Gold (XAU/USD): Playbook in ActionHello guys!
We’ve seen a textbook QML (Quasimodo Level) setup play out beautifully on gold. Price pushed into a key supply zone and formed a QML structure, followed by a clean engulfing of the previous demand. confirming smart money involvement. As expected, the target of that QML has now been hit, tapping into the major demand zone below.
After the deep sweep and reaction from demand, price retraced upward into a potential lower high area. Based on structure and liquidity dynamics, two potential scenarios are in play:
We’re executing a two-step plan here:
Step 1: Short position from the QML + supply area, aiming for the next blue demand zone. Liquidity has been taken above the high, confirming the setup.
If we get a clean reaction near the blue area, that’s our signal to flip long. We expect a pullback toward $3310 area.
Goldprediction
Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish.
At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
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Gold’s Trap Above QML: Bearish Play UnfoldingHello Guys!
Gold appears to be forming a textbook Quasimodo reversal setup after printing a lower high into a key supply zone. Price aggressively tapped into the QML area (around 3,350–3,360), where sellers previously stepped in, and we’re now seeing signs of rejection.
The engulf zone marked earlier confirms bearish intent. It broke structure and flipped momentum. Price is currently retesting below that engulf level, likely as a last attempt to grab liquidity before heading down.
The projected move suggests a drop toward the next significant demand zone around 3,295–3,285, where the price previously found a strong bullish reaction.
Bias: Bearish below QML
Target: 3,295 zone
Invalidation: Above 3,368 (high of supply zone)
GOLD - at resistance ? Holds or not??#GOLD.. .market perfect dropped below our area that was around 3320
Now market bounced back and just near to his resistance area 3295 96
That will be market final area and only holdings of that region means another drop expected.
Note: we will plan for cut n reverse above that region.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Data is about to be released. Where will gold go?Yesterday, the market expected a trade agreement between the United States and its trading partners, which boosted risk sentiment, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields further added pressure on gold prices. Gold fell 1% during the day and once lost the $3,300 mark during the session.
After gold bottomed out and stabilized at 3,320 on Monday, it fell sharply above 3,320 again on Tuesday and has now completely fallen below 3,320. The position of 3,320 is very important. In the 3,320-50 range, it chose to break down at 3,320 again.
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States will release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell remained neutral on the June interest rate decision, many Federal Reserve officials released dovish signals. Federal Reserve Board member Bowerman has turned to support the possibility of a rate cut in July.
From a technical point of view, the market has penetrated into the area around the lower support of 3,275-3,295.
The rhythm of the entire market is still a process of oscillating decline. From the perspective of pressure position, the daily MA5 average line has not fallen below, and may fall again to around 3270. Once the market falls too fast and approaches this position, there is a high probability that there will be a rebound demand.
Operation strategy:
Buy near 3375, stop loss at 3365, profit range 3315-3320.
Continue to hold position after breakthrough.
A High-Probability Play Unfolding!🌟 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – A High-Probability Play Unfolding! 🟡📉
Gold was riding a solid uptrend recently, showing strength across the board. But over the past few days, things have started to shift. We've seen a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside — signaling the start of a short-term bearish trend.
📍 What’s Happening Now?
Gold is currently trading lower after the BOS, but the market is now approaching a critical phase...
We’re expecting a retracement move to the upside — a temporary pullback that could trap early buyers (this is called inducement). This is where things get interesting!
🎯 What to Watch For:
Once the retracement plays out, we’ll be watching closely for:
🔻 Bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
🔻 Supply Zone Order Blocks
These areas could offer us high-probability sell entries aligned with the overall bearish momentum.
📉 The Target?
We’ll be aiming for the previous swing low, where liquidity is likely resting — a classic price magnet in such setups.
⚠️ Be Patient. Let the Market Come to You.
Wait for the retracement, let price fill the gaps, and only then look for confirmation to enter. Rushing in now means going against smart money flow.
🧠 DYOR – Do Your Own Research!
This is a market roadmap, not a signal.
Gold Price Analysis July 11Gold price today continues to maintain a strong upward momentum after breaking the previous support trendline (gold wire). Currently, SELL orders should only be considered as short-term response transactions, with priority given to monitoring to join the main trend.
✅ Trend: Up has been confirmed, the nearest target is towards the 3390 area today.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support: 3330 – 3314
Resistance: 3345 – 3362 – 3388
🎯 Trading strategy:
SELL activation: Watch the 3345 area, only SELL when there is a price rejection signal with a confirmation of a decrease.
Potential SELL area: 3362 – 3387 (strong resistance).
BUY Activation: Look for buying opportunities at support 3330 – 3314 if there is a clear bullish reversal signal.
Gold Short Term OutlookGold has extended its recovery after reclaiming both the 50MA and 200MA, now trading just below the $3,341 resistance. Price has broken out of the short-term descending channel and is showing early signs of bullish continuation.
A confirmed break and hold above $3,341 would open the path toward the next resistance cluster at $3,356–$3,370, followed by $3,383.
If price rejects this resistance and pulls back, the $3,328–$3,313 area will be key to maintain the bullish structure. Below that, focus returns to the $3,300 level and the broader Support Zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,341
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,370
‣ $3,383
Support:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,300
‣ $3,267
⚠️ It’s Friday! Stay sharp and manage your risk.
Gold breaks trendline towards 3390, Uptrend resumes✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD The price increase will continue today and will be even stronger. After breaking the trendline, gold has strong support. SELL strategies are only considered to find short-term reaction points waiting for the next trends.
Gold has confirmed the uptrend is back, heading to 3390 today.
📉 Key Levels
Support 3330-3314
Resistance 3345-3362-3388
Sell trigger: rejection from 3345 with bearish confirmation
Sell zone: 3362–3387 (Strong resistance)
BUY trigger: 3330-3314 support with bounce confirmation
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold’s Chart Update Next Move: Bullish or Bearish?Gold has shown strong bullish momentum 💪 as it breaks through the descending trendline 📉, positioning itself to target the upper liquidity zone 💰. Right now, we have two key scenarios to watch:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If Gold breaks above the 3345 level and closes a solid candle above it 🔝, we could see a move towards 3360 🚀, signaling further upward potential.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: However, if Gold sweeps the 3345 zone and fails to maintain the bullish momentum 🔻, we may see a pullback that could push prices lower 📉.
Stay vigilant 👀 and keep an eye on price action for the next big move! 🔍📊
Gold is fluctuating. Can it break through?Since the price of gold rose to 3500 on April 22 and encountered resistance and fell back, it has shown a triangular convergence and fluctuation trend so far. From the short-term trend, after the decline adjustment on Tuesday, it bottomed out and rebounded on Wednesday to close with a positive line, and on Thursday it completed the shock consolidation with a small positive line. The current moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the short-term market tends to fluctuate.
Today, we need to pay attention to the resistance of the 3340-3345 range. This position is a high point concentration area that has suppressed the upward movement of gold prices many times in the early stage. If the gold price breaks through this range, the bullish trend is expected to continue.
From the current trend, after the gold price bottomed out and rebounded, it formed a short-term support at 3310. Secondly, we need to pay attention to the support strength near the low point of 3282 on Tuesday. In terms of operation, it is still necessary to operate around the range.
Operation strategy:
Short when the price rebounds to around 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3320-3300
Long when the price falls back to around 3310, stop loss at 3300, profit range 3320-3340
XAUUSD Approaches Key Resistance – Will 3,345 Hold or Break?As of July 11, 2025, gold (XAUUSD) is showing a mild recovery around 3,331 USD, following a rebound from the 3,318–3,322 USD support zone. This move comes amid a wave of macroeconomic data and global monetary policy expectations that continue to weigh heavily on gold’s intraday direction.
1. Key Fundamentals Impacting XAUUSD Today
Dollar Index (DXY) remains strong near 106.0 – sustaining pressure on gold due to a firm greenback.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are holding above 4.36%, reflecting persistent market expectations that the Fed may keep interest rates elevated in the near term.
June CPI data (YoY) came in at 2.4%, slightly below forecast (2.5%), increasing hopes for a potential rate cut in Q4 – a short-term bullish catalyst for gold
Geopolitical tensions remain subdued, limiting safe-haven inflows into gold in the medium term.
Upcoming U.S. PPI data this week could trigger volatility, depending on whether it surprises to the dovish or hawkish side.
2. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD on H4 Timeframe
Support zone: 3,316 – 3,322 USD, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish leg.
Resistance zone: 3,345 USD – a confluence of previous highs and 0.618 Fibonacci level of the prior correction wave.
EMA outlook: Short-term EMA is turning upward, indicating potential bullish momentum building.
RSI: Recovering toward 60 but not yet overbought – a sign of healthy upside potential, though confirmation is still needed.
3. Trade Scenarios to Consider
Bullish Breakout Scenario (if price breaks 3,345 USD):
Entry: Buy on H4 candle close above 3,345 USD
Target: 3,357 – 3,370 USD
Stop-loss: Below 3,322 USD
Bearish Rejection Scenario (if price fails at 3,345 USD):
Entry: Sell on bearish reversal candlestick (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) at 3,345 USD
Target: Revisit support at 3,318 – 3,309 USD
Stop-loss: Above 3,350 USD
Gold is trading in a decision zone between short-term support and a major resistance barrier. While macro fundamentals are slightly leaning bullish after soft CPI data, strong dollar strength and high bond yields still cap upside momentum. Traders are advised to wait for price confirmation at 3,345 USD before committing to directional setups.
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Gold 10 July Double bottom GOLD are trading at 3,317. The recent price action reveals a potential double bottom formation, indicating bullish sentiment as the price looks to rally. Despite some consolidation near current levels, the overall trend remains upwards, supported by recent higher highs and higher lows. Analysts generally favor a Buy rating due to Gold's status as a safe-haven asset amid economic uncertainty, which strengthens its price resilience. The projected 12-month target price reflects anticipated growth driven by inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions. Key strengths include robust demand in manufacturing and investment sectors, while risks are introduced by fluctuating interest rates and dollar strength. In summary, Gold is well-positioned for growth, making it an attractive option for investors.
Night range operation, technical outlook is still bearishGold fell as expected after repeated battles at 3330. Currently, gold has returned to around 3320. This shows that the rebound was mainly driven by short-term risk aversion. As market news calms down and sentiment stabilizes, the market will most likely return to the technical trend. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3330, it is expected to touch the 3345 line I mentioned this morning. The short-term 3310 line currently has certain support. From a technical point of view, I prefer to short. Once it falls below 3310, the subsequent support will move to 3295-3285. Therefore, I think it is a good choice to short again at 3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Bearish is still the main trend, first test 3250 supportYesterday, as the market expected a trade agreement to be reached between the US and its trading partners, risk sentiment was boosted. The strengthening of DXY and the rise in US Treasury yields put some pressure on gold.
On Monday, gold rebounded to 3320, and on Tuesday it touched above 3320 and began to fall sharply. In the short term, 3320 is a key trading position that we need to pay attention to. From the daily chart, the support line of 3320 has been completely broken, and the two major support points below are 3250 and 3200 respectively. Judging from the 4H chart, the decline may have just begun. Next, we may first face a test of the 3250 support line. If the 3250 support can be maintained, gold will maintain a volatile consolidation in the short term. Otherwise, if it falls below 3250, it will test the 3200 mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD:Wait for 3315-19 to go long.
The market is experiencing short-term narrow-range fluctuations. There is a certain level of pressure at 3330. I tend to view it more positively as a breakthrough.The trading range for today has narrowed.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3315-19
TP3329-34
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Gold prices are faking declines but rising, so beware
💡Message Strategy
As trade uncertainty heats up, gold welcomes safe-haven buying
After the Trump administration issued a series of tariff notices against many countries around the world, market risk aversion has intensified. The US President announced on Wednesday that a new 50% tariff on copper imports will be imposed from August 1, and reiterated that "the deadline will not be extended for countries that have received the notice, and any retaliatory measures will be responded to by tax increases."
This move has triggered market concerns about the slowdown in global economic growth, and traditional safe-haven assets such as gold have been sought after. The current gold price has rebounded significantly from the one-and-a-half-week low hit the previous day.
According to market surveys, safe-haven funds are being reconfigured, especially in the context of the unclear Fed policy and the direction of the US dollar, gold has become a non-yielding asset preferred in the short term.
📊Technical aspects
From the 1H chart, the gold price has approached the 100-period simple moving average (SMA), which is currently located around 3,335, forming an initial resistance. If the price effectively breaks through this area, the next resistance level will be in the 3,345-3,350 range. Once it breaks through, it may trigger a short-covering market, pushing the gold price back to the 3,400 integer mark.
If gold breaks above 3,360, it will confirm the short-term bottom and open the door to re-challenging the high point of the year. On the contrary, if the gold price falls below 3,300 again, it may retest the 3,280 support, and further downside space will extend to the July low of 3,247.
For now, the performance of gold bulls is relatively prominent, and it is recommended to do more on the pullback.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3300-3310,SL:3285,Target: 3340-3350
XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity PlayFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
🔍 Analysis Overview:
Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations:
📌 NOTES:
The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior.
Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers.
This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops.
My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap.
📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower.
The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup.
💡 Conclusion:
If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #TrendlineBreak #MarketPsychology #TradingSetup #SMC #PriceAction
XAUUSD Loses Short-Term Support – Deeper Decline May FollowAt the current moment, gold (XAUUSD) has made a significant breakout, surpassing the key resistance zone at 3,326 USD and is now trading around 3,328.94 USD. This breakout confirms that the short-term bullish trend remains strong.
1. Short-Term Trend: Bullish Momentum Expands
After holding the key support zone around 3,311 – 3,315 USD (aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement), XAUUSD bounced back and broke above the previous high at 3,326 USD. The current uptrend is confirmed by higher lows and a clear breakout candle from the recent consolidation.
2. Updated Support and Resistance Zones:
Immediate Support: 3,318 – 3,320 USD, near the rising yellow trendline and breakout retest zone.
Next Resistance Target: No clear barrier on the 15-min chart, but psychological levels and Fibonacci extensions suggest 3,332 – 3,335 USD could act as the next upside targets.
3. Price Action Highlights:
The breakout candle closed strongly above the 3.618 Fibonacci extension level (3,326.26 USD), showing solid buying pressure.
A bullish signal ("B") from LuxAlgo was triggered near the minor pullback at 3,318 USD, adding further confirmation.
4. Key Technical Signals:
Price has broken out of the purple rectangle consolidation zone, expanding its trading range.
The 0.618 Fibonacci level at 3,311.78 USD continues to act as firm support.
The ascending yellow trendline remains intact, providing dynamic support to the bullish trend.
5. Suggested Trading Strategy:
Buy on Pullback: Consider long positions around 3,318 – 3,320 USD if price retests this zone with bullish confirmation.
Breakout Continuation Buy: A firm close above 3,330 USD with high volume could signal a move toward 3,335 – 3,340 USD.
If price falls below 3,315 USD and closes weakly, the bullish momentum may begin to fade.
XAUUSD is in an extended bullish phase after breaching the 3,326 USD resistance. As long as price holds above the 3,318 – 3,320 USD zone, there is room for the uptrend to continue.
Do you think gold will break above 3,330 USD? Drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s discuss trading strategies together!
Gold Short Term OutlookGold continues its short-term recovery after bouncing from the Support Zone and reclaiming the $3,300 level. Price is now testing the $3,328 resistance zone, with both the 50MA and 200MA converging just below price.
A confirmed break and hold above $3,328 would open the door to higher resistance levels. However, failure to clear this zone could lead to a retest of the Support Zone. If that fails to hold, a deeper retracement toward the HTF Support Zone may follow.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,341
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,383
Support:
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,300
‣ $3,267
‣ $3,241
🔎 Fundamental Focus
All eyes on U.S. unemployment claims today
Expect volatility around the release – stay sharp.