10.9 Gold bottoming out may not be over yetGold fell below the low point of the previous correction yesterday, and the daily line went out of the 5-day negative pattern. This is too much for the bull correction. The continuous negative time is too long, but from the price point of view, it is not, and the amplitude is not enough.
The price broke the short-term 5-day and 10-day moving averages, which means that the overall pattern has weakened. Especially after 5 consecutive negatives, there is still momentum for further retracement today.
For today, the probability of continuing the oscillation cycle is still very high.
1. The bottoming out and rebounding during the day, the European market rebounded.
2. The US market rushed down and continued to fall, but the European market rose, and the probability of breaking the bottom today is small. Just look at it as a shock.
3. The previous low point is supported at 2613-4.
In terms of data: EIA crude oil inventory in the United States as of October 4 (10,000 barrels)
Intraday short-term operation suggestions:
BUY: 2608 target 2628---2635
SELL: 2635 target 2625----2620
Goldlong
World gold costs dropped sharply withinside World gold prices dropped sharply in the context of the rising USD index. Recorded at 0:00 on October 9, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 102,340 points (up 0.04%).
World gold prices faced a wave of selling when a senior official of Hezbollah expressed support for Lebanese officials' efforts towards a ceasefire. Market participants are seeing the news as a easing of tensions in the Middle East.
Not only gold, news about Hezbollah has "sunk" the crude oil market - a commodity that is closely related to precious metals. Nymex crude oil price decreased by about 3.75 USD/barrel to 73.5 USD/barrel.
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2617- 2615💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2635
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2609
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2637- 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2615
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2643
Gold out lookAs if for now we have experienced a huge Buying spell in the pair now as the situation brought up price has formed a bullish trend now we are bearish over H4 to H1 Time frame but as far as Monthly Weekly and Daily are concerned Gold is in Bullish trend so we are bullish over gold in Major trend but as if now gold is going to its global Support level of 2550 so we will be waiting for such then we are bullish we are following the long term and short term trend
Short gold near 2640 in the London marketShort gold at the opening of the market, waiting to verify the profit
2640 -2638 Sell
tp2630-2628
The transaction has been executed. Waiting for verification of profit.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Just personal operation. For reference only.
10,8 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsAt the end of the Asian session on Tuesday (October 8), spot gold maintained its intraday decline, and the current gold price fell to around $2,627/ounce. Spot gold closed down 0.41% on Monday at $2,642.28/ounce.
There was no important data released from Monday to Wednesday to guide the market, but the speeches of several Fed officials need special attention, and then there is the September CPI data on Thursday, the initial jobless claims data for the week, and the minutes of the Fed meeting at 2 a.m.
From the daily level, a small negative column was recorded yesterday, and the price remained below the short-term moving average. The moving averages of other cycles were arranged upward. The Bollinger overall intended to close, the MACD double-line dead cross probed downward, and the green kinetic energy column increased in volume, which was in line with the K-line trend. The primary pressure above was around $2,650, which was close to the previous high. Below this, the daily line still tended to be short.
$2,650 is the first resistance, and further resistance upwards is near 2,660 (three points above and below). If the intraday rebound does not break through and there is no geopolitical situation to increase risk aversion to support it, the technical retracement and repair demand will continue. Further support below is $2,630. After breaking through, it can extend to the $2,620-2,618 range. In other words, today's trend is expected to retrace first. If it can retrace to the expected range, you can participate in the bullish trend.
Gold May Fall to 2615.00 - 2625.00 (READ DESCRIPTION)Gold May Fall to 2615.00 - 2625.00
Pivot Point: 2650.00 – This level acts as key resistance, capping potential upside moves. A sustained break above it would indicate a shift in momentum.
Primary Strategy (Our Preference):
Entry Point: Short positions below 2650.00.
Target Levels:
2625.00: This serves as the initial downside target, indicating a potential decline from the pivot point.
2615.00: If bearish momentum continues, further downside towards this level is likely.
Alternative Scenario:
Entry Point: If the price moves above 2650.00, consider long positions.
Target Levels:
2659.00: A move higher could test this resistance level first.
2670.00: Further bullish momentum may drive Gold toward this higher resistance.
Technical Outlook:
RSI Indicator: Likely indicates bearish sentiment, suggesting a risk of further declines as long as resistance at 2650.00 holds.
MACD Indicator: May be below its signal line, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: Gold is likely trading below its 20- and 50-period moving averages, suggesting continued short-term weakness.
Market Dynamics:
As long as 2650.00 remains resistance, further price declines are anticipated, targeting 2625.00 and potentially 2615.00.
A break above 2650.00 could shift momentum to the upside, with targets at 2659.00 and 2670.00, indicating a reversal of the current bearish trend.
World gold prices decreased despite the decline in the USD indexGold rate fluctuates strongly because of many conflicting elements affecting it. Jesse Colombo - unbiased analyst, stated the state of affairs withinside the Middle East is complex and nobody can are expecting what is going to happen. Therefore, humans rushed to shop for gold and hold the rate strong as at present.
On the contrary, Michael Moor - founding father of Moor Analytics commented that gold fees will lower in the course of this time. Meanwhile, Mark Leibovit - writer of VR Metals/Resource Letter, believes that the marketplace has reached the pinnacle of the short-time period cycle.
Regarding the gold import state of affairs of valuable banks, in step with treasured metals analysts at Heraeus, in spite of growing gold fees, India`s gold imports have skyrocketed to the very best degree considering that the start of 2021.
In their modern-day replace on treasured metals, analysts at Heraeus stated India's gold imports have hit a 3.5-12 months excessive in education for robust seasonal call for.
“Strong call for from Indian clients and restocking through the metals enterprise in advance of the Diwali competition despatched the country's gold imports hovering to a greater than three-12 months excessive of a hundred twenty five tonnes in August. This marks an boom of 58% 12 months-over-12 months and 212% month-over-month. Imports had been supported through a reduce in import price lists on treasured metals in July.”
💎 TVC:GOLD Buy 2630 - 2627💎
✔️TP1: 2647
✔️TP2: 2657
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2619
💎 TVC:GOLD Sell 2653 - 2655💎
✔️TP1: 2640
✔️TP2: 2637
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2663
Gold fluctuates at high levels, bullish resistance is still largGold intraday trend:
1. It is still likely to fall below 2640 during the day. If it reaches, it will easily break through and support the previous low of 2632.
2. The volatility has not changed. The market is not likely to continue. Both long and short positions can participate.
3. The upper resistance is still at 2660. There were 4-5 negative daily corrections in the previous volatility. The correction time has not reached the limit, so don’t worry about over-adjustment. In terms of price, the high point has only retreated 40-50 US dollars, which is a small range.
Short-term operation:
BUY: 2640 Target: 48---50
SELL: 2660 Target: 2645----40
Ultra-short-term buying. Quick trading guideThe position of 2641 may serve as a short-term rebound support. In the ultra-short term, you can buy with a small order. If the market reaches the position of 2635, you can add a second order. There is no major news to disrupt the market. Sell high and buy low is a suitable strategy for ultra-short-term operations. CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT
10.8 Analysis of short-term gold operationsIn the early Asian session on Monday (October 7), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,640/ounce. Gold prices fell slightly after violent fluctuations last Friday, closing at $2,652.64/ounce, as the stronger-than-expected US employment report poured cold water on the Fed's expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts in November, boosting the dollar to a high of more than one and a half months, and US bond yields also rose sharply to a high of nearly two months, overshadowing risk aversion concerns over the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East.
Technical level:
1: In 4 hours, BOLL shrinks, the range shrinks, and the range shrinks to the 70 range of 2642-26; in terms of indicators, the stochastic indicators and MACD indicators are all blunt, and the signals are unclear; in terms of form, it is a horizontal pattern, which is not the top high point;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a bearish adjustment signal; in terms of form, the time-for-space pattern, the market is relatively resistant to decline; the central axis gradually moves up, and the current track support of the central axis is around 2590, but it is expected to rise to around 2600;
Long-Term Gold Price Channel Analysis (Gold Spot / USD)FX_IDC:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
This is a candlestick analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) for 6 months that goes through historical data from the 1930s . It makes use of a logarithmic scale and appears key support and resistance levels, as well as regression trendlines, that facilitate long-term price continuity.The purple trendlines depict varying channels in Fibonacci from -1 to 1.5 so that one can observe the key zones of support and resistance that gold has usually adhered to in the past.The center line (0) is represented in black and is the median of all the previous actions, where the price usually stays.Spring lines denote the significant price levels: $1,345.42 is a long-term lower support and $3,736.64 is an upper resistance level if we take into account the historical track record for a particular stock .The current price index is around $2,647.99 , with the stock having moved in a dominant upward trend (+13.82% this quarter).The vision of the future: If we are seeing a downtrend period in gold’s history, there is a fairly good possibility of a developing uptrend that will take gold near resistance price at the upper channel which is expected around 2030. This format is combined with historical trends and is a projection of the future price movements that all together provide a broader perspective to investors.
Non-farm data is mixed, gold peaks in the short termThe non-agricultural data on Friday went up and down, and it was neither rising nor falling. The 4-hour moving average is sticking together, and it seems that it will break through this week and usher in a big market.
Gold has not reached its peak at all, and the 4-hour cycle is still one wave higher than the other. The only bad signal is that the 60-day moving average of the 4-hour cycle has been broken. We can see that in the previous wave of $150 increase, gold did not touch this moving average at all. This signal must be paid attention to.
The K-line signal is still bullish, and this wave of triangle consolidation is about to change. Technically, gold has not reached the top yet, and gold has one last rise.
Intraday short-term trading strategy:
Gold 2665 short stop loss 2670 target 2645---40
Gold 2633 long, stop loss 2623, target 2655---60
Sell gold in the ultra-short term. The room for decline is about $6 or more.
The price range of 2655-2652 is the top of the triangle pressure. Selling is the main method in the ultra-short term.
If you hold a loss order for a long time a CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD nd don’t know how to deal with it, leave me a message.
How to get rid of a sell order in hand ?If you make money, it's because of your good skills or luck. But how should you deal with orders that lose money?
Stop loss or continue to hold? It depends on whether the market continues to rise or fall. I personally think that the market will continue to fall. The main reason is that there is a lot of pressure from above.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
For investors who hold short orders, I suggest you continue to hold and wait for a suitable time to close the order. After all, after the stop loss, the loss is huge. Many people cannot accept it. Moreover, many people have different selling timings and positions.
Getting rid of the short orders in my hands is my only idea at present. Whether you are a novice or an investor who has been in the market for a long time, you will face this problem.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Judging from my more than ten years of trading experience, it is only a matter of time before the gold price falls. It is reasonable to mitigate the loss through other transactions in the short term. After all, as long as it reduces the loss, any method can be implemented.
Starting next week, I will share my real-time views and operation strategies one after another. If you want to recover your losses, keep paying attention. In this way, while you continue to pay attention to me, you will definitely get help and the answers you want.
XAU/USD getting ready for another rally?Gold appears to be generating significant liquidity, suggesting a potential setup for another rally to the upside. We’re seeing liquidity engineering, which points toward the possibility of gold making a push to retest all-time highs.
I’m watching for a chance to capitalize on this move. There’s a 1-hour demand zone just below a pool of liquidity that has recently triggered a change of character (CHOCH) to the upside. I’ll be looking for price to mitigate that demand zone before taking liquidity higher.
Confluences for Gold Buys:
- Gold is consolidating, likely preparing for a breakout.
- Trendline liquidity to the upside still needs to be taken.
- The 1-hour demand zone has caused a CHOCH to the upside.
- Gold remains bullish, aligning with the overall trend.
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of bearishness from its supply zone, supporting the bullish outlook for gold.
Note: If price continues to drop and fails to hold at the 1-hour demand zone, I’ll anticipate it to fill the imbalance below and mitigate the 10-hour demand zone. This area is another point of interest where a potential bullish rally for gold could form.
01/10/2024 - XAUUSD - Bullish Bat PatternAs of October 1st, 2024, XAU/USD (Gold) has formed a bullish bat pattern, indicating potential upward movement. Here’s the trade plan:
Trade Details:
Entry: Based on the bullish bat pattern and divergence in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
Stop Loss: Below support level
Take Profit Target: 1:1 ratio
Target Price: 2650
Reason for Trade:
The bullish bat pattern, combined with divergence in the PRZ, suggests a strong potential for an upward move. The target is set at a 1:1 ratio with stop loss placed below the support level for effective risk management.
Disclaimer : This is not trading advice—it's for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
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