GS raises gold target to $4,000, UBS to $3,500 Goldman Sachs and UBS have issued another round of bullish forecasts for gold, citing ongoing market uncertainty (i.e., tariffs).
Goldman analysts now expect gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, with a potential rise to $4,000 by mid-2026. UBS holds a slightly more conservative view, projecting $3,500 by December 2025.
Technically, gold has pulled back from new all-time highs seen during the Asian session but potentially remains in a strong uptrend. With prices trading well above both the 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA, shallow retracements may find support, especially as tariff-related risks persist for at least the next 90 days.
Goldlong
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
Last week, China imposed a 125% tariff on US goods in retaliation for the US's 145% tariff, but then hinted that it would not respond to any further escalation of tariffs. Last weekend, President Donald Trump proposed the idea of levying a separate 20% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and electronics, suggesting that his strategy may shift from comprehensive tariffs to more targeted trade measures.
📊Commentary and analysis
Although there was a technical correction in the 1-hour gold trend, gold once retreated below 3197 to around 3195, but soon it was supported by bargain hunting again, suggesting that the underlying logic of this century's market is rock solid. When Fed officials are about to speak intensively, March PPI data hides inflation mystery, and geopolitical black swans continue to hover, every pullback of gold is accumulating power for the next round of charge. Historical experience shows that when there is a century-long divergence between physical assets and financial assets, it often indicates a large transfer of wealth at the civilization level.
Therefore, the gold price and the buying volume are maintained, and the upward trend continues: 3250, 3260
💰 Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time: Continue to go long near 3220
Take profit near 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Probable BUY 13/04/2025🧠 Technical Analysis – XAUUSD
📊 Chart Overview:
The market is currently consolidating near 3237, within a range-bound structure.
Two major zones are marked for potential entries:
Zone 1 (Near-Term Buy): 3217–3221 (support zone)
Zone 2 (Sniper Buy): 3173–3177 (gape/demand/strong support zone)
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation from 3217/21:
If price pulls back to 3217–3221 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, rejection wick), a buy setup can be triggered targeting:
TP1: 3237 (intraday resistance)
TP2: 3245 (supply/previous high)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3210 for safe protection.
📉 Scenario 2 – Deep Rejection & Buy from 3173/77:
In case of a deeper retracement, price may wick down to 3173–3177, which is a high-probability sniper buy zone due to:
Previous strong bullish reaction from this level
Clean structure for liquidity grab
Entry here gives excellent risk-reward targeting the same levels:
TP1: 3219
TP2: 3245
SL: Below 3156 (wide but optimal for structure).
Like, follow, and share.
XAUUSD 3400 0n MarkThrough my weekly Episode multitime frame analysis , you will get deep insights .
Market in on rising channel since last year,our eyes will be at 3380 milestone on this weekly candle. First of all market is critical channel if any h4,D1 close below 3180 well see 3030 and 2950 in extension.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3261 and a gap below at 3230. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3261
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3292
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3352
BEARISH TARGETS
3230
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3021 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3179
3167
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3167 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3120
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3069 - 3038
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
gold (update)Hello friends
Due to the price growth, we have given you the analysis that the price will fall and the same thing happened. Now, due to the sharp decline, the price has entered the channel and the 3 specified areas are important support areas for us, where we can buy with risk and capital management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3045 and 3078 due to ema5 lagging behind and a gap below at 3016. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3241
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3270 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3329
BEARISH TARGETS
3205
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3205 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3178
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3178 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3137
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3137 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3108
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3108 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3077 - 3046
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GoldXau usd daily analysis
Time frame daily
Risk rewards ratio =3
Target 3.190$
Price fell down to uptrend cross as you can see on the chart and now after we heard good news about Europe and USA economic relations and Middle East war( Iran and USA are on the sides of deal table) gold will reach to my target
XAU/USD) Bullish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on a 2-hour timeframe, with a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown
1. Trend & Structure:
Uptrend Channel: Price is moving within a clear upward channel, respecting the trendline.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: Indicates strong bullish momentum.
2. Key Zones:
Key Support Level (Yellow Box): Around $3,158.49 – this is the "safe entry point" if price pulls back.
First Entry Point: Around $3,222.76 – likely a breakout entry above a local resistance.
Target Point: $3,378.01 – a projected bullish target based on continuation.
3. Indicators:
RSI (14): Currently above 70 (overbought zone), but still climbing. There's bullish strength, but a pullback may occur soon.
200 EMA: Positioned below current price, confirming the bullish bias.
Mr SMC Trading point
4. Expected Scenarios (2 Paths):
Bullish Continuation: Price keeps rising, respecting the uptrend and hitting the target.
Pullback and Bounce: Price may retrace to the support zone or trendline, then bounce back up to target.
Summary of Idea:
This is a buy setup:
Buy at breakout above $3,222.76 (First Entry)
Safer buy at $3,158.49 (Support Re-test)
Target: $3,378.01
Watch RSI for pullback clues.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Analysis of gold market price structure and trends.Layout ideas。On Thursday, the US dollar index broke down sharply, successfully stimulating the market's risk-averse funds to return to the gold market again, and the gold price rose again. Let's briefly sort it out!
First: The tariff issue of the trade war caused the global market to plummet, and gold fell accordingly. The main reason was that it was necessary to sell gold, recover funds, and fill the capital margin in the stock market, foreign exchange market, and bond market; therefore, gold also plummeted downward in the past few days;
Second: The U.S. dollar index plummeted and broke through, driving market funds back into the gold market, and the gold price hit a record high again;
In yesterday's analysis of spot, you can look back at yesterday's analysis of the daily K indicator. There are two situations, restart Golden cross means breaking the top and reaching a new high. You can look back at yesterday's analysis. This is also a common indicator trend.
Spot gold opened yesterday from 3081 and quickly fell to 3071 before rebounding to around 3100. After that, the price fell back to 3078-80 and rose to around 3132. The price fell back to 3103 from around 3132 and then rebounded to around 3136 and bottomed out around 3113-16 and rose to 3175. The price fell from 3175 to around 3152-54 and then rose again to around 3176 and closed. The opening price fluctuated and rose above 3200. From yesterday's trend: 3180 and 3100 are the bottom supports, but the area around 3100 has fallen back and repaired yesterday, so 3132-36 and 3116 are the current support points. Yesterday, it also directly rose and broke through 3134-36 and then rose without stepping back. At the same time, the price rose to 3174-76 and then retreated to 3152-54, so the current support point is around 3176. The opening price directly rose from this position. Currently, 3190 is the nearest support. Comprehensive important support: ①3176 ②3134 ?③3100 ? The small support distribution in the middle is 3190-3167-3154-3115
Spot gold market analysis:
Ⅰ: Spot gold daily MACD golden cross is initially established, and the dynamic indicator STO quickly repairs upward, which represents the bullish trend of prices. At present, there is no resistance point to judge because it is a historical high, so we can only try it based on small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, 3096-3088, and it is not necessary to consider it far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: Spot gold 4-hour current MACD high golden cross oscillates with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which represents high-level price fluctuations. Because the indicators are at relatively high levels, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we focus on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: Spot gold hourly MACD golden cross is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is running overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating and strong. The current focus is on the 3245 line. If it breaks through 3245 this hour, it will continue to look for highs. Otherwise, a small cycle peaking signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support 3185 line. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3245 line. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Currently, the 3440-50 area is temporarily set to see pressure adjustment
Go long if the key support is stabilized below, and pay attention to 3187-3170 -3153-you can go long
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 3167.60 on 04/03/2025, so more losses to support(s) 3000.00, 2955.00, 2879.11 and minimum to Major Support (2772.38) is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3167.60
3200.00
__________________________________________________________________
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
GOLD Analysis: Will buyers push toward 3,230?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both upper and lower boundaries. The recent price action suggests buyers are currently in control, indicating the potential for continued upside.
Given the strength of the current bullish momentum, there is a strong likelihood that price may break above the key resistance zone. If that happens, it could come back to retest the level as support before continuing higher. A successful retest would reinforce the bullish structure and open the door for a potential move toward the 3,230 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
However, if price fails to break above the resistance zone, it could signal weakening bullish momentum and open the door for a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Always confirm your setups and manage your risk accordingly.
Best of luck!
Potential outside week and bullish potential for AUCEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:AUC above the level of the potential outside week noted on 28th March (i.e.: above the level of $0.56).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 26th March (i.e.: below $0.515), should the trade activate.
Gold & Silver Soar: Trade War RallyAnatomy of a Rally: How US-China Trade Tensions Propelled Gold to Record Highs and Lifted Silver
Introduction
The global financial landscape is frequently reshaped by geopolitical events, and few have cast as long a shadow in recent memory as the trade tensions between the United States and China. During periods of heightened friction, characterized by escalating tariffs, retaliatory measures, and pervasive economic uncertainty, markets often witness significant shifts in asset allocation. One of the most prominent beneficiaries during such times is gold. This document explores the dynamics behind gold prices reaching record highs amidst a US-China trade war, examining the multifaceted reasons for its ascent and noting the concurrent, significant rise in silver prices, which often move in tandem with the yellow metal due to overlapping market drivers.
The US-China Trade War: A Catalyst for Uncertainty
The trade conflict between the world's two largest economies represents more than just a dispute over tariffs and trade balances. It embodies a fundamental clash over technology, intellectual property, global influence, and differing economic models. The imposition of tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of goods creates direct economic consequences:
1. Increased Costs: Businesses face higher import costs, which can be absorbed (reducing profits), passed onto consumers (potentially fueling inflation), or lead to shifts in supply chains (causing disruption and inefficiency).
2. Reduced Trade Flows: Tariffs act as barriers, potentially dampening global trade volumes and impacting export-oriented economies.
3. Economic Growth Concerns: The uncertainty surrounding future trade policies makes businesses hesitant to invest and expand, potentially leading to slower global economic growth or even recessionary fears.
4. Supply Chain Disruptions: Companies reliant on cross-border supply chains face significant operational challenges, needing to find alternative suppliers or routes, often at higher costs and lower efficiency.
5. Currency Volatility: Trade disputes can lead to fluctuations in exchange rates, particularly involving the US dollar and the Chinese yuan, adding another layer of risk for international businesses and investors.
This pervasive uncertainty becomes a powerful driver pushing investors towards assets perceived as safe.
Gold: The Quintessential Safe Haven
Gold's reputation as a safe-haven asset is deeply ingrained in financial history. During times of economic stress, political instability, or market turmoil, investors flock to gold for several key reasons, all amplified by a US-China trade war:
1. Store of Value: Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold is seen as retaining its intrinsic value over the long term. Fears that trade wars could lead to competitive currency devaluations or necessitate inflationary monetary policies (like extensive quantitative easing) make gold particularly attractive.
2. Hedging Against Uncertainty: When the outlook for traditional assets like stocks and bonds becomes cloudy due to geopolitical risks like a trade war, gold offers a perceived refuge. Its price often exhibits a low or negative correlation to equity markets during downturns, making it valuable for portfolio diversification.
3. Geopolitical Risk Premium: Major international conflicts or tensions invariably add a risk premium to gold prices. A trade war between global superpowers significantly elevates perceived geopolitical risk, prompting safe-haven buying.
4. Weakening US Dollar Potential: While the US dollar itself can act as a safe haven, a protracted trade war could raise questions about the US economic outlook or lead to policies aimed at weakening the dollar to boost exports. Since gold is typically priced in US dollars globally, a weaker dollar generally makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, potentially increasing demand and pushing the dollar price higher.
5. Central Bank Demand: In an environment of heightened geopolitical tension and questions surrounding the dominance of the US dollar, central banks (particularly those in emerging markets or nations seeking to reduce reliance on the USD) often increase their gold reserves. This diversification strategy provides a steady source of demand, underpinning prices. A US-China trade conflict could accelerate this trend among various nations.
6.
The Mechanics of the Price Surge
The record high in gold prices isn't just a passive reaction; it's driven by active market dynamics:
• Increased Investor Demand: Retail and institutional investors increase allocations to gold through physical bullion, gold futures contracts, and gold-backed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Large inflows into major gold ETFs are often a visible indicator of this heightened demand.
• Speculative Activity: Traders in the futures market anticipate further price increases driven by the ongoing trade tensions and safe-haven flows, adding upward momentum.
• Sentiment: Market psychology plays a crucial role. As prices rise and news headlines focus on the trade war and gold's rally, a positive feedback loop can emerge, drawing in more buyers afraid of missing out (FOMO).
Silver's Ascent: Riding Gold's Coattails and Its Own Merits
Silver prices registering a steep rise alongside gold during such a period is a common phenomenon, though its drivers are slightly more complex:
1. Monetary Asset Correlation: Silver, like gold, has a long history as a monetary metal and store of value. It often trades as "poor man's gold," attracting investors seeking safe-haven exposure at a lower price point per ounce. During strong gold rallies driven by macroeconomic fear, silver typically follows suit.
2. Industrial Demand Component: Unlike gold, silver has significant industrial applications (electronics, solar panels, medical devices). This is a double-edged sword during a trade war. While safe-haven demand pulls prices up, fears of a trade-war-induced global economic slowdown could theoretically dampen industrial demand, potentially capping silver's gains relative to gold. However, in scenarios where safe-haven buying dominates market sentiment, this factor often takes a backseat initially.
3. Higher Volatility: Silver markets are smaller and typically more volatile than gold markets. This means that significant inflows driven by safe-haven sentiment can lead to sharper percentage gains (and potentially sharper losses during corrections) compared to gold. The "steep rise" noted is characteristic of silver's higher beta.
4. Gold-Silver Ratio: Traders often watch the gold-silver ratio (the number of silver ounces needed to buy one ounce of gold). When this ratio reaches historical extremes, some investors may buy silver, betting that it is undervalued relative to gold and that the ratio will revert closer to its historical mean. A major gold rally can stretch this ratio, triggering such trades and boosting silver demand.
Global Trends and Context
While the US-China trade war serves as a potent catalyst, it often occurs within a broader context of global trends that can support precious metal prices. These might include accommodative monetary policies from major central banks (low interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold), existing geopolitical hotspots beyond the US-China relationship, concerns about sovereign debt levels, or nascent inflationary pressures. The trade war acts as an accelerant, amplifying the impact of these underlying factors on gold and silver.
Conclusion
The surge of gold prices to record highs during a period marked by an intense US-China trade war is a textbook example of the metal fulfilling its traditional role as a premier safe-haven asset. The conflict breeds deep economic uncertainty, stokes fears of currency devaluation, heightens geopolitical risk perception, and potentially influences central bank reserve policies – all factors that historically drive capital towards gold. The simultaneous sharp rise in silver prices underscores its strong correlation with gold as a monetary asset, benefiting from the same wave of risk aversion, albeit with the added complexity of its industrial demand profile. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors navigating volatile periods, highlighting gold's enduring appeal as a portfolio diversifier and a refuge when storm clouds gather over the global economy, particularly when sparked by friction between major world powers.
Gold Xau (tf1M) Last Phase AccumulationGold Xau Last Phase Accumulation incoming 👇
"Way from 1500 to 4100" (+175%)
OANDA:XAUUSD
⏰ TimeFrame 1 Month
👉 Go to last phase accumulation
👉 White Trace
👉 Green Trace
👉 EMA 200 1M (White)
👉 Fib Measure as pattern "ExPanding Triangle" ( blue stick )
👉 Potential +175%
✔️Logarithmic (Log) Chart & Fib
Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases.
Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
Gold-----Buy near 3190, target 3200-3260Gold market analysis:
Gold has been rising strongly in the past two days. The daily line closed with a big positive line again. The bulls stood above 3200. The current highest is around 3219. The form and indicators are basically useless in such a market. What we need is a firm bullishness. In the past two days, there is a characteristic that it has risen and never looked back. It is basically a 40-point rise. In such a market, we either wait or buy directly without thinking. Today's Asian session gold hovered above 3200, and it can also be bought directly above 3200. Gold has created the largest increase and highest position in history. This wave of gold fluctuations is no longer a simple fundamental, but caused by the current international situation. The big rise is not the top. We continue to follow gold to buy. If there is no big accident today, the weekly gold line will close with a super big positive line again.
The daily support has reached around 3167. This position is the previous top and the current support. Today's gold continues to buy based on this position. Given the current strength, it is basically impossible not to fall back. Pay attention to the opportunity of a small fall back and buy directly. Today, I estimate that the Asian and European sessions will rise, and the US tail market will fall back.
Support 3200, 3180, suppression is really invisible, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3190.
Fundamental analysis:
The CPI announced yesterday did not have a big impact on the market, but the data difference was still relatively large, the result was -0.1%, and the bulls only rose slightly. The bottoming out and rebound of the US stock market was mainly due to Trump's withdrawal of some tariff policies.
Operational suggestions
Gold-----Buy near 3190, target 3200-3260
GOLD (XAU/USD) Hits ATH – Discover the Market EdgeHi Guys,
I’ve been testing my edge for the past 5 months, and it’s been crazy what I’ve discovered so far. It might sound a little wild, but there’s a way to compare another market that leads 3–5 days ahead and gives clear trend signals for Gold Futures — which moves in tandem with XAU/USD, with only a few dollars' difference.
You can see a pullback here, but sometimes it shoots straight to an all-time high. Taking current geopolitics into consideration, the markets are extremely volatile. Before Trump started the trade wars, I opened an account with 1:500 leverage (starting capital $150, grew to $500) and made significant profits just by catching the moves and trends I was able to predict.
From a math standpoint, if it were just coincidence, I would’ve been liquidated a long time ago. I’ve been through everything — this isn’t luck. I remember one day, I was watching Bloomberg live and the news anchor said, “I can’t believe gold is dropping,” — but I had predicted that move days earlier, haha! That was triple confirmation that I have an edge and that algorithms are actually following it.
There were also days when I expected a small pullback the next day, but it happened during the NY session because of some news — and it couldn’t push lower. Sellers in the TradingView chat was going crazy. The next day, during the London session, it started reaching the ATH (as I predicted). The pressure was intense, but the algorithm didn’t allow it to go lower than the previous low — and that structure came from my leading market edge!
In this case, the pullback might not happen — and if it doesn’t, we’ll break the current ATH and easily go long after that. As I mentioned, in these volatile markets, with tariffs going back and forth, the buying pressure and constant news are so intense that the market sometimes doesn’t even have time to make a pullback! If you have good capital and trade with low leverage, you can easily go long now and keep adding to your position with every pullback until we hit the new ATH!
Now, gold is going to reach a new ATH again — that’s 110%. I believe we’ll easily hit $3200+, followed by a pullback to around $3100.
Next gold move:
ATH: $3200 – $3350
Pullback: ~$3100
Re-test of ATH area — consolidation in that zone until the next major news event.