Goldlong
Gold Favors Beyond $2,600Technically, the $2,600 round - number level, which is also the all - time high reached on Wednesday, may present some resistance before the $2,613 - 2,615 zone. This $2,613 - 2,615 zone represents the upper edge of a short - term ascending trend channel that has been in existence since June and should function as a crucial pivot. Since the oscillators on the daily chart are firmly in positive territory and are still far from the overbought area, a continuous strength above this mentioned level will be considered a new incentive for the bulls and will prepare for a further short - term upward movement of the gold price.
On the contrary, the $2,551 - 2,550 area currently seems to guard against the immediate downward movement before the $2,532 - 2,530 horizontal resistance break - point. Some continuous selling could expose the psychological level of $2,500. If the gold price drops below this level, it could speed up its decline towards the $2,476 convergence point, which consists of the 50 - day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the lower edge of the channel. A definite break below this point will imply that the XAU/USD has peaked in the near - term, leading to a decline towards the 100 - day SMA, around the $2,412 area, on the way to the $2,400 mark.
9.20 gold short-term operation technical analysis Gold reversed in a deep V yesterday. Gold fell back to support and then rose again. It seems that gold bulls still have the momentum to continue to rise for the time being. Go long first when gold falls back in the early trading.
Gold's 30-minute moving average entered the golden cross pattern. Gold rose after falling yesterday. Gold bulls once again accumulated momentum to rise. It is still expected to continue to challenge new highs. Gold fell to 2569 last night and then rose directly.
Gold is currently high. After the Fed's interest rate decision, it adjusted deeply. Gold rose again. After the adjustment, gold fell back to support and continued to rise. There was no further decline, indicating that it is still in the stage of bull accumulation. Gold is expected to continue to rise; after breaking through the new high, it will accelerate.
Today's operation strategy
2595 short stop loss 2600. Target 2580-2570
2572 long, stop loss 2562, target 2590-2600;
STRONG BULLISH MOMENTUM Today, the technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold against the US Dollar) indicates a strong bullish momentum. The price is hovering around $2,585, with upward momentum supported by various technical indicators:
RSI : 60.59, indicating a strong Buy .
MACD: Positive at 4.42, reinforcing the buying sentiment.
Moving Averages: The majority of moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20, MA100) are signaling a Buy.
Take profit level: $2,592 and $2,600.87
entry Levels: $2,577.55 and $2,574.33
Overall, the short-term trend for gold seems bullish, driven by demand for safe-haven assets and technical buy signals. Traders should watch for resistance at the $2,620 level
Gold: Calm Market Expected: Focus on Short Positions
Yesterday's trades were very successful. I bought at 2552 and closed at 2578, then sold at 2588 and closed at 2572, resulting in solid profits.
It's Friday, and with no significant news scheduled for release—aside from uncontrollable events like natural disasters—the market should remain calm today. A $20 range would already be considerable movement.
An upward move is unlikely. On a day like this, relying purely on technical patterns, a breakout above 2600 is a pipe dream. Instead, the probability of dropping to 2572 is much higher.
So, the strategy for today is to focus on selling. There's no need to consider bullish trades.
Gold Analysis: Volatility Contraction Near Support (15 min)Gold is currently hovering just above a support level, with small candles indicating a possible volatility contraction. This signals a potential buildup of tension, where a breakout could be imminent. If the price holds above this support, we could see upward movement. However, a breakdown below the support might trigger a bearish move. Keep an eye on volume and price action for the next big move.
What's Next For Gold?Thursday's Daily candle formed an inside bar, there are a lot of long positions being held by buyers at the lows of yesterday's candle.
I expect price to rally above yesterday's high to allow buyers to take profit and then dump into yesterday's lows .
Price points are on the chart as well as directional bias.
Gold's Wild Ride: Rebound Completed, Time to Short Again
Crazy gold! The market has regained all of yesterday’s losses in today’s rally. This market is always full of surprises!
Now it's clear that the resistance at 2600 is very strong. Since it couldn't break through, it's time to switch back to short positions. What rose from here is likely to fall back down to the same level.
Sell, with a target profit (TP) at 2572.
XAUUSD SELL NOW ! WEEKLY CLOSING DAY!Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Resistance- 2591-2594
Resistance-2612-2616
Support- 2571-2565
Support-2551-2555
Support-2541-2545
Strong support area- 2531-2535
Gold Signal Daily for the week
Current price- 2587.9
"if Price stays below 2600, then next target is 2564, 2552 and 2540 and above that 2605, 2618"
Advice-For Buying
Best buying area= 2530-2535
For selling
Best selling area= 2600-2616-2630
-POSSIBILITY-1
If 2571 break and sustain then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2545-2535
-POSSIBILITY-2
If it breaks 2600 and sustains then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2616-2630
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see price attempt an undercut low and then start the incline into the higher levels. We gave KOG’s bias of the week as bullish above 2385 with the targets for the week 2510, 2515 and 2530, which we all completed.
We then continued with the path shown in the updates while Excalibur tracked price taking us up into our final take profit target at 2580. Please have a look at the previous reports to see how the algo has tracked the price from the highs to the lows, lows to highs, no matter where it goes we've traded it and moved with the market. Hats off to the team!
A phenomenal week on Gold as well as the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have FOMC this week so shall await more choppy price action as well as the potential per-event range that may form from Tuesday onwards. We’re a little high to long at the moment which is what most traders will be thinking but sentiment is strong now so there is a chance they open and stretch this a little higher. For that reason, we will be waiting to see how last week’s high and the levels of 2580-83 react to the price if attacked in the early session. If rejected we feel an opportunity toto short is available into the lower levels of 2565 and below that 2555.
Many traders will now be looking for the 2600 level so please be careful as breaking above the 2585 level will make it a lot easier to be achieved during the early part of the week. Ideally, we want the pullback into the lower support regions and then want to assess the price action before attempting to go long and take this above 2600.
Due to FOMC this week this report will be provisional as we’ll update the idea specifically for FOMC before the release.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2550 with targets above 2600 and above that 2610
Bearish on break of 2550 with target below 2535
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold is still in Bull TrendAs u can see, daily Gold is basically above SMA 24, pulling Moving Averages above and above.
Stop Loss: Three consecutive Daily close below that SMA 24.
Otherwise, Increase position everyday Gold above SMA 24.
Fundamentals: Fed start rate cutting cycle by 50bps, as well as geopolitical uncertainties all benefits gold.
Gold: Corrective Rebound Expected Before Further Decline
Yesterday, gold experienced extreme volatility, surging before a sharp sell-off. Today, the market should see less fluctuation as much of the news has been priced in. However, another key report is expected during New York trading hours, and I believe short positions will be more favorable following its release.
Before the data comes out, a long position could be effective, given the steep decline yesterday. There is likely to be a corrective bounce as buyers step in to capitalize on the sharp drop, so I see going long ahead of the news as a good move.
Will Gold Shine Again? Key Levels to Watch!Gold is currently trading at 2578, aligning precisely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The RSI on the H4 chart stands at 76.36, indicating overbought conditions just before the market closed.
Following the market reopening, gold may experience a short-term pullback towards the 2572/2573 range, with potential further decline to 2561, driven by market forces. However, a bullish reversal is possible leading up to the Fed Interest decision announcement.
The price could break the 2602 resistance level. It is anticipated, though, that gold might retrace to the 2544 and 2522 levels after the US Fed Interest decision on Sept 19. If you are holding sell positions, it’s advisable to have risk management strategies in place up to the 2634 level.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Waiting for confirmation on GOLD entryWe are looking at gold (1:3 reward)
Please refer to the chart as we are waiting for the price to form and confirmation of the long entry.
Entry price at 2558.30 - CURRENT price is 2557.61
STOP LOSS at 2554.7
Target 1 at 2563.20
Target 2 at 2572.81
PLEASE NOTE: once the price hit 1st target, bring stop loss to BE
XAUUSD: 18/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2590, support below 2530
Four-hour resistance 2582, support below 2556
Gold accelerated its rise after breaking 2531 last week. It is still in a bullish pattern. Although the market fell under pressure around 2590 on Monday and Tuesday this week, it fell to 2560 at its lowest and still failed to fall below 2556. The short-term market is a high-level sideways shock trend. With 2556 as the stop loss position, you can continue to buy low and pay attention to the suppression of 2590 area. Before the Fed's news lands, both the long and short sides will not make too much movement, and the market will not fluctuate too much. You can just enter and exit quickly around the range in the short term.
In terms of intraday short-term operations, the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates, but it is just a matter of how much the rate cut is. In theory, the rate hike is good for gold, but the news has been in the market for too long. Once the expectations of the bulls are met, the bulls will take profits and gold will fall sharply. Therefore, before the news is released, gold will continue to go long around the 2556 line, but a smaller SL must be set, and orders must not be held against the trend. Before the interest rate decision, if it reaches a new high near the 2590 area and then stagnates, you can go short. Try not to trade in the middle area, wait patiently for the layout at the boundary, and participate with a small stop loss.
BUY:2560near SL:2556
SELL:2582near SL:2589
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Fed Rate: How to Trade Gold Amidst Market Uncertainty?
The excitement is building as the Federal Reserve is about to announce its rate decision—whether it's a 25 or 50 basis point cut. Will gold reach new highs or begin a downward trend? Let’s wait and see.
From a personal perspective, I'm not particularly concerned about the impact on trading. Whether the market moves up or down, it will eventually return to the current price levels. Especially after a surge, there’s no need to worry too much.
For those trading today, do not set stop losses on short positions. If gold rises, simply add to your position or hedge by opening long trades. The 2600 level is a critical resistance point, and even if it breaks through due to the announcement, it won’t hold for long without a retracement. At that point, simply close your long positions and add more short positions.
This trading strategy should be helpful for those looking to navigate the volatility. Feel free to ask any questions or leave comments!
Gold 2573 buy! tp 2589-2605Gold has been weak since the resistance level of 2,588, but the pattern of today's pullback is also weak, which is a very important key point! Because today we have the Fed's interest rate outcome and economic expectations briefing and Powell's speech! The impact of these data will have a big impact on gold crude oil!
At present, from the trend point of view, the support level of gold is 2560, the pressure level is 25888, and the strength level of the disk is 2573!
If it stabilizes above 2,573 then the upside will be strong
All in all, today's data will cause huge volatility in the market. If you have trapped orders at the moment or you don't know how to trade tonight, you can ask for my help! I don't want you to burn your account tonight
Gold 2573 buy! tp 2589-2605
9.19 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyThe Fed's interest rate decision will be announced in two hours. Will gold hit a new high or a correction?
On the 1-hour chart, you can see that there is a minor resistance level near the 2575 level, and there is also a downward trend line converging. If the price pulls back to this resistance level, sellers may intervene, aiming to fall to the 2548 support level. On the other hand, buyers want to see prices break higher to increase bullish bets and pursue new highs
, if the Fed eventually chooses to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the market may react quickly, causing the US dollar to rebound. But if the Fed is as dovish as the market expects, cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, and sends signals of more interest rate cuts in the future, the US dollar will weaken further, pushing gold prices higher again, even breaking through the $2,600/ounce mark. Although the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates, there is still uncertainty about the magnitude and subsequent policy guidance. If the rate cut is only 25 basis points, it may suppress the short-term demand for gold, and investors will turn to wait and see. If the Fed's policy tends to be cautious, the safe-haven demand for gold may weaken, leading to a short-term sell-off in the market. If the Fed eventually cuts interest rates significantly and signals further easing in the future, gold will benefit from the continued weakening of the dollar and break through historical highs. At the same time, global economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks will continue to provide long-term safe-haven demand support for gold.
Gold Fomc Movement Buy/SellGo through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Resistance- 2589-2591
Resistance-2612-2616
Support- 2571-2565
Support-2551-2555
Support-2541-2545
Strong support area- 2531-2535
Gold Signal Daiky for the week
Current price- 2572.3
"if Price stays below 2600, then next target is 2564, 2552 and 2540 and above that 2605, 2618"
Advice-For Buying
Best buying area= 2535-2540
For selling
Best selling area= 2600-2616-2630
-POSSIBILITY-1
If 2561 break and sustain then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2545-2535
-POSSIBILITY-2
If it breaks 2591 and sustains then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2616-2630
Barrick Gold: 520% possible MoveMany traders believe that investing in a wide variety of assets is the best way to achieve optimal diversification. However, we disagree with this notion. It's the correlations that matter. Holding 20 tech stocks, for example, results in a high correlation among investments, offering little in terms of true diversification. Therefore, we're also looking at a gold mining stock, Barrick Gold Corporation. Although it's a Canadian company, we're analyzing it based on its performance on the New York Stock Exchange, as it provides a longer historical view.
Contrary to other stocks, Barrick Gold presents a different picture. Since July 2020, there's been a significant decline, which is contrary to the overall market trend, indicating this stock moves inversely to the broader market. We're in Wave III, having concluded Wave II at $5.91. We expect to surpass the all-time high of $56 significantly. The Wave 2 of the subordinate Wave (3) has already concluded, and we didn't make an entry, as this was already completed at $13 on the daily chart. However, we've returned to this level and have now completed the smallest wave structure, also marking the end of a Wave (ii). We must not fall below this point, as it would indicate the subordinate Wave ((ii)) is incorrect. Additionally, falling below the $13 mark could potentially invalidate the entire scenario. We'll place our stop-loss below the 88.2% retracement level, as this represents our last plausible point for a market turn.