Gold Continues to Rise Amid Increased Safe-Haven Demand📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices surged on June 2, 2025, reaching multi-week highs as investors sought safe-haven assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions and trade war concerns. U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, along with Ukraine's drone attacks on Russian facilities, prompted investors to flock to gold as a secure investment.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,380 – $3,405
• Nearest Support: $3,320 – $3,295
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 → uptrend.
• Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: RSI(14) at 65 , MACD(12,26) signaling buy, indicating continued upward momentum.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue its short-term uptrend if it holds above the $3,320 support level. However, caution is advised due to potential technical corrections as RSI indicates overbought conditions.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,380 – $3,385
o 🎯 TP: $3,320
o ❌ SL: $3,405
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,295 – $3,320
o 🎯 TP: $3,380
o ❌ SL: $3,270
Goldinvesting
The dollar is strong, will gold break through the consolidation?At the beginning of this week, the US dollar index fell to a one-month low due to Trump's sudden change in the direction of the EU policy. Subsequently, due to the contest between Trump and the US Trade Court ruling, the prices of gold and the US dollar fluctuated greatly.
I think the US dollar will start to rise next week with the help of non-farm payrolls data. I am afraid that a new round of price fluctuations is coming.
If the US dollar is to have a new upward trend in June, gold will also be affected. Judging from the current daily line of gold, the overall trend is also to be adjusted downward.
The high point of gold in May was 3438, and the low point was 3120. I also drew the Fibonacci dividing line in the figure. The most critical position is 3317 at the 0.382 position and 3280 at the 0.5 position.
Gold is still maintaining a consolidation of 3317-3280. Although there have been breakthroughs above and below, they are all within the daily range. Next week, as long as gold can close below 3280 on the daily line, it will start a correction trend step by step. The first target below is around 3250, and the second is 3180-3200.
As long as the daily line of gold can close below 3180, then we will usher in a big bearish trend at the daily level. On the contrary, the daily line of gold cannot close above 3317 again. In a better situation, it may touch around 3340 again and then retreat again.
The bad result is that it directly breaks through the pressure level and stands above the 3340 trend line. If this happens, the price of gold may move towards a new high.
Gold Holding Pattern – Key Resistance AheadHey, friends
On the 4-hour time frame, TVC:XAU is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, but we haven’t seen any breakout yet, we’re still trading inside the triangle.
If we look at the LTF, we’re currently at the 0.236 FIB level, which isn’t a very strong buying zone, but technically, we’ve broken out of a falling wedge and are now retesting it.
That looks pretty good, and if this setup plays out well, we could see an upward move toward $3,470.
However, there’s a strong resistance around $3,350 to $3,370 that we need to break first. If we break that, it will also confirm the breakout of the symmetrical triangle from the 4-hour chart.
So keep an eye on those areas!
#GOLD #forextrading
Technical Analysis → Gold will remain stableThroughout May, the news backdrop, including international trade tariffs and geopolitical turmoil, led to a technical peak of around $3,430 and a low near $3,130 in gold. As of now, the price per ounce is stable at around $3,300, roughly the same level as at the beginning of the month.
This shows that supply and demand forces are basically balanced, and prices are maintained between these two extremes. Gold technicals further confirm this and highlight the importance of the $3,300 level.
Bearish perspective: The A→B→C→D→E sequence forms a peak high and a cycle low, which is a clear downtrend signal. The trajectory is marked in red, and the upper line constitutes resistance.
Bullish perspective: Since the beginning of 2025, the price of gold has been in an upward trend, represented by the blue channel, and its lower boundary constitutes key support (marked with arrows).
It is worth noting that these support and resistance lines are converging, forming a narrowing triangle. This shows that supply and demand are balancing and the market has reached a consensus around the $3,300 level, which is exactly the central axis of the triangle.
Based on this, we can reasonably assume that the technical side of gold in June may continue to fluctuate within this triangle unless a special event occurs that causes a significant break in the current balance.
Gold retested as expected, what to do next?
Gold rebounded from 3308 in the US market and fell to 3272. The recent market is good-looking but difficult to do. The long and short positions are repeatedly washed. The monthly line basically closed at the cross star. Under the fierce game between long and short positions, the performance was balanced.
The short-term hourly line is only a single negative line that fell rapidly, and it does not have downward continuity. The high point of the US market rebound is around 3302. If you want to participate, you can go short when it reaches around 3302. As of press time, gold is accumulating strength around 3293. If you step back below, you can rely on the low point for defense.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold Declines as PCE Inflation Data Cools📊 Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading around $3,289/oz, down from the day's high of $3,322. This decline follows the U.S. PCE inflation data showing a 2.1% annual increase in April, below the forecast of 2.2% and March's 2.3%. Core PCE also rose 0.1% monthly and 2.5% annually, the lowest since early 2021.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,330
• Nearest Support: $3,270
• EMA: Price is currently below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• RSI Indicator: The RSI is declining, signaling increasing selling pressure.
• Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern has formed after failing to break above the $3,330 resistance zone.
📌 Outlook:
If gold fails to hold the $3,270 support level, it may continue to decline towards $3,250. However, maintaining above $3,270 could see a rebound towards the $3,300 – $3,310 range.
💡Suggested Trade Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,310 – $3,315
🎯 TP: $3,290
❌ SL: $3,320
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,270
🎯 TP: $3,290
❌ SL: $3,260
Gold price rebounded. Strategy is coming.Gold rose yesterday under the stimulus of risk aversion; gold did not continue the upward trend today, which means that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has been digested. The 4-hour moving average of gold formed a dead cross, and MACD also formed a dead cross. Then gold is likely to maintain the morning support position near 3290 for oscillation.
I think we can continue to short after gold rebounds. After the opening of the US market, the rise of gold has been under pressure at the 3310 line and cannot break through. Gold rebounded under pressure at 3310 and continued to short on rallies.
The market situation is changing all the time. We cannot always use the same trading strategy. If the price fails to rise, we will implement a short strategy; in line with the changes in the market, we can make profits faster.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3305, stop loss 3315, profit range 3270-3260.
Gold awaits tariff volatility!
📌 Driving Events
Gold rebounded from a weekly low near $3,245 and broke through the $3,300 mark on Thursday, boosted by optimism following a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and a U.S. court ruling halting President Trump's proposed tariffs.
Gold fell on Friday as the dollar rose slightly, while investors await a U.S. inflation report that could provide further insights into the Fed's policy trajectory.
📊 Commentary Analysis
The market continued to fall for an hour, fluctuating back and forth, lacking continuity - it rose yesterday and fell today. Gold rebounded above $3,320 in early trading before retreating. On the weekly and daily charts, the trend is still dominated by range fluctuations rather than unilateral gains or losses.
I think shorting gold should be considered today, with support below at $3,280-3,270-3,260. However, prices may struggle to make new lows. As today is the monthly close, large fluctuations suggest that we should avoid chasing ups and downs.
💰Strategy plan
XAUUSD
Sell: 3330-3320-3310
tp: 3300-3290-3280
Monthly closing bet. Opening a falling gap?Information summary:
At 8:30 a.m. on Friday, U.S. time, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for April. As the most favored inflation indicator of the Federal Reserve, the year-on-year change in the core PCE price index has a greater impact on policymakers.
If the data is released, the core PCE price index in April rises faster than expected, and the direct reaction of the market may lead investors to prefer the policy rate to remain unchanged in July. In this case, the U.S. dollar may gather strength, causing gold prices to fall before the weekend.
Market analysis:
Gold prices rose as high as 3322 in the early Asian session, and then fell without a dollar line. As of now, the lowest price has retreated to the 3290 U.S. dollar line. At present, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely; but the trend view is still biased towards the short side. The strength of the current rebound still depends on the strength of the European session. In the European session, the operation will focus on the vicinity of 3310 U.S. dollars first, and the pressure will still look down to 3280 U.S. dollars.
However, if the European session falls directly below $3,285, there is still room for decline, and the support is around 3,250. In addition, today is the last day of the monthly line closing, and the range of fluctuations has not yet left, so you can continue the short strategy.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3,310, stop loss at $3,320, and profit range around $3,250.
Tariff policy reversed again? Be careful on Friday.Yesterday, Trump and the US Trade Court ruled that the US International Trade Court had stopped the tariff policy. Gold once fell to a low of 3245, while the US dollar rushed all the way to a high of 100.5. Then it reversed, and gold began to rectify and rise. As of now, it has once touched a high of 3330, close to a rebound of $85.
Today, it reversed again. The US Court of Appeals allowed Trump's tariff policy to continue to take effect temporarily. And impose tariffs on most areas of the global economy, including allowing tariffs of up to 15% within 150 days to address trade imbalances with other countries. Compared with the tariff policy that was deemed illegal this week, this step is more legally defensible.
Looking at the current gold, it is likely that gold will fall sharply today. After gold fell yesterday, everyone wanted to short gold, but gold rebounded all the way.
So, today, Friday, is an opportunity for short-selling strategies. The short positions have been eliminated, so gold has every reason to fall, and it will fall sharply.
Once it falls below 3280 in the downward trend, it will test the low point of yesterday near 3250. If it breaks through 3250 again, it will go directly to the low point near 3200. The current short-selling strategy has little to do with technical analysis, it is completely a test of human nature.
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction Amid Technical Resistance📊 Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading around $3,314/oz, slightly down after testing resistance near $3,350. The market faces pressure from a strengthening USD and inflation concerns. Investors are closely monitoring signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,350
• Nearest Support: $3,200
• EMA: Current price is near the 50-day EMA, indicating a potential trend reversal if resistance holds.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may decline in the short term if it fails to break above the $3,350 resistance and the USD continues to strengthen.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3330
o 🎯 TP: $3,310
o ❌ SL: $3,340
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,230
o 🎯 TP: $3,250
o ❌ SL: $3,220
Gold is still washing out, beware of a fall below 3326!
📊Comment Analysis
After gold fell in the Asian session, the entire European session rebounded continuously, and the US session hit the 3318 line. Overall, it is still a wide range of shocks and washes out. No matter whether it rises or falls, it is not continuous, and the fluctuation range is large, which is difficult to grasp in short-term operations.
The current rise cannot be regarded as a strong trend. The characteristic of the shock market is repetition. The 4H cycle opens at 3326 as a watershed. Beware of a fall below this position in the US session. You can try to go short near 3320/3325. At present, it is a key position to bet on the short position. If it goes up, it will be 3340/3350. The rise in a short period of time is too large, and once it falls back, the strength will be the same.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold starts a new trend? What is the reason?Gold prices rebounded, and the phenomenon of "buying on dips" appeared after hitting the low of the week earlier. In addition, the US Trade Court ruled that President Donald Trump's tariffs on major trading partners exceeded his authority, which attracted market attention. Investors' focus has gradually shifted to the US core inflation data to be released this week.
So far, the price of gold has risen by 0.91%, and the price has fluctuated around 3315. It hit the lowest point since May 20 during the European and Asian sessions.
The cyclical market presents a three-wave pattern. The first two periods showed a trend of rising first, then falling, and then rising again. It is currently entering the third period. The current rally has basically ended and will usher in a small decline.
I believe that the current rise in gold is partly due to technical covering, while economic uncertainty continues to support gold prices amid ongoing US debt problems and global trade tensions.
In addition, there are reports that the United States has ordered a large number of companies not to export goods to China without permission, and revoked the export licenses that some suppliers have obtained.
The current market is focusing on the US GDP data to be released later and the core personal consumption expenditure price index to be released on Friday. These two data will become an important basis for judging the future interest rate path of the Federal Reserve.
I will also pay attention to the release of news in a timely manner so as to update you in time on the impact of news on gold prices. Please be patient, traders.
XAU/USD 29 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Don't chase gold if it falls below $3,300
The Trump administration's tariff policy has been stopped through judicial procedures. Affected by this news, it is inevitable that gold will continue to fall back today: yesterday's rebound hit the resistance level and fell back to $3,325. The market fell sharply in the early trading, and the market pattern quickly changed from range fluctuations to bearish dominance. From a technical analysis, the bearish pattern of the medium-term weekly cycle is forming effective pressure. Even if there is a sharp rebound in the future and breaks through the recent highs, it is very likely to be a bull trap-essentially a precursor to a return to a downward trend after a decline.
Gold/USD
Sales @3270-3280
TP: 3250-3240
sl: 3290
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom. Don't shortOn Wednesday, the New York International Trade Court of the United States stopped Trump's planned tariff policy; it ruled that Trump's act of imposing comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than imports without the authorization of Congress was an overstep. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended.
After the news came out, gold fell rapidly, hitting a low of $3,245. It has now adjusted back and maintained around 3,270 for consolidation. From the current point of view, most traders with short strategies have taken profits around 3,250.
From the hourly chart, gold has started to pull back from $3,265 this week, and as of the current low of $3,245, it is a three-wave downward trend. The first wave fell to $3,225, and then rebounded to $3,350. The second wave fell from $3350 to $3285, and then rebounded to $3325.
The third wave of decline has been completed. According to the early decline and then the rise, the current rebound from $3245 is likely to test around $3300.
However, considering that $3285 is the previous low point, $3285 is also the upward pressure position this time.
Therefore, we should pay close attention to the pressure range of $3285-3295. If it can stabilize below $3295, then we can rely on the $3295-3285 range for short operations.
On the contrary, if the rebound is stabilized above 3300, it is necessary to stop loss in time.
Risk aversion cools down, gold may continue to fall
📌 Driving events
The International Trade Court in Manhattan, USA, blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" trade measures. This news is conducive to shorting gold. This news is undoubtedly a reversal of Trump's "reciprocal tariff" policy implemented on April 3, slapping Trump in the face! Gold has been mainly driven by tariffs this year, and the decline is mainly due to the easing of tariffs. Spot gold has fluctuated sharply recently. After opening at $3285.91/ounce in the Asian session, it reached a high of $3294.46/ounce, and then fell sharply. The lowest reached around $3240 and continued to fall.
📊Comment analysis
The volatility of the Asian session highlights the fierce game between long and short positions. The changes in risk aversion caused by previous geopolitical and economic data, and investors' profit-taking and other factors are intertwined. Subsequent investors need to keep a close eye on key information such as the minutes of the subsequent Federal Reserve meeting in order to grasp the trend of gold prices.
💰Strategy Package
After the Asian session opened, gold was affected by the news and quickly plunged through the 3280-85 area support. After a rapid decline in important support, the upper 3280-85 constituted the next strong resistance, the strong and weak dividing line. Below it, the weak position is expected to gradually fall to 3245-50 before reversing the short pattern, and further to 3225-20 and 3200. Given that the 3250-45 area is a recent bullish breakthrough, the 3245-50 area support is bound to usher in a strong rebound during the day, and further attention will be paid to the 3220-25 area and the 3200 mark support rebound. Refer to it to formulate trading strategies!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Is Gold’s Momentum Strong Enough to Break $3,400?📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices retreated slightly as stronger-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence data boosted expectations that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for an extended period. This lent strength to the U.S. dollar, weighing on gold. Meanwhile, a more stable geopolitical tone—particularly in U.S.-EU trade discussions—has reduced safe-haven flows into gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,345 – $3,355
• Nearest Support: $3,270 – $3,280
📌 Outlook:
Gold may remain under pressure in the short term if the U.S. dollar stays firm and the Fed’s hawkish stance persists. However, the $3,270 support zone remains a key pivot for any potential rebound.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 - $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,325
❌ SL: $3,355
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,270 – $3,280
🎯 TP: $3,290
❌ SL: $3,260
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,320/oz on May 28, 2025, after failing to break above a key resistance zone. The US dollar’s recovery and rising Treasury yields are putting short-term pressure on gold, despite lingering geopolitical tensions.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,330 – $3,360
• Nearest Support: $3,280 – $3,235
• EMA 09: Price is currently above the EMA 09, indicating that the upward trend remains intact.
• RSI Indicator: RSI stays above the 50 level, suggesting momentum is still bullish.
• Candlestick Pattern: A doji near the $3,330 zone signals market indecision.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may see a mild correction if the USD continues to strengthen. However, holding above $3,280 would keep the bullish momentum alive.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,330
🎯 TP: $3,310 (200 pips)
❌ SL: $3,340
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,285
🎯 TP: $3,305 (200 pips)
❌ SL: $3,275
Gold is about to reach the shorting zone
The tariff policy against Europe and Apple was temporarily shelved last Friday due to the decline in the credibility of the Trump administration, which failed to push gold prices up this week. Instead, gold prices continue to fluctuate within the downward channel. Currently, the focus is on the resistance level of $3,325-3,335, and shorting can be attempted near this level.
Pay close attention to whether the support level of $3,280 and the resistance level of $3,365 are broken.
Gold fluctuates upward. Waiting for a breakthrough?Since the trend of today's Asian session is a drop before an increase, and we are currently holding long orders near 3292, the trend is still looking upward. It is about to reach the resistance position near 3325 that I predicted. This is a strong and weak dividing point in the short term. Whether it can continue to break through and move upward depends on the situation in the European session. If you hold a long position, you can continue to hold it and wait for the price to break through.
For those who have not entered the market yet, you can continue to wait and see if the upper resistance level can break through strongly. The market changes drastically. I hope everyone will make a profit today.
Gold closed with a big negative line, and may fall below 3285
📌 Driving events
On Monday, gold prices fell nearly 2%, falling below the $3,300 mark. Investor sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump decided to postpone the imposition of tariffs on EU imports. The recovery in risk appetite, coupled with the dollar's small rebound from last week's decline, put pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.
Earlier, President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had a call over the weekend and finally decided to postpone the U.S. plan to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9. The move eased global trade concerns, prompted investors to shift away from safe-haven assets other than the dollar, and pushed global stocks higher.
📊Commentary Analysis
Gold showed a downward trend on Tuesday and has now broken below the 5-day moving average. This change has turned the market from a previous strong rise to a volatile trend. However, to determine whether the market has weakened, further observation is needed.
From the perspective of upper resistance, focus on the position near 3350. This position is not only yesterday's high point, but also the resistance position formed by the extension of the line connecting the high points of 3350 and 3438. Once the price breaks through this resistance level, it means that the market will return to a strong upward trend. In fact, it is near 3325 or the low point in the previous decline. It is necessary to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion here. The support level below is first yesterday's low of 3285 and the previous low of 3280.
💰Strategy Package
Operation strategy;
Short gold near 3325, defend 3335, target 3305-3285
Long gold near 3280, defend 3270, target 3300-3320
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Mr. President repeatedly wavered, new trend?Last Friday, Trump threatened to escalate the trade war again, suggesting that a 50% tariff be imposed on the EU from June 1. The US dollar index continued to decline during the day, falling to a low of around 99. Due to increased risk aversion demand, spot gold once rose by more than 2%, reaching a daily high of $3,365. At the opening of this Monday, Trump issued a statement to postpone the imposition of tariffs on the EU, extending the deadline for the EU to face 50% tariffs to July 9. Gold was also affected, and it has continued to rectify its downward trend this week. Yesterday, the lowest point was near 3285.
From the current daily chart, the trend support line here on the daily chart has been broken. So it is very likely that there will be a short-term correction trend on the daily line next. Once the lower 3250-3260 is broken, it will directly test the lower trend line of the daily line at 3160-3170.
From the 4-hour chart:
We can reverse the market. If we take the previous daily low of 3160 as the target, we can see that 3285 is exactly where it stopped and stabilized yesterday. So, it is normal for 3285 to rebound and consolidate. We can also see that the range of the 4-hour chart has been broken, so 3285 may fall directly and break through next. Then the next position to pay attention to is 3260-50. If it falls below this range, we can directly see the trend line support position of 3160-70 in this round of daily lines.
Trading is risky, and I hope my analysis can help traders reduce the risk of trading.