XAU/USD) back up Trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish reversal setup from a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box at ~3,100–3,140):
The price recently touched a significant support area marked by multiple previous bounces (green arrows).
The latest green arrow shows a bullish reaction from this zone, indicating potential for an upward move.
2. Resistance Zone (~3,220–3,250):
This intermediate zone is expected to be the first area of interest for bulls.
The analysis suggests a brief pullback or consolidation before continuation.
3. Target Point (~3,375):
The chart outlines a projected move to around 3,375, aligning with a previous supply zone and the upper channel line.
This is likely the main target for a swing trade.
4. EMA 200 (Blue Line - ~3,221):
Price is hovering around the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic resistance.
A breakout above this would add bullish confirmation.
5. RSI Indicator (~41):
RSI is recovering from an oversold region (~38), indicating potential momentum building for a reversal.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This is a bullish reversal setup with:
Entry zone: Around 3,120–3,140
Short-term resistance: ~3,220–3,250
Final target: ~3,375
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the yellow support box (~3,100)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Goldlong
GOLD Has Shown A Significant Bullish Move!!Gold Market Analysis
Over the past week, gold has shown a significant bullish move by touching its weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and closing a candle above it. This price action serves as a strong indication that the market is currently exhibiting bullish momentum. However, it is important to note that the sustainability of this bullish trend will be confirmed only through future market developments and price behavior.
As of now, our analysis suggests that gold, after revisiting and respecting the weekly bullish FVG, is trending upward. Looking ahead, we anticipate a minor retracement in the short term. This pullback could provide a healthy opportunity for the market to gather momentum before making another move upward. Ideally, we expect the price to retrace slightly and re-enter the highlighted yellow zone. Within this zone, we will be watching for a Market Structure Shift (MSS), which would act as our confirmation signal to consider entering a long position.
Once confirmation is received through MSS or similar price action cues, our strategy would be to target the liquidity zones situated above the current price level. It is also worth mentioning that the market has already cleared liquidity on the sell-side, which further strengthens the bullish case. Based on current technical indications and liquidity structure, there is a high probability that gold could reach as high as $3,250 in the upcoming sessions.
That said, market conditions can evolve rapidly, and it is essential to monitor price action closely. Traders and investors are strongly advised to conduct their own research (DYOR) and await clear confirmations before making any trading decisions. Staying vigilant and informed will be key to capitalizing on potential bullish movements in the gold market.
XAU/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot price against USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring a Smart Money Concept (SMC) approach. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
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1. Downtrend & Trendline Break
The chart initially shows a downtrend with two red arrows marking lower highs.
A trendline is broken, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
CHOCH (Change of Character) is labeled — a key SMC concept signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish structure.
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2. Orderblock & FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A bullish orderblock is highlighted, indicating an area where institutional buying may have occurred.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is shown, which often acts as a magnet for price to fill inefficiencies before continuing in the intended direction.
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3. Resistance & Target Zones
A resistance level is marked near 3248–3250, which price may revisit and possibly break.
Two target points are identified:
First target: ~3344
Final target: ~3433
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4. EMA 200
The EMA 200 is acting as dynamic resistance; a break above it adds confluence to the bullish bias.
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5. Expected Move
The analysis anticipates:
1. A pullback into the FVG or orderblock.
2. A bullish continuation after mitigating those zones.
3. Price aiming for the resistance and eventually the upper targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This is a bullish outlook based on a structural break (CHOCH), institutional demand (orderblock), and gap-filling logic (FVG). The price is expected to pull back slightly and then rally toward the 3344 and 3433 levels if it holds the orderblock zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAUUSD Bearish Setup with Key Entry, Stop Loss & Target LevelsEA GOLD MAN XAUUSD
Entry Point: $3,235.94
Stop Loss: $3,235.94 (above current price, suggesting a SELL trade)
Target Points:
EA Target Point (Downside): $2,974.71 (Short target)
EA Target Point (Upside): $3,505.03 (Long target — likely alternate scenario)
Resistance Level: $3,121.49
Nearby Support Zone: Around $3,000–$2,975
📉 Trade Strategy Implied
This appears to be a short position setup:
Sell at: ~$3,220–$3,235
Stop Loss: $3,235.94
Take Profit: $2,974.71
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (very favorable setup if thesis holds)
The upside target ($3,505.03) might be for a different scenario — if price reverses and breaks above resistance.
🧠 Market Structure Observations
Trend: A bearish break from a previous ascending channel.
Momentum: Price has bounced slightly after hitting support, but the moving averages suggest bearish momentum may persist.
Key Risk: If price breaks above $3,236 convincingly, it could invalidate the short setup and trigger a bullish run.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bearish (based on current setup)
Setup: Short with tight stop above resistance
Confirmation Needed: Watch for rejection at the $3,220–$3,236 zone and a breakdown below $3,200 for follow-through.
Gold layout summary and forecast for next week
Before the fishermen went out to sea, they didn't know where the fish were? But they still chose to go because they believed they would return with a full load. When you invest, you don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try. Success is not something that will happen in the future, but from the moment you choose and decide to do it, you will gain something if you insist on believing. The same is true for gold investment. You may still be losing money at the moment, but as long as you find me, all losses will be solved!
Views on the trend of gold next week!
Gold continued its downward trend on Friday. In the morning, there was another long-short wash and returned to the 3200 mark. The daily line closed with a small negative line. Then we have to consider a problem now, that is, whether the daily line will form a continuous decline. In the daily rhythm, we can see that the position of the high point has been declining, which means that after the top resistance level of the three-point line is blocked, it is easy to form a secondary turning point of the trend downward, which means that next week we still have to look at the retracement.
As for the future market direction, the short-term bearish trend will continue to be the theme! On the whole, the gold price rebounded in 4 hours and made a backtest. If the rebound does not break the resistance, it will continue to fall, and the direction of the decline will continue! After the short turning point turned downward from the high point, the current short trend is still extending downward, that is to say, before the short reaches the key node and the long builds a bottom, the rebound is still the main rhythm!
Gold: Enter short orders near 3212 next week, defend 22, and target 3180-60!
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update. As shown, the Goldturn channel is still being respected by price action. After a failed breakout attempt above the channel alongside the EMA5, we saw a rejection back toward the channels half line, a level we've identified as a potential support zone.
This support held, resulting in a bounce that aligns with our strategy of buying dips. As long as price continues to hold above this level and the EMA5 remains supportive, we could see a gradual move back toward higher levels. However, if the midline is retested and fails, and the EMA5 crosses below the half line, this could signal a potential move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s our weekly chart update. Once again, the Goldturn channel is proving reliable, with price action unfolding as expected. Over the past few weeks, we saw multiple attempts to break above the top of the channel, but each was rejected , confirmed by the EMA5 failing to break through.
Following this, price dropped to as low as 3189 and nearly reached 3094, aligning closely with the channels half line, a key support level we've been monitoring. We caught an early bounce there and capitalized on it using confluence from our lower time frame analysis, also shared with you all, on our 1h and 4h chart ideas.
As long as price holds above the channels half line, we’ll continue to look for bounce opportunities using levels from our smaller time frame setups. However, if price crosses and holds below the half line, it may open the door for a move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
As always, patience and precision are key. We'll continue using the 1H and 4H timeframes to buy dips on retracements into these support zones, targeting clean 20–40 pip moves. These levels and pullbacks offer ideal opportunities, especially in ranging conditions where our Goldturn method truly shines.
This is exactly why we rely on our Goldturn Channels, our proprietary system built on weighted averages. It filters the noise, helps us spot real breakouts vs. fake-outs, and gives us the confidence to act with clarity and discipline.
Thanks again for all the support, your likes, comments and follows.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
Gold ended this week successfully!In terms of news, first, the easing of the trade situation weakened the safe-haven property of gold. Secondly, a series of data released this week and the Fed's emphasis on not rushing to cut interest rates also suppressed the gold price. In addition, the parties involved in geopolitical conflicts also began talks. Although there are differences in negotiating positions, they still have to solve the problem when they can sit down and talk. Because of the repeated news, the closing price at the end of the week was also above 3200, so some people still believe that the gold price will go to 3500, and even think that it will exceed this position. I have mentioned this in my previous analysis. The gold price was first stimulated by multiple news and buying rushed up. Now that the risk aversion has receded, I think it is reasonable to see the gold price fall.
Let's analyze it from the technical side: the rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning around, so whether it can form a golden cross upwards is the key next time, or it will oscillate a few times and continue to diverge downward. The strength of gold on Monday is very critical. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, which was a very fast trend. However, it fell directly on Tuesday and broke through more than half, so it cannot be said that the bulls are strong. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a big negative line. There will be two key positions on Monday next week. Pay attention to 3180 on the bottom of gold. If it falls below 3180 soon after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak as a whole. Pay attention to 3215 on the top. If gold breaks through 3215, then gold will be strong as a whole. If gold opens flat on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, and it is under pressure at 3215, then you can continue to go short in the short term.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold Price Analysis and OutlookOver the past week, the global gold market experienced its steepest correction since last November. Investor sentiment shifted sharply, sending gold prices (XAU/USD) into a freefall and erasing most of the gains accumulated in previous weeks.
📉 Gold Price Movements
- Gold ended the week at around $3,201 per ounce, plunging nearly $122 compared to the previous week — marking the largest weekly drop in six months.
- The decline came as global markets pivoted toward riskier assets following a trade agreement between the U.S. and China, which brought renewed optimism to investors.
- The easing of geopolitical tensions, along with expectations that interest rates will remain steady or rise slightly, led to a waning demand for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset.
🔮 Outlook: Temporary Correction or Start of a Bearish Trend?
- Despite the sharp decline, many experts believe this may only be a technical correction, driven by profit-taking after a strong upward rally in recent weeks.
- Factors such as persistent inflation, rising global debt, and underlying macroeconomic uncertainties continue to support gold’s role as a hedge in investment portfolios.
- In the short term, the gold market will remain sensitive to policy signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve and volatility in the bond market.
🧭 Conclusion
Gold has just endured its worst week in half a year, but that doesn’t necessarily signal the end of its long-term bullish trend. For cautious, long-term investors, the current correction phase could present a valuable opportunity to reposition portfolios at more attractive price levels.
GOLD H4 Weekly Chart Update For 19 - 23 May 25As you can see that GOLD H4 for weekly term
First of all note all mentioned levels Carefully, right now market just close above 3200 psychological level
2 upside GAPS remains in focus for now
1st one around 3330-3340
2nd one is 3430
so keep in mind overall trend is remains bullish for now on senior timeframes
Gold still has room to fall and rebounds to continue to shortGold fell as expected in the Asian session, which was in line with our thinking and expectations. Our short position was shorted near 3237-38 and exited with profit, and then shorted near 3194 and exited with profit again, and we made good profits both times. There are many people who followed the trend and went long in today's market, or even chased the long position, and without exception, they were trapped and wailing. We have repeatedly emphasized that we should treat it with a sweeping approach, and different market rhythms should be responded to with different methods. Judging from the current market trend, the European session continues to weaken. The focus should be on the gains and losses of 3180 support. If it breaks through, it will continue to look at 3150 and 3120. In this case, the short-term will return to weakness. If it does not break, we will look at a wide sweeping range. The upper pressure will focus on 3200, 3215, and 3230. The rebound will be mainly high. The weekly line will be closed tonight, and volatility will intensify.
PATIENCE PAYS 〉BEARS TRAPPED - HODL TO $4,000As illustrated, Im trying to visualize the beginning of the next impulse toward $4,000
This is an intraday - swing trade opportunity to 1H highs; however, it would be just the first move toward a longer term path to ATH above $3,500
Ride this wave as you can, but know that the yellow metal still has a lot of strength and power to continue growing.
June might still behave strangely as it is a consolidation month on average 5-10-15 years; however, It wouldn't surprise me if market structure holds important support prices instead of ranging back below $3,200 - $3,150 ; in other words, that range might be strong longterm support.
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GOOD LUCK!
SECURE PROFITS.
persaxu
Long orders are trapped,what should we do with the US gold marke🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Gold once fell to around 3170, which is in line with our judgment of bullish weakness. This is why we are not in a hurry to participate in long orders today. I know that many bros also listened to the outside world and went long around 3200, which led to being trapped. At present, the gold price is constantly testing the 3170 support line. If it falls below, it will look to the 3150 support line. If it does not break, it will be treated as a shock. On the top, temporarily pay attention to the 3205-3215 line of resistance. If it encounters resistance and pressure, go short. On the bottom, first pay attention to the 3170 support line, and then pay attention to the 3150-3140 support line. Hold if it breaks.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold Bullish Outlook - Gold BullishFollowing strong buying momentum observed yesterday, gold is currently consolidating within a falling wedge pattern — a typically bullish setup. A breakout from this pattern could trigger a fresh upward move in the price of gold.
Post-Breakout Bullish Targets:
Target 1: 3230
Target 2: 3240
Target 3: 3250
Target 4: 3275
Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis-based outlook. Please assess your risk-to-reward ratio and follow your individual trading strategy. This is not financial advice — trade responsibly and according to your plan.
XAUUSD TRADE Entry from Support with Targets at 3,347 and 3,503Entry Point: 3,219.45
Stop Loss: 3,171.35
Target Point One: 3,347.49
EA Target Point (Final Target): 3,503.87
Trade Plan:
Risk Zone: Between entry (3,219.45) and stop loss (3,171.35). The trader risks roughly 48.1 points.
Reward Zone: From entry to:
Target Point One: ~128 points.
Final Target (EA Target): ~284.4 points.
Risk-Reward Ratios:
To Target Point One: ~2.66:1
To EA Target Point: ~5.9:1
Indicators and Signals:
Price appears to be bouncing off a support zone near 3,212–3,219, indicating a potential reversal.
200 EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (red) are shown; price is slightly above the 200 EMA, suggesting long-term support.
There is a downtrend before the bounce, so this might be a counter-trend trade or the start of a new trend.
Summary:
This setup is a classic bounce from a demand/support zone with a clear upside potential. The risk is tightly managed, and the reward is significantly higher, aligning with favorable risk-reward principles. However, the position is speculative and relies on bullish follow-through from the support level. Watch price behavior near the 3,288 and 3,347 resistance zones to assess momentum.
GOLD 1H Chart Analysis – Market Structure Shift & Liquidity ZoneThis 1-hour chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) from TradingView displays a detailed technical analysis highlighting key market structure events such as Break of Structure (BOS), Change of Character (CHoCH), and liquidity zones. A descending trendline indicates bearish pressure, while recent CHoCH suggests a possible bullish reversal. Key supply and demand zones are marked in red, with liquidity grabs and imbalances visualized using shaded areas. Price currently hovers around the 3,211 level, approaching a resistance zone after reclaiming bullish momentum. Traders may look for reactions near the supply zone or a break above trendline resistance for confirmation.
Gold has a strong deep V, 3200 support is good for longThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn and continue, so the momentum of gold bears begins to weaken, and gold bulls may begin to exert their strength. However, gold started to rise all the way from 3120 to 3252 yesterday. Gold rose by about 130 points, so the volatility began to increase. Therefore, we must wait patiently for gold to adjust. Because of such a large fluctuation, an adjustment will also be tens of dollars. We must wait patiently for the adjustment and stabilize before going long. After gold breaks through 3192, it is considered a strong deep V breakthrough of important resistance. Then 3192 of gold has now become an important support level. If it falls back to 3192 in the Asian session, go long on dips. If gold falls back to near the 3200 mark, you can try to go long.
Since gold has started to reverse strongly, gold bulls have begun to show their muscles. In the short term, we should not be stubbornly bearish anymore. We should be flexible and adapt to the market. The market is like this, changing rapidly. We should adapt to the market and not be too obsessed with bears or bulls. Obsession is a trap. Gold bulls are strong now, so gold is now the home of bulls. Go long when the Asian session falls back.
Bullish Momentum Builds as Gold Trades Within 3200–3250 RangeSHORT-TERM GOLD ANALYSIS – XAUUSD
🟢 GOLD SURGES TO $3250 FOLLOWING FED CHAIR'S SPEECH
Gold prices spiked to the $3250 region after a reassuring speech by the new Fed Chair, which helped calm market sentiment. The move reflects renewed demand for safe-haven assets.
📉 Currently, XAUUSD is trading around the 3220 area, testing short-term resistance levels and potentially building momentum for another upward push.
🔎 Key short-term price zone:
In the short term, gold is likely to range between $3200 and $3250, forming a short-term trading zone where accumulation and directional moves may develop.
✅ Short-Term Trade Setup
🔹BUY:
Entry: 3205
Take Profit (TP): 3210
Stop Loss (SL): 3200
🔹SELL :
Entry: 3241
Take Profit (TP): 3236
Stop Loss (SL): 3246
⚠️ Notes:
These setups are best suited for short-term traders using lower timeframes (M15–H1).
Monitor price action closely around 3200 and 3250 for confirmation before entering trades.
Always apply proper risk management to avoid overexposure, especially with ongoing market reactions to Fed news.
Gold Bulls Reloading from 3239 | Break-and-Retest Long SetupGold (XAUUSD) is still riding a solid bullish wave after yesterday's strong move. The price surged sharply and is now setting up a classic break-and-retest pattern around the 3239 demand zone on the 30-minute chart.
After hitting a local peak, the price pulled back to the previous breakout level, creating a potential re-entry point for buyers. This movement fits well with the intraday structure and momentum, making it a high-probability continuation setup.
As long as the 3231 support level holds, the bullish outlook stays intact. The rejection wick from this area shows early signs of buyer interest, and a small bullish candle confirmation from here could spark another upward move.
🔹 Trade Plan:
Entry: 3239 (retest of broken structure)
Stop Loss: 3231 (below rejection wick & minor support)
Take Profits:
TP1: 3248 – minor resistance
TP2: 3255 – price imbalance fill
TP3: 3264 – extended target / top liquidity zone