Golden milestone moment, about to fall!Gold hit a new all-time high on Friday, reaching the psychologically critical $3,000 mark, with the precious metal up nearly 15% since the start of the year, fueled by trade war fears and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump's tariffs have been a key driver of safe-haven buying in gold. The global trade war has roiled financial markets, sparking recession fears, and Trump threatened on Thursday to impose a 200% tariff on imported alcohol from Europe, a trade war that is escalating. But in the short term, there is absolutely no reason to chase gold higher. Reaching $3,000 today is clearly a long position in the market to pull up shipments. What happens when the longs are exhausted? That could usher in a wave of retracements, so don't chase the highs now. Gold is about to plunge.
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Goldlong
Gold 4 hour swing trade buy 2880Back this week with another swing trade.
Looking to buy at 2880 , this was previous support structure.
My conformations for this is based on wekly, daily and 4 hour trend lines plus the fibanocci level of 0,382 is right on my entry point.
I do these trades up based on technical analasis and my advice as always is go small be prepared for some drawdown and use proper risk management.
These trades are not meant to be finincial advice but mearly my own take on market structure.
Trade safe thei coming week.
Gold is about to fall, maybe even plummet!In the morning, gold rose above 2990 as expected and then fell back, but it stopped falling again at 2980 in the European session and rose again. The current market is rising again to test above 3000. From the current hourly chart, the pressure of 3005 is obvious. Today is the last trading day of this week. It is still optimistic about the decline in the evening, and even more optimistic about the plunge!!!
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XAU/USD Long Position Setup📌 XAU/USD Long Position Setup
🔹 Entry: 2997
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): ❌ 2990
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 3002 (+50 pips)
🎯 TP2: 3007 (+100 pips)
🎯 TP3: 3012 (+150 pips)
💡 Risk Management Tips:
✅ 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for at least 1:2 to maximize gains.
✅ 📏 Position Sizing: Keep risk 1-2% of your capital.
✅ 🔄 Trailing Stop: Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits.
Be wary of black swans appearing on Friday!On Thursday, gold continued to rise in the US market. Driven by the uncertainty of tariff policies and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the safe-haven appeal of gold remains undiminished. As of press time, the highest gold price has reached near 2985. After the CPI on Wednesday, gold seemed to have activated the rising button, and it started to rise all the way from the CPI low of 2905. After the initial jobless claims today, it hit a new record high again.
You can see that I have already drawn the 4-hour top range here
I think the top of 2990 is almost a potential top position, and tomorrow is Black Friday. Why did gold dare to go up so quickly on Thursday? There is only one reason, then there may be a big move tomorrow, Friday. It is very likely that in the early morning or tomorrow Friday morning, a wave of suppression near 2990 will be tested, and then the possibility of a rapid retracement will appear.
Therefore, I definitely do not recommend that you chase more in the future, there is no doubt about this. On the contrary, there are many people chasing more in the market at present. Seeing that gold has risen so much, they must think of retreating and going long. Therefore, tomorrow Friday, I suggest that you pay attention to the area around 2990. As long as this position can show a top structure signal in the Asian session, then don't hesitate to go short directly. Without saying too much, the first target can be seen at 2940-2930, or even 2920-2910.
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Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Update**Gold (XAU/USD).
### **Key Observations:**
✔ **Uptrend Strength:** Gold had a strong bullish move earlier, with a notable spike in volume.
✔ **Support & Resistance:**
- **Immediate support:** Around **$2,932 - $2,928** (black moving average line).
- **Resistance:** Around **$2,936 - $2,940**, where price struggled to break higher.
✔ **Moving Averages:**
- The **short-term (red & blue)** moving averages are trending upwards, signaling ongoing bullish momentum.
- The **long-term (black) moving average** remains below, supporting the uptrend.
### **Potential Scenarios:**
📈 **Bullish Case:** If Gold breaks above **$2,936 - $2,940**, it could re-test **$2,950** and move toward higher highs.
📉 **Bearish Case:** A break below **$2,928** could trigger a retest of lower supports near **$2,920 - $2,912**.
Gold surges, just $17 away from $3,000 Gold is sprinting to new all-time highs and approaching the $3000 level. The price has just reached $2983 at the time of writing, just $17 away from the key $3000 level.
Alex Ebkarian from Allegiance Gold forecasts “prices to trade between $3,000 and $3,200 this year,”.
Momentum is currently being driven by uncertainty around Trump tariffs and stalled ceasefire talks with Vladimir Putin, who has outlined sweeping conditions for any potential truce.
The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting next Wednesday could also be influencing prices. While the central bank is expected to keep its rate at 4.25%-4.50% until at least June, with the current economic environment, a change in guidance from the Fed might be warranted. A delay in the anticipated June rate cut wouldn't be helpful for the gold price
Gold accelerates to the top! The plunge alarm has soundedThe gold market has reached a critical point! Driven by the strong risk aversion sentiment, the price of gold has soared all the way, quickly breaking through many resistances and accelerating to the vicinity of 2985. However, if you look closely at the K-line chart, you will find that this round of rise is mainly stimulated by news, and there is strong resistance in the vicinity of 2985. Fortunately, we have already made arrangements. We have set the number of transactions reasonably before shorting. The current margin level is sufficient to support us in dealing with the current situation. At this time, it is a good time to increase positions. We can boldly increase positions and short in the 2977-2983 area, appropriately increase the number of transactions, lower the average price, and wait for gold to fall back to the 2940-2930 area. All positions will be decisively closed to achieve a turnaround, secure the bag, and lock in profits.
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GOLD VIEW 3H READ THE CAPTAINHello 👋 gold traders
3-hour timeframe of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with technical analysis levels and moving averages. Here’s a breakdown of the key points:
Key Observations:
1. Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Level: Around 2,909.870 - 2,902.340 (marked as the buying zone).
Resistance Level: 2,930.173.
Target Point: 2,960.607.
2. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
30 EMA (Red Line): 2,909.870 (Short-term trend).
200 EMA (Blue Line): 2,884.578 (Long-term trend, acting as strong support).
3. Price Action:
The price is currently in a consolidation phase around the resistance zone.
If the price breaks above 2,930, we might see a bullish move toward the target at 2,960.
If the price fails to break resistance, a pullback to the buying zone (support level at 2,909-2,902) is possible.
Trading Strategy Ideas:
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above 2,930): Look for long positions targeting 2,960.
Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance): A retest of the buying zone (2,909 - 2,902) before another push higher.
GOLD(UPDATE)Hello friends
Considering that we are at a price ceiling and the power of buyers has decreased and we are witnessing the formation of lower ceilings, we can enter a sell transaction if the resistance level is not broken, of course with capital and risk management.
This analysis is reviewed only from a technical perspective.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold Hitting Fresh All-Time Highs Amid Tariff UncertaintyVersus the US dollar, spot gold (XAU/USD) rallied strongly in the early hours of the US session and is now up 1.5% on the day. Currently trading at US$2,977 and refreshing record highs, the precious metal is on the cusp of bumping heads with the widely watched US$3,000 level.
Gold’s Uptrend Remains Intact
Although Gold’s multi-year uptrend is not ensured to continue, from a technical perspective, the trend remains unbroken until demonstrated otherwise. And, right now, buyers are certainly in the driving seat. Some analysts use moving averages to indicate a trend change, while others use technical indicators; I prefer good old-fashioned price action to help validate a trend reversal, and I have seen limited evidence thus far.
Bulls Targeting US$3,000?
The daily chart shows that price action is fast approaching the US$3,000 barrier, with a 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio circling just above at US$3,002. While this Fibonacci projection ratio is essentially an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bearish structure, I tend only to consider these patterns in downtrends, employing them to help confirm and fade a pullback. However, that is not to say that they cannot be used as profit objectives/potential resistance levels in uptrends. Consequently, given possible negative divergence from the Relative Strength Index, the US$3,000 area could prompt profit-taking.
With the above in mind, until the yellow metal reaches US$3,000, this could open the door to short-term bullish scenarios. The H1 decision point area at US$2,966-US$2,971 is a zone I will watch closely for bulls to make a show from in the event price tests this space. Interestingly, this base is accompanied by a H1 channel resistance-turned potential resistance, extended from the high of US$2,922.
Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Gold Upward Trend Continues with $2975 Target in SightThe gold market is currently experiencing a bullish trend, and technical indicators suggest that this momentum is likely to continue. Based on the 4-hour chart analysis, gold is approaching a new high, with the next key price target set at $2975.
Technical Analysis & Market Outlook
Price Trend & Momentum
Gold prices are on an upward trajectory, indicating strong bullish sentiment.
The market is showing a consistent push toward higher price levels.
Fibonacci Retracement Signals Bullish Continuation
The Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level has been successfully completed.
This technical confirmation suggests that the correction phase has ended, and the price is likely to continue its upward movement.
Key Resistance & Support Levels
The next major resistance level is at $2975, which serves as a potential price target.
On the downside, if the market faces any pullback, previous support zones $2878 will play a crucial role in stabilizing the price.
Market Expectations
Given the technical setup, gold is expected to maintain its bullish momentum in the short term. Traders and investors should monitor key resistance levels, while also keeping an eye on macroeconomic factors such as inflation data, interest rates, and geopolitical developments, which can influence gold prices further.
In conclusion, with the Fibonacci retracement completed and the market pushing toward new highs, gold is well-positioned to reach $2975 in the coming sessions
All units pay attention to gold 2975 directly short 2800 seePrepare for a sharp drop
Gold is ready to plummet, and the notification has been in place. The current price in the 2970-2975 area is short, and it is ready for a sharp drop. This sharp drop will be below 2800. I have told you in advance
The crazier gold is, the more it will plummet. The whole network is bullish. What are the dealers doing? It must be an unconventional trend. Enter the market at a short speed
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Gold is about to fall, and the secret behind itFrom the hourly chart, the gold price rose rapidly from 2932 to 2946 in the morning, showing the strong power of the bulls. But in the afternoon, the situation suddenly changed, and the price quickly fell back from 2946 to 2932, and the bulls and bears played fiercely. In the European session, gold once again exerted its strength and climbed from 2932 to 2948. Combining the characteristics of the Asian and European sessions, it is not difficult to find that gold has a tendency to go back and forth in a certain range again. Looking back at the rebound from 2880 to 2948, it is very similar to the trend of the early March. That is, after a wave of short-term continuous positive pull-ups, it will enter a box-shaped oscillation state and last for several hours, and then start a short-term continuous positive pull-up again, and then fall into a box-shaped oscillation cycle again. The pressure formed by the upper rail of the channel 2951-53 line. If the gold price is under pressure here, there is a high probability that it will fall back repeatedly, and the target area is 2930-2920. Even reaching the 2910 area.
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Gold’s Next Move: A Pullback Before the Breakout?🔵 Current Market Overview: Gold in Consolidation
Gold has been consolidating in a tight range following a strong bullish impulse, as seen in the highlighted zone on the chart. This phase of sideways movement suggests that the market is gathering momentum before the next major move. Consolidation typically occurs when buyers and sellers are in temporary equilibrium, and a breakout or pullback often follows.
Despite this consolidation, gold remains fundamentally strong, largely due to macroeconomic factors and global uncertainties. The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has been increasing, which has contributed to its strong performance. However, before continuing higher, gold might seek liquidity at lower levels, triggering a retracement before the next leg up.
📉 Technical Analysis: Why a Pullback is Likely
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
Support Line – A rising trendline acts as a strong dynamic support level, aligning with potential retracement zones.
Golden Pocket Zone (0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci Retracement) – A historically significant level where price often reverses.
Local Resistance (Consolidation Range) – The price is struggling to break out of this range, indicating that liquidity may still need to be gathered at lower levels.
🔹 Expected Price Action
Gold is currently consolidating, meaning price is moving sideways after a large bullish impulse.
A retracement towards the golden pocket and trendline support is a high-probability scenario before gold resumes its uptrend.
Once the price reaches this zone, we can anticipate a strong bounce if buyers step in, aligning with the overall bullish momentum in the market.
🔹 Confluence Factors Supporting This Setup
Trendline & Fibonacci Alignment – The golden pocket overlaps with a key trendline, adding extra support.
Liquidity Zones – Large players often push price lower before a continuation to shake out weak hands.
Market Structure – A classic bullish retracement before continuation upwards.
⚡ Fundamental Strength of Gold
While technical analysis points to a short-term retracement, the broader macroeconomic landscape supports gold’s long-term strength.
🌍 Key Fundamental Factors Driving Gold’s Strength
Global Economic Uncertainty – Ongoing geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central bank policies are increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Inflation & Interest Rates – Central banks’ policies regarding interest rates significantly affect gold. With concerns about inflation still present, gold continues to attract investors looking for stability.
Stock Market Volatility – As riskier assets experience turbulence, gold remains a favored hedge against economic instability.
Institutional Demand – Central banks and large financial institutions have been increasing their gold reserves, adding to its bullish outlook.
Given these factors, gold’s long-term trajectory remains bullish, but short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market movement.
✅ Trade Strategy & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Plan
Wait for price to retrace into the golden pocket zone (0.618 - 0.65 Fib retracement) before entering a long position.
Look for bullish confirmation signals such as reversal candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing, etc.), increased buying volume, or RSI divergence.
Consider a staggered entry approach, scaling into the trade as confirmation builds.
🔹 Risk Management
Stop-loss placement: Below the golden pocket and key support levels to allow room for volatility while protecting capital.
Position sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Potential invalidation: If price breaks below the golden pocket zone and fails to recover, reconsider the setup.
🔹 Take-Profit Targets
First target: Recent highs around $2,920 - $2,930
Second target: Potential breakout above $2,950+ if bullish momentum continues.
Final target: Depending on momentum and market conditions, gold could push towards new all-time highs.
Conclusion:
This trade setup presents a compelling opportunity for a high-probability pullback and bounce trade. Gold remains fundamentally strong, but a short-term retracement to a key technical level is likely before resuming its uptrend.
By waiting for price to reach the golden pocket and support zone, traders can position themselves for a high-reward trade with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. As always, proper risk management is essential to navigate market volatility effectively.
__________________________________________
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Gold fake breakthrough, 2939--2945 is open shortBecause it is not a unilateral trend at the moment, it does not have the momentum for continuous rise. Without the promotion of events, it is extremely difficult to break the historical high. The market has the 80/20 rule. Before 2910-2920, many analysts asked you to short gold at a high position, but you were slapped in the face by the surge in gold. Now many analysts also suggest that you should go long after a decline. Today, gold will definitely plummet and slap you again. The bookmakers have also figured out the order-making methods of such analysts, and these analysts have been reduced to fish meat. Only a few people can judge clearly that gold will continue to fluctuate at present. This position is a false breakthrough, which is a bait thrown by the dealer to trap a group of people.
In the 4-hour cycle, the gold price is in the shape of a trumpet. Today's high point just touches the pressure line. Without saying too much, the opportunity is given to enter the market quickly to short in the 2939-2945 area.
Now let's witness the market being controlled by us.
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The downward trend is clear at a glanceCPI inflation in February recorded the slowest growth in four months, bringing a slight relief to the stagnation of the anti-inflation process in the past few months. According to data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday, after a sharp increase of 0.5% in January, the CPI in February increased by only 0.2% month-on-month, lower than the expected 0.3%, the lowest since October last year, and the year-on-year growth slowed to 2.8%, the lowest since November last year, lower than the previous value of 3% and the market expectation of 2.9%. After the data was released, gold once stretched to around $2,920, and then fell again to a low point near 2,905-06. After touching 2,905, it returned to support and then rebounded. As of now, the highest point is the rebound to around 2,940. It can be seen that the rise from 2,832 to the present is basically in the abc rising wave shape. At present, the upper 2940 is the 618 suppression point. If it cannot effectively stand at 2940, there must be a consolidation, and it must fall back. Secondly, 2920 was the high point of gold in the early stage. After breaking through, 2920 has become a support position. Therefore, if it cannot break through 2942, there is a high probability that there will be a wave of support 2920. Even lower 2900 area.
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GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 3RD MARCH 2025
Hello Everyone,
Since October 2023, our gold price analyses have been consistently accurate. In the past week, gold reached our initial target of $2,877 and achieved a new all-time high (ATH) of $2,956, before retracing to the Gold Turn Level at $2,875. We previously noted that a bullish trend would be confirmed if the 5-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA5) crosses and holds above $2,877.95; otherwise, a reversal toward the Gold Turn levels was anticipated.
* We also stated The key level at $2,735 remains a critical zone. Active Gold Turn levels at $2,875 and $2,735 suggest that the price may revisit these areas before advancing to TP1 and beyond again.
* We also stated Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided strong support at $2,850, with the EMA5 approaching the first take-profit (TP1) level at $2,877, leading to a bullish surge that touched the all-time high. However, the EMA5 has yet to cross and stabilize above $2,877.
This worked to be perfectly as anticipated.
- This situation persists, with the EMA5 still not locked above $2,877, which is necessary for further bullish confirmation. If the EMA5 fails to cross and hold above this level, the price may reverse to test the KEY level at 2735 before potentially bouncing back upward.
Recommendations & Strategy:
* Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades.
* Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2735 is vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities.
Our ongoing analysis will continue to focus on these technical indicators to navigate the current market conditions effectively.
For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance.
We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit!
The Quantum Trading Mastery
Will Gold Break 3000? (Potential Bullish Continuation)Gold price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation on the Longer Timeframes as the price action may break the previous All Time High of 2956.
A potential break may be indicative of another top OR a new high.
We take our chance on the basis of a proper Bullish Breakout.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 2967
Stop Loss @ 2822
TP 1 @ 3112
xauusd sell now big down soonAlternative Disruptive Perspectives:
Bullish Continuation Instead of Reversal:
The current analysis suggests a drop after hitting resistance, but gold might break through resistance instead of reversing.
If gold sustains above $2,941 and breaks $2,992, it could target $3,020+ instead of falling.
A breakout confirmation would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Support Levels May Hold Stronger:
The projected decline assumes a clean break of key supports, but buyers may step in around $2,860 or $2,800, leading to a rebound.
If price action forms higher lows instead of lower lows, the bearish outlook weakens.
Fundamental Catalysts Could Favor Bulls:
Macroeconomic factors like inflation data, Fed policies, or geopolitical tensions might support gold prices instead of pushing them down.
A weakening dollar or dovish Fed stance could fuel further buying momentum.
Trend Structure Still Bullish:
The higher-timeframe trend remains intact, meaning that even if there’s a pullback, it could just be a correction before further upside
The Mystery Behind the Crazy Rise of GoldGold surges upwards as soon as it is stimulated by the news, but this momentum is not expected to last long. On the contrary, it is a good opportunity to short at high levels. From a macroeconomic perspective, the current global inflation expectations and monetary policy trends are profoundly affecting gold demand. In terms of technical indicators, MACD shows that although bullish energy is being released, KDJ has entered the overbought zone. It is expected that in the short term, after gold touches the resistance range of 2938-2945, it will continue to increase short positions, with the target of 2920-2910, accurately grasp the band opportunities, and achieve profit goals with the help of the possible callback market.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.