GOLD-analyze
What everyone needs to pay attention to in the near future is further news on the situation in the Middle East and economic data from the United States. The geopolitical situation has slowed down. For the time being, Israel, Iran, and Hamas have no radical actions or battle plans. The market is a little calm, and the safe haven of gold is not so obvious. In terms of U.S. data, all data are looking for a slowdown in the U.S. economy. There is no clear result yet on the plan that will be enough to further reduce inflation. Today we need to pay attention to the performance of the initial monthly rate of durable goods orders in the United States in March. The current market expectation is for a month-on-month increase of 2.5%, which is slightly negative for gold prices.
Yesterday, gold reached a low of 2291 and closed at 2322, indicating strong support below. Today we will temporarily treat it as a range, with a large range of 2290-2350 and a small range of 2300-2344.
Above 2300, gold is still in an upward trend, but it is a weak trend, so buying is still the main trend, and selling needs to be cautious.
I marked the support and resistance on the chart. You can buy in the support range or sell in the resistance range. Arrange your transactions reasonably according to your own funds.
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Goldidea
Gold Chances Of High Price Today Confirm Gold has struggled to approach the new all-time high around $2341, apart from the Friday push, and has traded sharply lower on Monday. The next level of support for the yellow metal appears at $2319.50 ($2320), which could indicate a deeper pullback towards $2222.
Gold has been trading within overbought territory for an extended period of time and has finally recovered into a more ‘normal’ range. Gold has proven to be impervious to a stronger US dollar as well as US Treasury yields, but now that risk appetite appears to have lifted, will the non-yielding metal begin to feel the effects. Additionally, robust US data has led the market to push out rate cuts later in the year, something that is likely to keep the greenback supported, weighing on gold.
GOLD-Range trading
A survey released by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday showed that U.S. economic activity expanded slightly from late February to early April, and companies said they expected inflationary pressures to remain stable, continuing a recent trend that has prevented the Fed from cutting interest rates. In terms of the geopolitical situation, the United States, the European Union and the Group of Seven (G7) have all announced plans to consider imposing stricter sanctions on Iran. The outside world believes that this is to appease Israel and persuade it to restrain its retaliatory actions against Iran. Today, we will focus on the changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States and the annualized total of existing home sales in the United States in March. We will also pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials and news related to the geopolitical situation.
The current high of gold is at 2431, and the lowest has fallen to around 2324. It is currently oscillating above 2300, and the market has no continuity. I think that only when gold falls below 2300 can we judge whether the upward trend has changed, and when it falls below 2272, we can confirm that it will be in a downward trend.
Now we can sell high and buy low within the range. The large range is 2320-2405 and the small range is 2348-2398. The current daily fluctuation of gold is 30-40 US dollars. The above is the standard for trading.
The upper 2392-2398 is yesterday's resistance range, and the lower 2340-2350 is the support range. Arrange positions reasonably according to funds. Gold changes quickly. You need to change your strategy in real time according to the trend. The above is for your reference.
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What affects the direction of gold?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,388.8 USD/ounce.
The world gold market last week fluctuated according to a familiar pattern. Gold prices continuously touched new highs thanks to being boosted by shelter demand due to fears of escalating tensions, but then retreated and entered a consolidation phase.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey shows that both Wall Street experts and retail investors continue to believe in the precious metal's strength, with 71% of Wall Street experts and 64% of general investors. Retail participants participating in the survey forecast that gold prices will increase this week.
According to SIA Wealth Management market strategist Colin Cieszynski, risks remain significant and could trigger market rallies. Sharing the same opinion, senior commodities broker Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures also said that geopolitical conflicts will continue to push gold prices up even if there is no immediate escalation.
Market analyst Everett Millman of Gainesville Coins said that developments in the Middle East are still the main factor affecting the direction of gold this week when there is not much economic data published. Expert Millman believes that, before the June monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the market will put aside anything related to interest rate expectations until the situation is resolved. in the Middle East is really calming down.
Oh My Gold!- Everything is in graph.
- maybe Gold will start a new rise after BTC Halving.
" In a bearish market, investors typically prefer to buy gold, and at times of high inflation and market volatility, gold is considered by many as a 'safe haven' asset. "
- This was the definition of a safe heaven i found in Google, but this have no more sense in 2022..
- if you bought GOLD in 2011 ATH and sold in 2022, you would have made somehow zero benefits or lose your money because of lack of patience.
- How much money you would have made buying Bitcoin in 2018 ? ( no need to push the date to 2011..)
if you really want to know what is happening now, it's really simple and logic :
- The New Generation is impatient, they buy BTC and Cryptos, they take risks.
- They make much more money and faster money than buying a corrupted metal controlled by Governments ( Thanks to Nixon's Team in 1971 ).
- When Cryptos Bull runs burst to new ATH, smart peoples drop Cryptos to buy Gold, Rolex, Graphic Cards, and Lambos or RS7 ( a joke for my friend Baba )
- in a worst case of world war, it's much more simple to have a Ledger in the pocket than move with 50 Kgs of Gold in a bag.
- The New Money is in the Blockchain.
Happy Tr4Ding !
GOLD-Range trading
Western countries plan to quickly impose new sanctions on Iran to help dissuade Israel from a major escalation. Israel's war cabinet postponed until Wednesday a third meeting to discuss how to respond to Iran's first-ever direct attack, anticipating another expansion of the conflict. There is little data in the United States today. You need to continue to pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials and pay attention to the Federal Reserve's Beige Book of Economic Conditions.
From a technical point of view, the daily cycle is a strong unilateral, and the K-line closes on the unilateral moving average support. The support points of concern during the day are around 2372, 2363, and 2348, and the upper resistance range is around 2400-2405.
4H is a standard range oscillation. The support is near the Bollinger Band. The support of the 4H Bollinger Band is near 2372. This is the same as 1D. Therefore, you can wait until the support point is reached to buy today.
You can also choose to sell in the resistance range, SL: 2409, and control the position reasonably so that you can ensure your success rate. The market changes quickly, and real-time analysis is more important. If you think my analysis can help you, contact me
Follow my trading strategies to greatly increase your trading success rate, so that you can make profits through trading
Gold is bullish, approaching 2300Trend is king, point wins. On Thursday, we said that gold had another surge. Traders who followed the signal were already busy. Recently, gold has once again pulled up strongly unilaterally. At this time, have you realized the importance of taking advantage of the trend and strictly stopping losses? significance? ! Any so-called resistance or support is worth mentioning in front of the trend! Only trending market conditions can really make big money!
This round of bulls is based on another rise after the adjustment to a new high of 2222. In terms of daily space, 2300 does not seem to be a difficult task! In terms of form, the rise does not mean a top. As long as the top pattern appears, the world is dominated by bulls! Get rid of personal subjective ideas, follow the trend of the market in all operations, and follow the trend, that is the kingly way!
Currently, the daily, four-hour and one-hour bulls are tied upward, so don’t think about hitting the top! Just continue to wait for the price to fall back during the day and go long! You can pay attention to the shape changes in five minutes, wait for the price to fall back, when will it bottom out in five minutes, and when will you go long! All we have to do now is wait for this signal! If you have the chance, do it; if you don’t have the chance, just wait!
GOLD-analyze
U.S. retail sales rose more than expected in March as online retailers' revenue surged, providing further evidence that the economy ended the first quarter on solid growth. The report from the U.S. Commerce Department on Monday, combined with data earlier this month on strong job growth in March and a pickup in consumer inflation, have heightened expectations that the Federal Reserve may delay a rate cut until September. In terms of the geopolitical situation, top Israeli military officials said on Monday that Israel would respond to Iran's weekend missile and drone attacks. Netanyahu convened a war cabinet meeting for the second time in less than 24 hours to weigh how to respond. Iran's first direct attack on Israel. Today we need to pay attention to the March new housing starts, building permits and industrial production data released by the US market.
As can see from the chart, gold fell rapidly from 2431 last week. Gold made some repairs yesterday, but it failed to break through important resistance points.
I give the above resistance points, you can sell
2380-2385,2400-2405
The market changes rapidly, and you need to pay attention at all times and control your positions reasonably.
By following me in trading, you can increase your success rate, reduce losses and increase profits.
The current price of gold is short, continue to be shortGold began to rebound in early trading, but the short-term short-term trend of gold remains unchanged. The rebound gives us the opportunity to go short.
The moving average of gold's half-hour chart crosses the short position, and is also suppressed by the downward trend line. The resistance of the gold trend line has now moved down to around 2177. The rebound below 2177 in early trading is an opportunity for shorts to rise, and the current price of gold is short.
The way to trade is to abandon personal preferences. Personal emotional preferences for the market are a death trap. The market is always correct, the market is current, the market is still weak, and short sellers still have more to do. This is just the beginning, then continue to trade. The short sellers will fight to the end. There is no such thing as an oath of friendship in the trading market. Long and short are just the edges of the dew.
Can gold maintain its high price?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,340.7 USD/ounce.
The world gold market has just had an exciting week when records were continuously "broken". In particular, on Friday, gold prices fluctuated up to 98 USD. This price increase is second only to the price increase in December last year that pushed gold prices above 2,150 USD/ounce in a short time.
After December's rally, many analysts expect prices to test support around $1,950 an ounce as the precious metal remains weighed down by interest rate expectations. In fact, many investors missed the first breakthrough increase in March while waiting for a larger correction.
Previous predictions of a correction made Friday's price action interesting. Analysts have noted that investors who missed out on the March rally will be eager to jump in on the dip. However, a problem that investors are facing is determining the entry point. Recently, this precious metal has continuously ignored traditional "headwinds" to enter new record areas. While gold maintains its upward momentum, there are multiple support levels to watch. Some experts note that investors should watch for the initial support level at 2,350 USD/ounce, then 2,285 USD/ounce.
Experts still believe that gold's upward momentum has just begun. Although high inflation may force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain positive monetary policy longer than expected, gold still demonstrated its resilience by ending the week at a record price. The other continent is 2,360.2 USD/ounce.
GOLD-Strong upward trend
The United States expects Iran to launch an attack on Israel, but it will not be large enough to involve Washington in a war, a U.S. official said yesterday. As soon as this news came out, it once again had a great impact on the current financial market. Gold once again had room to surge and hit a new high. Although the US dollar also rose, it could not affect the current absolute strength of gold. In the case of extremely unstable geopolitical situation, gold has a dominant position as a safe haven. Today we will pay attention to the monthly rate of the US import price index in March and the initial value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index in April, as well as the speeches of Federal Reserve officials and news related to the geopolitical situation.
After yesterday's 4H level top divergence correction was forcibly interrupted, if the 4H MACD fast and slow line crosses again, a second divergence will be formed, and the magnitude of subsequent adjustments will increase.
Although gold has been oscillating up and down recently, it is still oscillating under an upward trend and the trend is strong. Friday trading also needs to follow the trend.
Therefore, no matter how it adjusts or falls in the near future, as long as it does not fall, it is an opportunity to go long. For example, the previous 2302, yesterday's 2325. For today's market, the technical point is also very obvious. The unilateral moving average support of the H4 cycle is at 2372, and the previous double top turned into double support point price at 2365.
There has been a lot of volatility recently, so you still need to pay attention to your position. If you choose to sell, be sure to trade with a small position.
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GOLD-Pay attention to the impact of CPI
Today on Wednesday, the market will focus on the CPI data for March and the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting to be released by the Federal Reserve. Judging from the recent data released by the Federal Reserve, it is good for the US dollar and negative for gold. The specific data performance will depend on the actual data release. Let us see Will it dampen the upward trend of gold?
Yesterday, gold broke through again and reached 2365. Since gold began to rise in 1984, it has unilaterally increased by 380 US dollars. I have already reminded you to enter the buying risk zone.
Judging from the current market situation, gold maintains its upward trend and is absolutely strong. We should pay attention to where the support point of the daily decline is? According to the current performance on Wednesday, the daily cycle unilateral moving average support points are at 2328 and 2290. Standard trading has to wait until it falls back to 2328 to go long, but this possibility is relatively small. Tuesday’s low of 2338 did not break, let alone the test of 2328. So, today you can try to buy near 2238
If you want to sell, focus on yesterday's high of 2365, 2370-2375, use small lots, set SL
Today’s focus is the release of CPI data in the US market. End orders before the data. Changes have been rapid recently. Don’t gamble on the data. Wait for the data to be released and follow the trend.
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