Gold prices bottomed out and rebounded, market trend analysis.Analysis of gold trend: From the perspective of market sentiment, interest-free gold as a safe-haven asset has performed strongly this year, with prices soaring by nearly $700 and hitting record highs several times. However, the recent optimistic expectations of easing global economic and trade relations have boosted market risk appetite, and the equity market has generally performed positively. Some funds have flowed out of safe-haven assets such as gold and turned to risky assets, which is also the main psychological factor under pressure on gold prices. If market risk appetite continues to improve, global economic and trade relations further ease, and the US dollar strengthens, gold prices may face greater downward pressure. From a technical point of view, the gold price needs to effectively fall below the $3,265-3,260 range in the short term before a larger correction downward may be confirmed. Once confirmed to fall below, the gold price may quickly fall to the 50% retracement level near $3,225, further pointing to the $3,200 mark. If $3,200 is lost, it will suggest that gold may have peaked in the short term.
Gold opened higher in the Asian session on Monday and continued to fall last week after hitting 3336. The idea of the Asian session was to directly bearish at the analysis point of 3277. After hitting the lowest point of 3268, it fluctuated upward. The European session also fell to 3273 and then rebounded. The highest point in the US session just reached 3336 again, a standard bottoming and rebounding trend. Since it is an adjustment structure, let's re-analyze the idea. The gold price fell at 3500 and rebounded at 3260 last Wednesday. The rhythm was volatile. It rebounded above 3260 many times below and did not cross the first rebound high of 3367 above.
Today, we mainly focus on the closing price. If it stands firmly at the 3313 line, we will adjust our thinking on Tuesday. On the contrary, it will fall back after encountering resistance at 3336, today's opening high, and go to 3278. On Tuesday, we will continue to look at the idea of swinging and falling. Now it is the end of the market, and the market is also falling from a high.
Goldmining
Gold shocks pull the trend towards the bearish side!Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: You should have seen the exaggeration of gold, right? Gold has also experienced several major ups and downs in history, but this time is definitely one that can be recorded in the history books. The daily lines in the past few months are very exaggerated, and the rise and fall range is unprecedented. Just today's Asian market, a simple dive is dozens of points. This is the market. The market is always right. We need to respect it the most, rather than blindly look at it subjectively. Surviving in such a big market is the most important thing. Many times, the fluctuation of gold is basically not related to technicality. We try to follow the direct pursuit mode in operation, and we can catch big profits in such a big market. Last week, the weekly line closed with a big tombstone, the weekly line top appeared, and the air force appeared. In May, gold will at least adjust to around 3,000.
The above is the 4-hour pattern, which is repairing below the moving average. If the bulls break 3370 again, there is a possibility of rising again. Otherwise, gold will adjust deeply again. This wave of adjustment is at the weekly level. The daily pattern is also turning into a peaking mode. Note that the rise and fall of gold is not based on technical aspects, but more on fundamentals and big data, as well as the impact of tariffs. Without these influences, we will be bearish this week. If the decline of the big C wave continues, the target will be 3230 (the half point of the entire April rebound) in turn. 3165 is the Fibonacci 61.8 position of the callback and also the previous high point, which is easy to form a rebound. Today's gold focuses on two major suppressions, one is the hourly suppression around 3300, and the other is 3315 and 3328, both of which are opportunities for air forces. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3298-3300 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3265-3260 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders.
Gold short position wins streak, waiting to continue shortingThe 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If a downward dead cross pattern is formed, then there is still room for gold bears to fall. Gold is under pressure to fall near the resistance line of 3340.
Gold's current rebound is not very strong. Although it seems to rebound a lot every time, that is because the market volatility has increased. Gold is still a bearish trend in the short term, and the rebound continues to be bearish.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3338, stop loss 3350, target 3318
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
What an incredible day on the charts—smashing all our targets exactly as anticipated!
We kicked off the week by hitting our bearish targets, pulling back into the retracement zone for support. From there, we identified the key weighted level rejection, which fueled a strong bullish push. This move broke past our Entry Level, successfully achieving TP1 and TP2. Now, with EMA5 locked above TP2 (2788), we are closely watching as it heads towards TP3 (2801). Whether it reaches swiftly or after a pullback to the Golden Line support remains to be seen.
With this in mind, we will continue to capitalize on dips, leveraging our updated and weighted levels to track price action and catch profitable bounces. Our strategy remains simple yet effective—buying dips at support and securing 30 - 50 pips per trade. As we've emphasized, each level structure consistently provides 25 - 35 pip bounces, offering excellent entry and exit opportunities. A quick back test of the levels shared in recent weeks will show just how accurately they align with short to mid-term trends and reversals.
Be sure to monitor multiple time frames—many targets have already been hit, while a few are still in progress. Patience is key!
Trade smart, stay disciplined, and trust the process!
The Quantum Trading Master
Gold adjusts at a high level, continues to be short on rebound
Gold risk aversion eased, and gold fell directly. After gold fills the gap, if gold cannot continue to rise, then the gold shorts will continue to exert their strength. The current gap resistance of gold is at 3382, but the market is volatile now. If the gap is filled, gold may have momentum to repair in the short term, so you can pay attention to the suppression of 3400.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3400, stop loss 3410, target 3370
Gold breaks out strongly and rises, is it an opportunity?The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a golden cross and is in a bullish arrangement. Gold rose directly at the opening, breaking through the short-term downward trend and directly breaking through the previous high of 3357. Therefore, the short-term 3357 of gold has formed support. If gold falls back to 3357, continue to buy on dips. However, it should be noted that if gold falls below 3357 again, the adjustment range of gold may increase.
Gold has been rising wildly under the stimulation of recent risk aversion. In this kind of emotional market, we can only follow the trend, because gold continues to hit new highs and no one knows where it will rise. However, don’t easily chase the highs. After the fluctuations increase, the magnitude of each correction will not be small.
Trading idea: Go long near gold 3357, stop loss 3347, target 3380
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 17th February 2025
Hello Traders,
Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next.
Recap of Last Week’s Successes
Weekly Chart Highlights:
* EMA5 crossed and settled above Entry ✅ 2735 reached
* Bullish Target TP1: 2877 ✅ Achieved
* GoldTurn Levels at 2875 activated twice ✅ Reached
What’s Next for GOLD? Bullish or Bearish?
After hitting ENTRY LEVELS at 2735 and TP1 2877, we saw a small close above 2877 last week, leaving 3018 open as a potential target. We mentioned that an EMA5 lock would confirm this movement.
While EMA5 hasn’t locked yet, the close from last week provided a solid push upward, gaining over 500 pips. The long-term gap remains open, with more movement likely after last week’s candle body close.
Key Level: 2735 remains a critical zone.
GoldTurn Levels at 2875 and 2735 are active, and the price may revisit these levels before bouncing back to reach TP1 and beyond.
Recommendations & Strategy:
* Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades.
* Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities.
* FVG Support: A range between 2835 and 2850 is also supportive.
For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance.
We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit!
The Quantum Trading Mastery
Gold Under Pressure In Head And Shoulders PatternGold's 1-hour moving average has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and gold's 1-hour moving average is also in the form of a head and shoulders. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a wide range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there is news about important events, so gold still needs to wait for news or data to take gold out of a new direction.
Trading ideas: short gold around 3130, sl: 3140, tp: 3115
The above is purely a personal opinion sharing. Investment involves risks and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
Gold Miners Stocks Go 'The Rife Game' in Town. Here's WhyGold mining stocks have emerged as one of the top-performing asset classes in 2025, driven by a combination of surging gold prices, improved profitability, and shifting investor sentiment.
Here’s fundamental and technical analysis of the key factors behind this outperformance, by our @PandorraResearch Super-Duper Beloved Team :
Record-High Gold Prices Fuel Margins
Gold prices surpassed $3,000 per ounce in March 2025 for the first time in history, marking a 14% year-to-date increase. This rally stems from:
Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, economic and political uncertainty including U.S. trade policy volatility.
Central bank buying , particularly by China, India, Turkey, and Poland, to diversify away from the U.S. dollar.
Anticipated interest rate cuts , which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
Higher gold prices directly boost miners’ revenues.
For example, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index NYSE:GDM returned nearly 30% YTD by early March, outpacing both physical gold OANDA:XAUUSD (+14.5%) and the S&P 500 SP:SPX (-3.8%). Companies like Agnico Eagle Mines NYSE:AEM and Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM reached all-time highs, while ASX-listed miners such as Evolution Mining ASX:EVN (+39.5% YTD) and West African Resources ASX:WAF (+56.6% YTD) outperformed Australia’s broader market.
Margin Expansion and Shareholder Returns
Gold miners are leveraging rising prices to improve profitability:
Stabilized costs for labor, energy, and equipment have widened profit margins.
Free cash flow growth enabled dividend hikes and share buybacks. U.S. Global Investors, for instance, offers a 3.91% annualized dividend yield.
Undervalued stocks: Many miners traded at historically low valuations relative to gold prices, creating buying opportunities. Barrick Gold NYSE:GOLD (P/E 15.6) and Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM (P/E 15.5) remained attractively priced despite gains.
Royal Gold NASDAQ:RGLD , a streaming company with a 60.3% operating margin, exemplifies how non-traditional miners capitalize on gold’s rally without direct operational risks.
Sector-Specific Catalysts
Mergers and acquisitions. Consolidation activity has increased, with larger firms acquiring high-potential projects.
Copper exposure. Miners like Evolution Mining benefit from rising copper demand, diversifying revenue streams.
Institutional upgrades. Analysts at Macquarie and Morgan Stanley endorsed Newmont and Evolution Mining, citing currency tailwinds and free cash flow potential.
Macroeconomic and Market Dynamics
Dollar weakness. A declining U.S. dollar enhances gold’s appeal as a hedge.
Equity market volatility. With the S&P 500 struggling, investors rotated into gold equities for diversification (0.3 correlation to broader markets).
Fiscal deficits. U.S. budget imbalances and inflationary pressures reinforced gold’s role as a store of value.
Outlook for 2025
Analysts project further gains, with gold potentially reaching $3,300 per ounce. Miners are expected to sustain momentum through:
Operational efficiency improvements to align with higher gold prices.
Continued capital discipline , avoiding overinvestment in new projects.
Dividend growth , as seen with U.S. Global Investors’ monthly payouts.
Technical Outlook
The main technical graph for Gold Miners ETF AMEX:GDX indicates on further Long-Term Bullish opportunity, to double the price over next several years, in a case of the epic $45 mark breakthrough.
Conclusion
In summary, gold miners’ 2025 rally reflects a confluence of macroeconomic uncertainty, disciplined capital management, and gold’s structural demand drivers. While risks like cost inflation persist, the sector’s fundamentals and valuation upside position it as a compelling component of diversified portfolios.
--
Best 'Golden Rife' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Harmony Gold Mining (HMY) – Strong Growth & Rising ProfitabilityCompany Overview:
Harmony Gold Mining NYSE:HMY continues to outperform expectations, delivering higher grades, cost efficiency, and production expansion.
Key Catalysts:
High-Quality Gold Extraction ⛏️
Underground recovered grades surged to 6.4 g/t, exceeding full-year guidance.
Reinforces HMY’s ability to extract high-quality ore.
Cost Efficiency & Rising Gold Prices 📈
All-in sustaining costs at ZAR 972,000/kg, well-managed despite inflationary pressures.
Gold’s safe-haven demand surging due to geopolitical tensions, boosting HMY’s margins.
Expansion & Future Growth 🚀
New high-grade mining site announced, set to enhance future production & revenue growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on HMY above $10.50-$11.00, supported by cost control & rising gold prices.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $17.00-$18.00, driven by high-margin production & increasing investor interest in gold.
🔥 HMY – Unlocking Gold’s Full Potential. #HMY #GoldMining #SafeHavenAsset
GOLD 1H CHAR ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKGOLD 1H Chart – 12th Feb 2025
Dear Traders,
Here’s the latest 1H chart analysis, outlining key levels and targets for the week.
Gold is currently trading between two critical levels, with a gap above 2905 and below 2883. A confirmed EMA5 crossover and lock above or below these levels will indicate the next price direction. Until then, expect price fluctuations as these levels are tested repeatedly.
Keep in mind that Inflation and CPI data are due today and tomorrow. While fundamental analysis plays a role in predicting gold's movement, our advanced technical analysis is essential for precise entry and exit points during these volatile geopolitical times.
Our strategy remains focused on buying dips and monitoring key levels to identify potential bounce opportunities. Stay sharp!
Resistance Levels: 2905, 2920, 2942, 2963, 2982, 3001, 3021, 3043
Support Levels: Gold Turn Levels : 2883, 2852, 2837, 2817,
Retracement Range: 2802 - 2817
Swing Range: 2747
EMA5 (Red Line) Analysis:
* Currently fluctuating between 2886 and 2905
* EMA5 positioning will be crucial in determining the next trading direction.
Bullish Targets:
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2905 → will open the following bullish Target 2920 ✅Done
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2920 → will open the following bullish Target 2942 ✅Done
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2942 → will open the following bullish Target 2963
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2963 → will open the following bullish Target 2982
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2982 → will open the following bullish Target 3001
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3001 → will open the following bullish Target 3021
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3021 → will open the following bullish Target 3043
Bearish Targets:
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2883 → will open the following bearish Target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852 → will open the following bearish Target 2837
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2837 → will open the following bearish Target 2817
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2817 → will open the following bearish Target 2802 (Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2802 → will open the following bearish Target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD 1H CHAR ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKGOLD 1H Chart – 17th Feb 2025
Dear Traders,
Here’s the latest 1H chart analysis, outlining key levels and targets for this week trading plan
Gold is currently trading between two critical levels, with a gap above 2905 and below 2878. A confirmed EMA5 crossover and lock above or below these levels will indicate the next price direction. Until then, expect price fluctuations as these levels are tested repeatedly.
Keep in mind that Its president day today in the US and market will remain close today.
Our strategy remains focused on buying dips and monitoring key levels to identify potential bounce opportunities. Stay sharp!
Resistance Levels: 2905, 2920, 2942, 2949, 2972, 2994, 3011
Support Levels: Gold Turn Levels : 2878, 2852, 2837, 2817, 2802, 2776, 2747
Retracement Range: 2802 - 2817
Swing Range: 2747
GOLDTURN LEVELS ARE ACTIVATED!
EMA5 (Red Line) Analysis:
* Currently fluctuating between 2878 and 2905
* EMA5 positioning will be crucial in determining the next trading direction.
Bullish Targets:
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2910 → will open the following bullish Target 2928
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2928 → will open the following bullish Target 2949
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2949 → will open the following bullish Target 2972
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2972 → will open the following bullish Target 2994
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2994 → will open the following bullish Target 3011
Bearish Targets:
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2878 → will open the following bearish Target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852 → will open the following bearish Target 2837
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2837 → will open the following bearish Target 2817
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2817 → will open the following bearish Target 2802 (Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2802 → will open the following bearish Target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD 4H ROUTE MAP TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKGOLD 4H Chart Analysis – 24th Feb 2025
Hi Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
Review of Previous Chart:
Entry Level: 2814 ✅
Take Profit 1: 2850.15 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 2: 2876.95 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 3: 2903.76 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 4: 2925.85 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 5: 2952.70 ✅ (Hit)
To Achieve TP6, TP7 and TP8, please consider the following scenario below. Read the caption carefully.
Key Level: 2876
Resistance Level: 2952, 2984, 3017, 3052
Support Levels (Goldturn Levels) : 2925, 2900, 2876, 2852, 2828, 2803, 2776, 2747
GOLDTURN KEY LEVELS ARE ACTIVATED at zone 2925 and below.
EMA5 Behavior (Red Line):
Current EMA5: 2935.28
FOCUS ON EMA5 REACTION DEEPLY
* EMA5 is fluctuating between two key weighted levels, with a gap above 2952 and below the 2925 GoldTurn level.
* A crossover of EMA5—either above or below the weighted level—will signal the next significant move for GOLD.
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2952, will open the following bullish target 2984
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2984, will open the following bullish target 3017
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3017, will open the following bullish target 3052
Bearish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2925: will open the following bearish target 2900
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2876
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2876: will open the following bearish target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852: will open the following bearish target 2828
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2828: will open the following bearish target 2803 (Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2803: will open the following bearish target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
ong-Term Outlook:
Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
Risk aversion pushes gold higher againFrom the perspective of gold trend, after three trading days of shocks and consolidation, this trading day also chose to break upward. After breaking through the pressure near 3030/32, it inertially rushed up to 3056, which is only one step away from the historical high.
Gold broke out of the upward trend mainly driven by risk aversion. Russia, Ukraine and Gaza opened fire again. The originally planned peace talks did not achieve substantial results, so the current market risk aversion pushed gold upward again. Gold strengthened again after breaking through the convergence triangle.
Gold can be shorted in the short term, sl: 3063 tp: 3042
GDX - Gold Miners ETF: Inverse Head & shouldersGold prices have surged to unprecedented levels in light of recent trade policy changes. The announcement by US President Donald Trump regarding a new 25% tariff on essential imports such as cars, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals has created a wave of uncertainty among investors. This risk-off sentiment has driven many to seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold.
Nevertheless, this upward momentum may encounter challenges if a trade agreement with China comes to fruition. A successful deal could alleviate global trade tensions, leading to a decrease in gold demand and possibly resulting in selling pressure.
However sustained high bullion prices could prove to be a significant advantage for gold miners. The GDX ETF is showing a persistent inverse head and shoulders pattern, indicating potential for further gains.
Comprehensive analysis of the heavyweight GOLD (exclusive)Dear traders
As of now, the gold price is 2909.97/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 0.37%, a high of 2915.26, and a low of 2891.4.
technical analysis
There was a big drop last Friday, and the decline continued on Monday to close positive. Today's opening price is between the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10.
First, pay attention to the support level of last Friday near 2877, and then the low point of 2864 near the rebound last Wednesday.
Pay attention to yesterday’s rebound high resistance level of 2906-2908, and above it is the 2916 pressure level.
Factor analysis:
1. There is still uncertainty in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Although there is news of negotiations, the situation is not completely clear. As long as the conflict is not completely resolved, it may trigger risk aversion in the market at any time, leading to an increase in gold prices.
2. The United States faces the dual pressure of high debt and high interest rates, which affects the credit of the US dollar, leading to the continuous purchase of gold by central banks around the world, which will provide strong support for gold prices in the long run.
3. The Fed is expected to enter a rate cut cycle, which resonates with the purchase of funds and pushes up the price of gold.
4. From the perspective of demand, the trend of global central banks buying gold has been extended. In 2024, the demand for gold from central banks of various countries reached 1,044.6 tons. It is expected that global gold reserves will continue to increase in the next 12 months. The growth in demand has room for gold prices to rise.
If you agree with my analysis, please keep paying attention. I will share my views for free later. (David) OANDA:XAUUSD TFEX:GO1!
David's analysis of the latest trend in international goldHello everyone
The current real-time gold price is $2902.77/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 23.4 and an increase or decrease of 0.81%
According to market surveys, 71% of analysts predict that the price of gold will continue to rise this week, 14% of analysts predict that it will fall, and 15% of analysts believe that the price of gold will remain stable, but gold has continued to rise over the past seven weeks, and David predicts that it will continue to rise.
Analysis factors:
The uncertainty of the Trump administration's policies, such as tariff increases and geopolitical conflicts, will promote safe-haven demand and support gold. In addition, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations coexist with inflation risks. If the US fiscal expansion exacerbates inflation, the opportunity cost of holding gold will be significantly reduced, which is conducive to the rise in gold prices
GOLD real-time trading opportunities, the current support below is around 2881-2885, and the upper pressure is around 2915-2920. If it breaks through $2900, you can add more positions
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention, and I will share my views for free later-(David) TFEX:GO1! OANDA:XAUUSD
Analysis of the latest international gold trend (exclusive)
hello everybody
The current price of gold is US$2,901.33 per ounce, up US$21.96, or 0.76%, from the previous trading day. New York gold is trading at US$2,913.2 per ounce, up US$12.5, or 0.43% from the previous trading day.
Influential factors
1. The hawkish stance of Federal Reserve officials has increased market expectations for interest rate hikes, leading to the withdrawal of funds from the gold market and suppressing gold prices.
2. The situation in the Middle East remains tense, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is still ongoing. These geopolitical risks still exist, which may trigger the market's risk aversion demand at any time, thereby driving up gold prices.
3. Global central banks have increased their net gold holdings for 18 consecutive months, and the amount of gold purchased in 2024 has exceeded 1,000 tons for three consecutive years, with strong support on the demand side.
Through the above analysis, the current gold market pressure has been released, and the gold price is still mainly bought at a low price.
If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention, and I will share my views for free later - (David OANDA:XAUUSD ) TFEX:GO1!
Next GOLD situation analysisDear traders;
The market is changing rapidly, and following the trend is the way to go.
When trading, remember not to act on impulse. I believe many traders have deeply experienced that the more you want to make money, the more rational you need to be. When the floating loss continues to increase, you can't eat or sleep well, and you miss a lot of opportunities in vain. When you have these troubles, you might as well follow my pace to change a trading method, which will definitely make you suddenly enlightened.
If you need help, I will always be here
GOLD closed with a long upper shadow this week. Technically, there is a need to fall back, so it fell back many times this week. The weekly support is near 2856. If it breaks down effectively, there is a probability of going to 2830. If it does not break, it will temporarily fluctuate at a high level, and then choose the direction with the help of major data.
The daily line quickly fell after failing to break the new high twice yesterday, and then fell sharply to the 2876 line, and finally closed down.
GOLD fell below 2900 and fluctuated, which is also in line with the technical correction, so there is no need to panic. The bullish trend has not changed. Although GOLD has experienced a correction this time, David believes that GOLD will inevitably rise after the next cycle. After all, the strong support of the current market is a major factor in driving GOLD upward.
Keep paying attention to the subsequent sharing of views
News affecting gold prices
News:
U.S. officials revealed that the Trump administration has proposed to Ukraine that the United States should obtain 50% ownership of Ukrainian rare earth mines, and said that if a peace agreement is reached with Russia, the United States is willing to deploy U.S. troops in Ukraine. To hedge against geopolitical and economic instability, it is currently believed that the gold market is pricing in increased policy tensions, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise next week.
Viewpoint:
Hedge against geopolitical and economic instability, and the next trading cycle will show an upward trend.
Keep paying attention to the subsequent sharing of views
Gold Sector Outlook 2025: Is the Golden Era Just Beginning? Gold Sector Outlook 2025: Is the Golden Era Just Beginning? ✨🏆
Introduction
The gold sector is shining brighter than ever in 2025. With prices climbing rapidly amidst global economic uncertainty and rising geopolitical risks, the precious metal is once again a top choice for investors. But what’s driving this bullish momentum, and what should you watch out for? Let’s dig in. 🕵️♂️💰
Trending Sector Performance
🔍 Recent Sector Highlights
Gold Price Surge: Since October 2023, gold prices have surged 53%, recently hitting $2,801 per ounce. Goldman Sachs predicts a $3,000 target by year-end, while J.P. Morgan is a bit more conservative at $2,600—with room to overshoot. 🚀
Mining Output: Industry forecasts show a potential 17% decline in new gold mining supply over the next five years, signaling tighter future supply. This supply squeeze could fuel higher prices. 📉⛏️
Central Bank Demand: Central banks bought 290 tonnes of gold in early 2024, a sign that institutional demand remains strong. Ongoing debt concerns and geopolitical uncertainty are only amplifying gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. 🏦🌎
These data points underscore why gold's momentum might just be heating up.
Sector Valuation 📊
The valuation of key gold mining companies suggests opportunities for savvy investors. Here’s a quick snapshot of forward P/E ratios:
Barrick Gold Corp ( TSX:ABX ): 11.79
Barrick Gold (GOLD): 10.09
Gold Fields ( NYSE:GFI ): 8.01
AngloGold Ashanti ( NYSE:AU ): 7.10
Kinross Gold ( NYSE:KGC ): 12.18
With these valuations below broader market averages, the sector shows signs of potential undervaluation. For long-term investors, this could be a golden opportunity. 💡📈
Risk Assessment ⚠️
Like any investment, gold comes with risks:
Price Volatility: While forecasts remain bullish, economic stability or a stronger U.S. dollar could hurt prices.
Supply Constraints: With fewer new mining projects, gold miners may face production challenges if demand accelerates.
Strategic Sector Analysis 🛠️
SWOT Analysis
Strengths:
✅ Strong central bank demand.
✅ Gold’s status as a time-tested safe-haven.
✅ Potential supply constraints pushing prices higher.
Weaknesses:
❌ High operational costs for mining companies.
Opportunities:
💡 Geopolitical instability driving sustained demand.
💡 Mining innovations creating potential for new exploration.
Threats:
🚨 Economic recovery reducing gold’s appeal.
🚨 Higher interest rates diminishing gold’s relative attractiveness.
Key Trends Influencing Gold Prices 📈
Geopolitical Tensions: Uncertainty continues to steer capital towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Monetary Policy: Rate cuts or looser monetary policy could provide further tailwinds for gold prices.
These factors are expected to keep gold at the forefront of investment strategies throughout 2025.
Accuracy and Data Validity ✅
All insights in this article are based on recent data from financial reports, social media sources, and institutional projections, ensuring relevance for early 2025.
Conclusion 🏁
Gold remains a promising investment for 2025. With central bank demand, potential supply constraints, and persistent geopolitical risks, prices may continue their upward march. However, it’s crucial to stay alert to potential economic shifts that could affect the sector’s performance.
What's your 2025 gold price prediction?
🔺 Above $3,000
➡️ Between $2,600 and $3,000
🔻 Below $2,600
discuss in the comments! We’d love to hear your thoughts.
Barrick Gold Corporation ($ABX): Golden Opportunity or Risky
Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX): Golden Opportunity or Risky Prospect? 🏆💰
1/10
Barrick Gold TSX:ABX has seen a solid financial performance recently. EPS for the last quarter hit C$0.42, with next quarter estimates at C$0.63. They beat estimates 75% of the time in the past year. 📈
2/10
Analysts are bullish! The average price target is C$33.57, implying a potential upside of 50.13% from the current C$22.36 price. Strong Buy ratings dominate: 10 Buy, 2 Hold. 🔍 What do analysts know that the market doesn’t?
3/10
However, ABX is facing operational challenges. A suspension in Mali due to government intervention highlights geopolitical risks in mining. 🛑 Regulatory challenges are part of the gold mining game.
4/10
Stock price check: ABX currently trades at C$23.15. That’s 20.94% below its 52-week high of C$29.28 but 21.59% above its low. What does this tell us? Room for recovery, but risks loom. 📊
5/10
Valuation time! Compared to sector peers, Barrick offers an attractive price level, especially given the 50% upside target. Analysts love undervalued plays like this, but what about the risks? 🤔
6/10
Strengths: Barrick operates across multiple countries, ensuring diversified production. That’s crucial in a volatile gold market. 🌍 Diversification is a key defensive strategy here.
7/10
Challenges: High operational costs are always a concern. Pair that with political instability, like the Mali suspension, and ABX faces a steep uphill climb. 🏔️ How much risk are you willing to take on?
8/10
Opportunities: Expansion is always on the table. With gold prices looking stable, Barrick could capitalize on new projects or mines. But timing matters in this market. ⛏️
9/10
Threats: Regulatory and political risks never sleep. Changes in mining laws or political unrest can hit Barrick hard—Mali’s situation is a prime example. Always know your risks. ⚠️
10/10
What’s your take on Barrick Gold TSX:ABX ? Will it strike gold again? Vote here! 🗳️
Buy for the long term 📈
Hold and watch growth 🔄
Too risky, avoid 🚫
XAUUSD: 4/2 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2850, support below 2746
Four-hour resistance 2830, support below 2800
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold first fell and then rose, ushering in a deep V reshuffle. The European gold price continued to rise and broke through and stood near the Asian session's falling breakthrough point of 2802. The US gold price accelerated its rise in one fell swoop, breaking through the high point of 2817 last Friday and reaching near 2830. After falling under pressure, the closing gold price was near 2813, forming a bottoming and rising trend. After the overall gold price completed the extreme retracement confirmation during the day, it formed a strong bullish rebound.
From the current four-hour analysis, today's lower support focuses on the 2800 integer mark. If it stabilizes at this position during the day, you can continue to buy and look bullish first. The upper short-term resistance focuses on the 2828-30 area. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 2800 mark. Before the daily level falls below this position, continue to maintain the bullish pattern.
BUY:2790near SL:2785
BUY:2800near SL:2797
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!