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Goldidea

Xauusd:It's the key choice point again Due to the recent hawkish rhetoric of Fed policymakers, everyone hopes that the Fed can achieve its goal of suppressing inflation, so gold prices fell again on Wednesday. Pay attention to the data on U.S. unemployment benefits today Today, gold fell as low as 1945, and the position of 38.2% of the Fibonacci retracement in the upward period from 1810 to 2007 was near 1933. If it did not fall below this data, gold would not be considered a real complete decline. The current trend belongs to a small cyclical decline in a large cyclical pullback. You may have discovered that if you have to wait for a rebound to sell, but gold can't reach the resistance range. Today's entire golden state just happens to be bullish and dare not enter, bearish and dare not chase, coupled with the 4-hour divergence of the indicators RSI and MACD, I still think it is possible to rebound today and then fall. The suppression point of the decline and rebound is near the mid-Bollinger band of the daily cycle 1970 We need to pay attention to the upper resistance point range: 1962-1970 1953-1958 Pay attention to the range of support points below: 1941-1945 1933-1938 When gold reaches the support range for the first time today, you can buy in small batches based on your own funds, set a stop loss, and increase your success rate of profit. In a downtrend, you can sell when you reach the resistance range If you don't know how to trade, join me and let us learn together to improve the success rate
FX:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn64583787
Continuing the downward trend, can gold create a new bottom?World gold prices this morning reversed to increase slightly with spot gold increasing by 8.4 USD to 1,958.2 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,963.5 USD/ounce, up 5.7 USD compared to yesterday morning. The slight weakening of the USD in the evening trading session of November 9 (Vietnam time) slightly increased the appeal of gold to buyers holding other currencies. Currently, the market is waiting for the speech of the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) for more clues regarding the Fed's future monetary policy roadmap. Along with interest rates, gold's safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions is also gradually drying up, making it difficult for gold to have a sustainable increase over the past week. Looking at the long term, in a recent study by Capital Economics, experts said that, although geopolitical instability due to the conflict in the Middle East has created some positive fluctuations for the gold market, but prices will eventually move higher as the Fed begins cutting interest rates in 2024. Gold could end the year at $2,100 an ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD - Gold IdeaOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD ⚠️ Disclaimer: The following insights reflect my personal perspective on the market, relying on publicly available information and historical data. While some opinions stem from my actual trades, others do not. I am not a financial advisor, and I bear no responsibility for your trading choices. ✅ Feel free to reach me out with any questions or recommendations. I am more than willing to assess and analyze any currency pair or index that piques your interest.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Arash-RK
Xauusd:The U.S. may raise interest rates again Kashkari, chairman of the famous hawkish Minneapolis Fed: If necessary, the Fed will take more measures on interest rates. The FOMC did not discuss the content of interest rate cuts. Dovish representative Chicago Fed Chairman Goolsbee: If long-term Treasury yields remain at a high level, it is likely to be equivalent to tightening policy. The first task to change the interest rate stance is the progress of inflation. The two relatively neutral ones are also very tough. Fed Governor Bowman: Further interest rate increases are still expected.Dallas Fed Chairman Logan: Inflation is still too high, and the data seems to be moving in the direction of 3% instead of 2%. Judging from the voices within the Fed, it does not support the current view that the market expects to cut interest rates soon. Once this deviation is repaired, asset prices will also face significant fluctuations. Today we want to focus on the speech of Fed Chairman Powell. If he sticks to his speech on the interest rate resolution last week, it will be another blow to the market. Gold fell unilaterally yesterday, and the Asian and European markets once fell to 1957. After that, with the opening of the US market, the market flipped, and the closing basically held the position of 1970. Judging from the daily line, yesterday's decline was not large, and in the end it did not fall below the important boundary point of 1953. We need to pay attention to the upper resistance point range: 1981-1986 1972-1978 Pay attention to the range of support points below: 1960-1965 1953-1957 n trading, it is recommended that everyone pay attention to the opportunity to sell after the rebound, such as the resistance area above, which would be a good choice.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn64583787
Gold trading strategy, rising againGold futures price delivered in December 2023 on the Comex New York floor decreased by 15.1 USD, equivalent to a decrease of 0.76% to 1,973.5 USD/ounce. Gold experienced an impressive October and a historic month for this market, closing at a record high with an increase of nearly 7%. However, according to analysts at the World Gold Council, this precious metal needs more motivation to create a sustainable push in the market. In our view, a sustained rise in gold prices will require continued political risks or the currency, bond yields and the US dollar peak or equity markets end their consolidation. risk of economic recession revived.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicoTradingMaster
XAUUSD - Gold is still in a downtrend, selling strategyAs gold retraces, attention turns to support zones around 1,953 to 1,947 and key moving averages, while investors watch for signs of recovery. Gold confirmed a breakdown from its small rising trend channel today as it fell through the lower trendline of the pattern and yesterday’s low of 1,977. Weakness was further confirmed on a drop below last Wednesday’s minor swing low of 1,970. Support for the day was seen at 1,957, leading to a bounce to test resistance around the 1,970 level. Given the characteristics of the breakdown it seems likely that a deeper retracement is in the works before gold is ready to resume its ascent. For the upside, given today’s price action it is looking like gold might continue to retrace or consolidate for the remainder of this week. We are already heading into mid-week and the retracement only got confirmed today with the rising channel breakdown. As it stands now, an advance above today’s high is short-term bullish with strength confirmed on a daily close above the high. And then further still above the two-day high of 1,993.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The US dollar has fallen and has continued to decline since lastThe dollar fell slightly in early European trading on Monday, extending last week's losses to a six-week low after the Federal Reserve became less hawkish. At 03:20 ET (8:20 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of six other currencies, fell more than 1% last week, the biggest decline since the middle of last year. It fell 0.1% to 104.782. . The dollar has fallen since last week's Federal Reserve policy meeting, when the central bank issued dovish signals about further interest rate hikes. That trend was reinforced by Friday's official jobs report, which showed that U.S. nonfarm payrolls grew less than expected in October. This data suggests that the U.S. labor market is cooling. This was the main reason the Fed took a hawkish stance this year. Federal funds futures suggest there is about an 85% chance that the Fed will complete the rate hike cycle and an 80% chance that the rate hike cycle will begin in June. At least nine Fed speakers are scheduled this week, including two appearances by Chairman Jerome Powell, with the second session on Thursday including a question-and-answer session. EUR/USD rose 0.1% to 1.0743, pushing the euro up to levels last seen in September, driven by a weaker dollar rather than stronger regional economies. Which area? German data factory orders rose 0.2% in September, stronger than the expected 1.0% decline, but still a significant decline from August's revised 1.9% increase. Moreover, German housing construction suffered another wave of layoffs in October, according to a study published Monday by the Ifo Economic Research Institute. "The situation is getting worse as more projects fail due to rising interest rates and construction prices," said Klaus Wohlrabe, head of research at Ifo. GBP/USD rose 0.1% to 1.2384, extending last week's strong gains ahead of the UK's fourth-quarter GDP figures due later this week. .
Short
by AstronautPioneer
XAUUSD - Gold is decreasing, should I buy or sell gold now?Last week, gold fluctuated with a narrow range and regularly tested the psychological barrier of 2,000 USD/ounce. However, the metal still failed to hold this level as it was caught between conflicting factors between interest rate expectations and geopolitical concerns. Among Wall Street analysts participating in the survey, 60% expect gold prices to move higher this week. 64% of retail investors participating in online polls have the same opinion. Forecasting this week's gold price trend, Kitco News' weekly gold survey shows that analysts and retail investors are optimistic about gold for the week ending November 10. Experts expect the price to break out this week even though there is not much supporting information. Adam Button, currency strategist at Forexlive.com, said that Friday's weak nonfarm payrolls report is a sign that the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle is over. momentum and the fact that gold remains near $2,000 an ounce even as the safe-haven push is weakening.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
❔❔GOLD lost clarity, so just walk away. It's that easyPlease check the linked ideas for more context. Gold has shown good bullish impulses during the previous two weeks or so. However now it's kind of stuck in this messy range. And though it's saving its bullish potential, I would wait for more confirmation and actual bullish price development. I want to show this market to remind myself what's unclear for me, and maybe you'll also add something to your plan, like what is clear and unclear in the markets. Institutional sentiment is 50\50. Multitimeframe analysis has shown basically the same rangy wicky structure recently, so this is one of the markets that are not worth trading at this specific moment. One more interesting thing is that this week follows a very intense week before, filled with news and strong movements. This week, on the contrary, has less news and probably will have less volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Yelli_trades
9
Gold trading strategy at the beginning of the week November 6Many experts predict that the fall in gold prices is due to profit-taking pressure when last week the precious metal increased by 5%. Two weeks ago, the US and European economies released economic growth reports, in which GDP growth in the US increased more than twice the forecast. As a result, US Government bond yields have increased sharply. The 10-year US Government bond yield at 6:40 a.m. this morning increased sharply by 0.79% to 4.593%/year. The Dollar-Index measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies also increased 0.06% to 105,080 points at the same time. Along with the positive economic reports published in the US and Europe two weeks ago, it is forecast that retail sales in the US will increase sharply in the last two months of the year when a series of events such as Black Friday and Christmas are held. , welcoming the new year takes place. To welcome the above events, businesses will organize discounts and promotions to attract customers to shop. This will positively impact production and business activities, promoting economic growth. Experts say that the US economy will continue to recover strongly in the last months of the year, thereby putting pressure on gold prices. Meanwhile, the factor supporting gold is that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are weakening as countries and United Nations organizations are finding ways to get relevant parties to implement a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold price according to the trend, continue to increase pricesHello dear friends! ending the trading week with gold, let's recap the past week and discuss the new strategy for the upcoming week with Karina! In general: Last week, gold received several important news, including the Fed's interest rate decision. Despite this, the precious metal has maintained its strong upward trend, trading around $1985 per ounce last week, with slight touches of $2000. Currently, gold has paused at $1992 and continues to show signs of further price increases, indicating its long-term development strength. Regarding the latest news impacting gold: The XAU/USD price reached its highest level of nearly $2005 on Friday after the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, but quickly recovered to the average trading level and ended at around $1992 Technical outlook for XAU/USD: The previous uptrend was broken at $1987, along with a reversal signal from the EMA 34. However, gold quickly formed a new upward channel and continues to operate well within that trend. Karina has read all the comments and messages, and most of Karina friends believe in a price increase for the coming week, and Karina also shares that belief. Karina's target is for gold to reach the $2005 area next week and conquer the weekly high at the $2010 level. What about you? What do you think about the upcoming trend for gold? Comment and let Karina know!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Karina_Bella
12
Xauusd:Will gold choose the direction today? Before the release of employment data, a report showed that U.S. labor productivity had its largest increase in three years, helping to alleviate the inflationary impact of recent wage growth.The number of people applying for unemployment benefits rose for the sixth consecutive week, indicating that it is beginning to be more difficult for the unemployed to find new jobs.Economists predict that after the number of non-farm payrolls increased by 336,000 in September, the number of non-farm payrolls will increase by 180,000 in October.Friday's employment data is crucial. In terms of gold, as can be seen from the chart, it has been within the range of 1968-1992. Gold has maintained an upward trend for the time being. After four days of market conditions this week, gold fluctuated in the range on Monday, gold fell sharply on Tuesday, gold continued to fall on Wednesday, and gold fluctuated in the range on Thursday. Overall, compared with last week, the bulls are not so strong. From a technical point of view, the three-day decline in the high of the daily cycle has become the standard top pattern, and the 5- and 10-day moving average has formed a cross-decline. Now the market lacks a stimulus. If today's data is not good for gold, the following target first looks at 1952, and then 1920, of which 1962-1968 is currently the key point for long and short competition. We need to pay attention to the upper resistance point range: 2002-2010 1987-1992 Pay attention to the range of support points below: 1970-1975 1962-1968 Before the US market, you can still sell high and buy low in accordance with the above range, strictly control your position, and set a stop loss to improve your profitability. If you don't know how to trade, join me and let us learn together to improve the success rate
FX:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn64583787
Gold recovers slowly but has not disappeared ?Hello dear friends! Just like yesterday, gold experienced strong fluctuations after the evening news and quickly returned to the previous trading level around $1987, with little change compared to the same time yesterday. Gold prices are seeking support from the weak performance of the US Dollar and the low interest rates of the US Treasury bonds as they attempt to stabilize after significant losses caused by the uncertain policies of the Federal Reserve. On the 4-hour analysis chart: Although gold is still limited below $2000, the long-term upward trend is still strongly supported. The strong support level at $1977 continues to serve as a good support for this precious metal. If the recovery of gold prices gains momentum, an immediate resistance level will be seen at the highest point on Wednesday, which is $1993, and above that, the $2000 level will be retested. Acceptance above the multi-month high of $2009 is crucial for a recovery towards the highest levels seen in May near $2020. What about you? Do you think gold will continue to rise? Or are you hoping for a decrease in gold prices?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Karina_Bella
3
XAUUSD - Trading strategy before Nonfarm newsWorld gold prices this morning were stable with spot gold increasing by 2.6 USD to 1,985.1 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 1,993.7 USD/ounce, up 6.2 USD from yesterday morning. World gold is relatively stable although the labor market shows signs of decline. A recent report from the US Department of Labor showed that the number of US workers applying for unemployment benefits for the first time increased more than expected. Specifically, the number of weekly applications for unemployment benefits increased to 217,000 in the week ending October 28, an increase of 5,000 applications compared to the previous week's adjusted level of 210,000. Economists forecast unemployment claims will stay around 210,000. According to experts, gold does not react much to weak employment data because the market is still paying attention to the recent policy decisions and stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Carlo Alberto De Casa, market analyst at Kinesis Money, said that bullion prices need to more or less consolidate a bit before continuing to rise as the long-term view remains positive. As analysts expected, the Fed kept interest rates steady on Wednesday, as policymakers work to determine whether financial conditions are tight enough to keep inflation in check. . According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders are currently assessing an 80% chance that the Fed will pause interest rate hikes in December.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The fall has not stopped as the Fed prioritizes reducing inflatiOn January 11, the US policy-making basis, the Fed, was completed in early November. This agency decided to maintain the USD operating interest rate at a 22-year high of 5.25%. ,5 years. This basis was put in place to determine the likelihood of a report on the US chief economist. Specifically, the Fed said economic activity increased sharply in the third quarter of 2023, with a likely increase of 4.9%, expanding with certainty. The job market is stable and positive when the number of new jobs created in the non-agricultural sector in September reached 336,000 jobs, double the forecast level of 170,000 jobs. Every American has 1.5 job openings. This is consistent with the US economy accepting high interest rates but still growing well. The Fed's announcement this time, in addition to keeping interest rates high for a long time, also contained a message of financial tightening. Specifically, the Fed said "finance and credit are in a tight state". This can be understood that the Fed and the US's basic strategies not only use monetary policy but still have the main fundamental economic tool at the present time to ensure safety.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster