Gold Short Term UpdateGold on M15 formed a valid descending trendline with 4 touches rejected
so now we're waiting for a M15 candle to broke and close above the touch of the trendline to activate the long (buy) trade
Trade safe and don't forget to trade with risk management
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Goldlong
The president's words instantly changed the gold market
📌 Driving events
Today, Wednesday, Trump said that although he was frustrated that the Federal Reserve had not been able to lower interest rates faster, he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
The remarks marked a huge shift in Trump's attitude. He has recently stepped up his criticism of Powell and refused to rule out the possibility of taking the unprecedented step of firing Powell.
After Trump said he had no intention of firing Powell, the situation between Russia and Ukraine slowed down, and the market's optimism about the possible easing of trade tensions heated up, U.S. stock index futures soared and the dollar strengthened.
Asian spot gold opened directly at a gap down on Wednesday, and then the decline widened further, reaching a low of $3,293. It is only $10 away from the 3,283 support line I predicted before.
📊Comment analysis
Gold has some signs of a head and shoulders top, and the current shoulder position is almost here at 3,340-50.
So, if there is a chance to pull back to 3,340-50 next. The support line is still around 3282.
Be sure to enter the market and short without hesitation.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3350 points, profit target is around 3290 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
GOLD Trending Higher - Can buyers push toward 3,500$?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting there's chances for potential continuation on the upside.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,500 target , which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
The recent surge in gold prices is driven by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar. Gold reached a record high of $3,390 per ounce, fueled by concerns over global economic stability and increased demand for safe-haven assets. Analysts have raised their three-month gold forecast, due to ongoing market uncertainties.
Despite the upward momentum, I think still gold may be overbought in the near term, indicating potential for a short-term correction . Nevertheless, the overall bullish trend remains strong, supported by geopolitical tensions, central bank purchases, and investor demand for strong assets.
Gold’s Super Bullish Breakout – Eyeing $3700 or $3200?My previous analysis played out very well, except I was concerned that we didn't reach the $3,180 area. With the ongoing trade wars and recent comments from Powell, the USD is weakening significantly, and we’re seeing a gold move unlike any I’ve experienced before—possibly the most bullish pattern yet.
Based on my analysis from the edge of the market, we can identify key breakout levels that must hold to continue pushing toward $3,700.
Watch the 1H and 4H wick and body formations:
1. If the 1H candle body can break above $3,500, we’ll likely continue making higher highs and higher lows toward $3,700.
2. If the 1H candle body fails to hold the $3,400 level, we might see the pullback I’ve been anticipating—possibly down to the $3,200 level >> and pullback towards $3700.
GOLD, hibernated - and its good. More energy for MORE RISE AHEADSignal: LONG GOLD
After going parabolic this past few days -- hitting a series of ATH on daily basis, Gold finally took some well deserved respite, and hibernated to tap previous resistance turned support area.
Price is now basing again at this discounted zone -- an ideal seeding area.
Fib tap at 38.2 has been spotted. This is where most buyers converge.
The growth prospect of this next phase in progress is a bit on the generous side. A possible 2500 pip scenario from the current price range.
Long at current price 3330.
Target 3650.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
J.P. Morgan joins the $4K gold clubJ.P. Morgan now forecasts gold to average $3,675 per ounce by year-end and joins Goldman Sachs in projecting a move beyond $4,000 next year.
Spot gold has gained 29% year-to-date, setting 28 record highs and briefly surpassing $3,500 for the first time yesterday.
According to the bank, the main downside risk remains a sudden decline in central bank demand. Key support has potentially shifted higher, with $3,286 now seen as a potential pivot—aligned with both the 50-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Can the 3370 support level turn the tide?The Asian session low of 3413 rebounded to 3500 under pressure, and then fell back to 3370 in the evening, with a single-day fluctuation of more than 100 points. Since the 14-day bull market started at 2959 on April 7, the gold price has soared 500 points, and the short-term overbought has triggered technical correction pressure. The current market presents a strong pattern of "buying on every correction", and even if there is a long upper shadow, the bullish sentiment still dominates the market.
From a technical perspective, the support near 3370 is crucial. If it holds, the bullish trend will continue; otherwise, a break may trigger a deeper adjustment. Although there is short-term profit-taking pressure, the overall market is bullish. It is recommended to pay attention to the key support level of 3370 and be alert to low-long opportunities in repeated fluctuations.
Gold intraday high V reversal looks to continueToday's market analysis and interpretation:
First, the gold daily level: After closing with a full increase of 100 US dollars yesterday, it continued to rise by nearly 90 US dollars today. The daily line may not feel the acceleration, but from the weekly line, the trend of continuous large positives for nearly three weeks and an increase of more than 500 US dollars, it seems to be accelerating to the top; although the overall bullish trend this year will not be affected at all, in the short term, some bulls may flee due to the accelerated pull, that is, profit-taking, which is often more likely to happen; In addition, yesterday's research report focused on interpreting the trend of 2956 to 3500. It is very likely to cycle the previous wave of 2832 to 3167. The maximum retracement of 618 division position just confirms the previous top and bottom support of 3167. In addition, from the wave shape, if 2832-3167 belongs to the first wave, 3167 to 2956 belongs to the second wave, and the third wave is calculated by 1.618 times the first wave, it is exactly 3498, which is today's intraday high of 3500. Then the fourth correction wave may be brewing in the follow-up, which is generally the third wave 382 or 50 division, and it generally will not fall below the first wave high of 3167. Therefore, in the next few days, if 3500 cannot be broken through again, the correction will focus on the 382 division support 3292 and the 50 division support 3228. The limit is that it is unlikely to fall too far from 3167, and then Waiting for the opportunity of band bullishness, each squat adjustment is to further continue the bullish trend;
Second, gold 4-hour level: the current MA5-day moving average support is barely holding up temporarily, and the top is a bearish pattern of "evening star" with a large Yin wrapped in Yang. It needs to be combined with the subsequent K-line pattern. If there are continuous Yins and large Yins continue to appear, then this cycle will begin to be under pressure, and the MA10-day support of 3428 and the middle track of 3378-72 will be gradually tested below;
Third, gold hourly level: Asian session continues to rise sharply, but the European session suppresses the 3500 line and falls back, temporarily supporting the middle track. The inability of the European session to attack increases the risk of further downward adjustment tonight; once the middle track is effectively lost, it will continue to fall. Finally, tonight, we can gradually see the 66-day moving average, which is also the lower track of the white channel in the figure, about 3380; The short-term resistance is the 10-day moving average and the white channel counter-pressure point, concentrated at 3470-3480, which happens to be the 618 division point of the European session's decline and rebound; therefore, pay attention to 3470-3480 tonight. If it cannot withstand the pressure, it will continue to decline and gradually look at 3428 and 3411. The strong support is in the range of 3380-3370 tonight. If it stabilizes here, it will rebound to confirm the middle track, and the ups and downs will be huge.
Trump and Powell's "power showdown" ignites global risk aversion
📌 Driving events
On Tuesday (April 22), gold prices soared and set a new record high. Spot gold once hit the $3,500 mark, an increase of about 2.2%. US President Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell for worrying the market, suppressing risk appetite and pushing investors to turn to safe-haven gold. After hitting the 3,500 mark, the price of gold fell slightly. Spot gold is currently trading at nearly $3,478.55 per ounce.
📊Comment analysis
KCM Trade Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer pointed out that under the double blow of tariff concerns and the Trump-Powell farce, investors are fleeing US assets across the board. The continued weakness of the US dollar has created an excellent opportunity for gold to rise.
On Monday, Trump made a tough statement, asking the Federal Reserve to "cut interest rates immediately" otherwise the US economy will face the risk of slowing down. Powell insisted last week that interest rates should not be easily adjusted until the impact of Trump's tariff policy on inflation becomes clear.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate near 3430, with profit target above 3500 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold rose 90 points and then fell back? Maybe there will be a suIt rose from the early trading, rose to the 3500 mark and was under pressure, and then returned to the 3409 line at the lowest. If it does not fluctuate by more than 100 points every day, is it not the ultimate safe-haven asset? My heart really can't stand it. Brothers who have observed carefully should have discovered that the current round of gold rise started from 2961, and rose by 500 US dollars in just 14 days. Only when today's upper lead is really closed, can we say that the bulls will cool down a little!
But this is not the first time. For example, last week's weekly line retreated, and it was directly pulled up at night. This week's opening rose by more than 100 points. The current market retreat is to go long. No matter what point you are at, as long as it is currently rising, then you can only witness one thing, that is, rising!
At present, I am not optimistic about the continued decline. The market sentiment of long positions also leaves me no choice. The current long positions have not reached the top. The best opportunity is to look at the integer support of 3400, which may give the bulls an unexpected surprise!
I am Quide. Seeing my analysis strategy, no matter the past gains and losses, I hope that you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
Place long orders after the adjustment is over!After gold accelerated its rise in the Asian session, it fell back in the European session and temporarily entered an adjustment cycle, accumulating strength to provide power for the next round of launch. The short-term support in the US session is 3430 and 3412. In terms of operation, go long according to the strength of the decline. There is still no guess on the top, and gradually look to 3480 and 3500! Short-term volatility has increased, and the notice has been issued before the market!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3410-15, and look at 3445 and 3455!
Gold's retracement is an opportunity to go longStay long and don't relax. Continue to buy gold when it falls back!
The gold market has fluctuated violently recently, with a rise of $100 and a fall of $90, which has brought great obstacles to our trading. Long and short positions with bad entry positions will be washed out, so we need to wait patiently for opportunities in operation. The strong market remains unchanged. Continue to buy when it falls back. Find the watershed position to participate in the transaction. It is better to miss it than to be too aggressive. In the Asian session, I will share with you the support of the 3405/3410 watershed of gold. I will rely on this position to buy when it falls back. Gold hit a high of 3499 during the day, which is one step away from 3500. The European and American sessions fell back by $90, which just happened to fall back to the watershed position shared with you in the Asian session. The long orders have also been realized at the target position. Friends who have participated should pay attention to protecting profits, and friends who are short should wait patiently for opportunities and not be too aggressive!
XAUUSD/GOLD Intraday Move 22-04-2025📊 XAUUSD Trade Setup – April 22, 2025
Analysis: Price is currently in a corrective bearish move after a strong bullish rally. We're seeing clear signs of a potential bullish reaction around key support zones. Two major demand zones are identified:
Zone 1: 3430 – 3435
Zone 2: 3405 – 3410
These zones align with previous consolidation areas and coincide with the lower Bollinger Band, increasing the probability of a bounce.
Expected Price Action:
A potential drop into the 3430–3435 zone may trigger a bullish reaction.
If this level fails to hold, the second strong buy zone lies between 3405–3410.
From either zone, a reversal and bullish continuation towards the 3460–3475 region is expected.
📈 Buy Signal:
Buy Entry #1: 3430–3435
SL: 3417
TP: 3460
Buy Entry #2: 3405–3410
SL: 3393
TP: 3460+
🔁 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) before entering.
Kindly hit like, follow, like and comment.
Gold Sell and Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 16th I shared this "Gold Sell and Buy Trading Plan"
I expected short term bearish moves towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price provided a small bearish move and then it continued higher further!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
The bull market is extremely strong! Keep the rhythm right!Analysis of gold trend:
On Tuesday (April 22) in the Asian session, spot gold continued to rise. Fundamentally, on Monday, as Trump's comments on Powell damaged investors' confidence in US assets, the US dollar index plummeted to its lowest level since March 2022. The United States plans to impose new tariffs on solar products imported from four Southeast Asian countries. Trump's approval rating has dropped to the lowest level since returning to the White House. The market's risk aversion has increased, and gold prices have strengthened significantly. At present, global trade tensions will continue, and concerns about economic growth and inflation expectations will continue to support gold prices.
After rising to around $3,430 at the beginning of the week, the price of gold retreated slightly to around $3,406. Before the close, it was more of a shock operation at the high of the day. Including the idea given before the break at the beginning of the week, the price of gold will continue to break new highs on Tuesday. But it was not expected that the price of gold would rise to around $3,500 during the Asian session, which was indeed a bit unexpected. At the end of the Asian session, the price of gold retreated, retreating to around $3,461. This retracement came relatively late, breaking the normal operation system. Today, it is recommended to refer to the suppression range near 3490 US dollars and 3500 US dollars for shorting. If it breaks above, refer to the daily error band indicator near 3510 US dollars for shorting. If it breaks below, refer to the support near 3455 US dollars and 3444 US dollars for longing. If it breaks below, look at the 3437-3390 US dollars range for high selling and low selling.
The ultimate safe-haven gold price will not fall! Keep bullish!Remember that gold is currently the ultimate safe-haven asset. Any pullback is actually an opportunity for you to get on board. Before the current trade war eases, gold is still the most favored asset in the market. A year ago, people thought that it was not outrageous for gold to rise to $5,000 by 2030; now, this prediction has become "conservative".
Fundamentally, this is because the current rise in gold is a performance as a "monetary asset" rather than a "commodity asset". This redefinition of gold's "identity" - especially under the catalysis of major events in the past few weeks - has also triggered people's deep thinking about the future role of gold in the international monetary system. It may be moving towards a new positioning: the ultimate safe-haven asset.
The current retracement of gold has given you an opportunity, so don’t hesitate to enter the market directly at 3440-3450 for long orders, and buy directly at 3455-60 radically, and continue to watch the upward break to new historical highs!
Gold is rising step by step, and the 3500 mark is in danger
📌 Driving events
Geopolitical conflicts are escalating (such as the deterioration of the situation in the Middle East)
US CPI data is lower than expected (85% year-on-year)
📊 Comments and analysis
Although gold has experienced a correction, the price of gold has quickly risen strongly, and the positive fundamentals have pushed the market to set new historical highs. As of the end of the Asian market, today's gold trend is almost a replica of yesterday (the gold price continued to rise from the Asian market to the US market on Monday).
What is a bull market? It is to break the cognition of most people, and the rise makes people doubt their lives. Not seeing it does not mean that it does not exist. Empiricists are destined to be eliminated. The underlying logic of the rise in gold during the financial crisis in 2008 and the rise in gold this year has long changed.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate at 3470 points, profit target is above 3500 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold bulls are unstoppableGold is now too strong, and the rise is not going to end. It continues to rise. Before the gold daily line reverses at a high level, the decline is just an adjustment, not a reversal. However, everyone should also pay attention to the reversal of the high level of the market at any time. Once the situation is not right, you must withdraw in time. With such a violent rise, if the market reverses next, it will also be very rapid.
Go long gold 3460-70, target 3495-3500.
Gold's short squeeze continues, and the rally is unstoppable!On Monday, the dollar index plunged to its lowest level since March 2022 as Trump's blast of Powell hurt investor confidence in U.S. assets.
Thanks to the weakening dollar and the inflow of safe-haven funds, spot gold opened higher and rose, breaking through the $3,430/ounce mark during the session, setting a new record high and rising by more than $100 during the day.
Today, Tuesday, gold continued to rise, and so far the highest has reached near the 3,500 mark.
From the hourly chart here: it can be seen that gold has just retreated to around 3,460, and 3,460 is also the support position of the am10 moving average.
If the 3,460 moving average cannot be broken here, then gold will continue to test 3,500, or even continue to set new highs.
On the contrary, if it falls below the ma10 moving average at 3,460, it may further touch the ma20 moving average support position near 3,440.
So, the next operation is actually very simple. If gold stabilizes at 3460-70, you should continue to go long.
If it falls below 3460, you need to wait for 3440 to go long.
There is no need to look too far for the upper target. Continue to look at the high point of 3500, or even the new high of 3520.
New peak of $3,520! Waiting for gold price to reach.
New peak of $3,520! Six major events this week detonated gold prices, waiting for gold prices to hit
📌 Driving events
1. Geopolitical black swans fly frequently
The tariff war between China, the United States and Europe has escalated comprehensively. The United States has imposed a 104% tariff on China (involving rare earths, semiconductors and other fields), and the European Union has implemented a 21 billion euro retaliatory tariff. The World Bank predicts that global GDP growth may fall by 1.8%. The situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate. After the breakdown of the US-Iran nuclear negotiations, Israel launched an air strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, pushing gold to rise by more than 3% in a single day. Historical data shows that the average increase in gold during geopolitical crises can reach more than 20%.
2. The Federal Reserve may change its coach
US President Donald Trump once again criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, exacerbating concerns about the independence of the central bank, which has exacerbated uncertainty. Reports that the US government is exploring legal means to remove Powell will only deepen market uneasiness and enhance the attractiveness of gold as a tool to hedge policy and economic instability risks.
3. Global central bank gold purchases hit a record high
In 2024, global central bank gold reserves reached 4,974 tons, and China increased its holdings to 73.7 million ounces for 20 consecutive months (accounting for 4.9%). From January to April 2025, the central bank's net gold purchases exceeded 420 tons, accounting for more than 25% of the annual demand. After China's insurance funds enter the market, it is expected that 255 tons of new demand will be added each year.
4. Gold ETF funds are pouring in
In the first quarter, global gold ETF funds inflow exceeded US$5 billion, and SPDR's daily inflow reached 226.5 tons (a three-year high). The asset management scale of domestic gold ETFs exceeded 101 billion yuan, and the holdings increased to 138 tons. The holdings of post-00 investors surged by 300%.
5. Inflation and stagflation expectations are rising
The US CPI rose 3.5% year-on-year in March, and the core PCE price index hit a 32-year high. The risk of economic "stagflation" strengthened the anti-inflation properties of gold. Citigroup's model shows that if inflation is higher than 3% for a long time, the probability of gold price breaking through $3,500 is over 60%.
6. Technical breakthrough triggers resonance
After spot gold broke through the key resistance level of $3,250, it triggered programmatic buying, and speculative long positions accounted for 67%. COMEX gold futures open interest surged 18%, and the premium of the main Shanghai gold contract expanded to 5 yuan/gram, reflecting the strong bullish sentiment in the market.
📊Comment Analysis
Geopolitical tensions, rising prices, trade tensions, gold prices benefit
💰Strategy Package
Long positions:
Actively participate at 3480-90 points, profit target above 3510-20 points
Short positions:
Actively participate at 3510-00 points, profit target below 3475-65 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
#XAUUSD: Bullish Rally To Continue $3550 Area! Gold’s been on a steady upward climb, and it seems like it might keep going up. The only thing that’s really driving it up is the fundamentals. Right now, the price is super high, and selling it could be risky.
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