Gold Trend AnalysisContinuing the plunge in stock markets on Monday, gold also headed for a low. The reason is that the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September have declined. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has risen to 3.94%. These two pieces of information have undoubtedly greatly weakened traders' confidence in entering the market. However, as a traditional safe-haven asset, gold has performed well amid geopolitical tensions and concerns about a global recession. Continued tensions in the Middle East and concerns about the outlook for the global economy have provided support for gold. At the same time, data from the People's Bank of China showed that gold reserves at the end of July were the same as the previous month, showing the central bank's stable demand for gold. Support level 2430 2450 Resistance level 2395 2385 2370 What do you think of the trend of gold? Welcome everyone to follow and comment
Goldmcx
Gold next week trading signal analysisAt the end of the week, for this week, I can only say that the profit is almost perfect, I believe you are also very happy? After all, as far as I give the single statistics, this week killed more than 200 points of profit, I feel exaggerated, and these profits, also proved the end of the trough period, and, as far as the current statistics of this month, I also did recover the early losses and further profits, to the single, this month, profit and loss, the current statistics there are nearly 100 points of profit, The specific profit this month is about 98 points, this point, you can compare and verify yourself, in short, the list is one to one, this point, you can judge yourself. Of course, due to the actual and operational process will inevitably have a little accident, so the specific profit and loss, you also need to compare according to their actual situation, in short, as long as there is no accident, such as the market malicious washing and Chen Feng my state of instability, otherwise the cycle is just the number of profits, this, thank you for your persistence. So now, July is coming to an end, other, I am not greedy, there is a good ending on the line, then at the moment, other, I do not say much, directly to next week's market analysis, you can read the following reference to understand.
-- Gold Friday market review --
Friday morning, gold opened in the 2364 line, the opening that fell into the 2364-2361 range of oscillations saw, but the good times did not last long, early in the morning, gold suffered a wave of crashing disc flash collapse in 2355, and then blocked to usher in a bull counterattack, gold is therefore a break of 2360-2370, the highest to 2379 line to usher in a stop back down, Long and short in the 2378-2370 range after a sawing encounter under 2370, but the bears did not usher in a further outbreak, but on the eve of the European trading stopped at 2368 ushered in a rebound 2375 line. During the European session, gold first went down a wave near 2365, and then stopped to usher in a slow rise in shock, gold is also slowly going up a wave near 2375 ushered in a stop shock, overall, during the European session, gold is deep in the 2375-2370 range. And the United States trading period, PCE data released bearish, but unexpectedly, gold did not usher in a sharp fall, but was blocked by 2371 ushered in a bull outbreak, gold is therefore broken 2380, the highest to near 2391 to usher in a halt, then fell back 2379 blocked into a wide range of volatility, long and short in 2390-2380 repeatedly saw, It closed at around 2,387.
- Is gold hitting a stage bottom? Super week attack, gold long short how to choose? -
At the end of the week, for this week, gold is also relatively ushered in a large fluctuation, at the beginning of the week, gold shock from 2400 above ushered in a short outbreak of 2383 stop rebound, gold on the eve of the outbreak of GDP data, the highest is also a rebound of 2431 line, then for this point, I also mentioned in the blog earlier, In the case of gold sticking to the see-saw near 2400, there must be a rebound near 2420, more likely to break 2420 and usher in a reversal plunge, then in fact, the market is also fluctuating as I analyze, after all, as of Thursday, GDP and unemployment benefits and PCE data are all as bearish as I analyze. Gold is also expected to usher in lower 2360, and for this I also said, gold is expected to usher in a stage bottoming out in the 2360-2350 region, and gold is also in the 2353 ushered in a recovery, just said Friday Chen Feng I expect PCE more help gold bulls counterattack 2400-2420, in fact, The highest also rose to around 2391, which is still a little gap with my analysis, but in general, PCE explosion and negative rise this is a fact, this, you can read my recent analysis blog to verify.
So what about next week's gold bulls and bears? In fact, for this point, I don't need to say that you all know that next week's market is not simple, after all, for next week, the Federal Reserve interest rate resolution and Powell's speech came, coupled with the multiple outbreaks of ADP, PMI, unemployment benefits, non-agricultural, unemployment rate and other data, in terms of this market, I think it is limited ability to make a clear prediction and control. In fact, I can't blame me, after all, the current gold market, institutional control of the influence is too big, the influence of the data is limited, moreover, in the near future, the surprise of the data is also slightly increased, take Thursday, PCE data range is so lower than the previous value of the case, Friday's PCE annual data is actually synchronized with the previous value, in terms of this possibility, Minimal probability can appear, which also reflects the current market is not calm, especially at present, the market expects the possibility of the Federal Reserve rate cut in September is a certainty, and then refer to the current inflation slowdown and the Federal Reserve officials said that the need to cut interest rates in advance of the speech, maybe this week will usher in the rate cut landing is not necessarily, so in this case, you also need to be cautious. Of course, for next week, if the data is positive, Powell does not rule out the possibility of further eagles to fight interest rate cuts, this point, you must not blindly bet on the short.
So for next week, at the beginning of the week, we must still look at a wave of rebound, after all, gold on Friday since the 2355 stop to rebound, this wave, gold is also facing a stage of bottoming out, after all, in any case, in the case of excessive interest rate cut expectations, gold since 2483 high 2353, Bears have ushered in a fall of 130 points, in the short term, gold also has a certain rebound demand, coupled with the current interest rate minutes and Powell's speech in the case, gold will have a high probability of buying expectations to pull up, that is, before Thursday, gold will have a high probability of further impact 2420-2430-2450, of course, Do not be too happy too soon, after all, for Powell's speech, his remarks are often disappointing, once Powell unexpectedly put eagle in this speech, coupled with the strong non-agricultural employment performance, that gold may also usher in the possibility of further collapse, for next week, the focus is to pay attention to the market news situation and then choose the future market, All in all, next week, the market will inevitably have malicious control of the situation, you must remember to pay attention to the control of risk.
So for next week, Monday, it is expected that gold will not have any big high and low open possibility, in this regard, for Monday, you can focus on a wave of 2390 can be successfully broken, of course, if 2385-2380 does not break, you can also directly see more than 2400 mark gains and losses, such as successfully broken 2400, Then do more directly on the trend to see 2420-2430. Of course, if you break 2380, you can also wait for 2373-2370 not to break again. All in all, for next week, try to keep back to the long to layout, short cautious. As for the specific analysis and operation details, I will make an update on Monday, please remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss basis.
Gold 70,100 possible !!we have seen on daily time frame price formed rising wedge pattern
on friday 7jun we seen a bearish big candle confirming the breakdown of the pattern
price then tried to take a bounce from recent orderblock
but we can clear see that the bearish pressure is not letting the bullish orderblock go any further up
causing the price to form a small triangle pattern which will eventually work as buildup for more down side and we can 70,100 level in coming days
will further after price hits 70,100 level
follow for more
Cup Pattern Formed, wait confirmationNow Cup Pattern formed and wait for the Breakout. Because Breakout is the only confirmation to achieved Cub Target. In stock market commonly formed Cup & handle Pattern.
I want to help people Make Profit all over the World throughout my entire life. Additionally, I am eager to Receive Money form Worldwide because of my Potential.
Gold prices remain bullish. Available to buy now
Gold prices in Asia were flat.
No news about assists yet
The price of gold remains within a narrow range of 2177-2179. The long and short competition is fierce.
Based on the observation of MA and four-hour trend chart, the market is still in a small long trend. The bulls are obviously stronger than the bears. And the trend of rising and diverging should continue.
Today’s trading target remains at 2186-2190. Mainly buy low.
Radical friends can do so at a location near 2177.
Friends who don’t want to take risks can proceed below 2175
Control risk when trading.
Gold made a perfect profit today, continue with the strategic la
There must be some hobby, just like the love of time for plants and trees.
I didn’t feel deeply about it before. As my trading time and age increase, I find this statement more and more wonderful!
This kind of hobby is like finding a place for the soul to live.
Especially every time I focus on the market and make a settlement, every time it runs as expected, it is like eating candy in life. I think this is my meaning, and my soul will eventually have something to rely on.
In terms of gold, in early trading we directly prompted 2370-2 to be short. And after profit reduction, you can hold it in the mid-term and arrange two positions, namely short-term and medium-long term.
Quick retracement of 2350 as expected.
When it continues to be suppressed below 60 in the afternoon, it is necessary to go short directly.
Although there was a slight difference of 1-2 US dollars and we did not enter the market, the market was in line with our expectations.
After the European market retracement, what should be the next plan?
After rising and falling in the early trading, the price continued to weaken in the afternoon. Even in the correction market, it was still weak in the evening.
Weakness and extreme weakness need to be distinguished.
If it is an extremely weak form, the price will definitely retrace without rebounding. But this is not the case currently. Instead, it rebounds first and then retreats.
Therefore, the next strategy can focus on the 57-59 short position, use 63 as the defensive position, break the position to adjust the position, and continue to look at the vicinity of 48-43 below.
If you have started to like my strategies, please let me know
Gold prices will return to highs again. Buy gold nowLast night, the price of gold broke through a new high again, reaching the 2287 line. As expected last night. Then it continued to fluctuate until the European market opened because prices were on the higher side. Gold made a technical repair after the start of the European session. The price of gold plummeted by about $20 from 2287. The current price is 2268.
News: Risk aversion caused by the war in Gaza continues to ferment. Short-term bulls are still strong. gold. Dollar. as a hedging product. They all continue to attack.
Trend: Overall, buying at low prices is still the main trend. It is not difficult to see from the above picture that the short-term repair is only for a day. The general cyclical trend is still upward. From an hourly perspective, the current support position for technical repair is located at the 2259-2264 line. Combined with MA technical indicators, there is a certain pressure for long-short conversion at 2270. Once the 2270 position is established, it will inevitably rebound within the day.
During the day, buying is still the main focus. Today we focus on the impact of the announcement of ADP news. On Friday, we need to focus on the release of (U.S. non-farm payrolls after seasonally adjusted March).
trade:
Gold price is at 2263-2268 to buy
tp2283-2287
SL2254
Pay attention to controlling risks and positions during operation. Stay concerned.
Shorting gold on rallies, circular operation
Gold briefly rose in early trading and fell back to around 2172. The rebound at 2186 last night has lost its strength. The short-term position of No. 4 and No. 5 is still under pressure (2188 and 2195). The downward support point focuses on around 2165. In the short term, you can go short around 2183.
gold:sell2183-2188
TP:2178-2175
SLl:2195
Gavin welcomes everyone here, I will prove myself, join me, and there will be more and more family members in the future
advances to near $2,055 as US yields declineHere is what you need to know on Monday, January 15:
• Gold price gains ground on risk-averse sentiment due to the Red Sea situation.
Israel-Gaza conflict intensified after Houthi attacked a US Navy vessel.
• US Treasury yields contribute to downward pressure on the US Dollar.
Barclays revision of the Fed rate cut has changed market sentiment.
Gold prices continue to advance for the third consecutive day on Monday, trading higher and reaching around $2,055 per troy ounce during the Asian session. The upward movement in the price of the yellow metal is attributed to the risk-averse due to the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, coupled with the speculation regarding potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in March.
The concerns over the escalation of the Israel-Gaza conflict have intensified, especially after Iran-led Houthis fired an anti-ship cruise missile at the USS Laboon in the Red Sea on Monday. This development has contributed to increased demand for gold prices, a traditional safe-haven asset during times of heightened geopolitical uncertainty. Market participants remain vigilant for potential impacts on shipments in the Strait of Hormuz while closely monitoring Iran's response to recent geopolitical developments.
The US Dollar (USD) hovers around 102.40 with a negative bias, influenced by the decline in US Treasury yields, possibly triggered by the softer Producer Price Index (PPI) data from the United States (US). The DXY has trimmed its intraday gains as a result of the drop in US Treasury yields. The 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons trade lower at 4.14% and 3.94%, respectively, at the moment.
Additionally, Barclays revised its forecast on Friday for the first Federal Reserve rate cut, moving it to March from June. This change in outlook has shifted market sentiment towards expectations of an easing monetary policy by the Fed, putting downward pressure on the Greenback. In a note released on Friday, analysts from Barclays expressed their expectation for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to reduce the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points at the March meeting.
Gold Break Down : Hitting 7 Month Low. Crucial Support zoneGOLD(US$/Oz) stands at a 7 month low ever since March 2023. The precious metals commodity is standing at a crucial support levels of the channel ever since April 2023.
Although the charts shows momentum bottoming but the supply constraints and Macro factors may pull it down to levels of 1833,1806 post which we can see it pulling back to channel Trendlines again. The worst case scenario is still open for 1784 but for now that looks a less probabilistic from technical point of view.
Go long gold now!After last week’s sharp rise, gold temporarily stagnated at the 1963 high. On Friday, the small negative line retraces and corrects. The week’s closing work has not further risen to break new highs. The overall rise has come out of the high volatility after the surge, and there is room for retracement It is not enough to change the bullish structure for the time being, but the continuous exploration of highs without breaking the highs also exacerbates the risk of short-term corrections
Last Friday emphasized that gold fell back in 1950, and the layout was bullish. It was close to the 1963 high point. The position of 1963 has also been reminded many times. Once again, we tried to see 1963 fall under pressure, and we firmly grasped this opportunity
Technically, after the sharp rise at the beginning of last week, gold fell back under pressure at the end of the week in 1963. Up to now, it has continued to run sideways at a high level. During the week, gold temporarily remained below 1963 to see high volatility. It is difficult to get out if the high point of 1963 is not broken. There is room for a big rise. On the contrary, it is more likely to increase the pullback after a high level of stagflation. Last Friday’s drop at the low point of 1950 is the first support, followed by the 1940 mark. Structurally, it may follow the confirmation of the back step and then rise. The key point is The stabilizing support point of stepping back can be decided before the market is combined with the K-line shape of the hourly chart. The support point of the retracement can be deep or shallow, and the weaker retracement should pay attention to the 1940 mark before stabilizing, and arrange the entry point of multiple orders in combination with the pattern retracement in the operation.
In terms of intraday operations, the support point for last Friday's fall was at 1950. For the time being, this point has not been broken, and it also has a certain supporting effect. In case of being short-lived, it is recommended that gold be around 1950 once more, and the target is above 1960; There are many market adjustments in the 1940 area, the loss is 1933, and the target is 15-20 US dollars; the empty order strategy revolves around the participation of light positions below 1963, and it is enough to strictly break the new high and stop the loss to leave the market.
If you don't know how to trade accurately, then contact me and I will give you accurate advice!
Gold Trading Signals TonightLooking at gold on the daily line, the trend of gold prices is still upward, but the positive momentum has faded. Technical indicators are flat in positive territory, with a mildly bullish 100-day simple moving average (SMA) providing support near intraday lows around 1952.40, while the 20-day SMA remains directionless below the longer moving average, all of which limits bullish bullish sentiment for gold potential. Looking at gold from the 4-hour line, the price of gold is about to correct, but the reasons for being bearish are limited. Momentum indicators turned down from extreme overbought levels, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 71. Meanwhile, gold is holding above all its moving averages, with the 20-period SMA breaking above the 200-period SMA, both of which are around 1940.
On the whole, it is recommended to call back and do more in the evening gold operation!
Night gold operation strategy:
Multi-single strategy: It is recommended to go long at 1955-1953, stop loss at 1946, and target around 1968;
Empty order strategy: It is recommended to go short in 1968-1970, stop loss at 1975, and target around 1958
Technical analysis of gold, how to operate the US market?Looking at gold on the daily line, the relative strength index (RSI) fell to 40, reflecting a bearish bias in the near-term outlook. Gold may face strong resistance at 1940, which is the confluence of the downtrend line and the 100-day moving average. Looking at gold from the 4-hour line, with the relative strength index (RSI) line at 14 recovering from the overbought area, gold prices are approaching the support line from a month ago. A looming bullish crossover on the moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) indicator added strength to gold's corrective rally. On the whole, it is recommended to rebound and short in the evening gold operation!
Gold evening operation strategy:
Empty order strategy: It is recommended to go short at 1932-1934, stop loss at 1941, and target around 1918;
Multi-single strategy: It is recommended to go long at 1918-1916, stop loss at 1910, and target around 1930
Detailed daily trading signals can contact me to get! I wish you all a great and profitable new week
6.20 Gold continues to range profit6.20 Today's gold market trend analysis:
From a technical point of view, spot gold fell slightly on Monday, the daily line closed negative, but did not change the diurnal cycle of the state, the daily cycle or look at the 1980/1935 unchanged, because the temporary interval performance is larger, so it is not suitable to judge the day trading, then the cyclical to look at the H4 cycle changes.
Through Monday's slight decline, the current H4 cycle broke through the Bolin track, temporarily a bit weak state, but the temporary Bolin closure is obvious, gold is unlikely to fall sharply, the day to oscillate slowly or rise again to form a continuous Yang, stand firm in the Bolin track, above you can see 1968/1970 highs, therefore, for Tuesday is the shock slow down or the shock slow up, It also needs to be observed that according to this trend, gold is more inclined to form a shock and slow rise state on Tuesday.
The hour-line cycle temporarily formed a shock range in 1947/1954, the morning opening did not directly rise, then the Eurasian plate is weak performance, and there is room for slow fall, so the transaction needs to wait for a fall to the key point to do more, the support point below is near 1945/1946, Europe and the United States rose to determine, you can see 1968/1970 highs. As for whether you can short, you need to observe the change in the shape of the United States.
6.20 Gold Strategy:
Rally to near 1955 short, stop loss 6 points, target 1945
The broken position can continue to hold if it stands 1960. Short orders are concerned about the above 1970-1968 suppression does not break the consideration of short
Retracement to go long near 1945, stop 6 points, target 1955-1960
gold will continue to rise6.16 Analysis of today's gold market trend:
After the confirmation of the rise of gold on Thursday, the change of strength and weakness has not been formed. This kind of trend ushered in the outbreak of bulls again. Since the bulls and shorts failed to change, then, gold will still maintain a bullish trend in the near future, which is undoubtedly bullish.
What needs to be noted in the session is that the daily line cycle has a false breakthrough. Although the decline pierces the lower track of the daily line Bollinger, the positive k-line after closing up is firmly above the lower track of Bollinger, breaking through the middle track of Bollinger with a big positive line , and today's k-line is also standing firmly on the Bollinger middle rail, so today's gold is absolutely strong, and the upper Bollinger rail high point of 1980 or 1985 (the starting point of the previous decline) can be seen above.
In the H4 cycle, Gold Lianyang is rising, and the high point on the upper track has not been tested yet, so there is no opening at present. To be bullish, you need to look at the gains and losses of the high point on the upper track at 1968/1970, and then see whether Bollinger will open. Therefore, the suppression point within the day It is also relatively clear. The first high point focuses on 1970, and the second high point focuses on 1980. During the Friday time period, it is expected to continue its strength, rushing to the suppression point and then falling back. The small cycle determines the entry and exit of specific transactions. After the first wave rose to 1960 on Thursday and fell back to 1951, it was weak. The actual support was at 1950. Therefore, the key point of today's strength is at 1950, and the support for rising and falling again at midnight is at 1955. Therefore, the strong support is at 1955, then, the actual transaction can be placed above 1955 or 1950 to do long, and the specific situation is combined with the intraday pattern. Whether the high suppression point can be long needs to be considered in the US market
6.16 Gold Strategy: If it goes up, it is recommended to rebound to 1968-1970 and short, stop loss 6 points, target 1960-1955 break position can be held; if it goes lower, pay attention to 1955-1950 support and do long, stop loss 6 points, target 1965-1970 break position can continue to hold
GOLD - Many signs support the uptrendRecent data indicates that China's economic recovery, as well as manufacturing activity in the US and Euro Area, is slowing down.
As a result, industrial metal prices have been affected, with copper dropping to a seven-month low in May. The demand for copper is expected to be limited due to fears of a global recession this year.
Currently, gold is attempting to correct itself to the $1984 price zone. Investors are keeping an eye on ADP's performance, which may push gold to this price range.
However, if the price returns to the 1950-1945 zone first, I will set up a buy order here
At the moment, all signals are in favor of gold's uptrend
Gold trading recommendations today
The current decline of gold remains unchanged, and the rebound is still a short-selling opportunity! The pressure in 1957 above is obvious!
The current gold is in a downward trend. Shorting is the only strategy at present. The thinking is clear. The remaining execution points rely on key pressures, and we should deal with them immediately!
From the perspective of the 4-hour level, gold fluctuates and fluctuates, and after each shock, it will break a new low! Mainly operate at high altitudes, relying on the suppression of the downward trend line, and the upper horizontal pressure of 1957 to dry up, continue to look at new lows!
Trading straregy:
Trading strategy for next week:
gold: sell@1957 tp1:1950 tp2:1940
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!
Analysis of short-term entry trading points for gold next week1. The short-term gold hits the top 1980-1984 high again and the suppression will not be broken. You can temporarily consider placing short orders to see the callback repair, and stop the short order at 1986 to prevent the market from continuing to rise unilaterally. At present, the bottom of the short order should first look at the support of 1968-1970 , If it falls below, pay further attention to the lower low point around 1958-1960!
2. As a whole, gold will look at the pullback strength after the opening of the market next week to determine at what point it will start to stabilize and go long. On Monday, it is expected that the short-term fluctuations in the overall market will not be too large, so let’s first look at the first support near 1968-1974 Can it start to stabilize and rebound, and the layout of this point is long, the lower stop loss will be placed directly at the 1865 low, and once the market continues to decline again at the 1965 mark, then our next key support needs to look at the 1952-1957 low. Whether it has stabilized and rebounded again, and for this long order, first of all, it depends on the situation at the top of 1980! If you stand firm, look further at the 1984 high point to suppress the breakthrough!
3. If gold directly rebounds strongly again, the first and most important high-level suppression is the vicinity of the 1998-2007 mark. Once the gold continues to rebound and hits this high point, the suppression does not break, it means that the strength of the bulls has begun to weaken again, so we are in the middle and long term The key points for re-arrangement of empty orders, and for this mid-to-long-term empty order target, we will temporarily look at the low line of 1958-1952 below, and continue to break through the line of 1952, indicating that the bears have begun to exert their strength again, and we will further see 1945-1948 below Important position!
Investment is a long-term process, don't think about getting rich overnight. How can you invest without a good attitude and order planning?
Friends who are interested in investing in gold and crude oil but have no way to start, or are already in contact but the transaction is not ideal, you can contact me