Get started

Goldlong

Gold & Silver Soar: Trade War RallyAnatomy of a Rally: How US-China Trade Tensions Propelled Gold to Record Highs and Lifted Silver Introduction The global financial landscape is frequently reshaped by geopolitical events, and few have cast as long a shadow in recent memory as the trade tensions between the United States and China. During periods of heightened friction, characterized by escalating tariffs, retaliatory measures, and pervasive economic uncertainty, markets often witness significant shifts in asset allocation. One of the most prominent beneficiaries during such times is gold. This document explores the dynamics behind gold prices reaching record highs amidst a US-China trade war, examining the multifaceted reasons for its ascent and noting the concurrent, significant rise in silver prices, which often move in tandem with the yellow metal due to overlapping market drivers. The US-China Trade War: A Catalyst for Uncertainty The trade conflict between the world's two largest economies represents more than just a dispute over tariffs and trade balances. It embodies a fundamental clash over technology, intellectual property, global influence, and differing economic models. The imposition of tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of goods creates direct economic consequences: 1. Increased Costs: Businesses face higher import costs, which can be absorbed (reducing profits), passed onto consumers (potentially fueling inflation), or lead to shifts in supply chains (causing disruption and inefficiency). 2. Reduced Trade Flows: Tariffs act as barriers, potentially dampening global trade volumes and impacting export-oriented economies. 3. Economic Growth Concerns: The uncertainty surrounding future trade policies makes businesses hesitant to invest and expand, potentially leading to slower global economic growth or even recessionary fears. 4. Supply Chain Disruptions: Companies reliant on cross-border supply chains face significant operational challenges, needing to find alternative suppliers or routes, often at higher costs and lower efficiency. 5. Currency Volatility: Trade disputes can lead to fluctuations in exchange rates, particularly involving the US dollar and the Chinese yuan, adding another layer of risk for international businesses and investors. This pervasive uncertainty becomes a powerful driver pushing investors towards assets perceived as safe. Gold: The Quintessential Safe Haven Gold's reputation as a safe-haven asset is deeply ingrained in financial history. During times of economic stress, political instability, or market turmoil, investors flock to gold for several key reasons, all amplified by a US-China trade war: 1. Store of Value: Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold is seen as retaining its intrinsic value over the long term. Fears that trade wars could lead to competitive currency devaluations or necessitate inflationary monetary policies (like extensive quantitative easing) make gold particularly attractive. 2. Hedging Against Uncertainty: When the outlook for traditional assets like stocks and bonds becomes cloudy due to geopolitical risks like a trade war, gold offers a perceived refuge. Its price often exhibits a low or negative correlation to equity markets during downturns, making it valuable for portfolio diversification. 3. Geopolitical Risk Premium: Major international conflicts or tensions invariably add a risk premium to gold prices. A trade war between global superpowers significantly elevates perceived geopolitical risk, prompting safe-haven buying. 4. Weakening US Dollar Potential: While the US dollar itself can act as a safe haven, a protracted trade war could raise questions about the US economic outlook or lead to policies aimed at weakening the dollar to boost exports. Since gold is typically priced in US dollars globally, a weaker dollar generally makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, potentially increasing demand and pushing the dollar price higher. 5. Central Bank Demand: In an environment of heightened geopolitical tension and questions surrounding the dominance of the US dollar, central banks (particularly those in emerging markets or nations seeking to reduce reliance on the USD) often increase their gold reserves. This diversification strategy provides a steady source of demand, underpinning prices. A US-China trade conflict could accelerate this trend among various nations. 6. The Mechanics of the Price Surge The record high in gold prices isn't just a passive reaction; it's driven by active market dynamics: • Increased Investor Demand: Retail and institutional investors increase allocations to gold through physical bullion, gold futures contracts, and gold-backed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Large inflows into major gold ETFs are often a visible indicator of this heightened demand. • Speculative Activity: Traders in the futures market anticipate further price increases driven by the ongoing trade tensions and safe-haven flows, adding upward momentum. • Sentiment: Market psychology plays a crucial role. As prices rise and news headlines focus on the trade war and gold's rally, a positive feedback loop can emerge, drawing in more buyers afraid of missing out (FOMO). Silver's Ascent: Riding Gold's Coattails and Its Own Merits Silver prices registering a steep rise alongside gold during such a period is a common phenomenon, though its drivers are slightly more complex: 1. Monetary Asset Correlation: Silver, like gold, has a long history as a monetary metal and store of value. It often trades as "poor man's gold," attracting investors seeking safe-haven exposure at a lower price point per ounce. During strong gold rallies driven by macroeconomic fear, silver typically follows suit. 2. Industrial Demand Component: Unlike gold, silver has significant industrial applications (electronics, solar panels, medical devices). This is a double-edged sword during a trade war. While safe-haven demand pulls prices up, fears of a trade-war-induced global economic slowdown could theoretically dampen industrial demand, potentially capping silver's gains relative to gold. However, in scenarios where safe-haven buying dominates market sentiment, this factor often takes a backseat initially. 3. Higher Volatility: Silver markets are smaller and typically more volatile than gold markets. This means that significant inflows driven by safe-haven sentiment can lead to sharper percentage gains (and potentially sharper losses during corrections) compared to gold. The "steep rise" noted is characteristic of silver's higher beta. 4. Gold-Silver Ratio: Traders often watch the gold-silver ratio (the number of silver ounces needed to buy one ounce of gold). When this ratio reaches historical extremes, some investors may buy silver, betting that it is undervalued relative to gold and that the ratio will revert closer to its historical mean. A major gold rally can stretch this ratio, triggering such trades and boosting silver demand. Global Trends and Context While the US-China trade war serves as a potent catalyst, it often occurs within a broader context of global trends that can support precious metal prices. These might include accommodative monetary policies from major central banks (low interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold), existing geopolitical hotspots beyond the US-China relationship, concerns about sovereign debt levels, or nascent inflationary pressures. The trade war acts as an accelerant, amplifying the impact of these underlying factors on gold and silver. Conclusion The surge of gold prices to record highs during a period marked by an intense US-China trade war is a textbook example of the metal fulfilling its traditional role as a premier safe-haven asset. The conflict breeds deep economic uncertainty, stokes fears of currency devaluation, heightens geopolitical risk perception, and potentially influences central bank reserve policies – all factors that historically drive capital towards gold. The simultaneous sharp rise in silver prices underscores its strong correlation with gold as a monetary asset, benefiting from the same wave of risk aversion, albeit with the added complexity of its industrial demand profile. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors navigating volatile periods, highlighting gold's enduring appeal as a portfolio diversifier and a refuge when storm clouds gather over the global economy, particularly when sparked by friction between major world powers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases. Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart. Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average. Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135. Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold-----Buy near 3190, target 3200-3260Gold market analysis: Gold has been rising strongly in the past two days. The daily line closed with a big positive line again. The bulls stood above 3200. The current highest is around 3219. The form and indicators are basically useless in such a market. What we need is a firm bullishness. In the past two days, there is a characteristic that it has risen and never looked back. It is basically a 40-point rise. In such a market, we either wait or buy directly without thinking. Today's Asian session gold hovered above 3200, and it can also be bought directly above 3200. Gold has created the largest increase and highest position in history. This wave of gold fluctuations is no longer a simple fundamental, but caused by the current international situation. The big rise is not the top. We continue to follow gold to buy. If there is no big accident today, the weekly gold line will close with a super big positive line again. The daily support has reached around 3167. This position is the previous top and the current support. Today's gold continues to buy based on this position. Given the current strength, it is basically impossible not to fall back. Pay attention to the opportunity of a small fall back and buy directly. Today, I estimate that the Asian and European sessions will rise, and the US tail market will fall back. Support 3200, 3180, suppression is really invisible, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3190. Fundamental analysis: The CPI announced yesterday did not have a big impact on the market, but the data difference was still relatively large, the result was -0.1%, and the bulls only rose slightly. The bottoming out and rebound of the US stock market was mainly due to Trump's withdrawal of some tariff policies. Operational suggestions Gold-----Buy near 3190, target 3200-3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
GOLD (XAU/USD) Hits ATH – Discover the Market EdgeHi Guys, I’ve been testing my edge for the past 5 months, and it’s been crazy what I’ve discovered so far. It might sound a little wild, but there’s a way to compare another market that leads 3–5 days ahead and gives clear trend signals for Gold Futures — which moves in tandem with XAU/USD, with only a few dollars' difference. You can see a pullback here, but sometimes it shoots straight to an all-time high. Taking current geopolitics into consideration, the markets are extremely volatile. Before Trump started the trade wars, I opened an account with 1:500 leverage (starting capital $150, grew to $500) and made significant profits just by catching the moves and trends I was able to predict. From a math standpoint, if it were just coincidence, I would’ve been liquidated a long time ago. I’ve been through everything — this isn’t luck. I remember one day, I was watching Bloomberg live and the news anchor said, “I can’t believe gold is dropping,” — but I had predicted that move days earlier, haha! That was triple confirmation that I have an edge and that algorithms are actually following it. There were also days when I expected a small pullback the next day, but it happened during the NY session because of some news — and it couldn’t push lower. Sellers in the TradingView chat was going crazy. The next day, during the London session, it started reaching the ATH (as I predicted). The pressure was intense, but the algorithm didn’t allow it to go lower than the previous low — and that structure came from my leading market edge! In this case, the pullback might not happen — and if it doesn’t, we’ll break the current ATH and easily go long after that. As I mentioned, in these volatile markets, with tariffs going back and forth, the buying pressure and constant news are so intense that the market sometimes doesn’t even have time to make a pullback! If you have good capital and trade with low leverage, you can easily go long now and keep adding to your position with every pullback until we hit the new ATH! Now, gold is going to reach a new ATH again — that’s 110%. I believe we’ll easily hit $3200+, followed by a pullback to around $3100. Next gold move: ATH: $3200 – $3350 Pullback: ~$3100 Re-test of ATH area — consolidation in that zone until the next major news event.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mrdundeee
7
Insight into the gold market situation and seize the opportunityHello everyone! After in-depth research and analysis of the recent market conditions, I believe that the current market has entered the stage of accelerating to the top. From a technical point of view, such as the MACD top divergence sign, the KDJ indicator oversold, etc., all signs show that the market's upward momentum is gradually weakening, while the price is rising rapidly, which is often a typical feature of the peak stage. The focus needs to be on the 3225-3235 area. This range has important resistance significance and has dense locked-in disks. On the other hand, through technical analysis tools such as the Fibonacci sequence, this range is also an important pressure range. For investors with short trading rights, this is a rare opportunity to go high and short. When the price reaches the 3225-3235 area, it is a relatively ideal time to enter the short market. The one-hour moving average golden cross is formed, but after the upper rail of the Bollinger band is broken, the technical overbought risk increases, and the support near 3150 is effective. 80 points are also possible, so don't look at the current trend with a conventional perspective.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM ROUTE MAP ANALYSISMonthly Time Frame Analysis for GOLD Dear Traders, Attached is the Monthly Chart Route Map for GOLD. Since October 2023, we have consistently analyzed and traded GOLD with 100% target accuracy. The Golden Circle areas marked on the chart highlight our precise analysis and successful target achievements. Key Highlights: * After successfully hitting TP1 and TP2, the candle has closed above TP2. * EMA5 has crossed and locked above the TP2 level at 2603, confirming upward momentum. * The EMA5 detachment process has been completed successfully. * As previously noted, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided robust support at 2535, facilitating the upward push. What’s Next for GOLD? Based on these confirmations, we anticipate hitting TP3 this month. However, we have identified two significant GOLDTURN levels at 2702 and 2603. In the short term, we may see some bearish movements, but the monthly chart reveals the bigger picture: a sustained long-term bullish trend. This kind of temporary reversal strengthens the bullish trend and offers an excellent opportunity to buy at dips near support levels, reducing risk. Recommendations: To understand the support structure in greater detail, refer to our smaller time frame analyses, which will help you identify optimal dip-buying opportunities while keeping the long-term gaps in mind. As always, we’ll keep you updated with daily insights. Don’t forget to check our analyses on weekly, daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H time frames. We appreciate your continued support! Please show your encouragement by liking, commenting, and sharing this post. The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAP UDPATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis – Quantum Trading Mastery Hello Everyone, Here’s the latest update on the GOLD weekly chart we’ve been diligently tracking and trading. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of the current range and key levels we’ve identified. Recap of Last Week’s Analysis: Last week, our predictions aligned perfectly with market movements: * A strong resistance level at 2790 caused a short-term reversal near 2735. * The FVG acted as dynamic support at 2735, sustaining the bullish momentum. * The EMA5 crossed and locked above the key level at 2735, solidifying upward movement. * As predicted, the resistance was broken, leading to a new all-time high of 2817. Our analysis delivered precise predictions, allowing you to trade confidently and minimize risks. What’s Next for GOLD This Week? Key Level: 2735 Bullish Targets: * TP1: 2877 * TP2: 3018 * TP3: 3160 Bearish Targets: * 2735 * 2680 * 2595 This week, we have identified two critical GOLDTURN levels at 2735 and 2595. While we anticipate GOLD reaching TP1 at 2877, there may be short-term reversals around these key levels and GOLDTURN zones. Recommendations: To better understand the support structure and identify optimal dip-buying opportunities, review our smaller time-frame analyses (daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H). These insights will help you navigate the market with precision, keeping long-term gaps in perspective. We’ll continue to provide daily updates and insights to keep you informed. Thank you for your continued support! Don’t forget to like, comment, and share this post to help others benefit as well. The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: February 2024 Hello Traders, Here’s a weekly chart analysis of the GOLD, offering a comprehensive view of recent market trends and future predictions. Our diligent tracking since October 2023 has consistently delivered 100% target accuracy, as evidenced by the marked Golden Circle areas on the charts. Let’s dive into the highlights and what lies ahead. Recap of Recent Successes Weekly Chart Highlights: Last week, the market flawlessly followed our predictions: * Key Level 2735 ✅ DONE * Entry Level 2735.88 ✅ DONE * EMA5: Crossed and locked above Entry ✅ 2735 DONE * Bullish Target TP1: 2877 ✅ DONE * The FVG zone around 2735 sustained bullish momentum, while resistance was broken, leading to a new all-time high of 2886. What’s Next for GOLD? Bullish or Bearish? We anticipate continued bullish momentum with updated GOLDTURN levels and refined targets. Key Level: 2735 remains critical. EMA5 Behavior: * If EMA5 holds above 2735 and crosses/locks above TP1 (2877), the next target is TP2 (3018), followed by TP3 (3160). * A failure to hold above 2735 could indicate bearish momentum, prices will be retesting support at 2595 in the demand zone. Recommendations & Strategy: * Focus on EMA5: Its behavior near 2735 and TP1 will provide clear direction for short- and long-term trades. * Support Levels: GOLDTURN levels at 2735 and 2595 are critical for identifying reversal zones and optimal dip-buying opportunities. * For precise entry and exit points, review our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses to navigate the market confidently. * Slight pullbacks may occur, with potential reversals near GOLDTURN levels. * Long-Term Outlook: The monthly chart suggests sustained bullish momentum, offering excellent opportunities for dip-buying near key support zones. Stay Updated: We’ll continue to share daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView channel and YouTube channel every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit! The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 17th February 2025 Hello Traders, Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next. Recap of Last Week’s Successes Weekly Chart Highlights: * EMA5 crossed and settled above Entry ✅ 2735 reached * Bullish Target TP1: 2877 ✅ Achieved * GoldTurn Levels at 2875 activated twice ✅ Reached What’s Next for GOLD? Bullish or Bearish? After hitting ENTRY LEVELS at 2735 and TP1 2877, we saw a small close above 2877 last week, leaving 3018 open as a potential target. We mentioned that an EMA5 lock would confirm this movement. While EMA5 hasn’t locked yet, the close from last week provided a solid push upward, gaining over 500 pips. The long-term gap remains open, with more movement likely after last week’s candle body close. Key Level: 2735 remains a critical zone. GoldTurn Levels at 2875 and 2735 are active, and the price may revisit these levels before bouncing back to reach TP1 and beyond. Recommendations & Strategy: * Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades. * Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities. * FVG Support: A range between 2835 and 2850 is also supportive. For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance. We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit! The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 24th February 2025 Hello Traders, Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next. Gold reached an all-time high of $2,954.80 last week. As previously noted, close attention to the movement of the 5-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA5) was advised. The anticipated Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided strong support at $2,850, with the EMA5 approaching the first take-profit (TP1) level at $2,877, leading to a bullish surge that touched the all-time high. However, the EMA5 has yet to cross and stabilize above $2,877. This situation persists, with the EMA5 still not locked above $2,877, which is necessary for further bullish confirmation. If the EMA5 fails to cross and hold above this level, the price may reverse to test the GoldTurn level at $2,875 before potentially bouncing back upward. The key level at $2,735 remains a critical zone. Active GoldTurn levels at $2,875 and $2,735 suggest that the price may revisit these areas before advancing to TP1 and beyond. Recommendations & Strategy: * Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades. * Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities. * EMA5 detachment is still due on weekly chart. For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance. We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit! The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Accurately capture the gold pullback, shorting is the right timeDuring this period, spot gold has been like a rocket, advancing all the way and firmly in the upward channel. I have repeatedly reminded everyone before that once the US tariff stick is swung, the gold price will definitely rush up like a chicken blood. No, the facts prove that our prediction is quite reliable! Tonight, the market ushered in another "big news" - the release of CPI data. As soon as this data came out, it directly gave the gold price a "heart shot", and the gold price was instantly pushed to around US$3160. This rise is too crazy! Interpret this data as soon as possible and pay close attention to the reaction of the gold market. However, when the gold price rose to the previous high of US$3158-3168, it was like hitting a wall and began to "struggle". From my technical analysis point of view, there is a relatively strong resistance level in this range. It's like a person climbing a mountain, climbing to a certain height, and encountering a steep cliff. If you want to continue to go up, you have to work hard. At present, the gold price is under pressure at this position, and there are some signs of a correction. This provides us investors with a small opportunity to consider trying a short position here and earn some spread profits. I also suggest that investors can properly seize this short-term opportunity. For example, the current gold market is like a fierce football game. The long team is strong and has been attacking all the way, and is in a dominant position. The short team can only seize the opportunity occasionally and make a quick counterattack. We investors are like coaches, and we must arrange tactics reasonably according to the situation on the field. When the long side is dominant, we can use short selling to increase our profits in a timely manner. I hope everyone can accurately grasp the market rhythm like an excellent coach.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold: Sell@3188-3200Gold has continued its strong rally, hitting a new all-time high, with bullish sentiment running extremely hot. However, we must approach this rationally — every new high is usually followed by a technical pullback. Currently, the 3200 level is a significant psychological resistance, as well as a key threshold for short-term bullish momentum. From a technical perspective, the sharp recent rally has shown signs of momentum exhaustion, with clear overbought signals emerging. 📌 Strategy Suggestion: Consider building short positions around the 3188–3200 zone If 3137 is broken, further downside could extend to 3112–3090 ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: The larger the rally, the stronger the pullback potential Avoid chasing long positions at these levels to prevent getting trapped at the top Keep position sizes under control and set stop-losses to guard against sudden volatility Wishing everyone smooth trades and solid profits!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
Gold Technical Outlook: Bounce Likely Before Deeper Drophello guys. The recent price action on gold suggests a potential short-term upward move, followed by a possible continuation to lower levels based on key technical factors: 🔹 1. Channel Support Touched – Expecting a Bounce Price has touched the bottom boundary of the ascending channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout this trend. This technical level often brings in buyers, suggesting we may see a relief rally or bounce from this area. 🔹 2. Targeting Upper Blue Zones If this upward correction materializes, price could reach: The first blue resistance area around 3,090 – 3,100. Possibly the second zone near 3,120, which aligns with previous structure and minor volume resistance. These zones offer ideal points for watching price reaction—either rejection for shorts or breakout confirmation. 🔹 3. Potential for Further Downside If the price gets rejected from one of those resistance areas, we could see a move down to: The low-volume zone below 3,000, specifically the support at 2,965. The lack of volume profile in this area (as shown on the left) suggests that once price enters this zone, it can drop quickly due to thin liquidity. 📌 Conclusion Short-term bullish: bounce from channel support targeting 3,090–3,120. Mid-term bearish bias: If rejection occurs in resistance zones, anticipate a drop to 2,965 or even lower. Watch for confirmations on lower timeframes to refine entry and exit points.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
21
Clean Breakout – Buy Setup in Action: 🚀 Trade Setup Alert – BUY Signal Activated 🚀 I've analyzed the chart and identified a strong Buy Signal based on technical indicators and support levels. Here's the detailed breakdown of the trade: 📌 Entry Point: 3118 (Confirmed breakout entry) 📉 Support Levels: Support 1: 3070 (Major support zone) Support 2: 3100 (Intermediate support) 🎯 Target 1: 3160 🎯 Target 2: 3180 📊 Technical structure looks solid, with price respecting key support levels and showing bullish momentum. As long as 3070 holds, this setup has high potential for upside movement. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and let the levels play out. 💪📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by sofmynsth800
Gold/XAUUSD Intraday Move 10.04.2025📊 Market Context After a sharp selloff from the $3,160 region to sub-$2,980 levels, the market is now in recovery/consolidation mode. Market currently hovers around $3120 after bouncing from below $2,980, indicating buyer interest. 📏 Fibonacci + Support Confluence Zones ✅ Buy Zone 1 – $3095–3100 Reason: Retest of strong horizontal support. Signal to Enter Long: Bullish engulfing / hammer on M5/M15 + RSI divergence. Target: $3,110 (first), $3,120+ (extended). ✅ Buy Zone 2 – 3070-3075 Reason: Previous bottom, possible double bottom scenario forming. Signal to Enter Long: Strong rejection wick / double bottom + volume surge. Target: $3085 first, then trail till $3,100. 🔁 Retest Logic Wait for price to retest any of these zones on low volume → watch for bullish candle close. Ideal scalping trade: Enter on confirmation, small SL, tight TP. ⚠️ Important Notes Avoid entering mid-range trades without pullback confirmation. Aggressive buys can be scalped on momentum only if volume supports. Always monitor for news or sudden volume spikes which can invalidate pullback zones. Please follow, like, comment and share to get more analysis daily.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
Will gold fall after a strong rise Goldmarket analysis referenceAnalysis of gold market trend: Today's gold is still fluctuating greatly under the influence of tariffs. Today, we have analyzed that gold has the risk of callback, and long positions are also falling back to lows! Trend realization analysis and ideas! From the surge on Wednesday, it can be seen that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has heated up again. The current highest is 3132, which is the first target point for the rise. If it continues to rise, it can see 3150 above, so there is still a lot of room above. Everyone should pay attention to trading with the trend as much as possible. In addition, there is another uncertain factor today. The US market will release CPI data, which will also bring abnormal fluctuations in gold. Therefore, the market will also fluctuate greatly today. Everyone should pay attention to controlling risks and managing positions well. From a technical point of view, a positive line on the daily line directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the previous period. Now the positive line breaks the middle track of Bollinger and pulls up the moving average. Then, gold has entered an extremely strong state of bullish trend. In this state, it will continue to rise to the previous high of 3150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish. It is normal for the small cycle to adjust under the pressure of 3100. Now the Bollinger of the 4-hour cycle has just opened, and the unilateral trend has just taken the first wave of strength. There is no problem in the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. Therefore, as long as the 4-hour cycle falls back to the support of the unilateral moving average, it is an opportunity to do more. The support below is around 3070, and the rise of the hourly cycle is around 3060. Therefore, today's gold bullishness is expected to consider 3080 or 3070. The rise in the Asian and European sessions is still at 3130. If the US session breaks through 3136, consider seeing the high point of 3150. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3136-3155 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3080-3078 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. You must control your positions and stop losses, set stop losses strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3133-3136, with a target of 3100-3090, and a break to look at the 3080 line. Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long near the 3078-3080 pullback of gold, with a target of 3105-3125, and a break to look at the 3135 line.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold: Buy setup brewing around 3045 – wait for confirmation!Hey traders! 👋 I’m eyeing a potential long opportunity on Gold in the 3030–3045 zone, but only with proper confirmation. The shiny metal has broken and closed above Monday’s high with strong momentum, signaling short-term strength. However, considering the overall short-term bearish bias, I anticipate a pullback toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. 💡 Here's the plan: 🔸 Wait for price to dip into 3030–3045 🔸 Watch for bullish rejection candles or confirmation patterns 🔸 If confirmed, go long with targets at 3088 and 3123 🎯 This could be a great opportunity to catch the next leg up while still respecting short-term corrections. If this setup adds value to your analysis, I’d truly appreciate your boost. Thanks for the continued support and happy trading! 💛📈
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AmaWina