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Beware of gold tariff changes! Intraday Gold Trading Buckle UpGold news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 2), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3114.90/ounce. Gold prices rose and fell on Tuesday. Spot gold rose to around the 3150 mark earlier, setting a new record high of $3148.85/ounce, but then fell back due to profit-taking, closing at $3114.03/ounce, down about 0.3%. US President Trump plans to announce comprehensive tariffs on countries with trade imbalances with the United States on April 2, which has spawned a large number of safe-haven buying, helping gold prices to continue to rise, but near the last moment, some bulls took profits in advance. Gold has always been seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties. On Monday, gold closed with its strongest quarterly performance since 1986 and broke through $3,100 per ounce, becoming one of the most significant gains in the history of precious metals. Technical analysis of gold: Gold 4-hour chart retreated to the middle track and paused for a while. Today, the battle between the high point 3148 and the 4-hour middle track will be fought. Losing the middle track will further increase the adjustment space. On the contrary, holding the middle track to recover the high point will continue the slow rise. The market outlook will continue to cooperate with the slow rise method of one step back and one turn back. That is, the repeated high-exploration and fall method. From the 1-hour chart of gold, the rising volume at the end of the wave-shaped tail is usually not sustainable, accompanied by the one-step back and one-step wash-out method. After yesterday's retreat, today's early trading rose quickly, accompanied by a big negative line in the hourly chart to retrace and correct, and stepped back to the local high of 3150. The fluctuation base is large and the adjustment space can be large or small. It is not easy to chase high at the current position. Although shorting is against the trend, the implementation of overbought tariffs on the technical level will also be realized, and the room for adjustment cannot be underestimated. We should use ultra-short-term combined with medium and long-term short-term to respond to short-term adjustments. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends shorting mainly on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3138-3140, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3100-3083. Friends, you must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist the order operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions. 🌐Follow real-time orders. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short stop loss of 6 points near 3136-3138 when gold rebounds, target around 3115-3100, break the position and look at 3085 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3105-3095, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, and look at the 3130 line if the position is broken; Trading discipline: 1. Don’t follow the trend blindly: Don’t be swayed by market sentiment and other people’s opinions, and operate according to your own operation plan. The market information is complicated and complex, and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, notify you in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyAs global economic uncertainty intensifies and gold prices hit record highs, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound. Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year. In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2. In conclusion, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Giant-Whale
Gold Next 24 to 48 hours (02/04/2025)OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is likely to remain within a tight range, possibly edging slightly higher due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data focus and Tariff, but a significant breakout seems unlikely in just 24 hours. Our estimate is 60% probability that the price stays between $3,105 and $3,150, with a 30% chance of inching above $3,150 and a 10% chance of dropping below $3,105. This is a short-term view only Check our Profile Happy Tradding
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Deluxeanalysisandsignals
3100 Danger？ Has a short trend emerged after gold’s sharp fall?If you persist in doing something for three days, it is just a whim! If you persist in doing it for three months, it is just a start! If you persist in doing it for 10 years, it can be considered a career! Whether in life or trading, if you want to succeed, it is like sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat. Only by working hard, persisting, moving forward bravely, and overcoming obstacles can you reap your own "success"! A new day begins, and every step of the strategy is the beginning of a battle. Execute the operation, if you don’t move, you will be fine, but if you move, you will be thunderous! 1-5 current price transactions per day make the operation easier! Gold technical analysis: After the gold surged, it appeared under pressure. The price reached 3149 and then retreated. The US market continued to decline after the shock. Don’t do more if it falls below 3120 in the evening, and be alert to the possibility of retreating to 3100. The short-term means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and began to retreat and adjust the trend. In addition to Trump’s announcement of tariffs this week, there will also be non-agricultural data, so this week is destined to be extraordinary. This is also the risk that has been repeatedly reminded. Don't be blindly overwhelmed by bulls. You need to respect the market at all times. After falling below 3120, there is room for a retracement, but whether the overall trend has turned is still uncertain. This week is very critical. There are important fundamental news. It is necessary to confirm whether it will change the fundamentals. Only when there is a change will the trend turn. Pay attention to the 3120 first-line resistance on the top of the 4-hour chart, and pay attention to the 3100 support on the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to operate in the range. Gold operation suggestion: short selling near 3115-3119, stop loss 3130, target 3105-3100 Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEGOLD Daily Chart Update: 24th FEB 2025 Hi Everyone, Here’s the latest update on the GOLD daily chart, which we've been closely monitoring and trading. Below, we break down recent price movements, updated key levels, and provide actionable insights for the days ahead. Recap of Recent Chart Success! Gold recently achieved a record high of $2,954.80. Our analysis has consistently highlighted that after reaching each target level, prices tend to reverse by over 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level. This pattern was evident when, after hitting TP3 at $2,933, the price retraced more than 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level at 2870, which acted as a support, before rebounding bullishly to surpass resistance and reach the all-time high of $2,954.81. Current Outlook: Bullish or Bearish? Presently, gold's price is oscillating between a resistance gap at $2,990 and a support gap at $2,933. The $2,990 level serves as a key resistance, while $2,933 acts as support. Additionally, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) offers support at $2,920. In summary, while the long-term outlook remains bullish due to factors like central bank demand and economic uncertainties, short-term fluctuations between the $2,933 support and $2,990 resistance levels are expected. Traders should monitor these key levels and indicators closely to inform their strategies. KEY LEVEL: 2870 Resistance Levels: 2990, 3052 Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2933, 2870, 2801, 2744, 2671, 2595 EMA5 Behavior: * Or If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2933, it strengthens the bullish case. * If EMA5 fails to hold above 2933, cross and lock below this level 2933, expect a pullback to key GOLDTURN levels below. Recommendations: * Capitalize on Dip Opportunities: Use smaller timeframes (1H, 4H) to trade around GOLDTURN levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade. * Stay focused on shorter trades in this range-bound market to manage volatility effectively. Long-Term Bias: Maintain a bullish outlook while viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities. Accumulate positions near key support levels for a safer approach instead of chasing highs. Final Note: Trade with confidence and precision. Our analysis ensures you’re well-prepared to navigate the evolving market landscape. Stay updated with our daily insights across multiple timeframes for deeper clarity. Thank you for your continued trust! Don’t forget to like, share, and comment to support our work. Best regards, The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Path to $9,000: Gold’s Next Supercycle Triggered by the 2024 RSI Thesis - The Road to $9,000: How Gold’s 2024 RSI Breakout Signals a New Supercycle Executive Summary In January 2024, gold's quarterly RSI broke decisively above the 70 level — a rare technical event that historically marks the beginning of powerful, long-duration uptrends. This breakout echoes a similar RSI move in April 2005 that preceded a near eight-year bull market, driving gold from ~$430 to nearly $1,900 — a 340% increase. If history rhymes, this recent momentum surge may be the opening act in a multi-year supercycle with a potential price target north of $9,000 per ounce. This thesis presents a comparative analysis of the 2005–2011 bull phase and the emerging 2024 trend, using momentum indicators (RSI, MACD), long-term volume-weighted price levels (VWAP), structural breakouts, and Fibonacci projections to extrapolate a scenario in which gold embarks on its largest bull run in decades. I. A Signal from the Past: RSI Above 70 In April 2005, gold’s quarterly RSI crossed 70 — a level traditionally interpreted as “overbought,” but in trending markets, often signals the start of something big. Over the next 2,800 days, gold’s price rose relentlessly, guided by momentum, monetary policy shifts, and secular macro themes. Now, in January 2024, that same RSI level has been breached again — not from a spike or panic move, but from a slow, base-building structure spanning over a decade. The setup is eerily familiar: a long consolidation, followed by a clean breakout, and now, an overbought momentum profile with room to expand — not collapse. II. Charting the Similarities: 2005 vs. 2024 Metric 2005 Bull Start 2024 Setup RSI breach of 70 Q2 2005 Q1 2024 Starting price ~$430 ~$2,000 Breakout 20-year base 13-year base Duration of trend ~7.7 years Projected to 2031 MACD cross Preceded RSI Also preceded RSI VWAP position Price > VWAP Price > VWAP The MACD crossover in both instances occurred just before RSI broke out, indicating a build-up of medium-term momentum. This alignment of long- and medium-term signals suggests that the 2024 move is not a short-lived spike, but the beginning of a sustained structural trend. III. Fibonacci Extrapolation: The Case for $9,000 Applying Fibonacci extensions from the 2015 bottom to the 2020–2023 consolidation, the 2.618 extension level aligns around $8,700–$9,000. This is also consistent with the proportional move from 2005–2011 (a ~340% gain from breakout levels). If gold’s breakout in 2024 mirrors the strength of its prior secular trend, a target of $9,000 by 2031–2032 is not just plausible — it may be conservative. IV. The Narrative Behind the Numbers Gold does not rise in a vacuum. Behind the charts lies a macroeconomic context of de-dollarization, fiscal expansion, rising debt-to-GDP ratios, and weakening confidence in fiat currency regimes. The 2005–2011 bull unfolded against the backdrop of global financial instability and loose monetary policy. Today, those drivers are amplified. The demand for gold as a hedge — not just against inflation, but against systemic fragility — has never been stronger. Conclusion: Overbought for a Reason OANDA:XAUUSD The RSI has entered overbought territory again — but this isn’t a red flag. It’s a green light. In strong secular trends, being overbought isn’t a signal to exit — it’s a hallmark of strength. If the structural, momentum, and psychological conditions align as they did in 2005, gold may be embarking on a journey toward $9,000 over the next 7 to 8 years. This thesis aims to chart that road — and illuminate the signals already flashing along the way.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheHouseofTrade
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 2833.00 2879.11 2955.00 3000.00 3057.40 3100.00 3150.00 3200.00 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForecastCity
28
The bulls continue to reach new highsEarly layout plan for gold: As mentioned in our previous article, we decisively laid out gold short positions when entering the market at key points in the early stage, strictly implemented the fast-in-fast-out trading strategy mentioned in our article, perfectly hit the stop-profit target TP, and successfully made profits. Gold technical analysis: Gold bulls dominate the screen, continuously breaking new historical highs. The current highest has reached 3149. The daily line has also closed positively, galloping in the market, invincible, and also let the bears flee. The current trend is basically in a regular form. The bullish trend is still strong. The early opening sprint broke through the 3130 line. We directly went long in the real market and successfully reached the target 3140-3145. Yesterday, the technical side of gold ushered in an accelerated rise in the Asian market. In the afternoon, the bulls in the European market continued to break through and stand above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continue to fluctuate strongly. Last night, the US market retreated twice to confirm that it stabilized at the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Our real market and the analysis of the article before the US market last night also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. I believe that friends who follow me can see that if your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate! From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3117-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, without fighting. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3117-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line long, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, break and continue to hold; Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technological changes, notify you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
Verified again, bulls continue to hit new highsGold technical analysis: Gold opened at 3130 in the morning. Yesterday, gold technically accelerated in the Asian session. The European session bulls continued to break through and stood above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continued to fluctuate strongly. The US session stepped back twice to confirm the stabilization of the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Friends who follow me can see that our real-time analysis and the analysis of the article before the US session also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. This also verifies the 3127-3130 line suppression given in my article last night. The daily K-line closed with a shock and broke through the high-middle Yang. The overall gold price ushered in the rhythm of bulls accelerating the rise after breaking through the 3050 mark. The daily level closed with a strong medium-yang for three consecutive trading days. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate! From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3118-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3116-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line continue to cover long positions, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, and continue to hold if it breaks. Trading discipline: 1. Do not blindly follow the trend: Do not be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend can easily fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in volatile markets, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
You can't make money from such a simple market?After gold stepped back, it hit a new high again. Gold bulls continued to be strong. Gold broke through 3127 again, so the bulls are even better. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upwards and diverges. The support of the gold 1-hour moving average has moved up to 3096, but gold is now far away from the moving average, so wait patiently for adjustments and then step back to continue to buy. The gold 1-hour lowest yesterday fell to around 3100 and then stabilized again, so today gold will continue to buy on dips above 3100. Trading ideas for reference： Go long near gold 3110, sl: 3100, tp: 3130
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fortune-signal
Gold – Key Buying Zone at 3,090 for a Target of 3,157Why is $3,090 a Great Buying Area? Support within the Channel – The price has been respecting the lower boundary of the channel, and 3,090 aligns with this trend structure. Volume Profile Confirmation – Visible volume accumulation around this level suggests it has strong support. Buyers previously stepped in here, making it a logical point for re-entry. Trend Continuation Setup – The overall bullish structure remains intact, making pullbacks like 3,090 a low-risk buying area for continuation toward the target of 3,157. Why Not Short Here? The trend is clearly bullish, and there are no reversal signals. Even if a pullback occurs, it should be seen as an opportunity to buy rather than an indication to short. The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, but until clear bearish signals appear, betting against the trend is risky. Conclusion A pullback to 3,090 should be considered a buying opportunity for a move toward 3,157. As long as the price remains within the channel, the primary focus should be on buying dips rather than looking for short entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
10
Strong acceleration to the top? Gold trading analysis strategyGold early layout plan: Long and short strategies in the real market all the way to stop profit, lucrative profits, witnessed by the whole network! News: On the fundamentals, last week's re-strengthening, in addition to the escalation of tensions in the global economy and trade, there is also support from the Middle East tensions and the optimistic impact of the Ukraine negotiations that are not as expected; and this week will usher in Trump's tariff week, and countries are currently relatively tough and oppose the unilateral imposition of tariffs by the United States. And a comprehensive response is about to be made. This will increase economic concerns and the safe-haven demand for gold. Therefore, although there are some profit-taking and resistance suppression in the gold price at present, under the mutual game of global trade tariffs and the intensification of geopolitical tensions, a temporary retracement is still creating entry opportunities for bulls, and in the short term, it is still expected to refresh the historical high to around US$3,150. In the day, we will pay attention to data such as the Chicago PMI in March and the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index in March in the United States. It is expected that the impact will be limited. According to the trend of last week, there is also momentum for strengthening again. Therefore, the day will still be bullish and rebound-oriented. This week, the focus will be on the implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which may strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. Other important data include Tuesday's ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings, Wednesday's ADP employment, and Thursday's ISM non-manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims. Gold technical analysis: Gold technical analysis: Gold is really simple, you can make money with your eyes closed, and now it has reached the point where everyone can make money. On the contrary, I began to become cautious and timid. Gold jumped high in the early trading, quickly sold off and washed the market, and successfully got many people off the bus with a trick of fishing for the moon in the bottom of the sea, and then pulled up all the way, which was really strong. I emphasized before that gold would not peak if it did not soar by hundreds of dollars, and now this rhythm is getting closer and closer. Today, it rose by 50 US dollars a day. I dare to guarantee that there will be another day of 100 US dollars this week, which means that the top is just around the corner. Go long with the trend, but don't be a long-term investor. Today, we will focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If it fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to go long when it falls back to around 3100-3105. Finally, I would like to advise the majority of retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3128-3130 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3097. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Maintain the main pullback and go long. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate with us! Gold operation strategy: Go long on the 3100-3105 line of gold. Trading discipline: 1. Don’t blindly follow the trend: Don’t be swayed by market sentiment and other people’s opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation. (Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the first target is expected to be around $3200. At this level, due to a resistance zone, a temporary correction is likely. This correction may extend down to the bottom of the ascending channel, which acts as a key support area. After completing the pullback, the bullish trend is expected to resume, aiming for the top of the channel as the next target. If price breaks above the channel, higher targets could be activated. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
6
Bitcoin's Rocky Quarter: Tariffs, Whales, and Volatility Loom Bitcoin's first quarter of 2025 has concluded with a whimper, marking its worst Q1 performance since the tumultuous bear market of 2018.1 While gold has surged to record highs, fueled by geopolitical tensions and US trade tariffs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum, leaving traders bracing for potential further volatility. This week’s preview reveals a confluence of factors that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory. A Disappointing First Quarter The initial months of 2025 were anticipated to be a period of growth for Bitcoin, particularly with the anticipation surrounding the halving event. However, the cryptocurrency failed to deliver on these expectations. Instead, it experienced a period of stagnation and even decline, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Several factors contributed to this underwhelming performance. The escalating trade tensions, particularly the US tariffs, have injected uncertainty into global markets, diverting capital towards established safe-haven assets. Tariffs and Trade Tensions: A Persistent Headwind The US imposition of trade tariffs has emerged as a significant headwind for Bitcoin. These tariffs, designed to protect domestic industries, have disrupted global trade flows and created a climate of economic uncertainty.2 Investors, wary of potential market disruptions, have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which has historically outperformed during periods of economic instability. The impact of these tariffs extends beyond immediate market reactions. They signal a potential shift towards protectionist policies, which could have long-term implications for global trade and investment flows. Bitcoin, often touted as a decentralized and borderless asset, is particularly vulnerable to disruptions in global trade and capital flows. Whale Activity and Market Manipulation Adding to the complexity of the market is the activity of large Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales."3 These entities, possessing significant amounts of Bitcoin, can exert considerable influence on market prices through large buy or sell orders. Recent observations suggest increased whale activity, potentially contributing to the volatility and price fluctuations. Concerns about market manipulation have also resurfaced. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin, while a core strength, also presents challenges in terms of regulation and oversight. This lack of centralized control can create opportunities for manipulation, leading to price swings that are not necessarily reflective of fundamental market dynamics. Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip: Where’s the Next Support? The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin bears are tightening their grip. The failure to sustain upward momentum has emboldened sellers, leading to a downward trend. Traders are now closely monitoring key support levels, anticipating potential further declines. Identifying these support levels is crucial for understanding the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price. Technical analysis, using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, can help traders identify potential areas of support where buying pressure may emerge. However, the volatile nature of Bitcoin makes it challenging to predict these levels with certainty. Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis The stark contrast between gold's recent performance and Bitcoin's struggles has reignited the debate about their respective roles as safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history and established reputation, has benefited from the current climate of uncertainty. However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a superior store of value in the long term. The comparison between the two assets highlights the evolving nature of safe-haven assets and the growing acceptance of digital currencies. The quote "Gold has taken 26 years to 10X. Bitcoin has taken 4 years to 10X" shows the potential for rapid growth, but also its volatility. Looking Ahead: Volatility and Uncertainty The coming week promises to be a period of significant volatility for Bitcoin. Traders should brace for potential price swings, driven by a combination of factors, including: • Continued Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade disputes and potential for further tariffs are likely to continue to impact market sentiment. • Whale Activity: Large buy or sell orders from whales could trigger significant price fluctuations. • Regulatory Developments: Any regulatory announcements or policy changes could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price. • Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation data, interest rate decisions, and other macroeconomic indicators will continue to influence investor behavior. • In conclusion, Bitcoin's disappointing first quarter has set the stage for a period of heightened volatility. The confluence of trade tensions, whale activity, and market manipulation creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a subject of debate, the immediate future is marked by uncertainty and the need for caution.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies. The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward. Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand. Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility. This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand. The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend. The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices. Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge: • Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. • Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge. • Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income. • Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets. • Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices. • Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue: • Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets. • Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist. • Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds. However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices: • Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors. • Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. • Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets. The Significance of Gold's Milestone Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty. As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
TVC:GOLDLong
by bryandowningqln
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis #### **Current Market Overview** - **Price:** $3,092 - **Support Level:** $3,087 - $3,083 - **Resistance Level:** $3,095 - $3,100 - **Trend:** Uptrend continuation, with price holding above key EMAs --- ### **📈 Bullish Scenario** - If the price **breaks above $3,095 - $3,100** resistance, expect further upside movement towards **$3,110 - $3,120**. - The **rising trendline and EMA support** suggest buyers are in control. - A strong close above resistance could trigger **momentum buying** and fuel a rally. --- ### **📉 Bearish Scenario** - A **failure to break $3,100** may lead to a pullback towards **$3,087 - $3,083** support. - If sellers push below this support zone, further downside towards **$3,076 and $3,065** is possible. - Increased selling pressure may shift sentiment, leading to a correction. --- ### **Conclusion** - **Above $3,095:** Bullish continuation toward higher levels. - **Below $3,087:** Potential bearish correction before another leg up.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by elitetrader9090
Gold surges and then falls, indicating an imminent fallGold early stage layout plan: Long and short strategy all the way to stop profit in the actual market, huge profits, witnessed by the whole network! Technical analysis of gold: At present, Trump's tariff policy will be officially announced on Wednesday. Today, Asian stock markets fell across the board in the Asian session, because Asian stock markets opened the earliest. According to historical laws, the stock market's reaction is the fastest. European stocks may also fall across the board. The short-term decline in the stock market often brings a short-term rebound in the price of gold. Focus on the trend of the US stock market. Once the US stock market falls sharply and rapidly, it is often accompanied by a rapid decline in the price of gold. In the morning, the price of gold has rebounded by more than 50 points from the low of 3076 to 3127. After rebounding by more than 50 points, we can intervene in short selling at 3120-25, and close the position when it falls back to around 3105-15. Today, the European and American sessions focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If the European session fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to take long positions when it falls back to around 3105-3100. Finally, I would like to advise all retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, then shorting may be the best choice. It is better not to do it than to make mistakes! Watching more and doing less is also a suitable strategy. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and you should pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate and exchange! Gold operation strategy: short gold at 3120-25, target 3105-3115, and go long at 3110-3100. Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, and operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs. 2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation. (Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1