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XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish Outlook – H1/H4 Chart AnalysisGold is currently showing signs of weakness within a confirmed downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the short-term charts. The price structure suggests continued bearish momentum as sellers maintain control beneath key resistance levels. At present, a potential bearish opportunity is observed if price retraces near the 3320 zone, which aligns with a recent supply area and resistance in the ongoing downtrend. From this level, price action could continue its downward move in line with trend dynamics. Entry Zone: Around 3320 Primary Target: 3300 (near-term support level) Final Target: 3280 (extended target aligning with previous demand zone) Invalidation/Stop Loss: Above 3340 (a break above this may invalidate the bearish bias) 🔸Disclaimer; This setup is based on technical structure and market flow, not financial advice. Always confirm with your own analysis and risk management plan.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by FX_Mark0
3
Gold rebound is powerless and waiting for catalyst! European sup In the Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold suddenly fell rapidly in the short term, falling to the lowest level of 3284. At present, gold is firmly bearish in the near term, and the price of gold may fall to $3247/ounce. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. This document may reiterate what speculative interest already knows, that is, Fed officials are satisfied with their recent wait-and-see stance. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting. The minutes of the Fed's June 17-18 meeting to be released will send a more dovish signal than expected, and the "wait-and-see period" for rate cuts may end in late summer. Views on today's gold trend! Looking back at the market, it fell first and then rose on Monday, and then retreated directly on Tuesday. The market turned so sharply, and after gold broke below 3300 again yesterday, the market tended to be weak. At present, the upward trend of gold is still in effect, but buyers seem to be losing momentum. It is worth noting that the relative strength index (RSI) triggered a "sell signal" as the index fell below 50, indicating that sellers outnumbered buyers. From the perspective of price action, gold prices need to fall below the June 30 low of $3,246/oz to pave the way for further declines. From the 4-hour trend chart and the daily trend, the key node of opening pressure is around 3,321. This position is the low point of yesterday's sideways trading, and it is also the key suppression level of the trend line and the moving average. If you want to weaken again today, this position cannot stand firm, and the support below will first look at the double support of 3,376 and 3,247! Gold: Short near 3,321, defend 3,331, and target 3,296-3,285! Enter long orders if it falls back to around 3,276 without breaking, defend 70, and target 3,310! If it continues to break, wait for the 3,347 first-line support to take more!
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1
Gold fell under pressure, and the watershed is 3321. ⭐️Gold Information: During the Asian session on Wednesday, gold prices (XAU/USD) continued to be under pressure, falling below the $3,300 mark, hitting the lowest point in more than a week. The decline in gold prices comes as the market generally believes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, especially as the market expects that tough U.S. tariffs may exacerbate inflation in the coming months. Such expectations have pushed up U.S. Treasury yields and stabilized the U.S. dollar (USD) near a two-week high hit on Tuesday - a key resistance for the non-yielding precious metal, which continues to face downward pressure. ⭐️Personal comments: Gold price fell below support, Dow Jones H1 pattern, gold price fell below 3300 ⭐️Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3344-3446 SL 3351 TP1: $3335 TP2: $3320 TP3: $3302 🔥Buy gold area: $3256-$3254 SL $3249 TP1: $3268 TP2: $3280 TP3: $3298 ⭐️Technical analysis: Set reasonable sell orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support and resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
After repeated tug-of-war, where will gold go?At present, the gold market is divided between long and short positions. The Federal Reserve may maintain high interest rates, which weakens the investment appeal of gold; however, trade frictions and geopolitical risks provide safe-haven support for gold. Overall, market sentiment is mixed, with bulls lacking confidence, but bears have not been able to fully control the situation. Last week's strong non-farm data reduced market expectations for a rate cut in July, pushing up U.S. bond yields and the dollar, putting pressure on gold, which does not generate interest. In addition, Trump said on social media that he would impose a 10% tariff on countries that "support anti-U.S. policies." The market is waiting for the release of the minutes of the Fed's June meeting, which will more clearly show policymakers' views on the current economic situation and future policies, and may determine the direction of interest rates. If the minutes show that the Fed is inclined to maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, gold prices may continue to face downward pressure. From a technical perspective, gold was under pressure at a high level at the opening, so gold is expected to fall today. Today's key pressure level is 3345. Before the price effectively breaks through and stabilizes at 3345, any rebound is a short-selling opportunity; once it stabilizes at 3345, the bottom pattern is confirmed to be established, and the bulls will start an upward market. At this time, the short-selling idea should be abandoned. From a technical point of view, the 1-hour chart has shown a trend from weak to strong, and the Bollinger Bands are opening and diverging upward, indicating that the market may accelerate upward. Today's operation suggestion is to focus on low-long and high-short as a supplement. In terms of specific points, the lower support is 3327-3320, and the upper resistance is 3355-3360. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to buy gold when it rebounds to around 3327-3320, with the target at 3340-3350. 2. It is recommended to sell gold when it rebounds to around 3345-3355, with the target at 3330-3320.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
1
Bearish pressure below 3,300 at the start of the week 📌 Driving Events Gold prices (XAU/USD) faced renewed selling pressure in early Asian trading on Monday, falling to the $3,320 level. Gold's pullback came as stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for June reshaped market expectations for the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy path. Investors are now turning their attention to the Federal Open Market Committee minutes, which will be released on Wednesday, for further guidance. The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, better than expected and slightly higher than the revised 144,000 in May. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.1%. These data reinforce the view that the labor market remains resilient, reducing the likelihood of an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve. As a result, the U.S. dollar strengthened, weighing on non-yielding assets such as gold. 📊Comment Analysis The decline at the beginning of the week, gold prices give up accumulation below 3300 💰Strategy Package ⭐️Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3337-3339 SL 3344 TP1: $3328 TP2: $3312 TP3: $3300 🔥Buy gold area: $3297-$3295 SL $3290 TP1: $3308 TP2: $3320 TP3: $3330 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential DropGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential Drop Ahead! 🎯 📊 Technical Analysis Summary: The chart illustrates a bearish setup forming after multiple rejection points near a key resistance zone around 3,360–3,380 USD. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔴 Double Rejection Pattern: Red arrows highlight strong bearish rejections from resistance. Indicates sellers are defending this zone aggressively. 🟠 Support Turned Resistance: The previous support (labelled as "SUPPOT") is now acting as resistance. Classic bearish retest behavior. 🔷 Bearish Flag Formation: Price consolidates in a descending flag pattern. Breakdown below the flag suggests continuation to the downside. 🎯 Target Zone: If breakdown confirms, price may drop towards target area near 3,275–3,280 USD (marked as “TARGET FAXS”). 🟧 Important Reaction Zones: Multiple orange circles indicate zones of high reaction – historically significant for both buyers and sellers. 📌 Conclusion: Unless bulls reclaim the 3,360–3,380 resistance zone convincingly, the bias remains bearish, and the next leg down may target the 3,280 USD area. 🔔 Traders should watch for a clean break below 3,320 to confirm bearish continuation.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
4
Gold fluctuates during the day, short-term profits will be left 📌Main driving events of gold The big non-agricultural data in the United States caused the gold price to fall by almost 40 US dollars in one breath, but after a short emotional storm, the market returned to calm. Today's market began to bottom out and rise. As of now, the non-agricultural market has been backed by 50%, and the energy of the shorts has been basically digested. Next, the bulls will start to exert their strength! Today's direction is still the same and continue to be bullish! 📊Comment analysis In the US market, the gold price rebounded after the decline and the bottom of the second retracement appeared. The support level is 3322. After a night of fluctuations, gold has begun to rise, and the low point has begun to rise. The key point of the day is still 3323. In the morning, we wait for the gold price to fall back to around 3323 and we will buy the bottom and go long. We don’t expect to surpass yesterday’s high point during the day, but at least it will go to 3350! 💰Strategy Package Long position: Gold long at 3322-3327, stop loss 3315, target 3350-3360 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Gold strengthens, looking for low-buy opportunities In the matter of trading, everyone's cognition and operation are different, and it is difficult to find people who can really resonate. This huge difference in trading cognition makes many traders often fall into a situation of having nothing to say in social interaction, and it is difficult to find bosom friends who can really discuss trading in depth and understand each other. 1. The US ADP National Employment Report released yesterday showed that private employment decreased by 33,000 in June, which was the first net decrease in jobs since March 2023, in sharp contrast to the 29,000 increase in May after the downward revision. The market had expected 95,000 jobs to increase in June, and this unexpected decline has raised investors' doubts about the health of the US labor market. So I think the unexpected weakness of the ADP data has led the market to bet on the Fed's interest rate cut, and this expectation has driven the rise in gold prices in the short term. 2. The trade agreement reached between the United States and Vietnam reduced the tariffs previously planned to be imposed on Vietnamese exports, easing market concerns about trade tensions. I believe that against the backdrop of increasing global economic uncertainty, gold's position as a safe-haven asset has become increasingly solid, which will become an external factor affecting the gold market in the future. Technical aspects: Weekly chart: Upward trend, long-term buy on dips. Daily chart: Symmetrical triangle consolidation, cautious wait-and-see in the medium term. 4-hour chart: Downward channel breaks upward, short-term buy on dips. 30-minute chart: Upward trend, short-term buy on dips. Intraday operations focus on bullish opportunities in the 3350 area, defend 3343. Continue to look above 3365.
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target 🎯 ✨📈 🔍 Technical Analysis Overview: The chart illustrates a clear bullish reversal pattern following a strong downtrend, with price reacting from a key support zone (highlighted in blue). Multiple bullish rejection wicks and confirmation candles (green arrows) indicate buying interest at this support. The recent higher low formation confirms shift in market structure towards bullish bias. 📌 Key Zones: 🟦 Support Zone: Around 3,280 – 3,320 USD Price respected this zone multiple times (marked with orange circles), confirming its strength. 🟥 Resistance Zone / Target: 3,430 – 3,460 USD This area aligns with previous swing highs and is the projected target for this bullish move. 📈 Chart Structure: Break of descending trendline and bullish momentum above support suggests potential continuation towards the marked target. Falling wedge breakout also aligns with reversal logic. 🎯 Price Target: 3,438.515 USD (resistance area), as labeled on chart with arrow and breakout projection. 🛑 Invalidation Level: A sustained break below the support zone (3,280 USD) would invalidate this bullish outlook. 📌 Conclusion: Gold is exhibiting strong bullish behavior with confirmation from price action and structure break. As long as price sustains above support, the path toward 3,438 remains
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
2
Bullish Reversal Setup on GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal Setup on GOLD/USD 💰📈 🔍 Chart Analysis: The chart illustrates a clear bullish reversal structure forming off a strong support zone: 📌 Key Observations: Multiple Rejections at Support 🟠 The price has reacted to the 3,300 - 3,280 USD support zone multiple times, forming a triple bottom pattern, indicating strong buyer interest. Bullish Harmonic Pattern ✅ A bullish harmonic pattern (likely a Bat or Gartley) completed right at the support level, triggering a strong reversal with a bullish engulfing candle. Break of Minor Structure 📊 Price broke through minor resistance near 3,340 USD, confirming bullish momentum. The breakout is supported by a retest shown with the green arrow 🟢. Target Point Identified 🎯 The projected target is 3,460 USD, marked clearly as the next significant resistance zone. This aligns with previous price rejection areas, making it a high-probability target. 📈 Trading Outlook: ✅ Buy Confirmation: Break and retest of 3,340 USD zone. 🎯 Target: 3,460 USD. 🛡️ Support Zone: 3,300 – 3,280 USD (watch for any breakdown below this). 📌 Conclusion: The chart signals a high-probability bullish continuation, with strong support, harmonic confluence, and structural breakout. Traders may look for buy opportunities on pullbacks with the target set at 3,460 USD. 🚀📊
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
XAU/USD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionTechnical analysis of (XAU/USD) based on price action and technical indicators on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a --- Key Technical Insights: 1. Resistance Level (Highlighted Yellow Zone): Price is approaching a strong resistance zone (previous rejection marked by red arrows). This area has historically pushed price downward. 2. Trendline Support (Rising Black Line): Price has been following a short-term ascending trendline, forming higher lows. A break below this trendline signals potential bearish reversal. 3. EMA 200 (Blue Line): Price is currently above the EMA 200, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, price is testing resistance — a rejection could flip momentum bearish. 4. Bearish Rejection & Projection: The chart shows an anticipated rejection from resistance, followed by a break of trendline support. Target zone is marked near 3,228.098, indicating a drop of ~94 points from the current level. 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is nearing overbought territory (68.79). A bearish divergence or RSI crossing down may confirm weakening momentum. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Trading Idea: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Near the resistance level (~3,322) Confirmation: Break of trendline support Target: 3,228 Stop-Loss: Above resistance zone (just over the upper trendline) --- pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
7
XAUUSD/GOLD Geopolitical conflicts have escalated again. Next week is a week of heavy news. How will the gold price focus next week? How to trade? Look at the news preview first. 1. Geopolitics, Russia-Ukraine conflict, Palestine-Israel conflict, Iran-Israel conflict. 2. ADP data, NFP data. 3. Tariff deadline. The above three news are enough to cause drastic fluctuations in the gold price. On Friday, the New York market followed my expectations. After rebounding around 3282, it fell back. Finally closed around 3274. The impact of the weekend news is huge. From the news perspective, the opening price of next Monday will be higher than the closing price on Friday. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to buying at a low price after the market opens.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ludvig_Band_King
XAUUSD/GOLD/SellThe pressure from the bears is too great. In the end, the pressure from above was not broken. Instead, it broke out and fell after being under pressure. The stop loss was hit. The current price is 3285. After gradually boosting the US dollar index. The trend of gold prices has continued to fall. More importantly, the tariff issue has been eased. At the same time, geopolitical factors are also orderly and stable. This is the news that caused the bears to attack. History has not become the savior because of repeating itself. Of course, this is also an emergency. In some transactions, the extremely low probability of causing losses is a common problem in transactions. However, our analysis team has stabilized a high trading win rate. Then the next trading plan is still to focus on the pressure from above. If the London market rebounds above 3300. It is still mainly selling. 3314 is an important level for short-term rebound, and we need to pay attention. Although there is no obvious sign of rebound yet, the release of short-selling pressure has been alleviated because the decline is slow. Today's main trading idea is still to sell at high levels. The target is to focus on the position of 3264-3248. Remember the risk of buying at low levels. Do not trade independently.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ludvig_Band_King
XAUUAD Reversal Setup Short Trade Opportunity Below Resistance Current Price: 3,327.56 USD Entry Point: 3,332.67 USD Stop Loss: 3,342.45 USD Take Profit Levels: Target 1 (Downside): 3,294.45 USD (-1.17%) Target 2 (Upside): 3,393.78 USD (+1.50%) 🔧 Technical Indicators & Tools Trade Line: Upward sloping trendline connecting higher lows, supporting recent bullish structure. Moving Averages: Red: Short-term (likely 50-period EMA) Blue: Long-term (likely 200-period EMA) Price is still trading below the long-term MA, suggesting broader bearish pressure. Resistance Zone: 3,334.96–3,341.30 — a key supply area marked in purple. Support Zone: 3,294.45 — identified as a previous demand level. ⚖️ Risk-Reward Analysis Short Setup: Entry: 3,332.67 Stop Loss: 3,342.45 (Risk ~10 USD) Target: 3,294.45 (Reward ~38 USD) R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3.8, which is favorable for a short trade. 📌 Summary Bias: Bearish intraday Setup Type: Short-sell at resistance zone Confirmation: Price rejection or bearish candle near 3,334–3,342 zone Invalidation: Break and close above 3,351.06 (upper resistance)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
34
Gold Rebounds Slightly After Dropping to 3295📊 Market Update: Gold bounced back to 3320 after dipping to 3295 amid USD strength and rising bond yields. The recovery was fueled by short-covering, but traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 3330 • Nearest Support: 3295 • EMA: Price is hovering near the 09 EMA on the H1 chart → neutral to slightly bullish in short-term correction. • Candle / Volume / Momentum: H1 candles show mild recovery with increased volume, but no clear reversal signal yet. 📌 Outlook: Gold may range between 3295 and 3330 before a breakout, depending on incoming U.S. economic data. A break above 3330 could trigger a short-term rally.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Will the gold bearish trend continue? 💡Message Strategy The gold market is facing a complex game of long and short factors in the near future. On the one hand, US President Trump announced that Iran and Israel had reached a "comprehensive ceasefire", and the market's risk aversion demand plummeted, and gold was under obvious short-term pressure. However, according to Reuters, Israel still has small-scale military operations, which has led to differences in the market's optimism about the situation in the Middle East, and the downward space of gold is temporarily limited. On the other hand, US economic data is mixed. In June, the S&P global manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 52, the service industry PMI fell slightly to 53.1, and the composite PMI fell slightly to 52.8, suggesting that the momentum of economic expansion has slowed down marginally. More importantly, Fed officials have released dovish signals one after another. Fed Governor Bowman expressed concern about labor market risks and supported interest rate cuts this year, echoing Governor Waller's expectations of a rate cut in July. This adjustment in monetary policy expectations has led to a weakening of the US dollar, providing some support for gold prices. 📊Technical aspects 1. Pay attention to the defensive position at the weekly level. As time goes by, this position is now in the 3316-3315 area. After breaking 3333 at noon, it accelerated to reach here, so pay attention to the gains and losses here in the future, so as to prepare for the next space switch 2. The daily line has been defending the lifeline for nearly a month. The current lifeline position is 3355. No matter how it pierces in the previous process, the final closing line must return to the top of the lifeline, thus becoming a support area This means that today's closing is very critical. It can be closed below the lifeline, and then switch space downward to enter the area from the lifeline to the lower track 3355-3280 3. The four-hour pattern opens downward. Yesterday, the resistance of the upper track of the pattern was determined twice, and then it began to fall continuously, fell back to the lifeline, and then fell below the lower track of the pattern. Now it is further down and breaking the low Then, keeping high is the key, breaking low is the focus. The previous starting and falling acceleration points are 3357 area, 3370, and finally 3388-3390. Today's high point is 3370 area. The resistance range of 3357 is determined at noon. The pattern opens downward. Keep high and break low to see acceleration. After breaking the high point, it returns to sweeping. 4. The double lines of the hourly chart are glued together to form a pressure area. The interval of 3355-3370 just coincides with the two resistances above. Use this as suppression to switch space downward. 5. The large channel cooperates with the small channel. The price falls below the lower track position of the large channel and begins to switch space further downward. The top and bottom conversion position is 3340, and the final acceleration starting point is 3348. Use this as suppression, and look down to the weekly defense line area of ​​3316-3315. If it falls below, the next support will focus on the 3300 mark. If it breaks 3300 again, the next position is 3280 💰Strategy Package Short Position：3348-3354，SL：3375，Target: 3300-3310 Long Position:3280-3290，SL：3260，Target: 3340
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD 📉 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows). Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance. 🔻 Bearish Momentum: After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure. 📉 Support Level: Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.” This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again. 🔄 Minor Retracement Zone: Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward. This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip). 🎯 Target Projection: Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone. 📌 Conclusion: The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance. 📉 Bias: Bearish 📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD 📉 📊 Chart Analysis Summary: The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Resistance Zone: Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows). Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance. 🔻 Bearish Momentum: After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure. 📉 Support Level: Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.” This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again. 🔄 Minor Retracement Zone: Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward. This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip). 🎯 Target Projection: Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone. 📌 Conclusion: The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance. 📉 Bias: Bearish 📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD
TVC:GOLDShort
by MrStellanSight
Is World War III not far away? The market has always been a zero-sum game between longs and shorts. No matter how successful you are in other aspects, in the market, winning and losing are the only criteria. Recently, many traders have been asking what to do if gold and crude oil lose money? How to recover the losses? In fact, it is normal to have such concerns. After all, as long as it is an investment, there will be risks. And facing this risk of loss, most traders will be panicked, so here I am your beacon in the endless darkness! The ultimate question of the conflict: Is war inevitable? The key variable of the current situation lies in Iran’s way of retaliation: will it choose a small-scale attack on the US military base to shock the tiger, or will it go all out to block the Strait of Hormuz? The US military deployment also reveals subtle signals: the "Ford" aircraft carrier battle group has entered the Arabian Sea, and the B-52 bomber has entered the Al Udeid base in Qatar. This "force deterrence + limited strike" strategy seems to avoid a full-scale war with Iran while trying to curb its nuclear program. However, history has repeatedly proved that the "powder keg" in the Middle East is never short of sparks - a gunshot in Sarajevo in 1914 triggered World War I, and a bottle of laundry detergent became an excuse for the Iraq War in 2003. Today, when news of US fighter jets bombing Iranian nuclear facilities comes out, and when Iran lists US citizens as targets, the direction of this conflict has gone beyond the "controllable range". For ordinary investors, whether war breaks out or not, the value of gold as crisis insurance has been redefined, and every alarm in the Middle East may become a charge for gold prices to rebound. Interpretation of gold trend in European session Gold trend surged at the opening, but failed to break through the watershed line of 3405 expected at the weekend. At present, the support of risk aversion conflict failed to break through the key resistance level. The short-term trend is still the same as last week's analysis. It is still weak and bearish. The stimulus of news can only have a certain impact on short-term operations, and will not change the trend. At present, we have been insisting on seeing a break and fall last week, but it has not come yet. The first test position this week is still the small double bottom of 3340! Gold continues to retreat on the hourly line. Under the current situation where the short-selling momentum continues to exert force, first see whether the double bottom support of 3340 is effective. If the early retreat is in place and fails to break through, it can be seen that the support is short-term rebound upward. The second decline point of 3372-75 is seen above. Unless the United States makes trouble again, it is still possible to arrange short orders! Gold: Retracement to 3338-40, defense at 30, target at 3365-70! Short at 3372-75 when it pulls back, defend at 3380, target at 3345-40!
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
Let’s talk about gold’s movement This week, the fundamentals are relatively relaxed. The two sides of the Middle East war continue to fight each other. The market is relatively tired, resulting in the relative weakness of gold, silver and oil. From the technical perspective, the gold price continues to fluctuate and fall. After falling to the bottom, it rebounds rapidly. The overall bulls are strong again. Let's briefly sort it out: 1: Fundamentals: Market aesthetic fatigue leads to continuous adjustment of gold, silver and oil; 2: Technical aspect, the fundamentals are relatively weak, resulting in the technical adjustment of "up and down puncture" to wash the plate! To sum up: This week's trend is very difficult to operate; long, the fundamentals are weak; short, the overall risk aversion has not disappeared; therefore, there is a trend of constantly piercing the lows, and then constantly pulling up; the overall trend is a decline of three and a rise of two! The current overall environment: 1: Fundamentals: The first stage: The Middle East war is still going on, the two sides continue to fight each other, and their attitudes are strong; the opposing forces of the camps are obvious; the impact is far-reaching! The first stage is a continuous confrontation; risk aversion is born, assisting the strong rise of gold, silver and oil; we are still in the first stage! The second stage: the opposing camp forces gradually exit; for example, the United States decides whether to exit within 2 weeks, which is actually waiting for the intensity of Iran and Israel's next move. The United States exits and the war expands; the United States and the West exit indirectly, and the Middle East war becomes protracted. Refer to the Russian-Ukrainian war. The United States and the West continue to wait and see, then the Middle East war will form a multi-to-one situation, which is relatively unlikely. Israel is a "nail household" placed in the Middle East by the United States and the West. The United States and the West will not sit idly by and watch Israel being completely defeated. The third stage: the end of the war; this stage is far away; refer to the current Russian-Ukrainian war; once the war starts, it will not end easily, whether it is an agent, the forces behind the camp, or the forces of a third party, without the final benefits in hand , will not end the war, such as the chaebols that support it, the military and industrial enterprises that support it, the political ladder strategic goals that support it, etc. To sum up: we are currently in the first stage of the war, and the subsequent second stage is the core stage of the market, so we have to be careful about risk aversion repeatedly, and be careful about risk aversion rekindling, so that the bulls can "stir up a thousand waves again, but at this stage, the market continues to pierce and wash the market, which makes us very uncomfortable! We can only choose to follow the trend, and then choose different support levels, and deal with it mainly in line with the trend This week's trading ideas: First, they are all trend-following ideas, and second: they are all support points, but they are not very smooth, and the uninterrupted piercing, stopping the decline, and pulling sharply are all uncomfortable Next week's market outlook: 1. Weekly K, it is still a time-for-space mode, the price is resistant to falling, the indicator is corrected, here 3500 is definitely not a high point in the future; but it still takes time to promote the continuous upward attack of weekly K! Therefore, from a long-term perspective, I still suggest that gold is mainly bullish; 2. Daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to be near the central axis, forming a bottoming out and rebounding; the indicator is in a dead cross, the price is resistant to falling, and the market is washed here, washing "the sky is hanging and the earth is dizzy"; at the same time, in terms of form, it continues to fluctuate and rise. After multiple rises, the probability of subsequent breakouts is relatively high; 3. 4 hours, the stochastic indicator is golden cross, the form is bottoming out and rebounding, and it is also an uninterrupted decline and piercing, and then a sharp rise; the high-level one-word interval of 4 hours is integrated It is a relay sideways signal; the follow-up means the continuation of the trend; To sum up: technically, the daily K-line is sideways and resistant to falling, and the weekly K-line is sideways and resistant to falling. The subsequent multiple upward tests on the technical side will gradually form a break; fundamentally, the subsequent second stage has not yet arrived completely, and the attitude of the United States in the next two weeks will also determine the direction of the second stage of the war I suggest that the idea is to maintain the trend of low-multiple ideas. In terms of position, refer to the support and choose the uninterrupted layout of the support position; wash-out response: do a good job of risk control, wash-out is also helpless; short-term: try to avoid it as much as possible. Without a fundamental change, don't over-lay out short-term. Trend: combining fundamentals and technical aspects, the subsequent breakout of 3500 and the probability of setting a new high are relatively high
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis: The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside. 📌 Key Observations: 📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers. 💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles). 🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal. 🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone. 🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones. 📈 Conclusion: If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation. ✅ Trading Plan Suggestion: Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330) TP: 3,453 zone 🎯 🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
The rebound is weak, is it expected to continue to decline? 📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical situation 2. Pay attention to the impact of short-term trends of the US dollar and silver on gold 📈 Market analysis: The weekly level large range sweep is still going on, with a focus on the space defense dividing line area of ​​the 10-day moving average and the 3315-3310 area. After falling back to the lifeline in four hours, it continued to bend downward under pressure. During the sweeping decline, the suppression became more obvious. Whether there will be a wave of large-volume market, the pattern is expected to further open and guide the direction. In this process, note that the lifeline 3375 is also the resistance point determined by the last rebound last night. Use this as suppression to sweep the range below. On the whole, for the future gold, if it can maintain the rhythm of defending highs and breaking lows, and successfully closes at a low level today, then next week it is expected to further switch downwards to sweep space. Therefore, we will continue to focus on two support areas, one is 3345-3335, and the other is 3315-3310 after breaking 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3345-3335 TP 3355-3365 SELL 3365-3375 TP 3345-3335-3315 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
1
When will the price of gold fall?Market news: In the early Asian session on Friday (June 20), spot gold fell narrowly and is currently trading around $3,360 per ounce. London gold prices fluctuated violently under the dual influence of the Fed's hawkish stance and geopolitical tensions. Powell's hawkish stance cooled the market's expectations for interest rate cuts. As a non-yielding asset, international gold is under obvious pressure under high interest rate expectations. In sharp contrast to the Fed's hawkish stance, geopolitical tensions have provided important safe-haven support for international gold prices. The escalation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict has not only exacerbated tensions in the Middle East, but also triggered market concerns about the global security environment. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often sought after when geopolitical risks rise. In the short term, the continued escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran may continue to drive safe-haven funds into the gold market, but the direction of the Fed's monetary policy and the specific implementation of the Trump administration's tariff policy will have a key impact on the medium- and long-term trend of gold prices. Technical Review : Gold maintained a volatile closing. The daily chart closed with alternating buying and selling for four consecutive trading days. There was no trend continuation. We will continue to pay attention to the 3350/3390 range during the day. Today's trading ideas are still short-term, selling at high prices and buying at low prices to participate in the volatile trend.So far this week, gold has been difficult to break out of the continuity of buying and selling. Yesterday, Thursday, under the temporary performance of gold's short-term dollar trend, we are optimistic that gold will fluctuate in the range, with the maximum range at 3350/3400, but there may often be a breakout on Thursday. Therefore, today we should pay attention to both trading within the range and the strength after the breakout. Today's analysis: Gold fluctuated overall yesterday due to the early closure of the US market, and the fluctuation was not large. However, gold as a whole is still biased towards selling. Gold is now weak in buying and rebounding, so there is a lot of room for gold selling. Next, we will continue to sell gold. If there is no particularly large profit to support gold, then gold buying may not cause any big waves in the short term. Gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross and sell downward. Gold selling is strong and there is still room for downward movement. After gold fell yesterday, the highest rebound was around 3378, and then it continued to fall back. After rebounding several times, it did not break through 3378 again. Gold continued to sell at high prices under pressure at 3378. Gold is now fluctuating and falling, and the center of gravity is constantly moving downward. With this trend, gold may accelerate downward at any time. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3335-3338 buy, stop loss 3328, target 3370-3380; Short-term gold 3360-3370 short, stop loss 3387, target 3330-3340; Key points: First support level: 3352, second support level: 3344, third support level: 3331 First resistance level: 3378, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3400
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NuggetsWarriors
3
XAU/USD(20250620) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3369 Support and resistance levels: 3409 3494 3384 3353 3344 3329 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3369, consider buying, and the first target price is 3384 If the price breaks through 3353, consider selling, and the first target price is 3344
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NuggetsWarriors