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Goldman_analysis

It’s the right time to go shortLast week, gold came under pressure at the key resistance of 3356 and then fluctuated downwards. The market jumped short and opened low, directly breaking through the support to a low of 3259, and the daily line continued the downward trend. The current market is in the daily level adjustment stage, but the downward momentum is strong and the risk of breaking continues to accumulate. From a technical perspective, 3280 constitutes a short-term upward resistance. If the rebound is blocked, you can still choose to arrange short orders; there is strong support near 3240 below, and it is necessary to pay attention to whether this position can be effectively broken to confirm the accelerated decline. On the news side, the easing of the Sino-US tariff situation has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. In addition, the bullish momentum of gold has been exhausted after the previous consecutive rises, and the recent weak and volatile pattern has become prominent. Gold recommendation: short near 3280-3290, target 3270-3260.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
2
Gold opening rise and fall prediction？The current gold market is in a range of fluctuations, maintaining a wide range of fluctuations. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 area, while the 3450 price level above constitutes a significant double-top structural resistance level. Although the conclusion of the US-UK tariff agreement has a phased negative effect on precious metals at the geopolitical level and may provide a demonstration effect for other regional trade negotiations, the overall technical structure still maintains a downward trend. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through an important support platform. The current daily K-line continues to close the adjustment pattern with an upper shadow line, and the alternating yin and yang oscillation rhythm conforms to the technical correction characteristics. It is worth noting that the 50-period moving average continues a clear downward trajectory, forming a resonance suppression with the double-top structure in the 3450 area. The 1-hour gold chart shows that the short-term price trend presents a clear downward channel feature, and the seller's power continues to dominate the market. Combined with the Fibonacci extension level calculation, the first target below can still focus on the 3300 area. If this support platform is lost, the price will have a technical demand to further explore the 3320 integer mark. The current volume and price coordination shows that the market is brewing a new wave of trending market conditions. It is necessary to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend. Taken together, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3360-3380, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3320-3300.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
1
The market is full of crises next week!📌Fundamentals: This weekend, China and the United States held two days of negotiations as scheduled. It seems that there are many topics to discuss and the scope is wide, but they are still trying to reach a consensus. Otherwise, there is no need to spend two days of intensive talks. Some people think that after so long, there is no conclusion, which is bad news. I think the opposite. At this time, no bad news means good news. Based on the current "marathon" negotiation time, we need to be vigilant about the expected difference in the results of this round of negotiations. The second is the India-Pakistan conflict. After the talks led by the United States, India and Pakistan have agreed to a comprehensive and immediate ceasefire. Judging from this line alone, there will definitely be no risk of risk aversion rising when the market opens on Monday. The only thing is that the results of this round of negotiations between China and the United States are quite important, and there will definitely be results before the opening of Monday. 📊Technological aspects: Even if the current round of China-US negotiations achieves an optimistic result, gold cannot fall below 3300. If it falls below 3300 and hits the low point below 3275 again, then the next step for gold is very likely to touch the high point of 3160-50 where the trade war started. On the contrary, if gold can hold 3300, then it is very likely to move like the previous wave, break the range, stand above 3360-70, then gold will continue to return to above 3400. Therefore, the most critical position for the opening of next week is the support position of 3300 below and the suppression position of 3360-70 above. If it breaks, the trend will almost move in that direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Risk aversion in China-US negotiations cools down!Gold closed with an "inverted hammer" positive line this week. The upper shadow line was mainly due to the continued stimulation of gold's safe-haven properties by the news at the beginning of the week. However, the tariff war with previous lessons helped the gold price to hit a historical high of 3500. The reaction of gold prices to this news this week was not as enthusiastic as before, which also led to the stop of the rise at 3439. The announcement of the interest rate decision in the second half of the week was in line with expectations. The gold price plunged 170 points in two days and stabilized above the 3300 mark as of yesterday's closing. Based on the previous evening star combination and this week's inverted hammer, it is believed that the gold price will continue to fall next week and will close below the real time, that is, below 3306. From the perspective of daily K, this week is generally a trend of rising and falling, and a slight rebound follows after the decline at the end of the week. Weekly Review We continue with the analysis of the second half of the week. From the perspective of the gold price trend since the high point of 3500, the first wave of decline has been considered to be over. The rebound from 3200 to 3439 did not exceed the previous high, so we will continue to analyze the second wave of decline, and strictly implement this idea in the operation. Now the overall trend of gold prices is also the same. Next week's operation will focus on the key suppression position of 3378 near the end of the week. If it cannot stand firm in the first half of the week, there is still a lot of room for further decline. From the four-hour level, the triangle convergence pattern we analyzed is still there. Unexpectedly, there was a false break of the lower track in the Asian session on Friday. Next week, we still need to continue to pay attention to the support of this position. In general, next week, we will first pay attention to the operation of the range from 3378 to 3274, and wait for the break before I will re-analyze the structure. Once again, I would like to remind you that the news market is repeated, and the base of gold prices is too large, so the intraday volatility has also increased. It is also common to go up and down more than 100 points in a single day. Everyone needs to pay attention to the risk control of their positions. In the short term, if we move to the hourly level, we can analyze the last wave of structure. The gold price rebounded after breaking through 3288 in the Asian session on Friday. After this action, the gold price rebounded quickly. Let’s not talk about who has the upper hand. From the last wave of rebound, the continuation is insufficient. If it is a restart of the bulls, the European and American sessions also need to cross the previous downward high point of 3368 to confirm. However, the European session was sideways throughout, and the US session also slightly continued the rebound trend and closed hastily. Therefore, at the opening of next week, it is necessary to continue to watch the gold price to test the support of the low point of the Asian session on Friday. In general, the operation ideas for next week are mainly high-altitude, and low-long also look at the rebound short-term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
View on the short-term trend of gold!📌Fundamentals: Gold prices fell sharply. After Trump announced a "breakthrough" trade deal with the UK, market expectations for more similar deals increased, weakening gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. 📊Technological aspects: Gold quickly fell in the Asian session and then quickly stretched back up. As of now, it has stood above 3320. So the possibility of gold falling again is relatively small. And there is a possibility that gold will further hit Thursday's high of 3360-70. If 3202 to 3435 is regarded as wave a, then 3438 to today's low of 3275 is wave b. So the current rebound from 3275 will go up in wave c. The first suppression position above is 3360-70, the high point of yesterday's rebound. At present, gold has stabilized above 3320, so the next bullish target for gold is to test 3360-70. After the pressure appears, follow the trend and go short.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
The range is broken and the bulls are ready to go!📌Fundamentals: 1. In the Fed's decision, Powell maintained the 4.25%-4.5% interest rate expectation, which was exactly the same as the expectation I mentioned, and predicted the result of the entire decision. 2. The India-Pakistan conflict intensified, and global geopolitical risks continued to heat up. From Gaza to Russia and Ukraine, and then to India and Pakistan, risk aversion will continue to provide long-term support for gold prices. 📊Technical aspects: Affected by the interest rate decision, gold bottomed out and rebounded, but did not fall below the low of 3360. The daily line closed in the negative. The data had little impact. Of course, there are also concerns about the increase in inflation and unemployment caused by the increase in taxes. It is expected that there will be another interest rate cut in July, which provides support for gold. After the Asian session opened under short-term pressure at 3397, it broke through and increased in volume, and walked out of the shock range of the first half of the week. The previous article mentioned that squats and long jumps were realized. Today, we maintain a bullish mindset and pay attention to the top and bottom conversion support of 3400. If it can stabilize in the US market, we can continue to go long. The upper side will gradually look to 3423 and 3435, and it is not ruled out that it will go near the previous high. 🎯Practical strategy: Gold is long near 3387-3380, and look at 3423 and 3435! If it is strong, it is long based on the support of 3402-3398!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold prices remain volatile, where is the profit range? 💢 Driving factors Gold prices plunged nearly 2% yesterday, mainly due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the optimism brought about by the upcoming trade talks between the United States and China. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but pointed out that the risks of rising inflation and unemployment increased, which further clouded the economic outlook as the Fed struggled to assess the impact of Trump's tariff policy. When the US dollar strengthens, it means that gold is relatively expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. But despite the decline in gold prices, it is still supported by global geopolitical risks and central bank buying. 📊 Commentary Analysis Gold basically fluctuated in the 3400-3360 range today, which is a typical fluctuation. But for high-level fluctuations, we must worry about the breakthrough after the platform is sorted out, and we must also worry about the stagflation retracement, which depends on the time cycle. Therefore, the current trend, people who like fluctuations feel very good, and those who look at one-sidedness feel uncomfortable. Today's early trading operations are still temporarily carried out in the 3400-3360 range, and new layouts will be made after the break! 💰Strategy Package The Asian session is expected to remain volatile, and both long and short positions have opportunities. You only need to operate at the right time. Go long when the short-term retracement reaches 3370 support, and go short when the upper resistance reaches 3410. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
The downside risk of gold increases!📌Fundamentals: 1. The conflict between India and Pakistan shows signs of escalation 2. US-Houthi ceasefire agreement 3. The Fed’s interest rate decision dominates this week’s market 4. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment 5. Market sentiment and capital flow 📊Technical aspects: At present, on the hourly basis, gold is still under pressure at the small range resistance of 3400, and the current tariff crisis has cooled down. The data of the Fed's interest rate decision will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is betting that there will be further trend corrections, which may cause capital outflows in the market, which will further hit gold bulls! There is actually a new round of operation opportunities in the short term. The short-term resistance should be around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no big negative factors. However, if the data layout does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive. At present, we will temporarily play at the 3360-3400 level. If it breaks, we will make new adjustments! 🎯Practical strategy: Gold: Short around 3390-3400 on the rebound, and the target is 3370-3360!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Intraday adjustment ends, follow up with low and long positions!📌Fundamentals: 1. The conflict between India and Pakistan shows signs of escalation 2. US-Houthi ceasefire agreement 3. The Fed’s interest rate decision dominates this week’s market 4. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment 5. Market sentiment and capital flow 📊Technical aspects: Affected by the trade negotiations, gold reached a high of 3434 and came out of the 70 US dollar drop. It took advantage of the trend to follow up the short order and reached the target profit stop as scheduled! Then it fell back and went long again to reap profits. The daily line continued to close in the positive direction, and there was room for fallback and adjustment during the Asian session. However, the daily cycle did not support a sharp decline for the time being. The data during the day tended to be treated as shocks. Therefore, the bullish trend remained unchanged, and the support below was 3335. You can go long if it hits during the day. The short-term support is around 3360 and 3350. In terms of operation, it will continue to be low and long. When it stabilizes, it will go to 3410 or even near the high point. However, if the second test does not reach a new high, there may be a larger correction. 🎯Practical strategy: Gold is long around 3350-55, looking at 3376 and 3410! If it is strong, go long based on the support of 3365-60!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold is once again experiencing its extreme take-off trend!📌Fundamentals: 1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict 2. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market 3. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment 4. Market sentiment and capital flows 📊Technical aspects: The 4-hour cycle still needs a wave of strength, and it needs to go out of a wave of big rises before it can open the Bollinger upper track to form an absolute unilateral strength. Therefore, although it is temporarily bullish, there is also a certain possibility of adjustment. The current 4-hour cycle support is around 3310, and the small cycle performance support is around 3350, so don't chase more. 🎯Practical strategy: Gold pulls back to around 3365-3375 to go long, and the target is around 3400-3420.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Is the gold market ushering in betting? 📌 Gold driving factors There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market. One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect. The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, it needs good economic data to boost it. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession is increasing. Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa. The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time. 📊Comment Analysis "After experiencing short-term fluctuations, the price of gold appears to be relatively stable around $3,250. If it is to rise further, it must break through the $3,300 mark. But whether the market is ready to break through this point remains to be seen." At present, gold is still in a continuous adjustment trend. Although it retreated to the 3,200 line on Friday and then rose again, it is still under pressure below the opening of the 3,265 decline. This is also the pressure level we need to pay close attention to next Monday! The sideways trading period on Friday is long enough, and it is time for a breakthrough. So how should we arrange the market next week? It should not rise, but it will fall instead. It is not difficult to understand the trend on Friday. If it rises in the morning next week, it should be noted that the upper 3,265 is the watershed. If it breaks through, it will continue to rise, but if it is still under pressure, it is our opportunity to enter the short position! 💰Strategy Package Operation ideas for next week: Short at 3265 gold, stop loss at 3275, target 3230-3220;. The market fluctuates violently, and real-time entry and exit are mainly based on real-time guidance! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
2
Risk aversion eases, gold continues to fluctuateSpot gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated and fell, approaching the $3,300 mark, continuing the weak trend of the previous trading day. From the daily chart, gold prices have fallen from their historical highs and are currently approaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (US$3,300-3,290). The key support level below is concentrated in the $3,265-3,260 range, which is also the previous consolidation range. If it falls below, it will open up the space for a 50% retracement level (US$3,225) or even $3,200. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator shows signs of a dead cross, and the green kinetic energy column expands moderately, indicating that short-term bears still have the initiative; the RSI indicator is still oscillating near the 50 axis, and has not yet shown extreme oversold, indicating that the downside space may be limited. Once the price rebounds, the initial resistance above is seen at $3,348-3,353. After the breakthrough, it is expected to re-challenge the $3,400 mark, and even attack $3,425-3,427. If the US PCE inflation and non-farm data weaken this week, it will further support the re-entry of gold bulls.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold shocks pull the trend towards the bearish side!Gold market trend analysis: Gold technical analysis: You should have seen the exaggeration of gold, right? Gold has also experienced several major ups and downs in history, but this time is definitely one that can be recorded in the history books. The daily lines in the past few months are very exaggerated, and the rise and fall range is unprecedented. Just today's Asian market, a simple dive is dozens of points. This is the market. The market is always right. We need to respect it the most, rather than blindly look at it subjectively. Surviving in such a big market is the most important thing. Many times, the fluctuation of gold is basically not related to technicality. We try to follow the direct pursuit mode in operation, and we can catch big profits in such a big market. Last week, the weekly line closed with a big tombstone, the weekly line top appeared, and the air force appeared. In May, gold will at least adjust to around 3,000. The above is the 4-hour pattern, which is repairing below the moving average. If the bulls break 3370 again, there is a possibility of rising again. Otherwise, gold will adjust deeply again. This wave of adjustment is at the weekly level. The daily pattern is also turning into a peaking mode. Note that the rise and fall of gold is not based on technical aspects, but more on fundamentals and big data, as well as the impact of tariffs. Without these influences, we will be bearish this week. If the decline of the big C wave continues, the target will be 3230 (the half point of the entire April rebound) in turn. 3165 is the Fibonacci 61.8 position of the callback and also the previous high point, which is easy to form a rebound. Today's gold focuses on two major suppressions, one is the hourly suppression around 3300, and the other is 3315 and 3328, both of which are opportunities for air forces. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3298-3300 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3265-3260 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
2
Interpretation of ideas after gold opensTechnical pattern: This week, gold closed in a "shooting star" pattern, which is a common peak signal, indicating that the price of gold may face a correction or decline. Influence of news: This week, affected by Trump's tariffs and dismissal of Powell, gold first hit a record high of 3500 due to its safe-haven properties. Then Trump's remarks changed, and the price of gold plunged from the high point to around 3260. Overall, it ended in a volatile situation under the uncertainty of tariffs, Powell's stay and interest rate cuts. If there are no new safe-haven factors in the market news, there is room for further decline in the price of gold. Short-term trend analysis Four-hour level: After the safe-haven, the price of gold rebounded at the low point of 3260, but was unable to continue near 3370. It is believed that the high-level selling repair and low-level buying intervention have affected it. The opening of the gold price next week may continue to fall. Hourly level: Since the decline in the price of gold, the rebound strength has been insufficient. It rebounded twice near 3260 below, and the overall center of gravity was downward before crossing 3380. Next week, pay attention to the 3330-3346 range to determine the nature of the rebound at the end of this week. At the same time, pay attention to whether 3260 can be broken. If there is a break, you can look down to 3221. Operational suggestions: Overall, the overall idea for next week will continue to be bearish. Pay attention to the resistance of the 3330-3346 range on the top, and try to go short if it is touched; the initial support below is 3260, and the bearish trend can continue to 3221-3219 if it breaks. Suggestions for being stuck at high positions: For investors who are standing guard at high positions, if they can withstand the pullback of gold prices, they can continue to hold and wait for the return of their capital; if not, it is recommended to recognize the loss and leave the market first, and then enter the market after the gold price has adjusted to the right level.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
4.25 gold short-term operation technical analysis!Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session on Friday (April 25). At the end of the session, the current gold price was around $3,307/ounce, a plunge of more than $40 during the day. Gold prices turned lower on Friday as hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States weakened safe-haven assets. The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data on Thursday supported the dollar, which also hit gold prices. Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Federal Reserve has basically ruled out the possibility of a rate cut in May. But she also released key information that if there is clear evidence of the direction of the economy, there is room for policy action in June. Gold prices are currently supported near the $3,300/ounce mark, which is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of gold prices from this month's low (around $2,950/ounce) The latest round of gains is located. If gold price falls below the $3300/oz mark, the next support for gold price is the weekly low near the $3260/oz area; if it falls below the above area, gold price may accelerate its decline and fall to the 50% retracement level (i.e. the area near $3225/oz) and finally fall to the $3200/oz mark. Some follow-up selling will indicate that gold has peaked and turn the short-term bias in favor of bearish traders. Gold price resistance is around the $3368-3370/oz area, which should be a key level now. If it breaks through the above area, gold price may return to the $3400/oz mark. The subsequent rise may push gold price further to the $3425-3427/oz barrier. Once this barrier is overcome, bulls may retry to conquer the psychological $3500/oz mark.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
Interpretation of 4.25 Gold Short-term Operation IdeasFrom the technical analysis of the hourly market, yesterday's low was at $3,306, and the rebound just now showed an obvious stop signal at this position. Based on this, the current short-term suppression level can refer to $3,315, and the higher level is $3,328. For short-term investors, you can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3,315 to arrange short orders and continue to be bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to below is the support of the low point just touched at $3,287. If this support level is lost, the next key support level will be $3,260, the first low point on the previous downward journey. If $3,260 is also effectively broken, the short-selling force will be further released, and the gold price may face a larger decline.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
Gold surged and then fell back to fluctuate. How to profit? Trump said he was ready to significantly reduce the broad tariffs on Chinese goods. On the same day, Trump also said he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, who had previously asked the Fed to cut interest rates immediately. This move shocked the market and triggered warnings from business leaders. Short-term trading of gold and US dollars on April 24: US market focuses on 3350-66 to suppress shorts, stop loss 3375, take profit 3317/3300 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsGold rebounded to $3,339 and fell back after encountering resistance. It accelerated its decline after the opening of the U.S. market. After falling to $3,260 and stabilizing, gold began to rebound, and was still suppressed by the integer of $3,300 until the closing. Gold broke upward at the opening of Thursday, rising to $3,367, and fell back to $3,314 after encountering resistance and stabilizing. It is currently trading at $3,337. Overall, gold further retreated to $3,260 to stabilize, and rebounded to $3,367 and encountered resistance, which is basically consistent with the lower space of $3,250 and the upper space of $3,385 given by us. Gold rebounded after hitting a new low in a week on Wednesday, mainly because Bessant said that tariff negotiations will not start soon and will be conducted at the current trade level between China and the United States. Trump did not propose unilateral reductions in tariffs on Chinese imports and denied any upcoming tax cuts, which increased uncertainty and caused some safe-haven funds to flow back into the gold market.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
2
Tariffs ease, risk aversion drops, gold continues to be bearishAfter hitting the integer mark of 3500 yesterday, gold fell back by nearly 200 US dollars. Today's early trading opened lower and directly swallowed up the overall rise of yesterday. Will gold continue to correct or turn around? From the current decline, the range from the high point of 3500 to the current low point of 3315 is close to 200 US dollars. Considering this round of decline, it has exceeded the range of short-term correction. Therefore, traders should guard against the probability that the gold price will enter a turning point in the short term! After the current decline is too large, the main area is to go sideways to correct the main force. The overall rebound will not be too large. Main area: around 3380-3400 Defensive support below: double bottom around 3280 Operation suggestion: Do not carry orders, heavy positions, lock positions in sudden change cycles, and bring stop losses! "Specific operations are subject to actual trading"
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold