Goldmansachs
+15% profit, the (current) party is over .Why you find it hard to make money . Because you don't know AND more sadly, you don't know that you don't know.
When you were laying down on your coach thinking the market is going to continue the dropping , i was here watching the red knifes on the stock market having the bitter taste of watching a live down trend .
That's why i sell you guys at top , when the market is green and good , it's me who's dumping his shares " Market order " over late party joiner head's .
I don't want to be mean , and you should not take it this way . I want to remind you that you don't know and you don't know that you don't know.
Complete your 15 years required degree for the stock-market or take a short cut and get a mentor.
#Trade_safe
Trader K
GS - buy support zones analysisHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
Goldman Sachs group (GS) support zones ideal for timing long positions (gray). Trade what you understand, trade carefully and sparingly according to the business plan.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (over $4.000.000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
Goldman Sachs Technical Analysis - HoldTechnical Analysis:
Trendline has been violated showing a weakness signal (it might be due to the negative news around this stock).
The idea is to hold before going long again. Prices might keep going down up to 180 USD forming a new support level before going up.
Fundamental Analysis:
Goldman Sachs agrees to $3.9 billion deal with Malaysia to settle criminal probe into 1MDB scandal.
Technical Analysis and Fundamental analysis might suggest to hold for now before going long.
The idea is to invest in the trend direction, but because the trendline has been violated and the fundamental analysis might impact negatively to the stock, there might be a possibility that price can retrace for a while before going long again.
Distortion & misallocation & wealth transferThe chart says it all.
3 trillion increase in balance sheet in 2 or 3 months...
Party will go on as long as the long-term interest rate remains low...
Distortion - The massive rally has been partially fueled by $l8 trillion worth of fiscal and central bank stimulus. Short-term lending rate cut to near zero and long-term interest rates dropped to near all time low caused by massive QE.
Massive QE has distorted the interest rate so that the cost of capital is kept artificially low to the point that company is justified to undertake many projects that would not yield any productive return under the normal circumstances
Evolution of Fed's QE -
Treasury/municipal bonds-> corporate bond ETF-> individual corporate bond-> Yield curve control (in potential development)-> Maybe... Individual stocks in the future...
Even though Fed's purchase of individual bonds and ETF accounted for just a small percentage of overall bond market, I can't help but wonder why the Fed included lower-medium grade/slightly speculative bonds and bonds issued by financially healthy companies such as AT&T, UnitedHealth Group, and Walmart ?... to name a few.
Easy credit has undoubtedly kept some zombie company afloat when it is probably better for them to die off.
QE and forward guidance have resulted in high commercial bank deposits. Fortunately, as long as the circulation of velocity remains low and producer can keep up with the demand of good and service, the economy will not overheat.
Misallocation of capital - It is no surprise that American household's wealth is increasingly tied to stock market & real estate. As a result, there is a negative correlation between household wealth and interest rate.
The increased household consumption that results from the perceived gain in the stock market & real estate driven by low interest rate is the main culprit of chronic trade deficit.
Oh yeah, FAANG now collectively accounts for roughly 20% of top stock marketcap...
If it does not convince you that stock market is overvalued, just look at the ratio of total market cap over GDP (currently at 147.2%) and Shiller PE which is 13.1% higher than the recent 20-year average of 25.8.
Wealth transfer -
Pension fund, endowment, mutual fund and hedge fund are having a field day.
Maybe just a handful of investment groups are dictating the movement of the market. BlackRock alone has more than 7 trillion of AUM. Goldman Sachs, Bridgewater and few other investment groups also each controls more than hundred billions of asset.
It is hard to image that the quick reversal in the market is caused by a bunch of retail investors and traders panic sold in March, then immediately FOMO back into the market only a few weeks later.
GOLD analytiqueGold in the coming days will break the resistance axis 17461.30 and reach to 1903.96 after seeing a sharp decline on Mars 20