Xauusd long Target Gold preserves its bullish momentum and trades near $2,580 after setting a new record-high slightly above this level. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the red below 3.7% as markets reassess the odds of a large Fed rate cut, helping XAU/USD push higher.
Gold (XAU/USD) breaks out of its multi-week sideways range and surpasses the previous record highs of $2,531.
The precious metal has met its previous target at $2,550, generated after the original breakout from the July-August range on August 14, and now sets its sights on the next target at around $2,590.
Gold now sell support 2550
Resistance 2621
Confirm signal
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Follow my chart
Goldlong
XAU/USD - BULLISH ENTRY
When looking at the D1 chart of Gold, the market has broken structure to the upside, creating a new higher high (HH) and validating a new higher low (HL). The market rallied, consolidated, and further rallied. Now, we anticipate the market to retrace into the Consolidation Base, which is the blue zone also known as the order block. We plan to look for buying opportunities between Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday during the New York session. SL should be placed below the blue zone and the TP at the high.
The historic high in the value of gold. Where to next? The historic high in the value of gold. Where to next?
At the moment, the situation on the XAUUSD (gold vs. US dollar) market is showing interesting and volatile movements. In recent weeks, we have seen price fluctuations due to a number of factors such as changes in the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve, global economic instability and increased interest in safe assets amid geopolitical risks.
Gold prices often react to news about inflation and interest rates. When expectations of rising interest rates increase, this can put pressure on gold prices as precious metals do not generate interest income. However, when uncertainty in the economy or risks increase, investors seek safe haven assets such as gold, which usually drives prices higher.
GOLD- where is supporting area now? Next??#GOLD.. market perfectly bounced from our area that was discussed in our video analysis.
Congratulations to all.
And now market have 2557 and 2553 in immediate supporting areas.
Keep close guys and don't short until market holds that areas.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold outlookPreviously Gold has made a new high in previous week now its all time high for the week is archived now in upcoming week gold can consolidate for the time being but as Feds rate cut is expected and gold can go for new high in upcoming week now as i am analyzing the pair we can expect a pull back to to its newly formed physiological support levels and can go further but as i said fed rate cut is expected gold can fly high and make new levels
Bitcoin Zip LineI’ve been tracking the course of bitcoin for the last 5 years. I think we are in for some major volatility soon!
Scenario 1:
The bitcoin price will rally as elections are heating up, and more people are sponsoring bitcoin and other meme coins in this period, in addition the tension in the Middle East . Consequently, the US market seems to have some underlying affect on the price of bitcoin. It is connected to the dollar. De-dollarization is a reality. But, you can’t back out on currency yet, too many people would be affected. People presently and people how will. So I expect the fed to cut rates hard, and quickly, without a doubt saving the economic bubble waiting to pop soon. Leading to a red swan event. No I did not say black. Red swan would be a global market chain reaction.
Bitcoin would break upward toward the resistance area $68,387- 69,000which has been building since November 10th, 2020.
If that occurs bitcoin could fall and complete a long striking falling wedge buying opportunity with a target of $42,000 and a liquidity pool around $37,600. Bitcoin could continue with selling pressure, or the big institutions will buy back bitcoin leading to an all time high price in a parabolic move toward $79,000, $100k, 150k, and $200k. Why so high? In short summary banks, coin IPO’s, Mining Harvests, Ripple, and AI
This would be the greatest buy opportunity for either any retail trader or institutional investors. Maybe even private owned firms, government agencies, and owners of any equity.
Scenario 2: A test of the $68’387-$69,000 area and a breakout to $73,000 could lead the price to $79,000. If this price is reached, bitcoin will either decide to test shaky hands and liquidate. As a matter of fact, new hands coming in, can squeeze toward $90,000 above 100k before deciding a true bullish path. Same rules apply on the buy opportunity. This would be parabolic as well which would make $42,000 the main support zone in a long term situation drawback.
This is just a prediction, good luck ;)
XAU / USD ! Upward price trend awaits ! 4th quarter 2024🔔🔔🔔🔔 NOTE
XAU/USD overview: in September 2024
🔥One thing worth noting:
✅7 resistance tests: 2528-2531
✅3 times support testing: 2472-2470
Another very important price zone at the end of 2024. Decide the future trend for Gold
🔥With 7 resistance tests: shows that buyers have the majority - overwhelming. However, it cannot be overcome. NOVA thinks the main reason is because large funds - coordination of countries want to adjust prices to reach ATH at the appropriate time (for example: September interest rate reduction, November US presidential election).
🔥Technical H4 frame: supports a very nice Uptrend
🦋🦋Technical - economic / political combination. To decide the appropriate trend and time
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NEW ATH: 2560 - 2590 - 2650
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⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD - Bullish BreakoutGOLD has recently broken the RANGE it has been in for the last couple of weeks.
As you can see via the labels on the chart, GOLD initially produced multiple REJECTIONS from the RESISTANCE.
Eventually, the RESISTANCE was BROKEN, changing from high volume resistance bounces to low volume RANGING.
WE were in this RANGE for a couple of weeks, where I believe that GOLD was accumulating, ready to perform a BIG VOLUME move.
This has now come to fruition as the RANGE has been broken BULLISH, where it's begun to produce HIGH VOLUME candles.
I will be watching to see where it creates a rejection zone as GOLD is currently trading at ALL TIME HIGHS.
9.14 Gold Short-term Analysis StrategyThe daily and 4-hour lines closed with big positives, overlooking the 2530 line that was tested many times in the early stage. Therefore, only by following the trend under the bullish trend can there be greater profit space. The price relies on the MA moving average to go up, and the trend is very clear that the bulls have an advantage.
On the one hand, it is a bullish trend. On the other hand, whether it is the hourly line or the 4-hour line, the strength of the retracement and the coordination of time after continuous pull-up, the gold price retreated to around 2545 in the early morning, and then the hourly line continued to attack the 2560 line. In other words, it is still constantly refreshing the historical high in the early morning, and there is no room for correction. The shape is relatively strong. There is no room for even retracement, which shows that the bulls are full of momentum, and there is still room for continued rise today.
Today's operation plan:
In the bullish pattern, what position should be used to plan for long positions? The market with oscillating components uses the low point of the retracement correction as support to rebound again. Today's ideas are similar to those of yesterday, and need to be combined with time. The lower support is near 2549, which is the upper track of the previous upward channel. After breaking through, it is bullish. The upper resistance is near 2580,2588.
Friday market analysis, continue to see new highsGold held near its all-time high on Friday, now at $2,570. Gold prices rose more than 2% on Thursday, hitting a record high, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, after data showed a slowdown in the U.S. economy. In addition, the ECB's rate cut also reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, and geopolitical concerns continue to provide safe-haven buying support for gold prices.
Gold prices soared to a record high after U.S. initial jobless claims and producer inflation data further indicated that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates next week. The European Central Bank cut interest rates again on Thursday and hinted that borrowing costs will be on a "downward path" in the coming months. Currently, inflation in the eurozone is slowing, and the ECB's further rate cut has raised expectations that many central banks around the world will cut interest rates multiple times in the future, increasing the attractiveness of gold.
Pay attention to the U.S. import price index in August, the preliminary value of the U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in September, the eurozone finance ministers' meeting, and news related to the geopolitical situation during this trading day.
Technical aspect
Technical aspect: Gold hit a new record high, breaking the wide range of 2530~500 this week. The daily increase is close to 50 US dollars. The MACD momentum column of the short-term four-hour chart is large, and the RSI indicator is close to 80, close to the overbought zone. The price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger Band, and the moving average golden cross opens upward. Technically, the structure of gold's bullish trend is intact. It is expected that there will be at least one bullish sprint to a new high on Friday. The trading idea is to go long at a low price. In short, don't guess the top. You will find that trading will be simple and easy if you follow the trend.
Trading strategy:
2548-2550 long, stop loss 2539, target 2570-2580;
2577-2579 short, stop loss 2588, target 2550-2540;
9.13 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, hitting a record high of $2,559.98 per ounce and closing at $2,558.54 per ounce, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, after data showed a slowdown in the U.S. economy. In addition, the European Central Bank's rate cut also reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, and geopolitical concerns continue to provide safe-haven buying support for gold prices. Considering the possibility of profit-taking on Friday, we will patiently pay attention to the strength of profit-taking in gold today.
Market expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17-18 meeting. The probability of a 25 basis point cut is 73%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27%. This expectation has driven gold's rise because the low interest rate environment makes gold more attractive as a non-yielding asset.
The European Central Bank announced another rate cut on Thursday, lowering the deposit rate to 3.50%. This decision is closely related to the background of weak economic growth and slowing inflation in the eurozone. The ECB's rate cut reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, further enhancing its attractiveness.
In addition to economic data, geopolitical tensions also have an important impact on gold prices. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Moscow may restrict exports of uranium, titanium and nickel in retaliation against Western countries. The statement has raised market concerns about the global supply chain, further boosting safe-haven demand for gold.
Gold Spot Elliott Wave Analysis: Bearish Reversal Ahead ?FX:XAUUSD FX_IDC:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
📊 Analysis Overview:
We're seeing a potential completion of the 5th wave in this Elliott Wave structure, signaling a possible end to the bullish momentum. A corrective move down is expected to follow soon.
🔺 Rising Wedge Formation:
The price is currently testing the resistance of a rising wedge, a bearish reversal pattern. If this pattern plays out, a break below the wedge's support could signal a sharp move down.
📉 Critical Resistance Level:
The key level to watch is $2,564. If the price fails to break and hold above this level, it will likely confirm the start of the anticipated correction.
🔻 Bearish Target:
After the 5th wave, we could see a decline towards the $2,350 - $2,400area, aligning with a corrective ABC pattern.
📈 Trade Idea:
A potential short opportunity could arise once we see a clear break below the wedge's support. Keep an eye on price action around $2,564 for confirmation of the bearish scenario.
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This analysis suggests a short-term bearish bias after the completion of the current bullish wave. Always ensure proper risk management!
9.13Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsLast night, inflation data fell beyond expectations, while the core inflation monthly rate rebounded slightly to 0.3%. Gold plummeted to around $2,500 after the $2,529 data in the Asia-Europe session.
This week's market, as long as you follow it after seeing it, you will basically be slapped in the face. On Monday, I saw the decline from $2,500 to $2,485 before I rebounded and went short. Then on Tuesday, I saw the decline from 2,507 to 2,500 in the early trading and rebounded and went short. On Wednesday, I saw the Asia-Europe session continue to rise to $2,529 and started to sing a new high. All of these were "counter-killed".
Yesterday, I clearly said that we must prevent fake falls and the sudden counterattack of shorts. Not only will the August CPI be announced, but the price will be close to $2,530. There is no need to do any callback here. Unless it is a rapid plunge, the cost performance is too poor.
From the non-agricultural data to now, both long and short positions have been accurately stepped on, without exception. The non-agricultural data clearly stated that no matter whether the data is good or bad, the rise is an illusion, and the fall is the purpose. On Monday, the market opened directly at 2500 US dollars and shorted. After the decline, it stopped chasing shorts. After the decline, it fell to 2485 US dollars and rebounded to break through 2500. It decisively went long at 2500-01 and left the market at 2515. On Wednesday, the price was near 2505 and emphasized that it was also 2520 to go long at 2500 first. Yesterday, it was directly short at 2523, without considering chasing long near the historical high, and arranged long after the plunge.
Today, I think a large number of people have begun to stand on the side of the shorts, which is just the opposite of yesterday. The plunge in gold prices from 2530 to 2500 after the CPI data and the current rebound are in line with the logic of shorts.
However, I think if it is a continuation of the short position, there will not be such a large rebound. The continuous rebound of 2500, the higher the price seems to be, the greater the probability of digging a pit, especially the rebound from 2510 in the morning as support. Unless it returns to below this position, I will not short today.
Soon, gold will go unilaterally. It has closed the cross K line for three consecutive weeks. The daily BOLL closed at a high level. Now it is waiting for a suitable opportunity to directly break the range, and I am optimistic about the upward breakthrough. The bulls will soon challenge $2,600 this time.
At present, the gold price is constantly rising from the lows of $2472, $2485, and $2500. The first rebound target is $2522-23, followed by $2528-30, and then $2538-40. The recent market should be prepared to get on the bus and wait for the market to start at any time.
Today, gold uses $2,500 as the dividing point and $2,510 as the support area. Go long after the pullback, that is, change from yesterday's short thinking to low long. The rebound after the plunge is too big. This rebound is often not an opportunity to go short, but a slow rise to force shorts.
XAUUSD: 11/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450
Four-hour resistance 2530, support below 2493
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold fluctuated and stabilized at the 2500 mark, ushering in a strong bottoming out and rebounding for many days, and closed above resistance. The overall price of the daily chart continued the recent wide range of long and short fluctuations, and the moving average system also moved closer to the bulls. In the short term, it once again approached the previous high point, and whether it can continue to break through this time is still an unknown.
Today, the support below focuses on the 2500-05 area, and the pressure above focuses on the 2525-2530 area. This position is also an important breakthrough point in the European session, and the support below is maintained at the low point of 2500-2505, which was retreated many times yesterday. Once this position continues to break down, the short position in the later period will also be likely to continue to open up space, and the first target below is maintained near 2460-2470. The NY market also has CPI data, which is likely to change the entire situation again. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the rhythm of the layout of the long and short wide range of shocks.
BUY:2494near SL:2490
BUY:2510near SL:2505
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
9.12 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the 4-hour period, the stochastic indicator is a dead cross downward, which is a bearish signal; however, the BOLL interval is obvious, forming an interval that has never been broken; in addition, the support bands of 2500-2490-2480-2470 have not all fallen through;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator is in a state of blunt top divergence; bearish signal; the indicator is in a state of bluntness at a high level, waiting for stimulation; in terms of form, the market is resistant to falling, sideways, and since the high break, it is the second wave of rising break; it is expected that there will be a third wave of BOLL upward break upward trend later;
Comprehensive Get up: In terms of thinking, priority is given to the trend thinking; in terms of support, the middle axis support position is near 2495, the lower axis track support is near 2445; the transition support position is near 2470; sideways support, then consider sideways; sideways support position is near 2508 and 2490 in the small range;
War risk aversion is still continuing; therefore, short positions cannot be arranged at present; in terms of form, 2530 is not the peak high point of the form, so it is not recommended to arrange; breakout is handled according to the breakout of 2530/32
Today's focus: the number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week of September 7 (10,000 people)
Gold Consolidates as Market Awaits Breakout Amid Inflation DataGold Technical Analysis - 12 Sep. 2024
Gold is currently consolidating between the 2516 and 2526 levels, awaiting a decisive break.
To establish a bullish trend, gold must stabilize above 2526, potentially advancing towards 2543 and 2557.
On the contrary, a stable move below 2516 would favor a bearish shift, with the price likely declining to 2500 and possibly extending down to 2475.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Point: 2516
- Resistance: 2526, 2543, 2557
- Support: 2500, 2484, 2475
Trend:
- Consolidation: 2516 - 2526
- Bullish: Above 2526
- Bearish: Below 2516
Gold's next movement hinges on its ability to break out of this consolidation range.
The market is now paying attention to some US producer pricesWorld gold prices reversed and decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.9 USD to 2,511.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,540.30 an ounce, down $5.60 from the bright spot.
Expectations for an interest rate cut at next week's main meeting decreased somewhat after the consumer price report put upward pressure on gold, causing the precious metal to lose 0.2% on the day. Accordingly, the latest report found that consumer prices in the US increased slightly in August, but underlying utilization remained stable, which may make the US Federal Reserve (Fed) unable to decided to reduce 50 basis points next week.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2485 - 2487💎
✔️TP1: 2500
✔️TP2: 2510
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2480
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2522 - 2525💎
✔️TP1: 2510
✔️TP2: 2500
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2533
Analysis of 9.12 Gold Short-term Operation StrategySpot gold is currently trading around $25,118.46/oz, with a narrow range of fluctuations on Thursday (September 12). Gold prices rose and fell on Wednesday, supported by safe-haven buying. Gold prices rose to around $2,529 earlier in the session on Wednesday, approaching historical highs, but after the U.S. CPI data, gold prices gave up gains and fell to around the 2,500 mark, closing at $2,511.33/oz, as U.S. inflation data prompted investors to scale back expectations for the Fed's super-large rate cut next week, and the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields strengthened.
First: Data, wash; before large data, gold prices have no external stimulation and it is difficult to form range fluctuations; what is large data, such as the mid-month interest rate meeting, such as the U.S. election in October, such as the Middle East war, the risk aversion of the Russian-Ukrainian war; therefore, these small data, like "ants shaking a big tree", are difficult to change the trend of the market; but they will form a wash trend;
Second: On the market, the overall market is consolidating in the large range of 2470-2530; and it is controlled by bulls; this is the core; after several weeks of trend, the market is resistant to decline and it is difficult to form a sharp drop; without the emergence of strong negative fundamentals, it is not enough to change this high-range consolidation and high-range resistance to decline trend;
In terms of data, small data are mainly for washing; on the market, it is high-range consolidation and high-range oscillation; understand this, at least it will not be very wrong; grasp the market trend, it will be relatively easy to do
Detailed intraday operation strategy:
Gold rebounds to 2522 short, defend 2530, target 2510-2500
Gold falls back to 2480 to go long, defend 2472, target 2490-2500
Gold Price Analysis: Watching Resistance and Support ZonesGold is currently trading between a strong resistance zone, where we’ve seen multiple rejections, and a key support level. The price has been bouncing between these areas. If we see the price drop back to the smaller support, there’s potential for a bounce. It will be crucial to observe how buyers respond at this level to determine the next move. If buyers show strength, a rebound could occur; otherwise, we might see further declines. Monitoring price action at these critical levels will be key for future trades.
9.12 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold has been going up and down, but it still hasn't broken through the historical high. Gold is under pressure from the historical high resistance, so short at high, if it breaks through, follow up and go long, gold rebounds first under pressure
Gold's 4-hour moving average is still dead cross short arrangement, gold's 4-hour high point long structure, gold rebound high pressure historical high resistance, so continue to short, gold rebounded 2525 in the morning, continue to short, if it breaks through the new high, follow up and go long, the market is looking at the present, the market is also looking at what kind of operation is corresponding, gold has not broken through the new high in one fell swoop, the high point is reasonable, so it is reasonable to continue to short at high
Today's focus:
The main refinancing interest of the European Central Bank in the euro zone to September 12
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 7
The annual rate of the US PPI in August
The monthly rate of the US PPI in August
A sharp reaction to the news A sharp reaction to the news
The XAU/USD market is driven by several macroeconomic factors, including interest rates, inflation expectations, geopolitical tensions, and overall risk sentiment in global financial markets. To understand how the price of XAU/USD might behave in the near term, let's examine the key factors at play:
1. Current Market Environment:
Global Inflation: Persistently high inflation typically supports gold prices as gold is considered a hedge against inflation. If inflation remains elevated, investors might continue to seek gold as a store of value.
US Dollar Strength: Gold prices are inversely related to the US dollar. A strong dollar can push gold prices lower as gold becomes more expensive for buyers in other currencies. Conversely, if the dollar weakens, gold prices can rise.
Interest Rates: Central bank policies, particularly the US Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, play a significant role. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t pay interest), potentially leading to lower demand. On the other hand, a dovish stance or rate cuts support gold prices.
Gold moving up to Take Daily Highs!Looking for Impulse Up.
Gold movign to daily top to get those Stops!. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
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