Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold dipped below $2,900 on Friday but is set to close the week with over 0.80% gains as traders book profits. In this video, we break down the latest market moves: sharply plunging US Retail Sales, a weakening US Dollar, and improving US Industrial Production. Central banks continue ramping up their gold purchases, with the World Gold Council reporting over 1,000 tons bought in 2024. With Fed funds rate futures pricing in 38.5 basis points of easing for 2025, what does this mean for gold's future? Join me as I analyze these trends and prepare to capture the next move in the gold market this week.
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Goldlong
David's analysis of the latest trend in international goldHello everyone
The current real-time gold price is $2902.77/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 23.4 and an increase or decrease of 0.81%
According to market surveys, 71% of analysts predict that the price of gold will continue to rise this week, 14% of analysts predict that it will fall, and 15% of analysts believe that the price of gold will remain stable, but gold has continued to rise over the past seven weeks, and David predicts that it will continue to rise.
Analysis factors:
The uncertainty of the Trump administration's policies, such as tariff increases and geopolitical conflicts, will promote safe-haven demand and support gold. In addition, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations coexist with inflation risks. If the US fiscal expansion exacerbates inflation, the opportunity cost of holding gold will be significantly reduced, which is conducive to the rise in gold prices
GOLD real-time trading opportunities, the current support below is around 2881-2885, and the upper pressure is around 2915-2920. If it breaks through $2900, you can add more positions
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention, and I will share my views for free later-(David) TFEX:GO1! OANDA:XAUUSD
My thoughts for GCIm looking for areas of consolidation on a higher time frame preferably the one hour then on the 5min wait for a bullish engulfing to print to enter for buys, now Monday is a holiday so I know NYSE will be closed so for the entries already taken, during Asian opening will only be technical trades, but there is high impact news, and depending on descolations with
Russia, I plan for contiunation buys, but I plan to watch the dollar and the yields for any potential reversals to the. downside
Analysis of the latest international gold trend (exclusive)
hello everybody
The current price of gold is US$2,901.33 per ounce, up US$21.96, or 0.76%, from the previous trading day. New York gold is trading at US$2,913.2 per ounce, up US$12.5, or 0.43% from the previous trading day.
Influential factors
1. The hawkish stance of Federal Reserve officials has increased market expectations for interest rate hikes, leading to the withdrawal of funds from the gold market and suppressing gold prices.
2. The situation in the Middle East remains tense, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is still ongoing. These geopolitical risks still exist, which may trigger the market's risk aversion demand at any time, thereby driving up gold prices.
3. Global central banks have increased their net gold holdings for 18 consecutive months, and the amount of gold purchased in 2024 has exceeded 1,000 tons for three consecutive years, with strong support on the demand side.
Through the above analysis, the current gold market pressure has been released, and the gold price is still mainly bought at a low price.
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention, and I will share my views for free later - (David OANDA:XAUUSD ) TFEX:GO1!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in an uptrend, and there are no clear signs that the bullish wave has ended. We still expect the price to reach at least above $3,000 in the coming period.
However, on the daily timeframe, gold has entered the overbought zone, leading to the expected corrective phase.
At this point, we anticipate a further price correction to lower levels before a new bullish move begins.
Stay patient and look for suitable buying opportunities.
Monitor price reactions to support levels to identify an optimal entry point.
The overall trend remains bullish, and the current correction may provide a good re-entry opportunity.
What’s your outlook on gold? Do you think the $3,000 target is achievable?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 17th February 2025
Hello Traders,
Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next.
Recap of Last Week’s Successes
Weekly Chart Highlights:
* EMA5 crossed and settled above Entry ✅ 2735 reached
* Bullish Target TP1: 2877 ✅ Achieved
* GoldTurn Levels at 2875 activated twice ✅ Reached
What’s Next for GOLD? Bullish or Bearish?
After hitting ENTRY LEVELS at 2735 and TP1 2877, we saw a small close above 2877 last week, leaving 3018 open as a potential target. We mentioned that an EMA5 lock would confirm this movement.
While EMA5 hasn’t locked yet, the close from last week provided a solid push upward, gaining over 500 pips. The long-term gap remains open, with more movement likely after last week’s candle body close.
Key Level: 2735 remains a critical zone.
GoldTurn Levels at 2875 and 2735 are active, and the price may revisit these levels before bouncing back to reach TP1 and beyond.
Recommendations & Strategy:
* Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades.
* Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities.
* FVG Support: A range between 2835 and 2850 is also supportive.
For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance.
We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit!
The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2905 and a gap below at 2872. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2905
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2934
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2959
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2987
BEARISH TARGETS
2872
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2841
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2807 - 2781
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
2764 - 2740
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2789.95 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2789.95 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 2942.55 on 02/11/2025, so more losses to support(s) 2879.11, 2833.00 and minimum to Major Support (2789.95) is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
3000.00
2942.55
2879.11
2833.00
2726.10
__________________________________________________________________
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Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
News affecting gold pricesNews:
Russia's nighttime attack damaged port infrastructure in the Odessa region of Ukraine.
Russian troops occupied Zelenpo and Dachne in eastern Ukraine.
In the past day, the Russian army lost about 1,200 soldiers, as well as 17 tanks, 16 armored personnel carriers and 81 artillery systems and other equipment.
Geopolitics is continuing to heat up, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise next week.
Viewpoint
The market is in a volatile range.
It is expected to show an upward trend in the next trading cycle.
Keep an eye on the subsequent sharing of views
XAUUSD – the dream run likely to continue .. the week of 17 Feb As my chart shows, price has been climbing steadily and comfortably, very ably supported by the 20ema and 50ema. The recent 4 weeks however have seen sideways price action as price bounced in a (wide) 590 pip range (see the pink box).
Earlier today (Fri) price tried to overcome the ATH at 2942.59 but seems to have encountered some serious profit taking and fell back down rather impulsively. We are now at the bottom of that range and also at a region that has acted both as resistance and (now) as support. This makes me cautious about an otherwise text book perfect buying opportunity but my bullish bias is intact. Price is also overextended (check how far above the MA(s) price has travelled) on the daily chart.
Because of these facts, I don’t want to rush into taking a long (also have an open trade already). Perhaps the current pullback will continue before the uptrend resumes. I will be monitoring price action on the H4 and H1 time frames to find bullish evidence and then take another position. The 1st target will be the current (ATH) all time high with a possible 2nd target at 3000.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
I t’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, but buying at the current levels carries high risk. We anticipate a price correction down to the identified support level, where we will look for potential buying opportunities.
The best approach is to wait for a correction before entering a buy position.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Momentum: Key Buy Zone & Targets Identify gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour chart indicates a strong bullish trend with a clear buying opportunity. Here are the key observations:
**Analysis & Key Levels:**
1. **Uptrend Formation:**
- The price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
- A trendline is supporting the move, confirming bullish momentum.
2. **Support & Buying Zone:**
- The chart highlights a **possible buy zone** around 2,930–2,920.
- This area coincides with a prior resistance-turned-support, making it an ideal re-entry for buyers.
3. **Resistance & Target Levels:**
- **1st target:** Around **2,943** – a short-term resistance level.
- **2nd target:** Around **2,960–2,970**, indicating a higher timeframe resistance where price might slow down.
**Trading Plan:**
- A potential buy entry could be near the **support zone (2,930–2,920)** if price pulls back.
- If the price remains above the trendline, the bullish move is likely to continue toward 2,943 and potentially 2,970.
- A break below the trendline could invalidate the bullish move, leading to a deeper correction.
Fundamentally speaking, WE ARE BULLISH !!!Due to tariff talks, Investors are trooping to Gold (safe haven asset), because these are times of uncertainty in the market and that's why sentimentally and fundamentally speaking, Gold is bullish.
How bullish you say ? I have no idea but I know for a fact that price is taking out the recent ATH just above where it currently is and if by some miracle price pulls back to grab the inducement below as liquidity then we can profit off the buy continuation.
use proper risk and money management,
"Waiting for a Pullback: Buy Setup at 2875 for 2900 Target!"📈 Waiting for a Pullback to Enter at a Discounted Demand Zone
After a sharp move on February 10, we are now anticipating a pullback to enter at a better price. The ideal demand zone to watch is around 2875, where we’ll look for a strong bullish confirmation—such as a big bullish candle on the 1-hour timeframe—before entering a long position.
🎯 Target: 2900
📍 Key Zone: 2875 (Waiting for a bullish signal)
Patience is key! Waiting for confirmation ensures a high-probability setup. Let’s see how it plays out! 🚀
XAUUSD - Possible Long Trade?Here is our quick view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a quick overview on the pair.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2900s .
As the price on XAUUSD has failed to break below 2880 , we are still overall bullish on OANDA:XAUUSD and due to this reason, and yesterdays news and statements, we are looking for further buys on the pair. Possible buys from this smaller KL (Key Level) at around 2908 with potential 2950 as a new ATH (All Time High) for our target. Stops would be around 2892 . Keep in mind we might get deeper pullbacks and further buys. This trade is only valid if we stay above 2910 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2908
- SL: 2892
- TP: 2950
Personal opinion:
XAUUSD has tried to break below 2880 and failed. Due to this reason from a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view, we are still bullish on gold. Golds drop yesterday was also faded out due to inflation. As Powell was speaking and said that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates faster.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD failed to break below 2880.
- Breaks below 2892 would result in deeper pullbacks.
- XAUUSD remains bullish.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
XAU/USD trade ideaWe are back!!!
So when we look at the chart we can see that the price is reversing off a zone that was support in the past already. We already have some candles that closed above that zone so for that reason it is also looking good.
I would either wait and see if we can drop a little and get a good price to buy of I would just risk it and go in now.
The fundamentals also look good for #Gold to go up so this could be a very good and profitable trade.
XAUUSD TODAY'S MAPPING IS HERE Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 15-M TF
Ascending triangle pattern: Trendlines indicating higher lows and a horizontal resistance level.
Breakout and retest: The price has broken above the resistance and appears to be retesting the breakout level.
Trade setup:
Entry Level: Near the breakout retest point.
Take-profit: Near 2951
Stop-loss: Around 2900
This analysis indicates a bullish sentiment, expecting gold to rise further if the breakout holds.
Gold Options Activity Point to Continuing RallyNot a single macro portfolio manager was fired for adding gold to their portfolio over the last two years. Such has been gold’s stunning performance. Will Gold’s ascent continue?
Narratives and numbers signal unstoppable and solid bull run in gold for now.
BULL CASE REMAINS INTACT AND IS INTENFISYING
This paper will not delve much into fundamentals. We have covered it previously in Gold to Shine Bright on Fundamentals, Seasonality & Sentiments . In that we highlighted the three main forces at play: (a) Continued central bank purchases, (b) Rising consumer demand in China & India, and (c) Trump administration’s fiscal policies favouring gold.
In addition to the above, US Dollar weaponization, De-dollarisation fears, and Tariff tensions, serve as additional tailwinds. TradingView Wizard, Konhow , has comprehensively covered the historical impact of tariffs on Gold in his recent paper and video .
SENTIMENTS HAVE SURRENDERED IN FAVOR OF RISING GOLD
This research note will not dive into the weeds of technical analysis either. TradingView’s Technical Analysis dashboard summarises it all elegantly.
TradingView
Momentum is in favour. Oscillators are neutral indicating little risk of price reversal. Overall, sentiment remains bullish gold.
Gold prices as represented by CME Micro Gold Futures front month contract formed a golden cross on 10th January 2025. Since then, prices are up 8.5% as of 13th February 2025. Current prices are well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day DMAs.
RSI is in overbought zone. Expect some pull back in gold prices from time to time on profit taking. But the upward trend is undeniable. The MACD shows that Gold momentum continues to be on the rise but with waning bullishness.
Readers can access the entire library of technical ideas focussing on Gold on TradingView’s Gold Ideas Page ideas page .
OPTIONS MARKETS ARE SIGNALLING A SOLID BULL RUN AHEAD
This paper aims to unpack recent activity in CME gold options market and its impact on prices. No contrary signals there either. Options market also signal bullish gold.
QuikStrike is a free-to-use tool for registered participants on the CME Group website. The tool provides a vast range of analytics to guide portfolio managers & traders to better comprehend the underlying market. Each report comes with a helpful user-guide to describe the data covered within the report.
Some key takeaways below:
Open Interest Profile page shows that as of close of markets on 11th February 2025, total call open interest (“OI” for short) stood at 634,815 lots across all expiries and strikes. Aggregate put IO totalled up to 357,305 lots resulting in a put-call ratio (p/c ratio) of 0.56.
Calls are options contract that represent a bullish view. While puts are contracts representing bearish outlook. At 0.56 p/c ratio, there are twice as many bullish positions for each bearish one.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Most Active Strikes allow portfolio managers and traders to analyse top strikes with shifts in open interest. Table below shows top 10 strikes registering the largest change in open interest between 4th February and 11th February.
Starting first with the Calls (left section of the table below), participants have been building up open interest in strikes 4000, 3200, 3250, 4500, 4032, and 3,975.
Call options have also booked reduction in open interest at strikes 3000, 3075, 3100 and 3025. On a net-basis, open interest is up 10,312 lots across these top ten strikes over various expiries this year.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Puts (right section of the table above) shows rising build up in open interest for strikes ranging from 2740 to 2880.
Collectively, this indicates that market participants are rooting for gold prices to rise through USD 3,000/oz and to even rally past USD 4,500/oz. Will that happen? Only time will tell.
Given that risk managers are establishing puts at such high levels point to strong support for gold prices at current levels.
In a nutshell, current prices are not only formidably comfortable but the potential to rise is also highly probable.
Shifting the attention to volatility, the CME Group also offers CVol which is another free-to-use tool. Portfolio managers and traders can visualise implied volatility behaviour on this tool.
Source: CME CVol
The GCVL which is the Gold CVol index shows implied volatility at 17.65 and with a positive skew of 1.08. Implied volatility easing even at an elevated prices indicates that market participants are comfortable at current price levels and do not foresee immediate large price moves.
Skew on the CVol tool is defined as Up Var minus Down Var. Up Var is the likelihood of the price rising while Down Var measures the likelihood of prices falling. A positive skew shows that the market is pricing a higher likelihood of rising prices relative to a down move.
FUND FLOWS INTO GOLD ETF IS UP 47% YOY
Among its rich set of features, TradingView also shows daily ETF fund flows . GLD is the prominent ETF commanding assets under management (AUM) of USD 80.65 billion.
This time last year, GLD ETF showed AUM of USD 54.77 billion. Fund inflows have spiked 47.25% over the past 12 months.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
With fundamentals, sentiment, options market, and fund flows all pointing to a price that is set to rise, this paper posits a long position using CME Micro Gold Futures expiring on 28th April 2025 (MGCJ2025) based on the following entry, exit levels and the reward-to-risk ratio:
• Entry: USD 2,900/oz
• Target: USD 3,100/oz
• Stop: USD 2,800/oz
• P&L at Target (USD per lot): +2,000 ((3,100 – 2,900) x 10)
• P&L at Stop (USD per lot): -1,000 ((2,800 – 2,900) x 10)
• Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 2x
Please note that Each Micro Gold Futures contract provides an exposure to 10 troy ounces.
Both standard-sized gold futures (GC) and the newly launched 1-ounce gold futures offer avenues to express bullish sentiment on the yellow metal. This comprehensive suite of gold futures is tailored to enhance flexibility and precision, empowering investors to capitalize on market opportunities effectively.
CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers.
Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures.
In collaboration with the CME Group, TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time prices.
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MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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