Gold retracement adjustment. Pay attention to the timing.Gold prices continued to fall today, hitting a low of $3,285, and are currently recovering briefly.
I think there is room for profit in the long strategy, but the hourly line is only a single positive rise. Overall, the probability of volatility correction is still high. Compared with the short-term resistance position of 3,320, the correction is still within the normal range.
From the 4-hour chart, the 60-day MA of $3,320 has a certain suppression position on the upward trend, followed by the 90-day MA of $3,285, which provides strong short-term support. Today's price drop also failed to break through this support position; so this week will continue to fluctuate sharply, and the large fluctuations up and down are to accumulate momentum for the next wave of rise. The basic operation strategy of the bulls has not changed, but just a halftime break.
Operation strategy:
Buy near $3,295, stop loss at $3,285, and the profit range is $3,320-3,330.
Goldprediction
Spot gold fell below the 3330 mark
📌 Driving events
The trend of gold prices this week needs to focus on the following three major risk events:
First, the confrontation between Israel and the Houthis intensified this week. On May 25, the Houthis used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel's Ben-Gurion International Airport for the first time, resulting in the interruption of airport operations. Israel subsequently launched a retaliatory air strike. Iran has made it clear that it "will not give in on uranium enrichment activities" and warned that it will take hundreds of alternatives if it is sanctioned
Second, although the Trump administration's threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union has been postponed to July 9, the market is still concerned about it. If the trade war escalates, it may lead to increased global economic uncertainty, which will in turn boost the safe-haven demand for gold. However, the repetition of tariff policies may also trigger changes in market risk preferences and have a two-way impact on gold prices.
Third, record-breaking air strikes in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict Russia launched the largest air strike since the war on Ukraine on May 26, launching 355 drones and 9 cruise missiles, and many parts of Ukraine suffered heavy losses. The attack has heightened market concerns about geopolitical risks, pushing gold prices higher in the short term. However, due to expectations of a prolonged conflict, market demand for safe-haven assets may gradually weaken. Technically, gold has performed strongly at support levels near $3,330.
📊Commentary Analysis
This week, gold prices will remain highly volatile under the intertwined influence of multiple risk events. Investors need to remain vigilant and flexibly adjust strategies to respond to market changes. Analyze the market, make plans, and manage risk.
💰Strategy Package
In terms of operations, investors are advised to pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and the progress of Trump's tariff policy. In the short term, short selling can be carried out in the range of $3,330-3,305, with a target of around $3,290-3,280. Profits can be taken in batches, and a light position can be taken long after breaking through $3,310, with a target of $3,360-3,380. Profits can be taken in batches, and medium- and long-term investors can make layouts on dips, taking advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of a weak dollar, and gradually establish long positions.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Analysis of gold trend at night and how to arrange it🗞News side:
1. Trump's view on Russia is not optimistic
2. Trump boasted in a post that his threat to impose tariffs on the EU worked
📈Technical aspects:
Gold does not seem to have a strong rebound. After touching 3305, the rebound momentum has weakened and it has been hovering between 3300-3290. Judging from the hourly chart, I think it is still in a state of correction. Then we may see another drop in the evening to accumulate momentum. This is why I chose to manually close the position near 3300 while waiting for the rebound just now. In the evening, bros can pay attention to the support line of 3280-3270 below to look for entry trading opportunities.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Economic data released. Start of a new trend?The international gold market suffered a sharp sell-off, and the spot gold price once fell below the key psychological mark of $3,300/ounce, reaching a low of $3,392.59, as the US dollar index rebounded from a low of more than a month and concerns about the international trade situation cooled down.
The gold price is currently in a short-term recovery phase, and the downside risk is temporarily lifted. In the long run, the expansion of the US fiscal deficit may support the gold price; but in the short term, according to the latest data released by the United States, it is conducive to the long operation of gold, and the gold price will rise briefly.
Gold is strong in the short term, but traders need to take profits in time to avoid unexpected events that cause trend changes.
Overall, the short-term trend of gold prices is still subject to the US dollar, interest rate expectations and economic data, and the competition for the $3,300 mark will become the key.
The US economic data is within the expected range, and gold has a short upward trend.
Operation strategy:
Buy near $3290, stop loss at $3280, profit range at $3320-3330.
3300 becomes the dividing line between long and short positions🗞News side:
1. The situation in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again
2. Pay attention to the opening of US stocks today
📈Technical aspects:
Good morning, bros. Gold is currently testing the important support of 3300. Once it falls below 3300, it can be officially confirmed that the correction trend is coming. Today's opening of the U.S. stock market is critical. If the U.S. stock market opens higher, it is very likely to pull down gold prices. The stable operation suggestion for the day is to go long when it retreats to 3295-3290, and then rely on the upper side of the previous low point for protection, that is, look at the vicinity of 3325-3330. If it encounters resistance and pressure near 3330-3340, you can consider entering a short position and continue to be bearish. At present, the first focus below is the support of 3290-3280. If it continues to fall, it may touch the 3266 line.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Indicating a potential reversal in trend.On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold is currently experiencing a downward movement. However, the market has recently entered into a bullish PD (Price Delivery) Array on the daily timeframe. This suggests that although short-term bearish pressure is evident, the broader daily structure remains bullish.
It is expected that the price may continue to move slightly lower in the short term in order to capture the liquidity resting below the previous swing low. After sweeping this liquidity, we anticipate that price will find support at the CE (Consequent Encroachment) level of the daily bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Following this interaction, a Market Structure Shift (MSS) may occur, indicating a potential reversal in trend. If this plays out as expected, we could then observe a bullish move with price beginning to climb upward once again.
Please conduct your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice.
Am I the only one who still insists that gold will fall back?
💡Message Strategy
The dollar rebounded strongly, and gold fell under pressure
The primary driver of the gold price decline this time was the sudden strength of the dollar. After a brief correction, the US dollar index rebounded strongly, reaching a high of 99.40, with a daily increase of 0.4%, which is expected to be the best performance in the past two weeks. Since gold is denominated in US dollars, the appreciation of the US dollar directly weakened the attractiveness of gold to holders of other currencies, leading to an intensification of market selling.
US fiscal crisis + interest rate expectations, gold bulls suffered a double blow
In addition to the strengthening of the US dollar, the uncertainty of the US fiscal outlook also makes investors cautious. Although the market is worried that the US government debt may further expand (or increase by another $3.8 trillion in the next decade), it has not stimulated safe-haven buying of gold in the short term. On the contrary, the market is more concerned about the Fed's interest rate policy. The recent speeches of Fed officials tend to be hawkish. At present, traders generally bet that the Fed may restart interest rate cuts after September, but before that, gold may continue to be under pressure due to the high interest rate environment.
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line lost the lifeline, and the lifeline was used as a downward pressure to find the lower track of the pattern
2. The four-hour pattern opened downward, indicating a wave of large-volume decline
3. The double lines of the hourly chart turned from support to resistance, suppressing further decline
4. In the large channel range, determine the upper track position of the channel, re-suppress the decline to find the lower track position of the channel, with a space range of about 200-300 US dollars
As shown in the figure: the middle track of the small blue channel line and the yellow large channel overlap the 3350 mark
The price fell below the middle track of the small blue channel. As time goes by, the price position reaches 3320-3330, which happens to be the pressure of the 3350 mark area and the position along the large channel line.
We are still looking at the action of holding high and breaking low, and the price will suppress the 3350 mark and fall below the lower track position of the channel at 3320 area.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3320-3330,3340-3350
Gold Enters PRZ and TRZ – Correction is Coming!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the previous Idea and reached the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and Resistance lines .
Gold is moving near the Resistance lines , Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of Main wave 3 , so Main wave 3 could have an extended structure .
I expect Gold to experience at least one correction after entering the PRZ and TRZ , the correction could continue to $3,329 . If the Support lines are broken, the next target could be the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Note: If Gold touches $3,420, there is a possibility of further pumping and breaking the Resistance zone($3,435-$3,406).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold is about to clarify its trend direction
📊Technical aspects
1. The double-line position of the hourly chart is now in the 3290-3310 area. After the price fell below the double line, it used the lower track of the double line (purple trend line) as suppression and continued to fall and break the low
Then after breaking through the double line, it turned into support, especially after breaking through the repeatedly suppressed purple trend line position 3250, forming an accelerated sprint, and the space amplitude exceeded 100 US dollars
Then the purple trend line position, as the space switching line position, the subsequent space breakthrough will achieve at least 100 US dollars of space switching
2. The four-hour lifeline position is now at 3320. Due to the price surge After the high, there was no increase in volume and acceleration of the rise, but a continuous rise and fall. The four-hour pattern also began to close. The lifeline position is the dividing line. The double-line lower track and the pattern lower track are superimposed in the 3283 area. Special attention should be paid to it. Together with the 3270 position of the hourly chart, it will become the space switching point for the subsequent market.
3. Interestingly, the daily lifeline position is in the 3285 range, which is also the low point of the second half of last week and the final support point determined by the retracement. Multiple supports are superimposed here, which means that the subsequent price can fall below this point and realize the space switching.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3340-3350
Gold plummeted? Here comes the latest analysis.Today, the gold market continued its downward trend. It failed to break through the key resistance level of $3,365 in the early stage, and then fell under pressure. It is a normal price adjustment for the Asian market to break through the previous support level. The current price fluctuates around the strong support of $3,300. Coupled with several news to be released in the United States, the price trend is full of uncertainty. In this period of time, I don’t think it is suitable for shorting.
From the 4-hour chart, gold has insufficient upward momentum. After failing to break through the upward resistance level for a long time, it began to decline.
In the market last week, the price has always fluctuated between $3,330 and $3,365. In the narrow range of fluctuations, once a new trend appears, whether it is upward or downward, it may accelerate the price fluctuation range in a very short time; this is an instant release after accumulating energy. This is why the Asian markets suddenly started to move downward.
From the current market situation, the bulls are under great pressure, which is completely different from the strong upward pattern last week. At present, the trend of gold is more dominated by weak fluctuations.
Based on the current trend, we still follow the strategy of high-altitude and low-volume trading in our operations.
Gold Approaches Resistance – Will It Drop to 3,290?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently approaching a previous key resistance level, an important area that has previously acted as a reversal zone where bullish moves were strongly rejected. This is also where sellers have intervened aggressively in the past, so it is worth watching, especially for anyone considering short trades.
Additionally, this price zone also coincides with the upper boundary of the ascending channel, increasing the likelihood of selling pressure if bullish momentum starts to fade. Such overbought conditions often lead to significant pullbacks, supporting necessary corrections.
If we start to see signs that price is being rejected here such as long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum. I think we could see a move down toward the 3,290 level. But if price clearly breaks through this area, that could invalidate the bearish idea and suggest the uptrend may even continue.
This area is quite important and may help us better understand the next direction of price.
As usual, this is a personal view of the market and not financial advice.
Gold Rising in the Short Term: Is a Breakout the Goal?Hello to all dear traders!
In general, Gold has gone through a very strong rally for some time, but I don't think this will continue to happen consistently in the future. As we can see, gold prices continue to benefit from various factors in the international market from the USD halting its upward momentum for four consecutive weeks and pulling back, to geopolitical tensions in many regions that have yet to ease. Most recently, the move by the U.S. President regarding the potential imposition of high tariffs on imported goods from the EU.
The market structure is beginning to show signs of exhaustion, as such overbought conditions often lead to significant pullbacks, supporting necessary corrections.
Although the long-term trend remains optimistic, I believe early next week may witness a short-term pullback.
We can see that gold is currently facing rejection just above the upper boundary of the ascending channel on the 4-hour chart, a zone that also aligns with a low-volume area. At this level, around 3,350, I don’t recommend chasing the highs. Unless this zone is clearly broken with confirmation, entering long positions here would be more of an emotional decision than a strategic one.
In my view, this remains a market where buying on dips makes more sense. Consider accumulating on pullbacks and holding until we revisit the 3,500 level once again.
In the long run though the bias remains bullish with potential to challenge the 3,435 and as well as 3,500 in the big picture.
But if you're watching for buys:
Observe price behavior on Monday
Only enter positions when the bullish structure is maintained
Avoid FOMO; buy only when there’s a clear breakout signal with a confirmed candlestick pattern
For sells:
Prioritize when there is a clear bearish rejection candlestick on H4 or Daily
Do not enter if there is no solid confirmation signal
GOLD increased in the short term: Break down expectedThe Gold market has been very strong for some time, but I don’t think this will continue to be the case going forward. As we’ve seen, the price has rallied a bit on Friday with Trump’s EU tariff threats.
Market structure starts to hint exhaustion, as such overbought conditions often lead to generous pullbacks, supporting needed corrections.
That being said I do think that on Monday we might see a short term pullback.
We can see that gold is currently being rejected just above the higher zone of the 4h ascending channel. The zone aligns with a low-volume node as well. Therefore, at this zone around the 3,350, I wouldn't recommend to chase high. Before this zone is clearly broken considering long entries here would be buying blindly.
Right now I think you have to look at this as a market that may just simply be a buy on the dip and hold till we get to the $3,500 level again type of situation.
The other scenario is that the market will consolidate for a while.
If we were to break down below the $3,290 level, then $3,200 is next support.
In the long run though the bias remains bullish with potential to challenge the 3,435 and as well as 3,500 in the big picture.
But if you're watching for buys:
wait to see how price behaves on Monday
watch for sustained bullish structure before getting involved
don’t chase, wait for a clean break + candle confirmation pattern
For sells:
Watch for bearish rejection in the next couple of candles (4H or Daily)
Don’t enter unless it’s confirmed!
Gold Price Analysis May 27The price increase at the end of the day was expected to push the price up today, but surprisingly, at the end of the Asian session and the beginning of the European session, gold fell sharply.
After the liquidity sweep to 3305.
The immediate support level that Gold is facing is 3303. This border is still used for trading in the European and American sessions. Pay attention to the daily support level around 3292.
3323 is an important resistance zone when it breaks out, you can SELL scalping here for a round and then the Asian session resistance around 3345 is considered a stable area for gold prices in the uptrend of the American session.
Note that breaking 3303 breaks the uptrend and the recovery will be weak, so consider TP for reasonable buy entries.
GOLD - it's breakout? What's next??#GOLD - perfect move as per our perveious idea regarding gold and now market just broke his current supporting/key level that was actually 3314-15
Keep close because if that is proper breakout then we can expect a further drop towards further downside areas.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse above 3314-15 on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold price pullback. How to trade?Information summary:
On Monday, due to Trump's policy changes, high tariffs on the EU were suspended. The market's risk aversion sentiment has declined, and spot gold fell at the opening, but recovered some of its losses in the US market, maintaining a consolidation range of 3320-3355.
When the US market opens, there must be large fluctuations. Gold recovered all the gains on Friday due to the increase in tariffs on the EU on Monday. Then, when the US market opens, it is very likely to rise sharply, and also recover the losses on Friday.
And from the current gold 1-hour chart:
The current trend line of gold has fallen below, and the early trading has also completed the retracement. Therefore, gold may go down next. There is a high probability that it will test the bottom support position of 3310-3300.
From the daily chart:
You can see that the daily chart is currently an important support position near 3300. Once it falls below 3300, it can be officially confirmed that the correction trend is coming. And the trend after the US market opens is critical.
Operation strategy:
Short immediately, stop loss 3335, profit range 3310-3300.
GOLD M30 Intraday Chart Update for 27 May 2025As you can see that there some zones mentioned in chart
right now market is in short selling trend as long market sustain below 3350-60 once market clearly break 3350 psychological level then it will move towards 3380 or even 3400
you may do some scalping between 3320-3350 but remember trade always with SL
And if market goes below 3320 level then wait sustain below 3320 then enter with proper SL for sell direction
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky !
Gold Price Analysis May 26After a correction, the D candle on the following day confirmed a strong price increase towards ATH in the near future
The barrier to reach the all-time peak is not much and it is difficult to have a downtrend at the present time
The gold price increase in the early Asian session met with a price reaction at the Gap opening zone around 3356. With the candle's force, it is completely possible to push the price up to 3364 in the late Asian session or early European session. The nearest lower border is noted around the Asian session resistance zone this morning at 3335-3336. If 3364 does not break in the European session, it can give a pretty good SELL signal with a target of 333x and deeper at 321x. If it breaks 3264, it confirms a strong uptrend and only BUYs and does not look for a SELL point. The resistance until the target of 3405. 3191-3292 still plays a daily support role for any prolonged price decline of Gold
Gold continues to fluctuate. Interval analysis.Market analysis:
Gold opened slightly lower on Monday and fell to around 3331 before rebounding. After being blocked near 3357, it began to fluctuate and fall. The lowest point in the European session fell to around 3324, and then the market stopped falling and fluctuated and rose. The US session continued to rise, and the daily line closed with a small negative line with a lower shadow.
Gold showed a big positive trend last Friday, and closed negative on Monday for adjustment. The current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a golden cross and continue upward. This moving average pattern shows a certain bullish momentum. In the short term, focus on the support of the 5-day moving average, which is currently around 3330. When the price is above this moving average, the market fluctuates mainly on the strong side.
The upper resistance level first looks at around 3365, which is the high point of last Friday. Before the price does not break through this resistance level strongly, the volatile market will remain.
On the whole, today's focus will be on the support of the 3330-3326 area below, and the focus will be on the resistance near 3365 above.
Operation strategy:
Short at rebound near 3365, stop loss at 3375, profit range 3345-3330
Long at retracement near 3326, stop loss at 3316, profit range 3350-3370
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )✅ Bias: Long (Buy)
Rationale:
• 4H Chart shows price reclaiming the 20/50 SMA zone after the recent pullback — a bullish reset after a shallow correction.
• 15M Chart confirms trend resumption — clean higher highs and higher lows, with strong price support above the 20/50 SMA crossover.
• 3M Chart shows a breakout with higher volume and sustained move above recent consolidation. White 20 SMA is holding price well.
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup: Buy XAUUSD
• Entry: 3345.00 (wait for a small pullback or price base just above current level for better RR)
• Stop-Loss: 3332.00 (below last intraday swing low and the SMA base)
• Take-Profit: 3371.00 (near previous resistance zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 2:1
⸻
📍 Move SL to Breakeven When:
Price reaches 3358.00 (midway point = 1:1 RR) and:
• 3M chart shows no strong bearish engulfing or reversal candle.
• Volume on the move is rising or stable (not collapsing).
This protects capital without choking the trade.
⸻
🧠 Confluence Summary:
• Trend Alignment across all timeframes.
• 20/50 SMA bullish stack on 15M and 4H.
• Volume Expansion on breakout leg.
• RSI (15M) near 67 — strong but not overbought yet (room to run).
⸻
⚠️ Fundamental Notes:
• Gold has been rising with Fed pivot expectations and equity uncertainty — momentum is on the bulls’ side unless sharp risk-on news appears.
• Caution near major US data releases tomorrow or speeches from Fed members.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
GOLD ANALYSIS Based on technical analysis gold is in a bullish trend and we should only be looking for buys.
Expect a pullback double tap near the 50% reversal zone for a buy entry.
Risk Reward- 1% : 3 or your TP can be the 4H HH zone.
Keep your trading plan simple and only take quality trades in the direction of the trend. The trend is your soulmate.