WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: GOLD | XAUUSDGOLD | XAUUSD is in consolidation currently. I am waiting for it to touch down at the Weekly +FVG and move higher. I'm interested more in long setups versus shorts. Patience usually pays, so I wait and watch for valid setups to form this week.
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Goldlongsetup
GOLD – PREPARE FOR BATTLE - BREAKOUT AND RETESTTeam, GOLD PRICE is currently at 2609.83
We await the GOLD price to confirm and break out, then retest at 2604-.30-2603.32.
Then we will SHORT.
Target at 2594.88
Target 2 at 2584.88
Target 3 at 2580.80
Once the price hit first target bring stop loss to BE, it will be a fast sell off
Gold: Calm Market Expected: Focus on Short Positions
Yesterday's trades were very successful. I bought at 2552 and closed at 2578, then sold at 2588 and closed at 2572, resulting in solid profits.
It's Friday, and with no significant news scheduled for release—aside from uncontrollable events like natural disasters—the market should remain calm today. A $20 range would already be considerable movement.
An upward move is unlikely. On a day like this, relying purely on technical patterns, a breakout above 2600 is a pipe dream. Instead, the probability of dropping to 2572 is much higher.
So, the strategy for today is to focus on selling. There's no need to consider bullish trades.
Gold's Wild Ride: Rebound Completed, Time to Short Again
Crazy gold! The market has regained all of yesterday’s losses in today’s rally. This market is always full of surprises!
Now it's clear that the resistance at 2600 is very strong. Since it couldn't break through, it's time to switch back to short positions. What rose from here is likely to fall back down to the same level.
Sell, with a target profit (TP) at 2572.
Gold: Corrective Rebound Expected Before Further Decline
Yesterday, gold experienced extreme volatility, surging before a sharp sell-off. Today, the market should see less fluctuation as much of the news has been priced in. However, another key report is expected during New York trading hours, and I believe short positions will be more favorable following its release.
Before the data comes out, a long position could be effective, given the steep decline yesterday. There is likely to be a corrective bounce as buyers step in to capitalize on the sharp drop, so I see going long ahead of the news as a good move.
Will Gold Shine Again? Key Levels to Watch!Gold is currently trading at 2578, aligning precisely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The RSI on the H4 chart stands at 76.36, indicating overbought conditions just before the market closed.
Following the market reopening, gold may experience a short-term pullback towards the 2572/2573 range, with potential further decline to 2561, driven by market forces. However, a bullish reversal is possible leading up to the Fed Interest decision announcement.
The price could break the 2602 resistance level. It is anticipated, though, that gold might retrace to the 2544 and 2522 levels after the US Fed Interest decision on Sept 19. If you are holding sell positions, it’s advisable to have risk management strategies in place up to the 2634 level.
XAUUSD: 18/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2590, support below 2530
Four-hour resistance 2582, support below 2556
Gold accelerated its rise after breaking 2531 last week. It is still in a bullish pattern. Although the market fell under pressure around 2590 on Monday and Tuesday this week, it fell to 2560 at its lowest and still failed to fall below 2556. The short-term market is a high-level sideways shock trend. With 2556 as the stop loss position, you can continue to buy low and pay attention to the suppression of 2590 area. Before the Fed's news lands, both the long and short sides will not make too much movement, and the market will not fluctuate too much. You can just enter and exit quickly around the range in the short term.
In terms of intraday short-term operations, the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates, but it is just a matter of how much the rate cut is. In theory, the rate hike is good for gold, but the news has been in the market for too long. Once the expectations of the bulls are met, the bulls will take profits and gold will fall sharply. Therefore, before the news is released, gold will continue to go long around the 2556 line, but a smaller SL must be set, and orders must not be held against the trend. Before the interest rate decision, if it reaches a new high near the 2590 area and then stagnates, you can go short. Try not to trade in the middle area, wait patiently for the layout at the boundary, and participate with a small stop loss.
BUY:2560near SL:2556
SELL:2582near SL:2589
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 13/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2590, support below 2530
Four-hour resistance 2575, support below 2544
As the saying goes, the longer the horizontal line, the higher the vertical line. After a long period of box consolidation, the gold price broke upward and refreshed the historical high of 2531. It is emphasized that after the break of 2531, it is time to go all out to be bullish on gold. Don't have any more empty thoughts. The current market is bullish in multiple cycles. Whether it is the weekly, daily, or 4-hour lines, it is an absolute bullish trend. There is no doubt that we will continue to go long during the day. There is nothing to say. Just don't think about guessing where the top is for the time being.
As for the intraday long position, after accelerating higher yesterday, it still maintained a strong upward trend today. The overnight low was at 2544, and today's Asian session low was at 2556. Pay attention to these two support points during the day. If you want to maintain an extremely strong long position, the starting point of 2556 cannot be broken. You can try to go long when it falls back during the day to near 2556. Today's bullish thinking can be maintained until 10 am in the U.S. market. Technical profit-taking may occur after 10 am, the last trading day of this week, but remember to only go long and not short, and follow the trend!
BUY:2556near
BUY:2544near
SELL:2590near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Monday Market Analysis and SignalsGold fluctuated at a high level on Monday, and the current price is around 2586. Gold prices rose sharply last Friday, hitting a record high of 2586, with the largest weekly increase since early April. Optimism about the Fed's upcoming rate cut has driven gold prices higher, and capital inflows and the decline of the US dollar have also played a catalytic role. The latest data shows that market expectations for the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut in September have also heated up.
Gold has been one of the best performing commodities among major commodities this year. So far this year, gold has risen by more than 20%, thanks to expectations of Fed rate cuts, strong central bank purchases and strong purchases in Asia. The safe-haven demand brought about by the increased geopolitical risks and uncertainty before the US election in November has also supported gold's record gains this year.
Super central bank week will debut this week, and the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the United Kingdom will release their September interest rate decisions. The market generally expects this to be the starting point of the Fed's easing cycle. According to historical trends, gold prices tend to fluctuate higher before the Fed cuts interest rates, but after the Fed cuts interest rates, gold prices will usher in a wave of declines, and investors need to be vigilant.
Technical aspect
Technical aspect: The gold daily and weekly structure maintains a bullish trend. The MA10/7-day moving average of the daily chart maintains a golden cross and opens upward. The MACD kinetic energy column increases in volume. The price of the short-term four-hour chart forms 8 consecutive positives and ushered in a new historical high again. The price is running in the upper and middle track of the Bollinger band, and the moving average opens upward. However, the RSI indicator of the hourly and four-hour charts touches above 80 values, entering overbought, and beware of the short-term correction demand for gold prices. The trading idea at the beginning of the week is to follow the trend and go long at low prices.
Trading strategy:
2570-2572 long, stop loss 2560, target 2590-2600;
2598-2600 short, stop loss 2610, target 2580-2570;
XAUUSD: 11/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450
Four-hour resistance 2530, support below 2493
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold fluctuated and stabilized at the 2500 mark, ushering in a strong bottoming out and rebounding for many days, and closed above resistance. The overall price of the daily chart continued the recent wide range of long and short fluctuations, and the moving average system also moved closer to the bulls. In the short term, it once again approached the previous high point, and whether it can continue to break through this time is still an unknown.
Today, the support below focuses on the 2500-05 area, and the pressure above focuses on the 2525-2530 area. This position is also an important breakthrough point in the European session, and the support below is maintained at the low point of 2500-2505, which was retreated many times yesterday. Once this position continues to break down, the short position in the later period will also be likely to continue to open up space, and the first target below is maintained near 2460-2470. The NY market also has CPI data, which is likely to change the entire situation again. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the rhythm of the layout of the long and short wide range of shocks.
BUY:2494near SL:2490
BUY:2510near SL:2505
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
8.28 Gold operation analysisGold hit the upper Bollinger Band in 4 hours, and the long orders at 2507 have made profits first. It is expected that gold will retreat to the vicinity of the middle band.
Today, gold is likely to hit a new record high again. The daily line has three consecutive positives, and the bulls are ready to try to break the record high. The conservative approach is to wait for the gold price to fall back to the middle band again before we go long.
In the strong upward trend of gold, do not buy the callback, and go long at will. Technology leads the direction, ideas lead the market, and accurate points are the key to success
Trading strategy: Long gold near 2505, stop loss 2495, target 2540
Gold continues to Climb.Gold has dropped down into the 4hr FVG on Thursday just to grab the sell-side liquidity in order to continue going higher.
On Friday, the price has closed above the open price of the 4hr Bearish Candle that took out all the liquidity, and that would make it a valid Order Block to rely on to climb back up.
Therefore, it is now confirmed that Gold will continue going higher.
Cheer up Buyers.
Gold short-term operation analysis suggestionsGold fluctuated and rose under the speech of Fed Chairman Powell, rising from 2504 all the way to 2516, an increase of 12 points, and then consolidated and tested back and forth, but failed to reach the resistance point of 2520.
Powell made it very clear in his statement that inflation is falling. In addition, the Fed believes that inflation will continue to fall and employment has not been adversely affected. Powell wanted the market to know that the Fed was not behind the curve. By clarifying the possibility of a rate cut in September, Powell is actually cutting interest rates a month in advance. The timing of the first cut is clear, and the magnitude is still in suspense. I don't think the Fed will suddenly cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Slow and steady is the way the Fed hopes to implement easing policies in the early stages.
Resistance level 2520 2530 2550
Support level 2505 2500 2490
8.23 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold fell all the way to 2475 after the release of the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States on August 17 at 10:00 Eastern Time, and then rebounded slightly and is currently trading around 2493.
Piovano pointed out that the market's attention is still focused on the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell in Jackson Hole.
This will determine whether gold can stand above the new historical high of 2530 or fall below the third support line of 2450.
Support level: $2470.85/ounce; $2450.22/ounce; $2430.35/ounce
Resistance level: $2519.18/ounce; $2531.76/ounce; $2535.00/ounce
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Gold is at Record Highs!Ladies and Gentlemen, Gold has recently reached new record breaking peaks.
As we can see Gold is currently hovering between 2470 and 2485, which is just below the 2500.
We have broken and closed above the 2500 on the weekly, which puts our probability of going to another record high.
8.22 Gold Operation AnalysisGold fluctuated and fell during the European session after the release of the US weekly jobless claims data on August 17. It has now fallen below the support line of the lower Bollinger band of 2485. The data is lower than expected. Gold should have been bullish, but it fell instead of rising.
For this situation, my personal analysis is that the bulls may be accumulating momentum to fall back and rush higher.
The long-term trend of gold is definitely rising, but it will inevitably fluctuate and consolidate in the medium term.
Key resistance levels are 2498, 2512, 2522, and 2530.
Key support levels are 2483, 2473, 2463, and 2450.
8.22 Gold Trend Operation AnalysisThrough the analysis of automatic trend lines and trend charts, we know that gold has rebounded from the 2499 line below in the early trading. It is still a little short of the first support level below. The short-term 2508 line has become the critical point between long and short positions. The short-term upper 2518 line is the first pressure level. In the short term, it will continue to fluctuate and consolidate in this 20 US dollar space. In terms of operation, we continue to focus on buying on dips with the idea of high-altitude and low-multiple.
Short gold at 2518, stop loss at 2526, take profit at 2500;
Long gold at 2498, stop loss at 2490, take profit at 2513.
What are your different views on gold? Welcome to like and comment
8.22 Gold Operation AnalysisFrom a technical perspective, the 4-hour candle trend of the gold K-line chart is stable and currently fluctuates sideways at 2508.
Operation suggestions for the short term
2505 long position, take profit at 2520, stop loss at 2497
2515 short position, take profit at 2505, stop loss at 2523