Target Achieved: Our XAUUSD Forecast Was Spot On!The market has hit the target just as we predicted! 🚀 Our analysis of the strong 4H trendline and bullish momentum proved accurate, with the price continuing to push upward as anticipated. This is a testament to the power of technical analysis and staying disciplined with the trend. 📈
Stay tuned for more insights and forecasts! 💡
Goldlong
GOLD (XAUUSD) ANALYSISFrom the updated chart, here's a refined **analysis and target projection**:
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### **Analysis**:
1. **Current Price**:
- Gold is trading around **2645.59**, showing a bullish attempt to break above recent resistance levels.
2. **Demand Zone**:
- A possible higher low (HL) formation is near the **2620–2630 zone**, indicating strong buyer interest. If this level holds, the price may continue its upward movement.
3. **Resistance Areas**:
- The next immediate resistance zone lies between **2650–2660**, where a minor supply zone exists.
- If this zone breaks, the price may target the next significant supply level around **2680–2700**, as suggested by the higher green zone.
4. **Bullish Continuation**:
- The drawn purple arrow indicates a potential retracement into the support zone, likely around **2635–2640**, before continuing the bullish trend.
- The market structure remains bullish, with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
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### **Targets**:
1. **First Target (Short-Term)**: **2650–2660**
- A logical level for partial profit-taking or initial resistance.
2. **Second Target (Mid-Term)**: **2680–2700**
- A higher supply zone, with the potential to act as a significant resistance level.
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### **Invalidation**:
- A break below **2620** would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to further downside toward **2600 or lower**.
SWING AND GROW RICHlooking for a great start for the new year, gold holds some great potential to make your dreams come true. looking for a bullish swing on gold. the weekly trend is bullish and the daily has made it's pull back to the 200 moving average, the 4h has gone bullish from the 2nd of january and it made a pull back on friday and today, looking for a pin bar in line with the trend on the 4h, the 1h has made a bullish enguling parttern. so looking to close out at a new all time high. trade with proper risk management. enjoy the year.
World market forecast positive due to high demand for goldThe world gold price jumped by another $7 to $2,647 an ounce. According to market analyst Fawad Razaqzada of City Index, gold still faces many challenges in the short term, such as the strength of the greenback, rising bond yields, and weak demand from the Asian market. However, despite those challenges, the gold price target of $3,000 an ounce is still feasible. Any correction or consolidation in early 2025 could set the stage for another rally in the second half of the year.
Ms. Nicky Shiels, Head of Metals Research and Strategy at MKS PAMP, expects gold prices to trade in a fairly wide range of $2,500 to $3,200 an ounce, with the precious metal largely dependent on the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate changes related to inflation.
For now, investors still believe that a stronger US dollar and tighter monetary policy could create some headwinds for gold. However, gold remains an important asset in investors' portfolios this year. The trend of de-dollarization by central banks, complex and unpredictable geopolitics, global debt and investor demand... will ensure that gold is a safe asset diversification tool.
Xau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframeXau/usd higher timeframe to lower timeframe
- This idea is based on educational purposes
Detailed analysis for higher time frame to lower time frame
Market currently at 2639.72 and in higher time frame 2621 is a rejected point more then 6 times
so when we move to lowest time frame things are more clearly and we see that market is moving in uptrend so we have to move and trade within trend
if market move and touched 2642 to 2645.00 area we will entered in buy trade and our first target would be 2650.00 then 2660 onwards
if market break the region which are selected and move downward we will take our first take profit at 2621.00 again it was crucial point but if it went again this point we will see the next move at 2605.00
Like and Comments on our Analysis
Waiting for a stronger recovery 2686✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 01/06/2025 - 01/10/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) declined on Friday, dropping around two-thirds of a percent to slip below $2,650 per ounce as market sentiment improved following the risk-off mood earlier in the week. The first week of the 2025 trading season has been volatile, but investors continue to seek clarity on market trends as the new year begins.
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, speaking to a bankers association in Maryland, noted that the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by one percentage point in 2024, bringing the federal funds rate to 4.25%-4.5%. He highlighted that unemployment remains historically low, and inflation is gradually approaching the Fed's 2% target.
Barkin also addressed concerns about incoming President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs, which could initiate trade conflicts with key US allies and partners. He reassured markets, suggesting that the impact of tariffs on consumer prices is complex and depends on factors like supply chains and consumer price sensitivity. Barkin downplayed fears of significant economic disruption from potential 10%-20% tariffs on all imports, emphasizing that their effects are not straightforward.
🔥 Identify:
wait for stronger recovery in early 2025 or price may continue sideway in 2 H4 price bands
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2653, $2686, $2722
Support : $2609, $2585
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD- Levels for Monday 6th- Friday 11th JanuaryHope this benefits you guys. This is not typical S&R or S&D. These levels are based on volume profile and really powerful. NOTE, don't treat these levels as buy and sell points. You will still need to have context behind your trade and use these levels as a reference point. one of the strategy I use is, volume profile along with cumulative delta and footprint. Look for shift in value, delta divergence etc. and when price reaches one of those levels, use footprint for entry. Bottom line is, you have to have context behind your trade. Without context, you are hunting in the dark. Have fun and enjoy
Fiat Hunger Games: May the Worst Currency Win! Picture this: Fiat currencies are in a brutal marathon... but instead of crossing the finish line, they're tumbling headfirst into a pit of gold. 💸💥
Gold vs. USD, CAD, AUD, NZD, ZAR, INR —and the results are in: everyone’s losing. Some faster than others. Spoiler alert: AUD and NZD are nose-diving like they’re auditioning for the next Fast & Furious movie. Meanwhile, the USD is barely holding its head above water. 🟢
But here’s the kicker: while your dollars, rupees, and loonies are playing "How Low Can You Go," guess who’s quietly laughing all the way to the vault? Russia and China. 🤫
With 1,684 and 1,811 tons of gold stockpiled, they’re not just buying bars—they’re buying insurance against a crumbling fiat system. 🏦✨
And let’s be real—if the world’s biggest players are hoarding gold like it’s a Black Friday deal... what does that say about your hard-earned cash?
Time to ask yourself: Are you in the right race? Or are you sprinting alongside fiat currencies into the abyss?
Gold doesn’t race to the bottom. It’s the finish line. 🏁 #GoldStandard #FiatCollapse
Gold Roadmap==>Short-term!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and near 50_SMA(Daily) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that Gold has finished the main wave 3 , and we should wait for the main wave 4 and correction .
I expect Gold to rise again after touching the Uptrend lines or after approaching the Support zone($2,639-$2,631) .
⚠️Note: First, Short position, then Long position.
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,639-$2,631), we should expect Gold to fall further.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU/USD Gold Long Trade before 20-Jan-2025The market is showing a bullish move according to technical analysis, before 20-jan-2025, the market can either take support from the 200 EMA and go bullish or retest the zone of 2630 and give a bullish move. This analysis is only for learning purposes. Please do your risk calculation before taking any trade.
1.3 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsIn the early European session on Friday (January 3), the US dollar index maintained a mild decline during the day and is currently around 109.10; spot gold is around $2,655/oz.
After confirming a breakthrough of $2,640.00/oz, the gold price continued to rise. As shown in the figure, the gold price completed the construction of a double bottom pattern, which provided upward momentum for the gold price. The gold price is expected to test $2,700.00/oz, which is also our next target for the gold price.
Therefore, we expect the gold price to rise further in the next few trading days. It should be pointed out that if the gold price falls below $2,640.00/oz, this will stop the bullish trend and push the gold price to bearish.
It is expected that the gold price will trade between the support level of $2,650.00/oz and the resistance level of $2,685.00/oz today.
The expected trend for the gold price today is bullish
XAUUSD - what will happen before the Holiday season?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for before the Holiday season starts.
Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair.
We are still following the sell bias we have published.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2625 with lower volume than usual.
Scenario 1: SELLS from 2620
That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2620 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2604 or 2600 flat. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2638
We broke above 2638 and are trading above it. We should see more upside potentially reaching new highs at around 2666 which was also an important KL (Key Level) before.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. A safe sell trade could be taken at 2620 or a safe buy at the breaks of 2638. Be patient and stay tuned for updates on this pair. For now we are sticking to the sell bias from the long-term overview.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2620 would confirm sells down to 2604 - 2600.
- XAUUSD breaking above 2638 would confirm further buys up to 2666.
- Volume is lower as the business year is coming to an end and Holiday season is about to start.
Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you. Happy Holidays!
Happy trading!
FxPocket
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an UP trend channel and is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an Ascending channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance area, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
XAUUSD - Gold reached its previous day's target!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has exited its short-term bullish channel. The correction of the price of gold towards the demand zones will provide the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward.
In the early days of 2025, gold prices surged by over $40, regaining some of the losses from December and once again capturing investors’ attention. Although December’s decline in gold prices was not significant, it was disappointing for many investors—especially considering the positive news at the start of December 2024 that the Chinese central bank had resumed its gold purchases after a months-long pause.
Several key factors are currently shaping the outlook for the gold market. First, the release of China’s economic data on January 7 is expected to play a crucial role in influencing the market. Second, the weak start to 2025 for Chinese equities and domestic investors’ disappointment with the lack of tangible economic stimuli, particularly in the consumer sector, have acted as supportive factors for gold.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s interest rates and the strength of the US dollar remain important elements to watch. While US bond yields dipped slightly today, the dollar remains strong. For gold to replicate its impressive 2024 performance, a reversal in the dollar’s upward trajectory will be essential.
Gold had a very strong performance in 2024, but it now appears to be entering a phase of range-bound movement for a period. Historically, gold has exhibited back-and-forth fluctuations, and with US interest rates continuing to rise, this trend could work against it. Analysts estimate that the $2,500 level could serve as a price floor in the first quarter of 2025. Any price dips are likely to attract buying pressure, though a significant upward breakout is not expected. A key factor that could support gold would be a decline in the 10-year US Treasury yield.
For instance, if the 10-year yield drops below 4%, it could trigger a significant rise in gold prices. However, there is little interest in selling gold under current conditions.It is predicted that gold’s behavior in 2025 will resemble its performance in 2021, where buyers were present but no substantial upward movement occurred.
Should gold break above the $2,800 level, this could trigger major changes and push prices toward the $3,000 mark. It would not be surprising if this happens at some point during 2025. However, the first few months of the year are expected to favor range-bound price movements.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe Date: January 2, 2025Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe
Date: January 2, 2025
Technical Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown significant bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking above its previous resistance zone of 2645. This breakout indicates potential for further upside movement, with key targets outlined in the upcoming sessions.
Potential Scenarios:
Upside Target
The price is likely to aim for the range between 2685 and 2690 over the next 24–48 hours. This zone represents a significant resistance level, making it a critical area for observation.
Retest of Support Zone
Prior to a continuation of its bullish trend, the price may retest the 2655–2645 support zone. Such a retest could offer a low-risk entry for buyers, provided the zone holds strong and shows a rejection to the downside.
Key Strategy for Traders:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Before taking a position, switch to a lower timeframe (e.g., 15 minutes or 30 minutes) to assess the structure and ensure a clean entry. Look for signs of a change of character, such as strong bullish candles or a rejection wick, to confirm the upward move.
Low Drawdown Entry Points:
Identify entry points where potential drawdown is minimal. This approach reduces risk while maximizing reward potential. Waiting for the price to consolidate or retest support before entering can improve the likelihood of a successful trade.
Risk Management and Discipline:
Use proper risk-to-reward ratios to manage capital effectively.
Avoid impulsive trades and focus on clear signals. Making no money is better than losing money.
Final Thoughts:
The overall trend suggests high probabilities for an upward continuation. However, patience and confirmation are key. Conduct thorough analysis before taking any long position and always prioritize protecting your capital.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Use your own expertise and strategy to make trading decisions.
Is silver about to go BONKER!!??Good Day, Fellow traders and followers,
IS SILVER ABOUT TO TO GO BONKERS?!?!?!?
This chart is kind of busy, I don't normally make busy charts, but there is so much going on in this monthly chart. Lets dig in!!
First off, lets start with the price action, it has clearly broken through resistance (blue line). Also, the price action is in a purple cup, that's actually the handle of the GIANT 40 YEAR cup and handle it has been in. The green lines are the support and resistance areas. Also I have added what seems to be a pattern of 50 bars bottom consolidation that does also happen to resemble a Wyckoff a pattern before a break out.
Lets move on to the indicators
RSI - I have drawn in a support band for the silver RSI. IT really likes the 46, 50 to 55 level before a break out. Going below here is either very bearish or the best buy in bull market.
STOCHASTIC RSI - has had a massive cross recently on which chows momentum coming in to this market.
RSI 3 LINES - WOW!! This looks like a serious power play for silver, ever since the RED line crossed down through the GREEN, it found support on the blue and turned right back up in big way!! Also it look like the BLUE could follow suit very soon which would confirm bullish movement for this asset as all the colors would be aligned.
THE LAZY BEAR - This one is kind of a no brainer. Breaking out above and holding the 0 level usually leads to big moves higher!!
ASO (SENTIMENT) - It looks like there is a 50 bar pattern here and within it could be another 12 bar pattern right before a break out.
Please keep in mid every bar is monthly, so what might seem like a small pattern could be a year long.
I want to add, I do believe there is a fairly substantial move coming to silver. I'm not sure where it would be going to0, however I do know that the last true resistance is at aprox $35 usd Getting above that on a monthly level could or should lead to NEW ALLTIME HIGHS in short order well above $50 usd to possibly $70 to $80 before a correction. Any Correction at that point would be considered a buying opportunity !!
Please like and share this chart to all silver lovers!
Also, any questions or comments are welcome down below!!
Kind Regards,
WeAreSat0shi
1.2 Accurate technical analysis of gold short-termThe upper rail resistance of the four-hour flat pattern is 2638 and the double-line resistance is 2642. Break through and open slightly upward, and continue to rise to form an upward opening pattern
The lifeline and the lower rail of the double line are superimposed in the 2619-2617 area
The early trading accelerated the rise point in the 2625-2623 area. Take this as the dividing line, and look for the next resistance area of 2638-2642 upwards, followed by the 2648-2650 range
Keeping low is the key, breaking high is the focus, and taking advantage of the trend is the method
If it is delayed, there will be variables. If it can take advantage of the trend and break through 2648-2650 with the east wind, the bulls can have more control later
Refer to this idea, early The market is arranged around the low point 2621-2623 area as support to rush to 2632-2633. If the rise is realized as expected, the second step is still bullish. It is planned to use 2628-2626 as support to see a bullish trend. The price will only fall back to the 2632-2631 area.
So choose the 2632 area to enter the market with low longs. The original plan of 2628-2626 remains unchanged. Look up to find the 2638-2642 area, and then look at 2648-2650
The 2598 long orders at the beginning of the week are still held in small bands. The loss point is now moved up to 2610 (profit loss situation, if it falls back, it is also profitable), and pay attention to the gains and losses of 2648-2650
Gold Pattern FormationThis commodity has been forming a rising flag for the past few days (which IMO is a strong indicator of a bullish momentum.
I was waiting for the price to hit the bearish order block at 2629 with the SL at 2640 but my entry will be at 2620, SL at 2635 and targets at 2581 and 2535.
World gold price todayOver the past 10 years, January has typically been the best month for gold. However, Low said that is not necessarily true in the post-pandemic era when countries are still struggling. He pointed out that while recent data shows that Chinese gold demand has been strong over the past 12 months, some US factors could hold back gold prices this month. Investors are still looking at the hawkish factors at the US central bank’s final policy meeting of the year, he said. The revelation that the Fed will slow its pace of rate cuts this year has put the US dollar in a good position, which is not very positive for the precious metal.
Another issue Low noted was that the technical outlook for the yellow metal had deteriorated somewhat over the past week. He observed that prices had fallen below the 100-day moving average for the first time in more than a year. Although prices have rebounded in subsequent sessions on the back of buying from investors, he noted that this is also a negative sign for gold.