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Gold has a top signal, be wary of a retracement today! On Wednesday, as the market waited to see whether Trump would reach a new trade agreement with trading partners, the US dollar index fell again and once fell to around $99. Due to the weakening of the US dollar and the escalation of trade tensions, spot gold continued its record-breaking rise, refreshing its historical high to above $3,340, and soared by more than $100 during the day. Today, Thursday, gold continued its bullish trend last night in the early trading, and once hit a historical high of 3,357 in the early trading. But now we need to be extra careful, because tomorrow is Friday, Good Friday, and the market will be closed all day, which means that today, Thursday, is the last trading day of the week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be taken out of the market. Once the long positions are taken out of the market, it is easy to have a large retracement, so we must be careful about this and must not be overly bullish. Today's opening position is around 3342. In the morning, it retreated to around 3320, and then stretched up again. However, it can be found that since it fell below the opening position of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again. This is a strong signal of short-term retracement, especially when long positions are about to be profited. Moreover, the hourly chart has a little ABC wave-shaped retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300-10, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower. Currently, the ma10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3310. Therefore, it is not recommended that you chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3310 in advance. In terms of operation, I suggest that you can enter the market and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3310.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11
Trading suspension period. What is the future trend of gold?The dollar continues to fall. Fundamentals depend on Sino-US relations and economic data, especially after Powell's speech. The weekly close is close to the support level, and the decline may continue. Gold recovers after shock. Fundamentals show that prices may continue to rise. The market will be closed for the next three days and traders will take a break. During the holiday, the weekend is full of too many unknowns. But from a technical point of view, the focus is on the medium-term level. Quaid believes that its upward trend is still strong. If there is no supernatural event during the holiday, gold may rebound from the nearest resistance level in the Asian session and test the trend support level before continuing to rise. If there is any major change in the mood of the country/politicians, I will update my thoughts in time. Give traders time to adjust their positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
XAU/USD 16 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price. Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price did not print according to yesterday's analysis, failing to target weak internal low by printing a bullish iBOS. This is most probably due to Trump's tariff policy and ongoing uncertainty. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I will continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,317.920 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH as mentioned on various occasions in previous analysis. This is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,235.845. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price printed as per my alternative scenario in yesterday's analysis where I mentioned that due to the narrowing of the internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation and has traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal low priced at 3,193.630. However, price could also potentially trade up to mitigate M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Is the gold price rally over?Market news: In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations. Technical Review: Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184! Today's analysis: From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of ​​selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240; Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210; Key points: First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192 First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news: After the Asian trading market opened on Monday, the spot gold price opened sharply lower. After opening slightly lower, the spot gold fluctuated narrowly. Then the London gold price fell further, reaching a low of $3,208/ounce, a plunge of nearly $30 from the closing price last Friday, but it was still supported by bargain hunting. Bloomberg reported that the international gold price fell from its historical high due to the latest US trade news released by US President Trump.     As Trump's tariff actions triggered investors' pursuit of safe-haven assets such as gold, the gold price soared by more than 6% last week, breaking through $3,245/ounce for the first time. It was the largest weekly increase since March 2020. This round of gains was jointly driven by the deepening of the trade war, the plunge of the US dollar, the rising expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks, highlighting the attractiveness of gold as the ultimate safe-haven asset. At the same time, weak US economic data, soaring inflation expectations and huge shocks in the bond market further amplified market panic and accelerated the influx of funds into the gold market. Investors need to continue to pay attention to changes in the International Trade Bureau and market risk aversion this week. Economic data mainly focus on the US March retail sales monthly rate (commonly known as the "terror data") and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision. Elsewhere this week, traders will focus on how some of the world's largest central banks respond to the rapidly changing global economic outlook. The Monetary Authority of Singapore and the European Central Bank are expected to ease monetary policy. Lower interest rates are generally beneficial to interest-free gold. Technical Review: Gold has completed a gain of more than $275 in three trading days. The daily structure continues to maintain continuous positive and strong positive closings, the moving average opens upward, and the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The short-term four-hour chart price continues to rise along the MA10-day moving average, the moving average opens upward, the Bollinger Band opens upward, and the RSI indicator runs close to the 80-value high. The technical side of gold continues to maintain bullish dominance, and the price continues to run in an upward trend. The trading at the beginning of the week continues to be mainly based on the callback and low-multiple participation layout, with high-altitude assistance. Judging from the current situation, if the tariff policy is further tightened, the risk aversion sentiment in the global market will inevitably be ignited again, thereby driving the gold price to continue its strong rise. On the contrary, once there are signs of easing of tariff policies, the gold market is very likely to reverse in an instant, falling rapidly or even falling into a situation of plummeting. Therefore, the key guidance of gold trends this week is undoubtedly focused on every subtle change in tariff news. In this market, the influence of a tariff news is so great that all previous technical-based analysis and forecasts are instantly invalid. Looking back at the recent market, we can clearly see that in just three days, the price of gold first fell sharply by $211, and then rebounded rapidly, soaring by $275 in three days. Such drastic and frequent price fluctuations are almost entirely driven by various news, which once again highlights the decisive role of news in the current gold market. Today's analysis: From a purely technical analysis perspective, the strong performance of the weekly big positive line clearly shows that the current buying power controls the overall market structure. It is worth noting that in the past month or so, the Asian market has formed a unique opening must rise rule. In-depth details of the market, we can find that the low point of gold in the US market, 3220-3215 area, has become a key watershed between buying and selling strength. When the price runs above this area, the market shows obvious strong characteristics; once the price falls below this area, the market is very likely to turn to a weak pattern.Similarly, the Asian session retracement low point of 3185-3190 area also constitutes an important dividing line between buying and selling. If the price remains above this area, buying will dominate; if it unfortunately falls below, the market is likely to quickly switch to selling mode, and even trigger a rapid plunge. Looking at the upper space, there is still great uncertainty. Investors can focus on the new high breakthrough in the 3245-3250 area, followed by the 3265-3260 area and the psychologically important $3,300 mark.As the tariff war continues to deepen, the market generally expects that in the next 1-2 weeks, the gold market will usher in more crazy fluctuations, and its rise and fall is expected to break historical records. Investors need to be vigilant at all times and respond to market changes with caution. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3206-3209, stop loss at 3198, target at 3240-3250; Sell short-term gold at 3260-3263, stop loss at 3272, target at 3220-3210; Key points: First support level: 3210, second support level: 3202, third support level: 3192 First resistance level: 3236, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3263
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
4.11 Interpretation of gold technical ideas4.11 Interpretation of gold operation ideas: Gold prices rose sharply to a new high. How to trade next? The daily line closed with a big positive line, and the closing price was far away from the previous high. This is a truly effective breakthrough! There are two types of breakthroughs: 1. The amplitude and strength of the breakthrough! 2. The closing price after the breakthrough! At present, the intraday pattern of gold prices is unbalanced. The rise and fall depends entirely on the international situation. The US dollar has fallen below 100 points, which has led to panic selling by investors and a sharp rise in gold prices. Therefore, if the situation eases, we must be wary of a rapid decline in gold prices. After a wave of accelerated rises in the morning, today's main focus is on the trend of the afternoon and US markets. At present, the price of gold is hovering in the 3210 range. If it falls back, it is expected to rebound in the 3200-3190 range. If the European market breaks through the high for the second time and continues to strengthen during the day, then the US stock market will usher in a bullish opportunity again. The market is always full of opportunities! The above strategies are for reference only, and personal opinions are for reference only. The specific operation is subject to real-time operation. If you want to obtain core member signals and increase account profits, please contact Ailen❤️❤️❤️
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
3
Gold V-shaped reversal breaks through new highs to usher in a buFundamental analysis: The erratic tariff plans of the US administration have shaken the entire global market, with market participants scrambling for direction and certainty. This is usually supportive for gold, which has risen 18% so far this year. Gold has also been boosted by expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve and central bank purchases. Technical interpretation: From the 4-hour chart, spot gold has completed a typical V-shaped reversal pattern, rebounding strongly after a deep correction. After hitting a low of $2,956.67, gold prices launched a counterattack, breaking through the suppression of multiple moving averages in one fell swoop, and finally stood firm at the key resistance level of $3,100. It is worth noting that gold prices are currently running above the rising trend line, which indicates that the short-term trend has clearly turned bullish. The MACD indicator shows a strong bullish signal, with the DIFF line and the DEA line forming a golden cross, and the DIFF value is 13.58 and the DEA value is -1.55, indicating that the upward momentum is accumulating at an accelerated rate. At the same time, the MACD bar chart continues to expand, further confirming the strengthening of bullish power. Although the daily MACD indicator temporarily shows signs of high divergence, the DIFF value is 35.22 and the DEA value is 40.67, but both are at high levels, indicating that the medium- and long-term momentum is still strong. The daily RSI is 62.58, which is in a moderately strong area and does not show obvious overbought. The daily CCI is 74.30, which also shows that the medium-term upward momentum is still continuing. Analysis of short-term operation ideas: After the gold price broke through the key resistance of $3,100, the technical side showed a clear trend of strengthening. If it can stand firm at this level, the next target will point to the historical high of $3,167.60, and a new round of upside will be opened after the breakthrough. In terms of support, $3,060.00 (previous breakthrough position) will provide effective support. If it fails, it may pull back to the lower track of the rising channel near $2,968.00. Recent US inflation data and trade situation developments will become key catalysts for short-term trends.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold continues to strengthen and fluctuates widely in the short Gold stabilized near the 200-period moving average at the beginning of this week, and the current upward trend is supported by the daily chart oscillator indicators. Both the daily RSI and MACD remain in the bullish range, with obvious momentum; The upper target is concentrated in the 3167-3168 US dollar line, which is the historical high set at the beginning of this month; if it successfully breaks through this area, the gold price may enter a new upward channel. In the short term, the support level below $3100 is concentrated in the 3065-3060 US dollar range, and a break below it will open a downward channel to $3000. The $3000 mark coincides with the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart, which is the key long-short dividing point; If it falls below this point, it means that gold has entered the correction stage, and bulls need to remain vigilant; but the current fundamentals and market sentiment still strongly support the gold price to maintain high volatility.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold----Buy around 3100, target 3135, 3160Gold market analysis: The fundamentals are more inclined to buy in the past two days. The market is very crazy. When you operate, you must take a loss on each order. Don't bet on it in such a rare market in a decade, otherwise it will make you doubt your life. It is still a volatile market at the beginning of this week. We are still intercepting in the range. Yesterday, gold suddenly turned around in the morning session, and a new buying momentum began to rise. We decisively took profits from 3113 to 3130 in the Asian session. We should chase the unilateral market and wait for the volatile market. The unilateral performance of the US market from yesterday to this morning has been very obvious, and a new buying structure has started. Today, we need to follow it to buy after the retracement. There are too many days of uncertainty in the trade war, and following is the king. In addition, there are heavyweight CPI data in the evening. Gold surged to around 3132 in the Asian session. The previous high point of the small top was around 3135. This is expected to fall back. Today's idea is to buy at a low price. Even if there is a fall in the Asian session, we will not consider selling. The small support is around 3100, and the strong support is around 3077. Consider continuing to buy in the Asian session. Above 3135 is a buying danger zone. Buying at this position must be a support position. Support 3100 and 3077, pressure 3135, the strength and weakness watershed of the Asian session is 3100. Fundamental analysis: Tariffs are the biggest fundamental in the near future, and the market impact is relatively large. Today we focus on CPI data. Operation suggestions: Gold----Buy around 3100, target 3135, 3160
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Gold continues to rise and break through!Gold was driven by risk aversion news, and soared more than $100 in a single day yesterday, with a huge positive line on the daily line! At present, it has broken through the 3100 mark. It is difficult for gold to continue to be long and short. The next step is more of a big sweep! At present, the 3100 mark will be the key to the next long and short positions. It is under pressure to continue to be bearish. The key 3055-50 area below is the long breakthrough point, which is also the support area for the two declines in the US market. Once it breaks down, it indicates that the rise started at 2970 yesterday has ended and returned to the short position. If gold breaks upward and stands above the 3100 mark with the help of news, the long position will gradually rise to 3115-20 and 3135-40 (last Friday's high point) and even test the historical high of 3167 to build a daily double top! Intraday operation: The 3100 mark is used as a long-short boundary. If it breaks through, you can consider short-term long positions. After pulling up, refer to the above target position, which is also a resistance position, and arrange short positions again.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold bulls are in the driver's seat, beware of a pullback!Fundamental analysis: A new round of tariff shocks has become a core factor affecting the trend of gold prices. "The rebound in gold reflects the market's growing concerns about tariff threats and the possible reshaping of global trade norms." Technical interpretation: The 4-hour chart shows that gold prices have now formed a clear upward channel, with support and resistance lines connecting lows and highs respectively. Recently, the price came near the MA200 moving average, and at the same time found buying near the key support level of $3015.00. From the MACD indicator, the DIFF line (0.41) and the DEA line (-8.65) have formed a golden cross, and the bar chart has turned red and the volume has increased, suggesting that upward momentum is accumulating. The RSI indicator is at the 60.47 level, close to but not yet in the overbought area, indicating that there is still room for upward movement. The CCI indicator is at 150.94. Although it is in the overbought area, the trend is strong and no obvious top divergence has yet to appear. It is worth noting that the recent price has not fallen below the lower track of the rising channel during the decline, indicating that bulls are still dominant. Operational analysis: The gold price is currently at a key technical position and has just retested the support level near MA55. If it can stand firm at this position, it is expected to retest the resistance level of $3090.00, and further breakthroughs may challenge the previous high of $3167.60. The short-term MACD golden cross signal strengthens the bullish expectations, but if the support of $3015.00 cannot be maintained, it may fall back to $2980.00. The lower track of the rising channel will be the key line of defense for the long-short boundary.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Technical analysis of short-term operations in the US market on 4,9 US trading operation interpretation ideas: Today, there was a bottoming out and rebound. In the morning, it first went south and then north. It fell sharply to 2970 and then quickly counterattacked 3000 after entering the Asian session! I emphasized in the morning that the gold short may be coming to an end! It will enter a short-term sharp decline and then rebound! But the current trend is obvious that today's increase has exceeded expectations! We must beware of the possibility of a V-reversal in the US market! Although the large-scale purchase of gold caused by the selling of US bonds is still difficult to confirm the long position in the US market! The intraday increase is close to 90 points! There may be two emotions. 1: The market impact after the tariffs are implemented has not been eliminated 2: If the bullish trend continues in the US market, it may retreat to around 3045 in the future, and continue to be bullish later! Short-term support: 3045---3030----3000 Pressure level: 3075---3080---3100---3135
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
Gold-----Sell near 3020-3060, target 3000-2969Gold market analysis: We clearly said in our analysis yesterday that gold would rise and fall. The daily line shows that it can't go up much. We sold at 3008, 3015, 3014, and 3022 yesterday, and we made profits. Today's gold idea is to pay attention to whether it continues to swing. The daily line fell and then pulled up. The daily line hovered at the bottom. The oscillating market must find the oscillation range. Finding the rhythm is the most important thing. Yesterday, the daily line was a cross star again. Today's Asian session is expected to fluctuate. In addition, there are many fundamentals in the near future. The market has been led by the rhythm. Gold rose well before, and the sharp drop was also due to Trump's tariff policy. The global tariff war is inevitable in the future. It supports the US dollar in the long term and suppresses gold. The short-term top of the weekly line may be the long-term top. Today's idea is to focus on the 2969-3022 range. We will look for meat in this range in the Asian session. In addition, the daily fluctuations make the indicators sluggish. If the Asian session rebounds first and approaches 3022, go short first. On the contrary, if gold breaks and stands above 3022, it will also fluctuate, but the center of gravity of the fluctuation will rise to the range of 3000-3055. The fluctuation requires patience to wait for the position, and waiting is also part of the transaction. Support 2990, 2969, pressure 3022, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3000. Fundamental analysis: The tariff war continues to affect the market, and the long and short positions have begun to compete. We will pay attention to CPI later. Operational suggestions: Gold-----Sell near 3020-3060, target 3000-2969
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
4.9 Gold price trend after the Fed meetingIn the early European session, spot gold maintained its amazing intraday gains, and the current price is around $3046/oz, up $64 on the day. Gold's latest technical trading analysis: Gold's recent sharp decline from its all-time high has stalled near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the February-April rally. The support level is around the $2957-2956/oz area, or the multi-week low hit on Monday, followed by the 50-day moving average (currently around $2952/oz). If gold falls below the latter, it will be seen as a new trigger by bearish traders and drag gold to the next important support level around $2920/oz, and then all the way down to $2900/oz. On the other hand, the momentum of gold breaking through the overnight high (around the $3023/oz area) could push gold prices to the $3055-3056/oz barrier. Some follow-up buying should pave the way for gold to return to the $3,100/oz mark, with some intermediate barriers around $3,075-3,080/oz. Support: 3,030 3,018 3,000 Resistance: 3,045 3,068 3,080 We will update regularly every day to introduce how we manage active thinking and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
4.9 Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!Gold market analysis Gold idea: We need to pay attention to whether the daily line will rise after reaching a low. The daily line is hovering at the bottom. In a volatile market, we must find a range of volatility. Finding the rhythm is the most important thing. Yesterday, the daily line formed a cross star again. Today, the white market is expected to fluctuate. In addition, there are many fundamentals in the near future. The market has been led by the rhythm. Gold rose well before. The sharp drop was also due to Trump’s tariff policy. The global tariff war is inevitable in the future. It will support the US dollar in the long term and suppress gold. The short-term top of the weekly line may be a long-term top. Today’s idea: Let’s focus on the 2969-3022 volatility range. If the white market rebounds first and approaches 3022, go short first. On the contrary, if gold breaks and stands on 3022, it will also fluctuate, but the center of gravity of the volatility will rise to the 3000-3055 range. The volatility requires patience to wait for the position, and waiting is also part of the transaction. Support level: 2990-2969, Pressure: 3022 3035
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
4.9 gold rebound increases resistance level and continues shortiFundamentals: On Tuesday (April 8), the price of gold fluctuated slightly higher in the early US trading. The market is currently expecting a continuous decline, and at the same time paying attention to the logic of short selling at resistance points. After briefly hitting a four-week low on Monday, the price of gold rebounded quickly and rebounded strongly to above $3,000 in the Asian and European trading on Tuesday. Against this background, gold, as the ultimate safe-haven asset with "zero credit risk", has once again become the main allocation target of market funds. Every macro policy imbalance and external shock will bring cyclical buying to gold, and this time the intensity may be stronger. The current gold price has stabilized at the psychological level of $3,000 and is showing a short-term rising structure. From a technical perspective, the gold price in the daily chart quickly rose after stepping back on the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level ($2,956), showing the resilience of buying. If the gold price breaks through the short-term resistance of $3,020, the upward target will be the $3,055 and $3,080 areas, and further may rise to the $3,100 mark. The key support level below is still around $2956. If it fails, it may test the 50-day moving average support (about $2947). Once this level is lost, it may trigger more technical selling pressure. The biggest variable facing the current market is no longer inflation data, but the destructive impact of Trump's tariff increase on the global trade pattern. The Fed's policy space is opening up rapidly. Driven by the expectation of interest rate cuts and risk aversion demand, gold not only stabilizes the $3,000 mark, but is also likely to re-enter the main upward trend. Personal operation analysis: Trend: shock trend Support: 3000----2983------2965 Resistance: 3008-----3030-------3050 Strategy: Viewpoint logic: Short view near 3030, stop loss 3036, take profit near 3000----2970, and track stop loss 300 points.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
4.8 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasGold price has fallen below the previous row support band in the daily trend. The K-line continues to be under pressure from the short-term moving average and maintains a weaker trend of shock. In the short term, pay attention to the pressure band around 3030. In the 4-hour level trend, the K-line is currently under pressure from the short-term moving average and is maintaining a low-level shock repair. The strength and continuation of the intraday rebound are not too large. Pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. At present, after continuous shocks in the small-level cycle trend, the technical pattern has begun to gradually adjust. The K-line has begun to slowly stand on the short-term moving average and tends to have a certain rebound space in the short-term trend. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment. Operational suggestions: Short near 3017-8, stop loss 3023.9, or long near 2945-6, stop loss 2939.1. Real-time market intraday guidance. We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
4.8 Gold Bollinger Bands bearish signal appearsRecently, the spot gold price once fell below the psychological barrier of $3,000, triggering technical concerns in the market about whether the gold bull market has reached its peak. On Monday (April 7) in the North American session, spot gold is currently trying to recover to around $3,030, but the technical indicators have shown obvious divergence. Fundamental analysis The market's concerns about US inflation continue to ferment, and the intensification of global trade frictions is driving the market's concerns about economic stagflation. The Fed's policy stance has also undergone subtle changes. The market has begun to price in five possible interest rate cuts this year. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in May has soared from 33.3% last Friday to 49.3%. At present, traders are turning their attention to the US inflation data to be released this week, which will provide important clues for assessing the US economic situation. Technical analysts' interpretation: Bollinger band breakthrough signal indicates a short-term correction On the daily chart, gold prices have formed a clear upward channel since mid-March, but recently touched the upper track of the Bollinger band and began to fall. It is worth noting that the middle track of the Bollinger Band 3006.13 has become a key support level. After breaking through the historical high of 3167.60, the price has shown a typical upward exhaustion pattern. The MACD indicator shows DIFF: 43.46, DEA: 48.65, MACD: -10.39, and the green kinetic energy column has begun to expand, indicating that the short-term downward momentum is accumulating. RSI indicator shows overbought correction The 120-minute chart shows that the RSI indicator has fallen from the overbought area to a neutral level of 40.37. At the same time, the CCI indicator has dropped to -45.05, further confirming the trend of short-term overbought correction. Key support and resistance level analysis The current gold price faces multiple technical resistances, among which 3055.00 and 3085.00 constitute the main resistance range for short-term rebound. The lower support levels are mainly concentrated at $3005.00 and $2971.31, and these two levels will determine whether the gold price can remain above the psychological level of $3,000. In particular, the $2971.31 level, as a recent low, may trigger a deeper adjustment if it is lost. From the long-term daily chart, gold prices formed an accelerated upward channel after breaking through $2950.00. The recent high of $3167.60 is just at the upper track of the channel. This trend of peaking and falling is in line with the classic channel trading theory. Outlook Bull Outlook: If the US inflation data exceeds expectations, the market's expectations for a more aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve will be further strengthened, and gold prices are expected to re-challenge the high of $3167.60 after a correction. Technically, gold prices need to return to above $3055.00 to reactivate upward momentum. The widening of the Bollinger Band width indicates that volatility is increasing, which provides potential trading opportunities for bulls. Bear Outlook: In the short term, the downward divergence of the upper track of the Bollinger Band indicates that gold prices may face further corrections. The MACD histogram turned green and continued to expand, suggesting that downward momentum is accumulating. If the gold price falls below the key support of $2,971.31, it may trigger a deeper adjustment, and the next target will be $2,950.00 or even $2,920.00.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
4.7 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideas! US market4.7 Interpretation of gold late trading operation ideas: Falling more than 70 points in the morning, it quickly rebounded and reversed! How will gold evolve tonight? This V-reversal market frequently appears in these three trading days. It is difficult for us to encounter it once or twice a month. This increases the risk of trading. Once you make a mistake, it will be a reversal of dozens of points! When trading, you must strictly use the "stop loss". We note that the three V-reversals in this stage have common characteristics. The stop in the last trading intensive period means that "3130" can be used as a reference for stage support and pressure. Then these three are: 3130, 3050, 2970---2980 The decline caused by the backlog of sell orders and insufficient liquidity! For gold, it will cause multiple stimulations, panic selling, and funds leaving the market for a short time to avoid risks. Selling gold to fill the gap in other markets and many other factors, and the central banks around the world that intend to reserve gold will not wait! They will still buy strategically, so the trend determines that the decline is limited. 2880 and 2630 are the two main observation positions. After the small-cycle funds rebounded in the morning, the market entered a triangular consolidation state, the highs were gradually decreasing, and the lows were flattening. This is an obvious sign of market wait-and-see sentiment. The probability of a V-reversal phase or a continuous unilateral trend in the evening increased! If you follow this logic, gold should be under pressure around 3035-3038 during the rebound phase of 16-18 points! And then continue to fall. Of course, if the EU further expresses its tariffs! It may cause the short-term volatility of the market to intensify! Any unilateral trend needs to be confirmed in the US market. In the evening, whether it is a V-reversal from north to south or a continuation of the Asian and European market, it is normal. The overall framework will not deviate from the framework of 3130, 3050, 2980! We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
4.7 Gold short-term operation technical strategyLast week, gold and Dow Jones started to plummet across the board, and the short-selling of the band was a carnival. First of all, our initial short-selling target of 38,500 under the Dow Jones 45,000 has been completed. The only key support is the 36,300 line, and gold has also fallen to the 2970 line. There is no bottom at present, but there is a rebound in the key support level, so don't chase the low in the morning! From the closing point of view, the weekly line finally closed with a long upper shadow line and a quasi-inverted hammer pattern. After the end of this pattern, the market has been in the short stage this week. The intraday rebound is still mainly high-altitude. The market has a large amplitude, and the small stop loss has lost its meaning. At this time, the entry position is very important. In terms of points, the intraday rebound 3045-55 area continues to be high-altitude. Short-term support: 3038, 3018, 2980, 2960 Do a good job of pushing the position protection! ! !
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1