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GOLD: Trump tariff threat lift XAAUSD, focus shift to Fed Mints Fundamental Overview🌐 ➡️Gold buyers try their luck ahead of Fed Minutes Gold price extended the previous day’s corrective downside and reached multi-day lows before drawing strong support from a fresh flight to safety wave, triggered by the latest post by US President-elect Donald Trump on Truth Social. ➡️Trump pledged to announce a 25% tariff on all products from Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China once he takes over his office on January 20. In response, the Chinese ambassador to Australia warned that “US policy on trade with China and other countries will have an impact.” ➡️Mounting concerns surrounding a looming global trade war dent risk sentiment, ramping safe-haven flows into the US Dollar (USD) and the traditional safety bet Gold price. However, the renewed USD demand and rebounding US Treasury bond yields limit Gold buyers’ enthusiasm as they await the Fed Minutes for fresh signals on the expected December interest rate cut. ➡️CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows that markets are currently pricing in a 61% chance that the Fed will lower rates next month. ➡️Additionally, waning geopolitical tensions between Israel and Lebanon remain a headwind for the bright metal. A senior Israeli official told Reuters on Monday that the Israeli cabinet will convene on Tuesday to approve a Lebanon ceasefire deal. Another Israeli official told Reuters the cabinet would convene to discuss a deal that could be cemented in the coming days. ➡️Gold price was thrown under the bus on Monday even as the USD and the US Treasury bond yields fell sharply on the news that US President-elect Donald Trump named billionaire Scott Bessent as his Treasury Secretary. ➡️Bessent’s appointment to the critical position in the Trump administration assured the US bond market, as he is seen as an old Wall Street hand and a fiscal conservative.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDEducation
by SadarExplore
Gold price analysis November 22Gundamental analysis Gold (XAU/USD) maintained its strong intraday gains in early European trading and is now trading near a two-week high, just below the $2,700 mark. Persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict helped the safe-haven precious metal extend its weekly rally for a fifth straight day. In addition, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary policies could stoke inflationary pressures turned out to be another factor in favor of the commodity, which is seen as an inflation hedge. Meanwhile, buying of the US dollar (USD) remained unabated amid growing acceptance that higher inflation could limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Furthermore, expectations of a less dovish Fed, coupled with concerns over a larger fiscal deficit, still favor rising US Treasury yields, although they have not significantly dampened the bullish sentiment around non-yielding Gold. XAU/USD bulls have even ignored the prevailing risk-on sentiment, suggesting that the path of least resistance for bullion is to the upside. Technical Analysis 2708-2710 is emerging as a technical resistance zone at the moment with corrective waves expected. 2673 and 2675 are the two targets we are aiming for. Note that today is the weekend so huge volatility is still waiting for the US session.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Short gold, TP:2660-2650Bros, gold has risen sharply under the support of risk aversion, and is currently near 2672. Although gold continues to rise in a cycle, it has not yet effectively broken through the 2675-2680 area. When facing this area, gold is expected to have a round of technical retracement. It is very difficult to chase the rise of gold at present, and there is no good position to participate in long gold, so at least wait until gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area before there is a better position to participate in gold long transactions. Obviously, before gold breaks through the 2675-2680 area, I will try to short gold first; after gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area in the short term, I will consider going long on gold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold Prices Rebound but Bearish Trend DominatesGold prices extended their recovery momentum on Wednesday, gaining over 70 pips during the early session and hovering around $2,639. While the precious metal shows signs of short-term strength, the broader trend remains favorable for sellers. Gold’s recent rally stems from a weakening U.S. dollar, as investors took profits following last week’s sharp dollar gains. Since gold is dollar-denominated, a weaker dollar makes it more attractive to buyers using other currencies. Geopolitical tensions also continue to provide support, with the next target set at the $2,665 resistance level. Should gold breach this level, further recovery may follow. However, if resistance holds, the primary bearish trend suggests prioritizing selling opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Veda_Solomon
7
Gold Analysis November 19Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some safe-haven flows after posting its biggest weekly decline in more than three years last week and snapped a six-day losing streak on Monday amid rising geopolitical tensions. In addition, falling US Treasury yields prompted some profit-taking in the US Dollar (USD) following its post-US election rally to fresh yearly highs and turned out to be another factor in favour of the non-yielding yellow metal. USD bulls remained on the defensive in Asian trade on Tuesday, supporting Gold’s further recovery from a two-month low touched last Thursday. Meanwhile, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump’s policies will reignite inflationary pressures and limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This will keep US bond yields high and benefit USD speculators, which could limit XAU/USD Technical Analysis The technical resistance level of 2624 that Gold is facing will be very important in today's European trading session, the uptrend is relatively strong and there has not been much recovery in price. The 2595 zone is considered the target of all the downtrends today. The 2648-2650 zone is the main resistance zone today. In a strong uptrend, you should prioritize BUY signals at 2615 at old breakout points to have the best strategy for yourself.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold Price Analysis November 18Fundamental Analysis Gold extended its recovery to test $2,600 amid rising Russia-Ukraine tensions, ending a six-day losing streak. The latest gold rally could be due to rising Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions after the United States authorized Ukraine to use long-range US weapons to attack Russia. The greenback’s rally following Donald Trump’s election victory could put some selling pressure on USD-denominated gold. Expectations of higher inflation next year due to Donald Trump’s policies have led to fewer expected rate cuts. In addition, traders have reduced expectations of lower interest rates in December after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank would not rush to cut, citing “remarkable” economic performance. Higher interest rates tend to drag gold prices lower, as it makes holding non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. Technical analysis. Gold prices have reacted at the EMA 34 zone, which is also an important dynamic resistance zone in the Asian session. The price zone of special note today is 2617-2615 at the upper boundary and the Asian session breakout support zone this morning is around 2575. The possibility of an uptrend and the formation of wave 3 has also been established according to the technical chart, so BUY signals will be prioritized today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
GBPUSD analysis week 47🌐Fundamental Analysis UK employment figures largely beat expectations, but wage growth fueled inflation concerns. While jobless claims were lower than forecast, the number of people claiming unemployment benefits still rose from the previous month's revised figure. The Bank of England's (BoE) latest Monetary Policy Report is due out on Wednesday morning, and investors will be looking for hints on how the BoE plans to deal with the unbalanced UK economy that continues to struggle with inflation numbers. On the US side, key CPI inflation figures are due to hit the market. Headline CPI inflation is expected to have edged higher to 2.6% year-on-year from September's 2.4%. Core CPI inflation is expected to have held steady at 3.3% year-on-year. The monthly figures for both inflation are generally expected to remain unchanged from the previous month. 🕯Technical Analysis The downtrend is still showing no signs of stopping for GBPUSD. The next important support zone that the pair is aiming for is 1.2470, which is the old bottom area that saw strong price reaction from buyers in May. Besides, the possibility that the pair will still stick to the trendline and fall to this support zone, when the buying force is strong enough to break the trendline, the market will also turn around. Hopefully, the bullish waves can break the trendline and form an uptrend towards the resistance of 1.271-1.277-1.286. 📉📈Trading signals BUY GBPUSD 1.247-1.245 Stoploss 1.243 SELL GBPUSD 1.271-1.273 Stoploss 1.276
by TVS-Trader
Gold price analysis November 14Fundamental Analysis Gold (XAU/USD) fell for a fifth straight day and dropped to its lowest since September 19, around $2,554-$2,553 heading into the European session on Thursday. The commodity continued to be weighed down by the post-election rally in the US Dollar (USD) that has extended into the new year, bolstered by optimism about the expected expansionary policies of the incoming Trump administration. Meanwhile, Trump’s potentially inflationary tariffs could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to pause its easing cycle. Moreover, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on Wednesday pointed to slower progress in lowering inflation and could lead to fewer rate cuts next year. This remains supportive of higher US Treasury yields and contributes to outflows from non-yielding gold. Technical analysis The technical price zone in the current European trading session is around 2648 2659. With the recovery from this zone, gold can recover to the 2587 zone in the near future and in the following days can reach back to the 2616 hook. But this scenario is relatively unlikely when the number of fomo sellers is quite large. When the 2648 zone is broken, the fomo chain continues to sell and pushes the gold price down to 2527 and 2503, so prioritize SELL signals at the present time when the price breaks out of 2648. Wish you a successful trading day.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold Analysis November 13fundamental analysis Gold prices pared some of their modest intraday gains, although they held above $2,600 heading into the European session on Wednesday. Uncertainty over the extent of trade tariffs promised by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and their impact on the global economy dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, spurring some flows into the precious metal. In addition, some repositioning ahead of U.S. consumer inflation data turned out to be another supportive factor for the commodity. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar (USD) held steady at its highest level since early May amid hopes that Trump’s expansionary policies could boost inflation and limit the scope for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The outlook still favors rising US Treasury yields, which, in turn, restrains any further upside for non-yielding Gold. Technical Analysis Yesterday, Gold fell back to the 618 Fibo extension level and this morning broke down from 2598 and flew up to 2613. We are currently waiting for a Break to find a Buy point, or at least a correction to the Retracement point at 2603 to detect a Buy signal, because at 2608 like this is a bit half-hearted. Choosing an uptrend for today, but it is only a correction, so before tonight's news, I will choose to buy with a short TP to the 2625 area (in case of breakout at 2615) The SELL levels of 2625 - 2627, 2644 - 2646, 2658 - 2660 will be updated immediately at the time of real-time signal, the admins will notify. The best Buy signal below is to wait for a break of 2593, the price will return to the levels of 2586, 2576 - 2574, a false break through 2565 to catch the entry of 2562 is also good, for other areas, scalp and don't expect too long, at least from the 2574 area onwards to think about holding.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Markets Hold Steady: Analyzing Trends and ProjectionsAs I compose this article, gold is trading at $2,609, experiencing modest gains throughout the day on Wednesday. It has successfully maintained a position above the $2,600 threshold, recovering from its lowest point since September 20, which occurred just the previous day. The US Dollar (USD) retains a bullish momentum, driven by speculation surrounding President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed expansionary economic policies, which are expected to ignite inflation and potentially limit the Federal Reserve's ability to implement significant interest rate cuts. This favorable outlook is supporting higher US Treasury bond yields, which in turn bolster the USD and place a ceiling on the price of the non-yielding precious metal. From a technical standpoint, the current market landscape appears somewhat ambiguous. Prices are rebounding into a demand zone where institutional investors, often referred to as 'smart money,' seem to be strategically accumulating long positions, while retail investors continue to maintain a bullish outlook. Our projections suggest a possible retracement coming in December. Additionally, uncertainties surrounding Trump's proposed trade tariffs and their implications for the global economy are moderating investor enthusiasm for riskier assets, especially in light of the disappointing fiscal stimulus measures from China. This situation consequently provides support for gold prices, which appear to have broken a three-day streak of losses. Market attention is now fixed on the upcoming US consumer inflation data, particularly the pivotal Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The results could significantly shape expectations concerning the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy direction and dictate the short-term trajectory for gold prices. In light of today's developments, we will assess the situation based on the incoming news and consider potential long positions accordingly. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FOREXN1
2
Gold let's go ( Repost )- if we just analyze FA basically, the world political climate, fear of wars, Covid, Crises, inflation, Gold will always remains for the old generation the best store of value. - i don't show indicators to keep the chart clean but Gold is turning green and extremely bullish on Monthly Timeframe. - Gold made a constant flat accumulation between 2021-2022. - BB starting to be thinner ( sign of a move ). - This is a Medium/Long Term investment ( 2023 ). -------------------------------------------- Trading Parts : -------------------------------------------- Buy : Now TP1 : 2300$ TP2 : 2500$ -------------------------------------------- - i will post my old gold analysis in comments. Happy Tr4Ding !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by thecryer
10
Sell GoldIt appears that the current trend for gold is bearish, suggesting a continuation of the decline. A selling opportunity exists, especially if there is a slight retracement up to the 2706 level, which could act as a favorable sell zone. The anticipated price drop targets the following take-profit zones: First Target: Around 2666 Second Target: Around 2652 Third Target: Around 2622 Each of these levels represents a potential area to consider for taking profits on short positions. Notably, the 2622 level is identified as a strong buying zone, offering a good opportunity to initiate long positions. Risk Management Reminder: I strongly advise to adhere strictly to risk management strategies when trading these levels.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Mohamed_Kabesh