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GOLD - Potential Bullish Break & Retest SetupGold is currently trading above the $2,700 level, which previously acted as resistance and could now serve as support. If the price pulls back and buyers defend this level, it could confirm bullish momentum, leading to a continuation toward the next target at $2,712. However, failure to hold above the zone may invalidate this setup and signal potential bearish pressure. This scenario aligns with the broader ascending channel structure, suggesting the potential for further upside if key support holds.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
1
Gold (xauusd) indicating a bullish trend on the 2-hour timeframeBased on the provided chart: ### Key Observations: 1. **Trend**: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, indicating a bullish trend on the 2-hour timeframe. 2. **Structure**: - BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCh (Change of Character) annotations highlight the market respecting structure levels while maintaining its upward trajectory. - Recent formations suggest a continuation of the bullish trend after a corrective phase. 3. **Cup Formation**: A rounded bottom ("cup") pattern is visible, often interpreted as a bullish continuation signal. The breakout above the rim of the cup suggests potential further upside movement. 4. **Targets**: - Immediate resistance lies near the upper boundary of the channel (around 2,700–2,710). - A breakout above the channel may lead to more significant gains. ### Potential Trade Scenarios: 1. **Bullish Scenario**: - Enter on a confirmed breakout of the rounded bottom pattern. - First target: 2,700 (upper channel boundary). - Second target: 2,730 (extension beyond the channel). 2. **Bearish Scenario**: - If the price rejects the upper channel boundary or fails to maintain momentum, expect a pullback toward the midline of the channel, around 2,660–2,670. - In case of a breakdown, key support lies near 2,640–2,650. ### Additional Notes: - Monitor volume on any breakout or rejection for confirmation. - Keep an eye on key economic events or news that might influence gold prices, as these can affect momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Daily/Monthly Long Setup Trade Logic: - Setup: Long position initiated within a high-confluence zone supported by multiple technical and structural factors. - Confluence Factors: - Daily/Monthly Buy Signal: Higher timeframe signals indicate strong bullish momentum and continuation potential. - Trendline Support: Price has respected a long-term ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support. - Fair Value Gap (FVG): Entry aligns with a daily FVG in a discount zone, offering a high-probability long opportunity. - Kijun Support: Both daily and weekly Kijun lines provide additional support confluence. - Liquidity Zone: Recent sweep of liquidity below equal lows clears the path for a bullish reversal. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): - Stop-loss set below the trendline and daily FVG for tight risk management. - 1:3 RRR targeting the weak high at 2,910 , with secondary targets near 3,000 for extended profits. Macro Context: - Market Sentiment: Safe-haven demand for gold is rising amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty, aligning with bullish technical signals. - Dollar Weakness: Weakening USD supports upside momentum in XAUUSD. - Volume Profile: Strong buy-side volume near key support levels indicates institutional participation. Execution Plan: - Long entry near the confluence zone of the trendline, FVG, and Kijun support. - Maintain stop-loss below the daily FVG to manage risk effectively. - First target near 2,910 , with extended targets at 3,000 for partial or full profit-taking. - Reassess position if price closes below the trendline or invalidates the daily buy signal. Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic events such as interest rate announcements or geopolitical developments that could affect gold prices. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera
XAU/USD – Key Support and Upside Potential Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a strong bullish structure, with prices recently bouncing off a major support zone around $2,660. This area, reinforced by the 200 EMA, has acted as a strong foundation for the next potential rally. The chart highlights: 📌 Support Zone: Key demand area providing stability for a bullish continuation. 📈 Trend Channel: Prices moving within an ascending channel, signaling a steady uptrend. 🚀 Next Target: If momentum sustains, we could see a move toward the $2,720 level. Stay cautious of any retracements, but the technical suggest the bulls are in control for now. Keep an eye on these levels for your next move!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by The_fx_GreyTrader
XAUUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on XAUUSD The price broke out of a strong intraday resistance zone and a long-used Trendline but we have yet to retest the broken structure. The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken resistance and used as support before I look for a LONG trade. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Adefxc
Technical Analysis - Gold Spot (XAU/USD)Current Context The chart shows the formation of a symmetrical triangle, indicating a period of indecision in the market. This pattern is defined by: A downtrend line connecting points B and D (resistance). An upward support line connecting points A and C. Currently, the price is hovering near the resistance line (~$2681.51), close to point D. Possible Scenarios Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the resistance around point D (~$2688) with significant volume, this could lead to a bullish rally towards key levels: First target: $2721 (intermediate resistance zone). Second target: $2790 (measured move based on the triangle's height). Bearish Breakdown: If the price fails to break the resistance and reverses lower, it may test the support line near point E. Key levels to watch: First support zone: $2635 - $2617 (highlighted gray area). Major support: $2532, a critical long-term level. Impact of NFP Today's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report will likely introduce significant volatility to the market. Two key scenarios to consider: Better-than-expected data: Strengthening of the US Dollar, which could push gold prices lower. Weaker-than-expected data: Weakening of the US Dollar, potentially driving gold to break the resistance and move higher. NFP Economic Calendar Impact - Analysis for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) The economic calendar highlights key data releases that will impact the USD, and subsequently, gold prices. Below is an analysis of the listed events: Key Events at 2:30 PM (UTC+1): Average Hourly Earnings (m/m): Forecast: 0.3% Previous: 0.4% Impact: A lower-than-expected reading would suggest weaker wage inflation, which could weigh on the USD and push gold prices higher. Conversely, a higher reading would support the USD, pressuring gold. Non-Farm Employment Change (NFP): Forecast: 164K Previous: 227K Impact: This is the most significant release. A lower-than-expected number could signal a weakening labor market, leading to USD depreciation and gold rallying. A strong figure would have the opposite effect. Unemployment Rate: Forecast: 4.2% Previous: 4.2% Impact: A stable unemployment rate aligns with expectations. However, any surprise movement will amplify the NFP’s impact on the market. Later Events at 4:00 PM: Preliminary University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment: Forecast: 74.0 (unchanged from the previous reading). Impact: Limited unless there is a significant deviation. This sentiment gauge indirectly impacts gold via its influence on the USD. Preliminary UoM Inflation Expectations: Previous: 2.8% Impact: Inflationary pressures can support gold prices as a hedge. A higher number here might limit gold's downside. Trading Strategy Suggestions: Before 2:30 PM: Avoid taking significant positions as market volatility will likely increase around these releases. Post-NFP Release: If NFP and Average Hourly Earnings miss forecasts, gold may break above the $2688 resistance, targeting $2721 and $2790. If data is stronger than expected, watch for bearish momentum towards $2635 and $2617. disclaimer This is not financial advice
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Trwin
1.15 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsGold's 1-hour moving average has also begun to turn downward. If the gold's 1-hour moving average eventually forms a dead cross downward, then the space for gold's short position to fall will be further opened. Gold's US PPI data is bullish, but it is still under pressure and will fall directly to 2675. Gold's US rebound to 2675 will continue to be short. Gold is now under pressure at a high level, and the bulls still have no further momentum to rise. So the rebound will continue to be short, and gold shorts may exert force at any time. Short-term operation ideas: Gold 2672 short, stop loss 2682, target 2655-2650;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1.14 Gold price oversold correctionIn today's technical trend chart: 1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a bearish signal; the MACD indicator double lines stick together and are temporarily in a passive state; in terms of form, it is temporarily running in the 4-hour range; the 4-hour range is temporarily 2465-2695; in the range, the method of buying low and selling high can be adopted as the main method; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator changes from golden cross to stick together, temporarily inactive, and temporarily remains in the BOLL range in terms of form. Yesterday's big negative line may continue to adjust; the position of the middle axis is also the position of the strong and weak dividing point, which is near 2645; To sum up: today's short-term can be stuck in the resonance support near 2645, and the short-term is long; the upper pressure position is near 2680, and the short-term is stuck empty, and a small range of shocks is made to correct the trend;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
1.13 Gold Technical Analysis and InterpretationThe gold market has seen significant fluctuations recently. Against the backdrop of a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index, gold prices fell before the U.S. market opened on Monday (January 13). Spot gold fell from its December high, with gold prices blocked at the key Fibonacci retracement level of $2,693.40; as last week's gains encountered selling pressure, the market is paying attention to the key support level of $2,660 below, which could jeopardize gold's medium-term upward trend once it falls below the support. Technical analysis: 1. Key resistance and support levels Gold prices failed to break through the Fibonacci retracement resistance level of $2,693.40 after hitting it last week, showing the strong suppression of the position on the market. Currently, the next key support level for gold prices is at $2,660. If the price falls below the support, it may mark the end of the medium-term upward trend. Although the downward trend of gold has already emerged, if the above support level can be maintained, there is still hope for a rebound in the short term. 2. Analysis of short-term technical indicators In terms of technical indicators, gold is currently in the stage of retreating from the overbought area, showing signs of weakening upward momentum, indicating that short-selling forces are gradually taking the lead. However, although the RSI indicator has fallen from a high level, it has not yet fallen to the oversold area. This indicates that gold prices may still fluctuate around the current price before hitting key support. 3. Possible technical trends in the future If the gold price can hold the support area of ​​$2,660 and form a bottom pattern here, it is expected to challenge the resistance level of $2,693.40 again. Once this resistance is broken, the gold price may rise further and retest the psychological level of $2,700. However, if the support level is lost, the gold price may further fall to the next level of support near $2,640. At that time, the market will face further selling pressure. Summary The decline in gold prices was mainly affected by the strong US economic data that pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields. Under the uncertainty of the Fed's policy, gold faces downward pressure in the short term. However, safe-haven demand and the performance of key economic data may provide support or a turnaround for gold prices.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
Trend analysis and buy signalsThe negative non-agricultural data on Friday did not cause a fall, but the bulls started a surge mode. In the intraday, it not only hit the previous high pressure of 2693, but also returned to the vicinity of the 2700 mark. Although it failed to break through the 2700 mark in the end, the technical form also highlighted the fact that the decline has stopped and is favorable to the bulls. First of all, looking at the weekly line, the weekly line has closed positively for consecutive weeks, and this week closed a long lower shadow line. The bulls do have an advantage. In addition, the short-term moving average keeps moving upward and other periodic indicators, as well as the Bollinger Bands, are also intended to move upward, so the overall weekly line can be expected to be strong. The bulls can launch a strong counterattack at any time. Gold non-agricultural data is bearish, and gold has bottomed out and rebounded. Gold rose again under the stimulation of risk aversion in the US market on Friday. The short-term pressure is under the resistance of the 2700 mark, and the short-term pressure is adjusted. However, the bullish trend of gold is still there. Continue to buy when it falls back this week! Just don't chase the rise in the short term under pressure at 2700. If gold breaks through 2700 further under the stimulus of risk aversion, then gold will fall back and continue to follow up and go long. If it cannot break through, then gold will wait patiently for low points to buy. Gold stopped at 2663 after the negative non-agricultural data on Friday. Gold bought on dips above 2663 this week. The gold moving average support now moves up to 2672. Wait for 2672 to enter the market first. First support: 2685, second support: 2672, third support: 2666 First resistance: 2700, second resistance: 2715, third resistance: 2726 Operation ideas: BUY: 2672-2675 SELL: 2708-2710
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the price moving within an ascending channel. Here’s a quick analysis based on the chart: 1. **Trend:** The market is in a bullish trend, confirmed by the series of higher highs and higher lows within the channel. 2. **Possible Buy Zone:** The price is approaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as a dynamic support level. This is highlighted as a potential buy zone, aligning with the bullish structure. 3. **Target Zone:** If the price respects the support and moves higher, the target would likely be near the upper boundary of the channel, around the 2,700.000 level. 4. **Break of Structure (BoS):** The highlighted BoS areas indicate that buyers are stepping in at key levels, supporting the upward trend. 5. **Volume:** There seems to be increasing volume as the price reaches the support zone, which may indicate growing interest in the area. **Key Points:** - Look for bullish confirmation near the lower boundary of the channel before entering a buy position. - Set a stop-loss slightly below the channel to manage risk. - First target: Mid-channel or 2,690.000 zone; extended target: Near 2,700.000.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Trend analysis and signalsThe trend of gold yesterday was no different from that of the previous few days. The only difference is that it is constantly breaking through the highs above. From the current point of view, the rise of gold has not ended. There is no news data on Thursday. The main focus can be on today's NFP. The overnight retracement low of gold near NFP is 2650, which is a strong support. It is still bullish if it holds! Gold has remained strong since closing at the 2670 mark. The daily line maintains a bullish structure intact! The MA10/7-day moving average opened up to 43/56, and the New York closing price stood above the 60-day moving average. The hourly and four-hour charts Bollinger bands opened upward and the price was running in the middle and upper track. Gold has repeatedly risen and fallen. At present, the trend of the market has been maintaining a steady upward trend. The lows are constantly rising, and the highs are constantly breaking upward. It is expected that today's Asian session will continue to maintain this upward pattern, and the future operation will continue to be mainly low-long! Today is Friday and NFP day. I believe everyone is familiar with the recent NFP market trends. Most of them are just widening the amplitude of fluctuations. The 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward. Gold bulls still have room to move upward. Gold fell back yesterday and got the first-line support of 2660 without breaking. Then gold will continue to buy on dips at 2660 in the Asian session. The bullish trend will continue. Go with the trend. First support: 2663, second support: 2650, third support: 2668 First resistance: 2680, second resistance: 2691, third resistance: 2700 Operation ideas: BUY: 2659-2661 SELL: 2688-2690
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst