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Goldprediction

Exploded, gold fell as expected 💡Message Strategy The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that the risk of rising unemployment and inflation has increased, and the interest rate cut is expected to cool down again. In addition, Trump claimed that the US-Iran nuclear agreement may be reached "in the next few weeks" and warned Israel not to attack Iran for the time being. Hamas claimed that it had reached an agreement with the US Middle East envoy on the outline of the Gaza ceasefire. The risk aversion sentiment cooled down, causing gold to open directly down in the morning. 📊Technical aspects The 1-hour level shows that the short-term gold price expanded its rebound and once formed a trend of stepping back on the hourly 60-day moving average. The current gold price fell again and continued to intensify the overall hourly moving average, which was arranged in a relatively regular downward divergence, maintaining a short-term bearish guidance reference. The current hourly RSI is oversold. The 4-hour level shows that the current gold price has fallen sharply, forming a downward breakthrough trend of the four-hour 60-day moving average, gradually forming a bearish performance of the four-hour indicator, and the four-hour RSI is oversold. There is a strong demand for gold prices to fall in the short term. 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3250-3260
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
1
USD/JPY 1H Analysis – Channel Breakout and Buy SignalOverview:** The USD/JPY chart shows a **bullish breakout from a descending channel**, supported by technical indicators like the Ichimoku Cloud and a strong demand zone. This setup suggests a potential bullish reversal and upward momentum. *Key Technical Points:** * **Descending Channel Breakout:** Price action has broken out of a falling channel, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. * **Strong Support Zone:** Around 143.28 – 143.73, the price found significant support, which aligns with a previous demand zone. This area held firm, helping trigger the breakout. * **Ichimoku Cloud:** Price is emerging above the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a potential start of an uptrend. If the price maintains above the cloud, bullish momentum may strengthen. * **Resistance Levels:** * **First Resistance:** Near 146.00 – a critical area to watch for short-term profit-taking. * **Second Resistance:** Around 148.00 – a more extended target if bullish continuation holds. --- ### **Trading Idea:** **BUY USD/JPY** on successful retest of the breakout or sustained move above the Ichimoku Cloud. * **Entry:** 144.30–144.40 zone * **Target 1:** 146.00 * **Target 2:** 148.00 * **Stop Loss:** Below 143.20 (under the support zone) --- Conclusion:** The chart presents a classic **bullish channel breakout** supported by the Ichimoku indicator and price action at a strong support zone. As long as the price holds above the breakout level and Ichimoku Cloud, the upside targets at 146 and 148 remain valid. Let me know if you want this formatted as a trade plan or journal entry. To ensure you do not miss the upcoming analysis, be sure to follow me! Please leave a remark and a like!
Long
by KingProTrader
2
Gold’s Golden Reaction — Respecting the 4H FVG Like a Pro Gold is showing a classic ICT-aligned reaction after tapping into a clean 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), which acted as a high-probability point of interest (POI). The rejection wick and immediate bullish reaction suggest algorithmic interest has returned, hinting at a potential short-term bullish continuation. 🧠 Key Confluences: ✅ 4H FVG respected cleanly — often signals institutional accumulation when coupled with high volume and immediate pushback. ✅ COT Report Overlay: Institutional longs on gold outweigh shorts significantly (81% long), while retail is skewed bearish (69% short). This adds confidence to the long-side thesis — smart money likely pushing the upside. ✅ Price displacing higher after sweep of local liquidity — textbook liquidity grab before directional move. 🎯 Targets: First Buyside Liquidity: 3,366.95 — this is the initial level where we may see some profit taking and possible rejection. Second Buyside Liquidity: 3,433.85 — high-timeframe clean highs likely resting with unmitigated orders, making this a strong target. However, due to the impulsive nature of gold, a retracement or pullback from the first target is very likely before continuation to the next liquidity level. This could present a second entry opportunity if the FVG zone holds support again. ⚠️ Risk Note: A break and close below the FVG invalidates the bullish bias and could push price toward the prior sell-side zone near 3,257 or lower.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by INSIDER_INTEL
GOLD:The strategy of going short Gold was stimulated by the news surface, out of a wave of accelerated decline, and then rebounded slightly into a small shock. Before around 3288 support long ideas have been perfect realization, at present 3288 this support has fallen below, so in the short term we can regard this position as pressure level, short term can be around this position to short mainly. So the trading strategy :SELL@3288-94 TP@3260-50 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
TVC:GOLDShort
by Boooob_
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ForexMasters2000
Gold's rebound is weak and the bearish trend is dominant.The 1-hour gold chart shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is running near the lower track, with a weak short-term trend. If it fails to rebound effectively and break through the 3290 line, the support below will focus on the 3240-3230 area. Overall, the gold price fluctuates downward, the moving average system is in a short position, and the downward pressure is further revealed. It is currently recommended to continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking and focus on short-selling opportunities after the rebound. In the short-term operation of gold during the day, rebound short-selling is the main focus. Pay attention to the pressure level of the 3290-3280 area above, and the support level of the 3240-3230 area below. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to arrange short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3280-3290 range. This is a key pressure area, and it is necessary to pay attention to the market reaction in this range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold: Primarily HigherIn our primary scenario, we expect gold to set a new all-time high as part of the ongoing beige wave I. To achieve this, the price should soon generate more upward momentum during the subordinate light green wave 5 and surpass the current all-time high from April 22. Once the wave I cycle has concluded at higher levels, we anticipate the start of a new bearish phase. However, there remains a 40% chance that the precious metal has already completed the beige wave alt.I and is now entering a fresh downward cycle. Under this alternative scenario, the price would break directly below the supports at $3,123 and $2,970. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
COMEX:GC1!
by MarketIntel
3
GOLD increased in the short term, approaching an important levelFrom a recent price action standpoint, the move on Gold may have offered cues of encountering weakness, and could serve as a key trigger for bearish traders. This is why I’m anticipating further short-side follow-through. The negative outlook is not confirmed yet, however a bounce off the trendline could once again attract sellers, for a decent move to 3,240 support zone . This latter zone, could be a key turning point that if broken, would lead to a good opportunities for buyers looking to get involved on the dips, anticipating a potential shift in momentum. But a strong move up and break of trendline at around 3335-3340, would allow Gold to reclaim the 3400 mark and climb even further. On Monday in my last analysis I predicted that the price gold would fall as low as 3290, after which the price has rebounded short term. All this being said, I am closely watching how price will react when it encounters the trendline as shown and I will wait for any confirmation clues. Please note that I will not get involved without proper confirmation
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrendDiva
68
GOLD - SELLING FROM PULLBACKPrice has shown a reaction from the low around 3,245 and is now approaching a strong confluence zone around the DAILY FLIP, which acted as prior support AND now resistance. This zone coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel. Bias: Bearish, unless price breaks above 3,305 with strong momentum and closes outside the descending channel. TRADE IDEA: SELL from 3,295–3,300 (wait for bearish confirmation) once activated, I will update SL and TP Let me know what your opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestScale
Skeptic | Gold (XAU/USD): Breakout Triggers Set to Pop?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s fire up this Thursday morning with a fresh Gold (XAU/USD) analysis! 😊 We’re diving into the Daily Timeframe to spot the trend, then zooming into the 4-Hour Timeframe for juicy long and short triggers. Stay with me—let’s get to it! 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture Gold’s been on a tear, climbing to a high of 3416.19 (it went higher, but I’m using the candle close for faster triggers when we hit those levels :)). Now, we’re in a correction phase, forming a downward channel . This correction has been solid, dropping to the 0.5% Fibonacci retracement. What’s cool about this channel is how cleanly it’s reacting to the ceiling, floor, and midline, making it super valid for us. A break of either the ceiling or floor could give us some killer triggers. But since we’re in a correction, it’s smart to dial back risk on all positions. Lowering risk can mean taking profits quicker, shrinking position sizes, tighter stop losses, or a mix of these to keep your account safe. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for our long and short triggers. 📈 For longs, we’ve got two setups. The first is a bit risky since we haven’t confirmed the downward channel breakout yet—it’s a preemptive move. You can go long after breaking the resistance at 3366.71 . Our main long trigger, though, is a break above 3416.19 , which also cracks the channel’s ceiling and sets us up for new all-time highs. If you catch this one, don’t rush to take profits too fast—let it run! 📉 For shorts, a break below support at 3249.68 opens the door, with RSI hitting oversold as a solid confirmation. But since this goes against the major uptrend, it’s risky—take profits early and keep position sizes small to stay safe. :) 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticWise
1
Don't chase gold if it falls below $3,300 The Trump administration's tariff policy has been stopped through judicial procedures. Affected by this news, it is inevitable that gold will continue to fall back today: yesterday's rebound hit the resistance level and fell back to $3,325. The market fell sharply in the early trading, and the market pattern quickly changed from range fluctuations to bearish dominance. From a technical analysis, the bearish pattern of the medium-term weekly cycle is forming effective pressure. Even if there is a sharp rebound in the future and breaks through the recent highs, it is very likely to be a bull trap-essentially a precursor to a return to a downward trend after a decline. Gold/USD Sales @3270-3280 TP: 3250-3240 sl: 3290 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom. Don't shortOn Wednesday, the New York International Trade Court of the United States stopped Trump's planned tariff policy; it ruled that Trump's act of imposing comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than imports without the authorization of Congress was an overstep. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended. After the news came out, gold fell rapidly, hitting a low of $3,245. It has now adjusted back and maintained around 3,270 for consolidation. From the current point of view, most traders with short strategies have taken profits around 3,250. From the hourly chart, gold has started to pull back from $3,265 this week, and as of the current low of $3,245, it is a three-wave downward trend. The first wave fell to $3,225, and then rebounded to $3,350. The second wave fell from $3350 to $3285, and then rebounded to $3325. The third wave of decline has been completed. According to the early decline and then the rise, the current rebound from $3245 is likely to test around $3300. However, considering that $3285 is the previous low point, $3285 is also the upward pressure position this time. Therefore, we should pay close attention to the pressure range of $3285-3295. If it can stabilize below $3295, then we can rely on the $3295-3285 range for short operations. On the contrary, if the rebound is stabilized above 3300, it is necessary to stop loss in time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
XAUUSD Idea: Structure, Fibonacci Setup & S&P 500 Correlation📉 XAUUSD Trade Outlook 🧠🔍 Currently analyzing Gold (XAUUSD), and things are getting interesting. On the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear bearish break of market structure, and this shift is also evident on the 4-hour chart. 🕰️📉 I’m watching closely for a bullish retracement into my key Fibonacci 61.8% level, where I’ll be looking for confirmation of a bearish structural break to initiate a short position. 🎯🔽 When we compare this setup to the US500 (S&P 500), it becomes even more compelling. The indices have rallied hard and appear overextended — a correction seems likely. 📊🧾 If we do get that pullback in the indices, gold may rally temporarily, but my overall bias remains bearish. If the indices resume their uptrend after a pullback, I expect gold to weaken further, aligning with my current short-side outlook. ⚠️📉 🛑 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk according to your trading plan. 💬 What are your thoughts on gold right now? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Let me know in the comments! 👇
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
9
Fed Uncertainty and Rejected Trendline ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold trades around $3,270 after rebounding from the $3,240 support zone, but remains capped below the $3,287–$3,290 resistance zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown. Technically, the price is struggling under a descending trendline (TL2), and the $3,287 zone also aligns with previous support turned resistance. Fundamentally, the rejection of Trump's “Liberation Day” tariffs by the U.S. trade court helped ease risk sentiment, reducing safe-haven demand and pressuring gold. At the same time, market focus shifts to today’s U.S. GDP data and Friday’s Core PCE inflation report—both of which may sway Fed expectations and drive short-term volatility. If XAU/USD fails to break back above $3,287, a renewed test of the $3,240 breakout zone is likely. Sustained downside may open the path to $3,207 or lower. On the upside, reclaiming $3,290 would weaken the bearish bias and challenge the TL2 trendline. Resistance : $3,287 , $3,302 Support : $3,240, $3,207
TVC:GOLD
by ATFX_Global
Risk aversion cools down, gold may continue to fall 📌 Driving events The International Trade Court in Manhattan, USA, blocked Trump's "Liberation Day" trade measures. This news is conducive to shorting gold. This news is undoubtedly a reversal of Trump's "reciprocal tariff" policy implemented on April 3, slapping Trump in the face! Gold has been mainly driven by tariffs this year, and the decline is mainly due to the easing of tariffs. Spot gold has fluctuated sharply recently. After opening at $3285.91/ounce in the Asian session, it reached a high of $3294.46/ounce, and then fell sharply. The lowest reached around $3240 and continued to fall. 📊Comment analysis The volatility of the Asian session highlights the fierce game between long and short positions. The changes in risk aversion caused by previous geopolitical and economic data, and investors' profit-taking and other factors are intertwined. Subsequent investors need to keep a close eye on key information such as the minutes of the subsequent Federal Reserve meeting in order to grasp the trend of gold prices. 💰Strategy Package After the Asian session opened, gold was affected by the news and quickly plunged through the 3280-85 area support. After a rapid decline in important support, the upper 3280-85 constituted the next strong resistance, the strong and weak dividing line. Below it, the weak position is expected to gradually fall to 3245-50 before reversing the short pattern, and further to 3225-20 and 3200. Given that the 3250-45 area is a recent bullish breakthrough, the 3245-50 area support is bound to usher in a strong rebound during the day, and further attention will be paid to the 3220-25 area and the 3200 mark support rebound. Refer to it to formulate trading strategies! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold Pullback or Bounce? Watch This Key LevelOANDA:XAUUSD is currently undergoing a correction after being rejected from the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the lower edge of the channel, which aligns with a major demand zone. The confluence of the ascending trendline and horizontal demand increases the likelihood of a bullish reaction from this area. If buyers manage to hold control at this level, we may see a rebound toward the 3,450 level, which corresponds with the upper boundary of the channel. This would be a reasonable target within the current bullish market structure. However, a failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should look for confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, rising volume, or bullish engulfing candles before entering long positions. If you agree with this analysis or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LucasMgoldview
6
Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders, Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants. Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move. Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance. However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections. Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand. Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LucasMgoldview
3
Trade Idea:XAUUSD Short ( SELL LIMIT )📉 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔹 H4 Chart (Macro Bias) • Trend Context: Price is still broadly in an uptrend on the H4, but it’s testing the 50 SMA from above. • MACD: Bearish crossover below the signal line suggests waning bullish momentum. • Volume: Slight uptick in bearish volume as price pulls back from the recent highs. • Bias: Neutral to Bearish Short-Term (H4 trend remains up, but weakening). 🔹 M15 Chart (Setup Zone) • Structure: A sharp selloff broke both the 20 SMA and 50 SMA. • Momentum: RSI ~16, oversold—but that can persist in strong trends. • Volume: Large spike on the breakdown candle = strong bearish interest. • ATR: 7.97 = elevated volatility. • Bias: Bearish momentum, potential pullback retest opportunity. 🔹 M3 Chart (Execution Focus) • Price Action: Freefall with clean rejections at the 20 SMA. • Volume Spike: Bears in control, RSI also confirms momentum exhaustion but no reversal confirmation yet. • Bias: Bearish with potential for bounce/pullback retest entry. ⸻ ✅ Primary Trade Setup Type: 🟥 Sell Limit Rationale: Let price retrace into resistance before fading it, using structure for confirmation. Entry Zone: 3270–3276 area (prior support becomes resistance near 20 SMA on M15 and 50 SMA on M3). Stop Loss: Above structure high → 3283 Take Profit: Next key support zone ~3245–3250 (measured move + demand zone on M15/M3). 📌 Sell Limit Order • Sell Limit @ 3273 • SL @ 3283 • TP @ 3248 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by KeN-WeNzEl
Gold price shorts stabilize, continuing to fall 💡Message Strategy Gold prices fell into a weak consolidation pattern as the U.S. dollar continued to rebound and market risk appetite increased, suppressing safe-haven demand. Although it rebounded slightly, it failed to stand firm at $3,300, indicating that the upper resistance is still strong. From a fundamental perspective, the recently released US durable goods orders and consumer confidence index performed better than expected, providing support for the US dollar. Specific data showed that US durable goods orders fell 6.3% in April, better than the expected -7.9%, although far lower than the revised value of 7.6% last month; core orders (excluding transportation) recorded an increase of 0.2%. In addition, the US consumer confidence index rebounded sharply to 98 in May, the largest monthly increase in nearly four years, reflecting the improvement of economic and employment prospects. Trump's postponement of the 50% tariff on the European Union until July 9 has strengthened risk appetite in the short term and weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. However, there are still major uncertainties in trade policy, coupled with the continued deterioration of the US fiscal situation and continued geopolitical risks, which provide some support for gold prices. In addition, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice in 2025, and this prospect is gradually being factored into gold prices. In particular, if the "Beauty Act" is passed, it will aggravate the fiscal deficit, which may put medium-term pressure on the US dollar and provide long-term support for non-yielding gold. 📊Technical aspects On the technical level, gold prices fell below the short-term rising trend line on Tuesday and then fell further. It is currently testing the $3,300 level where the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart is located. Once the moving average is clearly broken and a valid close is formed, the short-term downward trend may be confirmed. The initial support level below is in the $3,250-3,245 area. This range has formed a consolidation platform in the past few trading days. Once it falls below or triggers more stop-loss selling, the target will point to the $3,200 integer mark. Therefore, for the next gold, the best way is to suppress the decline at 3320, break through 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), and successfully break through the downward switching space range of about 30-40 US dollars. If the price breaks through 3320, it will be treated as a sweep, waiting for the upper side to determine the higher resistance of 3330-3325, and then look down to 3285 (expand the range to find 3275), breaking through the switching space 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3320-3330,3340-3350
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
1
GOLD - LET CLIMB THE MOUNTAIN OF GOLDTeam, I was being patience for a week, did couple of long position, then short then long. But this time I wait and wait until it reach my entry range price GOLD is good to entry NOW target 1 at 3272-3276 Target 2 at 3283-3306 STOP LOSS at 3232 - Once it hit our first target - bring stop loss to BE i expect the GOLD will likely recover a little during TOKYO, but definitely fly back during UK market opening.. so therefore you need to be patience on this.. as the TRENDING still down trend.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by ActiveTraderRoom