Gold Pullback or Bounce? Watch This Key LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is currently undergoing a correction after being rejected from the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the lower edge of the channel, which aligns with a major demand zone. The confluence of the ascending trendline and horizontal demand increases the likelihood of a bullish reaction from this area.
If buyers manage to hold control at this level, we may see a rebound toward the 3,450 level, which corresponds with the upper boundary of the channel. This would be a reasonable target within the current bullish market structure.
However, a failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing candles before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
Goldlongsetup
GOLD - LET CLIMB THE MOUNTAIN OF GOLDTeam, I was being patience for a week, did couple of long position, then short then long.
But this time I wait and wait until it reach my entry range price
GOLD is good to entry NOW
target 1 at 3272-3276
Target 2 at 3283-3306
STOP LOSS at 3232 - Once it hit our first target - bring stop loss to BE
i expect the GOLD will likely recover a little during TOKYO, but definitely fly back during UK market opening..
so therefore you need to be patience on this.. as the TRENDING still down trend.
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, and the opportunity has come
Gold hit 3325 in the European session, and fell under pressure in the US session. It can be seen that the market still has no continuity, and the recent volatility is narrowing compared to the previous period. The whole month of May was a wide range of roller coaster fluctuations.
The oscillating market is to operate at the point of card. Wait for a one-sided trend and then follow the trend. Short-term US market rebounds to 3315 to short, and use the intraday high as defense. The 1H cycle support below 3280/3290 is long in batches, and other positions are not involved.
GOLD Intraday Chart For H1 30 May 2025Good Morning Traders,
As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned on chart,
For Intraday all eyes between 3280-3300 zone,
If market clearly goes below 3280 then it will move towards 3250 else market sustains above 3280 it will move towards 3300 and after clear breakout of 3300 then move towards 3325 initially
Furthermore you can read the chart details carefully, Remember, Always Trade with SL
Today US PCE PRICE INDEX due today
Monthly Closing Due Today as well
Disclaimer: Forex in Risky
GOLD M30 Intraday Chart Update for 27 May 2025As you can see that there some zones mentioned in chart
right now market is in short selling trend as long market sustain below 3350-60 once market clearly break 3350 psychological level then it will move towards 3380 or even 3400
you may do some scalping between 3320-3350 but remember trade always with SL
And if market goes below 3320 level then wait sustain below 3320 then enter with proper SL for sell direction
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky !
Gold Moves Higher – Is $3,430 the Next Target?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to move within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are in control, indicating the potential continuation of the upward trend.
Recently, price broke out with strong momentum and may now be pulling back to retest. This area previously served as a confluence zone between the lower boundary of the ascending channel and a prior price reaction level, aligning with the potential continuation of the bullish move.
If this level holds as support, I believe a bounce in line with the main trend could be triggered. The potential technical target is the 3,430 zone, in line with the upper boundary of the channel as well as the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Conversely, failure to hold this support could signal a potential shift to the downside.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or an upward marubozu candle in this area, which could be the initial confirmation for long positions.
This is a personal view based on price action and technical analysis, not financial advice. Always adhere to proper risk management in every trading decision.
GOLD Technical Analysis - Correction Incoming?Quick summary on XAUUSD, it really resembles my previous analysis on XAUUSD.
Gold has been volatile and needs to be closely monitored. According to our earlier analysis, gold is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with the current action now testing the upper boundary. This level may act as dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward the 3,300 support area.
If buyers defend this support, the bullish structure remains intact, with potential to move back to higher levels. However, if the price breaks below this zone, a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel may occur.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential to identify buying opportunities. Risk should be properly managed. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk control.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
XAUUSD Break & Retest | Buy-Side Continuation SetupGold (XAUUSD) has made a solid bullish comeback after bouncing off the demand zone at 3,317–3,319, where we saw a surge in buying interest following a quick liquidity sweep. This bounce not only confirms the demand but also lays the groundwork for a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Right now, the price action is breaking through some minor intraday structures, shifting the market sentiment back in favor of buyers. The move above 3,320 shows a clear bullish intent, aiming for the supply zone overhead around 3,325–3,328. This area represents the last major distribution before the previous sell-off, making it a key short-term resistance point.
From a structural perspective, this setup follows a classic demand-hold and supply-target strategy, backed by intraday momentum and a trendline breakout. As long as the price stays above 3,317, the bullish outlook remains intact.
The target area stretches toward 3,328 and 3,331, where we might see some profit-taking or new selling. If those levels are surpassed, we could see further gains into the 3,335–3,340 range.
🔍 Key Confluences:
Strong rejection from the previous support zone
Clear bullish structure (Higher Highs & Higher Lows on the 5-minute timeframe)
Momentum aligned with the Asia–London session overlap
Price trading above key EMAs (optional, if included)
🎯 Trade Plan Overview:
Entry: Breakout or retest at 3,319–3,320
Stop Loss: Below 3,317 (this would invalidate the demand)
Take Profit 1: 3,328
Take Profit 2: 3,331
Final Target (optional): 3,335+ (if the breakout continues)
📣 Bias:
Bullish — until demand is broken with strong volume.
Gold updateAfter the previous level was broken and structure shifted, we’re now entering a new phase of analysis.
In this fresh setup, we’re looking for buy opportunities — but not blindly!
As always, waiting for a clean pullback to the new zone and a solid entry signal.
Experience teaches us: real profits come from patience and planning.
Here’s my new gold analysis — high probability, low risk.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
Gold Price Update: Strong Rally Surpasses $3,250 SupportGold is experiencing a sharp rally, breaking through the key support level of $3,250/oz and currently trading around $3,280/oz.
- The main drivers behind this uptrend include:
- Increased demand for safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainty.
- Fears of a potential recession and prolonged inflationary pressures.
- If gold sustains above $3,258, it is highly likely to continue its upward move toward the psychological level of $3,300.
- Should prices break above $3,300, the next potential target could be around $3,350.
📌 However, investors are advised to closely monitor key support and resistance zones to adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
📊 Short-Term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy
Entry Price: $3,265
Take Profit (TP): $3,300
Stop Loss (SL): $3,245
🔴 Sell
Entry Price: $3,298
Take Profit (TP): $3,270
Stop Loss (SL): $3,310
Rationale: The $3,300 area is a strong resistance level, and a short-term pullback may occur.
Unlock XAUEUR Riches: Thief Trading’s Epic Long Setup!💎 Epic Gold Heist: XAUEUR Trade Plan💎
Greetings, Wealth Raiders & Market Mavericks! 👋🌍
Ready to pull off a legendary heist in the XAUEUR "Gold vs Euro" market? Our Thief Trading Style blends slick technicals with sharp fundamentals to unlock the vault. Follow this cunning plan, aim for the high-stakes Red Zone, and let’s swipe the profits! 🤑💰 This is a high-risk, overbought setup with potential for consolidation or a trend reversal—perfect for bold traders. Stay sharp, trade safe, and let’s get rich! 💪🎉
📈 Entry: Crack the Vault!
The bullish trend is ripe for the taking! 💥
Place buy limit orders at the most recent swing low or high within a 15 or 30-minute timeframe.
Pro tip: Set price alerts on your chart to catch the perfect entry.
For the fearless, jump in at market price—the heist is LIVE! 🚀
🛑 Stop Loss: Guard Your Loot
Protect your stash with a Thief Stop Loss:
Set SL at the nearest/recent low on the 4H timeframe (~€2800.00 for swing trades).
Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders.
Stay disciplined—don’t let the bears snatch your gains! 🐻
🎯 Target: Grab the Gold
Aim for €3070.00 or exit early to secure profits.
Scalpers: Stick to long-side scalps with quick hits. Use trailing SL to lock in gains.
Swing Traders: Hold for the big score, trailing your SL to ride the trend safely. 💸
🧠 Why This Trade? Real-Time Data & Insights (May 19, 2025)
The XAUEUR market is riding a bullish wave, fueled by macro and fundamental drivers. Here’s the latest scoop:
Technical Analysis 📊:
Gold broke key support at $3200 (~€3000) last week but is showing signs of consolidation near €3050.
RSI indicates overbought conditions, hinting at a potential pullback or reversal. Watch for bearish traps at €3070.
4H chart shows a strong uptrend with support at €3000 and resistance at €3070.
Fundamental Drivers 📰:
US-China Trade Deal Hopes: Easing tensions are weighing on gold’s safe-haven appeal, pushing prices lower.
Central Bank Buying: Demand from China and emerging markets (1,136 tonnes in 2022) supports long-term bullishness.
US Economic Data: Mixed signals from April’s US CPI and a Q1 2025 GDP contraction (-0.3%) keep markets volatile.
Macro Economics 🌍:
Trump’s tariffs (25% on Mexico/Canada, 20% on China) are stoking inflation fears, which could boost gold if growth falters.
A weaker USD (down 3% from February highs) supports XAUEUR’s upside.
ECB may cut rates below 2%, weakening the Euro and lifting XAUEUR.
COT Report & Positioning 📋:
OANDA sentiment shows 73% of traders net-long on gold, signaling bullish bias but potential for a squeeze if sentiment shifts.
Comex gold inventories are rising, indicating arbitrage opportunities and strong physical demand.
Seasonal Factors 📅:
Gold typically sees strength in Q2 due to wedding season demand in Asia and safe-haven buying amid geopolitical noise.
May often marks consolidation after Q1 rallies, so watch for volatility.
Sentiment Outlook (May 19, 2025) 😊:
Real-Time Sentiment: Market mood is cautiously bullish, with 65% of analysts favoring longs but warning of overbought risks.
Risk appetite is improving due to trade deal optimism, but geopolitical tensions (e.g., EU-US tariff threats) keep gold attractive.
Social media buzz on gold’s resilience despite recent dips, with traders eyeing €3100 by June.
Future Trend Outlook Score ⭐:
Short-Term (1-2 weeks): 7/10 (Bullish with caution due to overbought signals).
Medium-Term (1-3 months): 8/10 (Supported by central bank demand and inflation fears).
Long-Term (6-12 months): 9/10 (Gold could hit €3200 if trade wars escalate).
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management
News releases can flip the market faster than a getaway car! 🚗💨
Avoid new trades during high-impact events (e.g., US CPI, Fed speeches).
Use trailing stop-loss orders to lock in profits and protect running positions.
Check economic calendars for updates—Thursday’s macro data could shake things up!
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Gold Price Analysis and OutlookOver the past week, the global gold market experienced its steepest correction since last November. Investor sentiment shifted sharply, sending gold prices (XAU/USD) into a freefall and erasing most of the gains accumulated in previous weeks.
📉 Gold Price Movements
- Gold ended the week at around $3,201 per ounce, plunging nearly $122 compared to the previous week — marking the largest weekly drop in six months.
- The decline came as global markets pivoted toward riskier assets following a trade agreement between the U.S. and China, which brought renewed optimism to investors.
- The easing of geopolitical tensions, along with expectations that interest rates will remain steady or rise slightly, led to a waning demand for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset.
🔮 Outlook: Temporary Correction or Start of a Bearish Trend?
- Despite the sharp decline, many experts believe this may only be a technical correction, driven by profit-taking after a strong upward rally in recent weeks.
- Factors such as persistent inflation, rising global debt, and underlying macroeconomic uncertainties continue to support gold’s role as a hedge in investment portfolios.
- In the short term, the gold market will remain sensitive to policy signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve and volatility in the bond market.
🧭 Conclusion
Gold has just endured its worst week in half a year, but that doesn’t necessarily signal the end of its long-term bullish trend. For cautious, long-term investors, the current correction phase could present a valuable opportunity to reposition portfolios at more attractive price levels.
Gold rebounded to the expected position, 3205 short!
📌 Driving Event
The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession concerns in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (FED). This shift supports the continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for interest-free gold.
📊 Commentary Analysis
Today, the price of gold fell to its lowest point in more than a month. It once hit the lowest level since April 10 at 3120, and then rebounded to the 3200 line, and the volatility increased again!
💰 Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate in 3200-3203 points, with a profit target around 3120 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Focus on shorting opportunities near 3250 in the US market
📌 Gold drivers
After two days of trade talks in Switzerland, the United States and China announced "substantial progress", marking a possible turning point in efforts to ease tensions between the world's two largest economies. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng called the talks an "important first step" toward stabilizing bilateral trade, and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant expressed the same view, noting that the talks had made meaningful progress. The United States is expected to release more details on the results of the negotiations on Monday.
As the United States and China announced an agreement to cut reciprocal tariffs, the dollar strengthened, weakening the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. Spot gold fell 3% on Monday to a low of more than a week, hitting a low of $3,208 during the day, the lowest level since May 1, and the day's decline had reached $100. At the same time, the U.S. dollar index rose by more than 1%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold still has room to go down, and the strength of gold bears is still there. Gold rebounded twice in the US market and fell back under pressure near 3250.
💰Strategy Package
At present, the US market still has a demand for a pullback, and the long position near 3220 can now be closed for profit. For the US market, we should first look at the area around 3250. After the pullback is in place, continue to play short orders to look at the target position of 3200. If it breaks upward, find a new point layout. This week's data market and news will have a further impact on gold. For real-time layout of accurate trading signals, please follow the free channel.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
(XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,222 with 1:6 Risk/REntry Point: Around 3,409.33 - 3,408.41 USD.
Stop Loss: 3,437.87 USD.
Target (Take Profit): 3,222.53 USD.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:6, which is favorable.
📉 Price Action & Trend Analysis:
A rising wedge (or channel) appears to have formed and broken to the downside — a bearish signal.
The current price at 3,341.47 has broken below a minor support zone (highlighted in purple), indicating bearish momentum.
Price is now approaching the 200 EMA, which is acting as potential dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels Highlighted:
Support Zones: Near 3,347.47 (previous minor support) and 3,222.53 (main target zone).
Resistance Zones: At the entry level and above, near 3,437.87 (Stop Loss zone).
🔄 Indicators:
Moving Averages (Red and Blue Lines): Shorter-term moving average (red) is below the longer-term (blue), indicating downward pressure.
Momentum Shift: The sharp drop suggests a likely continuation of the bearish trend.
GOLD D1 Chart Analysis Update for 12 - 16 May 25 Hello everyone,
As you can see some levels mentioned in GOLD Chart for upcoming main focus in GOLD For Longer Term Buying 3000 - 3200 is good buying zone for longer term
however you can still follow-up time to time for 1 candle retracement zone on D1
3400 level remains crucial for now
Main events for the upcoming week US CPI & US PPI
Gold - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure.
This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.