XAUUSD 1 HR STRUCTURE CHANGEXAU/USD on the 1-hour chart has shifted its structure back into the established range, signaling a period of consolidation. With the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release on the horizon, there is a high probability of a liquidity hunt around the 2655 level. Traders should exercise caution and wait for clear confirmations before entering positions, as volatility is likely to spike during the NFP event. This could present opportunities for sharp moves, but patience and a well-defined strategy will be key to navigating these conditions effectively.
Goldlong
12.6 Gold breaks bottom to welcome non-agricultural sector!Tonight's non-agricultural data, the market is divided into two sections:
1. Before the non-agricultural data, according to the current rhythm, it is considered to be volatile, so change the range or short, volatile 618, choose the intraday decline and rebound 618 position, you can also short.
2. Non-agricultural data, last month's non-agricultural data was only 12,000. According to ADP, it is bullish for gold, but the data is bullish, and the probability of non-agricultural data being negative is not high. It can only be lower than expected. At the same time, the increase in unemployment rate is bullish for gold. This is also difficult.
So for the evening non-agricultural data, the current decline will either release the non-agricultural trend in advance or rush down and fall back. It is unlikely to be simply bearish.
The intraday short-term 618 position is at the 2626-8 line, which can be blocked for the second time.
Non-agricultural support, if it continues to break the bottom, don't grab more, this kind of continuous bottom breaking, more is meaningless.
See if it bottoms out and rebounds, and treat it as a new range of fluctuations.
Focus on the 100-day moving average position below, the daily large-scale support level
In addition, according to our shock formula, short-term and long-term opportunities are not available at the moment.
Before the non-agricultural market, there will be a second reminder, just follow the members.
12.6 Gold shock awaits non-agricultural sector① Gold was still in a range yesterday and needs to wait for Friday's non-farm payrolls;
② The current daily indicator MACD is oscillating near the zero axis, and the dynamic indicator STO is oscillating upward with two lines; it means that there is no direction.
③ The daily Bollinger Bands are beginning to shrink and compress the range on the three tracks. The current upper and lower track range is 2705-2558, and the small range is the middle track and MA30 adhesion point 2631-2667
④ The current 4-hour moving average is entangled with the middle track, and the upper and lower tracks are running flat, which means range oscillation. The current range is 2629-2656.
Strategy:
Long near 2615, defend 2605, and target 2644-2650-2658
Short near 2660-62, defend 2669, and target 2650-2645
12.5 COMEX Gold Technical AnalysisFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily line is close to the upper edge of convergence, and the Bollinger Bands show signs of closing. At the same time, the price has not broken through the moving average pressure, and the KDJ indicator is in a state of fluctuation without an obvious direction.
The daily level convergence pressure is around $2,690. If it breaks through, it is expected to accelerate upward and test the previous high point. If it breaks below the support of 2,640, it will accelerate downward.
From the 1-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are closing, and the convergence structure is entering the end, waiting for the direction to be chosen. The current volatility has dropped significantly.
The technical indicators remain volatile, with intraday high selling and low buying, and the lower support is $2,650 and the upper pressure is $2,690.
SELL: 2,650 Defense: 60 Target: 35-----30
12.5 Gold shocks, waiting for non-farm payrolls, short and longYesterday, the gold market opened at 2643.2 in the morning and then fluctuated in the range. Before the start of the U.S. market, the market gave a daily low of 2631.8 and then the market quickly pulled up to the daily high of 2657 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2649.8 and the market closed in a spindle shape with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After ending with this shape, today's market fell back to more. In terms of points, if today's market rises first, give a short stop loss of 2652 to 2657. If it falls back to 2637 first, the long position will be conservative at 2635 and the long stop loss will be 2631. The target is 2657. If it breaks, the pressure of 2661 and 2667 will be seen.
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Buy Signal:
Entry within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), aiming for a 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) with 1% risk. While there is a conflicting bearish FVG that might obstruct the path to the take-profit (TP) level, the trade setup remains valid and will be executed regardless.
Key Details:
- Risk: 1%
- RRR: 1:3
- Entry: Daily FVG in a discounted zone
- TP: Positioned below the bearish FVG to mitigate resistance
- Note: Monitor price action near the bearish FVG as it may create challenges for the bullish move.
XAU sideway is about to end! Scalping BUY 2634SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) faces selling pressure after briefly rising to the $2,650 resistance zone, reaching a new daily low during the early European session on Wednesday. Despite this, the metal continues to trade within its established range from the past week, as traders remain cautious ahead of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's speech. Market participants are seeking insights into the Fed's rate-cut outlook, which could influence US Dollar (USD) demand and shape the next significant move for gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Scalping BUY price range before ADP-NF news was announced ( 2634 - 2632 )
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2634 - $2632 SL $2629 scalping
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2645
TP3: $2650
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
11.4 Gold weakens in the short termGold has fluctuated for two consecutive trading days, and it should break today.
Yesterday, as expected, the daily line rose after a single negative, mainly in three aspects:
1. Since this wave of rebound, the daily line has been a single negative, so look at the cycle.
2. The previous day rebounded too much. Although it retreated at the 618 position, the double bottom position is still there.
3. In the morning, 2633 is not only a rebound and retreat to the 618 position, but also a previous low point.
When looking at fluctuations, I have always emphasized a method, 618 is better to make a mistake than to let it go.
Therefore, we used gold non-short yesterday.
At the same time, let's look at yesterday's technical points:
Yesterday emphasized two watersheds, one is the time point of the European session, and the other is the price: 2633 and 2644, and the intraday breakthrough will continue.
1. In the morning, it directly relied on the low point to rise, quickly to the 2652 line, and the price effectively broke the morning low of 2644. It also emphasized that after the breakthrough, it is enough to step back more.
2. 2639 is the morning rebound and retracement to 618. The shock continues to see a step-back entry.
3. Although the performance before the US market is not big, the formula emphasizes that the correction at 6-8 points before the US market is still bullish. Yesterday, the US market also continued to rise after the breakthrough as expected.
But there are also regrets. It continued to fall back at 12 o'clock in the morning.
In the formula time point, we will make a summary at 12 o'clock every night. On the one hand, the Asian market is now big, and we will make a layout at 7-8 o'clock the next day, and also make a summary for the day.
Yesterday at 12 o'clock, it returned to the prototype: the first thought is that it was short at 7-8 o'clock this morning, and gold was weak.
Today, it is still the same. In this form, don't look at the continuous positive cycle of the daily line. Instead, the yin and yang lines in the shock are interchanged. Today, we see a break and fall.
For operations, it has been emphasized recently that the Asian market fluctuates greatly, and the focus is on the layout at 7-8 o'clock.
Therefore, you can go short in the morning, the upper watershed is 2649, and the lower target is 2627-29.
In addition, if it falls below 2630 today, then it is still short in the European session.
Due to the oscillation pattern retracement, pay attention to the entry point at 618, and the extremely weak 382, which refers to the entry point for the second rebound when the intraday high falls to the low.
GOLD- Starting a major 27% correction Gold enters a significant downward phase, initiating a major 27% correction from its recent highs. This substantial retracement highlights a shift in market sentiment, potentially driven by economic data, central bank policies, or shifts in investor demand. As prices adjust, traders and investors brace for the impact, analyzing whether this marks a temporary pullback or a longer-term trend reversal in the precious metals..
Scalping XAU ! signal BUY zone SIDEWAY SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans, ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, and expectations of another Fed rate cut this month continue to support safe-haven demand for Gold. At the same time, market belief that Trump's policies could drive inflation higher and prompt the Fed to maintain elevated interest rates for longer is boosting US Treasury yields. This provides some support to the US Dollar (USD), limiting Gold’s upward momentum.
Given these mixed signals, caution is advised before making new bullish bets. Traders now turn their focus to the US JOLTS Job Openings data for potential short-term trading opportunities around XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Small frame gold price continues sideways, there are still SACLPING signals in the 2622 price range
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2623 - $2621 SL $2618 scalping
TP1: $2628
TP2: $2633
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
12.4 Gold today overall range sweepOn Tuesday, the price first dropped to 2634-2633 in the morning, and the support was confirmed in the afternoon, and it was pulled up to 2650 area.
Then, the first bottoming out and rebounding action has been made. Next, under the condition of keeping low, we can look at the second continued upward action, and then break through and stand firmly on the large channel, and then look at the third acceleration to complete the pull-up of 30 US dollars in space
The four-hour pattern continues to show a narrowing situation, waiting for the subsequent breakthrough opening to guide a wave of unilateral volume
The closing range of the shape, the upper rail is 2666-2664, and the lower rail is 2620-2622
The position of the large channel line is close to the upper rail pressure 2652-2653. The support in the same area expands the sweeping space upward. Today's early trading squats back to hold the lower rail support
It can break through and stand firmly along the large channel line 2652-2653, and switch upwards. The next channel upper rail position focuses on the 2676-2678 area
BUY: 2635————2640 Stop loss: 2645————50
Target: 2660 2665
The daily hammer of gold market is extended and rubbed.From the technical perspective, the price of gold continues to fluctuate within the convergence triangle area. The decline on Monday this week is consistent with the characteristics of a volatile downward trend, with the lowest intraday price reaching 2620, which is exactly the starting point of the stabilization and rebound last week, highlighting its key support significance in the volatile market. As the price falls, the market has fallen below the volatile upward support line and is under pressure from the previous high of 2650, with a significant double suppression effect.
Looking ahead to the intraday trend, the suppression of the 2650 line still needs to be focused on this trading day. Given that gold is still in the volatile downward stage of the large-cycle convergence triangle and the downward trend has not yet ended, there is a possibility that the price of the market will fall below 2620. Therefore, in the short term, we maintain a bearish mindset, with 2650 as the key suppression level, and are bearish on gold. However, in the context of frequent interweaving of long and short factors, investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with changes that may occur at any time.
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 - Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2652
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2711
2nd Resistance – 2748
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
XAUUSDHere is our view on XAUUSD . Potential long opportunity.
XAUUSD has been trying to break below our Key Level 2624 for quite some time. Today we sent out an quick update regarding XAUUSD and explaining that if we manage to break below 2624 we could enter into sells to lower Key Levels 2604 and 2590 . However we also mentioned a break above 2640 would result in more upside . Considering the fact we have broke above 2640 we are looking for buys on this pair.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2638.000
- SL: 2628.000
- TP: 2678.000
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD failed to break 2624.
- XAUUSD broke above 2640.
- Breaks below our SL (Stop Loss) would result in lower prices and possible reverses.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Gold at a Crossroads – A 100-Point Move is Brewing!Gold (XAUUSD) has reached critical levels in the $2640-$2650 range, and the market is gearing up for a decisive move. This key equilibrium area is the battleground where buyers and sellers are clashing to determine the next trend. The question is: Who will win?
📊 Key Highlights from the Chart:
1️⃣ Buyers Defending the Zone (2600-2640):
Gold has shown strong buying interest in this zone, as bulls step in to defend their territory.
This area aligns with the Fib 0.618 retracement level (2606), a powerful support zone that technical traders trust.
2️⃣ Decision Point: The $2640-$2650 Resistance Zone:
This is the last stop before the storm! If the bulls can break through this range, we could see a 100+ point rally toward the next resistance at $2720-$2750.
Conversely, failure to break higher might lead to selling pressure dragging prices back toward the $2540-$2560 area.
3️⃣ The Global Context – Middle East Unrest:
Despite some apparent weakness in the bulls, the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could act as a tailwind for gold, fueling safe-haven demand.
4️⃣ Range of Opportunity:
Upside Potential: A break above $2650 opens the door to $2720 (a +3.8% move).
Downside Risk: A drop below $2600 could drag prices down to $2540 (-3.8%).
This 100-point range is a golden opportunity for tactical traders.
⚠️ What Should You Do?
💡 If You’re Bullish:
Watch for a clean break above $2650.
Target $2720-$2750 for profits.
💡 If You’re Bearish:
Look for rejection near $2640-$2650.
A fall below $2600 would confirm bearish momentum, targeting $2540.
💡 Risk Management is Key:
Gold is known for its volatility. Use tight stop-losses to manage risk.
Let the breakout or breakdown confirm the trend before entering trades.
🚀 The Clock is Ticking: Is Gold a BUY Now? 🚀
The market is on edge as it awaits confirmation of the next major move. Will geopolitical tensions ignite a bullish breakout, or will sellers push prices back into the lower range? Stay vigilant, and trade smart.
Gold at a Crossroads – A 100-Point Move is Brewing!Gold (XAUUSD) has reached critical levels in the $2640-$2650 range, and the market is gearing up for a decisive move. This key equilibrium area is the battleground where buyers and sellers are clashing to determine the next trend. The question is: Who will win?
📊 Key Highlights from the Chart:
1️⃣ Buyers Defending the Zone (2600-2640):
Gold has shown strong buying interest in this zone, as bulls step in to defend their territory.
This area aligns with the Fib 0.618 retracement level (2606), a powerful support zone that technical traders trust.
2️⃣ Decision Point: The $2640-$2650 Resistance Zone:
This is the last stop before the storm! If the bulls can break through this range, we could see a 100+ point rally toward the next resistance at $2720-$2750.
Conversely, failure to break higher might lead to selling pressure dragging prices back toward the $2540-$2560 area.
3️⃣ The Global Context – Middle East Unrest:
Despite some apparent weakness in the bulls, the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could act as a tailwind for gold, fueling safe-haven demand.
4️⃣ Range of Opportunity:
Upside Potential: A break above $2650 opens the door to $2720 (a +3.8% move).
Downside Risk: A drop below $2600 could drag prices down to $2540 (-3.8%).
This 100-point range is a golden opportunity for tactical traders.
⚠️ What Should You Do?
💡 If You’re Bullish:
Watch for a clean break above $2650.
Target $2720-$2750 for profits.
💡 If You’re Bearish:
Look for rejection near $2640-$2650.
A fall below $2600 would confirm bearish momentum, targeting $2540.
💡 Risk Management is Key:
Gold is known for its volatility. Use tight stop-losses to manage risk.
Let the breakout or breakdown confirm the trend before entering trades.
🚀 The Clock is Ticking: Is Gold a BUY Now? 🚀
The market is on edge as it awaits confirmation of the next major move. Will geopolitical tensions ignite a bullish breakout, or will sellers push prices back into the lower range? Stay vigilant, and trade smart.