XAUUSD Weekly Plan (April 7–11, 2025)✨ | Smart Money Outlook
The higher timeframes have spoken loud and clear: XAUUSD is trading at extreme levels, brushing against historical highs. Here's a clean breakdown based on the monthly and weekly macrostructure for the week ahead:
🔢 Monthly Chart Overview (MN1)
Price just tapped into the premium zone and reacted from the monthly POI (around 3180).
Current candle shows a long upper wick, signaling potential exhaustion.
No clear supply mitigation above — price is exploring uncharted territory.
Weekly high now aligns with a possible reversal or liquidity grab.
🌍 Weekly Chart Structure (W1)
Massive BOS from the 2075 breakout now confirmed.
Price is forming a potential final HL before either continuation or reversal.
We are in a clear premium area, and weekly RSI is overstretched.
Strong confluences for a deeper pullback into the 2850–2920 region, which holds old unmitigated OBs and valid FVGs.
🔹 Key Weekly Levels to Watch:
⬆️ Supply Zone: 3180–3200 (tapped)
⬇️ Demand Zones:
3080–3054 (partially mitigated)
2920–2900 (clean FVG and OB zone)
2820–2780 (discount + major liquidity)
🔎 Macro Outlook
Until we get a clean break and hold above 3180, the market is in a liquidity hunting phase. Expect choppy behavior around current highs.
Any bearish reaction from here aligns with:
RSI divergence
Overextension from EMAs (price currently well above 21/50/100/200)
Imbalance-filled structure left behind
If bulls want higher, they need to hold above 3054 and reclaim 3135 with volume and conviction.
💪 This Week's Focus
No rush. We're in premium territory. Let the market show its hand.
Watch for retests of broken structures (like 3080 and 3135)
Monitor for liquidity sweeps above previous highs
Respect HTF imbalance and confluences
🤝 Let’s Trade Together!
If you found this outlook useful, don’t forget to leave a like, drop a comment, or hit follow — let’s connect with traders who value precision and patience. Stay sharp, stay kind. 🌟
Goldpatterns
UPDATE XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025🦍 XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025
Feed: VANTAGE | Based on Price Action, SMC, OB, FVG, Liquidity
🌍 Macro & Political Context
📰 Geopolitical tension remains high: war in Ukraine, Trump tariffs = gold stays strong as safe-haven
💸 Inflation concerns + central bank demand continue fueling bullish pressure
🧠 Gold printed an ATH @ 3148, but market is now reacting with clear Smart Money footprints
🧠 SMC Structure Overview
🔺 3335–3340 → Liquidity/Accumulation Zone → Not a sell zone
🔻 3107–3115 → Strong rejection zone → Valid demand
📊 Price is compressing between a major supply and key liquidity below
📌 Smart Money may grab liquidity below before making the next bullish move
🎯 TRADE SCENARIOS – SNIPER SETUPS
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 1 – Trend Continuation Entry
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 3115 – 3120
Confluences:
Bullish OB on M15
FVG in discount
Strong reaction from this zone yesterday
Sell-side liquidity swept at 3112
Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH + engulfing on M5
SL: Below 3107
TP1: 3135
TP2: 3145
TP3: 3150+ (ATH retest)
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 2 – Deep Discount Entry
Bias: Bullish (Liquidity grab + imbalance fill)
Entry: 3085 – 3092
Confluences:
H1 FVG + unmitigated OB
FIBO 61.8%
Below key liquidity at 3100
Confirmation: M1/M5 reversal pattern + CHoCH
SL: Below 3075
TP1: 3115
TP2: 3135
TP3: 3148+
🔴 SELL SCENARIO 1 – Fakeout Above ATH
Bias: Short-term reversal
Entry: 3146 – 3150
Confluences:
Sweep of ATH @3148
H4 supply zone
Possible overextension / inducement
Confirmation: M5 rejection + CHoCH
SL: Above 3155
TP1: 3130
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3100
🔴 SELL SCENARIO 2 – Break in Structure Setup
Bias: Trend shift / Lower High
Entry: 3127 – 3132
Confluences:
LH formed under 3140
BOS on M15
Rejection from OB retest
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + rejection wick
SL: Above 3136
TP1: 3112
TP2: 3092
TP3: 3080
🧲 Key Liquidity & Imbalance Zones
Zone Type
3335–3340 🔒 Liquidity / Accumulation
3148–3150 💥 Buy-side Liquidity (fakeout)
3107–3115 🟢 Demand zone (bullish base)
3085–3092 🔵 Imbalance + OB + 61.8% FIBO
3075 🧨 Stop hunt / liquidity clearance
🧘 Final Notes
📌 Patience > Prediction
🧠 Wait for confirmation. Don’t force the entry.
🗞️ News and Trump can still throw wild cards — stay reactive.
👍 Found this plan helpful? Smash that like ❤️ and follow for sniper updates daily.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SniperTrading #FVG #OrderBlocks
GOLD UPDATESHi friends and traders, did you guys fell from a clip of this CPI report?
Im expecting the price to go higher 2660-2670 again. but this might takes more days.
after the transfer at 2636 it might go back to 2606 again.
This is not a financial advice. see that charts flow. but this flow is depending on the market
conditions of liquidity
on both sides, so be prepare. edge from down to high.
if down to our POI then lets think a
buy,
with small stoploss,
if price goes high 2660-2670 I would recommend to sell.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- US10Y is currently slightly up to 2.91% LEVEL. Like we said before, it was a little CORRECTION just like we thought. We can see that the POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD ECONOMIC DATA is also very POSITIVE for DXY.
- The power of USD is still very strong in GOLD. Now DXY has been DOWN very fast for the last few days. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. DXY is getting a bit down but now it's getting a bit UP up with the MARKET RISK OFF. Also when we look at DXY it has moved up to DXY 102.238 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently slightly higher than DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but may be more DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR in the future. So it can be a bit UP before SELL. In a DOWN SIDE CHANNEL a GOLD is seen moving.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a MIXED BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- The GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN until 1918 LEVEL. So GOLD is more likely to go back to the 1918 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1783 LEVEL. If the TREND LINE is BREAK, you can go up to GOLD 1765 LEVEL DXY or US10Y if there is a UP TREND again.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- US10Y is currently slightly up to 2.84% LEVEL. Like we said before, it was a little CORRECTION just like we thought. So far, we have seen the POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD being similarly very POSITIVE for DXY.
The POWER of USD is still very strong in GOLD. Now DXY has been DOWN very fast for the last few days. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. DXY is getting a bit down but now it's getting a bit UP up with the MARKET RISK OFF. Also, when we look at DXY, it has moved to DXY 101.68 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently moving above DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but may be more DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR in the future. So currently UP can be before SELL.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently showing a NEUTRAL BIAS. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK OFF TONE in the market. Therefore, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be DOWN in the future. Also JPY CHF can be UP.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN until 1918 LEVEL. So GOLD is more likely to go back to the 1918 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1783 LEVEL. If the TREND LINE is BREAK, you can go up to GOLD 1765 LEVEL DXY or US10Y if there is a UP TREND again.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- US10Y is currently slightly down to 2.74% LEVEL. Like we said before, it was a little CORRECTION just like we thought. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past.
The POWER of USD is still very strong in GOLD. Now DXY has been DOWN very fast for the last few days. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Currently DXY is getting somewhat DOWN with MARKET RISK ON. Also, when we look at DXY, we have moved up to DXY 101.660 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently moving above DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but may be more DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR in the future. So currently UP can be before SELL.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a NEUTRAL BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- The GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN until 1918 LEVEL. So GOLD is more likely to go back to the 1918 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1783 LEVEL. If the TREND LINE is BREAK, you can go up to GOLD 1765 LEVEL DXY or US10Y if there is a UP TREND again.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION⛔️ The most important news related to gold is to be released today in the New York session. That is USD CPI DATA. This CPI DATA is the inflation data for America. These are very VOLATILE and very fast and very fast EFFECT DATA to GOLD.
⛔️ US10Y is currently down slightly to 2.94% LEVEL. It was a little CORRECTION just like we thought. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past. Now DXY seems to be a bit CORRECTION after last week's FOMC. We look forward to hearing from you. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also when we look at DXY it has moved up to DXY 103.72 LEVEL.
⛔️ GOLD PRICE is currently moving below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS. But currently GOLD can be SELL before UP.
⛔️ Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. Also the STOKES are turning a bit GREEN. COMMODITIES gives us a GREEN COLOR. So I'm trying to be a bit of a HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES BUY right now. Anyway VIX is getting a bit DOWN right now. Also BONDS PRICES show a slightly DOWN SIDE BIAS. BONDS SPREADS IS GREEN. MARKET currently has a MARKET ENVIRONMENT with a NEUTRAL BIAS close to RISK ON.
⛔️ GOLD PRICE can be DOWN again before UP. So GOLD can go back to 1787 LEVEL. After that you can definitely go up to GOLD price 1966 LEVEL. If the RESISTANCE LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
⛔️ However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- Today is a very important day for XAUUSD. This is due to the release of USD PCE DATA. So it's a very HIGH IMPACT NEWS. We need to be vigilant about that. So far, the US DATA received yesterday is slightly MIXED DATA received. Also, GDP was very bad at DATA. So GOLD got a good DEMAND.
- US10Y is currently at 2.84% LEVEL. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past. Now DXY seems to be a bit CORRECTION. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also, when we look at DXY, we have moved to DXY 103.07 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. Also the STOKES are turning a bit GREEN. COMMODITIES RISK ON TONE is what gives us. So I'm trying to be a bit HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES BUY right now. Anyway VIX is getting a bit DOWN right now. Also BONDS PRICES show a slightly NEUTRAL BIAS. But BONDS SPREADS are getting GREEN. MARKET currently has a MARKET ENVIRONMENT with a NEUTRAL BIAS close to RISK ON.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before UP. So GOLD can definitely go back to 1891 LEVEL. After that you can definitely go up to GOLD price 1966 LEVEL.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- There are some very sharp economic data to be released this week for the US dollar. Today, especially GDP DATA is due to be released. So be careful when you trade NEWYORK. ADVANCED GDP INDEX, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DATA will also be released today.
- US10Y is currently at 2.76% LEVEL .. Now US10Y is DOWN. Currently, the POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD is similarly the most POSITIVE for DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also, when we look at the DXY, the DXY 102.51 LEVEL is further up.
- GOLD PRICE is below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is moving towards the RISK ON side. Also the EQUITIES have become a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES is showing a UP SIDE BIAS right now. MARKETS currently have a NEUTRAL SENTIMENT, but the RISK ON SENTIMENT is too heavy. HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES are also UP going very well.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN. So GOLD can definitely go back to the 1909 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1875l 6 LEVEL.
If the TREND LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
Gold repeats the patterns...I took a closer look at Gold 4 hours chart and that´s what I have got. Pretty precise. As you see, Gold repeats the patterns it worked out in previous waves. We can project the current move to the bottom along the Gann band. So we go short to about 1257 (at 1260 you can take tp to be safe) and then when Gold makes that "cup" in the bottom we can go long. One thing I wonder, how big is going to be that bottom cup. Lets what price does when it drops and where the drop will stop. So far we project 1257. If it make much bigger cup then 1230 would be the bottom, what I doubt now. Note that I use line chart for Gann analysis, because line charts are based on closes (not highs or lows). One low or high wig can be just 1 trade with no volume or significance behind. Close is what really matter. Use line charts for trendlines.