Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Goldlong
Gold Goes ATH Again, How to Work Pullbacks in Overbought MarketsGold Talking Points
The massive move in gold has continued to yet another fresh ATH this morning, even with the US Dollar continue its own bullish jump.
Trying to chase an overbought market like gold can feel like trying to jump on a rocket that’s already left the Earth, but that doesn’t mean that traders have the singular choice of fading it or avoiding it. There’s the potential for pullbacks such as I’ve been following in these articles over the past few weeks.
Gold continues its massive 2024 outing with yet another fresh all-time-high today. This might sound like Groundhog Day, but the yellow metal just continues to impress even with weekly and monthly charts in overbought territory. As I asked a few weeks ago, does that even matter? Well, by the looks of price it does not, at least not at this point.
As for explanations behind the move it’s been the Fed and other global central banks pushing towards rate cuts this year that’s propelled the breakout. And even in light of strong US data that, normally, would cause the FOMC to talk up rate hike potential, a hawkish Fed seems nowhere near, and markets are still leaning heavily on the expectation for the bank to cut through next year.
Making matters more interesting is the USD backdrop with which the recent trend has run. The USD was weak in Q3 and gold broke out in mid-August and continued to run. The USD has posed a stark turn-around so far in Q4 and still, gold has run higher.
At this point there’s no evidence to suggest that the run is finished. But that still doesn’t mean that chasing and hoping is a smart way to work with the move. There’s essentially two ways of working with the long side of an overbought market. One can use breakout strategies, which can be a challenge in and of itself. This opens the possibility of buying highs or selling lows, which can be painful ordeals. It’s not an impossible way to move forward, but traders need to have rigid risk management protocol to institute these types of strategies. Or – traders can wait and try to be patient, using pullbacks on shorter time frames. This still doesn’t guarantee success but at the least, risk can be managed in a more efficient manner by using prevailing price structure and if-then statements.
While the move in gold has continued to hasten, there have been pullback setups. There was a setup leading into CPI last week, and another shorter-term after the release of the data point but before the breakout was able to extend. And then this week, there was a test below 2650, buyers holding the line there with a shorter-term higher-low opened the door for another extension of the move.
Yesterday saw bulls push all the way up to the prior ATH at 2685, again, leading to a shallow pullback to the first support listed in the article at 2670. And that has since run into yet another fresh higher-high.
Gold Fresh Highs – What’s Next?
Human psychology has a funny role in markets as it often seems like the crowd gets most bullish at highs or near resistance and most pessimistic at tests of support. But there’s also the inter-play with psychological levels, as the price of 2600.01 can feel much more expensive than just two cents above 2599.99.
We saw that play out at the FOMC rate cut last month. Gold tested above 2600 after news of the cut made its way through markets, but that was brief and short-lived as a fast pullback soon developed. The pullback from that tested below a minor psychological level at 2550, with bulls soon returning to push price back above 2600.
At this point, we’ve seen continued reticence inside of 2700 so it seems as though bulls are shying away from a test from that price so far. But, if we do see that trade, that could be an open door for buyers to take profits, which can open the door for the next pullback. In that scenario, the prior ATH at 2685 becomes a point of interest for higher-lows. If that doesn’t hold and profit taking sets in a bit more, 2675 or 2667 become of interest. And technically, we could even see a pullback drive back down to 2650 while keeping the door open for higher-highs and lows on the daily chart.
--- written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist
XAUUSD Market Dynamics: Strategy AnalysisToday, XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) exhibited a robust upward momentum, successfully breaking through the upper trend line. From a candlestick technical analysis perspective, XAUUSD still possesses upward momentum and a continuing bullish trend. Additionally, the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election and conflicts in the Middle East are driving investors to seek safe-haven assets. Coupled with a loose monetary policy environment, this will further support gold prices at elevated levels.
Following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by 50 basis points last month, the market anticipates the potential for further rate cuts. The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties have collectively propelled gold prices up over 30% year-to-date, with the possibility of reaching new historical highs. Therefore, under the current market conditions, we recommend a proactive approach to building long positions at lower levels.
Today's Trading Strategy: Establish long positions in XAUUSD around the 2700 level, with a profit target set at 2710.
The fast trading strategy makes a big profit againDear friends, under the guidance of our rapid trading strategy, are you aligning with my recommendations? Many have successfully generated profits, and the bullish momentum remains robust. Following the buy-in range of 2702-2698 has proven fruitful, as the upward trend continues to perform well.
This highlights the advantages of a swift trading strategy. I will continue to share upcoming trading plans, so stay tuned for more updates!
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold (XAU) Technical AnalysisGold Daily Chart – Breakout from Descending Broadening Wedge
The gold marketplace has damaged out of the descending broadening wedge sample at the each day chart. The charge keeps bullish momentum inside the ascending broadening wedge sample, with a goal variety of $2800-$3000.
Gold 4-Hour Chart – Price Target of $2,745
On the 4-hour chart, the charge is breaking above the midline of the ascending channel. This charge power suggests the short-time period goal of $2,745, measured from the ascending channel resistance line. The RSI tactics the overbought region. Therefore, expenses would possibly consolidate earlier than the following rally.
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2710 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2690
✔️TP2: 2680
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2720
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2690 - 2692💎
✔️TP1: 2710
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2683
Gold hits new high, but has not yet reached its peakIn the unilateral rise of the 4-hour chart of gold with the middle track of the Bollinger Band as the critical point of the bulls, this forced short-selling slow rise will continue before the high-rise falls back and loses the middle track. The correction indicator sets a new high. The short-term Asian and European sessions are still dominated by low-long intraday, and the US session combines the pattern to reverse after the high. The rise is a setback. The key to high-altitude low-long is the entry point. At present, the rising trend line and the support of the middle track overlap at 2670-2675. It is also the low point of the retracement last night. This position is today's defense point. The Asian session retreats to 2683-2680 and first defends 2672. The target is 2700-2705. After the high, combine the hourly chart pattern to close the bag in time.
From a technical perspective, the overall technical advantage of gold bulls in December is strong in the near future. The next upward price target for bulls is to make its closing price above the important resistance level of $2,750. The next near-term downside price objective for the bears is pushing futures prices below important technical support at the October low of $2,648.90. First resistance is seen at today's all-time high of $2,712.70 and then at $2,725.00. First support is seen at today's low of $2,688.20 and then at Wednesday's low of $2,674.90.
Gold Prices Surge: A Golden Opportunity for Investors
After a week of tug-of-war between bulls and bears, bullish forces have clearly outmatched bearish ones. Currently, after reaching a new high, gold prices have stabilized at the level of 2692.
The ongoing geopolitical tensions show a certain degree of persistence. As a highly sought-after safe-haven asset, the rise in gold prices is merely a matter of time.
After several hours of sideways consolidation, the gold market presents a new trading opportunity. Buying now is akin to picking up money; you just need to bend down.
Recommended buying levels for gold are between 2690 and 2685, with a take profit target above 2703 and a stop loss at 2675.
Investors interested in trading gold may find this information helpful.
EURUSD sellEur vs Us dollar we expecting a pull back to Daily Resistance trendline and as we are putting our idea EUR vs US dollar having a bull run over to its trendline we are expecting a rejection from there and a Drop to its Support under lying Suppot level remember its a Bearish trend and following its technical data
Dollar index LongYesterday everything was unexpected to some extent we will expecting gold to be bearish to its new previous all time high but the asain session rocked and Gold has gained new highs
Now taking turn towards Dollar index we are expecting a Bullish move in DXY to its global resistance price can Retest its previous Resistance became Support confluence is geopolitics and 50SMA and Resistance under american elections are also the big reason so we are bullish over dollar index and other co-relations will be bearish
XAU ! 10/17 waiting for new ATH 2712XAU / USD trend forecast October 17, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) continued its upward trend and retested its all-time high on Wednesday, driven by expectations of rate cuts from major central banks. Markets have fully priced in a 25 basis points cut by the US Federal Reserve in November. Additionally, weak inflation data from Europe and the UK has strengthened expectations for more aggressive rate cuts by the ECB and BoE. This resulted in lower yields, supporting the non-yielding gold.
Strong uptrend - H2 frame forms DOW theory for next new ATH opportunity: 2712
/// SELL XAU : zone 2712-2715
SL: 2720
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2685)
Safe and profitable trading
GOLD is Setting Up For LONGS! Prepare to BUY!Price is pulling back to the Daily +FVG, which is nested in the Weekly +FVG, which is intersected by the Swing High. Three strong confluences for a high probability LONG.
Be patient, look for price to contact the POI, and then let your valid buy setup form.
Let the rest unfold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
The impact of Trump's failed assassination attempt on gold priceConsidering what happened to Donald Trump, it is not unlikely that gold will reach the $2500 level soon. We will wait until the excitement of the market is discharged at the reopening and after that we will decide to enter into the transaction. We are not in a hurry.
Gold OutlookFor tomorrow gold we have a different prespective over gold as lastly we had a rally upwards with good profit margins to bullish trend now as we have seen a New ATH and now we are expecting a Bearish move from New ATH (all time high) to Previous ATH, here one thing i want to mention is we are still bullish over gold from Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 and we expect a bull run in next week
Clear gold buying price
As mentioned yesterday, the upward trajectory of gold necessitates certain catalysts. Today, the influence of geopolitical factors has intensified, propelling gold to a peak of 2688. Concurrently, the latest U.S. initial jobless claims data was released, yielding a bearish impact that temporarily reduced gold prices to 2673, before a swift rebound brought them back to 2680.
With the two primary news items now available, it's evident that bullish sentiment significantly outweighs bearish pressure, with substantial upside potential awaiting a breakout. The sustained appreciation of the U.S. dollar amidst geopolitical tensions further underscores the dual role of both gold and the dollar as safe-haven assets. Thus, until the geopolitical landscape stabilizes, a low-position buying strategy for gold remains prudent.
Buy: 2670-2675
Sell: 2700
Profit margins should be managed according to individual risk tolerance.
NEW ATH ! XAU ! wait to reach $2700 for gold⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The recent drop in Crude Oil prices is likely to reduce inflation pressures, enabling major central banks to cut interest rates further, which supports demand for Gold. The European Central Bank is set for its third rate cut of the year this Thursday, while a sharp decline in UK inflation has strengthened expectations of a Bank of England rate cut in November.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recovered - when war information continued to have a good impact on the Gold market. Expect to touch old ATH 2685 this week and correct to create additional liquidity
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2700 - $2702 SL $2707
TP1: $2690
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2670
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2663 - $2661 SL $2656
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Seize the Opportunity and Preemptively Position for ShortsShortly, the U.S. will release the initial jobless claims data and September retail sales month-over-month figures. Prior to the announcement, I personally predict these data points are likely to be bearish for XAUUSD, making it a good opportunity to preemptively position for shorts, suggesting a short entry around 2690 while awaiting the data release.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
Short at the high of 2688, with a take-profit target set at 2670.
Gold approaches historical highs, U.S. economic data becomes keyThe previous entity of the 4-hour cycle has been broken, and the gold price has been rising step by step, with new highs constantly, and it is necessary to take the previous high point in one round. The 4-hour operation is maintained above the moving average, and the trend is very healthy. In addition, from a structural point of view, the gold price first fell to the 2610 line, so the later stage is to break through the previous high, which is structurally a case of breaking without building.
The daily line is still under double top suppression. If it falls under pressure, the double top pattern will gradually show its power, and gold will slowly weaken. Of course, there are data today. If gold directly breaks through the historical high, then gold will continue to rise. If it breaks through the historical high, then the decline will follow the trend and go long. If it does not break the historical high, then gold will continue to be short at highs below 2685 in the short term
1. The morning rise continues to test the 2685 high point without breaking, forming a morning force.
2. The current retracement, the watershed yesterday morning low of 2667, is also the stop loss position for long orders
3. The trend of the morning power is very important in the European session. It has been emphasized before that the earlier the European session breaks through, the greater the upward momentum. In addition, the more times the top is tested, the greater the probability of breaking, so if it goes up, it will break the high.
At the same time, if this pattern continues to be long, we must pay attention to the European session. The price cannot go down the watershed. If it breaks, it will be volatile.
Therefore, with the help of retracement, continue to be long, break the watershed loss, the upper target is 2688-90, break the European session, and the US session will look at the 2700 mark
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential long opportunity.
As per our last adaptive analysis, XAUUSD continued to the upside. We now had a beautiful break and a retest of our PBA 1 (Pullback Area). We should see more upside .
In detail,
We broke our PBA 1 area at 2640-2644 and made a nice retest . The price is staying above those price levels which gives us a good sign that we will continue to the upside . Our entry is sitting at 2655 and our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the current ATH (All Time High) at 2685.640 . Our SL is below our PBA 1 sitting at 2637.800 as if we break below it, we should see more downside moves.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2655
- SL: 2637.800
- TP: 2685.640
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD broke and retested our PBA 1.
- XAUUSD is trading above our PBA 1.
- Break below our PBA 1 could result in more downside.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Gold – Monthly Cup and Handle with Triangle BreakoutOn the monthly timeframe, gold has already broken out of a cup and handle pattern as well as a triangle, and it's currently in a rally. If we measure from the bottom of the cup to the resistance, the target is in the pink zone.
Strategy: As gold continues to rally and approaches the pink zone, it could be a good time to take profits or reduce long positions to secure gains.
Peter Would be Proud! NEXT LEG UP CONFIRMED?#gold TVC:XAU We have now confirmation on the 12h chart by having a close strong above previous highs.
Entry on any retrace toward the green price range AND PLACE YOUR STOP at the most recent low.
If we do break below this low then we might be in for a bigger retrace... #SADPETER
Navigating Market Volatility: Strategies for Gold Trading
In the New York market, profits from short positions near the recent high of $2,680 have been realized on two occasions. Similarly, profits from low buy orders have been observed. Currently, we find ourselves near the $2,675 level, where I have paused trading. Upon market opening, I anticipate a certain degree of downward movement, providing opportunities for gold price recovery. As mentioned previously, breaking through the recent highs requires greater momentum. Until this momentum materializes, I suggest maintaining a predominantly short position. Key factors to monitor include geopolitical developments and the release of initial jobless claims data in the U.S. this week, as well as any potential black swan events.
Sell: $2,680 - $2,685
Buy: $2,660 - $2,665
Profit margins should be managed at your discretion.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD