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Don't chase gold if it falls below $3,300 The Trump administration's tariff policy has been stopped through judicial procedures. Affected by this news, it is inevitable that gold will continue to fall back today: yesterday's rebound hit the resistance level and fell back to $3,325. The market fell sharply in the early trading, and the market pattern quickly changed from range fluctuations to bearish dominance. From a technical analysis, the bearish pattern of the medium-term weekly cycle is forming effective pressure. Even if there is a sharp rebound in the future and breaks through the recent highs, it is very likely to be a bull trap-essentially a precursor to a return to a downward trend after a decline. Gold/USD Sales @3270-3280 TP: 3250-3240 sl: 3290 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold trading direction remains bullish Gold prices fell under pressure, breaking through 3,300 points during the session and eventually closing at a low level. The lack of fundamental support and the rise in US assets eventually caused gold prices to fall back, and are still in a falling stage. At the beginning of this week, we made it clear that we would not enter the market at a high level to chase the rise. Gold prices are facing important technical suppression. Falling back may be inevitable, but it is also normal. Only by falling back can we expand the space for rising prices. The upward trend will not be changed during the adjustment. Under this development background, the next trading path is clear. At the beginning of the week, although the US dollar rebounded, it is still unknown whether it can continue! After the 20-year US Treasury auction last week was cold, this week will usher in the 5-year and 7-year Treasury auctions. If it is cold again, the market will only increase its distrust of the entire US assets. If so, it will theoretically be good for gold prices. On Thursday, the market will welcome the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May monetary policy meeting, followed by speeches by several Federal Reserve officials. What will be the final tone? It is difficult to make predictions and affirmations now, and the market needs to observe inflation from this meeting and speech most, so as to clarify expectations on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates or not, which requires special attention. 5.29 Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes Whether the gold price retreats or fluctuates, it will not change the upward trend. This is a point we have made clear many times, but it should be noted that it is different from last year. This year's rise is unlikely to rise from the beginning of the year to the end of the year like last year. This year's rise must go through multiple cycles and large space back and forth, especially leveraged transactions. Positions must be controlled and risks must be strictly controlled. Those who are not leveraged only need to wait patiently and use time to exchange space. Yesterday, the price of gold retreated as expected, falling below 3,300 points during the session. After reaching the effective support level, it rebounded, but the strength was not strong and the space was not large. The final price was not high. From today to now, there has not been a strong rebound, and even if there is, it is difficult to sustain. As of today, Wednesday, the decline in gold prices has not yet ended completely. The support tested yesterday is expected to be tested again, or even broken. From a technical point of view, there is still a lot of room for expansion below, but the trend of gold prices is not completely determined by a single technical aspect. It must be combined with fundamental information to make a comprehensive judgment. In short, the upward trend of gold prices has not changed. In the stage of retracement and adjustment, it is necessary to control the rhythm of long and short changes. If it can retrace and lower the price, there will be more room for the next rise.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Yuliya1l11
Gold awaits tariff volatility！ 📌 Driving Events Gold rebounded from a weekly low near $3,245 and broke through the $3,300 mark on Thursday, boosted by optimism following a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and a U.S. court ruling halting President Trump's proposed tariffs. Gold fell on Friday as the dollar rose slightly, while investors await a U.S. inflation report that could provide further insights into the Fed's policy trajectory. 📊 Commentary Analysis The market continued to fall for an hour, fluctuating back and forth, lacking continuity - it rose yesterday and fell today. Gold rebounded above $3,320 in early trading before retreating. On the weekly and daily charts, the trend is still dominated by range fluctuations rather than unilateral gains or losses. I think shorting gold should be considered today, with support below at $3,280-3,270-3,260. However, prices may struggle to make new lows. As today is the monthly close, large fluctuations suggest that we should avoid chasing ups and downs. 💰Strategy plan XAUUSD Sell: 3330-3320-3310 tp: 3300-3290-3280
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Risk aversion cools down, gold may continue to fall 📌 Driving events The International Trade Court in Manhattan, USA, blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" trade measures. This news is conducive to shorting gold. This news is undoubtedly a reversal of Trump's "reciprocal tariff" policy implemented on April 3, slapping Trump in the face! Gold has been mainly driven by tariffs this year, and the decline is mainly due to the easing of tariffs. Spot gold has fluctuated sharply recently. After opening at $3285.91/ounce in the Asian session, it reached a high of $3294.46/ounce, and then fell sharply. The lowest reached around $3240 and continued to fall. 📊Comment analysis The volatility of the Asian session highlights the fierce game between long and short positions. The changes in risk aversion caused by previous geopolitical and economic data, and investors' profit-taking and other factors are intertwined. Subsequent investors need to keep a close eye on key information such as the minutes of the subsequent Federal Reserve meeting in order to grasp the trend of gold prices. 💰Strategy Package After the Asian session opened, gold was affected by the news and quickly plunged through the 3280-85 area support. After a rapid decline in important support, the upper 3280-85 constituted the next strong resistance, the strong and weak dividing line. Below it, the weak position is expected to gradually fall to 3245-50 before reversing the short pattern, and further to 3225-20 and 3200. Given that the 3250-45 area is a recent bullish breakthrough, the 3245-50 area support is bound to usher in a strong rebound during the day, and further attention will be paid to the 3220-25 area and the 3200 mark support rebound. Refer to it to formulate trading strategies! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold is waiting for a breakthrough? A new trend?In the Asian market, gold has repeatedly tested the downward trend near $3,300. As of now, it has stabilized above $3,300 again. The current highest rebound is around $3,323. The price is under pressure at this position and keeps testing to break through this position. From the hourly chart, the previous trend of falling from $3,365 was a decline and then rebound. The current trend from $3,350 is the same. The current market is around $3,325, which is the position we need to pay attention to. If gold breaks through and stabilizes at $3,325 next, it will test the intraday high of $3,335. Therefore, I suggest that you can maintain the 3,325-3,335 US dollars to enter the market for short selling. You can use yesterday's high of $3,350 as a defense. The target is the support of $3,300 below today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold closed with a big negative line, and may fall below 3285 📌 Driving events On Monday, gold prices fell nearly 2%, falling below the $3,300 mark. Investor sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump decided to postpone the imposition of tariffs on EU imports. The recovery in risk appetite, coupled with the dollar's small rebound from last week's decline, put pressure on the non-yielding precious metal. Earlier, President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen had a call over the weekend and finally decided to postpone the U.S. plan to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9. The move eased global trade concerns, prompted investors to shift away from safe-haven assets other than the dollar, and pushed global stocks higher. 📊Commentary Analysis Gold showed a downward trend on Tuesday and has now broken below the 5-day moving average. This change has turned the market from a previous strong rise to a volatile trend. However, to determine whether the market has weakened, further observation is needed. From the perspective of upper resistance, focus on the position near 3350. This position is not only yesterday's high point, but also the resistance position formed by the extension of the line connecting the high points of 3350 and 3438. Once the price breaks through this resistance level, it means that the market will return to a strong upward trend. In fact, it is near 3325 or the low point in the previous decline. It is necessary to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion here. The support level below is first yesterday's low of 3285 and the previous low of 3280. 💰Strategy Package Operation strategy; Short gold near 3325, defend 3335, target 3305-3285 Long gold near 3280, defend 3270, target 3300-3320 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
3
Gold 3315 gains and losses are the key 📌 Driving events From the news perspective, data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday showed that U.S. durable goods orders in April plunged 6.3% month-on-month, with an expected value of -7.8% and a previous value revised from 9.20% to 7.50%. Volatile commercial aircraft orders plunged 51.5% in April after rising in March. Boeing said it received only eight aircraft orders in April, the lowest since May 2024, far lower than the 192 orders in March, the highest since 2023. Affected by the sharp drop in commercial aircraft orders, U.S. durable goods orders fell more than expected in April, with core capital goods orders (excluding aircraft and military hardware) falling 1.3%, the biggest drop since October last year. Under the influence of uncertainty in tariffs and tax policies, corporate investment willingness is weakening. Through the data, it is not difficult to find that American companies have shown obvious caution in assessing the demand outlook and have shifted their focus to cost reduction, which directly reflects the impact of uncertainty brought about by Trump's trade policy. At the same time, the tax legislation being debated in Congress has also put companies on the sidelines, further suppressing the impulse to invest. 📊Comment Analysis After the pullback on Monday this week, the decline accelerated on Tuesday, and the continuous decline came back, changing the strong upward trend of last week 💰Strategy Package In terms of operation, in the short term, long and short operations can be carried out in the range of 3315-3297 US dollars, and the support position of 3285/80 should be paid attention to below; medium and long-term investors can buy on dips and take advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of weak US dollars to gradually establish long positions. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
Spot gold fell below the 3330 mark 📌 Driving events The trend of gold prices this week needs to focus on the following three major risk events: First, the confrontation between Israel and the Houthis intensified this week. On May 25, the Houthis used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel's Ben-Gurion International Airport for the first time, resulting in the interruption of airport operations. Israel subsequently launched a retaliatory air strike. Iran has made it clear that it "will not give in on uranium enrichment activities" and warned that it will take hundreds of alternatives if it is sanctioned Second, although the Trump administration's threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union has been postponed to July 9, the market is still concerned about it. If the trade war escalates, it may lead to increased global economic uncertainty, which will in turn boost the safe-haven demand for gold. However, the repetition of tariff policies may also trigger changes in market risk preferences and have a two-way impact on gold prices. Third, record-breaking air strikes in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict Russia launched the largest air strike since the war on Ukraine on May 26, launching 355 drones and 9 cruise missiles, and many parts of Ukraine suffered heavy losses. The attack has heightened market concerns about geopolitical risks, pushing gold prices higher in the short term. However, due to expectations of a prolonged conflict, market demand for safe-haven assets may gradually weaken. Technically, gold has performed strongly at support levels near $3,330. 📊Commentary Analysis This week, gold prices will remain highly volatile under the intertwined influence of multiple risk events. Investors need to remain vigilant and flexibly adjust strategies to respond to market changes. Analyze the market, make plans, and manage risk. 💰Strategy Package In terms of operations, investors are advised to pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and the progress of Trump's tariff policy. In the short term, short selling can be carried out in the range of $3,330-3,305, with a target of around $3,290-3,280. Profits can be taken in batches, and a light position can be taken long after breaking through $3,310, with a target of $3,360-3,380. Profits can be taken in batches, and medium- and long-term investors can make layouts on dips, taking advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of a weak dollar, and gradually establish long positions. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Gold plummeted? Here comes the latest analysis.Today, the gold market continued its downward trend. It failed to break through the key resistance level of $3,365 in the early stage, and then fell under pressure. It is a normal price adjustment for the Asian market to break through the previous support level. The current price fluctuates around the strong support of $3,300. Coupled with several news to be released in the United States, the price trend is full of uncertainty. In this period of time, I don’t think it is suitable for shorting. From the 4-hour chart, gold has insufficient upward momentum. After failing to break through the upward resistance level for a long time, it began to decline. In the market last week, the price has always fluctuated between $3,330 and $3,365. In the narrow range of fluctuations, once a new trend appears, whether it is upward or downward, it may accelerate the price fluctuation range in a very short time; this is an instant release after accumulating energy. This is why the Asian markets suddenly started to move downward. From the current market situation, the bulls are under great pressure, which is completely different from the strong upward pattern last week. At present, the trend of gold is more dominated by weak fluctuations. Based on the current trend, we still follow the strategy of high-altitude and low-volume trading in our operations.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold continues to fluctuate. Interval analysis.Market analysis: Gold opened slightly lower on Monday and fell to around 3331 before rebounding. After being blocked near 3357, it began to fluctuate and fall. The lowest point in the European session fell to around 3324, and then the market stopped falling and fluctuated and rose. The US session continued to rise, and the daily line closed with a small negative line with a lower shadow. Gold showed a big positive trend last Friday, and closed negative on Monday for adjustment. The current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a golden cross and continue upward. This moving average pattern shows a certain bullish momentum. In the short term, focus on the support of the 5-day moving average, which is currently around 3330. When the price is above this moving average, the market fluctuates mainly on the strong side. The upper resistance level first looks at around 3365, which is the high point of last Friday. Before the price does not break through this resistance level strongly, the volatile market will remain. On the whole, today's focus will be on the support of the 3330-3326 area below, and the focus will be on the resistance near 3365 above. Operation strategy: Short at rebound near 3365, stop loss at 3375, profit range 3345-3330 Long at retracement near 3326, stop loss at 3316, profit range 3350-3370
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold plunges. Downside meets?Spot gold fluctuates at high levels during the Asian session and is currently trading around $3,330. I think spot gold is expected to fall below the immediate support level of $3,330 per ounce and fall towards $3,284. Completion occurs near the key resistance level of $3,366, which is reinforced by similar resistance established by the descending trend line. Working together with these obstacles is another obstacle, namely $3,355, which is the retracement level of the downtrend from $3,501 to $3,120. The bearish divergence of the hourly RSI confirms that the rally has been exhausted and a sharp correction is imminent. Based on the changes in the Asian market today, an analysis was conducted. I hope my analysis can help you turn losses into profits in the trading market. Operation strategy: Short at $3,340, stop loss at $3,355, and profit range of $3,310-3,300.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Will gold remain high as it does not break previous highs? 📊Technical aspects Gold's 1-hour moving average begins to flatten and turn, so gold may start to fluctuate. In fact, after the last breakout of the box-shaped oscillation, gold may start to build a new box-shaped oscillation, and it is still at a high level of oscillation, so you can continue to short at high levels. In addition, gold has already formed a double-top structure in one hour. If it cannot break through, then gold is likely to fall under pressure from the double top. The market is changing rapidly, pay attention to the current market. If gold can strongly break through the previous high in the US market, then the volume of gold bulls may restart. 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3345-3350
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreGwc
How will the price of gold go? Prospect analysis is here.In the Asian session, spot gold rebounded modestly after a sharp drop in the previous trading day, and the price of gold is currently around $3,330. Gold prices lost some upside momentum on Thursday, but downside remains limited. Gold prices suffered a correction on Thursday, ending the previous three consecutive trading days of gains, mainly due to the rebound of the US dollar and traders taking profits after the price of gold hit a two-week high. Spot gold closed down $20.14, or 0.61%, at $3,294.81 per ounce on Thursday. We see gold encountering some profit-taking selling pressure after its recent gains, while a stronger U.S. dollar index is another bearish factor. However, affected by the turmoil in the global bond market, the gold market continues to be bullish and the decline is limited. Short-term technical analysis: Looking at the gold daily chart, the high point of gold prices on Thursday moved up from the previous trading day, while the low point moved down. Buyers continue to defend on the downside near the flat SMA 20-day, which provides support near $3,288.00. The 100-day and 200-day moving averages continue to move upwards at levels well below current gold prices, consistent with the dominant bullish trend. Finally, technical indicators have lost bullish power but are flat within positive levels, limiting the possibility of further declines. Looking at the 4-hour chart, there is no sign that gold will fall further. Gold prices continue to trade above all its moving averages, with the 20-period SMA crossing above the directionless 100-period SMA and 200-period SMA. Meanwhile, technical indicators are moving lower, but with limited downside power, they remain above their midlines. Short-term focus on important support and resistance levels: Support: $3,290; $3,270; $3,250. Resistance: $3,325; $3,345; $3,360. I hope my analysis can help you make profits easily in the trading market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold bulls push prices to around 3355 📌 Driving events Gold prices rose more than 0.50% and held above the $3,300 mark, driven by renewed safe-haven demand and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. As of writing, gold/USD is trading around $3,317, rebounding from an intraday low of $3,285. Market sentiment remains fragile, with US stocks falling into negative territory and US Treasury yields slightly higher. All eyes are on the upcoming vote on President Trump's tax reform plan. According to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the plan could lead to an approximately $3.8 trillion expansion of the US national debt. Uncertainty about the fiscal outlook continues to stimulate demand for gold as a defensive asset. 📊Comment Analysis Gold price recovery is good, pay attention to the 3358 price area, adjust downward, and continue to accumulate funds around 3300 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell gold area: 3358-3360 SL 3365 TP1: $3350 TP2: $3337 TP3: $3322 🔥Buy gold area: $3284-$3276 SL $3270 TP1: $3300 TP2: $3320 TP3: $3340 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold consolidates. Changing trend?Asian market: Gold continues to rise, and the current highest is near the high of $3345. The next trend is very critical, let's look at it from the 4-hour chart. It can be seen that there is absolute suppression at $3340. It is just near the top of the trend line, and it is difficult to break through directly. Therefore, it will definitely be maintained near $3340 for consolidation in the future. In addition, from the 1-hour chart: I think the most critical bottom support position today is $3315. As long as gold is above this point, it will be in a consolidation and rise, or it will be maintained at $3315-3340 for consolidation. The position above that needs to be paid attention to is near $3350. Once it breaks through $3340 and stabilizes above $3350, gold may rise further to test $3360-3370. However, if gold falls below $3315, it may trigger a sharp decline. Operation strategy: I suggest you focus on the fluctuation range of 3315-3340 USD and buy low and sell high. However, it should be noted that once the upper or lower range is broken, you should be alert to the possible trend change.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Will gold continue to rise as risk aversion heats up? 📌 Gold driving factors At present, the current market sentiment has turned cautious, driving safe-haven funds into gold. Previously, Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating, and President Trump's promotion of a large-scale tax cut bill is expected to be passed by Congress, further strengthening the theme of "selling the United States" and exerting continuous pressure on the US dollar. In addition, the resurgence of disputes between the United States and China on the chip issue, and the news that the Group of Seven is considering imposing tariffs on cheap Chinese products, have exacerbated the uncertainty of the global economic outlook, further suppressing the US dollar, while supporting gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, to an eight-day high. Gold prices also benefited from the heating up of geopolitical tensions. CNN reported that several US officials revealed that Israel is preparing to launch a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. 📊Commentary Analysis The current market is still running in a range of shocks. Therefore, the US market is still trading repeatedly around the range for the time being. For the time being, the small range will temporarily look at the 3320-3285 line! 💰Strategy Package Gold: Short when it retreats to around 3325-3320, stop loss at 3330, target around 3290! For long orders, look at the support situation and then enter the market at the right time! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Gold breaks through 3300, where is the next stop 📌 Driving events Beth Hammack, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stressed that the current US government's policies make it increasingly challenging for the Federal Reserve to effectively guide the economy and fulfill its dual mission of maintaining price stability and full employment. She also warned that the risk of a stagflationary environment (characterized by stagnant growth and persistent inflation) is rising. In contrast, Alberto Musalem, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, recently said that the current monetary policy stance is still appropriately adjusted. Despite rising US Treasury yields, gold has struggled to gain support, indicating that higher yields alone are not enough to drive safe-haven demand under the current circumstances. However, global monetary easing policies may provide support for this precious metal. In the latest moves during the Asian trading session, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) cut its benchmark interest rate, followed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unexpectedly cutting the cash rate from 4.10% to 3.85% - moves that usually support non-yielding assets such as gold. 📊Comment Analysis Spot gold prices have extended gains in recent intraday trading, taking advantage of its stability above EMA50 and trading along a bullish trend line on a short-term basis, strengthening its ability to reach the main resistance level of $3,300 and break it. Some weak signals have appeared on technical indicators. We noticed that a negative overlap signal has formed on the RSI, and after reaching overbought levels, this indicates that a temporary adjustment is needed on the upward action. Therefore, gold has reduced some of its early gains and waited for clearer signals to continue the bullish trend. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3332 TP3: $3320 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245 TP1: $3260 TP2: $3270 TP3: $3280 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
2
Gold fell below 3,200 today? 📌 Driving Events In early Asian trading on Tuesday, gold prices (XAU/USD) fell slightly to around $3,230, affected by a slight rebound in the US dollar (USD). However, continued concerns about the health of the US economy - especially after Moody's recent credit rating downgrade - may help limit further downside for precious metals. The rebound in the US dollar has curbed the upward momentum of dollar-denominated assets such as gold. Nevertheless, heightened economic uncertainty is still supporting safe-haven demand. Moody's downgraded the US sovereign rating from "Aaa" to "Aa1" on Friday, citing its rising debt levels and interest payments that have exceeded other similarly rated countries. These developments have kept risk sentiment fragile and provided potential support for gold prices. 📊Comment Analysis Accumulating along the upper and lower trend lines, the gold price will break out and require more liquidity than the downward trend 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3224-3226 SL 3230 Scalping TP1: $3215 TP2: $3208 TP3: $3200 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3276-3278 SL 3283 Scalping TP1: $3260 TP2: $3250 TP3: $3240 🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3152 - $3150 SL $3145 TP1: $3165 TP2: $3180 TP3: $3195 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Putin's phone call changed the market? 📌 Driving Events Putin's "peace smoke bomb", gold is under short-term pressure Just when gold was soaring due to risk aversion, a piece of news on Monday cooled the market instantly - after Putin and Trump talked on the phone, both sides released the signal that "Russia and Ukraine will soon ceasefire negotiations." Trump even announced loudly: "Russia and Ukraine will start ceasefire negotiations immediately!" US President Trump said, "We will do everything we can to stop the conflict in Ukraine." This news caused the market's risk appetite to rise briefly, and the gold price fell slightly to around $3,220 in the Asian market on Tuesday. But senior observers soon discovered that Putin's words were full of diplomatic rhetoric - he only said that the peace efforts were "on the right track" but did not promise a specific ceasefire time. Former Swedish Prime Minister Bilt pointed out: "This is Putin's victory. He successfully delayed the ceasefire pressure while continuing military operations." Market truth: Geopolitical risks have not really subsided, and the safe-haven demand for gold is only a short respite. 📊Comment analysis For investors, the question now is not "whether to buy gold", but "when to buy and how much to buy". At the moment when the global economic order is being reconstructed, the light of gold may have just begun to shine. 💰Strategy Package Bullish breakout scenario: If the price breaks through the high of last Friday's rebound at $3,252 and continues to rise, you can go long with a light position near $3,260, targeting the $3,280-$3,290 range. Bearish breakout scenario: If the price breaks below the key support level of $3,200 and further declines, you can go short near $3,190, targeting the $3,170-$3,160 range. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
Beware! Gold Falls 📌 World Situation Gold prices fell more than 1.5% on Friday and are on track to close the week with a loss of more than 4% as improving risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and into stocks and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily high of $3,252. The precious metal started the week lower following a reported significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including an agreement by both sides to reduce tariffs by 115%. Despite trading between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold prices struggled to maintain bullish momentum, with weakening buyer interest becoming increasingly apparent against the backdrop of stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data. 📊Comment Analysis Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia-Ukraine peace talks 💰Strategy Package Resistance: $3265, $3357 Support: $3160, $3112 In this range, you can enter the market in batches in real time to flexibly grasp the market changes. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
Technical & Historical Key TakeawaysThis chart analyzes the historical price cycles of Gold (XAU/USD) over the past decades, focusing on the alternation between long bull runs and prolonged bear markets. You highlighted clear phases: 1970 - 1980: 10-year Bull Run Massive price rally, followed by a sharp correction. 1980 - 2001: 20-year Bear Market Prolonged sideways and downward movement. 2001 - 2011: 10-year Bull Run Strong upward trend, reaching new all-time highs. 2011 - 2016: 5-year Bear Market Significant correction but shorter in duration. 2016 - 2025: 10-year Bull Run Another strong bullish phase, possibly ending in May 2025. 🔮 Scenarios projected: Scenario 1 (Blue path): A shorter bear market (5 years) similar to 2011-2016 correction, then continuation of the long-term uptrend. Scenario 2 (Yellow path): Gold enters a long-term 20-year bear market, similar to what happened post-1980. You are asking if Gold is now entering a short bear phase (Scenario 1) or will fall into a multi-decade bear market (Scenario 2). Cyclicality of Gold: Gold has shown repetitive cycles of 10-year bull runs followed by either short (5-year) or long (20-year) bear markets. These cycles seem to reflect macroeconomic shifts (inflation, interest rates, global crises). Current Cycle (2016 - 2025): If we respect the pattern, May 2025 might mark the end of the current bull cycle, opening the door to a corrective phase. Scenario 1 favors a soft correction: Based on the last cycle (2011-2016), a 5-year bear market might occur. This would keep the long-term bullish trend alive, especially if macroeconomic conditions stay inflationary or geopolitical risks remain high. Scenario 2 warns of a harsh bear market: If history repeats the 1980-2001 phase, gold could enter a multi-decade bear market, driven by reduced inflation fears, strong dollar cycles, or financial system stability. Key Indicators to watch: Real interest rates. USD strength vs global currencies. Demand from central banks and emerging markets. Geopolitical tensions and inflation expectations.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Yassine_Houd
Gold, false decline, real wash 📊Comment analysis The recent surge and plunge of gold has also led to many different opinions on the market trend. If it rises, look at the ceiling, and if it falls, look at the floor. Most of them are such remarks, and the misleading nature of such remarks can be imagined. The first time I chased more at 3500, it was okay. After the beginning of the month, I soon got the opportunity to get out of the trap. But those who chased higher at 3400 twice last week were not so lucky. Opportunities cannot always be there, and not every time you can survive. Once you have the idea of ​​standing guard or holding on, it means you will lose. In the face of huge fluctuations in prices, short-term card points, and few positions can be grasped. You can't just rely on a rumor on the Internet to chase shorts and look at bear markets when prices fall, and chase longs and look at bull markets when prices rise. Investing and trading are two different things. Investment is a direction, focusing on large cycles, large directions, long-term, and profiting by time. Trading, on the other hand, makes money by rhythm and fluctuations, which are completely two concepts. I have always said that the general direction is bullish and the rhythm is to get on board after every retracement. The transaction is divided into short, medium and long. The short-term is limited to intraday. Whether it is right or wrong, it is settled on the same day. The medium-term wave band, after each large retracement, insist on getting on board in batches, and leave after a phased rise. For the long-term, after each large retracement, build positions in batches and hold for a long time. First, make the logic clear, and then talk about the operation. We can't achieve the lowest or highest, but as long as we achieve a relatively low or high position, it will be fine. The core of investment is the cycle, and the core of trading is the rhythm. If the rhythm is right, everything is right. In the face of the sharp rise and fall of gold, first, don't hold a heavy position, and second, as long as it is not a relatively high or relatively low chasing order, there is no need to panic. First, if you hold a heavy position, first of all, you can't withstand the fluctuations, you can only bet on the win or loss of one order, and there will be no next chance. Secondly, as long as you chase long at high positions and short at low positions, even if you have a light position, you will not have a chance to get out of the trap, and you can only make up for the loss through new transactions. There is no other way, but to achieve unity of knowledge and action, and don't think about it. Heavy positions, plus chasing back and forth, plus the world lock, will only die faster and will not get out of the trap. Take care of yourself. Let's talk about the market. First of all, the bull is still there. Secondly, the sharp drop and surge are wash-outs and adjustments, not the peak, but the base is large and the amplitude is large, so you have to reduce your position. At present, it is a large-scale range shock wash-out adjustment at the daily level, and a weekly level retracement, not the peak. It will be very clear if you look at the big cycle, and you must not listen to the rumors flying all over the sky. If it rises, chase high to see new highs, and if it falls, chase short to see new lows. It is not advisable. Again, remember one thing, grasp the relative highs and lows, let the wind and waves rise, and sit on the fishing boat steadily. After the U.S. market plummeted, it directly reversed and surged. This kind of market will not continue. Don't chase it. Don't see the plummet and then the surge, and then shout that the bottom has been reached. The plummet means the peak, and the surge means the bottom has been reached. Isn't it a life-and-death situation every day? The U.S. market directly talked about the next area. After the sell-off, gold rebounded sharply yesterday, which gave the trapped orders an opportunity to escape, not a direct reversal. Next, gold will enter a large range of shocks and washes with 3260 as resistance and 3150-3120 as support. After the shock, it will finally experience a wave of sell-offs and break the new low, and then it will bottom out. The bottoming logic is the same as the May Day period. Before May Day, gold continued to maintain above 3260 for washing. After May Day, it directly broke below 3260 and touched 3200 and then rose. Next, it will be the same. After a period of washing and shock, it will fall below the low of 3120 again, hit a new low and bottom out, and start to rise. The rhythm is like this, it depends entirely on courage, patience and technology, chasing ups and downs is not advisable. The rhythm is like this, watch more and do less, hold tight, and fasten your seat belts. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127. Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305 Support : $3,213 , $3,127
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global