Goldlong
1.13 Gold Technical Analysis and InterpretationThe gold market has seen significant fluctuations recently. Against the backdrop of a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index, gold prices fell before the U.S. market opened on Monday (January 13). Spot gold fell from its December high, with gold prices blocked at the key Fibonacci retracement level of $2,693.40; as last week's gains encountered selling pressure, the market is paying attention to the key support level of $2,660 below, which could jeopardize gold's medium-term upward trend once it falls below the support.
Technical analysis:
1. Key resistance and support levels
Gold prices failed to break through the Fibonacci retracement resistance level of $2,693.40 after hitting it last week, showing the strong suppression of the position on the market. Currently, the next key support level for gold prices is at $2,660. If the price falls below the support, it may mark the end of the medium-term upward trend.
Although the downward trend of gold has already emerged, if the above support level can be maintained, there is still hope for a rebound in the short term.
2. Analysis of short-term technical indicators
In terms of technical indicators, gold is currently in the stage of retreating from the overbought area, showing signs of weakening upward momentum, indicating that short-selling forces are gradually taking the lead.
However, although the RSI indicator has fallen from a high level, it has not yet fallen to the oversold area. This indicates that gold prices may still fluctuate around the current price before hitting key support.
3. Possible technical trends in the future
If the gold price can hold the support area of $2,660 and form a bottom pattern here, it is expected to challenge the resistance level of $2,693.40 again. Once this resistance is broken, the gold price may rise further and retest the psychological level of $2,700.
However, if the support level is lost, the gold price may further fall to the next level of support near $2,640. At that time, the market will face further selling pressure.
Summary
The decline in gold prices was mainly affected by the strong US economic data that pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields. Under the uncertainty of the Fed's policy, gold faces downward pressure in the short term. However, safe-haven demand and the performance of key economic data may provide support or a turnaround for gold prices.
Trend analysis and buy signalsThe negative non-agricultural data on Friday did not cause a fall, but the bulls started a surge mode. In the intraday, it not only hit the previous high pressure of 2693, but also returned to the vicinity of the 2700 mark. Although it failed to break through the 2700 mark in the end, the technical form also highlighted the fact that the decline has stopped and is favorable to the bulls.
First of all, looking at the weekly line, the weekly line has closed positively for consecutive weeks, and this week closed a long lower shadow line. The bulls do have an advantage. In addition, the short-term moving average keeps moving upward and other periodic indicators, as well as the Bollinger Bands, are also intended to move upward, so the overall weekly line can be expected to be strong. The bulls can launch a strong counterattack at any time.
Gold non-agricultural data is bearish, and gold has bottomed out and rebounded. Gold rose again under the stimulation of risk aversion in the US market on Friday. The short-term pressure is under the resistance of the 2700 mark, and the short-term pressure is adjusted. However, the bullish trend of gold is still there. Continue to buy when it falls back this week!
Just don't chase the rise in the short term under pressure at 2700. If gold breaks through 2700 further under the stimulus of risk aversion, then gold will fall back and continue to follow up and go long. If it cannot break through, then gold will wait patiently for low points to buy. Gold stopped at 2663 after the negative non-agricultural data on Friday. Gold bought on dips above 2663 this week. The gold moving average support now moves up to 2672. Wait for 2672 to enter the market first.
First support: 2685, second support: 2672, third support: 2666
First resistance: 2700, second resistance: 2715, third resistance: 2726
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2672-2675
SELL: 2708-2710
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the price moving within an ascending channel. Here’s a quick analysis based on the chart:
1. **Trend:**
The market is in a bullish trend, confirmed by the series of higher highs and higher lows within the channel.
2. **Possible Buy Zone:**
The price is approaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as a dynamic support level. This is highlighted as a potential buy zone, aligning with the bullish structure.
3. **Target Zone:**
If the price respects the support and moves higher, the target would likely be near the upper boundary of the channel, around the 2,700.000 level.
4. **Break of Structure (BoS):**
The highlighted BoS areas indicate that buyers are stepping in at key levels, supporting the upward trend.
5. **Volume:**
There seems to be increasing volume as the price reaches the support zone, which may indicate growing interest in the area.
**Key Points:**
- Look for bullish confirmation near the lower boundary of the channel before entering a buy position.
- Set a stop-loss slightly below the channel to manage risk.
- First target: Mid-channel or 2,690.000 zone; extended target: Near 2,700.000.
Trend analysis and signalsThe trend of gold yesterday was no different from that of the previous few days. The only difference is that it is constantly breaking through the highs above. From the current point of view, the rise of gold has not ended. There is no news data on Thursday. The main focus can be on today's NFP. The overnight retracement low of gold near NFP is 2650, which is a strong support. It is still bullish if it holds!
Gold has remained strong since closing at the 2670 mark. The daily line maintains a bullish structure intact! The MA10/7-day moving average opened up to 43/56, and the New York closing price stood above the 60-day moving average. The hourly and four-hour charts Bollinger bands opened upward and the price was running in the middle and upper track.
Gold has repeatedly risen and fallen. At present, the trend of the market has been maintaining a steady upward trend. The lows are constantly rising, and the highs are constantly breaking upward. It is expected that today's Asian session will continue to maintain this upward pattern, and the future operation will continue to be mainly low-long!
Today is Friday and NFP day. I believe everyone is familiar with the recent NFP market trends. Most of them are just widening the amplitude of fluctuations. The 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward. Gold bulls still have room to move upward. Gold fell back yesterday and got the first-line support of 2660 without breaking. Then gold will continue to buy on dips at 2660 in the Asian session. The bullish trend will continue. Go with the trend.
First support: 2663, second support: 2650, third support: 2668
First resistance: 2680, second resistance: 2691, third resistance: 2700
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2659-2661
SELL: 2688-2690
Gold View for Jan 2nd week (CW2)Gold is consolidating for some days.
Here is the view for educational purposes
Buy zone is marked between 2605 - 2618. It will be low probability area. So wait for the confirmation before entry.
Two Sell zones are marked. 1st zone is marked between 2677.98 - 2692.68
Second one is marked between 2699.79- 2720.31
Trade after the confirmation.
XAUUSD: Bullish Momentum Heading for Key ResistanceXAUUSD is trending within an ascending channel and is currently respecting its structure. Price action is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, which aligns with the marked resistance zone near 2705.302. This area may act as a supply zone, triggering retracements or reversals.
A short-term pullback toward the mid-channel or the highlighted demand zone near 2684.00 could occur before a continuation toward the 2705.302 target. Traders should look for bullish continuation patterns, such as a breakout above resistance or higher lows on the pullback, to confirm further upside potential. Conversely, a break below the demand zone might indicate bearish momentum.
Gold Big Move Tomorrow NFP? (BULLISH ACTIVATED) 300 PIPSHey everyone this is your boy Hunbal! I am looking for a NFP huge buy trade ready for Newyork session XAUUSD is ready for a bull run I have 2 confirmations one the rejection from the support level and second choc in 2 hour time frame so we are hoping a good buy from here (2665) our take profit will be 300 pips 2695 and our stop loss will be 100 pips 2655 I wish we all together print some good money in tomorrow NFP news.
Good Luck :)
Levrage During this Metals Bull - finding the next Newmount?Relatively safe ways to gain exposure to leveraged plays in the form of mining companies.
Many established miners are way too unbelievably low with current metals prices. Here we look at the technical perspective on why I am bullish on these cyclical mining stocks and why they could yield outstanding returns - which is to say now may be the time to scale in before they catch up to precious metals prices.
FSM
ASM
SBSW
XAUUSD-1H NEXT WEEK IDEAI'm closely watching XAU/USD on the 1-hour chart. My plan is to wait for a potential retracement back to the $2665 level, possibly even as low as $2655 , which I've marked as my buy zone. If price reacts positively in this area, I'll be looking for a long position aiming for the $2700 target.
The buy zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (50% and 61.8%), offering a strong confluence for a bullish setup. If price fails to hold the $2655 support , I'll reconsider my entry approach. For now, my focus is on this retracement before catching the next bullish leg.
Key levels:
- **Buy Zone:** $2665 to $2655
- **Stop Loss:** Below $2649.517
- **Take Profit:** $2700
This setup matches my strategy of entering high-probability trades with strong confluence and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Waiting for price action confirmation before entry.
Gold Breaks Out: Bullish Momentum Building Above Key PatternGold is breaking out aggressively above the symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a potential bullish continuation. If the price retests the breakout level and holds, we could see a significant move higher.
The 100 EMA is also providing strong dynamic support, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment. A sustained breakout above this range could target new highs in the coming sessions.
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: First Swing of the Year Amid NFP WeekI initiated a long position on Gold (XAU/USD) following a retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level on the 8-hour timeframe. This setup marks the first swing trade on Gold this year, targeting the $2,680-$2,687 price zone. Gold opened the year on a bullish note, aligning with mid-range technicals. This trade reflects a mid-term outlook, aiming to capitalize on potential momentum driven by this week’s major macroeconomic events, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release and the FOMC’s intervention.
Fundamentals:
The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, suggesting a slowdown in interest rate cuts for 2025, is providing upward pressure on US Treasury bond yields. However, these signals are driving flows away from non-yielding assets like Gold. Alongside geopolitical risks and trade war fears, this creates a complex backdrop for Gold. Additionally, the pullback in the US Dollar from its November highs is offering some support for the precious metal. Traders will closely monitor Friday’s NFP report and the December FOMC meeting minutes for further direction.
Key bullish themes for metals:
• Rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s pause in rate hikes support Gold.
• China’s green initiatives boost demand for metals.
• Interest rate cuts could provide further upside for Gold.
• Stagflation fears increase Gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset.
Technicals:
• Entry: Positioned after a 0.6 Fibonacci retracement.
• Target Zones: $2,680 - $2,687.
• Timeframe: 8-hour chart, aligning with the mid-range strategy.
• Outlook: Maintaining a close watch on price action, especially with upcoming macro releases that could create volatility.
Let’s keep the momentum strong and pay attention to market signals. Stay focused, and as always, pay yourself!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Xauusd buy NFP after sell must read cpGold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around $2,670 per ounce, approaching its all-time high of $2,726. Analysts, including those from Goldman Sachs, forecast that gold prices could reach $2,700 by early 2025, driven by factors such as anticipated U.S. interest rate cuts and increased central bank purchases. Given this context, an upward target of $2,680 appears attainable in the near term.
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an UPWARD channel on ascending channel.
The chart broke through the dynamic resistance, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
"Gold Break of Structure (BOS): From the provided chart:
1. **Break of Structure (BOS):** The market recently broke above a key level, indicating bullish momentum.
2. **Support Zone:** Price is currently retesting a demand zone (highlighted in light orange) near 2660, showing signs of a potential bounce.
3. **Target Area:** The purple line at 2676.82 marks the next resistance or target level. A continuation of the bullish trend may aim for this level.
4. **Trade Setup:** The blue arrow suggests a likely move upward if the demand zone holds, confirming the retest.
**Conclusion:** Wait for confirmation of support around the current zone (2660-2664) before entering a long trade, with a target of 2676.82. A failure to hold this support could lead to further downside testing.
1.9 Risk aversion rises, gold is short-term bullishIn the early Asian session on Thursday (January 9), spot gold fluctuated narrowly at a high level and is currently trading at $2,662.59 per ounce. Gold prices hit a nearly four-week high of $2,669.83 per ounce on Wednesday after a weaker-than-expected December private employment report relieved some market participants, who believed that the Federal Reserve might not be so cautious about easing policy this year. Reports on Trump's tariffs also provided safe-haven support for gold prices, but U.S. Treasury yields also rose as a result, and the dollar continued to rise, which made gold bulls cautious. After hitting 2,669, gold prices fell back to around the 2,650 mark and closed at $2,661.46 per ounce.
The gold market opened at 2648.4 yesterday morning and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2644.9 and then fluctuated and rose. The daily line reached a high of 2670 during the US trading session and then the market was consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2661.8. The daily line closed with a medium-sized positive line with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow. If the market falls back to 2652 today, stop loss at 2647, and the target is 2665 and 2670. If it breaks, it will be 2674 and 2680.
GOLD BULLISH TARGET 2025Based on Elliot Wave analysis, SAXO:XAUUSD Gold is currently in 4th wave of the trend where it has potential to continue moving up to its 5th wave completing it's wave. By using the Fibonacci ratio to measure the upside, it indicates that Gold will probably hit 2858 and 2946 in the future. Taking 3000 as its psychological resistance.
Pattern analysis also shows symmetrical triangle pattern where if Gold has successfully breaks the downtrend line of the pattern, this will confirm that the 4th wave is completed and will continue catching upside target of the wave analysis.
However, if Gold hits the downtrend line resistance which the area correspondent to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area and starts to decline making minor correction, I would strongly recommend to find the nearest support to become entry point. Note that 2620 - 2610 is the strong support that Gold will probably not going to break to maintain its bullish pattern.
Short term upside Target of SAXO:XAUUSD will be at 2762 as it is the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) which is likely for GOLD to hit this area.
Gold Bullish Indication points:
1. Elliot wave on 4th wave
2. Symmetrical triangle pattern
3. Strong uptrend
3. Geopolitical tension
4. Expecting another rate cuts in 2025
History repeats itself:
Last year on mid of February, Gold started its strong uptrend momentum until today where it has gained more than $700 in price. I would expect upward momentum later next February where it will continue going up until 2nd quarter of the year.
Disclaimer!!! Do your own research!!!
If you have any comments on my analysis feel free to drop comments below. Hopefully my analysis can be useful for traders around the world.