XAUUSD - High possibility of volatile market opening (20250616)Well, it is quite obvious we have a volatile geo-political crisis this weekend, so market may overreact once again to bring Gold to at least 3500 opening.
Looking at volume, though Gold is in uncharted territory and it can be move as high as 3550 - 3600, I rather play for a quick profit.
Hope later this Sunday, we can find some positive news that can at least hold the surge of Gold to minimum.
Trade safe, Trade wisely. Monday will be a very volatile opening.
Goldlong
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
Weak U.S. inflation data released earlier this week reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, increasing the appeal of spot gold. It hit a two-month high. The geopolitical tension in the Middle East has caused investors to flock to safe-haven assets. Earlier, Israel's air strikes on Iran have once again raised concerns about a wider conflict in the Middle East. In terms of physical gold, demand in major Asian centers weakened this week due to a sharp rise in prices, and the Indian gold price broke through the important psychological level of 100,000 rupees. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified over the weekend, gold prices may continue to benefit from risk aversion next week, and London gold prices are expected to target $3,500/ounce at the beginning of next week! Next week will also be affected by the Fed's decision and Powell's speech. In addition, U.S. President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. His speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of international gold prices, which is worth paying attention to.
Technical Review:
From the market point of view, the overall bottoming and rebounding trend of gold this week has undoubtedly laid a strong foundation for buying. It is understandable to follow the trend and rise. However, since the gold price fell back at the end of the week and closed near 3433, I think it is necessary to make a short-term decline judgment on the market trend at the beginning of the week. As the gold price continues to rise, various graphics have formed very obvious and strong support, among which the 3419 line and the 3400 mark shown by the upper track of the daily Bollinger Band are the most important. Once the gold price can stabilize above this area today, the daily support will definitely continue to rise, which will also lay a more favorable foundation for buying to steadily hit new highs. Combined with the risk aversion demand caused by risk events, it is not an exaggeration to expect the gold price to approach the 3500 mark next week! But if the short-term reversal is sold, the 3400 mark is taken, and the daily MACD indicator forms a dead cross green column and continues to increase in volume, then the possibility of selling down to the daily 5-day moving average will be increased. However, whether this possibility can be realized needs to be judged in combination with more factors. After all, the overall trend of gold is still rising. If the adjustment is too strong, it will not only break the trend, but also cause the gold price to fall into a weak trend below 3400 in the short or medium term.
Next week's analysis:
Gold rose again on Friday under the stimulation of risk aversion. Gold was directly bought at 3413 on Friday, and the circle of friends also directly prompted to buy. Gold rose and harvested as expected. Gold has been shrouded in risk aversion in the Middle East these two days. In the short term, the trend of gold is still supported by risk aversion, and it may go up a level. If risk aversion is not relieved at the weekend, it will continue to buy next week. At present, the risk aversion sentiment of gold is constantly escalating, and buying is also strong and irresistible. So before there is a significant change, it is to continue to buy to the end, and the rise is not a top, and go with the trend. Gold's 1-hour moving average is still a golden cross with upward buying divergence, and the buying power of gold is still there! After the rise of gold's safe-haven, gold adjusted sideways in the short term, but it is still oscillating strongly at a high level. Now it is still in the process of rising. If there is no bad news to make gold fall and break, then the short-term volatility of gold is an adjustment in the process of rising, and it will continue to rise at any time. After gold buying breaks through 3400, gold buying sticks to the 3400 line, so if it falls back to 3400 next week, it will continue to buy on dips. If the risk aversion of gold eases and falls below 3400, then we may readjust our thinking.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3405-3408, stop loss at 3396, target at 3450-3470;
Sell short-term gold at 3457-3460, stop loss at 3469, target at 3420-3400;
Key points:
First support level: 3422, second support level: 3405, third support level: 3390
First resistance level: 3446, second resistance level: 3458, third resistance level: 3472
Gold Extends Rally as New High Emerges📊 Market Overview:
Gold reached a new intraday high at $3,447 today, supported by a weaker USD and stable U.S. Treasury yields. Prices then pulled back slightly to $3,423 amid short-term profit-taking. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and expectations that the Fed may hold or cut rates continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
Key Resistance Levels:
• $3,447 – Intraday high on June 13
• $3,465 – Strong Fibonacci extension resistance
• $3,480 – Next upside target if price breaks above $3,447
Key Support Levels:
• $3,423 – Current price and intraday congestion zone
• $3,410 – Minor support on the H4 chart
• $3,400 – Psychological support & 20-day MA
• EMA: Price is trading above the 09-day EMA → short-term trend remains bullish
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
Strong bullish candle with high volume; RSI at 67 indicates further upside potential. Short lower wicks suggest limited selling pressure. MACD on both H4 and daily charts favors continued upside momentum.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to continue rising if it holds the $3,410–$3,423 support zone. A break above $3,447 may open the path toward $3,480 or higher.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD:
• Entry: $3,420 – $3,425
• 🎯 TP: $3,480
• ❌ SL: $3,408
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
• Entry: $3,445 – $3,450
• 🎯 TP: $3,423 – $3,410
• ❌ SL: $3,457
"XAU/USD Bearish Setup: Rising Channel Breakdown AnticipatedPrevious Resistance Zone (Red Rectangle):
The chart shows a clear resistance zone between ~3,340 and ~3,370 USD.
Price was rejected sharply from this zone earlier (marked by the large blue dot at the swing high).
Current Rising Channel (Blue Channel):
A rising wedge or ascending channel is forming, typically a bearish continuation pattern when found in a downtrend.
Price is currently testing the upper boundary of this pattern.
Bearish Projection (Red Path & Arrows):
The chart creator expects a rejection from the top of the channel, leading to a breakdown and a move toward the next key support at ~3,246.94 USD.
A large red arrow and projected box highlight the short setup zone with an implied favorable risk/reward ratio.
Support Target:
Blue horizontal line at 3,246.94 marks the next significant support level, likely a take-profit target for short sellers.
Macro Factors:
Three small icons indicate upcoming U.S. economic events, possibly influencing XAU/USD volatility and confirming the move.
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Pattern: Rising Channel (bearish structure)
Entry Zone: Around 3,350–3,360 USD (top of channel)
Target Zone: ~3,246 USD
Risk: Invalid if price closes strongly above the resistance zone (~3,370 USD)
Bull market continues? Beware of the possibility of a pullback📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, gold is expected to rise further. Relatively speaking, there is still room for further increase. If it continues to rise today, it depends on the test of 3440 points, which is the opening position of the previous decline. In the short term, pay attention to the 3340-3350 resistance. If it can break through and stay above it, the 3468-3493 line we gave in the morning can still be used as a reference, and it is even expected to reach 3500. But at the same time, the RSI indicator in the hourly chart is approaching the overbought area, so we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a pullback.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3440-3450
TP 3430-3420
BUY 3415-3400
TP 3420-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD:Go long, go long
"Israel announced a strike on Iran" broke out the news, gold and crude oil in the Asian session soared. Again help us recently do long ideas, too late to explain so much, the follow-up trading ideas are still long after the pullback.
After 3403 broke through has been converted into strong support, short - term to 3415-20 to do more.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3415-20
TP:3440-50
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After the Pullback, Gold May Head Toward the 3500 Mark📊 Market Overview:
Gold surged to 3444 during the Asian session on rising expectations of an early Fed rate cut after softer-than-expected US CPI data. However, profit-taking pushed prices back to the 3425 zone.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3444
• Nearest Support: 3403 – 3406
• EMA 9: Price remains above EMA 9 → trend is still bullish.
• Momentum & RSI: RSI has cooled off from near-overbought territory (~70), suggesting a short-term pullback may occur.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may correct slightly toward support before resuming its upward trend if the 3403–3406 zone holds firm.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3440 – 3444
🎯 TP: 3420
❌ SL: 3449
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3406 – 3403
🎯 TP: 3426
❌ SL: 3399
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3420-3402-3380
TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout🔔 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout 💥📈
📊 Overview:
Gold has confirmed a strong bullish breakout from the consolidation zone, driven by sustained support and recent upward pressure. After rebounding from the MAIN SUPPORT zone around $3,200, price action has surged and successfully touched the 1st Take Profit (TP1) zone at $3,429.
🔍 Key Levels:
🟩 Main Support: $3,200 zone — held firm and acted as a launchpad for the bullish reversal.
📌 1st TP (Touched): $3,429 — resistance level has been tested and price is currently hovering near it.
🎯 Next Target (TP2): $3,504 — price is expected to approach this zone as bullish momentum continues.
📈 Technical Outlook:
Price structure shows a clear higher low formation followed by a strong impulse breakout.
Current momentum suggests bulls are in control, with volume and volatility increasing on the upward leg.
As long as the price remains above the $3,366 short-term support, the bias remains bullish.
🛑 Risk Note:
Watch for possible rejection near TP2.
A failure to hold above $3,366 may trigger a pullback to retest lower zones.
✅ Conclusion:
The bullish continuation scenario remains valid with potential to hit the $3,504 mark. Traders may look for long opportunities on pullbacks while maintaining tight risk management. 🔐📊
Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines.
A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential.
Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups.
🎯 Key Buy Zones:
✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly.
Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift).
✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support.
Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question.
Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers.
📈 Trade Signal:
Bias: 🔵 Bullish
Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
SL: Below 3,395
TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470
R:R: ~1:3
Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
SL: Below 3,368
R:R: ~1:4
🧠 Final Note:
Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
Gold Buy Setup📍 GOLD 4H BUY SETUP
Price bounced perfectly off a major demand zone, reclaiming structure and pushing above the Ichimoku cloud — classic bullish confirmation.
✅ Entered at 3372 with a tight SL at 3331
🎯 Targeting 3499 — key buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs
📊 Risk-to-Reward: 1:3.18 (High probability setup)
We’ve got:
Strong volume surge off demand
EMA support holding firm
Structure break + reaccumulation
📈 Eyes on wave continuation — clean long into liquidity.
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way!
Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600
Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor .
Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment
.
📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge.
🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 13 June 25Hello Traders,
First of all congratulations to all of you as 3430-40 zone GAP filled today but sad new is war scenarios resume
so advise for you is take limited risks
all eyes on 3450 Psychological level breakout, intraday expected range is 3400-3450 if markets break 3450 then it will move towards 3480
if market breaks 3400 successfully then it will move back towards 3370 or even 3355
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout ConfirmationGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀📈
📊 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a bullish breakout above a well-defined resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400. Price action has decisively closed above this resistance, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟦 Support Zone:
Marked clearly between $3,250–$3,280, this level has held firm multiple times (highlighted with green arrows and orange circles), confirming buyer interest and market structure.
🟦 Resistance Turned Support:
The previous resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400 has now potentially turned into a new support. Price retesting this zone and holding would further validate the breakout.
📈 Future Projections:
The chart anticipates a retest-pullback-continuation scenario:
Pullback to new support 📉
Bullish continuation toward $3,460+ 🎯 if support holds.
✅ Bias:
Bullish as long as price remains above the $3,390 zone. Break and hold below would invalidate the bullish setup.
📌 Strategy Tip:
Look for confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) on the retest before entering long.
Gold May See Minor Pullback After Testing $3400📊 Market Development:
Gold surged to approach the $3,400 mark after U.S. Unemployment Claims came in higher than expected. The weak labor data increased speculation of an earlier rate cut by the Fed, pressuring the USD and bond yields, which in turn supported gold prices.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,400
• Nearest Support: $3,365
• EMA: Price remains above EMA 09 → bullish bias intact
• Candle/Volume/Momentum: Long upper wick on H1 suggests profit-taking near $3,400; declining volume may signal weakening momentum.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may experience a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $3,400 and the USD strengthens in the New York session.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,395–$3,400
🎯 TP: $3,375
❌ SL: $3,406
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,365–$3,370
🎯 TP: $3,390
❌ SL: $3,355
Gold Price Analysis June 12Yesterday's D1 daily frame bounced and closed above 3348. That led to a price gap today.
3375 is a resistance zone that is showing price reaction in the Asian session. If it cannot be broken at the end of the session, it is possible to set up a sell at 3355 for BUY strategies in the GAP zone.
Any price decrease today is considered a good opportunity for buying Gold to aim for 3411.
Pay attention to the 3355-3347-3338 zone for BUY signals today. Target is still 3411 but there is still 3386 which may have a reaction.
Gold prices soared again!Market news:
Spot gold continued to be strong in the early Asian session on Friday (June 13), and is currently trading around $3,423 per ounce. London gold prices have risen for three consecutive days, fueled by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut bets caused by the cooling of US economic data. The global financial market is in a complex environment with multiple factors intertwined, and the attractiveness of international gold as a safe-haven asset has once again become prominent.Tensions in the Middle East have become an important catalyst for the rise in gold prices. The supporting role of geopolitical risks on gold prices cannot be underestimated. Historically, whenever there is a major conflict or escalation of tensions in the Middle East, gold has often become a safe haven for funds. At present, the confrontation between Iran and the United States and the potential conflict risks of regional military bases have provided solid momentum for gold prices to rise.In the short term, gold still has strong upside potential, especially driven by geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate cuts. However, investors need to be wary of the risk of a correction that may be brought about by inflationary pressures and uncertainty in trade policies. For long-term investors, the value of gold as a safe-haven asset in a diversified investment portfolio cannot be ignored.
Technical review:
Technically, gold maintains a strong positive structure, and yesterday's sharp rise approached the 3400 mark. The daily chart still remains above the MA10/5-day moving average, and the RSI indicator is at the 50-value axis and turns upward, and the price is in the upper track of the Bollinger band. The short-term four-hour chart moving average system maintains a golden cross opening upward, and the price gradually moves up along the MA10-day moving average, and the price is running in the upper track of the Bollinger band channel. The technical side of gold continues to fluctuate upward, with low-multiple layout as the main idea and high-altitude auxiliary. The current market is strong. If it breaks through the high on Thursday, there will be a second chance of rising on Friday. In terms of operation, keep the idea of buying on pullback. Pay attention to the support near 3407 below in the short term, and pay attention to the resistance near 3438 above. It may fall back after a strong pressure of 3450;
Today's analysis:
The situation in the Middle East has escalated. Gold has risen again due to risk aversion, directly breaking through 3400. The risk aversion sentiment of gold has heated up, and there are signs of easing for the time being. Then the risk aversion sentiment of gold may increase, and gold is expected to continue to rise. Gold bulls have begun to take the lead again under the blessing of risk aversion. At present, gold buying is better, so continue to buy. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross upward buying arrangement. The buying power of gold is getting stronger and stronger, and it is unstoppable. The outbreak of risk aversion is completely an emotional catharsis. Only when the emotions are fully released, the strength of gold bulls will weaken. The decline of gold is buying. The Asian session of gold fell back to the 3400-line barrier to support low-price buying.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3410-3420, stop loss at 3395, target at 3430-3450;
Sell short-term gold at 3447-3450, stop loss at 3458, target at 3400-3380;
Key points:
First support level: 3407, second support level: 3392, third support level: 3378
First resistance level: 3438, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3473
XAU/USD(20250613) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3374
Support and resistance levels:
3434
3412
3397
3351
3337
3314
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3397, consider buying in, and the first target price is 3412
If the price breaks through 3374, consider selling in, and the first target price is 3351
ELLIOT WAVEOANDA:XAUUSD 4 HOUR
**According to the Elliott Wave theory, the ongoing pattern appears to be a double correction. Wave 3 of {Y} has been completed, and Wave 4 is currently in progress. A potential buying opportunity may arise between the levels of 3360 and 3350. **
**However, if gold breaks below the 3350 level, further downside movement is expected, with the next support zone likely between 3315 and 3297. **
**Furthermore, if gold breaks the critical level of 3250, it may extend its decline toward the 3215–3197 range.**
Gold price fluctuates again, layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data favors bulls
📈 Market analysis:
The high of 3392 in the US market fell back for the first time to test the 3377 area to stop the decline and then tried again but failed to break through the 3400 integer mark. It can be seen that this position is very suppressed. The top and bottom conversion of 3377 has become the watershed for bulls to defend in the future market. 3400 is the short-term key pressure and the closing line has a long upper shadow K. If 3377 is lost, the price will fluctuate again. In the short term, focus on the 3390-3400 resistance on the upside and the 3377-3365 support on the downside.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3385-3395
TP 3370-3360
BUY 3365-3360
TP 3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD:Go long
After completing long orders around 3358-3380, the current thinking is still long. The pressure transition has been completed near 3376, which can be regarded as support for now. Go long according to this level.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3375-79
TP:3390-3400
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
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EURUSD LongHere is our EUR USD Signal that we posted
As you can see it's running nicely at 258 Pips.
EURUSD Buy
📊Entry: 1.13538
⚠️SL: 1.12594
✔️TP1: 1.14732
✔️TP2: 1.16256
✔️TP3: 1.18194
We have 5 big swing trades running at present, all of which comes from our trading strategy that is solely based on pure maths. So far in 2025 we have hit 1 stop loss from over 100 trades.
My point to this post is to encourage you all to keep trying, don't give up. It took us over 2 years to perfect this strategy, and we know it works.
If you want any help just ask me, and I will help you.
Long profit-taking,how to position gold before unemployment data📰 Impact of news:
1. Pay attention to the initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
After being pulled down, the gold price quickly rebounded to around 3385, and the RSI showed a V-shaped reversal. It is not recommended to chase the rise at present. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance area of 3385-3395. If the gold price effectively breaks through this resistance area, it is expected to touch the 3400-3410 line. On the contrary, it encounters resistance and pressure at the 3385-3395 line, and may retreat to the 3370-3360 line in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3385-3395
TP 3370-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD