Is this week a chance for gold to break through 3,500?
⭐️Gold Information:
Gold prices surged for the third consecutive trading day on Friday as geopolitical tensions intensified after Israel launched a military strike on Iranian targets, including nuclear facilities and key leaders. The escalation of the situation triggered widespread risk aversion in global markets, stimulating demand for safe-haven assets. As of the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,431.
Gold surged to a five-week high of $3,446 before giving up gains as traders took profits before the weekend. Geopolitical turmoil, coupled with dovish signals released by recent US inflation data, reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin to cut interest rates later this year - despite improved consumer confidence. These factors together support the bullish momentum of gold.
⭐️Personal Comment:
Continued military tensions next week are a big driving force for gold prices to continue to break through 3,500
. 🔥 Technical aspects:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, the following important key areas can be identified:
Resistance: $3488, $3502, $3562
Support: $3382, $3342
Goldinvestment
Geopolitical tensions, gold prices may reach 3480 points⭐️Personal comments:
Due to the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, market risk sentiment has slightly rebounded, and investors are more inclined to buy traditional safe-haven assets-gold
Moving towards 3480
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3478-3480 SL 3485
TP1: $3462
TP2: $3450
TP3: $3435
🔥Buy gold area: $3375-$3377 SL $3370
TP1: $3389
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3412
Israel attacks Iran, gold price correction can be long gold
📣Gold news
Today, Israel launched an attack on Iran, and the gold price reached a high of $3,433/ounce, the highest level since May 6, and the weekly increase exceeded 3.6%, the highest level since the week of May 19.
Spot gold continued to rise during the US trading session on Thursday, reaching a weekly high of $3,398.55/ounce. However, in the afternoon of the same day, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that China and the United States reached a principled agreement on implementing the consensus of the heads of state call and consolidating the results of the Geneva talks, and made new progress in resolving each other's economic and trade concerns. Affected by the easing of the Sino-US trade situation, the safe-haven demand for gold dropped sharply, and the price fell rapidly by $30 from the high, reaching a low of $3,338/ounce. The market risk appetite has rebounded significantly, and the risk aversion sentiment has cooled significantly. Combined with the fact that the monthly and annual rates of the US CPI released in the evening were both lower than expected, indicating that inflationary pressure has not intensified. After the data was released, the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year have further increased.
📊Technical analysis:
Technically, the upper track of the daily line is still in a flat state. The current market has reached a high of around 3444. After the rise on Thursday, it is expected that there will be little room above. Since the market is in a volatile rise, it is not suitable to directly chase the rise. The 4-hour Bollinger band continues to diverge upward, and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, indicating that the current market is in a strong position. If it breaks high on Thursday, there will be a chance of rising on Friday. In terms of operation, keep the idea of calling back and going long. If it falls below 3367 again, there will be repeated fluctuations.
Today's operation strategy💰
If the gold price falls back to around 3375, go long. If it is around 3370 and 3365, add more. Stop loss at 3360. Target 3420-3430
Sell short near 3430. Add shorts in batches near 3430 and 3435. Stop loss at 3440. Target 3380-3374
(If you have just entered the market, the gold market is confusing. The operation direction is always reversed. The entry price is not sure. The position is trapped. You can contact Labaron to get the gold price trend analysis And online guidance for unwinding! )
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Keep gold shorts open and look forward to profits!After breaking through the resistance areas near 3335 and 3355, gold continued to rise to around 3379; although the rise in gold was relatively large, after gold touched above 3370, the bullish momentum weakened and there were signs of high-level stagflation, so gold is still expected to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term.
After the sharp rise in gold, the current relatively obvious support area is located in the 3345-3335 area. If gold cannot effectively break through 3380, then gold is expected to retrace to test the support of the 3345-3335 area again.
As the trading strategy shared in my previous opinion, I have shorted gold in batches in the 3370-3380 area as planned. At present, we still hold short positions. Let us look forward to the expected retracement of gold!
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
Continue to short goldTechnical aspect:
Gold rebounded gradually after hitting 3120, and has now rebounded to around 3200. Where will gold rebound? Is there still a chance to continue to short gold?
In fact, from the current structure, gold has not shown a clear bottoming signal, so this wave of rebound can only be regarded as a technical repair after the decline; however, the rebound from 3120 to around 3200 is not small, which will significantly increase the probability of 3120 as a short-term bottom; so where will gold rise? I think gold is currently under resistance in the 3200-3210 area, and it may be difficult to break through this resistance area in a short period of time. When facing this resistance area, gold may fall under pressure and test the 3165-6155 area again;
If gold really needs to form a reversal structure, it is necessary for gold to retest the 3165-3155 area support again and form a "W" double bottom structure with the 3120 low; only in this way can a complete reversal structure be formed.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to short gold in the 3195-3205 area, TP: 3165-3155
No fear of retracement, continue to be long on goldFundamentals:
1. First, focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics;
2. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Gold fell after touching 3330, but it is obvious that the retracement space of gold is being compressed. The lowest price of gold only fell back to 3313, and it did not even make any attempt below 3310. With the continuous consolidation and strengthening of the support in the 3310-3300 area, the double bottom structure and the arc bottom form a technical resonance in the short term. Gold should still have room to continue to rise. I expect that gold is likely to continue to rebound and extend to the 3350-3360 area.
Trading strategy:
It is possible to consider going long on gold again after gold falls back to the 3315-3305 area, and expect gold to rise above 3350 as expected!
Gold’s decline is not over yet, aim at: 3160-3150Gold fell below the 3200 mark several times during the test. Although it recovered above 3200 several times, the rebound momentum is gradually weakening, giving short sellers the opportunity to counterattack.
From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has perfectly constructed an arc top structure, laying a solid foundation for gold to usher in a retracement at any time. The 4-hour candle chart shows that the fall has just begun, so gold still has plenty of room for retracement. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3200, but if it cannot break through the 3216-3220 zone during the rebound, it will further confirm the downward trend of gold, then gold will inevitably retreat to the 3160-3150 zone, and in the process of decline, once the profit chips are cashed in or even panic selling is triggered, gold may even have the opportunity to retreat to the 3130-3120 zone!
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold in batches. The decline of gold has not ended. Let us look forward to gold bringing us huge profits during the retracement!
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Gold Approaches 3100, Short Opportunity EmergesGold has reached a high of around 3085, now just a step away from the 3100 level. However, for short-term trading, I view the 3085-3105 range as an ideal zone to consider short positions on gold.
📍Short-Term Trading Strategy:
Consider scaling into short positions within the 3085-3105 range. Pay close attention to position sizing and risk management when setting up trades.
📍Key Support Levels to Watch:
-First target: 3065-3055
-Second target: 3045-3040
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Short gold at the right time after rebound📍Gold experienced a sharp decline to around 3002 in the short term — did it catch you off guard? Despite the rapid drop, I remained committed to my trading logic and strategy. As long as gold holds above the 3005-2995 support zone, a rebound toward the 3015 level remains likely. After stabilizing, gold has already rebounded above 3014, nearly reaching our target zone of 3015. In response, we opted to manually close our positions to lock in profits.
📍Looking ahead, our primary focus will be on the 3015-3025 resistance zone. In the short term, gold has shown signs of forming a descending channel structure. If it fails to decisively break above the 3015-3025 zone and invalidate the downtrend channel, there remains a possibility of a retest of the 3000 level, with further downside potential toward the 2995-2985 range.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Sell at 3015-3025
TP:3010-3000
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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Gold is about to take off like a rocket, boldly go long gold!Bros, don't have any doubts about the rise of gold. Gold is just accumulating upward momentum during the shock process. Once the shock ends, gold will take off like a rocket.
In the short term, gold has tested the support of the 2900-2890 area many times and has never fallen below, confirming that the support in this area is effective. In addition, the candle chart forms multiple long lower shadows in the short period, indicating that the gold price refuses to fall, which will attract more off-market funds to buy gold. In this market, the longer the gold shock time, the higher the increase, so please relax and let us look forward to the gold rocket taking off! The first target in the short term is 2920. Once gold stands above 2920, gold is bound to reach 2930, and it is even expected to continue to rise to 2955
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Buy gold aggressively and grab bargains!Bros, I have just clearly pointed out in the last article that gold will continue to rise after repeatedly testing and confirming the support of the 2900-2890 zone. I expect gold to at least test the 2920-2930 area again, and once gold stands above 2920, it will inevitably break through 2930 and even hopefully reach the previous high of 2955 again.
So brothers, gold falling back to the 2900-2890 zone is a good time for us to pick up bargains. I have picked up a lot of bargains in this zone, have you picked them up?
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Short gold! Target to earn 400 pips!!!Bros, gold has failed to effectively break through the 2920 area after many attempts during the rebound, and has consumed too much bull momentum near the resistance area. The shorts will become relatively stronger; gold has just fallen below 2900 strongly during the decline, further indicating that gold will choose a downward direction, and the current gold rebound is more likely to reserve room for a decline in the NFP market tomorrow.
So in terms of short-term trading, I still insist on shorting gold. At the latest on Friday in the US market, I expect gold to usher in a wave of big declines, at least retreating to the 2880-2870 area again, or even near the 2860 area. Brothers, are you optimistic about the big decline in gold?
Bros, only by following the right people can you execute the right transactions and master the skills to make money. If you want to master independent trading skills and thinking while copying trading signals and making stable profits, you can join the channel at the bottom of this article to liberate your trading talent!
Keep the trading rhythm of shorting goldBros, although gold seems to want to continue to rise, it still faces resistance in the 2930-2940 zone in the short term, and even resistance near the stage high of 2955, so it is not easy for gold to seek a breakthrough upward.
Moreover, it is easy for technical false breakthroughs to occur before the NFP market on Friday, and there are technical temptations to do long candlesticks. Therefore, before breaking through the key resistance area, we can still short gold, and it is not difficult to expect gold to retreat to the 2910-2900 zone.
Bros, did you follow me to short gold? Wise choices are far greater than hard work. Only by following the right people can we execute the right transactions and accumulate profits that change our lives and destiny. If you want to copy trading signals and make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and techniques in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Short trade in progressBros, today's trading view is very clear. We still continue to short gold, and there is no problem in making 200-300pips of profit in the short term.
Gold faces multiple key resistances above 2930. It is difficult to have enough momentum to break through the multiple key resistances above in the short term; and before the NFP market on Friday, both long and short sides are relatively cautious, and it is difficult to form a unilateral trend market. The overall market still fluctuates within the range. So I think shorting gold is still profitable.
In terms of short-term trading, I have taken the 2930-2940 area as resistance and shorted gold below 2930. At present, gold has fallen back to below 2920. Our short position has made a good profit. What we need to do now is to wait patiently for gold to continue to fall back, so as to bring us more lucrative profits.
Bros, did you follow me to short gold? Wise choices are far greater than hard work. Only by following the right people can we execute the right transactions and accumulate profits that change our lives and destiny. If you want to copy trading signals and make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and techniques in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Still short gold, TP: 2895-2885Bros. good morning!!!To be honest, I still hold my short position. In the past two days, gold has fallen back to around 2902-2901 many times. Although I made a good profit in the process, I think the fall of gold has not reached my target expectation, so I continue to maintain the short position for the time being and have not closed the position.
According to the current stage, gold has formed a current high point near 2956, and the 2930-2940 zone has also become an important current resistance area. Therefore, I believe that the current rebound of gold is not enough to support gold to continue to rebound and break through the key resistance level.
In addition, the situation between Russia and Ukraine is developing towards peace expectations, and the factors supporting gold have decreased again. After the fermentation and digestion of the market in recent days, the positive impact of the tariff issue will gradually weaken. On the technical level, gold is likely to replicate the trend between February 25th and 27th, and fall again after building a double top structure in the short term.
So in terms of short-term trading, if you don’t have any positions, you can still continue to short gold and look forward to gold falling back to the 2895-2885 zone.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Gold still has room to continue falling,continue to short goldBros, according to the trading strategy shared in my last article, whether you are short gold in the 2915-2925 zone or long gold near 2900, I believe you have made very considerable profits in both long and short transactions. Currently, gold is trading around 2913, and volatility has narrowed, gold should still have room to continue falling. Gold fell from the interim high of 2956 to around 2832, a total drop of more than $120, but pulled back to around 2928 with two huge positive candlesticks within 2 days. The rebound was too fast and did not go through the stage of shock bottoming and rebound. So the too fast rebound is actually not conducive to the continued rise of gold; in addition, according to the current structure and symmetry of gold, gold still has the need to continue to fall back to the 2895-2885 area in a short period of time, as shown in the following figure:
So in short-term trading, we can still keep the rhythm of shorting gold!
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
First short gold, then long goldBros, driven by risk aversion, gold has risen rapidly to above 2920, breaking through the recent consolidation range of 2895-2885. However, due to the promotion of news, the continuity of gold's rise may not be strong. We must be careful of the trend of falling after rising, so we cannot aggressively chase long gold in short-term trading;
After consolidating in the past two days, gold has risen through the stimulation of news and got rid of the bottom area, and the rising structure is relatively complete. Then gold may try to rush into the upper 2930 resistance area again with the support of the rising structure, or even near the previous high of 2956. So in the next transaction, we can wait for gold to fall back to the 2900-2890 zone and try to go long on gold;
Of course, for now, before gold falls back to 2900-2890, we can safely short gold again in the 2915-2925 zone; after gold falls back to 2900-2890, we will go long on gold.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Still short goldBros, after gold continued to rebound to around 2893, it encountered resistance and fell back in this position area many times, which consumed the bullish momentum to a certain extent. This position area happens to be the 50% segmentation area from the high point of 2956 to the low point of 2832. So if gold fails to break through this area many times, it will hit the morale of the bulls to a certain extent.
In addition, although gold rebounded to the 50% retracement position area in one go, which exceeded my expectations to a certain extent, it did not form a solid structural support after touching around 2832. The technical pattern of "single needle bottoming" alone cannot support gold to continue to rebound and break through the key resistance area. Therefore, on the technical level, gold still needs to continue to step back and confirm support.
So in the short term, I am still willing to try to short gold. The upper resistance area is in the 2895-2905 zone, and the lower support area is in the 2875-2865 zone.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Unwavering belief in short sellingBrothers, I have already shorted gold according to the trading plan. Do you have the courage to short gold with me?
At present, the volatility of gold is converging and maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations near 2890, but it is obvious that the rebound of gold is insufficient to support the continuation of the rebound and breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain degree of bullish power, the bears will regain control of the situation. And I also have the following reasons to believe that gold will retest the 2875-2865 area again.
1. The upward breakthrough of gold is insufficient, and it needs to retreat to increase liquidity and attract more bulls to enter the market;
2. After the sharp drop in gold, there is no strong structural support for gold to continue to rise at the technical level, and the bottom support is not reliable;
3. Gold hesitated in the key resistance level area, which consumed the bullish momentum to a certain extent. Gold needs to retreat to accumulate more momentum.
So based on the above three points, I am still confident in my short position, and I believe that my short position will definitely bring me satisfactory returns.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Continue to short goldBros, gold is currently continuing to rebound to around 2892. This wave of rebound is really unexpected. It was originally expected that gold would fall back after rebounding to around 2890. Unexpectedly, gold broke through the 2890 mark after a slight pause.
Fortunately, gold was not strong during its breakthrough, indicating that the sustainability of gold's rebound remains to be examined, and the 2900-2910 zone above poses structural resistance to gold in the short term. I predict that gold will fall back again before it can even touch 2900, so I am still optimistic about gold's retracement in the short term.
Now I have shorted gold. Although I have a slight loss now, I am not worried about my short position. If gold cannot continue and break through the 2900-2910 zone in one fell swoop, gold will also retest the 2875-2865 support zone.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Gold rebounds as expected, get ready to short goldBros, as the trading strategy I published in the last article, we went long on gold near 2860 as scheduled according to the trading plan today. In order to lock in profits in time, we closed the order near 2870. In just half an hour, we made almost 100 pips of profit.
At present, gold continues to rebound to around 2875. Although the rebound process is relatively continuous, the overall rebound strength is not strong, so we can't chase gold too much; gold fell from the stage high of 2956 to around 2830, and gold turned from strong to weak. Its 50% retracement level is in the 2890-2895 zone, and the 38% retracement level is near 2880.
Therefore, the current rebound cannot be regarded as a reversal, but only a technical rebound repair. If gold rebounds to the 2880-2890 zone, I am still willing to short gold. Before gold is determined to reverse the trend, I think gold must at least retrace the 2860-2850 zone to form a technical double bottom support.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
GOLD MONTHLY LONG TERM RANGE ROUTE MAP ANALYSISMonthly Chart Gold (9th Feb 2024)
Dear Traders,
Attached is the updated Monthly Chart Roadmap for GOLD, showcasing our meticulous analysis and 100% target accuracy since October 2023. The Golden Circle areas on the chart emphasize our precise predictions and successful target achievements over the months.
Previous Chart Highlights:
* GOLD successfully hit TP1 (2286.35) and TP2 (2603.46), with the monthly candle closing above TP2.
* EMA5 crossed and locked above the TP2 level at 2603.46, confirming strong upward momentum.
* The EMA5 detachment process was successfully completed.
* The Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 2790 provided robust support, facilitating a push toward higher levels.
What’s Next for GOLD?
This chart update includes revised entry levels, weighted target levels, and two critical GOLDTURN levels: 2742 and 2595. These levels act as strong support zones, where potential reversals may occur. If a reversal happens, prices are likely to retest any of these levels (marked in red) before bouncing back.
Pay close attention to EMA5 near the Entry Level of 2742.55. If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2742.55, it will confirm bullish momentum and make the target of TP1 (2961) achievable with ease. Although short-term bearish movements may occur, the broader picture on the monthly chart suggests a long-term bullish trend. Temporary pullbacks strengthen the trend and provide excellent dip-buying opportunities near support levels, minimizing risk.
Recommendations:
For a detailed understanding of support structures and to identify ideal buying opportunities, refer to our smaller time frame analyses, including weekly, daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H charts. These provide actionable insights while aligning with the bigger picture of long-term bullish momentum.
As always, we’re committed to keeping you informed with daily updates and insights. Don’t forget to show your support by liking, commenting, and sharing this post. Stay tuned for more updates on our Trading View channel.
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