XAU/USD) order block back up trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on a potential reversal from a key support/order block zone. Here's a full breakdown
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Chart Analysis – XAU/USD (1H)
1. Key Zone: Support Level / Order Block (Yellow Box)
The price is currently testing a strong support zone that previously acted as a bullish order block (demand area).
This zone is also near a diagonal trendline and a prior breakout level, adding confluence to the setup.
2. Reversal Anticipation (Black Zigzag Path)
The chart suggests two possible scenarios from the support area:
A bullish bounce leading price up toward:
Target 1: 3,343.05 (near 200 EMA)
Target 2: 3,364.62 (upper resistance)
A break below the yellow support zone, triggering a deeper move toward:
Key support: 3,247.55
3. RSI Oversold Signal
RSI (14) is at 32.66, which is near oversold territory, signaling potential for a bullish reversal if buying pressure steps in.
4. EMA (200 - Blue Line)
EMA at 3,330.95 currently acts as dynamic resistance.
If price bounces from the order block, this EMA may serve as the first reaction level before further upside.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish bounce if price holds above 3,296.04 (order block support).
Entry Zone: Current price near 3,301 or confirmation bounce candle.
Targets:
TP1: 3,343.05
TP2: 3,364.62
Invalidation: Strong break and close below 3,296.04 may open the path to 3,247.55.
RSI: Favoring reversal conditions (near oversold).
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Goldmansachs
Short-term gold bulls and bears are anxious,3330 becomes the keyAt present, the market has been fluctuating narrowly in the range of 3330-3320, and both bulls and bears are in a stalemate. However, gold has formed a double-layer head and shoulders bottom pattern, so the short-term bullish trend is definitely unchanged. In the previous post, I also mentioned that if the rebound in the European session is weak and gold continues to be below 3345, then the short-term NY session may usher in a retracement and a second bottom. Therefore, I still hold a long order of 3325-3315, and temporarily modify the TP to the 3335 line. I expect that there may be a retracement here, but there may also be a direct retracement. No matter what the situation is, we need to stabilize before entering the market.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold: update hello friends✋️
According to the recent growth of gold, you can see that it is constantly resisting and forming a falling pattern.
For this reason, it can be a warning that the fall can continue and the price will fall to the specified limits.
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*Trade safely with us*
XAU/USD) support level back bullish trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, suggesting a long trade idea with a clearly defined support zone and target projection. Here's the detailed breakdown:
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Chart Breakdown (3H - XAU/USD)
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box):
Price reacted strongly to the 3,244–3,300 area, which is identified as a key support level.
This area has historically seen demand and is now acting as a base for potential bullish continuation.
2. Falling Wedge Breakout:
A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
The breakout indicates a shift from the previous bearish momentum into bullish strength.
3. EMA 200 Confirmation:
Price is now above the 200 EMA (3,333.347), supporting a bullish bias.
This can act as dynamic support going forward.
4. RSI Momentum:
RSI at 62.00, indicating growing bullish momentum without being overbought.
The RSI has also broken above a previous local high, confirming strength.
5. Target Projection:
The projected move (blue arrowed box) suggests a potential rally of +105.305 points (3.20%), targeting the 3,394.503 level.
This level aligns with previous price structure and acts as the next major resistance.
6. Anticipated Price Path (Black Zigzag Line):
Price is expected to pull back slightly, retesting the wedge breakout or support zone.
After this retest, a bullish continuation toward the target point is projected.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + support retest
Entry Zone: Around 3,300–3,320 on a retest
Target: 3,394.503
Invalidation: Strong break and close below 3,244.166
Confirmation: Bullish price action near support + sustained RSI strength
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Analysis on subsequent gold price trend!Market news:
On Monday (July 7) in the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated slightly and fell, once losing the 3330 mark, and is currently trading around $3325/ounce. Trump plans to discuss the details of the ceasefire in the Gaza conflict with Israel on Monday, and the market's risk aversion has cooled slightly. As the deadline for the tariff suspension on July 9 is approaching, the market is in a wait-and-see mood; the US Treasury Secretary hinted on Sunday that the deadline for the resumption of tariffs will be changed to August 1, which also slightly weakened the market's concerns!At present, the macro background is still favorable for international gold. Fiscal spending and the depreciation of the purchasing power of legal currency will continue to support gold. Short-term adjustments are precisely medium- and long-term buying opportunities. The diversification of foreign exchange reserves and the wave of de-dollarization will drive central banks and institutional buying to continue to flow into gold. In addition, Trump's global tariff suspension will expire on July 9. If global trade frictions re-emerge, it may further increase the market's demand for safe-haven assets. In the short term, the London gold price is still in a high consolidation range, but under the background of high deficits, weak US dollar and unstable risk aversion, the logic of "buy-low opportunity" of gold bulls has not changed. Geopolitical easing may weaken the safe-haven demand for gold in the short term! Pay close attention to the progress of trade negotiations this week, the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, and the interest rate decisions of the Reserve Banks of Australia and New Zealand to seize investment opportunities in the gold market.
Technical Review:
Gold prices are under pressure in the short term. Although gold closed with a positive K on the weekly chart, the gold price did not rise sharply as expected after the continued weakening of the US dollar. The 3400 mark is still a short-term medium pressure position. Coupled with the sharp increase in non-agricultural employment in the United States, gold has instead experienced a week-end decline and shock adjustment after the rise at the beginning of the week. At present, the price of the weekly chart has returned to the MA10/7-day moving average position for adjustment, and the RSI indicator has turned downward. The 10/7-day moving average of the daily chart is glued at the short-term support of 3322. The price is adjusted below the middle track of the Bollinger band, and the RSI indicator continues to flatten the middle axis. The short-term four-hour chart is oscillating and adjusting, the moving average opens downward, the Bollinger Bands close, and the RSI indicator breaks through the 50 value of the middle axis. Technically, gold is facing heavy pressure in the short term. The continued weakness of the US dollar index has not exchanged for the strong rise of gold. Therefore, once the US dollar index stops falling and stabilizes to form a strong rise, gold is expected to face further downward adjustment space. Band trading is mainly selling, short-term intraday trading is mainly selling at high prices, and low-price buying is auxiliary.
Today's analysis:
Gold buying is powerless to turn the tide. Gold quickly rose and fell under pressure in the Asian session, and then began to fall sharply. Gold buying has been shattered, and gold selling continues to dominate the main market. Gold has recently been bought many times and has risen and fallen. So every rebound in gold buying is actually a possibility of inducing buying. Since gold bulls are so weak, continue to sell gold to the end. After the negative news of non-agricultural employment, gold fell below the 1-hour double top neckline. Although gold rebounded, it still fell under pressure in the 3340 area. Gold did not really stand firm in the resistance band near the neckline. Gold rebounded under pressure at 3342 in the Asian session and continued to fall. Gold rebounded below 3342 in the Asian session and it was an opportunity to sell at highs.
Operational ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3290-3293, stop loss at 3281, target 3320-3340;
Sell short-term gold at 3340-3343, stop loss at 3352, target 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3312, second support level: 3290, third support level: 3272
First resistance level: 3336, second resistance level: 3344, third resistance level: 3353
XAUUSD – Gold at a Key AreaGold is now in a crucial zone with short potential.
If the market provides a valid bearish signal, I’ll take the short.
But if this zone breaks and confirms with a pullback, I’ll switch bias and go long.
💡 Remember:
We don’t control the market — we just try to profit using structure, setups, and solid risk management.
📌 Always risk max 1% per trade.
If the market goes against your bias, you only lose 1% — not your whole account.
🧠 One trade won’t make you rich,
But one reckless trade can destroy everything.
No gambling.
Just discipline, structure, and smart execution.
Gold's rise is consistent with my analysis
Today's market analysis and interpretation:
First, the weekly gold level: Last week, it closed with a positive K, and the closing price just returned to the lower track of the upward channel, and the 10-day moving average stood on it again; this does not rule out that the negative line break last week was an illusion; this week, the corresponding channel lower track resistance is just last week's high of 3365. Once it stands on the channel again, it is expected to gradually strengthen in the medium term
Second, the daily gold level: Yesterday, it closed with a long lower shadow cross K, so 3296 has a stabilization signal, and the wave of shocks after closing negative last week may end here; today, after filling the shadow line, it has to continue to try to be bullish, and when it breaks through and stands on the middle track, it can try to test 3400-3430
Third, the hourly gold level: Yesterday, the opening jumped and pulled up sharply, and then fell back immediately, falling from 3342 to 3296 under pressure, and the US market directly rose from 3296 to 3340; Today is exactly the same, with a gap up and a sharp pull, and it immediately fell back after touching the 3346 line. The Asian and European sessions fluctuated and stepped back to 3320; due to the loss of the middle track, there may be further room for decline before it breaks through again. The resistance is the middle track of 3330 and the upper track of the yellow channel at 3337. The support is 618 split support 3315, and further down is 3307 and 786 split support. If the support is stabilized, it will continue to be bullish. The short-term double top is 3345-46. If it breaks through and stands above, it can hit around 3365, or even 3400 and above.
Gold/USD Bullish Reversal from Support Zone Gold/USD Bullish Reversal from Support Zone 🟢📈
Technical Analysis:
Support Zone: Price is consistently respecting the horizontal support range near 3,305 – 3,310, confirming it as a strong demand zone (marked by multiple orange circles and previous bounce reactions).
Bullish Structure: After breaking the descending trendline, the price has retested the trendline and horizontal support zone, forming a higher low — a classic bullish reversal signal.
Target Projection: The measured move projection targets a potential upside near 3,366.979, aligned with previous highs.
Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Green arrows highlight bullish price action at significant reversal points, confirming buyer strength at support.
Harmonic Pattern: The shaded harmonic pattern suggests completion near the previous lows, which aligns with the reversal zone.
Conclusion:
As long as the price holds above the support area and respects the trendline retest, bulls may push toward the projected target. A break below the zone would invalidate this bullish setup.
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential DropGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential Drop Ahead! 🎯
📊 Technical Analysis Summary:
The chart illustrates a bearish setup forming after multiple rejection points near a key resistance zone around 3,360–3,380 USD.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔴 Double Rejection Pattern:
Red arrows highlight strong bearish rejections from resistance.
Indicates sellers are defending this zone aggressively.
🟠 Support Turned Resistance:
The previous support (labelled as "SUPPOT") is now acting as resistance.
Classic bearish retest behavior.
🔷 Bearish Flag Formation:
Price consolidates in a descending flag pattern.
Breakdown below the flag suggests continuation to the downside.
🎯 Target Zone:
If breakdown confirms, price may drop towards target area near 3,275–3,280 USD (marked as “TARGET FAXS”).
🟧 Important Reaction Zones:
Multiple orange circles indicate zones of high reaction – historically significant for both buyers and sellers.
📌 Conclusion:
Unless bulls reclaim the 3,360–3,380 resistance zone convincingly, the bias remains bearish, and the next leg down may target the 3,280 USD area.
🔔 Traders should watch for a clean break below 3,320 to confirm bearish continuation.
This week's market review and next week's market strategy analys
Gold trading has ended this week. This week can be said to be very exciting. It closed with a positive line this week, with the lowest point near 3247, and then rebounded to 3365 and then retreated. When the non-farm data were all negative, the lowest point fell to 3311 and rebounded. Gold did not fall below the support of 3300. This shows that the gold bulls are still there. We also went long at the bottom many times after the non-farm data. I believe that traders who follow me can see that we have publicly gone long at 3324 many times and exited with all profits. We firmly believe that the retracement is an opportunity to go long, and the market result is just as I analyzed. The bulls returned to the range before the non-farm data. Since the market is closed on Friday for Independence Day, the overall fluctuation of gold will not be large. We will continue to be bullish on gold next week, and the operation will continue to be mainly based on retracement and long. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me.
From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the 3324 support line below, focus on the 3316 support line, and pay attention to the 3345-50 short-term resistance above, and focus on the 3365-70 line suppression. The overall low-multiple cycle participation main tone remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and patiently wait for key points to participate. I will release signals on the free channel for specific operation strategies, and pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold 3324-30 line long, stop loss 3315, target 3365-70 line, continue to hold if broken
Go short before breaking 3350, go long before falling to 3320📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said, the US stock market closed early today, and the market will lack some momentum. It is difficult to have a large fluctuation. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate. I also explained in the previous post that the upper pressure in the short term is at 3340-3350. If it is touched, we can try to short and defend 3360. If it falls back to 3323, we can try to go long for the first time. If it continues to fall, it is expected to reach 3315-3305. Therefore, if it first touches 3323, go long, SL 3316, and consider going long if it touches 15-05 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-33350
TP 3330-3320-3310-3300
BUY 3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold accumulates and breaks through 3350 points
⭐️Personal comments:
Gold price rebounded around 3350. There was no important news and bank holidays in the US session on Friday, so it rebounded in the short term
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3365-3367 SL 3372
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3330
🔥Buy gold area: $3311-$3313 SL $3306
TP1: $3325
TP2: $3338
TP3: $3350
Gold trend analysis and layout before NFP data📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data
2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve
📈 Technical Analysis:
Due to the Independence Day holiday this week, the NFP data was released ahead of schedule today, while the policy differences within the Federal Reserve have brought uncertainty to the market. Judging from the market trend, the 4H level shows that the gold price tested the upper track yesterday and then turned to high-level fluctuations after coming under pressure. In the short term, the structure still has bullish momentum after completing the accumulation of power. Although there was a correction in the US market yesterday, it stopped falling and rebounded near 3335, further confirming the strength. At present, the upper resistance in the European session is at 3365-3375, and the short-term support is at 3345-3335 below. Intraday trading still requires good SL to withstand market fluctuations. In terms of trading, it is recommended to mainly go long on callbacks
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3365-3375
TP 3350-3340-3335
BUY 3335-3330-3325
TP 3350-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target 🎯 ✨📈
🔍 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a clear bullish reversal pattern following a strong downtrend, with price reacting from a key support zone (highlighted in blue).
Multiple bullish rejection wicks and confirmation candles (green arrows) indicate buying interest at this support.
The recent higher low formation confirms shift in market structure towards bullish bias.
📌 Key Zones:
🟦 Support Zone: Around 3,280 – 3,320 USD
Price respected this zone multiple times (marked with orange circles), confirming its strength.
🟥 Resistance Zone / Target: 3,430 – 3,460 USD
This area aligns with previous swing highs and is the projected target for this bullish move.
📈 Chart Structure:
Break of descending trendline and bullish momentum above support suggests potential continuation towards the marked target.
Falling wedge breakout also aligns with reversal logic.
🎯 Price Target:
3,438.515 USD (resistance area), as labeled on chart with arrow and breakout projection.
🛑 Invalidation Level:
A sustained break below the support zone (3,280 USD) would invalidate this bullish outlook.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is exhibiting strong bullish behavior with confirmation from price action and structure break. As long as price sustains above support, the path toward 3,438 remains
Gold continues to rise slowly
Gold weekly and monthly level: For the monthly level, many people think that the bull market is over when they see the continuous long upper shadow cross K, and they don’t think that it can’t even effectively lose the 5-day moving average, and it is still in a strong stage in the strong stage, and it is also running on the upper track of the upward channel, indicating that the bull market has yet to continue. If it directly pulls up and engulfs the high point of last month this month, a group of bearish people will be wiped out. It has always been emphasized that you should not underestimate the trend of the past two years, and don’t guess the top. This top will reach a height that everyone can’t imagine. Following the bull trend is the right choice. Holding on to the low-level bullish band bottom position in your hand is the happiest moment in the past two years and the most witnessing moment of strength; and the weekly level, as mentioned at the weekend, don’t look at the big negative last week and lose the lower track of the channel. It is also completely possible to directly come back with a big positive this week.
Gold daily level, there has been a continuous positive breakthrough during the day. Once the closing confirms that the breakthrough is effective, it will continue to rise tomorrow and directly approach the lower track of the previous yellow channel. 340 0 line; then going forward, we have to fight for the last key pressure point, the 3500-3452 previous high trend connection line, which roughly corresponds to 3440. Once it breaks through here directly, 3500 will inevitably be unstoppable and move towards 3700; however, there is no need to be too anxious at the moment, be down-to-earth, and overcome the resistance level step by step, but you must try to look far ahead to see more clearly
Gold hourly line level: From the opening to now, it has been rising slowly all the way, with a small negative in the middle, all positive, this kind of pull-up pattern must not be tested for shorts, and during the European session, it also broke through the upper rail resistance level of the 3335 downward channel, and there was a second pull-up in the US session; it just couldn't step back, and even the 10-day moving average didn't give a chance. If you want to step back and follow the long position, there is no chance for the time being, and going long directly seems more radical; you can wait patiently, be bullish, and don't go short; if you can confirm that it is above 3335 today, you can try to follow the bullish trend, and the upper resistance target is 3374
Bullish Reversal Setup on GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal Setup on GOLD/USD 💰📈
🔍 Chart Analysis:
The chart illustrates a clear bullish reversal structure forming off a strong support zone:
📌 Key Observations:
Multiple Rejections at Support 🟠
The price has reacted to the 3,300 - 3,280 USD support zone multiple times, forming a triple bottom pattern, indicating strong buyer interest.
Bullish Harmonic Pattern ✅
A bullish harmonic pattern (likely a Bat or Gartley) completed right at the support level, triggering a strong reversal with a bullish engulfing candle.
Break of Minor Structure 📊
Price broke through minor resistance near 3,340 USD, confirming bullish momentum. The breakout is supported by a retest shown with the green arrow 🟢.
Target Point Identified 🎯
The projected target is 3,460 USD, marked clearly as the next significant resistance zone. This aligns with previous price rejection areas, making it a high-probability target.
📈 Trading Outlook:
✅ Buy Confirmation: Break and retest of 3,340 USD zone.
🎯 Target: 3,460 USD.
🛡️ Support Zone: 3,300 – 3,280 USD (watch for any breakdown below this).
📌 Conclusion:
The chart signals a high-probability bullish continuation, with strong support, harmonic confluence, and structural breakout. Traders may look for buy opportunities on pullbacks with the target set at 3,460 USD. 🚀📊
XAU/USD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionTechnical analysis of (XAU/USD) based on price action and technical indicators on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a
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Key Technical Insights:
1. Resistance Level (Highlighted Yellow Zone):
Price is approaching a strong resistance zone (previous rejection marked by red arrows).
This area has historically pushed price downward.
2. Trendline Support (Rising Black Line):
Price has been following a short-term ascending trendline, forming higher lows.
A break below this trendline signals potential bearish reversal.
3. EMA 200 (Blue Line):
Price is currently above the EMA 200, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
However, price is testing resistance — a rejection could flip momentum bearish.
4. Bearish Rejection & Projection:
The chart shows an anticipated rejection from resistance, followed by a break of trendline support.
Target zone is marked near 3,228.098, indicating a drop of ~94 points from the current level.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is nearing overbought territory (68.79).
A bearish divergence or RSI crossing down may confirm weakening momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Trading Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near the resistance level (~3,322)
Confirmation: Break of trendline support
Target: 3,228
Stop-Loss: Above resistance zone (just over the upper trendline)
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XAUUSD/GOLD Geopolitical conflicts have escalated again. Next week is a week of heavy news. How will the gold price focus next week? How to trade? Look at the news preview first.
1. Geopolitics, Russia-Ukraine conflict, Palestine-Israel conflict, Iran-Israel conflict.
2. ADP data, NFP data.
3. Tariff deadline.
The above three news are enough to cause drastic fluctuations in the gold price.
On Friday, the New York market followed my expectations. After rebounding around 3282, it fell back. Finally closed around 3274.
The impact of the weekend news is huge. From the news perspective, the opening price of next Monday will be higher than the closing price on Friday. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to buying at a low price after the market opens.
Gold has no chance to rise
Gold did not break through the upper pressure on Friday. Gold fell directly after opening on Friday. The bears broke through the previous 3295 support line, and the lowest reached 3255. It closed near 3274. The daily line also closed in the form of a big Yin line. The downward trend is obvious, and all the previous supports will also turn into pressure. The short-term moving average system crosses downward to accumulate energy for the bears, and the Bollinger Bands are also expected to open downward. Since the closing did not break through the upper 3300 suppression level, we will continue to rebound and short next week. After all, the technical side is still short, and only by following the trend can we keep up with our rhythm. We also pay attention to international news on the weekend. Combined with the news, I will analyze the specific strategy ideas before the opening of Monday. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope Yulia can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3301, and the focus is on the important suppression of 3314-16. In terms of operation, the rebound continues to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. The overall high-altitude participation is maintained in this range. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
Short at the rebound of 3295-3301, short at the rebound of 3314-16, stop loss at 3326, target at 3255-3260, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on a short-term timeframe, incorporating several key tools and concepts:
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Overview of the Analysis
Price Level (Current): Around $3,273.40
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Around $3,337.95 (signaling broader trend)
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box): Between approximately $3,300–$3,320
Support/Target Zone: Around $3,231.11
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 32.88, which is near oversold territory (below 30)
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Interpretation of Chart Structure
1. Descending Channel:
Price is moving within a downward-sloping channel.
Suggests a bearish trend is in play.
2. Resistance Level (Yellow Box):
Price is expected to retest this area and face resistance.
Confluence of a supply zone and upper trendline, reinforcing its strength.
3. Projected Price Action:
Price may climb back up into the resistance zone.
A rejection is anticipated, leading to another leg down.
The target is around $3,231.11, which matches previous measured moves.
4. Measured Moves (Blue Arrows):
Highlights historical price drops of ~79 points.
Repeating this pattern suggests symmetry and continuation.
5. RSI Indicator:
Currently at 32.88: nearing oversold, but not quite.
No clear bullish divergence, so price could drop further.
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near $3,300–$3,320 (resistance)
Target: Around $3,231.11
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds above $3,337–$3,340 (EMA 200 and channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Caution/Considerations
Watch for false breakouts above the resistance zone.
Monitor RSI for potential bullish divergence that could invalidate the downside.
Be cautious around the U.S. economic news event icon, which might cause volatility.
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
XAUUSD/GOLD/SellThe pressure from the bears is too great. In the end, the pressure from above was not broken. Instead, it broke out and fell after being under pressure. The stop loss was hit.
The current price is 3285. After gradually boosting the US dollar index. The trend of gold prices has continued to fall. More importantly, the tariff issue has been eased. At the same time, geopolitical factors are also orderly and stable. This is the news that caused the bears to attack.
History has not become the savior because of repeating itself. Of course, this is also an emergency. In some transactions, the extremely low probability of causing losses is a common problem in transactions. However, our analysis team has stabilized a high trading win rate.
Then the next trading plan is still to focus on the pressure from above. If the London market rebounds above 3300. It is still mainly selling. 3314 is an important level for short-term rebound, and we need to pay attention. Although there is no obvious sign of rebound yet, the release of short-selling pressure has been alleviated because the decline is slow. Today's main trading idea is still to sell at high levels.
The target is to focus on the position of 3264-3248. Remember the risk of buying at low levels. Do not trade independently.
XAUUAD Reversal Setup Short Trade Opportunity Below Resistance Current Price: 3,327.56 USD
Entry Point: 3,332.67 USD
Stop Loss: 3,342.45 USD
Take Profit Levels:
Target 1 (Downside): 3,294.45 USD (-1.17%)
Target 2 (Upside): 3,393.78 USD (+1.50%)
🔧 Technical Indicators & Tools
Trade Line: Upward sloping trendline connecting higher lows, supporting recent bullish structure.
Moving Averages:
Red: Short-term (likely 50-period EMA)
Blue: Long-term (likely 200-period EMA)
Price is still trading below the long-term MA, suggesting broader bearish pressure.
Resistance Zone: 3,334.96–3,341.30 — a key supply area marked in purple.
Support Zone: 3,294.45 — identified as a previous demand level.
⚖️ Risk-Reward Analysis
Short Setup:
Entry: 3,332.67
Stop Loss: 3,342.45 (Risk ~10 USD)
Target: 3,294.45 (Reward ~38 USD)
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3.8, which is favorable for a short trade.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bearish intraday
Setup Type: Short-sell at resistance zone
Confirmation: Price rejection or bearish candle near 3,334–3,342 zone
Invalidation: Break and close above 3,351.06 (upper resistance)
It’s the right time to short goldThe daily gold line presents a three-top gathering pattern. The historical trend shows that the 3290-3280 area has triggered technical pullbacks many times, all of which rebounded to around 3350. The current 4-hour chart trend line suppression level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618 pullback resistance from the previous high of 3450 to 3300 in the 3350-3360 range. This area constitutes the core pressure zone. If the price fails to effectively break through and stand above 3360 when it probes this area again, it is highly likely to replicate the previous two resistance and fall patterns. At that time, short orders will be arranged based on the 3350 first-line resistance area, with the goal of breaking the key support of 3300 and further looking down at the 3280 and 3260 levels. The overall bearish tendency is maintained, and the resistance to rebound is a signal to enter the market and sell short.
Gold recommendation: Gold is short around 3345-3352, target 3330-3320