Bullish Flag or Descending Channel? OSU is trading in a bullish flag outlined in blue, and the red downward sloping line is potentially forming a descending channel.
On the RSI there is a similar bullish flag or descending triangle as to the price.
The KST is in an area where we have seen previous bullish crosses, see blue finger icon for examples.
Goldminers
Junior Gold Miners - set your watch to bullish continuationThanks for viewing,
This won't be a long one. It won't be full of analysis. My case is just this:
These small speculative, under-capitalised, marginally profitable gold miners are now extracting a commodity that has surpassed 2011 highs - and looks assured of heading much higher. So, it seems safe to conclude that these exploration and mining companies look set to head for new all-time highs as well. These are small market cap Companies so they are more volatile (also I note that they had already started down from all-time highs before gold peaked in 2011 - to the gold to GDXJ correlation isn't perfect). That also means that big institutional players cannot pile in without spiking the market (they would then have to work out how to exit as well - which wouldn't be easy) which means this market had remained depressed for now. This lag suits me fine.
A small increase in the price of a mined commodity is normally translated into a much greater percentage increase in profit margin (for profitable mines anyway - or much smaller losses I guess). So holding an equity linked to the commodity will effectively "leverage" any commodity price gains. The EW retracement (shallow) from current levels and the extension of that move to new highs are speculative, but I'm just mapping it out so that I can picture how it may broadly unfold.
Maybe you think gold is going to crash in a highly uncertain world with ballooning debt, currency devaluation, the Fed seeking to stoke inflation, and treasury yields that will set below inflation for at least the next 3 years and possibly longer. Yeah maybe, but I don't think so.
If the ETF only reaches previous highs that will mean an 220% price rise. So join me and go long on political turmoil and out of control currency printing.
I will only consider a relatively small position in any ETF and if you decide to add the underlying base metal to your portfolio - please avoid ETFs.
Protect those funds
GDX just giving way...Tracking gold, one can buy GDX, the Gold Miners ETF, and the associated specific funds.
Having tracked Gold closely for the past three years, the white arrow marks a rough but a real exit point.
Today the perfect storm is set... and pre-opening shows a gap down type of breakdown.
Previously explained why and how GDX would not be doing well and when it should be doing well. IMHO, This is probably a deep retracement.
Fun times to come!
Here it goes part II.
FVL.TO -- Oversold despite good drilling results; Likely bounceFVL.TO reported good but not spectacular stepout results and was the target of a short attack. Oversold on the Daily. Very good chance of a bounce. The company is cashed up and continues drilling. Has previously reported spectacular gold intercepts which set unrealistic expectations for some investors, it seems, not understanding what step outs are designed for. Billionaire Eric Sprott is heavily invested in this one. Favourable macro with Gold gaining ground in recent days.
GWM.V -- Blue skies breakout on massive gold intercept!This one is for gold bugs out there. The stock is being re-rated after today's news (below). Great management, infrastructure, fully funded through 2021. Charting it is useless as it is being re-rated but it's worth looking at companies like Great Bear Resources (GBR.V) to see where it could potentially go in the long run.
Galway Metals Intersects New Wide Vein with Significant Visible Gold 320 Metres NE of GMZ's New Veining at Clarence Stream
Wednesday, July 29, 2020 7:00 AM
TORONTO, ON / ACCESSWIRE / July 29, 2020 / Galway Metals Inc. (TSXV:GWM) (the "Company" or "Galway") is pleased to report that hole CL20-65 contains abundant Visible Gold (VG) (see photos; assays pending) in a new massive quartz vein that is 14.4 metres (m) in core length, located 320 metres NE of a previously-reported new vein intersection of 11.4 g/t Au over 2.0m, including 43.5 g/t Au over 0.5m in hole CL20-58. The intersection in hole 58 had been discovered 75 metres north of the George Murphy Zone (GMZ) at the Clarence Stream Gold Project in SW New Brunswick (Figure 1, Figure 2, Figure 3).
Numerous other intersections reported here are follow-up to the 2 new veins discovered 75 metres and 150 metres north of the George Murphy Zone (April 29, 2020 press release). Additional intersections reported here are new veins discovered north and south of the GMZ, and step-outs to known veins. The latest results are highlighted by:
Hole CL-65 intersected a new massive quartz vein that is 14.4m core length from 242.1-256.5m that contains 29 visible gold (VG) splashes located 246.5-246.8m, 248.2m, 252.4-253.2m, and 255.1-255.2m downhole (photos; assays pending) starting at a vertical depth of 171m below surface. The new vein appears to be associated with a strong magnetic low and with a line of coincident soil anomalies, both located close to the interpreted location of the main structure on the property - the Sawyer Brook Fault (Figure 3).
4.3 grams per tonne (g/t) Au over 3.8 metres (m), 1.9 g/t Au over 13.15m, 1.7 g/t Au over 4.7m, and 1.0 g/t Au over 5.4m and many more intersections in at least 4 new veins at the GMZ, located north of the previous northern limit (Figure 4)
2.8 g/t Au over 8.4m, 1.3 g/t Au over 6.0m, 1.3 g/t Au over 5.2m, and 0.7 g/t Au over 5.9m and many more intersections in at least 3 new veins at the GMZ, located south of previously identified veins
4.5 g/t Au over 8.45m, 0.8 g/t Au over 21.25m, 1.6 g/t Au over 19.9m, and 1.1g/t Au over 9.8m in known veins at the GMZ (Figure 1, Figure 5, Figure 6)
"Galway has made tremendous progress during the past month. The Company raised $17 million to top up its treasury to $22 million. In doing so, we more than doubled the number of institutional shareholders to approximately 30 and fully-funded our 75,000-metre, 200 hole Clarence Stream drill program through the end of 2021. We also made two new discoveries - one approximately 1.0 km SW and along strike of the Jubilee Zone, Clarence Stream's western-most known deposit by intersecting 186.5 g/t Au over 0.6m, and we made another new discovery 3.7 km to the NE with 14.4 metres of massive quartz veining hosting 29 splashes of visible gold reported here. We also bought back 2 NSR royalties, of which most payments can be made with Galway shares over a 5-year period. With 5 rigs turning, Galway is looking forward to following up to expand both new discoveries and the known deposits within and beyond the 3.7km-long mineralized system," cites Robert Hinchcliffe, President and CEO of Galway Metals.
Assay Highlights
CL20-60: 1.7 g/t Au over 4.7m, plus 1.0 g/t Au over 5.4m, including 2.8 g/t Au over 1.0m, plus 2.1 g/t Au over 1.05m, at vertical depths of 217m, 56m, and 28m below surface, respectively
CL20-59: 4.5 g/t Au over 8.45m, including 35.3 g/t Au over 0.7m, plus 2.8 g/t Au over 8.4m, plus 1.3 g/t Au over 6.0m, plus 6.7 g/t Au over 0.8m at vertical depths of 97m, 156m, 177m, and 140m below surface, respectively
CL20-57: 1.9 g/t Au over 13.15m, including 7.8 g/t Au over 1.0m and 4.4 g/t Au over 0.75m, plus 0.8 g/t Au over 21.25m, including 2.1 g/t Au over 1.0m and 2.2 g/t Au over 0.85m, plus 0.7 g/t Au over 5.05m, plus 0.7 g/t Au over 4.55m, plus 0.8 g/t Au over 3.25m at vertical depths of 164m, 6.0m, 131m, 191m and 197m below surface, respectively
CL19-44A: 1.3 g/t Au over 5.15m, including 4.2 g/t Au over 0.75m, plus previously reported 6.5 g/t Au over 7.35m, including 31.9 g/t Au over 0.6m, at vertical depths of 65m and 34m below surface, respectively
CL19-43: 4.3 g/t Au over 3.8m, including 8.4 g/t Au over 1.0m, at a vertical depth of 43m below surface
CL19-40: 1.1 g/t Au over 9.8m, including 4.1 g/t Au over 0.85m, plus 1.2 g/t Au over 3.65m, plus 0.7 g/t Au over 5.9m, including 2.5 g/t Au over 0.75m, at vertical depths of 54m, 69m, and 135m below surface, respectively
CL19-38: previously reported 0.8 g/t Au over 5.0m is now 1.6 g/t Au over 19.9m including 24.2 g/t Au over 0.5m, at a vertical depth of 214m below surface
On June 24, Galway announced a different new discovery that returned 186.5 g/t Au over 0.6m, located 950m SW and along strike of the western-most intersection of the Jubilee Zone (Figure 2). That Jubilee intersection had returned 1.9 g/t Au over 43.3m (35.7m true width (TW)), including 21.2 g/t Au over 2.35m, starting at a vertical depth of 36m below surface (September 5, 2019). Another similar vein to the discovery is located 13m further downhole and returned 2.2 g/t Au over 0.7m. Galway plans on following up on this discovery in coming days.
The GMZ is 730m long to date (excludes the new discovery), with multiple structures over 310m horizontal thickness (width), and with all veins open in every direction (Figure 1). The new 14.4 metre quartz vein in hole 65 appears to be associated with a strong magnetic low and with a line of coincident soil anomalies, both located close to the interpreted location of the main structure on the property - the Sawyer Brook Fault (Figure 3). It directly underlies a soil anomaly that gave a grade of 19 ppb. The anomaly is present on the next line 100m to the east that gives it a strike along the magnetic low. It also lines up nicely with another soil anomaly located a further 320m east that grades 53 ppb. The anomalies extend for another 1.6 km east beyond that. They also extend 1.0 km SW of the vein. Soil anomalies, in conjunction with glacial till and stream sediment anomalies led to the discovery of all 5 known gold deposits at Clarence Stream, and the property hosts many other as of yet untested gold anomalies. As Galway continues to make new discoveries, it is becoming apparent that Clarence Stream is an important new gold district in North America.
Gold Miners - the cards stacked up against, to fall...It’s done.
With gold being on the retracement, and perhaps a large one at that, the gold miners (ETF, GDX) is under siege and under pressure to retrace hard.
Technically, despite a long tail, GDX clocked a lower low, which broke down of a support line briefly. The MACD is clearly broken down ahead of price.
So, what is the risk?
Plenty... the miners tend to do well under conditions where gold as a commodity is in a bull rally, borrowing rates are low, and particularly, that equities are rallying.
The S&P500 as well as major indices like the Nasdaq leading the downdraft of late, accentuating the risks to the Gold miners.
Given all the factors, it would appear an insurmountable effort for the miners to stage a huge rally out of the technical backdrop. Not that it’s impossible, but it has very low probability.
NEM Break Out Target YTD high 72-76If NEM breaks out of the megaphone, risk would be skewed towards upside of 72 (R1) and 76 (R2)
Current position: None (as already heavy in GDX)
Disclaimer: These should be seen as the commentator's Notes to Self. Hopefully educational but aiming for entertaining. No legal or financial liabilities should be pursued from these materials.
Severely Undervalued Canadian Gold Junior ResourceCompany has great gold resources and reserves and is a very strong candidate for a buyout.
If gold bottoms at 1800 and continues to 2300, I think SOI bare minimum returns to its 2016 peak (5-bagger) or potentially surpasses that level and gets near $2.0+
7-Bagger Potential Undervalued Gold Junior ResourceI've looked into the company, I like what I see for the current price. Won't go into details about the fundamentals, do your own DD .
From a technical perspective, I also like the setup. Breakout on the shorter timeframe, bull flag , and rising volume . Get in while you can.
My average share price is 5 cents on $CLASF
Holding until 5-bagger, will take profits and let some run for 7-10 bagger possibility.
CRES.C -- Gold mining stock trading at below cash eq.Another undervalued jam in the junior gold mining space. Retraced to .15 Fib support but note the accumulation picking up as the stock price started sliding down. That's my favourite kind of divergence!
The market is not taking into account CRES's holdings in other junior miners. Its market is currently below its cash eq. Holdings include:
VC.C | 8.9 mil shares at .42 | valued $3.7M,
AUCU.C | 5.3 mil shares at .51 | valued $2.7M,
RNR.C | 5.8 mil shares at 0.60 | valued at $3.48M
That's for a company with $6.75M market cap!!
Elliott Wave View: Gold Miners (GDX) Ready to Resume HigherGDX 45 minutes chart below shows that the stock has ended the cycle from June 5 low as wave (3). The rally ended at 45.78 high. From there, the stock did a pullback in wave (4), which unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave Structure. Down from August 5 high, wave A ended at 42.25 low. The bounce in wave B ended at 44.18 high. Afterwards, the stock resumed lower in wave C, which ended at 38.82 low. This ended wave (4) in larger degree.
Afterwards, the stock has resumed higher from wave (4) low. Up from that low, the stock ended wave ((i)) at 40.69 high. Wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 39.05 low. Currently wave ((iii)) is in progress, where wave (i) of ((iii)) ended at 41.03 high and wave (ii) ended at 39.72 low. As long as pivot at 38.82 low stays intact, the dips in 3,7 or 11 swings is expected to find support for more upside. However, the stock still needs to break above wave (3) high at 45.78 to confirm that wave (4) is already in place and the next leg higher in wave (5) has started. Otherwise, the stock can still do a double correction in wave (4).
TBR.V -- Undervalued Nevada-based gold junior breaking outAnother breakout chart. Given the historical results from TBR's Nevada gold property, the stock should be trading at multiples its current market cap. Very favourable macro, great jurisdiction and stellar historical intercepts. Only a matter of time, IMO.
WLBMF wedge/ABC/AVWAP support-ABC correction with C = 100% extension of the A wave found support at the exact 100% level (.65), this level is also the VWAP from the March low
-Correction occurred within a falling wedge/pennant pattern
-Bullish RSI divergence with RSI breakout makes upside price breakout probable and imminent
Looking for test of highs @ .97
***Disclosure I am long today from $ .74