Gold futures intraday trading bibleAt present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2910, and the short-term rise is insufficient. The short-term fluctuates at a high level. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the strength was obviously insufficient. It fell again after being under pressure near 2930. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, it is likely to fluctuate around a high range. Even if it does not break through, it will only be a correction in the short term, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to fluctuate in a high range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
Goldminers
XAUUSD: 6/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 2957, support below 2892
Four-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2887
One-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2912
Gold news analysis: As the US tariffs on many countries continue to take effect, and more tariff plans for Europe and other countries are about to be implemented, gold's position as a safe-haven asset remains solid. Earlier this week, US President Trump imposed a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico. However, to the surprise of the market, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted that some tariff relief may be provided to the two US neighbors. According to Bloomberg, Lutnick said in an interview with Fox Business Channel that there may be a way to reduce some tariffs. This news may put some pressure on the upward trend of gold prices in the short term. As tensions in the physical market ease, the extreme dislocation of gold prices is fading, indicating that the craze for shipping gold to the United States may have peaked. This change in supply and demand dynamics may also have an impact on the recent trend of gold prices. US Treasury yields have rebounded slightly, although there is still a long way to recover. The change of yield rate usually shows an opposite relationship with the gold price, which is also one of the factors that the market pays attention to.
Gold operation suggestion: Yesterday, gold experienced a wide range of long and short fluctuations in the volatile trading. The price rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions. The European session was suppressed below 2922 and fell back and fell. The US session accelerated downward and broke through the 2900 integer mark to reach 2894 and stabilized and began to rebound. Finally, it broke through the 2929 mark and began to fall and consolidate. The overall gold price formed a wide range of long and short fluctuations around the 2894-2929 mark.
From the current trend analysis, today's lower support continues to focus on the one-hour level 2912 first-line support and the daily level support 2892. The upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 2930. Continue to rely on this range to participate in high selling and low buying during the day, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Buy: 2892near. SL:2887 (can be entered repeatedly)
Buy: 2900near. SL:2895 (can be entered repeatedly)
Buy:2912near. SL:2908
Sell:2930near. SL:2935
Go long on gold 05-10, and continue to go long in the short termRecently, the market is also fermenting around the new US tariff policy and the US-Ukraine mineral agreement, which has triggered the Russian-Ukrainian war. Things that should have been clear have not been implemented, which has led to increased uncertainty. In addition, the Federal Reserve also plans to accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts due to the increased risk of economic downturn, so the current market trend is also very repeated. In terms of operation, it is still a repeated shock pattern before the non-agricultural data. From the trend point of view. Comparing long and short positions, long positions are still slightly stronger. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2900. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of short-selling power, the bulls will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for long gold. Now we are long gold around 2905-2910. The target is 2918-2928 area, wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to go long on gold?
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First go long gold, then go short goldThe current international gold price shows a typical head and shoulders bottom reversal pattern, with 2900-2905 below being the key support area for gold. From a technical perspective, it shows that gold has accumulated reversal momentum at the bottom after falling, and the release of ADP employment data may promote the accelerated rise of gold prices. Then the resistance above gold will first focus on the suppression of the 2930 line. If gold breaks through 2930, then we can test the key resistance area of 2945-2955, the historical high.
Therefore, in short-term trading, I advocate going long gold. When gold falls back to around the 2910-2900 area, we can go long gold.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have given feedback that it is very helpful. If you want to learn market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and make more profits, I can satisfy you. Follow the bottom of the article to enter for details!
3.4 Short-term technical analysis of goldLatest technical analysis of gold
Despite the rebound in gold prices in the Asian session on Monday, the technical side of gold prices deserves caution before making new bullish bets.
From a technical perspective, gold prices fell below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the rebound from December to February last year last week, which is seen as a key trigger by sellers. In addition, oscillators on the daily chart have just begun to gain negative traction and support the prospect of gold prices continuing the corrective pullback from the historical peak.
Therefore, any subsequent gains may still be seen as selling opportunities and are limited near $2,885/oz. The $2,900/oz mark is closely followed, and if it is broken, gold prices may climb to $2,934/oz before moving towards the record high near $2,956/oz.
On the other hand, Friday's swing low (around the $2,833-2,832/oz area) now seems to protect the recent downside. If it falls below the above area, gold prices may fall to the 38.2% Fibonacci level (around $2,815-2,810/oz). If gold encounters some follow-up selling and falls below the $2,800/oz mark, it may indicate that gold prices have peaked and may pave the way for further declines.
3.3 Gold is under high pressure, beware of a pullbackThe gold four-hour line is also suppressed by the moving average, and the rebound is short-lived, and it is directly pressed on the floor. At the same time, the upper resistance of 2880 and 2890 is an obvious resistance. The K line is just a rebound and is definitely not a reversal. It is obviously still empty below the two resistances, and the K line is suppressed directly to the point of being unable to breathe, and is pressed on the floor. The K line goes down from 2955 to 2830. This big short is obviously still strong.
Short-term suggestion 2880 SELL
Gold short-term trend analysis. Trading range is 2850~2900Gold ended its 9-day winning streak on the weekly chart. The weekly chart fell sharply for the first time since December. The retracement tested the MA5/7-day moving average, and the RSI indicator Zhonghui's central axis value was 50. The daily chart adjusted downward for four consecutive trading days. The MA10/7-day moving average formed a high of 2916 and opened downward and gradually moved down to 2903/12. At the same time, the 5-day moving average moved down to 2885, and the RSI indicator central axis was adjusted. The price was running in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band.
The price of the short-term four-hour chart was in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band channel, and the moving average opened downward. However, after the hourly and four-hour charts RSI indicators tested the 20 value and formed an overbought closing on Friday, they turned upward. Coupled with the stimulus of the weekend market news, gold opened at 2858 in the Asian session and rose sharply to 2876. A strong counterattack and pull-up was formed. It is not suitable to buy in the sharp rise of the Asian session at the beginning of the week. The 2893/2920 trend line of the descending channel has not formed a break, so the transaction is still based on the trend line waiting for high selling.
From the current market, even if the gold price may fall in the short term, we should also be alert to the weak NFP employment data or slowing wage growth this week, which may rekindle the market's expectations of the Fed's accelerated rate cuts and promote the rebound of gold prices. If it breaks through $2,900, it is expected to restart the bull trend. If the negative NFP data will strengthen the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, gold may be further under pressure to explore the $2,800 support. After the technical break, the short-selling momentum may be accelerated, increasing the risk of short-term downside.
Then for today's operation, the market will definitely stir up more waves. In the case of a sharp rise at the opening, if 2880 is not broken, we can still expect a fall back to the 2860-2850 area. In other words, the long position still needs to wait for 2860-2850 to stabilize before seeking entry. On the upside, if it breaks through and stabilizes above 2880, you can buy directly, and look for selling opportunities when it is blocked at 2890-2900.
Of course, the possibility of malicious reshuffles today cannot be ruled out. It would be better to compress the shock range to the range of 2900-2850, and then wait for the trend to become clear before following the market.
Key points:
First support: 2860, second support: 2853, third support: 2843
First resistance: 2880, second resistance: 2888, third resistance: 2896
Operation ideas:
Buy: 2850-2853, stop: 2842, target: 2870-2880;
Sell: 2878-2880, stop: 2889, target: 2860-2850;
3.3 Short-term technical analysis of goldThe gold market completed its February structure last week. Looking back at the market in February, the market fell back after opening at 2880.9 at the beginning of the month. The monthly line reached a low of 2770.47 and then the market fluctuated and rose strongly. The monthly line reached a high of 2956.3 and then the market fell back due to profit-taking in the late trading. The monthly line finally closed at 2859 and closed in an inverted hammer pattern with an upper shadow longer than the lower shadow. After the end of this pattern, the market will have certain pressure to continue to adjust in early March. However, the large cyclical bullish pattern is complete and the trend is still bullish.
GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:**
This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:**
- The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points.
- Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation.
2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):**
- The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory.
- This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely.
3. **Price Projection:**
- The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones.
- If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**.
4. **Possible Trading Strategy:**
- **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity.
- **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment.
#### **Key Levels to Watch:**
- **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780
- **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880
📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
I have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recentlyI have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recently. Gold tested the support of 2830 as expected, and I made a lot of profit in all short trades. However, after gold touches 2930, you cannot directly chase short gold. According to the structure of gold, there is a certain degree of technical support near 2830, so gold may rebound to 2850 again after touching this level; and once gold fails to break through the 2850-2860 area as expected during the rebound, gold will fall again.
Then gold will easily pierce the 2830 mark during the second decline, and once gold effectively falls below 2830, gold will continue to fall and test the 2820-2810 area, and may even go lower to the area near 2800.
At present, shorting gold near 2850 has made a lot of profits. I wonder if you have followed the trading signals of shorting gold? Then the short-term will still focus on the resistance area of 2850-2860 above, and the break of 2830 below.
GOLD Short-term buy and sell signalsGold continues to maintain a wide range of high-level fluctuations. After setting a new high of 2956 yesterday, the NY market fell sharply to around 2930, and then rose strongly again in the late trading, bottoming out and rebounding in the fluctuation range. The price is still running in a bullish trend structure.
Today, the Asian session will first look at the continued rise of NY's late bottoming out and rebound, and pay attention to whether it can set a new intraday high. In terms of trading, keep buying at a low price, but only participate in short-term thinking. After the historical high or new high, pay attention to the indicator's top divergence and overbought, and there will be a fall and wash at any time.
Last week, gold was affected by the dual impact of escalating geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in the global economic recovery, and the spot gold price showed a fluctuating upward trend. The weekly line maintained an upward pattern. The gold price fell again to around 2930 during the day and stood firmly above this position.
At present, the short-term moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, which clearly shows that the bulls have a dominant advantage. The bulls maintain an upward trend of shocks, the Bollinger Bands open upward, and various indicators are running at high levels. From the perspective of short-term indicators, the gold price still has the momentum to rise.
However, it should be noted that the daily line has been oscillating in a high range for 4 consecutive trading days. This oscillating trend has both advantages and disadvantages for both long and short parties, and it is very likely to be a signal that the bulls have reached their peak. However, given that the gold price continued to rise after several pullbacks last week, there is also the possibility of a bull correction pattern. Therefore, it is recommended to start with intraday operations around the range oscillation, and once the market breaks through, it is necessary to leave the market in time.
Key points:
First support: 2942, second support: 2933, third support: 2920
First resistance: 2960, second resistance: 2968, third resistance: 2978
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2933-2936, SL: 2925, TP: 2948-2950;
SELL: 2968-2971, SL: 2980, TP: 2950-2940;
XAUUSD: 25/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892.
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2921.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell first and then rose yesterday, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and breaking through the high. The US market accelerated to break through the 2956 mark and was suppressed and fell back. It quickly fell and once broke through the 2940 mark to reach around 2930, stabilized and rebounded, and finally returned to 2950 and closed.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2921, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2950-55 line. Continue to sell high and buy low in this range, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Buy: 2930near. SL: 2925
Buy: 2921near. SL: 2915
Buy: 2892near. SL: 2888
Use small size, control risk
GOLD short-term analysis, shock range 2915~2950Gold has risen for 8 consecutive weeks. According to the time period calculation, it has reached the key time window. In the general upward trend, 7-9 consecutive rises are regarded as a turning point in the medium and short cycle (changing time window). Therefore, the upward space of this round of bullish trend is gradually compressed. Entering the end, the daily chart price maintains the previous high and adjusts below. The price has formed a wide range of high-level fluctuations for three consecutive trading days.
At present, the MA10/7-day moving average is shrinking, and the RSI indicator is running above the high 70 value. Be careful of the high-rise and fall of the medium. The short-term four-hour chart Bollinger band closes to the upper track 2950 and the lower track 2924. The current price is adjusted at the middle track 2937, and the moving average sticks to the RS1 indicator at the middle axis 50. The trading idea of gold at the beginning of the week is to sell at the rebound high (pay attention to the opportunity of band layout).
Last week, the price of gold hit a record high of $2,955 before falling back, indicating that the selling pressure at high levels has increased, but the overall trend is still bullish. After eight consecutive weeks of rising, the market has a need for technical corrections. The daily line has been sideways, indicating that the long and short forces are evenly matched, the market has entered a high-level consolidation, and the MACD has crossed, and there is a need for a correction!
The answer is to exchange time for space, waiting for further strong breakthroughs, or brewing a wave of downward corrections? This week, continue to pay attention to the breakthrough of the 2916-2955 range, and follow up after the break.
The strength of Monday this week is the key point for the long and short choices of gold. If gold continues to break upward steadily on Monday, then gold is now showing the form of refueling in the air. If it goes down, gold may be the beginning of a change. The key to gold this week is still at 2955.
Key points:
First support: 2915, second support: 2908, third support: 2893
First resistance: 2933, second resistance: 2946, third resistance: 2955
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2916, SL: 2909, TP: 2940-2950;
SELL: 2947-2950, SL: 2959, TP: 2920-2910;
GDX - Gold Miners ETF: Inverse Head & shouldersGold prices have surged to unprecedented levels in light of recent trade policy changes. The announcement by US President Donald Trump regarding a new 25% tariff on essential imports such as cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals has created a wave of uncertainty among investors. This risk-off sentiment has driven many to seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold.
Nevertheless, this upward momentum may encounter challenges if a trade agreement with China comes to fruition. A successful deal could alleviate global trade tensions, leading to a decrease in gold demand and possibly resulting in selling pressure.
However sustained high bullion prices could prove to be a significant advantage for gold miners. The GDX ETF is showing a persistent inverse head and shoulders pattern, indicating potential for further gains.
Gold Market analysis and short-term forecastsIn the early Asian session on Thursday, gold fluctuated in a narrow range, and the current price is around 2943. After setting a new record on Wednesday, it fell back. Although US President Trump's latest tariff threat made investors nervous, the US dollar continued to rebound, prompting some longs to take profits.
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that the potential impact of Trump's policies has caused the Federal Reserve to worry about rising inflation. Policymakers generally believe that changes in trade policies, immigration policies and geopolitical risks may push up inflation, and companies generally said that they will pass on the cost of import tariffs by raising prices. This uncertainty makes it less likely that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the short term.
More importantly, Trump asked "dictator" Zelensky to act quickly to ensure peace, otherwise there will be no country to govern. The Kremlin said that Putin and Trump may meet before the end of February. Concerns about the geopolitical situation have cooled down, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for international gold investment!
On this trading day, we need to continue to pay attention to Trump's dynamic news and news related to the situation between Russia and Ukraine. In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending February 15 will be released. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, St. Louis Fed President Musallem and Fed Governor Kugler will give speeches, which gold investors need to pay attention to.
Gold prices have a very good upside as expected, and broke through the high point of 2942 that has not been reached many times in the previous period. The NY market fell and rebounded strongly to close above 2930, forming a wide range of fluctuations at the high of 2918/2946. The current highest gold is around 2947. Although there was a slight decline in the US market yesterday, it has been repaired at the opening today. Therefore, the basic principle is temporarily maintained, and the rise will not guess the top.
At present, gold is in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. From the technical point of view, after the rise in the first three trading days of this week, the daily line has been above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, forming an absolute strength. In the short cycle, if there is an effective adjustment today, you can continue to go long if the trend is maintained. Today's trading callback mainly participates in the trend of low-long, and the high-altitude layout is coordinated!
Starting this week, the gold price remained above $2,900 per ounce, but the relative strength index (RSI) showed that it was in the overbought area. The gold daily K-line closed higher continuously, and the weekly line was also controlled by the physical K-line. The resistance seen above was only the upper rail of the 4-hour Bollinger band at 2948, and the upper rail of the monthly Bollinger band at 2960. The upper rail of the daily Bollinger band even extended upward to 2975!
The daily line maintained a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintained a golden cross upward; the weekly line was a strong pattern of seven consecutive rises, strongly opening the upper rail space of the Bollinger band, and the bullish sentiment was high. Then the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of callback.
Key points:
First support: 2926, second support: 2910, third support: 2903
First resistance: 2948, second resistance: 2956, third resistance: 2968
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2923-2926, SL: 2915, TP2950-2960;
SELL: 2956-2959, SL: 2968, TP: 2940-2930;
Canadian Venture index --- Inverse head & shouldersGold has reached unprecedented heights, approaching the $3000 mark—a prediction we made with precision. Now is the moment to turn our attention to silver and the mining sector.
To start, let's examine the Canadian venture index, which is displaying a promising inverse head and shoulders pattern. I am confident that the logarithmic projection will be achieved without much difficulty.
XAUUSD: 19/2Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2950-3000, support below 2852
Four-hour resistance 2950, support below 2896
Gold operation suggestions: Gold stabilized at 2890 yesterday and ushered in a strong unilateral rise. The Asian and European sessions slightly retreated and stabilized at 2892 and quickly bottomed out and rebounded. The European session continued to break through the 2907 mark and continued to be strong. The US bulls further raised their heads and stood on the 2920 mark and accelerated to break through 2936 and closed strongly at almost the highest point of the day.
From the current 4-hour trend, the support below is around 2869, and the short-term pressure above is around 2950. Overall, rely on this range to keep selling high and buying low. Patiently wait for key points to enter the market
BUY:2930near SL:2925
BUY:2920near SL:2915
90% of traders struggle in the GOLD market, are you the same?From the current 4-hour trend, the support point below is 2905-2908. The short-term pressure level above is around 2940-2943, and the overall support is in this range. The rhythm of high-altitude low-multiple cycles is maintained, but David believes that GOLD will break through the short-term pressure level. In the middle position, keep more watching and less action, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2927
TP:2940-2950
SL:2894 OANDA:XAUUSD TFEX:GO1!
XAUUSD: Short-term strategyGold's daily surge hit the previous high again. After the previous M-top was formed, it retreated and tested the MA10-day moving average at 2877, then stopped at the 7/10-day moving average and continued to open upward. The RSI indicator continued to run above the high of 70, and the daily price structure was running in the bullish trend channel!
The short-term four-hour chart shows that after the price rose again above the 2900 mark, the MA10/7-day moving average formed a golden cross and opened upward and gradually moved up to 2917/23. The price is running in the upper and middle rail channels of the hourly and four-hour Bollinger bands. Today's trading idea is to buy at a low price during the intraday correction, and then consider selling at a high price.
At present, gold is in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. The daily line maintains a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintains a golden cross upward; the weekly line has risen for 7 consecutive weeks, strongly opening the upper rail space of the Bollinger band, and the bullish sentiment is high. Since the key point of 2906 has been successfully broken through and stabilized yesterday, the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of callback!
From the technical form of the small cycle, the support level is near 2913. It is worth noting that the 1-hour gold price broke through the position of 2913 after the bottom shock and sideways trading. Since 2877, the low point has been continuously raised and the high point has broken upward. As long as the bulls do not lose the support point of 2913 today, the upward direction will not change. Unless the position of 2913 is lost again in the future market, they will consider participating in selling. The bulls pay attention to the pressure of 2940-42.
Key points:
First support: 2928, second support: 2920, third support: 2913
First resistance: 2942, second resistance: 2948, third resistance: 2956
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2915, SL: 2904, TP: 2930-2940;
SELL: 2948-2950, SL: 2959, TP: 2930-2920;
Shocking GOLD newsSome people burn all their assets in just one month, while others can accurately buy at the bottom and reap multiple profits. In the last issue, those who followed my advice to short at 2915 have already made a profit.
This time, I will give you an accurate analysis. The current gold price is around 2927. It is difficult to break through the pressure level of 2940. Combining technical indicators and trend lines, it is difficult for the gold price to rise in the short term.
If you are more worried about when the gold price will fall? David recommends that all traders short.
SELL:2927
SL:2950
TP:2900
TFEX:GO1! OANDA:XAUUSD
Shocking comprehensive analysis of GOLDDear traders:
The current gold price is $2920.34/ounce, and the short-term support level is in the $2880/ounce-$2850/ounce area. If it falls below $2850/ounce, it may trigger a change in the situation.
The current resistance level is $2940/ounce. After breaking through, there is a great hope to move towards the $3000/ounce mark
Market dynamics:
Global trade tensions still exist, such as US President Trump's threat to impose tariffs on cars on April 2, and the hope of peace talks in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is still uncertain. The continued geopolitical uncertainty supports the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
The market has high expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts. Traders expect that interest rates may be cut in September or October, which has enhanced the attractiveness of gold, but the hawkish remarks of Fed officials such as Michel, Bowman, Kritosfo, Waller, etc. have limited the rise of gold.
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention. I will share my views for free later-(David)
If you don't know when to trade, you can continue to pay attention TFEX:GO1! OANDA:XAUUSD
Comprehensive analysis of the heavyweight GOLD (exclusive)Dear traders
As of now, the gold price is 2909.97/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 0.37%, a high of 2915.26, and a low of 2891.4.
technical analysis
There was a big drop last Friday, and the decline continued on Monday to close positive. Today's opening price is between the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10.
First, pay attention to the support level of last Friday near 2877, and then the low point of 2864 near the rebound last Wednesday.
Pay attention to yesterday’s rebound high resistance level of 2906-2908, and above it is the 2916 pressure level.
Factor analysis:
1. There is still uncertainty in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Although there is news of negotiations, the situation is not completely clear. As long as the conflict is not completely resolved, it may trigger risk aversion in the market at any time, leading to an increase in gold prices.
2. The United States faces the dual pressure of high debt and high interest rates, which affects the credit of the US dollar, leading to the continuous purchase of gold by central banks around the world, which will provide strong support for gold prices in the long run.
3. The Fed is expected to enter a rate cut cycle, which resonates with the purchase of funds and pushes up the price of gold.
4. From the perspective of demand, the trend of global central banks buying gold has been extended. In 2024, the demand for gold from central banks of various countries reached 1,044.6 tons. It is expected that global gold reserves will continue to increase in the next 12 months. The growth in demand has room for gold prices to rise.
If you agree with my analysis, please keep paying attention. I will share my views for free later. (David) OANDA:XAUUSD TFEX:GO1!
David's analysis of the latest trend in international goldHello everyone
The current real-time gold price is $2902.77/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 23.4 and an increase or decrease of 0.81%
According to market surveys, 71% of analysts predict that the price of gold will continue to rise this week, 14% of analysts predict that it will fall, and 15% of analysts believe that the price of gold will remain stable, but gold has continued to rise over the past seven weeks, and David predicts that it will continue to rise.
Analysis factors:
The uncertainty of the Trump administration's policies, such as tariff increases and geopolitical conflicts, will promote safe-haven demand and support gold. In addition, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations coexist with inflation risks. If the US fiscal expansion exacerbates inflation, the opportunity cost of holding gold will be significantly reduced, which is conducive to the rise in gold prices
GOLD real-time trading opportunities, the current support below is around 2881-2885, and the upper pressure is around 2915-2920. If it breaks through $2900, you can add more positions
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention, and I will share my views for free later-(David) TFEX:GO1! OANDA:XAUUSD