Gold fluctuated slightly, retreating to low-multiple operations
📌 Gold news
During the North American trading session on Wednesday, gold prices remained stable, rising by more than 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data may prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to take action in the future. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's continued tough stance has limited further upside for gold.
📊Comment analysis
Gold fluctuated in a small range yesterday, and the daily line closed with a positive cross star.
Daily support is around 3327-3324, and you can go long if you touch it.
Daily resistance is around 3368, and you can go short if you touch it.
If the market goes down to yesterday's low, the bottom continues to look near this week's low, and I am more inclined to be bullish
💰Gold operation strategy
If gold is close to 3327, you can go long, with a target of 3345.
Look for opportunities to short around 3350-3360, with a target around 3330.
I hope Labaron's article can help you with your investment. If you don't understand something, you can find me. I am not only a mentor, but also a friend worth making in your life.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Goldprediction
XAU/USD – Smart Money Building Toward $3360? |26 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) is pushing into fresh highs around $3337, and we may be approaching a key inflection point. But beneath the surface of candles and wicks lies the real story — one written by liquidity, displacement, and smart money positioning.
This outlook breaks down gold’s price action using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price structure, and Fibonacci confluence, to help identify the most probable high-value trade zones for both swing and intraday traders.
4H Outlook – Institutional Flow & Structure
Market Structure
Gold recently broke above the $3310–$3320 resistance, confirming a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This keeps the market in a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, validating continued bullish pressure.
Smart Money Insights
BOS: Clean break above $3320 signals strength.
CHoCH: None yet — trend remains bullish.
Liquidity Sweep: Sell stops below $3295 have already been taken.
Buy-Side Liquidity: Sits above $3350 — price may gravitate there next.
FVG: Unfilled Fair Value Gap between $3314–$3322 — possible retracement zone.
Bullish OB: Identified between $3300–$3310, aligned with FVG and BOS level.
Equilibrium: Using $3275 (swing low) and $3342 (swing high), the midpoint sits near $3308, acting as fair re-entry value.
Key Zones
Buy Zone (Demand): $3295–$3310 — OB + FVG + Fib confluence.
Sell Zone (Supply): $3350–$3360 — next likely liquidity target.
Bias Summary
As long as price remains above $3295, the bullish structure stays valid. Watch for a retracement into $3308–$3316 for potential continuation toward $3350–$3360. Price may briefly dip below $3310 to trigger liquidity before moving higher.
1H View – Precision Entries
Structure
Following the high at $3342, price has pulled back slightly and is forming what appears to be a bullish flag — often a continuation pattern.
Smart Money Zones (1H)
FVG: $3315–$3322 — potential short-term reaction zone.
Order Block: $3305–$3312 — 1H bullish OB aligned with 4H bias.
Sell-side Liquidity: Swept at $3295 earlier this week — supports continuation.
Trade Setups
Long Setup #1 – Optimal Entry
Entry: $3308–$3315
Stop: Below $3295
TP: $3342 (partial), $3350–$3360 (full)
Why: Strong zone combining FVG, OB, and Fib support.
Long Setup #2 – Aggressive Entry
Entry: $3316–$3320
Stop: $3300
TP: $3340–$3350
Why: Quicker entry inside the imbalance — riskier but valid.
Short Setup – Countertrend (Low Conviction)
Only valid on a clear break below $3310 + CHoCH
Entry: Below $3310 (confirmed)
Target: $3295
Note: Lower confidence unless 1H structure turns bearish.
Final Notes
The bias remains bullish above $3301–$3308. This is a high-probability area to look for long setups on retracement. Avoid shorts unless we see a confirmed structural shift with a CHoCH and OB breakdown.
Expect the market to potentially hunt stops below $3310, then aim for liquidity sitting above $3350–$3360.
Gold continues to fluctuate. Waiting for a trend?Today, gold has been suppressed below the high of 3345, and the hourly line tends to be weak. Looking at the number of Yin and Yang lines on the hourly line during the fluctuation, we can see that the typical Yin line is continuous and the Yang line is few, plus the weak suppression of the previous day, from the rhythm point of view, it is a weak signal.
From the hourly chart, around 3312, this is the 0.618 position of the retracement of the 3295-3337 fluctuation range. The decline is slow during the day, and the 0.618 position has become a support rebound.
And the current trend, like the previous day, may continue to rebound and then fall. At the same time, there was no cyclical decline in the early Asian session. Instead, it fluctuated sideways, bottomed out and rebounded, and then continued to return to the high of the previous day.
Judging from the current market situation, the Asian market bottomed out and rebounded in the morning, reaching a high of around 3343, and then began to fall back, and is currently fluctuating around 3335.
The trend of the European session is very critical, and the focus is on the watershed below 3328. If this position falls below, the price will most likely continue to fall.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3320-3310.
Gold Price Struggles at Key Support ZoneTechnical Analysis – Data as of June 25–26, 2025
In the latest trading sessions, XAUUSD continues to move within a narrow range, reflecting a cautious market sentiment awaiting clearer signals. The daily chart shows price hovering around the 3,341 USD level — aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and intersecting key descending trendlines and previous correction zones.
1. Notable Price Action:
Gold has bounced slightly from the 3,294 USD support and retested the 3,360–3,365 USD resistance but failed to break through.
Small-bodied candles with long wicks indicate indecision, suggesting that neither buyers nor sellers have a clear upper hand.
The descending trendline (blue line) is acting as a significant resistance barrier, with each bullish attempt being rejected.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: 3,294 – 3,296 USD
Nearby Resistance: 3,360 – 3,365 USD
Crucial Breakout Zone: 3,382 – 3,394 USD (Fibonacci 0.618 – 0.786 of the latest downleg)
3. Short-Term Trading Strategy:
If XAUUSD maintains support above 3,294 USD, a short-term technical rebound toward 3,360 – 3,394 USD is possible.
However, a clean break below 3,294 with strong volume could trigger further downside momentum, potentially targeting 3,265 USD or even 3,221 USD.
4. Overall Outlook:
The market is currently in a state of uncertainty, with neither side showing dominance. Traders are advised to wait for a decisive breakout in either direction before entering new positions. Breakout trading strategies with volume confirmation should be prioritized in this phase.
Gold may continue to rebound to 3350-3360If gold can stand above 3330 today, it will stimulate long trading behavior to a certain extent, especially the self-rescue behavior of trapped longs. Gold may continue to rebound and is expected to reach the 3345-3355 area. So there is no need to risk shorting gold near 3330 for the time being; although gold may continue to rebound, it is still under pressure in the 3350-3360-3370 area; and gold is still weak overall, so we can consider shorting gold in the 3350-3360 area and look at the target area of 3325-3315.
The Premium privilege of my account will end on June 26, and it will stop updating here from tomorrow. Friends in the channel have already made a lot of money by following my trading strategy. Friends who have not joined yet can join and receive the latest trading strategies and trading signals as soon as possible to escort your trading!
6.26 Gold intraday analysis guideOn Wednesday (June 25), international spot gold rose slightly during the US trading session, but was still suppressed by the 20-day moving average (US$3,355). The RSI (14) was at 48.7, in the neutral range of 40-60, suggesting that the market lacks a clear direction. US$3,355 (20-day moving average) has become the recent watershed between long and short positions. If it breaks through this level, it may test the psychological barrier of US$3,400. The support below is US$3,245 (the low point on May 29). If it fails, it may drop to the integer level of 3,200 and US$3,121 (the low point on May 15). Stability of the geopolitical situation: If the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East continues, the outflow of safe-haven funds may further suppress the gold price. Fed policy expectations: If the July non-agricultural and CPI data show that inflation is cooling down, it may rekindle expectations of interest rate cuts and boost gold. The current gold market is in a "wait-and-see mode", and both long and short sides lack decisive momentum. Traders need to pay close attention to: US economic data: especially employment and inflation indicators for the Fed's policy path. Geopolitical dynamics: Any breakdown of the ceasefire agreement could quickly push up safe-haven demand. Dollar trend: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, a stronger dollar may further suppress gold prices. Gold is expected to maintain range fluctuations in the short term, with the $3,355 moving average resistance and $3,245 support forming a key trading range. The direction of the breakthrough depends on new fundamental catalysts.
Personal operation analysis:
Trend: Oscillating trend
Support: Near 3,300.00
Resistance: Near 3,335.50
Strategy:
View logic: Short view near 3,335-3,340, stop loss 3,345, take profit near 3,300--3,280, and follow the stop loss 300 points.
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold needed to close and hold above the $3,330 resistance to open the path toward $3,346 and potentially $3,375.
Since then, price rejected the intraday support and is now trending above the $3,330 level.
Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance. A clean break above it could trigger a move toward $3,346 and possibly higher resistance zones.
However, if bullish momentum fades, price may drop back toward the key support area, where buyers could look to step in again.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,330 • $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
BTC continues to short at high levels during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
BTC has reached an intraday high of 108,125, just one step away from the all-time high of 112,000. With the increase in trading volume and institutional sentiment turning bullish, the momentum seems to be in the bulls' favor. In addition to institutional buying, the ceasefire agreement in the Iran-Israel war is also an important factor in Bitcoin's sharp rebound. Trump's announcement of the end of the war almost immediately triggered a surge in the cryptocurrency market. However, the overall pattern has not changed, and the range resistance has not been broken, so we still keep the idea of shorting at high levels.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 108000-107500
TP 104500-103500
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another smashing day on the charts with our levels being respected perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
After completing our bearish 3348 and bullish 3376 target we had the cross and lock above 3376 leaving a gap to 3395, which fell short just by few pips.
We then had the cross and lock below 3348 opening the swing range, which was also hit perfectly. We got the perfect bounce, just like we analysed allowing us to buy dips and now seeing the swing range carry out the move. We will see if this is completed for the full swing range 3348.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3376 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3395 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3419
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3419 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3440
BEARISH TARGETS
3348 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3330 - DONE
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3288
3271
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold fluctuates upward. Trend change?Yesterday, the gold daily line closed with a middle-yin candlestick with a lower shadow. The closing price has lost the middle and lower rail positions one after another, and the short-term downward pressure adjustment will continue.
The hourly level shows a bottoming out and rebound, and it rose in the early Asian session, breaking through the pressure resistance of 3328-3332 in the European and US sessions yesterday, but it did not continue the rebound and fell into a narrow range. At present, there is still great resistance above 3340, and it has failed to break through after many attempts, but the hourly line track has not been completely lost.
Pay attention to the 3315 support for long positions, and pay attention to the 3340-3355 short position range for upward movement. For the period of shock, strong support or resistance will inevitably produce inertial puncture behavior, and some errors are normal. We need to pay attention to the market trend at all times and change strategies in time.
Today we need to focus on the response strategies for resistance and support levels, which will determine whether we can achieve profits within the fluctuation range.
Good luck to everyone.
Suppression remains unchanged, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Powell's testimony
2. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
The short-term rebound of gold is the release of energy for the accumulated bulls. From the current market trend, 3340 above is the key point of the short-term watershed between bulls and bears. The short-term resistance above is around 3342-3348, and the short-term support below is around 33220-3315. If it falls below this, it will continue to look towards yesterday's low of 3290-3280. The daily level is under pressure and continues to see a decline and adjustment. If it touches 3340-3350 above, you can try to short. After it retreats to 3320-3315 and obtains effective support, you can consider going long.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3315
BUY 3320-3315
TP 3330-3340-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Bulls have made profits, gold layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Powell's testimony
2. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
I have completed the long trade according to the previous trading strategy, and the long order has generated profit. In the short term, the overall trend of gold is still bearish. Only if it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 can the bulls continue. If it rebounds to the 3330-3335 line and encounters resistance under pressure, you can consider shorting. If it rebounds to 3340-3350 but fails to stabilize, you can increase your short position. Pay attention to the support of 3320-3300 below. If it falls below 3300, it is expected to reach 3280
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3330-3335-3340-3350
TP 3320-3310-3300-3280
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Rebounds Slightly After Dropping to 3295📊 Market Update:
Gold bounced back to 3320 after dipping to 3295 amid USD strength and rising bond yields. The recovery was fueled by short-covering, but traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3330
• Nearest Support: 3295
• EMA: Price is hovering near the 09 EMA on the H1 chart → neutral to slightly bullish in short-term correction.
• Candle / Volume / Momentum: H1 candles show mild recovery with increased volume, but no clear reversal signal yet.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may range between 3295 and 3330 before a breakout, depending on incoming U.S. economic data. A break above 3330 could trigger a short-term rally.
Gold fluctuates sharply, both bulls and bears have opportunities
💡Message Strategy
1. The decline in gold prices is directly due to the cooling of market risk aversion caused by the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran. The attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset has weakened. The ceasefire agreement is fragile. Israel and Iran have accused each other of default. Trump criticized both sides. Its sustainability is questionable, adding uncertainty to the gold market.
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testified at a congressional hearing on June 24 that it is necessary to observe the impact of tariffs on inflation before cutting interest rates. He is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, which has cooled expectations for a rate cut in July. Gold, as a non-interest-bearing asset, is under pressure under high interest rate expectations. The uncertainty of inflation caused by tariffs also limits the attractiveness of gold as an inflation hedging tool.
3. The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index fell to 93.0 in June. Consumers are worried about employment and economic prospects. Although the one-year inflation expectations have fallen, the expectations for rising interest rates have risen, which has weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. In the long run, gold's anti-inflation and safe-haven properties are still there. Global economic uncertainty and a weaker dollar may rekindle demand for gold. Investors need to pay attention to the Fed's policies and the situation in the Middle East and seize the opportunity to allocate.
📊Technical aspects
1. The weekly level switches space around the 10-day moving average. This week has not yet closed, so there is no final conclusion. You can keep it in mind first.
2. The daily line lost the lifeline support area that has been held for a month. The top and bottom are converted to each other. The lifeline position 3355 becomes the resistance range. However, please note that the pattern is closing, which means that the switching space is not the direction. The opening and volume must be opened to guide the direction.
Note that two points are also contradictory points. One is the lifeline 3355 switching space, and the other is that the pattern further closes and accumulates momentum, waiting for the opening to guide the real direction.
3. Five consecutive negatives in four hours, a drop of more than 100 US dollars from 3396 to 3295, and then began to rebound from a low position. This is very embarrassing. If it is a trend, there will be no consecutive positives. action, and will not linger for so long
Then there is only one explanation left, or sweep, pay attention to the lifeline position 3350, the double-line upper rail position 3364, together become the pressure line position of the partial sweep method
There can be a rise in leverage, but it cannot be a breakthrough of continuous rise or steady rise, otherwise the nature will change again
4. The double lines of the hourly chart are close and superimposed in the 3350-3355 area, which coincides with the four-hour lifeline. At the same time, this is also the last rebound to determine the resistance area yesterday afternoon, so as to change the nature
5. The large channel cooperates with the small channel interval. After breaking through yesterday, it further fell in volume. Now the position along the large channel is in the 3340 area. This will be the acceleration point today. Breaking through accelerates the rise, and breaking through accelerates the fall
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3345-3355,SL:3365,Target: 3300-3290
Long Position:3280-3290,SL:3265,Target: 3340
GOLD/XAUUSD SellGold price is still bearish in the short term. The US dollar is currently being boosted. There are also geopolitical talks and indirect ceasefires. Therefore, the short-term risk aversion sentiment has declined. The gold price is now quoted at: 3323. We can focus on the lower target of 3300-3290.
Gold fluctuates, 3300 may fall below.Gold fell to 3333 on Tuesday and then rose to around 3358, then began to fall slowly due to resistance, continued to fall in the European session, and fell to around 3295 in the US session, and rebounded in the late trading, rebounding to around 3325, and the daily line closed with a negative line with a lower shadow.
In addition, Israel and Iran both accused each other of violating the agreement, which brought uncertainty to the gold market.
After the sharp drop in gold last week, except for the correction of the cross positive line on Tuesday last week, the daily level has closed five consecutive negative lines since last Wednesday until now, fully demonstrating that the gold price has shown a weak feature of fluctuating downward in recent transactions.
From the technical indicators, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average cross downward, which indicates an important signal that the market trend is weakening in the short term. The current gold price continues to run below the moving average, further verifying the current market situation where shorts dominate.
In terms of resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently around 3350, and the 10-day moving average is around 3370. These two price levels constitute the key resistance range in the upward process of gold prices. As long as the gold price fails to effectively break through this resistance band, it is likely to continue to be weak in the short term. At the support level, pay attention to the 60-day moving average around 3290.
Operation strategy:
Short gold rebounds around 3350, stop loss 3360, profit range 3320-3310.
Go long gold falls back to around 3295, stop loss 3285, profit range 3330-3340.
The market conditions are often not what we ideally want. This is the market, and it is also a form of trading practice.
Gold Trading Strategy June 25The Daily Candle shows a strong selling force breaking out of the 3-day accumulation zone. Gold touches the support zone of 3296 and bounces back as analyzed yesterday. Today, it is difficult for the bullish force to return, there is a possibility of an increase in the Asian session and the European session, and the US session will return with the Selling force.
The recovery from 3296 towards 3342, some selling force may appear around 3342, forming a strong bearish structure. The bearish wave structure will weaken if it breaks 3342. The 3363 area still has a reaction but the bearish wave structure is no longer strong.
The market closed above 3363 confirming the downtrend break and heading towards the resistance zone of 3388. The bottom support of 3302 will help to temporarily stop the price decline before heading towards the target of 3278.
Support: 3321-3302-3278
Resistance: 3342-3363-3388
Break out: 3342-3322
Recommended trading signal
BUY GOLD 3302-3300 SL 3297
SELL GOLD 3363-3365 SL 3369
Gold Price Analysis June 25The Daily Candle shows a strong selling force breaking out of the 3-day accumulation zone. Gold hits the support zone of 3296 and bounces towards the resistance zone of 3342. Today, there is unlikely to be a rebound, there is a possibility of an increase in the Asian session and the European session, and the US session will return to the Selling force.
The recovery from 3296 towards 3342, some selling force may appear around 3342, forming a strong bearish structure. The Bearish Wave Structure will weaken if it breaks 3342. The 3363 area is still noteworthy for SELL signals.
The market closed above 3363, confirming the break of the downtrend and heading towards the resistance zone of 3388. The bottom support of 3302 will help prevent a temporary decline before heading towards the target of 3278.
Pullback Before Bullish ContinuationGold is currently facing resistance near the mid-Keltner Channel zone. Based on current structure and momentum, we anticipate a two-phase move:
🔻 Phase 1 – Short-Term Pullback:
Price is likely to reject the current resistance and move lower into the demand zone around 3310–3315. This retracement aligns with a healthy correction within a larger structure.
🟢 Phase 2 – Bullish Reversal:
After the pullback, we expect a strong bullish continuation toward the 3370–3373 area. This level represents the next significant resistance and profit target for long positions.
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
Demand Support: 3310–3315
Bullish Target: 3370–3373
Stop-Loss for Longs: Below 3308
Gold May Dip Short-Term Amid Cautious Fed & Geopolitical Calm📊 Market Overview:
• Gold saw a slight correction as Middle East tensions eased following a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel.
• A weaker USD and lower U.S. Treasury yields offered some support to gold prices.
• However, the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts and upcoming testimony from Chair Powell continue to weigh on gold sentiment.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance Levels:
– $3,350–3,360 (21/50-day SMAs)
– $3,370–3,385 (Fibonacci zone and swing highs)
• Nearest Support Levels:
– $3,316–3,320 (intraday lows and psychological level)
– $3,300–3,305 (strong support), followed by $3,245–3,275 if broken
• EMA 09: Price is currently trading below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• Candlestick Pattern / Volume / Momentum:
– The 15-minute chart shows slight recovery signals, but with weak momentum; RSI is below average and MACD is slightly bearish.
– No strong reversal candlestick pattern detected; small-bodied candles (doji) suggest indecision and selling pressure remains near $3,340.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may decline slightly in the short term, potentially retesting the $3,316–3,320 support zone. A rebound is possible if the USD weakens further or the Fed unexpectedly signals rate cuts.
💡 Suggested Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,335–3,340
🎯 TP: $3,330 - $3,325
❌ SL: $3,345
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,318 – 3,315
🎯 TP: $3,320 - $3,325
❌ SL: $3,312
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 25 June 25 Hello Traders, as you can see that market just try to broke 3300 psychological level yesterday but unfortunately that was not successful attempt
All eyes on 3337-3348 zone for the day if market successfully breaks that zone it will move towards 3365 Blind Structure Level else we might see 3305 level test soon on Intraday basis
Reminder: This is also FED Chair Powell 2nd of Testifies
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
4‑Hour Analysis – Supply & Demand Overview 25 June 20251. Market Structure
XAU/USD currently trades at 3333 and shows clear higher highs and higher lows on the 4‑hour timeframe—reflecting a bullish structure backed by recent swing lows above 3300 and highs nearing 3365
2. Key Demand Zones
DZ1: 3320–3330 – Consolidation region with multiple wicks and price rejections; confirmed buying volume (aligned with ML and 50‑EMA confluence)
DZ2: 3300–3310 – A deeper base with strong reversal history; aligns with psychological round number and 0.382 Fib of recent up-swing
3. Key Supply Zones
SZ1: 3350–3360 – Upper resistance cluster formed by repeated spikes and quick rejections; overlapping 0.5–0.618 Fib from the last retracement
SZ2: 3380–3400 – Broader distribution area with past failed breakouts; significant liquidity shelf noted
4. Why These Zones Matter
Demand zones act as value entry areas where institutional and retail buyers absorb selling pressure, usually followed by swift reversals.
Supply zones represent distribution pockets where buy orders face strong pushback, often leading to corrective moves.
5. Bias
✅ Overall Bias – Bullish (4‑hour) thanks to structural trend (HH/HL), price above key previews like 50‑EMA & 20‑EMA, and consistent demand responses. Only a break below 3320 invalidates bullish tilt.
⚡ 1‑Hour Intraday Setups (Aligned with Bullish 4H Bias)
Buy the Dip (Main Entry)
Zone: 3320–3325
Context: Retest of DZ1, tagging the 4H structure and 1H ascending trendline.
Confirmation: Bullish pin bar or long tail candle + volume surge.
Channel Retest Quick‑Entry
Zone: 3330–3335
Context: Price remediates after a clean breakout above the 1‑hour descending channel.
Confirmation: Trendline bounce or bullish engulfing on the first test.
Supply‑Fade (Aggressive)
Zone: 3350–3355
Context: Approach to SZ1—plays the bearish reaction in a bull market context.
Confirmation: Bearish pin bar, upper wick exhaustion, and slim 1H RSI divergence.
📈 Chart Snapshot & Confluences
DZ1 (3320–3330) aligns with the 0.382 Fib and ascending 1‑hour trendline.
Quick-entry zone (3330–3335) sits close to the 1‑hour 50‑EMA, offering dynamic multi‑timeframe confluence.
SZ1 aligns with higher-term fib and previous supply peaks.
📝 Ready Summary
XAU/USD – 4H Structure: Bullish – higher highs & higher lows.
Major Demand Zones: 3320–3330 (primary), 3300–3310 (secondary).
Major Supply Zones: 3350–3360 (hot zone), 3380–3400 (upper resistance).
Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above 3320.
Intraday Trade Zones:
Buy the Dip: 3320–3325 – look for pin‑bar/volume bounce.
Quick Re‑Entry: 3330–3335 – trendline or 50‑EMA test confirmation.
Supply Fade (Aggressive): 3350–3355 – bearish rejection setup.
Pro Tip: Focus on clean price action signals (wicks, engulfings, volume) within entry zones and confirm with multi‑timeframe confluences (Fib, EMA, trendlines).