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Gold Price Analysis December 4Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices traded in a positive bias for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, despite lacking bullish conviction and remaining confined within the familiar range that has held for the past week or so. Traders appear reluctant at the moment, opting to wait for further signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate cut path before placing any directional bets. As such, the market focus will remain on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech later today, along with Friday’s US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which will guide policymakers on their next monetary policy decision.
Technical analysis
breaks the 2647 level once again Gold is heading towards the technical resistance level of 2655. Gold is still trading in the accumulation range waiting for Nonfarm, most likely today there will be no break out of the 55 and 2635 ranges. The sideways market is quite difficult for trend traders. Wait and see how the European session will fluctuate. If it cannot break 2651, you can SELL to 2643-2635. If the price pushes up to 55 but cannot break this area, this is the trading range that can be reported today.
Gold price analysis December 3Fundamental Analysis
The focus now appears to have shifted to the Fed policy outlook following the latest speeches from several Fed policymakers and ahead of Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa if they create a new currency or support another one to replace the Greenback.
However, a rebound in safe-haven demand for the USD early on Tuesday kept gold buyers on their toes. Persistent concerns about China's economy and Trump's threat of global tariffs remain a drag on investor sentiment.
Gold's next move will likely depend on upcoming US jobs data and its impact on Fed rate cut expectations. Meanwhile, gold traders remain wary of geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, between Israel and Iran, which could have a strong impact on the traditional safe haven asset, gold.
Technical analysis
The immediate price range that gold is facing is the 2633 and 2652 zones. The 2633 zone has been relatively weak as the Asian session tested this zone once. If the 33 zone fails to hold, 2629 will become a buffer for gold before finding the main support zone of 2618. The US port zone of 2652 last night is also relatively strong at the moment and it is relatively difficult for gold to overcome and reach 2662 today.
Gold price analysis November 26Fundamental analysis
Gold prices struggled to capitalize on an intraday rebound from a one-week low of $2,600 and remained low for a second straight day heading into the European session on Tuesday. US President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threat prompted some safe-haven flows and provided a modest intraday gain for the safe-haven precious metal. However, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) capped gains in the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, growing market confidence that Trump’s expansionary policies will stoke inflation and force the Fed to cut interest rates gradually has triggered a fresh rally in US Treasury yields. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) regain positive momentum and has become another factor undermining demand for gold. Additionally, optimism over Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary and the possibility of a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah have kept XAU/USD in check.
Technical Analysis
2606 has become an important support zone to keep gold prices above 2600. Any sign of gold breaking the immediate port level of 2611 will send gold to 2606 where support is the most important key zone for gold prices today. If this zone is broken, we will pay attention to the next support zone around 2591 and 2580. 2631 and 2649 have become two important resistance zones today when gold prices break the upper border and close above 2618.
GBPUSD Analysis Week 48🌐Fundamental Analysis
Traders have reduced their bets on another Bank of England (BoE) rate cut this year after data released last week showed that underlying price growth in the UK accelerated in October. This has further contributed to the relative outperformance of the British Pound (GBP) against its US counterpart and confirmed the positive outlook for the GBP/USD pair.
US PCE data released on Wednesday showed that the pace of deflation in the US stalled in October. Moreover, investors now appear to believe that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary policies will boost inflation. This follows the hawkish FOMC minutes earlier this week, which revealed that the Committee could pause its policy rate easing if inflation remains high. Additionally, geopolitical risks and trade war concerns could benefit the relative safe haven status of the Greenback and limit the upside momentum of the GBP/USD pair.
🕯Technical Analysis
The 1.250 support level was accepted by the market as it pushed the price to 1.273 during the final trading session of the week. The break out of 1.262 marked a major development of GBPUSD back to the uptrend. To mark a new growth, GBPUSD needs to trade above the 1.276 area. And immediately we can see GBPUSD trading within the price range of 1.276 and 1.262. Watch the strongest resistance zone of 1.286 for market fluctuations in Nonfarm next week.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD 1.262-1.260 Stoploss 1.258
SELL GBPUSD 1.286-1.288 Stoploss 1.290
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold price analysis November 29Gold has formed an upward channel and is trading within that price range, 2679-2680 has become the destination and also the most important resistance zone today. Gold is facing some selling pressure at 2665, so the 2665 zone has become the immediate port zone that Gold will encounter when it wants to surpass 2680. The possibility of a sell-off at the end of the day is possible, so when the price channel is broken, that is, breaking the important zone of 2650, Gold will soon find 2605 and 2585 again.
Wishing you a successful trading day
Gold Price Analysis November 28Gold is trading near the resistance zone of 2650, this zone becomes the key zone for today's trading day. If before the US session, gold cannot break this zone, the gold trend will continue to fall to important support zones. Pay attention to the support zones of 2638, 2621-2613, 2605 to have the best trading strategies when the price falls to that zone. In the opposite direction, the 2650 zone is broken, gold will return to the uptrend. If gold closes the daily candle above 2658, it is determined that gold is ready to return to the uptrend and head to 2700 soon. Wish you successful trading.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold price analysis Asia-Europe session November 27Gold prices reacted strongly in the US session price zone last night around 2640, considered an important port zone of today's Asian trading session. When this zone is still held, there will be some retreat to the breakout zone of 2632 this morning and attract some buying force to push the price back up to 2658-2660. In case of breaking 2632, the downtrend will be determined and the resistance zones of 2618-2605 will become temporary support levels.
GOLD: Trump tariff threat lift XAAUSD, focus shift to Fed Mints Fundamental Overview🌐
➡️Gold buyers try their luck ahead of Fed Minutes
Gold price extended the previous day’s corrective downside and reached multi-day lows before drawing strong support from a fresh flight to safety wave, triggered by the latest post by US President-elect Donald Trump on Truth Social.
➡️Trump pledged to announce a 25% tariff on all products from Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China once he takes over his office on January 20. In response, the Chinese ambassador to Australia warned that “US policy on trade with China and other countries will have an impact.”
➡️Mounting concerns surrounding a looming global trade war dent risk sentiment, ramping safe-haven flows into the US Dollar (USD) and the traditional safety bet Gold price. However, the renewed USD demand and rebounding US Treasury bond yields limit Gold buyers’ enthusiasm as they await the Fed Minutes for fresh signals on the expected December interest rate cut.
➡️CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that markets are currently pricing in a 61% chance that the Fed will lower rates next month.
➡️Additionally, waning geopolitical tensions between Israel and Lebanon remain a headwind for the bright metal. A senior Israeli official told Reuters on Monday that the Israeli cabinet will convene on Tuesday to approve a Lebanon ceasefire deal. Another Israeli official told Reuters the cabinet would convene to discuss a deal that could be cemented in the coming days.
➡️Gold price was thrown under the bus on Monday even as the USD and the US Treasury bond yields fell sharply on the news that US President-elect Donald Trump named billionaire Scott Bessent as his Treasury Secretary.
➡️Bessent’s appointment to the critical position in the Trump administration assured the US bond market, as he is seen as an old Wall Street hand and a fiscal conservative.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold price analysis November 22Gundamental analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) maintained its strong intraday gains in early European trading and is now trading near a two-week high, just below the $2,700 mark. Persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict helped the safe-haven precious metal extend its weekly rally for a fifth straight day. In addition, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary policies could stoke inflationary pressures turned out to be another factor in favor of the commodity, which is seen as an inflation hedge.
Meanwhile, buying of the US dollar (USD) remained unabated amid growing acceptance that higher inflation could limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Furthermore, expectations of a less dovish Fed, coupled with concerns over a larger fiscal deficit, still favor rising US Treasury yields, although they have not significantly dampened the bullish sentiment around non-yielding Gold. XAU/USD bulls have even ignored the prevailing risk-on sentiment, suggesting that the path of least resistance for bullion is to the upside.
Technical Analysis
2708-2710 is emerging as a technical resistance zone at the moment with corrective waves expected. 2673 and 2675 are the two targets we are aiming for. Note that today is the weekend so huge volatility is still waiting for the US session.
Short gold, TP:2660-2650Bros, gold has risen sharply under the support of risk aversion, and is currently near 2672. Although gold continues to rise in a cycle, it has not yet effectively broken through the 2675-2680 area. When facing this area, gold is expected to have a round of technical retracement. It is very difficult to chase the rise of gold at present, and there is no good position to participate in long gold, so at least wait until gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area before there is a better position to participate in gold long transactions.
Obviously, before gold breaks through the 2675-2680 area, I will try to short gold first; after gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area in the short term, I will consider going long on gold!
Gold Prices Rebound but Bearish Trend DominatesGold prices extended their recovery momentum on Wednesday, gaining over 70 pips during the early session and hovering around $2,639.
While the precious metal shows signs of short-term strength, the broader trend remains favorable for sellers. Gold’s recent rally stems from a weakening U.S. dollar, as investors took profits following last week’s sharp dollar gains. Since gold is dollar-denominated, a weaker dollar makes it more attractive to buyers using other currencies.
Geopolitical tensions also continue to provide support, with the next target set at the $2,665 resistance level. Should gold breach this level, further recovery may follow. However, if resistance holds, the primary bearish trend suggests prioritizing selling opportunities.
Gold Analysis November 19Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some safe-haven flows after posting its biggest weekly decline in more than three years last week and snapped a six-day losing streak on Monday amid rising geopolitical tensions. In addition, falling US Treasury yields prompted some profit-taking in the US Dollar (USD) following its post-US election rally to fresh yearly highs and turned out to be another factor in favour of the non-yielding yellow metal.
USD bulls remained on the defensive in Asian trade on Tuesday, supporting Gold’s further recovery from a two-month low touched last Thursday. Meanwhile, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump’s policies will reignite inflationary pressures and limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This will keep US bond yields high and benefit USD speculators, which could limit XAU/USD
Technical Analysis
The technical resistance level of 2624 that Gold is facing will be very important in today's European trading session, the uptrend is relatively strong and there has not been much recovery in price. The 2595 zone is considered the target of all the downtrends today. The 2648-2650 zone is the main resistance zone today. In a strong uptrend, you should prioritize BUY signals at 2615 at old breakout points to have the best strategy for yourself.