performance may suffer, leading to unnecessary stop-loss hits. Instead, focus on identifying robust levels and trading within the prevailing trend. Traders, if you found this idea helpful or have your own insights to share, feel free to drop a comment. I’d love to hear your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
EURUSD week 39 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD faced selling pressure above 1.1150 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair fell as the US dollar (USD) recovered. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's value against six major currencies, rebounded sharply to near 101.00 However, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains uncertain, following the Fed's aggressive rate cut and growing market expectations that the US central bank will continue its aggressive policy easing cycle. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers appeared to focus on restoring strength in the labour market as inflation eases to the bank's 2% target. In terms of interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal funds rate heading towards 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect a further 75 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. 🕯Technical Analysis The EURUSD uptrend has seen some minor corrections but the buying pressure remains strong, so the immediate price range the pair faces next week is around 1.222 and 1.112. The highest measured Fibonacci extension of 1.618 will be around 1.126 and a retracement of the strategic support zone of 1.108 will keep the pair from a long slide. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD zone 1.126-1.128 Stoploss 1.130 BUY EURUSD zone 1.112-1.110 Stoploss 1.108
by TVS-Trader
2
Trading Signals September 20Fundamental Analysis Bullish gold extended gains after recording losses on Wednesday following the Fed decision. Officials sided with the larger of the two cuts expected by Wall Street, justifying their decision by pointing to inflation progressing steadily toward the Fed’s 2% target. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed that the Fed could maintain labor strength by adjusting policy. Meanwhile, US employment data is in focus after Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole, in which he shifted focus to achieving the maximum employment mandate. On Thursday, the US Department of Labor revealed that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits was lower than expected, indicating strength in the labor market. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields followed in Gold’s footsteps, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yielding 3.74%, up three and a half basis points. However, this did not support the greenback, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell 0.31% to 100.62. Technical Analysis The price zone to watch in today's European session is 2610 new ATH peak. If the price fails to break this zone in the middle of the European session, Gold can be sold to the breakout zone when the European session is 2600-2595. When the US session fails to break the 2595 zone, BUY again and continue to hold long-term combined with the old BUY signals in the 254x 247x zone of the previous days, we have a long-term BUY signal up to 27xx Trading signal Breakout upper boundary: 2593 - 2600 -2605 - 2615 Upper resistance: 2593 - 2600 -2605 - 2615 Breakout lower boundary: 2580 - 2572 - 2565 - 2557 - 2550 Support: 2580 - 2572 - 2565 - 2557 - 2550 SELL 2613 - 2615. Stoploss 2619 BUY 2580 - 2578. Stoploss 2574 BUY 2567 - 2565. Stoploss 2561
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold prices trade near historic highsGold prices hovered near the all-time high reached earlier this week amid a weaker USD and expectations of further Fed rate cuts. Moreover, concerns about economic slowdown in the US and China further supported the safe-haven asset XAU/USD. On the technical chart, XAU/USD is on track to retest recent highs and even extend gains, despite the positive market sentiment, as investors shed the USD. In addition, technical indicators have extended their advances into positive levels, albeit with limited upside strength as the XAU/USD pair develops below its recent highs. Given the current situation, do you expect a long-term bullish wave?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BB_TradingFX
STRONG BULLISH MOMENTUM Today, the technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold against the US Dollar) indicates a strong bullish momentum. The price is hovering around $2,585, with upward momentum supported by various technical indicators: RSI : 60.59, indicating a strong Buy . MACD: Positive at 4.42, reinforcing the buying sentiment. Moving Averages: The majority of moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA100) are signaling a Buy. Take profit level: $2,592 and $2,600.87 entry Levels: $2,577.55 and $2,574.33 Overall, the short-term trend for gold seems bullish, driven by demand for safe-haven assets and technical buy signals. Traders should watch for resistance at the $2,620 level
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BELLATRIXFX
Gold Analysis September 19Fundamental Analysis Gold prices regained positive momentum after yesterday’s pullback from an all-time high and continued their steady intraday gains heading into Thursday’s European session. The US dollar (USD) saw an intraday reversal from a one-week high and now appears to have stalled its recovery from its lowest since July 2023 hit the previous day. This, coupled with concerns over a recession in the United States (US) and China, along with the risk of further escalation in tensions in the Middle East, prompted some safe-haven flows into the precious metal. With Thursday’s positive move, Gold now appears to have snapped a two-day losing streak, although the possibility of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could limit any further gains. In fact, the US central bank decided to start its policy easing cycle by cutting borrowing costs by 50 basis points on Wednesday. However, the Fed has lowered market expectations for excessive rate cuts in the future. This still supports a modest increase in US Treasury yields, which could limit the USD's losses and limit the gains of the non-yielding yellow metal. Technical analysis Gold has recovered very strongly from the Fibonacci retracement level of 2547-2545. At the moment, we need to understand what it wants each session and how it pushes the price. So Gold can absolutely continue to push higher in 3 sessions when Asia and Europe have not had any significant declines. The important price zone is 2588. If this zone breaks when the US enters, do not sell and wait for 2600 SELL to react. It is easy to have a false break, so the beautiful BUY point in the area I determined yesterday at 254x will be held until 263x. Today is a difficult day to trade. If the US session at 19:30 cannot break the 2588 area, it is possible to SELL to the destination area at 2565 - 2545 SELL attention zone 2588-2600-2612-2618 BUY attention zone 2565-2545
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold Price Analysis Ahead of FOMC September 18Fundamental Analysis On the day of the Fed's announcement, markets continued to price in a 65% chance of a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut, CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed, reviving selling interest around the US dollar (USD), as US Treasury yields also turned defensive amid cautious markets. As such. Gold prices are attempting to reclaim all-time highs just shy of $2,600, as attention turns to the Fed's decision, Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference and the Dot Plot, all of which will help gauge the US central bank's future policy actions. If the Fed delivers a 25 basis point rate cut later this Wednesday, it could send the US dollar soaring. However, the immediate reaction to the Fed's announcements could be overshadowed by the implications of the Fed's projections and Powell's words. Therefore, gold prices are still subject to strong fluctuations in the Fed event. Conversely, if the Fed acknowledges the potential risks to inflation and maintains a cautious tone, this could bring the hawks back into the game, negatively affecting the non-interest-bearing gold price. Technical analysis Gold is breaking the downside price band and approaching the resistance level around 2575. If it fails to break this zone before the US session, we can SELL and hold to 255x and 2545 when the FOMC announces to BUY back up and hold to 262x. In case of breaking the 2575 zone, we will not SELL and wait for the candle to close above 258x and BUY when the 2575 zone is retested. Hold until the FOMC does not break the new ATH, then we exit the order. Breakout upper limit: 2582 - 2591 - 2603 Upper resistance: 2581 - 2590 - 2600 - 2605 - 2615 - 2626 - 2645 Breakout lower limit: 2570 - 2563 - 2550 - 2538 Support: 2572 - 2564 - 2552 - 2545 - 2539 - 2525 - 2516 Pay attention to the trend zone around 2580 above. Sell the price zone 2603-2605. Stoploss 2609 Watch for BUY 2564 - 2562. Stoploss 2558 Watch for BUY 2545 - 2547. Stoploss 2541
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
Gold price todayToday, gold price touched $2571 and did not change much from yesterday's trading session with stability above the highs in early Wednesday. Today there is no strong news and I will focus on the analysis on the 4-hour chart of #GOLD. From a close observation, the trend line and the price wedge both show an uptrend, however it is limited below the resistance of the uptrend channel. Based on previous reactions, I first expect the price to correct at the present time. My strategy today is to hold the short position until the specified target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BB_TradingFX
1