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Gold Price Analysis December 16Fundamental Analysis Expectations of a hawkish Fed rate hike next week boosted the US dollar and US Treasury yields on Wednesday, leading to a corrective pullback in gold prices from multi-month highs. US President-elect Donald Trump's tax plan will add to inflation and delay the Federal Reserve's easing policy. Technical Analysis Gold is in a strong bearish channel with 2636 being the first target of the downtrend and 2626 the next. The recovery to be considered a trend reversal only when gold closes above the 2691 area. Gold is still considered a downtrend if it faces the 2672 and 2691 port areas. Pay attention to price reaction to have the best trading strategy Trading attention zone BUY zone 2626-2624 Stoploss 2620 SELL zone 2673-2675 Stoloss 2678
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
H_1 SCENARIOThe current analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) suggests a mixed outlook influenced by technical and geopolitical factors The current analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) suggests a mixed outlook influenced by technical and geopolitical factors combined with a positive RSI trend, suggests a potential continuation toward higher levels like $2,668 if the bullish sentiment persists On shorter timeframes, consolidation is observed near $2,640, with potential bearish movement if the resistance levels hold. A pullback to previous levels like $2,620 could act as a pivot for further trend assessment Immediate resistance is noted around $2,668, while support lies near $2,620. Breaking either of these levels could dictate the next directional move​ Prediction: In the near term, XAU/USD appears likely to continue testing resistance levels. If the bullish momentum holds, a rise to approximately $2,660-$2,670 could occur. Conversely, failing to maintain current levels may lead to a retracement toward $2,620. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and this analysis should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a professional for trading decisions.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSD
by TREXTROFX
Gold Analysis December 6Fundamental Analysis Gold prices continued to struggle for a firm near-term direction amid mixed fundamental signals and remained confined within a familiar range in the first half of the European session on Thursday. Persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict, trade war fears, and political unrest in France and South Korea served as drivers of the safe-haven precious metal. Additionally, a weaker US dollar (USD) was seen as another factor providing some support to the commodity. That said, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) should trigger a modest rebound in US Treasury yields and limit the upside in non-yielding gold. In fact, comments from several FOMC members on Wednesday, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, suggested that the US central bank will adopt a cautious stance on rate cuts. Technical Analysis After this morning's unexpected technical decline, it seems that gold will want to fall into Nonfarm today. With prices pushing up near the 2637 area, it marks a recovery in the European session before gold is pushed back down in the US session. There are 2 breakout zones to watch at 2637 and 2643
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Bitcoin Hits $100K: What Does It Mean for Gold?Bitcoin’s historic surge past $100K has reignited debates about its role in the financial world. Fed Chair Jerome Powell weighed in, calling Bitcoin a "speculative asset," likening it to virtual gold rather than a competitor to the dollar: "It's highly volatile, not a store of value or form of payment. It's really a competitor for gold." With Bitcoin soaring, many are asking: Could this mark the beginning of a stronger correlation between Bitcoin and gold, or are they destined to move on separate paths? Gold Faces Its Own Test While Bitcoin grabs the headlines, gold prices slipped below $2,630 per ounce, pressured by firming U.S. Treasury yields. Benchmark 10-year yields rose 0.6%, as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, expected to show 200,000 new jobs. A weaker report could lift gold, especially as traders assign a 74% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized caution, acknowledged the economy’s resilience but signaling a careful approach to rate cuts. Gold, often a winner in low-rate environments, now finds itself at a critical juncture. Our Trading Plan for Gold Key levels to watch as we await the NFP report: $2,630: Monitor for price reactions to this recent support. $2,537–$2,530: Look for potential opportunities at this deeper support range. The Bigger Picture As Bitcoin claims new highs and challenges gold’s status as a store of value, gold continues to be swayed by macroeconomic forces. Will gold bounce back, or is it preparing for further dips as Bitcoin surges? Let us know your thoughts—will Bitcoin and gold align as Powell suggests, or will their paths diverge further? For more in-depth gold analysis and updates, stay tuned. And as always, happy trading!
TVC:GOLDShort
by InwardTrader
1
Gold Price Analysis December 4Fundamental Analysis Gold prices traded in a positive bias for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, despite lacking bullish conviction and remaining confined within the familiar range that has held for the past week or so. Traders appear reluctant at the moment, opting to wait for further signals on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate cut path before placing any directional bets. As such, the market focus will remain on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech later today, along with Friday’s US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which will guide policymakers on their next monetary policy decision. Technical analysis breaks the 2647 level once again Gold is heading towards the technical resistance level of 2655. Gold is still trading in the accumulation range waiting for Nonfarm, most likely today there will be no break out of the 55 and 2635 ranges. The sideways market is quite difficult for trend traders. Wait and see how the European session will fluctuate. If it cannot break 2651, you can SELL to 2643-2635. If the price pushes up to 55 but cannot break this area, this is the trading range that can be reported today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold price analysis December 3Fundamental Analysis The focus now appears to have shifted to the Fed policy outlook following the latest speeches from several Fed policymakers and ahead of Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa if they create a new currency or support another one to replace the Greenback. However, a rebound in safe-haven demand for the USD early on Tuesday kept gold buyers on their toes. Persistent concerns about China's economy and Trump's threat of global tariffs remain a drag on investor sentiment. Gold's next move will likely depend on upcoming US jobs data and its impact on Fed rate cut expectations. Meanwhile, gold traders remain wary of geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, between Israel and Iran, which could have a strong impact on the traditional safe haven asset, gold. Technical analysis The immediate price range that gold is facing is the 2633 and 2652 zones. The 2633 zone has been relatively weak as the Asian session tested this zone once. If the 33 zone fails to hold, 2629 will become a buffer for gold before finding the main support zone of 2618. The US port zone of 2652 last night is also relatively strong at the moment and it is relatively difficult for gold to overcome and reach 2662 today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold price analysis November 26Fundamental analysis Gold prices struggled to capitalize on an intraday rebound from a one-week low of $2,600 and remained low for a second straight day heading into the European session on Tuesday. US President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threat prompted some safe-haven flows and provided a modest intraday gain for the safe-haven precious metal. However, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) capped gains in the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, growing market confidence that Trump’s expansionary policies will stoke inflation and force the Fed to cut interest rates gradually has triggered a fresh rally in US Treasury yields. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) regain positive momentum and has become another factor undermining demand for gold. Additionally, optimism over Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary and the possibility of a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah have kept XAU/USD in check. Technical Analysis 2606 has become an important support zone to keep gold prices above 2600. Any sign of gold breaking the immediate port level of 2611 will send gold to 2606 where support is the most important key zone for gold prices today. If this zone is broken, we will pay attention to the next support zone around 2591 and 2580. 2631 and 2649 have become two important resistance zones today when gold prices break the upper border and close above 2618.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
4
GBPUSD Analysis Week 48🌐Fundamental Analysis Traders have reduced their bets on another Bank of England (BoE) rate cut this year after data released last week showed that underlying price growth in the UK accelerated in October. This has further contributed to the relative outperformance of the British Pound (GBP) against its US counterpart and confirmed the positive outlook for the GBP/USD pair. US PCE data released on Wednesday showed that the pace of deflation in the US stalled in October. Moreover, investors now appear to believe that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary policies will boost inflation. This follows the hawkish FOMC minutes earlier this week, which revealed that the Committee could pause its policy rate easing if inflation remains high. Additionally, geopolitical risks and trade war concerns could benefit the relative safe haven status of the Greenback and limit the upside momentum of the GBP/USD pair. 🕯Technical Analysis The 1.250 support level was accepted by the market as it pushed the price to 1.273 during the final trading session of the week. The break out of 1.262 marked a major development of GBPUSD back to the uptrend. To mark a new growth, GBPUSD needs to trade above the 1.276 area. And immediately we can see GBPUSD trading within the price range of 1.276 and 1.262. Watch the strongest resistance zone of 1.286 for market fluctuations in Nonfarm next week. 📈📉Trading Signals BUY GBPUSD 1.262-1.260 Stoploss 1.258 SELL GBPUSD 1.286-1.288 Stoploss 1.290
by TVS-Trader
Gold price analysis November 29Gold has formed an upward channel and is trading within that price range, 2679-2680 has become the destination and also the most important resistance zone today. Gold is facing some selling pressure at 2665, so the 2665 zone has become the immediate port zone that Gold will encounter when it wants to surpass 2680. The possibility of a sell-off at the end of the day is possible, so when the price channel is broken, that is, breaking the important zone of 2650, Gold will soon find 2605 and 2585 again. Wishing you a successful trading day
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis November 28Gold is trading near the resistance zone of 2650, this zone becomes the key zone for today's trading day. If before the US session, gold cannot break this zone, the gold trend will continue to fall to important support zones. Pay attention to the support zones of 2638, 2621-2613, 2605 to have the best trading strategies when the price falls to that zone. In the opposite direction, the 2650 zone is broken, gold will return to the uptrend. If gold closes the daily candle above 2658, it is determined that gold is ready to return to the uptrend and head to 2700 soon. Wish you successful trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader