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The battle for the 3200 mark is imminentThe United States has officially launched a tax increase policy on major global trading partners. The wide range of goods involved and the high tax increase are rare in history. The essence of the tax increase is to require countries to have the same tax rate on US goods as the US export tax rate to them. For example, if Indian motorcycles face a 2.4% tax in the United States, and American motorcycles are taxed 100% in India, the United States will reversely tax Indian motorcycles at 100%. This "tit-for-tat" mechanism directly leads to a surge in the price of imported goods, and companies are forced to restructure their supply chains. Next, once the Federal Reserve starts to cut interest rates, gold is bound to reach a new level. Cutting interest rates is the general trend. When the economy is down, only by cutting interest rates can economic development be stimulated, and raising interest rates will only push the economy to the brink of collapse. The US economy is already in collapse, not on the edge! After the tariff news, gold quickly retreated to 3105 and then soared, reaching a high of 3168. Gold, hold the position of 3100 US dollars, which is the key to determine the long and short positions. The rising market is not about staring at the high point speculation, but the gains and losses of the key support area. As long as the key support is not broken, the rising trend will not see the top. Gold operation suggestion: long around 3120-3110
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD AnalysisCurrent Price: $3,148.890 Support Zone: $3,145 - $3,148 (Price has respected this level multiple times.) Resistance Levels: First Target: $3,155 Second Target: $3,165 - $3,170 Demand Zone Holding: The purple zone represents a demand area where buyers are stepping in. Potential Breakout: If price holds above $3,145, it could continue its bullish trend. Sine Wave Indicator: Suggests that Gold is currently at a cyclical low, indicating a possible upward move. Volume Analysis: Increasing bullish volume supports the case for an upside move. ✅ Bullish Entry: $3,147 - $3,148 (Confirmation needed.) 🎯 Target: $3,155 - $3,170 🛑 Stop-Loss: Below $3,143 Bullish Bias Above $3,145 Potential Move Toward $3,165 - $3,170 Watch for a Breakout Confirmation
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xxChartWhizxx
The long-short sweep may still explodeThe tariffs were also successfully implemented. In response, the market bulls and bears also responded strongly. After all, the 3105-3142 area rose and fell in seconds, which was a terrifying market. Of course, to be honest, this wave of turbulence was mostly caused by institutions. After all, the market smashing was also extremely strong. However, I don’t agree with the impact of the tariffs implemented last night. First of all, looking back at the market situation, Trump said that tariffs would be imposed on many countries, which actually meant a 20% retaliatory tariff on the European Union. As for some other countries, only a 10% general levy was implemented, which relatively resulted in an unequal tariff situation. Of course, Trump also reiterated that Canada and Mexico still have tariff exemptions in a limited range of goods. So what impact will this situation have on the bulls and bears of gold? To be honest, personally, I have undoubtedly overestimated the announcement of this tariff. In other words, the implementation of this tariff is a bit insufficient in my eyes. After all, I expected that Trump would make major changes in his previous speech. As a result, it is a significant reduction compared to his previous years in office. This has also limited the outbreak of risk aversion. Of course, trade risks definitely exist, but through the matter of adding Mexico, this is completely negotiable. For this tariff event, I don’t think there is a big risk stimulus. Of course, the key is to see whether the market buys it. If the market thinks it will stimulate long-term risk aversion, then it will inevitably be pushed up by buying. However, the intensity of yesterday’s tariffs was not strong in my opinion. This may also limit the outbreak of longs to a certain extent. After all, the market’s expectations for it were too strong in the early stage, which also led to the early rise of longs, which also included the digestion of news. For this, you still need to be cautious. Then looking back at the current market, the tariffs have been implemented, and in a blink of an eye, we will also welcome the announcement of non-agricultural data. As far as the current market is concerned, the various US economic data have also improved relatively. After all, the substantial growth of ADP has undoubtedly dispelled the rumors of economic downturn. After all, the warming of the labor market undoubtedly reflects the warming of the US economy. Under the influence of tariffs, it has indeed boosted the US economy. Of course, the impact of the data is not just that. The current remarks about the slowdown in inflation are self-defeating. Due to the implementation of tariffs, inflation is likely to rise further. This directly hits the Fed's expectations of a rate cut, and the warming of the labor market has further limited the possibility of the Fed implementing a rate cut. In this regard, no matter what the final result of the market outlook is, based on the current situation, I personally think that it is really difficult for the Fed to implement a rate cut this year, which has also led to a reduction in the momentum of gold bulls. Moreover, if this situation continues, the Fed does not rule out the possibility of being forced to implement a rate hike. Although Trump is also calling on the Fed to cut interest rates, the fact is that it cannot be implemented at present, unless the US talks with other countries again during this period to discuss a reduction, as it did with Canada and Mexico. Otherwise, as time goes by, as the tariff issue intensifies, inflation will be restricted, thus affecting the implementation of the Fed's policy. At this time, you can pay more attention to the market dynamics. So for today, although gold is currently stimulated to rise, I don't quite agree with the emergence of new highs for gold bulls. To put it bluntly, for now, even if a new high appears, gold breaks through 3160, which is more of a possibility of inducing more. I am not saying that I am blindly bearish, but you have actually seen that gold is blocked at a high level, and the momentum of falling back is also extremely strong, especially gold started three consecutive positives last Friday, and as of Tuesday this week, it stopped falling near the highest point of 3149. The bull outbreak is already facing exhaustion. Even if the bulls rise again today, where can they rise, to 3200? Then what? You should know that it is cold at the top. Unless there is absolute bullish momentum to support gold to continue to rise, there will be a peak at any time. The short space is still large, just waiting for an opportunity. In particular, the sharp increase in ADP has led to the market betting on the negative non-agricultural data. Once gold is blocked from rising, it will inevitably collapse in an instant. Especially when this kind of news stimulates gold to rise, retail investors in the market will not consider its fundamentals. They will only think that interest rate cuts are absolutely good for bulls and the implementation of tariffs is absolutely good for bulls, which will lead to buying. This is also a chance for institutions to snipe bulls. For this, for today and tomorrow, even if gold breaks a new high, you should not blindly follow the trend. Remember to guard against the possibility of a resurgence of shorts. In this regard, I personally prefer the possibility of shorts looking back at the possibility of breaking 3100 and falling to 3080-3050. You can be cautious about this. As for today's opening, gold opened high at 3141, and encountered a flash crash at 3128 at the opening, and then rebounded to 3139 and then flash crashed to 3123. This performance can be said to be extremely strong. In this case, I certainly cannot notify the operation. After all, the fluctuation is too fast. With a quote every second, even if you give an order, you may not be able to enter the market in time. For this, you still need to wait for the market to calm down. As for today's market, the fluctuation may be relatively strong. You can wait and see and be cautious. As for the specific operation details, I will give them in real time. Remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss. ​ ​
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyAs global economic uncertainty intensifies and gold prices hit record highs, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound. Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year. In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2. In conclusion, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Giant-Whale
3100 Danger？ Has a short trend emerged after gold’s sharp fall?If you persist in doing something for three days, it is just a whim! If you persist in doing it for three months, it is just a start! If you persist in doing it for 10 years, it can be considered a career! Whether in life or trading, if you want to succeed, it is like sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat. Only by working hard, persisting, moving forward bravely, and overcoming obstacles can you reap your own "success"! A new day begins, and every step of the strategy is the beginning of a battle. Execute the operation, if you don’t move, you will be fine, but if you move, you will be thunderous! 1-5 current price transactions per day make the operation easier! Gold technical analysis: After the gold surged, it appeared under pressure. The price reached 3149 and then retreated. The US market continued to decline after the shock. Don’t do more if it falls below 3120 in the evening, and be alert to the possibility of retreating to 3100. The short-term means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and began to retreat and adjust the trend. In addition to Trump’s announcement of tariffs this week, there will also be non-agricultural data, so this week is destined to be extraordinary. This is also the risk that has been repeatedly reminded. Don't be blindly overwhelmed by bulls. You need to respect the market at all times. After falling below 3120, there is room for a retracement, but whether the overall trend has turned is still uncertain. This week is very critical. There are important fundamental news. It is necessary to confirm whether it will change the fundamentals. Only when there is a change will the trend turn. Pay attention to the 3120 first-line resistance on the top of the 4-hour chart, and pay attention to the 3100 support on the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to operate in the range. Gold operation suggestion: short selling near 3115-3119, stop loss 3130, target 3105-3100 Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEGOLD Daily Chart Update: 24th FEB 2025 Hi Everyone, Here’s the latest update on the GOLD daily chart, which we've been closely monitoring and trading. Below, we break down recent price movements, updated key levels, and provide actionable insights for the days ahead. Recap of Recent Chart Success! Gold recently achieved a record high of $2,954.80. Our analysis has consistently highlighted that after reaching each target level, prices tend to reverse by over 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level. This pattern was evident when, after hitting TP3 at $2,933, the price retraced more than 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level at 2870, which acted as a support, before rebounding bullishly to surpass resistance and reach the all-time high of $2,954.81. Current Outlook: Bullish or Bearish? Presently, gold's price is oscillating between a resistance gap at $2,990 and a support gap at $2,933. The $2,990 level serves as a key resistance, while $2,933 acts as support. Additionally, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) offers support at $2,920. In summary, while the long-term outlook remains bullish due to factors like central bank demand and economic uncertainties, short-term fluctuations between the $2,933 support and $2,990 resistance levels are expected. Traders should monitor these key levels and indicators closely to inform their strategies. KEY LEVEL: 2870 Resistance Levels: 2990, 3052 Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2933, 2870, 2801, 2744, 2671, 2595 EMA5 Behavior: * Or If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2933, it strengthens the bullish case. * If EMA5 fails to hold above 2933, cross and lock below this level 2933, expect a pullback to key GOLDTURN levels below. Recommendations: * Capitalize on Dip Opportunities: Use smaller timeframes (1H, 4H) to trade around GOLDTURN levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade. * Stay focused on shorter trades in this range-bound market to manage volatility effectively. Long-Term Bias: Maintain a bullish outlook while viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities. Accumulate positions near key support levels for a safer approach instead of chasing highs. Final Note: Trade with confidence and precision. Our analysis ensures you’re well-prepared to navigate the evolving market landscape. Stay updated with our daily insights across multiple timeframes for deeper clarity. Thank you for your continued trust! Don’t forget to like, share, and comment to support our work. Best regards, The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 3RD MARCH 2025 Hello Everyone, Since October 2023, our gold price analyses have been consistently accurate. In the past week, gold reached our initial target of $2,877 and achieved a new all-time high (ATH) of $2,956, before retracing to the Gold Turn Level at $2,875. We previously noted that a bullish trend would be confirmed if the 5-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA5) crosses and holds above $2,877.95; otherwise, a reversal toward the Gold Turn levels was anticipated. * We also stated The key level at $2,735 remains a critical zone. Active Gold Turn levels at $2,875 and $2,735 suggest that the price may revisit these areas before advancing to TP1 and beyond again. * We also stated Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided strong support at $2,850, with the EMA5 approaching the first take-profit (TP1) level at $2,877, leading to a bullish surge that touched the all-time high. However, the EMA5 has yet to cross and stabilize above $2,877. This worked to be perfectly as anticipated. - This situation persists, with the EMA5 still not locked above $2,877, which is necessary for further bullish confirmation. If the EMA5 fails to cross and hold above this level, the price may reverse to test the KEY level at 2735 before potentially bouncing back upward. Recommendations & Strategy: * Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades. * Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2735 is vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities. Our ongoing analysis will continue to focus on these technical indicators to navigate the current market conditions effectively. For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance. We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit! The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Path to $9,000: Gold’s Next Supercycle Triggered by the 2024 RSI Thesis - The Road to $9,000: How Gold’s 2024 RSI Breakout Signals a New Supercycle Executive Summary In January 2024, gold's quarterly RSI broke decisively above the 70 level — a rare technical event that historically marks the beginning of powerful, long-duration uptrends. This breakout echoes a similar RSI move in April 2005 that preceded a near eight-year bull market, driving gold from ~$430 to nearly $1,900 — a 340% increase. If history rhymes, this recent momentum surge may be the opening act in a multi-year supercycle with a potential price target north of $9,000 per ounce. This thesis presents a comparative analysis of the 2005–2011 bull phase and the emerging 2024 trend, using momentum indicators (RSI, MACD), long-term volume-weighted price levels (VWAP), structural breakouts, and Fibonacci projections to extrapolate a scenario in which gold embarks on its largest bull run in decades. I. A Signal from the Past: RSI Above 70 In April 2005, gold’s quarterly RSI crossed 70 — a level traditionally interpreted as “overbought,” but in trending markets, often signals the start of something big. Over the next 2,800 days, gold’s price rose relentlessly, guided by momentum, monetary policy shifts, and secular macro themes. Now, in January 2024, that same RSI level has been breached again — not from a spike or panic move, but from a slow, base-building structure spanning over a decade. The setup is eerily familiar: a long consolidation, followed by a clean breakout, and now, an overbought momentum profile with room to expand — not collapse. II. Charting the Similarities: 2005 vs. 2024 Metric 2005 Bull Start 2024 Setup RSI breach of 70 Q2 2005 Q1 2024 Starting price ~$430 ~$2,000 Breakout 20-year base 13-year base Duration of trend ~7.7 years Projected to 2031 MACD cross Preceded RSI Also preceded RSI VWAP position Price > VWAP Price > VWAP The MACD crossover in both instances occurred just before RSI broke out, indicating a build-up of medium-term momentum. This alignment of long- and medium-term signals suggests that the 2024 move is not a short-lived spike, but the beginning of a sustained structural trend. III. Fibonacci Extrapolation: The Case for $9,000 Applying Fibonacci extensions from the 2015 bottom to the 2020–2023 consolidation, the 2.618 extension level aligns around $8,700–$9,000. This is also consistent with the proportional move from 2005–2011 (a ~340% gain from breakout levels). If gold’s breakout in 2024 mirrors the strength of its prior secular trend, a target of $9,000 by 2031–2032 is not just plausible — it may be conservative. IV. The Narrative Behind the Numbers Gold does not rise in a vacuum. Behind the charts lies a macroeconomic context of de-dollarization, fiscal expansion, rising debt-to-GDP ratios, and weakening confidence in fiat currency regimes. The 2005–2011 bull unfolded against the backdrop of global financial instability and loose monetary policy. Today, those drivers are amplified. The demand for gold as a hedge — not just against inflation, but against systemic fragility — has never been stronger. Conclusion: Overbought for a Reason OANDA:XAUUSD The RSI has entered overbought territory again — but this isn’t a red flag. It’s a green light. In strong secular trends, being overbought isn’t a signal to exit — it’s a hallmark of strength. If the structural, momentum, and psychological conditions align as they did in 2005, gold may be embarking on a journey toward $9,000 over the next 7 to 8 years. This thesis aims to chart that road — and illuminate the signals already flashing along the way.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheHouseofTrade
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 2833.00 2879.11 2955.00 3000.00 3057.40 3100.00 3150.00 3200.00 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForecastCity
28
The bulls continue to reach new highsEarly layout plan for gold: As mentioned in our previous article, we decisively laid out gold short positions when entering the market at key points in the early stage, strictly implemented the fast-in-fast-out trading strategy mentioned in our article, perfectly hit the stop-profit target TP, and successfully made profits. Gold technical analysis: Gold bulls dominate the screen, continuously breaking new historical highs. The current highest has reached 3149. The daily line has also closed positively, galloping in the market, invincible, and also let the bears flee. The current trend is basically in a regular form. The bullish trend is still strong. The early opening sprint broke through the 3130 line. We directly went long in the real market and successfully reached the target 3140-3145. Yesterday, the technical side of gold ushered in an accelerated rise in the Asian market. In the afternoon, the bulls in the European market continued to break through and stand above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continue to fluctuate strongly. Last night, the US market retreated twice to confirm that it stabilized at the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Our real market and the analysis of the article before the US market last night also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. I believe that friends who follow me can see that if your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate! From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3117-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, without fighting. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3117-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line long, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, break and continue to hold; Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technological changes, notify you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD-GOLD can still break upward ? read captionGold (XAU/USD) has just soared to a new all-time high, reflecting heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties. The surge comes as global markets react to inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and shifting monetary policies, further strengthening gold’s position as a premier store of value. With central banks increasing their reserves and investors seeking stability, the precious metal continues to shine, marking a historic moment in the financial markets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
Verified again, bulls continue to hit new highsGold technical analysis: Gold opened at 3130 in the morning. Yesterday, gold technically accelerated in the Asian session. The European session bulls continued to break through and stood above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continued to fluctuate strongly. The US session stepped back twice to confirm the stabilization of the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Friends who follow me can see that our real-time analysis and the analysis of the article before the US session also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. This also verifies the 3127-3130 line suppression given in my article last night. The daily K-line closed with a shock and broke through the high-middle Yang. The overall gold price ushered in the rhythm of bulls accelerating the rise after breaking through the 3050 mark. The daily level closed with a strong medium-yang for three consecutive trading days. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate! From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3118-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3116-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line continue to cover long positions, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, and continue to hold if it breaks. Trading discipline: 1. Do not blindly follow the trend: Do not be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend can easily fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in volatile markets, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
You can't make money from such a simple market?After gold stepped back, it hit a new high again. Gold bulls continued to be strong. Gold broke through 3127 again, so the bulls are even better. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upwards and diverges. The support of the gold 1-hour moving average has moved up to 3096, but gold is now far away from the moving average, so wait patiently for adjustments and then step back to continue to buy. The gold 1-hour lowest yesterday fell to around 3100 and then stabilized again, so today gold will continue to buy on dips above 3100. Trading ideas for reference： Go long near gold 3110, sl: 3100, tp: 3130
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fortune-signal
Gold – Key Buying Zone at 3,090 for a Target of 3,157Why is $3,090 a Great Buying Area? Support within the Channel – The price has been respecting the lower boundary of the channel, and 3,090 aligns with this trend structure. Volume Profile Confirmation – Visible volume accumulation around this level suggests it has strong support. Buyers previously stepped in here, making it a logical point for re-entry. Trend Continuation Setup – The overall bullish structure remains intact, making pullbacks like 3,090 a low-risk buying area for continuation toward the target of 3,157. Why Not Short Here? The trend is clearly bullish, and there are no reversal signals. Even if a pullback occurs, it should be seen as an opportunity to buy rather than an indication to short. The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, but until clear bearish signals appear, betting against the trend is risky. Conclusion A pullback to 3,090 should be considered a buying opportunity for a move toward 3,157. As long as the price remains within the channel, the primary focus should be on buying dips rather than looking for short entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
8
A must-read for those who accurately hit TP and get liquidated!3.31: Three orders were made, short at 3121, close at 3113 and long at 3103, close at 3116. BTC82000 long at 83000 close. If you are losing money or your account is liquidated, please check my homepage and contact me. I will never let you down if you trust me. I have many years of market experience. The spot gold price broke through the $3120 per ounce mark, rising nearly $40 at one point, reaching a record high of $3128. This amazing rise was mainly driven by market concerns about the Trump administration's upcoming tariff policy, and investors flocked to gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to seek shelter. The cumulative increase in March has exceeded 9%, and is expected to record the largest monthly increase in nearly a year. On Monday, the international gold price continued to rise, with the spot gold price breaking through the $3120 per ounce mark, rising nearly $40 at one point, reaching a record high of $3128, an increase of about 1.3%. This amazing rise was mainly driven by market concerns about the Trump administration's upcoming tariff policy, and investors flocked to gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to seek shelter. The cumulative increase in March has exceeded 10%, and is expected to record the largest monthly increase in nearly a year. Technical indicators show that $3,000 has become a new support level. I predict that gold prices may hit $3,180 in the short term, and the target will be raised to $3,300 by the end of the year. The market is paying attention to the US reciprocal tariff plan on April 2 and Friday's non-agricultural data. Goldman Sachs warned that tariff escalation may cause US core PCE inflation to rise to 3.5% and GDP growth to slow to 1%. Analysts are generally bullish on gold, and 85% of institutions predict that the rise will continue. Under the resonance of risk aversion and inflationary pressure, gold may remain strong in the short term, but it is necessary to be vigilant about the possible technical correction to the 3040-3090 range in mid-April. Geopolitical tensions have further exacerbated market uneasiness. US President Trump's latest statement on Sunday said that if he believes that Moscow is hindering his efforts to end the war in Ukraine, he will impose a secondary tariff of 25% to 50% on all Russian oil. This tough stance has heightened market concerns about the deteriorating global trade environment, providing additional impetus for gold prices to rise. From a macroeconomic perspective, rising inflation expectations have also supported gold's gains. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's latest statement shows that recent inflation data has shaken her confidence in two rate cuts this year. This statement reinforces the market's expectations that the Fed may maintain a high interest rate policy for a longer period of time, and the value of gold as a traditional anti-inflation asset has been highlighted. So far this year, gold prices have risen by more than 18%, showing strong safe-haven appeal. Despite the record highs in gold prices, analysts warned that the market may face the risk of short-term adjustments. If the tariffs announced this week are not as severe as people fear, then gold prices may start to fall as profit-taking at high levels may be triggered. "Market participants are waiting with bated breath for the final details of the Trump administration's tariff policy, which will determine the sustainability of gold's current rally. In the current environment, gold has demonstrated its unique value as the "ultimate safe-haven asset". As geopolitical risks, trade tensions and inflation uncertainties persist, gold prices may continue to fluctuate at high levels. However, investors also need to be wary of possible profit-taking pressure after policy clarification, as well as the potential impact of the Fed's monetary policy direction on the gold market. The subsequent development of this gold feast dominated by risk aversion will still depend on the game results of multiple factors.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Strong acceleration to the top? Gold trading analysis strategyGold early layout plan: Long and short strategies in the real market all the way to stop profit, lucrative profits, witnessed by the whole network! News: On the fundamentals, last week's re-strengthening, in addition to the escalation of tensions in the global economy and trade, there is also support from the Middle East tensions and the optimistic impact of the Ukraine negotiations that are not as expected; and this week will usher in Trump's tariff week, and countries are currently relatively tough and oppose the unilateral imposition of tariffs by the United States. And a comprehensive response is about to be made. This will increase economic concerns and the safe-haven demand for gold. Therefore, although there are some profit-taking and resistance suppression in the gold price at present, under the mutual game of global trade tariffs and the intensification of geopolitical tensions, a temporary retracement is still creating entry opportunities for bulls, and in the short term, it is still expected to refresh the historical high to around US$3,150. In the day, we will pay attention to data such as the Chicago PMI in March and the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index in March in the United States. It is expected that the impact will be limited. According to the trend of last week, there is also momentum for strengthening again. Therefore, the day will still be bullish and rebound-oriented. This week, the focus will be on the implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which may strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. Other important data include Tuesday's ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings, Wednesday's ADP employment, and Thursday's ISM non-manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims. Gold technical analysis: Gold technical analysis: Gold is really simple, you can make money with your eyes closed, and now it has reached the point where everyone can make money. On the contrary, I began to become cautious and timid. Gold jumped high in the early trading, quickly sold off and washed the market, and successfully got many people off the bus with a trick of fishing for the moon in the bottom of the sea, and then pulled up all the way, which was really strong. I emphasized before that gold would not peak if it did not soar by hundreds of dollars, and now this rhythm is getting closer and closer. Today, it rose by 50 US dollars a day. I dare to guarantee that there will be another day of 100 US dollars this week, which means that the top is just around the corner. Go long with the trend, but don't be a long-term investor. Today, we will focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If it fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to go long when it falls back to around 3100-3105. Finally, I would like to advise the majority of retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3128-3130 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3097. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Maintain the main pullback and go long. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate with us! Gold operation strategy: Go long on the 3100-3105 line of gold. Trading discipline: 1. Don’t blindly follow the trend: Don’t be swayed by market sentiment and other people’s opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation. (Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel