XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the first target is expected to be around $3200. At this level, due to a resistance zone, a temporary correction is likely.
This correction may extend down to the bottom of the ascending channel, which acts as a key support area. After completing the pullback, the bullish trend is expected to resume, aiming for the top of the channel as the next target.
If price breaks above the channel, higher targets could be activated.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Goldlong
Bitcoin's Rocky Quarter: Tariffs, Whales, and Volatility Loom
Bitcoin's first quarter of 2025 has concluded with a whimper, marking its worst Q1 performance since the tumultuous bear market of 2018.1 While gold has surged to record highs, fueled by geopolitical tensions and US trade tariffs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum, leaving traders bracing for potential further volatility. This week’s preview reveals a confluence of factors that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
A Disappointing First Quarter
The initial months of 2025 were anticipated to be a period of growth for Bitcoin, particularly with the anticipation surrounding the halving event. However, the cryptocurrency failed to deliver on these expectations. Instead, it experienced a period of stagnation and even decline, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
Several factors contributed to this underwhelming performance. The escalating trade tensions, particularly the US tariffs, have injected uncertainty into global markets, diverting capital towards established safe-haven assets.
Tariffs and Trade Tensions: A Persistent Headwind
The US imposition of trade tariffs has emerged as a significant headwind for Bitcoin. These tariffs, designed to protect domestic industries, have disrupted global trade flows and created a climate of economic uncertainty.2 Investors, wary of potential market disruptions, have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which has historically outperformed during periods of economic instability.
The impact of these tariffs extends beyond immediate market reactions. They signal a potential shift towards protectionist policies, which could have long-term implications for global trade and investment flows. Bitcoin, often touted as a decentralized and borderless asset, is particularly vulnerable to disruptions in global trade and capital flows.
Whale Activity and Market Manipulation
Adding to the complexity of the market is the activity of large Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales."3 These entities, possessing significant amounts of Bitcoin, can exert considerable influence on market prices through large buy or sell orders. Recent observations suggest increased whale activity, potentially contributing to the volatility and price fluctuations.
Concerns about market manipulation have also resurfaced. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin, while a core strength, also presents challenges in terms of regulation and oversight. This lack of centralized control can create opportunities for manipulation, leading to price swings that are not necessarily reflective of fundamental market dynamics.
Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip: Where’s the Next Support?
The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin bears are tightening their grip. The failure to sustain upward momentum has emboldened sellers, leading to a downward trend. Traders are now closely monitoring key support levels, anticipating potential further declines.
Identifying these support levels is crucial for understanding the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price. Technical analysis, using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, can help traders identify potential areas of support where buying pressure may emerge. However, the volatile nature of Bitcoin makes it challenging to predict these levels with certainty.
Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis
The stark contrast between gold's recent performance and Bitcoin's struggles has reignited the debate about their respective roles as safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history and established reputation, has benefited from the current climate of uncertainty.
However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a superior store of value in the long term. The comparison between the two assets highlights the evolving nature of safe-haven assets and the growing acceptance of digital currencies. The quote "Gold has taken 26 years to 10X. Bitcoin has taken 4 years to 10X" shows the potential for rapid growth, but also its volatility.
Looking Ahead: Volatility and Uncertainty
The coming week promises to be a period of significant volatility for Bitcoin. Traders should brace for potential price swings, driven by a combination of factors, including:
• Continued Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade disputes and potential for further tariffs are likely to continue to impact market sentiment.
• Whale Activity: Large buy or sell orders from whales could trigger significant price fluctuations.
• Regulatory Developments: Any regulatory announcements or policy changes could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation data, interest rate decisions, and other macroeconomic indicators will continue to influence investor behavior.
•
In conclusion, Bitcoin's disappointing first quarter has set the stage for a period of heightened volatility. The confluence of trade tensions, whale activity, and market manipulation creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a subject of debate, the immediate future is marked by uncertainty and the need for caution.
Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies.
The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil
The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward.
Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand.
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon
Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility.
This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand.
The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence
The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend.
The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices.
Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge:
• Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
• Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income.
• Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets.
• Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices.
•
Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices
Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue:
• Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets.
• Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist.
• Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds.
However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices:
• Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors.
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets.
The Significance of Gold's Milestone
Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty.
As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis
#### **Current Market Overview**
- **Price:** $3,092
- **Support Level:** $3,087 - $3,083
- **Resistance Level:** $3,095 - $3,100
- **Trend:** Uptrend continuation, with price holding above key EMAs
---
### **📈 Bullish Scenario**
- If the price **breaks above $3,095 - $3,100** resistance, expect further upside movement towards **$3,110 - $3,120**.
- The **rising trendline and EMA support** suggest buyers are in control.
- A strong close above resistance could trigger **momentum buying** and fuel a rally.
---
### **📉 Bearish Scenario**
- A **failure to break $3,100** may lead to a pullback towards **$3,087 - $3,083** support.
- If sellers push below this support zone, further downside towards **$3,076 and $3,065** is possible.
- Increased selling pressure may shift sentiment, leading to a correction.
---
### **Conclusion**
- **Above $3,095:** Bullish continuation toward higher levels.
- **Below $3,087:** Potential bearish correction before another leg up.
Gold surges and then falls, indicating an imminent fallGold early stage layout plan: Long and short strategy all the way to stop profit in the actual market, huge profits, witnessed by the whole network!
Technical analysis of gold: At present, Trump's tariff policy will be officially announced on Wednesday. Today, Asian stock markets fell across the board in the Asian session, because Asian stock markets opened the earliest. According to historical laws, the stock market's reaction is the fastest. European stocks may also fall across the board. The short-term decline in the stock market often brings a short-term rebound in the price of gold. Focus on the trend of the US stock market. Once the US stock market falls sharply and rapidly, it is often accompanied by a rapid decline in the price of gold. In the morning, the price of gold has rebounded by more than 50 points from the low of 3076 to 3127. After rebounding by more than 50 points, we can intervene in short selling at 3120-25, and close the position when it falls back to around 3105-15. Today, the European and American sessions focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If the European session fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to take long positions when it falls back to around 3105-3100. Finally, I would like to advise all retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, then shorting may be the best choice. It is better not to do it than to make mistakes! Watching more and doing less is also a suitable strategy. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and you should pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate and exchange!
Gold operation strategy: short gold at 3120-25, target 3105-3115, and go long at 3110-3100.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, and operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
Next week’s opening trend forecast and layout!Early layout plan for gold: long and short strategies in the real market, all the way to profit, rich profits, witnessed by the whole network!
Technical analysis of gold: Gold rose again at the end of Friday, and finally closed the daily line with a bald positive line. After a brief adjustment, it rose again. Then, there will be high points to see next week. Continue to maintain the main decline and long, and do not guess the top for the bullish trend. This week is also a long and short strategy to stop profit all the way, and the intraday harvest is rich! The daily support is near 3057, but the strong will not have too much retracement, otherwise it will turn into shock, and the low point of the fall is near 3073. On Monday, the strong will rely on this position to be bullish. The upper pressure is near 3087. Don’t chase more before breaking the position. Breaking the position will gradually see above 3100! Next week, we will continue to focus on retracement and long, but don’t chase more. After all, the technical side needs to step back and adjust. Stepping back and long is the way to go with the trend. Maintain the main retracement and long, and watch more and move less in the middle position. Be cautious and chase orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, please pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3070-60.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes. Once there are changes, we will inform you in time, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
Gold (XAU/USD) Market OutlookGold (XAU/USD) Market Outlook
#### **Current Overview**
- **Current Price:** $3,092
- **Key Support Zone:** $3,087 - $3,083
- **Major Resistance Zone:** $3,095 - $3,100
- **Trend Direction:** Uptrend remains intact with price staying above key moving averages.
---
### **📊 Bullish Outlook**
- If the price **pushes past the $3,100 resistance**, we could see further gains targeting **$3,110 - $3,120**.
- The **upward trendline and moving average support** indicate that buyers are still dominating the market.
- A confirmed breakout above resistance could trigger additional buying momentum.
---
### **📉 Bearish Outlook**
- If the price **fails to clear $3,100**, a retracement towards **$3,087 - $3,083** support may occur.
- A **drop below this level** could extend losses toward **$3,076 and potentially $3,065**.
- Increased selling pressure at resistance might lead to a short-term decline.
---
### **Final Thoughts**
- **Above $3,095:** Expect bullish continuation and new highs.
- **Below $3,087:** A pullback could develop before the next move.
Traders should monitor price behavior around these key areas to confirm the next direction. 🚀📉
GOLD XAUUSD ShortI m short. Gold can go even to 3100.No matter I sell more
Wall Street goes full bull with tariffs and payrolls looming
Gold surges toward $3,100 amid unrelenting rally
Smart money knows one thing very clearly: a large part of the bad news is already baked into the prices, and there is limited room for further downside. Especially considering the parabolic moves we’ve seen
Never the less we are in overbought zone,A correction coming.That will be good chance to buy Gold again
GOLD UPDATESHello folks, like I said from previous note , I closed the idea with single target. with a buy/long positions at 3015.
Now I'm expecting manipulations since we have news today.
The initial target would be the previous highs.
Look for higher targets also 3100 zone.
This is only my view, I Base my idea on Fibonacci retracements expansion above.
Follow for more.
This is not a financial advice. The idea here is long and the target would be the previous high, above price 3100 is just speculation on Fibonacci.
Will Gold Break 3000? (Potential Bullish Continuation)Gold price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation on the Longer Timeframes as the price action may break the previous All Time High of 2956.
A potential break may be indicative of another top OR a new high.
We take our chance on the basis of a proper Bullish Breakout.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 2967
Stop Loss @ 2822
TP 1 @ 3112
Gold Next 24 to 48 hours (31/3/2025)Current Market Snapshot OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold closed the previous week at approximately $3,085 per ounce, after hitting a new all-time high of $3,087 on Friday. This indicate a bullish market, driven by persistent safe-haven demand, central bank purchases (notably from China and Russia), and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. However, there’s also chatter about potential profit-taking or consolidation, as gold approaches overbought conditions on some technical indicators.
Bullish Sentiment: Traders expect gold to break $3,100 soon, citing geopolitical risks and a weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY) forecasted to drop below 100.
Bearish/Cautious Sentiment: Some traders warn of a pullback to $3,055-$3,060 if $3,091 resistance holds or if unexpected U.S. economic data surprises markets.
Technical Analysis
Technical levels for next 24 to 48 hours:
Support Levels:
$3,060: Strong support from recent consolidation and a psychological round number.
$3,055: A deeper support level from late February 2025 trends.
$3,000: Major psychological and historical support if a significant sell-off occurs.
Resistance Levels:
$3,091: Immediate resistance; a break above this could trigger FOMO (fear of missing out) buying.
$3,100: Next psychological resistance
$3,200: Short-term bullish target
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) on daily charts (from web sources) is near 70, suggesting gold is overbought but not yet at extreme levels (80+), indicating room for further upside.
Moving Averages: Gold is trading above its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, reinforcing the bullish trend.
Price Range for next 24 to 48 hours
Low: $3,058 - $3,065
This accounts for potential profit-taking at the open or a risk-off move if weekend news is negative.
High: $3,100 - $3,150
This reflects bullish momentum if $3,091 is breached early, with traders targeting $3,200 as the next psychological level.
After weighing all factors, here’s my enhanced prediction:
Most Likely Scenario: Gold will open slightly lower ($3,080-$3,085) due to profit-taking but will recover throughout the day as buyers step in at support levels ($3,060-$3,065). If $3,091 is broken (70% probability), gold could rally to close near $3,100-$3,120 by Monday’s or Tuesday’s end.
Alternative Scenario: If selling pressure intensifies (30% probability), gold might drop to $3,058-$3,065 but is unlikely to fall below $3,050, as buyers would likely defend this level.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
Asian market open (Monday morning): If Chinese or Indian gold demand remains strong, prices could gap up.
U.S. market open: Watch for any statements from Fed officials or Trump administration policy announcements.
Volume: High volume above $3,091 would confirm bullish momentum; low volume could signal consolidation.
Apr 2 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI
Apr 2 USD JOLTS Job Openings
Apr 2 USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Apr 3 USD Unemployment Claims
Apr 4 USD ISM Services PMI
Apr 4 USD Average Hourly Earning
Apr 4 USD Non-Farm Employment Change
Apr 4 USD Unemployment Rate
Apr 5 USD Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Accurately predict the timing of short position entryAs of now, we have made profits during the trading session. But gold hit the 3048 area yesterday. What should we do if some brothers did not close the order in time? We have made corresponding adjustments according to the current market.
Gold news:
On Friday, the price of gold climbed to 3083, mainly driven by factors such as rising risk aversion, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the global central bank's gold buying boom and increased inflationary pressure. The tense situation in the Middle East, global economic uncertainty and expectations of a depreciation of the US dollar have further enhanced the attractiveness of gold. This week, gold is expected to rise for the fourth consecutive week. The US PCE (personal consumption expenditure) data to be released tonight has attracted much attention from the market because it is the core indicator of the Federal Reserve to measure inflation and may have a significant impact on market expectations and asset prices. If the PCE data triggers concerns about stagflation, it may cause US Treasury yields to rise, further boosting gold prices. If the data eases inflationary pressures, it may boost risky assets, but gold may rise simultaneously due to rising expectations of interest rate cuts. Boosted by risk aversion, gold advanced all the way yesterday afternoon, hitting a new high of 3059 during the US trading session. Today's market continued to rise at the opening, and the current highest has reached 3086. Gold bulls rose like a tiger, where is the top?
Gold technical analysis: From the wave point of view, the large level is no longer repeated. The daily line 2832 runs a standard 5-wave structure upward, wave 1 2832-2929, wave 2 2929-2880, wave 3 2880-3057, wave 4 3057-2999. Yesterday's market broke through 3057 and rose. The current market is in the 5th wave. From the wave rule, wave 1 runs 97 US dollars. If the amplitude of wave 1 and wave 5 is equal, the high point of wave 5 can be seen near 3097. Using the Fibonacci retracement extension line, pay attention to the two resistance levels of 3088-3108 above. Therefore, the short-term continues to follow the trend of low-multiple bullishness. Pay attention to whether there is a structure to go short near 3108 above. Gold is currently high, and it is bound to fall back. This crazy bull trend cannot last long. This is inevitable. The gold price is currently seriously off track, that is, it is directly off track. This is unreasonable. Return is inevitable. There must be a deep fall today. The support below is around 3050, which is also the target of the fall.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold 3075-70 to increase the number of transactions. Target 3060-3050
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. The short profit area of 3060-3050 is all closed.
3. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
Gold prices in London hit a record high on Friday as U.S. President Trump's latest tariff policy sparked concerns about a global trade war, with investors flocking to safe-haven assets. Spot gold climbed 0.9% to its 18th record high of $3,086 this year. It rose 2.02% this week, rising for the fourth consecutive week.This round of international gold's rise is driven by market concerns that President Trump's new round of reciprocal tariffs, which will take effect on April 2, will push up inflation and undermine the stability of global trade. Gold prices have risen 2% this week and are expected to rise for the fourth consecutive week as investors turn to safe-haven assets amid growing uncertainty about the direction of U.S. policy.Next week will be Trump's tariff week, and countries are currently relatively tough. According to CCTV, Mexican President Sheinbaum said on March 28 local time that he opposed the United States' unilateral imposition of a 25% auto tariff. Mexico is developing comprehensive responses to strengthen the national economy and respond to unilateral behavior, while the negotiation process with the United States continues, striving to ensure stable employment and maintain investment while avoiding damage to U.S. and Canadian interests.
Technical Review: Gold has a high probability of rising overall on Friday due to the combined effect of market sentiment and capital flows in the evening. However, the market feedback after the release of PCE inflation data was poor, and the data was bearish. Gold failed to break through the high point and set a new high. Although the gold price rose and broke through the high point during the ten o'clock period, it was just a puncture! In the current market, perhaps the market needs further adjustment! Gold broke through the new high in the US market and fell back. It is not meaningful to chase high again on Friday night. It may rise and fall at any time. After all, gold may start to adjust at any time after rising today. The one-hour line rose twice to touch the high point of 3086, which will be the key resistance level. It is obvious that the gold price did not stand above 3086. Both times it fell rapidly after touching it. Before the gold price stood above 3086, it looked for adjustments during the session. The range was 3066-3086. Gold may have a double top starting from 30 minutes. Don't chase more for the time being. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a fall, otherwise the adjustment range at the high level may also be large.
Analysis for next week:
Gold is still just adjusting for now. Gold started to rise again in the second half of the night. Gold bulls are still relatively strong. There will be more gold if it falls back next week. After all, gold bulls are strong now. However, don’t chase more at high levels. Wait for it to fall back before buying more. Gold is still arranged with a golden cross upward bullish divergence in 1 hour. After the adjustment, gold bulls did not weaken, but continued to be strong. Then the decline of gold is just an adjustment. Gold will continue to buy after the adjustment next week. Gold hit the bottom of 3067 in the US market on Friday and then rose again. The gold moving average now supports the line around 3072. In this range, gold is still in the support area. So buy on dips when it falls back to 3070 next week.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3070-3073, stop loss at 3062, target at 3090-3100;
Sell short-term gold at 3103-3105, stop loss at 3114, target at 3080-3070;
Key points:
First support level: 3072, second support level: 3065, third support level: 3055
First resistance level: 3092, second resistance level: 3105, third resistance level: 3118
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
This is a continuation update from last week, which is playing out perfectly clearing first our Bearish target followed with all our Bullish targets with ema5 lock confirmations.
We are now seeing a gap left open at 3089 and will need ema5 to cross and lock above this level for a continuation into the next level. Failure to lock will see price reject into the lower Goldturns for bounces or further cross and locks below the levels to open the levels below.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3045 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3045 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3067 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3067 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3089
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3089 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3114
BEARISH TARGETS
3018
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3018 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2985
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2985 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2947 - 2918
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Potential outside week and bullish potential for AUCEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:AUC above the level of the potential outside week noted on 28th March (i.e.: above the level of $0.56).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 26th March (i.e.: below $0.515), should the trade activate.
GOLD Long opportunity from 3,050 or 3,020 back to ATH'sThis week, my outlook on gold remains strongly bullish. Price has once again reached its all-time high (ATH) and broken structure to the upside, leaving behind new demand zones that present potential buying opportunities.
The first key area of interest is the nearby 6-hour demand zone. While not the most ideal setup, I will be monitoring how price reacts once it mitigates this level.
Additionally, there is a 15-hour demand zone positioned lower, offering a more favorable entry at a discounted price. This zone was responsible for the break of structure to the upside, making it a strong area of interest. If price reaches this level, I expect a slowdown followed by a buildup of bullish momentum.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes.
Clean 6-hour and 15-hour demand zones remain unmitigated.
Gold has been consistently bullish across both lower and higher timeframes.
DXY is trending bearish, reinforcing gold’s bullish bias due to their inverse correlation.
Note: There is some liquidity resting below in the form of an equal low and a small trendline. I will wait for confirmation in these areas before making any decisions.
Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus:
- Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Personal Spending (MoM)
- Personal Income (MoM)
Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold.
Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications
The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices.
Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy.
Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates.
Impact on Gold Prices
The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result.
Key bullish factors for gold include:
Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance.
Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates.
Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive.
Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD)
Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher.
A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential.
To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion
The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing.
A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below.
If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another awesome finish to the week with our charts idea playing out to perfection!!!
After completing our 3050 target yesterday, we got our cross and lock above 3050 opening 3065, followed with a further cross and lock above 3065 opening 3080, Both 3065 and 3080 were completed today for a perfect finish.
We will now need a cross and lock above 3080 for a continuation into the next Goldturn or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD’s Next Big Play – Don’t Miss This $3000+ Setup!Gold has been following my analysis perfectly over the last two weeks and remains in a strong uptrend! 📈
For this week, the plan is to look for buying opportunities—but only at the right price. I don’t believe the bull run is over just yet. Despite Friday’s drop, gold recovered strongly and held above $3,000, signaling that buyers are still in control.
⚠ Caution for sellers: While there may be shorting opportunities if gold overextends, it’s risky to bet against this trend too soon. If I see a high-probability short setup, I’ll make a separate post about it.
Let’s stay patient and trade smart! 💡💰
Traders, if you found this analysis valuable 🎓, feel free to give it a boost 🚀 and share your thoughts in the comments 📣. Let’s discuss!
GOLD Bullish Continuation - Will Buyers Push Toward 3,084$?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
With momentum favoring the upside, the price could move toward the 3,084$ level, which aligns with the midline of the channel. However, a failure to hold this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀
XAUUSD:Should I make money by going short after buying?Did you follow the accurate instructions to buy XAUUSD this time? If not. What about next time?
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