GOLD - turns up stronglyGold charge forecast
World gold charges multiplied sharply withinside the context of the USD index falling. Recorded at 6:00 a.m. on June 4, the United States Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the dollar with 6 principal currencies turned into at 104,575 points (down 0.46%).
Last weekend, the United States Department of Commerce introduced facts displaying that the private intake expenditures (PCE) charge index multiplied through 0.3% in May 2024, identical to the unadjusted growth in March.
At the start of today`s buying and selling session, the gold marketplace soared, maintaining the promoting growth round the edge of 2,350 USD/ounce, because the US production zone misplaced momentum.
Gold's robust upward thrust turned into because of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) pronouncing on Monday that its production index fell to 48.7% in May, as compared to 49.2% in April. Data The facts is weaker than anticipated as consensus forecasts name for a moderate development to 49.8.
The gold marketplace awaits the choice of the United States Federal Reserve (FED). Price cuts through principal US stores and new facts displaying slowing customer spending may want to raise the Fed's self assurance that inflation is falling.
Traders presently see a 54% danger of the FED reducing hobby charges in September 2024. Gold is taken into consideration an inflation hedge, however growing hobby charges growth the possibility fee of keeping non-yielding belongings like gold.
Goldlongsetup
World gold prices revived and increased slightly At the start of the buying and selling consultation on June 3 (US time), global gold costs revived and multiplied barely withinside the context that buyers nonetheless count on that US inflation is at the decline, with a purpose to encourage the United States Federal Reserve ( Fed) will quickly reduce hobby rates.
In addition, gold costs also are being supported via way of means of a mild lower withinside the USD. At the identical time, Nymex crude oil costs are almost solid and buying and selling round 76.seventy five USD/barrel.
As expected via way of means of analysts, gold costs have recovered after plummeting ultimate week. Sean Lusk, co-head of business hedging at Walsh Trading, stated that gold nonetheless continues its upward momentum so it'll quickly growth in rate again.
Sharing the identical opinion as Sean Lusk, Adrian Day - Chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management - stated that withinside the context of US inflation being at the decline, there may be no motive for gold costs to lower whilst the Fed will base on that to quickly boost costs. set a particular cut-off date for hobby charge cuts.
In an evaluation on CBS News, specialists stated that the pointy drop in gold costs is handiest temporary, however the long-time period fashion continues to be at the rise. Experts suggest that buyers ought to speedy purchase gold in the course of low costs.
Gold rate forecast
Kitco senior analyst Jim Wyckoff stated that gold costs will get better withinside the following couple of sessions.
In Kitco News` weekly gold survey, with the participation of Wall Street specialists and retail traders, the bulk of specialists and buyers nonetheless count on an upward fashion withinside the rate of the treasured metal.
Many analysts are expecting that, in advance of the Fed's financial coverage assembly on June 11-12, many buyers will growth buying, inflicting gold costs to growth sharply earlier than the assembly.
DXY Trading Plan for the week 03.06.2024Good morning traders. 🥳
Hope you all had a great weekend and ready for the week ahead.
A quick glance at the charts this morning and the dollar has reset back to the POC levels it entered last week with and on the 12 hr we can see that we are now forming a descending triangle which means that if we break above 105.000 we could see a continuation to the upside targeting key level 106.507 and if we break below 104.408 then we will see a continuation to the downside targeting 102.686.
I'm quite keen on seeing the dollar reach key level 104.209 to which I will be looking for Buy's on EUR/USD, Gold and Silver throughout the week.
We've been in a range across the other assets as well so this week could definately be a breakout week to the upside for all dollar pairs if that's the case.
Hope you have a great day and that your screens are green.
Happy Trading. 📊
GOLD - Important nonfarm news that has an impact?Like final night, I additionally commented and shared pretty truly approximately this week`s Gold Trend.
>At this rate, I will watch to promote Gold in line with the MA newspaper's Trend and could await Nonfarm information this weekend. With the cutting-edge Gold price, you may talk over with the Gold Sell Watch on Zone 2338>234x
And Canh Buy is withinside the Canh Buy resistance quarter 2322>2325
SL 2320
TP 2333>234x
If Gold Pha can byskip thru 2320, anyone will Sell to the response of Zone 2310>2300 in line with the vintage resistance line.
XAU/USD Longs back up to 2,340 or higherMy analysis for gold this week is based on the imminent mitigation of the 19-hour demand zone I marked out last week. This key level has caught my interest, and I anticipate a strong reaction from this high-quality demand area.
On Monday, I will wait for a sweep of the Asian low in the form of a spring and look for a Wyckoff accumulation to take place. This will be my signal to enter buys, aiming to ride the price back up to the next supply zone, where I expect a bearish move to occur.
Confluences for gold buys:
- Price is in a 19hr demand zone that has caused a BOS to the upside
- Price has already slowed down momentum and could be a good sign for buys back up.
- There's a trendline above that needs to be taken as well as untouched asia highs
- Price is overall bullish on the higher time frame. Could be a start of a new rally.
P.S. If the price breaks the current zone, I will look to take buys from a 4-hour demand zone below, as it is at a more favorable price. However, I will wait for lower time frame confluence before entering.
Gold price moves sideways before the falling thresholdWorld gold fees inched up barely once more in today`s buying and selling session. Macquarie commodity strategists stated in a file that at the same time as expectancies for hobby price cuts have lately dwindled amid consistently excessive inflation, gold fees retain to expose power because of diverse underlying effective factors.
The studies corporation determined that gold fees have hit new highs, pushed with the aid of using drivers aside from US hobby prices and the dollar. The yellow metallic has benefited from a broader threat-on sentiment in metals markets.
Gold fees have outperformed throughout diverse asset training and on the macroeconomic level. It implicitly trades on its recognition as a secure asset with out a counterparty threat, instead of the possibility prices related to maintaining a zero-yielding asset.
Furthermore, gold fees were supported with the aid of using threat assets. Macquarie highlighted that crucial financial institution gold purchases are nonetheless monitoring above pronounced levels, suggesting institutional hobby withinside the valuable metallic stays sustained.
The gold derivatives marketplace is right here to stay, in particular while measured in notional quantities in US greenbacks instead of in lots. However, the marketplace role is stated to have end up much less worrying after current rate adjustments.
Trading volumes at the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) have stabilized after a giant boom in April, however spreads in China stay excessive, suggesting persevered hobby and pastime withinside the gold marketplace from Chinese traders.
Gold fees' resilience, notwithstanding a more potent Dollar supported with the aid of using variations in relative US financial policy, indicates buyers are searching past the United States hobby price marketplace in relation to to gold.
Gold continues to sell accurately. The target is 2300 or lower
Gold continues to create new lows this week. At present, many people may think that the market will rebound sharply again. I think it is difficult. Because there is no important news to drive the gold price up sharply. And the market is still in a downtrend. The trend is a sharp rise before the technical repair.
In the short term, it is expected to fall below 2,300 points. Everyone should be mentally prepared.
COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The current price can still continue to sell. The upper pressure is at 2345-2351
GOLD, Price vulnerable under the 2365-2358 ResistanceThe Gold fundamentals are negative and as long as price is trading under the 2365-2358 resistance zone. There is still a high probability of a high selling pressure happening. The GOLD fundamentals are still negative with the FED likely to CUT INTEREST rate and the pending inflation data.
Resistance : 2358 - 2365
Support 1 : 2335
Support 2 : 2305
A real-time operation of gold price before closing
Trading plan: Steady traders can wait until the market drops to around 2325 to buy directly. The target is 2341 or even higher. Aggressive friends can buy directly near 2332. The target is even higher near 2347.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1!
Trading plan: Steady traders can wait until the market drops to around 2325 to buy directly. The target is 2341 or even higher. Aggressive friends can buy directly near 2332. The target is even higher near 2347.
GOLD - gold price cannot cool down yetForecast
Lukman Otunuga, leader marketplace analyst at FXTM, predicts that with buyers presently having a bet on simply one Fed price reduce in 2024, the marketplace can be tilting in a bearish direction.
Lukman Otunuga stated that if the May PCE file is launched better than marketplace forecasts, this will deal every other blow to expectancies of Fed hobby price easing, inflicting gold expenses to fall even deeper.
But analysts expect that traders are nevertheless having a bet on gold expenses to boom withinside the close to future. Forecasts say that with the aid of using the give up of the week, gold rate will boom to 2,375 USD/ounce./.
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Is gold price selling or buying? I think it's like this
MCX:GOLD1! OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD
Bombarded by the Fed's comments, the market ended its ultra-short-term bullish trend. Reverse downward. It is still continuing to fall. Gold price is at the critical stage of 2370.
Policy was tightened and the deadline for interest rate cuts was once again extended. It directly boosted the US dollar and shot up to 104.96 in the short term.
At the same time, the European Central Bank sent an assist and is expected to cut interest rates in June. The side boosted the dollar again.
In terms of operation, we still need to observe whether the support near 2370 below is effective. If it is effective in the short term, we need to pay attention to the target position near 2388. If the impact of the news intensifies, you need to pay attention to the targets below 2354-2358.
Stay tuned for real-time trading signals from the top trading circles.
XAUUSD:21/5 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2450-2500, support below is 2411-2371
Four-hour resistance 2435-2450, support below 2411
Gold operation suggestions:
Judging from the current market trend, the lower support continues to focus on yesterday's NY time low near 2411, and the upper pressure focuses on the short-term near 2435, focusing on the suppression of 2435. Relying on this range to maintain a wide range of shock operation, the short-term bulls' strong dividing line still focuses on the 2400 integer mark , before the daily level falls below this position, it still maintains the long advantage and continues to sell high and buy low.
BUY:2435 near SL:2430
BUY:2411 near SL:2406
BUY:2400 near SL:2397
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold Continues Higher . . . Look for Small PullbackWhere are we today? We are in a rising wedge . . . and there is a risk that gold eventually breaks this primary trend levels . . . but, if past is prologue, then we should see a 15 minute retracement into our next buy at the 4 hour HWB long setup. . . around 2391-2393.6 area.
GOLD (GCM2024, XAUUSD)... BULLISH BIAS!Bias is Bullish.
Price is moving up with convincing
momentum. Respecting bullish PD
Arrays, disrespecting bearish ones.
No signs of reversal. The intent to
reach the DOL/Swing High seems
clear.
The expectation is for Gold to make
further gains. A potential pullback
to 2400 area would make sense as a
zone to buy from, as buying from the
top is not recommended.
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Ultra-short-term gold buy. The increase is about 6-10 US dollars
Friends who like to trade gold can add long orders for gold. There is room for an increase of about 6-10 US dollars.
The MA 30-minute chart shows that gold is about to form an inverted triangle. It is a good choice to rely on the support below to go long in the short term.
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
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Because we will be the ultimate winner!
XAUUSD:17/5 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2400, support below is 2373-35
Four-hour resistance is 2400, support below is 2373
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical aspects of gold surged rapidly in the Asian market and broke through the 2397 mark, ushering in a suppressed and volatile downward trend. The European market reversed for a second time and came under pressure of 2394, and fell back again. In the US market, the gold price continued to bear the influence of the initial unemployment claims data. It weakened again under the 2386 mark, and finally continued to decline to rebound and close around 2370. The overall price appeared under pressure below the 2400 integer mark. Yesterday, the European market opened down around 2392-94, which became a short-term strong resistance area.
Judging from the 4-hour trend of gold, the short-term support below is focused around 2370-73. The overall focus is on the 2370-2395 area to maintain selling high and buying low. The strong dividing line for short-term bulls focuses on the 2350 mark. The daily level has stabilized and bulls are still strong above this position. There is no important data today. Beware of unilateral market trends.
SELL:2397near SL:2341
BUY:2373near SL:2370
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Buy gold price near 2320. Target position short-term 2346 first
Geopolitics is once again dominating the news. Gold is strengthening again, viewed in conjunction with the golden ratio. The buys that can maintain this position are the main ones. Buy gold price near 2320. Target position short-term 2346 first line
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!
Gold prices are about to cause a sharp correction. Be prepared t
Gold prices are about to cause a sharp correction. Be prepared to sell high
Gold's rise. I'm actually not surprised. Friends who follow me know that I have been bullish on gold since last week, as mentioned in my previous views. Gold is like a very strong bull
There are several reasons:
First, to put it simply, it is the rising risk aversion sentiment in the market. War sentiment in the Gaza Strip has intensified due to geopolitics. Although there is an armistice agreement. But some people disagree. People pursue self-preservation. To combat inflation, choose to buy or hold gold. as a hedging tool. That is, the market demand for gold is growing. This is the dominant factor in the holidays
Second, in the case of currency devaluation. There are no more people in the market willing to hold currency. More money needs to be paid to buy goods. Emotionally unwilling to continue holding currency. Instead, he turned his attention to gold coins, which have been the currency since ancient times. Demand is rising again.
Third, the market environment. Bulls continue to show an offensive trend.
Combining the above three points is the subsequent impact of holiday news. Because the market is closed, it is not shown on the market. But once the market opens. These factors will be reflected on the chart through candlestick charts. So I'm not surprised. And I think now is a good time to sell gold.
The technical indicator MA indicates that the market is still in a strong upward trend. 1 hour chart or 4 hour chart. The bullish trend is diverging. But there is still a correction of at least $10-20. Look at the short-term 30-minute trend. Small support exists below the market at 2245. However, the market has entered an over-rising stage, and the technical correction position is at 2220. With prices currently hovering around 2260, I think this is a good time to sell.
I personally sell gold at the position of 2261, stop loss at 2270, and take profit at 2253. First, I will target the short-term pullback and take profit.
It’s not like you just make a deal and it’s no longer ongoing. Instead, it is about continuing to accumulate profits. Remember to control trading risks and do not sell all positions. Control the reasonable selling quantity through the balance to conduct reasonable transactions.
Above 2300 is bullish, below it is bearishGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2320-26, support below is 2300-2293
Four-hour resistance 2320-26, support below 2300-2280
Gold operation advice: Gold once again had a range-bound market trend yesterday. Judging from the current trend, today gold will focus on the upper resistance at 2320-26, and the lower support at 2305-2300. This is also the dividing line between gold's long and short strength. Wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2300 near SL:2305
BUY:2305 near SL:2300
How does the gold price work in the London market? Must see
In fact, it is not difficult to see from the above chart that the market is undergoing an inverted triangle arrangement. The current high point above is above 2312. The upper trend pressure position has been touched. Combined with the current ebb of news. The probability of gold falling under pressure is relatively high. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is also showing signs of an oversold rebound. This is closely related to the impact of last week's non-agricultural data release. Operationally, I mainly sell gold at high prices.
The target position below can be set below 2290. Of course, if the profit reaches your expectation, you can close the order at any time. Keep profits stable in your account balance.
Gold Retracement to Pick Up Steam and Head SouthGold, Weekly - Indicators with Fibs Overlay: There is the risk of an extension long up here if gold can find support above 2257.36 . . . the issue is that our fibs on the intraday are bearish and we keep going down. But, if bulls find support, the upside of this extension is 2500. But, currently, we are bearish and I suspect that we will take some time to trade down into the weekly bull fibs, 2048-2194 . . . that is my preferred scenario. That would also be part of the series of longs, the first one trading in Oct 23 as a result of the late 22-early 23 spike that saw gold trade it's long in our golden 50-61.8% zone in Oct of 23 at 1800.
It is usually a bad idea to buy above the Weekly Bollinger Band. Anybody who bought in the prior three weeks and held are now underwater. We have also fallen below the 5 week SMA and about to lose the embedded status of the slow stochastic with a decline next week. The 20Week SMA, Yellow Line and Midpoint of the Bollinger Band, at 2150 is a really good target. That 20Week SMA was also support that we bounced from earlier this year to get the bull move going. My bias does remain lower, though we will have occasional violent bursts higher into resistance.