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USDJPY analysis week 14🌐Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25% - 4.50% range and forecast core PCE inflation to average 2.8% by year-end. The higher-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates for an extended period. Investors are concerned that these tariffs could add to global inflationary pressures and trigger a recession. In Japan, the Tokyo CPI rose sharply in March, boosting expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year. The hot inflation data also supported the Yen's appreciation against other currencies. 🕯Technical Analysis USDJPY is still in a bullish recovery. The pair is facing support at 149.200, preventing further declines. The weekly high around 151.100 is still acting as key resistance before the pair breaks out to 152.000. Conversely, if the trend breaks at 149.200, weekly support is seen at 148.300. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL USDJPY 151.300-151.100 SL 150.500 SELL USDJPY 152.000-152.200 SL 152.400 BUY USDJPY 149.300-149.100 SL 148.900
by TVS-Trader
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis and Surge Factors Current Price: Gold is trading around $3,074.31 per ounce, marking a significant rise of 0.6% and reaching a record high of $3,077.44. Technical Analysis Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The psychological level at $3,000 has been a robust support, with prices consistently holding above this mark during recent consolidations. Resistance: The new all-time high at $3,077.44 now serves as the immediate resistance level. Moving Averages: The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is trending upward, reinforcing the ongoing bullish momentum. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is approaching overbought territory, suggesting that while the bullish trend is strong, a short-term pullback could occur. Key Factors Behind Today's Surge U.S. Tariff Announcements: President Donald Trump's recent implementation of a 25% tariff on auto imports has intensified fears of a global trade war. This uncertainty has driven investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. Market Reactions: The announcement led to a decline in Asian stock markets, with significant losses in South Korea and Japan. The auto industry, vital to these economies, faced substantial impacts, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold. Analyst Forecasts: Financial institutions have revised their gold price forecasts upwards. Citi Research increased its three-month gold price target to $3,200 per ounce, citing robust demand from official sectors and exchange-traded funds. NOTE Gold's ascent to record highs is primarily driven by escalating trade tensions and the resultant market uncertainty. Technical indicators support the bullish trend, though caution is warranted due to potential overbought conditions. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and market reactions closely, as these will continue to influence gold's trajectory in the near term. Stay Informed & Trade Wisely! 🛡️📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xxChartWhizxx
Gold Analysis March 27Yesterday's D1 candle is still a contested candle with no clear winner. If it maintains this, there may be a strong sell-off on Friday. The wave structure is expanding in an upward direction after a push into the Asian session. The price is reacting around the 3028 area. If gold cannot break 3028, it is possible to BUY back to the peak of the Asian session in the morning around 3038. If this peak is broken, DCA will add an order towards the target of 3044. On the contrary, if the European session cannot break the peak of 3038, SELL to 3020 and if the US breaks 3020, DCA SELL to 3006. On the contrary, if it does not break, Buy back around 3020 and the gold margin will fluctuate around 3020-3028 until the end of the day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD – Daily (D1) Analysis🧱 Market Structure The D1 structure is clearly bullish – price is printing HHs and HLs consistently. Current push is a continuation from previous consolidation, breaking structure upwards. No CHoCH or BOS bearish yet – buyers still in control. 🔵 Key Zones (marked on your chart) 1. Near-term Liquidity / Resistance Price is approaching a marked supply zone / premium area at the top (same one from W1). This is likely to act as a reaction point – either: Sweep liquidity and reverse Break through and continue higher 2. Imbalances / Mitigation Zones Below Price These zones are clean mitigation targets if price rejects from the top: Zone Level Description 2955 Fair value gap / inefficiency (imbalance) 2790–2800 Strong structure zone + FVG + OB 2740–2750 Potential OB + previous consolidation 2495 Deep retracement level – less likely short-term 🧩 Order Flow Observation Very little sign of exhaustion in candles right now. The only reason to expect reversal is if: Price hits the extreme premium zone We see a strong daily rejection or Lower timeframes shift (CHoCH / BOS) 📉 EMA Perspective (implied) Assuming EMA 21/50/200: Price is well above EMA 21 & 50, indicating strong short-term bullish trend. A return to EMA 21 (probably around ~2950–2970) would be a healthy pullback. 📌 Bias – Daily Term Bias Reason Daily ✅ Bullish Clean bullish structure, no shift Short-term ⚠️ Watchful If price hits supply zone with reaction Ideal setup Rejection from premium + CHoCH on H4/H1 🧠 Trade Ideas (based on D1) 🔼 Bullish Scenario Price holds above 3060 and breaks 3090+ Entry on breakout + retest of minor OB on H1 Target: ATH sweep and continuation SL: Below minor HL / reaction low 🔽 Bearish Scenario Price enters supply zone → forms bearish D1 candle (engulfing / pinbar) Look for CHoCH on H4/H1 to enter short Target levels: 2950 ➝ 2800 ➝ 2750 SL: Above daily high or OB
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold Price Analysis March 25The D1 gold candlestick confirmed a clear decline. Some late-day buying pressure around 3000 pushed the gold price a bit. H4 has formed a bearish wave with an important price of 3028. If H4 cannot break 3028 today, there will likely be a strong sell-off of gold at the end of the day. Trading scenario. Gold is pushing up from the 3015 price zone. Target in the European session is 3027-3028. If this zone cannot be broken at the end of the session, SELL and hold at 3008. If the US confirms a break of 3008, hold at 2983. In case of a break of 3028, the sellers are weak. Be careful of false break of 3028. If the break is real, wait for 3035 to SELL today. Gold does not push up to 3027 but closes below 3015, then SELL to 3008. At the end of the session, if it breaks 3008, hold to 2983. If it doesn't break, then BUY again to the 3008 area, target 3028.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD The ultimate Sniper Entry Plan for 25 March 2025XAU/USD - Daily Review & Sniper Entry Plan - March 25th, 2025 ✨ Overall Bias: Monthly: Bullish, but with a candle showing exhaustion, potential pullback towards discount. Weekly: Indecision, but we have a small CHoCH on the structure - possible correction towards the 2980 zone. Daily: Clear bearish candle on Friday, followed by a mild correction on Monday. Liquidity grab below 3000, but close above. 🌐 Timeframe Breakdown: D1: Last confirmed CHoCH. Imbalance and FVG in the 3022-3035 zone. Potential bearish OB between 3031-3036. RSI below 50, momentum fading. H4: Lower highs / lower lows structure. Bearish confirmation: BOS + rejection from OB. Imbalance 3016-3026. EMA 21 and 50 acting as dynamic resistance. H1: Last CHoCH in the 3024 zone. Bearish engulfing confirmation. Unfilled FVG: 3016-3020. RSI < 40, increasing volume on bearish candles. M30 / M15: BOS on M15 and retest in the area of interest. Last swing high at 3018.13. Liquidity above 3018 and 3024 (EQH), below 3000 (EQL). 🔹 Sniper Entry Scenarios Scenario 1 (Short) Entry: 3018 - 3022 (FVG zone + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci) Confirmation: M15 bearish engulfing or BOS + retest. SL: above 3028 TP1: 3000 TP2: 2985 (discount zone + liquidity) Scenario 2 (Long - Countertrend/Scalp) Entry: 2985 - 2990 (liquidity zone ) Confirmation: M15 BOS + bullish pattern (engulfing/pin) SL: below 2979 TP1: 3000 TP2: 3015 🔹 POI (Key Zones): 3022-3028: FVG + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci - potential short zone 3018.13: EQH - liquidity inducement 2985: Daily OB + 78.6% Fibonacci - potential buy zone 🌍 EMA Guide: EMA 5 < 21 on H1 and M30: bearish momentum EMA 50 acting as dynamic resistance (on H1: 3022) 🔹 Conclusion: Favorable short on retracement to the 3018-3022 zone with confirmation. Target remains the 2985 zone for liquidity. Market response around 2985 will give clarity for potential buy/scalp. ⏳ Expectations: After the Daily close, we can expect liquidity inducement towards 3020+, followed by a dump towards 2990-2985. 🔔 Don't forget to Like, Share, and Follow for more updates! Let's hit that target together! 💰📈 👉 Like if you found this helpful and follow for future setups!
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold - Short Term Sell Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 20th I shared this idea "Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Lower" We expected to see retraces and further continuation lower. You can read the full post using the link above. The bearish move delivered, as expected!!! If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by VladimirRibakov
Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias Bias: Bullish SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs. Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected. Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement. FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800. EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum. Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone). EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely. ✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels. 🔹 D1 – Daily Bias Bias: Bullish (with active retracement) SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs. Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle. Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG. EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross. Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled. Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction. RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement. 🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups. 🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup Bias: Bearish retracement SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4 Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop) FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940 Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970 EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone) 🔁 Scenario: If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short. If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup. 🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement Bias: Temporary bullish correction SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone) 🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry Bias: Bullish correction in progress SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032 EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement 🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short): Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033 TP1: 3010 TP2: 2995 SL: Above 3035 (above OB high) 🔄 Alternative Scenario If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation ✅ Summary Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033 Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations) ✨ If you enjoy my analysis, I’d really appreciate it if you followed my TradingView profile and left a boost\like on the post. Thank you!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold Price Analysis March 24Fundamental Analysis Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on a three-day rally from multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-driven US economic slowdown could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon. This, coupled with geopolitical risks, acted as a non-yielding driver for Gold and helped limit downside momentum. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through before confirming that XAU/USD has topped out in the near term and positioning for any meaningful corrective slide. Technical Analysis Friday's D1 saw strong selling pressure with the sharpest drop from 3046 to 3000. Late in the day, bulls pushed the price back 50% of the D candle. This shows that bears have entered the market but the downtrend will take some time. The h4 structure is quite nice to see the buy and sell wave structure. Scenario 1: In the 3026 zone of the European session, selling pressure has appeared. If the price pushes up to break the 3026 zone at the end of the session, it will give a BUY signal, break 3026, target 3037. When the US session breaks 3037, keep the order until 3045. The 3045 zone gives a good SELL signal for today if the price finds it. When the price reaches 3037 and cannot break this zone when the US enters, it can SELL to 3026, further than 3018. Scenario 2: The price does not break 3026 but falls, then wait for support around 3013 and support 3003.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold price analysis March 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve’s forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts by the end of the year helped the US Dollar (USD) gain positive momentum for the third consecutive day, which, in turn, is seen as undermining the commodity. The decline could also be due to some profit-taking heading into the weekend. However, bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue its rate-cutting cycle will limit the USD’s gains and act as a non-yielding driver for Gold prices. Moreover, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policies and their impact on the global economic outlook, coupled with geopolitical risks, deter traders from placing strong bearish bets on the safe-haven bullion. ⭐️Technical analysis D1 candle has started to show a bearish candle after many consecutive days of increase. However, the buyers have pushed the price from the 3026 area, showing that a strong buying force is still in this area. The European session, gold traded within the 3025 and 3038 range, the h4 structure shows this. Gold is pushing up to 3038, until the end of the European session, gold cannot break 3038, giving a SELL signal to 3025, the US breaks 3025, then it heads towards support 3008. In the opposite direction, Gold pushes back to 3025 first and does not break this area in the European session, giving a BUY signal to 3038 and heads towards ATH when the US breaks this area. Pay attention to the 2 areas of 3025 and 3038 to trade breakouts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis March 20⭐️Fundamental analysis Gold prices fell slightly after hitting a record high on Thursday, ending a three-day winning streak. Profit-taking pressure from buyers, along with positive risk sentiment in the market, weakened gold. At the same time, the modest increase in the USD also put downward pressure on gold prices in the European trading session. However, expectations of an early Fed rate cut could limit the USD's rise, supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns about former President Donald Trump's trade policy and escalating tensions in the Middle East could continue to act as factors driving gold demand. This requires investors to be cautious before making trading decisions. ⭐️Technical analysis The D1 candle has not yet shown any signs of a reversal in GOLD. Therefore, the trading strategy has not yet shown any signs of peak detection or peak catching. BUY is still easier to win. Yesterday's US session buy zone 3038 in today's European trading session plays an important resistance zone. Currently, gold has confirmed a break of 3045 for a SELL signal and is heading towards 3038. Before 2 hours of the end of the European session, if gold does not break through this zone, it is still possible to BUY around 3038. 3031 and 3029 play the role of resistance zones for the day when breaking through 3038. Today, waiting for a retest to BUY is the safest
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation LowerH1 - Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator. Followed by bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows structure Strong bearish momentum Potential drop after retraces if the strong resistance zone will not be broken. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by VladimirRibakov
1
Gold price analysis March 19⭐️Fundamental Analysis The Fed is likely to continue to pause the rate cut in March. The policy decision will depend on the Dot Plot chart and the speech of Chairman Jerome Powell. Donald Trump's tariff policy may affect the economy and the Fed's interest rate. Geopolitical tensions (Israel-Gaza conflict, Ukraine-Russia) may boost gold buying demand. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, affecting the financial market. ⭐️Technical Analysis The candle broke the ATH zone around 3038 and had a retest of the breakout zone to increase. The candle closed above 3038, confirming that the price will soon push back to the resistance zone of 3054. Support at 3020 and 3006 are still solid supports for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis March 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed as Israel attacked targets across Gaza, killing at least 100 people. Tensions escalated further with unconfirmed reports that the US sank an Iranian intelligence-gathering vessel. These developments have pushed investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty due to the US-China trade war. In addition, US retail sales data for February raised concerns about an economic recession, supporting gold prices but putting pressure on the USD. However, the greenback recovered on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's policy meeting on Wednesday. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold is near its all-time high and there is no reasonable technical analysis method to trade it. We still favor retracements and buy up with the trend. 3020 and 3040 are two psychological zones the market is waiting for. nice retracements for BUY signals are waiting around 2980 - 2960 - 2945
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis March 17⭐️Fundamental Analysis Persistent concerns over escalating trade tensions and their impact on the global economy, coupled with geopolitical risks, continued to act as a bullish driver for safe-haven bullion. In addition, bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates multiple times this year further bolstered the non-yielding yellow metal. The prospect of further policy easing by the US central bank sent the US dollar (USD) tumbling near multi-month lows touched last week, further supporting gold prices. However, a positive shift in global risk sentiment, bolstered by optimism over China’s stimulus measures announced over the weekend, capped XAU/USD’s gains. Traders also appeared reluctant, opting to wait for the outcome of the FOMC’s two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. ⭐️Technical analysis Gold is in a difficult trading phase when the price range is unclear for buying and selling zones, pay attention to the 2980 zone today for BUY strategies. If it breaks this zone, the strategy will only SELL to 2955. In case gold breaks 2994, there will be a new AT H in the last trading sessions in Europe and America today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis March 14⭐️Fundamental analysis Optimistic comments from the White House and Canada, along with news that enough Democrats have voted to avoid a US government shutdown, have boosted investor sentiment. However, gold's gains were capped by a stronger US dollar, which was bought for the third consecutive session. However, expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates multiple times this year could limit the strong recovery of the US dollar. In addition, concerns about former President Trump's tough trade policies and their impact on the global economy continue to support gold prices. This suggests that any correction in gold could be a buying opportunity, helping the precious metal maintain its upward trend for the second consecutive week. ⭐️Technical analysis any pullback today is considered a reasonable buy 2970 is the area where the European session Gold can find deeper and 2953 are the two BUY zones today. The sell zone is still noticeable around the 3000 round resistance and the 3015 border is considered resistance today. When gold has ATH, the FOMO is very high, so this is a difficult time to trade. Pay attention to volume and good capital management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD VIEW 3H READ THE CAPTAINHello 👋 gold traders 3-hour timeframe of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with technical analysis levels and moving averages. Here’s a breakdown of the key points: Key Observations: 1. Support & Resistance Levels: Support Level: Around 2,909.870 - 2,902.340 (marked as the buying zone). Resistance Level: 2,930.173. Target Point: 2,960.607. 2. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): 30 EMA (Red Line): 2,909.870 (Short-term trend). 200 EMA (Blue Line): 2,884.578 (Long-term trend, acting as strong support). 3. Price Action: The price is currently in a consolidation phase around the resistance zone. If the price breaks above 2,930, we might see a bullish move toward the target at 2,960. If the price fails to break resistance, a pullback to the buying zone (support level at 2,909-2,902) is possible. Trading Strategy Ideas: Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above 2,930): Look for long positions targeting 2,960. Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance): A retest of the buying zone (2,909 - 2,902) before another push higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE