Gold analysis layoutOn March 20, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, in line with market expectations, indicating that uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased. The dot plot shows that two rate cuts are expected in 2025, consistent with December last year. In addition, the Fed will begin to slow the pace of balance sheet reduction on April 1. Recent indicators show that economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace. In recent months, the unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level and labor market conditions remain strong. Inflation levels remain high. The committee's goal is to achieve maximum employment over the long term and maintain inflation at 2%. Uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased. Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased.
Gold fluctuated sideways on Wednesday, running in the range of 3045-3022. We have basically grasped the intraday market profits. From the current market, it should be noted that while maintaining the bullish bullish trend, this wave of increases should be treated with caution. The possibility of a change in gold prices is expected to increase at the end of the week. From a technical point of view, the trend is definitely bullish. Under the big positive weekly line, although there is no peak for the time being,
The H4 cycle has formed an absolute divergence at a high level, and a strong squat may appear at any time. The trend support of the daily cycle has two points 3000 and 2955. It seems that the price span is relatively large, but it is easy to fall. The support point of the H4 cycle is near 3015, so the key point in the short term is 3015. Once it breaks, it will no longer be so strong, and it is likely to go directly to 3000.
Investment strategy: Gold 3045-3055 short, target 3030-3020
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Goldprediction
XAUUSD - 4H Update: Potential End of Impulse Wave StructureGold continues its impulsive rally, currently completing what appears to be the final leg of wave ⑤ within an ascending channel. This aligns with the larger Elliott Wave count we've been tracking.
Key points to consider:
Wave Structure : We can observe the completion of five internal waves within wave ⑤, with price now at critical resistance levels near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension ($3,065.338).
Bearish RSI Divergence : While price has continued to climb, RSI has started to show signs of bearish divergence, signalling weakening momentum and a potential reversal.
Support Levels : Should a correction materialize, the next key areas to watch are the 0.236 ($3,025.340) and 0.382 ($2,997.608) Fibonacci retracement levels, which align with the lower trendline of the ascending channels.
Wave ⑤ may be nearing exhaustion, with both the Fibonacci extension and bearish divergence suggesting caution for longs. We could see a retracement to support zones if price reverses.
Gold may Retest its All Time High once again.Hello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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$Gold: Approaching A Pivotal Level - 3/19/2025Gold is approaching a pivotal milestone: the $3,060 mark! Since the bull run began in January 2016 at $1,046, prices have surged an impressive 190%. The big question now is—will this be the peak that signals the end of the rally and the start of a correction? Only time will tell as we near this critical level! 📈✨
Let's watch closely to see how the story unfolds. Cheers!
#Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends"
Gold is in trouble, and a backhand blow turns the tideThe gold market is like sailing on a rough sea. Every market fluctuation is a severe test. This time, after we shorted gold, the market suddenly fluctuated sharply due to the news. Our account suffered a floating loss and our heart was hanging. However, professional traders will not be intimidated by short-term difficulties. We quickly analyzed the news in depth, from geopolitical dynamics to economic data interpretation, without missing any details. At the same time, combined with complex and changeable technical aspects, we accurately captured the market reversal signals and decisively seized the opportunity to switch to long positions. We not only turned losses into profits, but also reaped rich profits. In the ever-changing investment world, only calm analysis and decisive decision-making can make you the final winner.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
GOLD EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Support Zone: The price has respected the marked support area and is showing bullish momentum.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently below the 30 EMA (red), but if it crosses above, it could signal stronger bullish momentum.
Target Point: The projection anticipates a move towards 3,052.357, possibly after a minor pullback.
If price sustains above the 30 EMA and breaks through the minor resistance, your bullish target seems achievable. Are you already in a long position, or waiting for further confirmation?
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart levels are being respected and playing out, as analysed in true level to level fashion.
After completing all our Bullish targets 2993, 3011 and 3029, all confirmed with cross and lock, we then confirmed a lock above 3029 opening 3049 yesterday. We got the nice move up but just short of the full gap, which then followed with a rejection into the lower Goldturn for the bounce, giving us plenty of opportunities to milk the bounces just like we stated.
We still have the gap remaining open and we are seeing price play between two weighted levels. We will now look for either level to be tested and broken with cross and lock to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2993 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3011 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3011 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3029 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3029 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3049
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3049 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3068
BEARISH TARGETS
2968
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2968 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2942
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2942 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2906 - 2886
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
3.20 Focus on the long and short battle of the Federal Reserve!!On Wednesday (March 19), the spot gold price continued to fluctuate at a high level during the Asian and European sessions, hitting a record high of $3,045/ounce during the session, and then fell slightly to around $3,029. The market focus is highly concentrated on the upcoming Fed's March interest rate decision.
Fundamentals: 1. The struggle between risk aversion demand and policy expectations
2. Rising geopolitical risk premiums
3. Trump's tariff remarks sparked concerns about economic recession
4. Fed policy expectations dominate short-term fluctuations
Technical aspects: Long and short game in high-level fluctuations
4-hour structure chart:
Bollinger Band pattern: upper track 3044.86, middle track 3031.24, lower track 3017.63, the current quote 3030.49 is close to the middle track, indicating a short-term balance of long and short forces. If the price stands firm on the middle track, it is expected to test the upper track (3044) again; if it falls below the middle track, it may seek support from the lower track (3017)
Moving average support: The 100-day moving average (2928.75) and the 200-day moving average (2903.27) form a long-term support band, and the price difference with the current quotation exceeds US$100, further verifying that gold is in a strong cycle.
Resistance level: 3050 3080 3100
Support level: 3018 3000 2980
Gold surged higher and fell again, signaling an imminent declineAt present, there is a suppression signal below 3045, but it may take some time to consolidate. It fell back under pressure on Wednesday morning, and stabilized and rose briefly to 3045 after touching the middle track. Then there was a small dive to 3022 in the European session and then rose again. This is obviously a high-level sweep, and the market has begun to fight fiercely for longs and shorts; it may go back and forth in the high range of 3020-3045, and finally wait for the announcement of the interest rate decision to stimulate and guide. If the news of the interest rate cut is implemented, it is still predicted that there will be a wave of "selling facts" decline, and then stabilize and bottom out and rise to counterattack. Then the next operation suggestion is to try to correct the decline at a high level, and continue to go up along the trend after touching 3015 or 3000 or 2980. The decline correction and squat adjustment are all preparations for further historical highs in the future.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Gold is Pulling Back to Support lines & PRZ – Another Rally!?As I expected in my previous post , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) finally touched Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) (of course with a lot of volatility).
From Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed the main wave 3 and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 is likely to end near the Support lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Gold to attack Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) at least once more after completing the main wave 4 .
Can Gold make a new All-Time High(ATH) or Correction?
Note: There is also a possibility that the main wave 5 is a truncated wave because in PRZ we have the $3,000 round number.
Note: If Gold falls below $2,940, we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Bears are about to revive, short gold!Gold has rebounded to around 3040 once again. It is undeniable that the risk of going long is gradually increasing. At this level, the primary strategy should be to avoid blindly chasing long positions in gold to mitigate the risk of a significant pullback.
Additionally, during the recent retracement, gold only briefly touched the 3023 level before rebounding. Given the insufficient depth of the pullback, this swift rebound suggests that gold may continue to test its short-term highs. Currently, there is no clear technical topping pattern, and the candlestick formations remain strong, indicating further upward potential. Gold could extend its gains toward the 3050-3060 range.
From a trading perspective, it may be prudent to consider short positions in the 3045-3055 range.Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Short gold with 2930-2940 zone as resistanceBros, the situation in the Middle East is turbulent again! Gold took advantage of the trend and continued to rise to around 3028. Stimulated by the news, gold's rise was obviously abnormal and showed a disorderly rise! This kind of price rise is actually very dangerous, so we can't directly chase gold. According to my expectations, the highest price of gold will only reach around 3040, so I think shorting gold with 2930-2940 zone as resistance is the best trading opportunity at the moment.
However, in the short term, the correction of gold may be smaller than expected because the market is enthusiastic about going long. So the first thing we should pay attention to below is the 3005-2995 zone.
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
Gold shows signs of waterfall-like plungeStimulated by the news, gold has risen rapidly to around 3045. Obviously, gold has seen a very obvious forced rise. After the rapid rise of gold, there must be a technical demand for a fall. I expect 3045-3055 to be the high point of gold in the day, so when you all want to chase the rise of gold, I have already started to short gold!
So in terms of trading, the relatively safe way is to short gold at a high level. In short-term trading, we can boldly short gold with the 3030-3040 area as the main force. I believe there will be a good profit!
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
3.19 Gold continues to peak, waiting for the Fed's interest rateThe gold market continued to rise strongly after opening yesterday, reaching the highest point of 3038 and then consolidating at a high level, with no obvious adjustment in the middle. Although we determined that the market would surge, it was still stronger than expected. The daily line finally closed with a big positive line with a slight shadow line. After this pattern ended, the bulls in today's market are still there.
Resistance level: 3045 3050
GOLD - where is current support? what's next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our video analysis and congratulations to all followers.
now we have 3025 - 27 as a immediate supporting area guys, keep close that region because if market hold it in that case we can expect further bounce to upside.
don't be lazy here and focused on our today immediate supporting area.
good luck
trade wisely
Gold Price Analysis March 18⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed as Israel attacked targets across Gaza, killing at least 100 people. Tensions escalated further with unconfirmed reports that the US sank an Iranian intelligence-gathering vessel.
These developments have pushed investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty due to the US-China trade war.
In addition, US retail sales data for February raised concerns about an economic recession, supporting gold prices but putting pressure on the USD. However, the greenback recovered on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's policy meeting on Wednesday.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is near its all-time high and there is no reasonable technical analysis method to trade it. We still favor retracements and buy up with the trend. 3020 and 3040 are two psychological zones the market is waiting for. nice retracements for BUY signals are waiting around 2980 - 2960 - 2945
make a prompt decision! short high positionAnd from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 3039-3045 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 3015-3005 area.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Gold sounds the horn of the counterattackThe gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of falling back. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful, gold may stage the final madness.
Gold begins to rise and fall rapidly in the first hour, then gold begins to have short-term resistance, and the first-line resistance near 3040-3050 becomes effective, gold will usher in a reversal, and gold rises and falls and begins to adjust significantly to the 3015-3005 area, or even lower. The bullish trend of gold has been very strong in the early stage. However, when the market is too hot, it is also the time to be cautious and short under high pressure.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Unpacking the Bitcoin-Gold Correlation and its Current Dynamics
The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" has gained significant traction, fueled by its perceived scarcity, decentralized nature, and potential as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Recent market movements, particularly the surge in gold prices and the subsequent, albeit delayed, reaction in Bitcoin, have brought this correlation into sharp focus. While the relationship isn't always perfectly synchronized, the underlying dynamics suggest a fascinating interplay between these two assets.
Gold's recent climb to an all-time high is largely attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the resurgence of tariff war concerns. In times of uncertainty, investors often flock to traditional safe-haven assets like gold, seeking stability and protection against inflation. This surge in gold prices has naturally sparked renewed interest in Bitcoin, which, despite its volatility, is increasingly viewed as a viable alternative store of value.
However, the correlation isn't a simple, immediate mirroring of price movements. There's often a noticeable delay, with gold leading the way and Bitcoin following suit. This lag can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, gold's established status as a safe-haven asset gives it a head start in attracting investor capital during times of crisis. Secondly, Bitcoin's relatively nascent market is more susceptible to speculation and sentiment-driven fluctuations, which can introduce delays and variations in its price response.1
Currently, Bitcoin is navigating a period of consolidation, trading within a narrow range of $82.3k to $84.5k.2 This consolidation follows a "sell-the-news" event, likely related to a major market catalyst that failed to meet overly optimistic expectations. Consequently, Bitcoin is facing significant bearish pressure, evidenced by the accumulation of short positions. The pattern breakdowns observed by analysts further reinforce this bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential retest of the $78k support level.
Despite these challenges, the renewed interest in Bitcoin, driven by gold's surge, offers a glimmer of hope for a potential rebound. The "digital gold" narrative is gaining momentum, particularly among younger investors who are more comfortable with the digital asset landscape. If Bitcoin can successfully decouple from the immediate bearish pressures and capitalize on the broader trend of safe-haven asset allocation, it could witness a significant recovery.
However, several factors could impede this recovery. The significant short positions indicate a strong bearish sentiment, which could lead to further price declines if not countered by substantial buying pressure. Moreover, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a significant risk factor. Sudden market events or regulatory changes could trigger sharp price swings, disrupting any potential recovery.
Looking ahead to 2025, the Bitcoin price prediction remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts foresee a potential breakout, fueled by increasing institutional adoption and the diminishing supply of new Bitcoin, others remain cautious, citing the persistent bearish pressures and the potential for further market corrections.
The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. The long-term potential for Bitcoin remains undeniable, but the short-term outlook is clouded by uncertainty. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will likely continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months.
The correlation with gold, while not a perfect predictor, provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's potential as a safe-haven asset. As gold continues to attract investor capital amid global uncertainties, Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold" is likely to grow. However, the delayed response and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market necessitate a cautious approach.
To navigate this complex landscape, investors should closely monitor both gold and Bitcoin price movements, paying attention to key technical indicators and fundamental developments. The accumulation of short positions, the potential retest of support levels, and the broader macroeconomic environment should all be considered when making investment decisions.
In conclusion, the Bitcoin-gold correlation provides a fascinating lens through which to understand the evolving dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. While the delayed response and the inherent volatility of Bitcoin present challenges, the growing recognition of its potential as "digital gold" offers a compelling narrative for long-term growth. However, in the immediate future, Bitcoin must navigate the current bearish pressures and capitalize on the renewed interest driven by gold's surge to achieve a meaningful rebound. The battle between buyers and sellers will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory, and only time will tell whether the "digital gold" narrative will ultimately prevail.
On 3.19, gold continued to fluctuate upward after breaking throuAs a safe-haven asset, gold has attracted more buying amid global political tensions: the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and the continued strikes by the United States against the Houthi armed forces in the Red Sea region may affect the energy supply chain. The uncertainty of the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine has led to a high risk aversion in the market. The increase in domestic political risks in the United States may affect market confidence and push up gold demand.
The rise in gold on March 18 is in line with my thinking. Obviously, the US market was suppressed at 3028. After a short-term retracement, it further broke upward. It is expected to continue the upward trend at night and see the suppression of 3044.
The weekly and monthly lines are concerned about the upper track position, and even diverge upward under the impetus of market sentiment. The specific position cannot be determined because there is no reference point, but it is only necessary to follow the market trend to do it, and the transaction is relatively simple. From a technical perspective, the upper track of the weekly line is 3030, and the upper track of the monthly line is 3050. This is the position that needs attention. In addition, the previous two waves of rises have gone through 4 positive monthly K lines, and then closed with a negative correction.
Support level
$2994; $2982; $2950
Resistance level
$3025; $3050; $3080
Gold 2873 to 3037!Your Trust in Our Recommendations DeliversDear Followers,
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✅ On February 4th, we advised buying Gold at 2873, confidently stating that the 3037 target was within reach!
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Seize the golden opportunity at high altitudeDuring the price fluctuations, after two obvious market declines, the market bulls once showed a relatively strong upward trend, which made some investors confused about the market trend. However, after a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional factors in the market, including in-depth analysis of global economic data, geopolitical situation evolution and market capital flows, it is believed that the current high-altitude strategy in the gold market still has significant advantages.
From the perspective of technical analysis, gold prices are facing great pressure near key resistance levels, and the market short-selling momentum has not yet been fully released.
From a fundamental perspective, although the regional situation has caused short-term risk aversion fluctuations, the long-term economic trend still suppresses gold prices. Based on the above analysis, we firmly maintain the original strategy, and the 3025-3035 range is still an ideal position for short selling. Investors can decisively establish short positions in this range, set reasonable stop loss and take profit targets, and achieve steady returns with the help of market fluctuations. In the gold market full of variables, only by strictly adhering to the strategy can we ride the wind and waves and seize wealth opportunities.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
GOLD - near to his breakout level? What's next??#GOLD... well guys market bounce perfectly from our today supporting area, that was 2983 84
Now we have upside breakout level, that is 3005 around.
Keep close that level because above that we can expect further rise towards next resistance areas.
Good luck
Trade wisely