XAUUSD: Riding the Trade War Wave: Will We See New Highs?Hey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:XAUUSD See New All-Time High Soon? Let's dive into the analysis...
Analyzing XAUUSD price movements using Elliott Wave Theory suggests a possible significant upside in Wave 5. Wave 3 previously didn't go beyond the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, classifying it as a normal wave. Wave 4 then retraced to around the 0.618 Fibonacci level, forming a bullish descending broadening wedge pattern.
The breakout from this descending broadening wedge on the 1-hour chart, combined with a golden cross in the MACD indicator, indicates the potential start of Wave 5. Since Wave 5 is expected to be extended, its movement might be greater than Wave 3. However, we conservatively expect the extended Wave 5 to reach a maximum of the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Based on these technical indicators, the price is projected to rise towards the target of 2950, and possibly the second target at 2969, as long as it stays above the critical stop loss level of 2900.
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"Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold".
Goldlong
Gold, beware of a high-rise fallGold maintained a shock-washing mode yesterday, but eventually pulled up again to around 2930. In yesterday's article, the emphasis was on the idea of going long. Yesterday, we saw gold fall in the morning and evening, both suggesting going long. No matter how the market moves, no matter how the main force washes, direction is above all else, and the point determines the outcome. In a shock market, although it is bullish, once it enters the middle position, it will be extremely passive, so it is necessary to get stuck and be patient.
At present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2930, and the short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term maintains a high-level shock operation. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the momentum was obviously insufficient. After being under pressure near 2930, it fell again. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, there is a high probability of shocks around a high-level large range. Even if it does not break through, the short-term is just a callback again, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to shock in a high-level large range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
Operation plan, the long positions last night are still held after reducing positions. Today, focus on whether it will break through 2930 again. If it still cannot break through 2930 to create a new high, all long positions need to be exited. If it breaks through 2930 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2930-2945 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. In the short term, once the pressure area is touched and a short signal appears, the short-term intraday short-term can wait for the opportunity to go short and see the support area below the retracement is concentrated in the 2900-2890 area. At the same time, this area is the area where pressure turns to support after the breakthrough. Therefore, to do more, you also have to wait for the retracement to this area again before there is room for operation. Since it has been characterized as a volatile market, do not chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for the operation position.
Now is the best time to short gold prices!At present, the price of gold fluctuates in a narrow range around 2926. There is no major news to boost or suppress the price of gold in the short term. From the trend, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the continuation of the rebound and breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of bullish power, the bears will regain control of the situation.
So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold around 2920-2930. The target is 2918-2908 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
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Analysis Gold buy NowDistance Analysis from Current Price (2,921.67 USD)
1. Resistance Level (2,955.44 USD)
Distance from Current Price: 33.77 USD
2. Intermediate Resistance (Green Line around 2,940 USD
Distance from Current Price: 18.33 USD
3. Support Level (Middle Red Zone around 2,910 USD)
Distance from Current Price: 11.67 USD
4. Major Support (Lower Red Line around 2,900 USD)
Distance from Current Price: 21.67 USD
---
Potential Price Movements:
Bullish Case:
If the price breaks above 2,940, it may rise toward the major resistance at 2,955.44 (+33.77 USD).
Bearish Case:
If the price drops below 2,910, it could decline toward 2,900 (-21.67 USD).
Gold Price Analysis March 5⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have stalled after two days of gains due to rising US bond yields, putting pressure on non-yielding gold. However, gold may be supported by safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions.
Specifically, the US imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, while China also increased tariffs to 20%, raising concerns about trade retaliation. At the same time, the US's suspension of military aid to Ukraine also prompted investors to seek gold. In addition, the situation became more tense when President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy disagreed on peace negotiations.
⭐️Technical Analysis
It is clear that gold is rising and heading towards the resistance level of 2929. This is considered a key area for gold. If broken, gold will continue to increase in price to ATH 295x. If Gold breaks the trend and falls, 2903 will no longer be meaningful and it will be at the 2896 area that Gold will really have a price reaction.
Gold Swing Trading PlanFrom the trend point of view. Comparing the long and short positions, the shorts are still slightly stronger, with the upper resistance of 2930-2935. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2920. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. From the trend point of view, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the rebound and continuation of the breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of long power, the shorts will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for shorting gold. Now we have shorted gold around 2020-2930. The target is 2915-2905 area, wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
Want to expand profits but not expand profits, unclear about the direction, and don’t know how to analyze the market. If you are the same. Then you can try to change your trading style with a fast trading strategy. If you are interested, you can join my bottom article.
GOLD VIEW 1H READ THE CHAPTIAN Hello 👋 gold Traders
technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG Level): The purple zone represents an area of inefficiency where price may return to fill before continuing its trend.
2. Change of Character (CHOCH): Indicates a potential shift in market structure, suggesting bullish momentum.
3. Double Top (Red Arrows): Price was rejected twice at the same level, indicating possible resistance.
4. Moving Averages:
200 EMA (Blue Line at 2,901.507): Long-term trend indicator.
30 EMA (Red Line at 2,911.101): Short-term trend indicator.
5. Price Action Forecast:
Price is expected to retrace into the FVG level before continuing upwards toward the target point at 2,961.779.
This suggests a bullish outlook as long as price respects the FVG level as support. Would you like a more detailed breakdown
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another super day on the charts today with our analysis playing out in true level to level fashion.
After completing all bullish targets last two days, 2872, 2901 and 2921, we stated that will now look for a further cross and lock above 2921 to confirm a continuation or a failure to lock above will follow with a rejection to test lower Goldlturns for support and bounce.
- We got the rejection and then the support test at lower Goldturn 2901 for the perfect bounce back up into 2921, inline with our plans to buy dips. Once again we will now wait for ema5 to lock for a continuation or a rejection back into lower Goldturns.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2872 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2872 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2901 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2921 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2921 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2950
BEARISH TARGETS
2846
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2846 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2820
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2820 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2796
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2796 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2778 - 2753
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold trading wealth password, easy to achieve lay-winThe ADP data was a surprise, and the market's discussion on the Fed's interest rate cut expectations instantly heated up. The news of the unexpected plunge in the ADP employment data caused the gold price to stage a thrilling V-shaped reversal on the electronic disk. At this moment, the gold market seems to have become a battlefield without gunpowder, and the 2890 integer mark has become a battleground for strategists.
The current market is in a delicate state of balance. The spark of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations was rekindled by the ADP data, which provided a strategic ammunition depot for gold bulls. But the geopolitical clouds have not dissipated, the prospects for economic recovery are confusing, and the market is experiencing an unprecedented long-short struggle.
So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold near 2020-2930. The target is the 2915-2905 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
If you want to get a stable trading opportunity, you can leave me a message and join my bottom article information.
The idea of going long on gold first is completely correctBrothers, are you bold enough to go long on gold in the 2910-2900 area according to my strategy today? The decision to go long on gold this time is very clear. As I wrote in my last post, the trend of the gold market is perfectly in line with my expectations. And I have always firmly implemented my strategy and strictly followed my ideas to go long on gold. Today, I have also made a lot of gains. Brothers, how about you? Have you also made a lot of profits?
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don’t know the exact trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I will publish my trading ideas every day, and I will also publish free trading signals on time. Many friends have reported that it is very helpful. If you want to learn the market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and get more profits, I can satisfy you. Follow the bottom of the article to enter for details!
Ready for the new bull run? XAU / USD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Freshly released US data has fueled recession concerns, with the Atlanta Fed GDP Now Model slashing its Q1 2025 growth projection to -2.8%, a sharp drop from Monday’s 1.6% estimate.
Meanwhile, February’s ISM and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI readings painted a mixed picture. The ISM index edged closer to the 50 threshold, signaling a slowdown, while the S&P Global measure showed solid expansion. In response, US Treasury yields tumbled as traders increasingly priced in Federal Reserve rate cuts.
This flight to safety boosted demand for gold, propelling prices toward $2,900. Looking ahead, gold traders will turn their attention to key economic releases, including the ISM Services PMI, Initial Jobless Claims, and February’s Nonfarm Payrolls.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Market sentiment is gradually improving and optimistic, expecting a new rally above 3000 after the implementation of tariffs that took effect yesterday in Canada, Mexico and China. Gold prices tend to retest the breakout zones of 2900, 2892 and 2880 to create more short-term liquidity.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2891 - $2893 SL $2888 scalping
TP1: $2896
TP2: $2900
TP3: $2905
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2880 - $2878 SL $2873
TP1: $2888
TP2: $2895
TP3: $2910
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2935 - $2937 SL $2942
TP1: $2928
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2910
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Accurately grasp the trend of gold and strive to maximizeprofitsDear friends, are you in line with my advice under the guidance of our fast trading strategy? Many people have successfully made profits, and the bearish momentum is still strong. Following the shorting range of 2915-2921 has proven to be effective. Others are still waiting and watching, and I directly hit the short gold with a heavy punch. This wave of operations is a sure win, just wait and count the money.
This highlights the advantages of the fast trading strategy. I will continue to share the upcoming trading plan, so stay tuned for more updates! If you want to get a stable trading opportunity, you can leave me a message and join my bottom article information.
GOLD BUY - 2915.50Current Price: 2913.16 Time: 2025-03-05 13:29:32
1H Technical Analysis:
Oscillators: Most oscillators are neutral, but Momentum and MACD Level indicate a SELL signal.
Moving Averages: Mixed signals. Short-term MAs (10, 20) indicate SELL, while long-term MAs (50, 100, 200) indicate BUY.
Pivot Points: The price is near the R1 pivot point, which may act as resistance.
4H Technical Analysis:
Oscillators: Mixed signals. Awesome Oscillator and MACD Level indicate BUY, while Momentum and Stochastic RSI Fast indicate SELL.
Moving Averages: Most MAs indicate a BUY signal, suggesting a strong bullish trend.
Pivot Points: The price is near the R1 pivot point, which may act as resistance.
XAUUSD Daily Forecast:
XAUUSD could retest the broken trend line on the RSI. A rebound from the lower boundary of the bullish channel reinforces the uptrend.
Support: 2900, Resistance: 2935, 2985.
XAUUSD Forecast: BUY.
Latest News:
Geopolitical tensions are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, increasing demand and pushing prices higher.
Impact: BUY.
Upcoming Events:
The release of US inflation data will significantly impact the gold market. Higher inflation could drive gold prices up as investors seek protection against inflation.
Impact: BUY.
GOLD Signal:
Signal: BUY
Entry Price: 2915.00
Percentage Possibility: 60% BUY, 40% SELL.
Scenarios:
BUY Scenario: If the price breaks above 2935, expect further growth towards 2985. Support at 2900.
SELL Scenario: If the price falls below 2875, expect further decline towards 2835. Resistance at 2935.
Analysis:
Despite mixed signals on the 1H timeframe, the 4H timeframe and fundamental data indicate a strong bullish trend. Upcoming events, such as inflation data, could further support gold price growth.
Summary:
The gold market is currently in a bullish trend supported by long-term MAs and fundamental factors. However, caution is advised due to short-term fluctuations and potential reversals.
Gold rebounds below the trend line, continue to choose shortThe easing of the geopolitical situation once weakened the demand for safe havens. In addition, from a technical perspective, gold fell sharply in the early stage and broke the rising trend line. At present, gold has rebounded below the trend line and is under pressure in the short term. It can be shorted based on the suppression of the trend line. Shorting gold near 2915 and 2921, target 2890-2900
Trading must have methods and rules, and it is never done casually based on feelings. In addition to trends, the market also has time points, and the position and time must match. Therefore, risk control is the first consideration. Only with appropriate position management can you dare to do it and take it, not afraid of stop loss, and gradually stabilize profits according to the trading system.
Continue to share real-time trading signals and lead brothers to achieve higher returns. Busy investors can pay attention here. I will continue to release some effective trading plans. If you want to get stable trading opportunities, you can leave me a message and add my bottom article information.
Practical analysis of gold price technical indicatorsContinue to share real-time trading signals and lead brothers to achieve higher returns. Busy investors can pay attention here. I will continue to release some effective trading plans. If you want to get stable trading opportunities, you can leave me a message.
So in the short term, you can still try to short gold again. I have already shorted gold near 2025-2935. The target is 2918-2908 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
At present, the price of gold fluctuates narrowly around 2923. There is no major news to boost or suppress the price of gold in the short term. From the trend, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the continuation of the rebound and breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of bullish power, the bears will regain control of the situation.
Want to get continuous and stable real-time trading opportunities to recover losses? Join me at the bottom of the article information.
Prepare for a sharp dropHello everyone, I am a senior gold analyst (trader) who is always confident and dedicated to fighting for you. As long as the market is not a straight line, I have the confidence to lead you to victory!
From the technical chart, the gold price has risen to the key pressure level of 2928. Yesterday, the gold price began to fall after touching 2928, and the resistance of the pressure level was obvious. Previously, gold was in an upward trend, but when it approached the 2928 pressure level, the K-line showed a long upper shadow line, which implied heavy selling pressure from above. Moreover, if combined with the moving average system, when the price rises to the vicinity of the pressure level, the short-term moving average fails to effectively cross the long-term moving average, forming a long arrangement, but instead shows signs of turning downward, which further indicates that the upward momentum is insufficient. Today, we should take the 2928 pressure level as a reference, decisively arrange short positions, and wait for the arrival of the gold price plunge. Gold 2925-2935 is directly short, and the target is 2918-2908.
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GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHATPIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold traders SMC trading point ☝️ list time post signals 🚀 Hit sucksfully My target point 2920 ) Now Gold rejected point below 👇 supply zone 2892- 2875 FVG level up trand My target 🎯 point 2961 long Trade 🤝. First take short trend 📈 And buying it)
Key Resistance level 2915 + 2920 + 2956+ 2961
Key Support level 2892 - 2875
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDTAE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 🪙 Gold Traders Gold Ready for again take New bos). Choch) FVG level up trand) Gold still going to bullish trend 🚀 I'm want buying it target point 2945 + 2956 Technical patterns.
Key Resistance level 2945 + 2956
Key Support level 2911- 2900
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Yesterday's short selling made a perfect profitYesterday, the layout of 2907 short selling fell to 2905 as expected, and then the arrangement of 2915 short selling fell to 2904 as expected. In the evening, the layout of 2913 short selling fell again and continued to stop profit at 2903. I made more than 6K profit from this short selling, which is a good trading result.
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Go on the right path, use the Tao to control the technique, see the essence through the appearance, experience the long-short game behind the K-line, the fighting of the main force, follow the pace of the market, respect the market, fear the market, and follow the market. Only then can you achieve long-term and stable profits. On the road of investment, you can not only make money, but also gain a lot. You can invest easily and live happily. If your ability is not enough to support your current situation, then you need a Bole to help you point out the maze, and you need a good teacher to help you control the overall situation. A choice may be your turning point! You trust me, I will prove it with my strength! Join my articles below and make money a matter of course! I want to help you with all my heart, but if you are not willing to extend your hand, how can I help you!
Analysis of gold XAUUSD as i published before my price ranges
you can watch as i already mantioned the price range and market movementum so the market is going on that patterns so keep following and watch the next moves .
The rejection from EMA 200 suggests continued bearish pressure, with a downside target near 2,870 support. However, a strong bullish reaction from that level could lead to a potential reversal. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🚀
"Gold (XAU/USD) Rebounds from 200 EMA – Targeting Key ResistanceKey Observations:
Support & Bounce:
The price bounced from a key support level around 2,846.493 (200 EMA), marked with a red circle.
This suggests strong buying interest around this level.
Entry & Target Zones:
The trader appears to be aiming for a long (buy) position, as indicated by the red arrow pointing upward.
The first take profit (TP) level is around 2,929.243.
The second TP level is around 2,944.083 - 2,951.503, marked by the blue rectangle (resistance zone).
Resistance Zone:
The upper blue shaded area represents a strong resistance level where price previously rejected.
If price reaches this zone, it may face selling pressure.
Bearish Flag Pattern Mentioned:
The chart includes a note about a bearish flag, which is generally a continuation pattern signaling potential downside.
However, in this case, the trader is looking at a retracement upward before potential selling pressure resumes.
Conclusion & Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario: If price sustains above the 200 EMA and breaks the first TP level, it could reach the second TP in the resistance zone.
❌ Bearish Rejection: If price fails to break the resistance zone, it may reverse downward, validating the bearish flag pattern.
Would you like any specific trading insights or adjustments to this analysis?