Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
April 14 to April 18, 2025, due to the Good Friday holiday, the market was closed on April 18. There were only four trading days this week, and the spot gold market performed strongly, with a weekly increase of 2.76%. Prior to this, some investors chose to take profits after the international gold price hit a new high of more than $3,357 on Thursday. Although the current technical side shows that gold is overbought, the overall market is still in a steady upward trend.The rise in London gold prices was driven by the safe-haven demand caused by the weakening of the US dollar, trade policy uncertainty, and hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the risk of stagflation. The economic data released this week showed differentiation, with a solid labor market but weak housing data, coupled with geopolitical risks such as the European Central Bank's interest rate cut and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold.Looking ahead, the bullish trend of gold remains solid, and investors should pay close attention to the Fed's subsequent policy statements and trade policy dynamics, which will have an important impact on market sentiment and gold price trends in the coming weeks.
Technical Review:
Gold daily level still maintains a strong unilateral bullish trend in the short term. There is no highest, only higher. Before the top pressure K appears, it will continue to step back and be bullish. The support position confirmed by the step back is about 3300-3290. As long as this position is stabilized, there is hope for further efforts in the future to set a new historical high.The 4-hour level is now in high-level fluctuations. The key MA10-day support moves up to 3313. As long as this moving average can be held, this cycle will still maintain a strong squeeze and pull up. At the hourly level, there will be a certain decline and correction in the short-term Asian session on Thursday, and it will be trapped in a shock consolidation. The next step is to wait patiently for the consolidation to end. The short-term pressure point middle track is also the 10-day moving average 3332-33 line. There may be multiple attempts here, but before breaking through, don't chase the rise! Pay attention to the lower track support 3313 below, and the upper track of the previous channel step back to confirm the range of 3300-3290, because the upward channel is uncertain whether there will be a false piercing. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for 3313, 3300-3290 to stabilize and rise next week, or break through 3332-33 and then step back to confirm stability, which is also bullish. After a sharp rise, it is just a small adjustment at a high level or sideways, which is to prepare for the next round of rise.
Next week's analysis:
Gold fell all the way in the US market on Friday, falling to 3283 at the lowest, but gold rose again in the second half of the night for risk aversion. Will gold return to a large range of fluctuations or end the adjustment? Then the trend of gold after the opening next week is very critical. If gold continues to rise strongly at the opening next week, then gold may be adjusted to the end, and gold bulls may continue to exert their strength. This will be seen after the opening of Monday.The gold 1-hour moving average is now continuing to diverge upward with a golden cross. If the gold 1-hour moving average turns in the short term, then the gold 1-hour will begin to adjust. So if the short-term opening is weak next week, then the gold 1-hour moving average may begin to turn, and if it is strong, it will continue to extend upward. Gold is suppressed by the downward trend line in the 1-hour short term. The short-term pressure of gold moves down to the 3332 line. If gold is still under pressure at 3332 after opening next week, then gold may continue to fluctuate downward in the short term, thereby driving the moving average to turn around. If it directly breaks through 3332 after opening, then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3300-3303, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3353, stop loss at 3362, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3313, second support level: 3300, third support level: 3285
First resistance level: 3332, second resistance level: 3357, third resistance level: 3373
Goldinvesting
Gold fluctuates and adjusts, will next week be the key?Gold fell all the way in the US market on Friday, with the lowest falling to the 3283 line. However, gold once again rose as a risk aversion. Will gold return to a large range of shocks, or will the adjustment end? The trend of gold after the opening next week will be critical. If gold continues to rise strongly at the opening next week, then gold may end its adjustment, and gold bulls may continue to exert their strength
If gold is still under pressure at 3332 after the opening next week, then gold may continue to fluctuate downward in the short term, thereby driving the moving average to turn. If it directly breaks through 3332 strongly after the opening, then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range.
The current market is very volatile due to the impact of news, and the next trend of gold will become clear on Monday. I will continue to bring analysis to my friends on Monday
Gold prices continue to rise as profit-taking takes place? Will Gold prices fell from an all-time high of $3,357 an ounce after Fed Chairman Powell warned that the Fed's goals could conflict, sparking concerns about stagflation. Regarding trade negotiations, U.S. President Trump said they were progressing well, adding that he was very confident of reaching a trade deal with the European Union and China. This statement has boosted market risk appetite and hit safe-haven gold.
So the previous decline only reflects investors taking profits before the long holiday weekend. However, the weak dollar and trade tensions have kept it above $3,300 an ounce.
Quaid believes that there is no short selling, only longs, and there have been many one-sided markets during this period. Judging from the current trend chart, it is still running upward and has shown signs of rising bottoms, which shows that the bulls have occupied a more advantageous position. If the big positive line continues to break new highs next week, there will be an opportunity to continue to attack 3,400.
For next week, the bullish position of gold retracement is around 3,290.
Quaid wants to say to everyone: Before going out to sea, fishermen don't know where the fish are. But they still choose to go because they believe they will return with a full load. And you, my friend, don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try. Success is not something that will happen in the future, but from the moment you choose and decide to do it, you will gain something if you persist in believing. The same is true for Huang Investment. You may still be confused at the moment, but as long as you persist, the problem will eventually be solved.
Trading suspension period. What is the future trend of gold?The dollar continues to fall. Fundamentals depend on Sino-US relations and economic data, especially after Powell's speech. The weekly close is close to the support level, and the decline may continue.
Gold recovers after shock. Fundamentals show that prices may continue to rise. The market will be closed for the next three days and traders will take a break. During the holiday, the weekend is full of too many unknowns. But from a technical point of view, the focus is on the medium-term level. Quaid believes that its upward trend is still strong.
If there is no supernatural event during the holiday, gold may rebound from the nearest resistance level in the Asian session and test the trend support level before continuing to rise. If there is any major change in the mood of the country/politicians, I will update my thoughts in time. Give traders time to adjust their positions.
GOLD, Is it 5th Wave?1. Sharp Movement, Steep Trade Angle
2. Length of 3rd Wave is equal to 5th Wave
3. Ascending Channel TGT is completed
4. Divergence in the Price Movement
5. Nifty Price Movement - It is at a breakout point. The Correlation between 2 asset classes is approximately Negative 0.30 to 0.35 post Covid
If this is the case, then price may not move beyond 1 Lakh
This will be a great opportunity to book the profit in gold; it may correct to 70000 or below in the next few months.
GOLD: What happened?Hello friends
The trend is very bullish and given the recent events in the world, the possibility of a decline is decreasing, so we can buy in pullbacks that the price is making in steps and with capital management and risk, price targets have also been specified.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold hits new heights again, price correction may occurThe current consolidation fluctuations are completely in line with my previous predictions.
The market has hit new all-time highs again and there is a possibility of moving towards higher levels. The price has now hit the resistance area around 3320, which may mean the possibility of a correction in this area, creating long opportunities. The price has formed a sideways trend around 3220 points, which may be looking for a buy trade signal. In addition to these, there is an ascending trend line below the range, which previously served as both support and resistance. In view of the interest rate cut information released by the European Central Bank today, Quaid expects market volatility to increase. The expected target is the resistance area around 3390 points.
The market may continue to rise. On the chart, the price formed a strong positive line, which indicates the continuation of the upward trend. Currently, its price is retracing after hitting a new high. Some consolidation areas can be seen now, which play a supporting role in the bullish market. In addition, there is an ascending trend line, which has been broken many times before. I think that the retracement area of the previous volatility range may be a benign area to expect the continuation of the rise.
Quaid recommended:
Aggressive trades can be made by going long in the current consolidation area.
Smooth trading allows for part-time observation.
I hope this analysis can help you.
I am Quiad. Seeing my analysis strategy, no matter the past gains and losses, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold Price Rollercoaster: Is the Rally Just Beginning?The gold price has had a pretty crazy six days, jumping from 3,014 USD on April 9, 2025, to 3,357 USD on April 17 – that’s a solid 11%+ gain. So, what’s going on now? Is the gold rally over, or could we see even more upside? Let’s break it down.
🔥 What’s driving the gold price?
The big reason behind the recent surge is the trade war between the US and China. Trump has slapped new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, which has shaken things up in the markets. The Fed has also warned that these tariffs are bigger than expected, and could slow down growth and increase inflation.
When things get uncertain, investors tend to rush to safe havens like gold, and that’s exactly what’s happening right now. The demand for gold is up, and so is the price.
📉 What does the ECB rate cut mean?
The European Central Bank (ECB) has lowered interest rates by 0.25% today, dropping from 4.5% to 4.25%. They’re trying to help the economy out and ease inflation.
Lower rates mean fixed-income investments aren’t as attractive, which makes gold a better option. But, the US Fed has made it clear they won’t cut rates before June 2025, which could strengthen the US dollar and make gold a little less appealing.
🕊️ What if there’s a trade deal?
Now, imagine there’s a breakthrough – a trade deal, fairer tariffs, and everyone’s calming down. That could change things for gold:
📉 Less risk = less demand for gold: If things chill out, less capital will flow into gold.
💵 Stronger Dollar?: A trade deal could make the US dollar stronger, which isn’t necessarily great for gold. But Trump has made it clear that he doesn't want a strong dollar, since it makes US goods less competitive abroad. Even if the dollar does strengthen, it might put pressure on gold since it becomes more expensive for people using other currencies.
🔁 Money shifts: If things get calmer, investors might move away from gold and back into stocks or bonds for better returns.
So, a deal could definitely slow down or even end this gold rally.
🧭 What does this mean for investors?
Daytraders
For day traders, the current ups and downs can offer some good opportunities, but they also come with risks. The markets are super sensitive to news about the trade war and rate cuts. Quick gains are possible, but you’ve got to be careful. If a trade deal happens, expect the classic “Sell the News” scenario where the market cools off.
Medium-Term Investors (1 Month)
Over the next few weeks, we’ll see if more trade war news or central bank decisions impact the gold price. The rally could keep going, but nothing is guaranteed. If you’re in it for the medium-term, keep your positions flexible and manage risk closely. A trade deal could be bad news for gold, though.
Long-Term Investors
Long-term, gold is still a great way to hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. The current trends could help gold prices, but keep in mind there could be some ups and downs. If the price drops due to a trade deal, it might actually be a good opportunity to buy.
📊 The Bottom Line
Gold has been on a hot streak lately, driven by the trade war and central bank moves. Whether this rally continues or cools down depends on what happens next. A trade deal could bring a correction. So, keep an eye on things and adjust your strategy accordingly.
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold-----Buy near 3300, target 3360-3400Gold market analysis:
Currently, the highest peak of gold is 3357. When we analyzed on Monday, we said that the next target of gold is 3400. Is it still far away? At that time, we also encountered a lot of opposition. We were not guessing the top, but just used an indicator of the weekly line to estimate the next target next week. The big rise does not mean the top. We need to follow the big trend this week and continue to buy. Look at Goldman Sachs and ETFs predict that gold will reach above 4000. We are just a short-term trader. In fact, the long-term direction has little to do with us. We need to follow it in the short term. Yesterday, the daily line closed positive. Yesterday, we also arranged to buy at 3270 and 3302. We should not keep buying gold today. The rapid dive in the Asian session has shown that it needs to be repaired.
The lowest price in the Asian session is 3320, and the highest price is 3357. This range is the repair range of the Asian session. You can look for profit opportunities here. In addition, its 3320 is not a strong support, but a small support. The strong support is the low point repair position of 3292 in the European and American sessions yesterday, which is also the position of the indicator and the integer mark of 3300. If the Asian session falls back sharply, we should also consider buying opportunities. Buying is the main course, and today's selling is auxiliary.
The strong pressure of gold is invisible, with a small pressure of 3357, a small support of 3320, a strong support of 3300-3292, and a watershed of 3300.
Fundamental analysis:
The recent continuous increase in tariffs has led to a strong rise in gold, and the US dollar has fallen sharply. Today, we will pay attention to the situation of unemployment benefits. Powell's speech last night was to suppress the US dollar.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----Buy near 3300, target 3360-3400
Gold continues to wait for a new ATH of 3381
📌 Driving Events
On Thursday, gold prices (XAU/USD) entered a consolidation phase, fluctuating in a narrow range near the all-time highs set during the Asian session, as investors digested conflicting market signals. Stronger-than-expected US retail sales data and tough comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell supported the US dollar (USD), curbing some of the upward momentum of gold. At the same time, optimism in the stock market and slightly overbought technicals prompted traders to remain cautious, currently limiting a new round of buying interest in precious metals.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold now continues to maintain its high strength, and gold is still in a bullish trend. The short-term correction does not change the upward trend of gold. The decline of gold is an opportunity to go long. The current price of gold is 3320, which is directly long!
💰Strategy
Long position:
Gold is long around 3320-25, defend around 3310 area, and the target is above 3340
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
How will gold go? Trader Quaid explains it for youIf there is positive news on the US-China trade situation or profit-taking selling pressure breaks out, it may trigger a sell-off.
Gold prices have risen by nearly $700 this year, with tariff wars, expectations of rate cuts and strong central bank buying all helping.
The current market trend has become a little out of control and there is a risk of correction. However, the correction we have seen in more than a year has not been large, and every time the market falls back, there is buying waiting behind it.
The upward trend in gold prices remains, and buyers are paying attention to the $3,370/ounce level. If it breaks through this level, gold prices will target the $3,400/ounce mark. If gold strengthens further, bulls will further look to key psychological levels such as $3,450/ounce and $3,500/ounce.
On the contrary, if gold prices fall below $3,300/ounce, the first support level will be $3,229/ounce, followed by $3,200/ounce.
I hope this analysis can help you.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, no matter your past gains and losses, I hope that you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold’s short-term correction does not change gold’s upward trendGold continues to remain strong at high levels, and gold is still in a bullish trend. The short-term correction will not change the upward trend of gold. The fall of gold will give the opportunity to go long.
The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a bullish arrangement with golden crosses diverging upwards. The strength of gold bulls is still there. Gold has found support near 3320 and is rising again. The current rhythm of gold is to fall back and continue to go long.
Trading idea: Go long near gold 3327, stop loss 3317, target 3350
Gold has risen strongly again. Can it break through the 3300 resEvent summary:
The current gold market presents a triple driving logic: the global central bank's continuous gold purchases constitute long-term support, and the US debt crisis and the risk of US dollar trust form the core upward momentum.
Technical aspects show that the gold price rose strongly after breaking through the key resistance of 3275, and the continuity of the bullish trend is clear, approaching the high of 3300 US dollars.
Level analysis:
Gold continued to break through strongly, with the highest price reaching 3293. After the key resistance of 3275 was effectively broken, there was no retracement, confirming the continuity of the bullish trend. The current gold price has refreshed the historical high, and is only one step away from the integer mark of 3300 US dollars. The technical form shows that the bullish momentum is sufficient, but we need to be vigilant against the risk of high-level stagflation. The current upper resistance is 3295-3310, and it can continue to hold after breaking through the resistance line.
Operation strategy:
Go long at 3285-3290, stop loss at 3280, and look up to 3300-3310.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, no matter you have made profits or losses in the past, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold prices soared again!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold suddenly surged in the short term, breaking through the $3,275/ounce mark, with an intraday increase of more than $45. The latest report from Bloomberg News in the United States said that as the Trump administration pushed forward investigations that could expand the trade war, it stimulated demand for safe-haven assets, and the London gold price hit a record high again. As the escalating trade war has raised concerns about the prospect of a global recession, as a traditional safe-haven asset, gold has accumulated a gain of more than 23% in 2025, continuing to set a record. As investors increase their holdings of international gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and central banks continue to increase their holdings of gold, major banks remain optimistic about the outlook for gold in the coming quarters. Investors are waiting for a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, scheduled for Wednesday, to look for clues related to interest rates. It is also necessary to pay attention to the US retail sales data at 20:30 on Wednesday and the specific implementation details of Trump's tariff policy. The analyst specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations.
Technical Review:
Gold opened sharply higher in the early trading and hit a new record high. It broke through the 3230 mark in the late trading and stabilized. The price continued to break the adjustment range of yesterday and rose in large volume. There was no technical movement during the day. The super-gain appeared in the early trading, and the price continued to hit a new record high. As investors turned to safe-haven assets amid the uncertainty brought by the continued tariff plan of US President Trump, additional tariffs could exacerbate the ongoing trade war and slow global economic growth. As global stock markets bottomed, the pressure on gold finally eased, and the precious metal rose sharply to a record high. The rise was very fierce because everyone rushed into the gold market, hoping to use it as a safe haven against the stagflation caused by the trade war. From a more macro perspective, gold is still in an upward trend because real yields may continue to fall because the threshold for rate hikes remains very high. Potential risks include another sharp sell-off in the stock market or a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. In the short term, given that gold's buying positions are too concentrated, if the trade war eases, gold prices are likely to experience a deeper correction, so it is necessary to pay close attention to developments in this regard. The current environment still supports the rise of gold, but the road to gold price rise will not be smooth, and there may be a temporary correction in the middle.
Today's analysis:
Gold directly broke through the new high in the early trading to avoid risks. The short-term adjustment of gold ended and finally completed the adjustment in a volatile manner. This kind of strong buying market of the breakthrough will basically not fall back too much. Since gold has chosen to break upward, since it has broken through, then it is to buy in the trend. The decline of gold is an opportunity to buy.The 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to diverge upward, then the buying of gold will continue to exert its strength. After gold breaks through 3245, then gold 3245 has formed support in the short term. Buy on dips when gold falls back to 3245. The strength of the wave of gold in the morning was still there at that time, so after the high, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Gold can continue to buy when it falls back to around 3245.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3236, target at 3280-3290;
Sell short-term gold at 3293-3295, stop loss at 3304, target at 3250-3240;
Key points:
First support level: 3253, second support level: 3240, third support level: 3225
First resistance level: 3280, second resistance level: 3300, third resistance level: 3315
XAU/USD(20250416) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September lTechnical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
3224
Support and resistance levels:
3247
3238
3233
3215
3209
3200
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3233, consider buying, the first target price is 3247
If the price breaks through 3224, consider selling, the first target price is 3215
Gold bull market? 3300 is not far awayEvent summary:
Goldman Sachs releases another "gold bomb"! The Wall Street giant raised its gold price target for the third time, predicting that gold will soar to $3700 per ounce in 2025, and even warned that it may exceed $4500 in extreme cases! In just a few months, the expected price of gold has soared like a rocket, and the market is completely boiling-this is not an investment, but this time, it may be an unprecedented super market!
Level analysis:
The early fluctuations of gold were not large, and it has always shown a trend of oscillating sideways. However, the current surge has directly given everyone a big surprise. How should we view the upward trend?
The surge in gold directly broke through the oscillation area. The daily line continued to attack after a break. The trend is still in a strong form, so it is better to follow and do more in the short term!
Trading signal:
3240-50 long, stop loss 3230, take profit 3285.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, I hope you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold hits a new all-time high, trend analysisEvent summary:
Tariff threats are still spreading further, and the EU expects US tariffs to continue because negotiations are progressing very slowly. At the same time, Trump administration officials hinted that most of the tariffs imposed on the EU will not be lifted.
These are the two phenomena we are currently seeing:
1. The rise in US bond yields is a typical panic, because maturing debts have to face renewal or repurchase, but in the current situation, it is obviously not possible without higher interest rates. If US bonds continue to rise, what can be used to make up for the interest gap?
2. The price of gold continues to break high, capital is seeking profits, and the US dollar credit system is further weakened. Then the alternative and safe-haven product is naturally gold. The flow of funds naturally promotes the space and possibility of gold to continue to rise sharply.
Level analysis:
After the gold surged, it continued to refresh its historical highs, and continued to maintain a high-level oscillating and strong trend along the short-term moving average on the daily trend. In the 4-hour level, the price began to break through the previous row of pressure belts, and the short-term moving average continued to diverge upwards and maintain a relatively strong trend. Pay attention to whether there is a secondary upward trend after the retracement confirmation during the day. In the short-term trend, pay attention to the support belt around 3240. The hourly level trend also maintains a good bullish divergence trend. In the current situation, try to focus on retracement and long positions. In the case of a strong market, the retracement may not be too strong. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Operation strategy:
3245-55 long positions, stop loss 3240, take profit 3275.
I am Quaid, turning every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Let us wait together for gold to break 3200
In terms of operation, short selling is still the main strategy, and short selling is still maintained near 3235. It is expected that gold will continue to adjust in the future, and 3200 will most likely be broken today.
Today's detailed operation strategy
Gold will go long at 3185, defend at 3175, and target 3200-3220
Gold will go short at 3235, defend at 3245, and target 3210-3180
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Do you think this is the final height of gold?
At present, affected by the global trade conflict, the price of gold is above $3,200. Although there was no accelerated rise on Monday, the retracement to confirm the position of $3,190 is also very perfect. I also emphasized the key position of $3,190 in the article last night. The gains and losses of this position will determine the direction of the short-term gold price.
Therefore, regarding the next target of gold in 2025, I think we should continue to pay attention to the target price of $3,318, and then adjust it according to the situation. What we need to do now is not to adjust the so-called target, but to understand the underlying logic of the deep-level gold rise when we encounter a callback in the middle!
Okay, let's talk about the gold market today.
On Monday, the price of gold opened slightly lower and pulled up to the previous high of $3,247, and then slid down in the European session. Many friends are worried about whether they will encounter Black Monday. My point of view is not speculation, but to see whether the key position of $3,190 will be lost. If it is lost, adjust the direction. Don't make too many assumptions before it is lost.
Today, gold continues to fluctuate at a high level. Two positions are focused on below. One is the support low point before the last 1-hour level pull-up at 3190, and the other is the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high point of 3167 US dollars.
As shown in the figure, the 4-hour gold price fell back to confirm 3190 US dollars last night, and then continued to climb steadily upward. The current focus is on the breakthrough of 3250 US dollars. Once it breaks through here, it will form a new pull-up. Fear of heights is the mentality of most people. They think that they will be trapped after the plunge if they chase high positions. In fact, as long as they fasten their seat belts, even if the plunge does not have much impact, people who are afraid of heights cannot make friends with the trend. They always think that a surge will definitely surge, which is a black-and-white thinking model.
Today, gold continues to rely on 3190 US dollars as the dividing point between long and short positions, and then go long after the callback. Pay attention to 3250-3265-3270 US dollars above. Break through 3190 US dollars and adjust the thinking to do a reverse hand!
Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
Is the gold price rally over?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184!
Today's analysis:
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240;
Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
Last week, China imposed a 125% tariff on US goods in retaliation for the US's 145% tariff, but then hinted that it would not respond to any further escalation of tariffs. Last weekend, President Donald Trump proposed the idea of levying a separate 20% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and electronics, suggesting that his strategy may shift from comprehensive tariffs to more targeted trade measures.
📊Commentary and analysis
Although there was a technical correction in the 1-hour gold trend, gold once retreated below 3197 to around 3195, but soon it was supported by bargain hunting again, suggesting that the underlying logic of this century's market is rock solid. When Fed officials are about to speak intensively, March PPI data hides inflation mystery, and geopolitical black swans continue to hover, every pullback of gold is accumulating power for the next round of charge. Historical experience shows that when there is a century-long divergence between physical assets and financial assets, it often indicates a large transfer of wealth at the civilization level.
Therefore, the gold price and the buying volume are maintained, and the upward trend continues: 3250, 3260
💰 Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time: Continue to go long near 3220
Take profit near 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold weakens in the short term, backhand shorts
Gold is still in a strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend. From the trend, the short-term moving average begins to diverge downward, and the price begins to slowly fall below the previous row support band and gradually weakens in the short-term trend. Pay attention to whether there is a small rebound in the late trading to confirm the secondary decline trend. In the hourly trend, the current small arc top pattern has emerged. The K line begins to slowly stick to the short-term moving average to maintain a good oscillating downward trend. Pay attention to the support band around 3170 in the short term. Pay attention to the adjustment and repair of the short-term trend. For operation, refer to the short-term opportunity near 3215-6, and stop loss at 3221.8.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260Gold market analysis:
Now everyone is waiting for a sharp drop in gold, because the previous strong bottom pull did not leave too many people with the opportunity to step back. There are many sell orders in the market. I still think that individual investors should not hold on to it. I have not seen an individual investor who holds on to it and makes a profit. Gold has risen to the highest record in history, and it is also the time point with the largest fluctuation in the past year. Many newcomers basically find it difficult to escape such a big market. Newcomers hold on to it and increase their positions when they are wrong. Veterans run faster than rabbits when they are wrong, and they hold on to it when they are right. Last week's gold weekly line was again a big positive, and the K-line moving average broke up again. There is no top to the weekly line. The indicator shows that the next target of the weekly line is 3400. In the short term, we need to find a good rhythm and opportunity to follow the buying.
The gold chart shows that the short-term moving average has begun to rise, and the buying pattern support has reached around 3209. Today's Asian market prices are strong above this position. The short-term moving average support is around 3218. In addition, the suppression of 3245 is also obvious. If it breaks, it will pull up a lot of space again. Those who like to see 3245 in the Asian market are an opportunity. If you want to follow the trend, you have to give up. The short-term retracement is our opportunity to get on the train again.
Pressure 3245, big suppression is invisible, small support 3218 and 3209, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3209.
Fundamental analysis:
Previous CPI data also showed that gold suppressed the US dollar. This week, the market will rest on Good Friday, and Powell will speak.
Operation suggestions:
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260