4.8 Gold continues to run at a low point!Gold stabilized and rebounded on Tuesday (April 8), with an intraday increase of nearly 1%, successfully recovering the losses of the previous trading day. The rebound ended the three-day correction trend, and the gold price rebounded significantly from the key support level of $2,955. The current market focus is on the evolution of the Fed's policy path and the geopolitical trade situation. Under the interweaving of long and short factors, the short-term volatility of gold has risen significantly.
Fundamentals: The struggle between risk aversion and interest rate expectations
The rebound of gold at the beginning of this week was mainly driven by two factors:
1. The escalation of geopolitical trade risks
US President Trump's recent remarks on tariffs have triggered market concerns about the renewed tension in the global trade system.
2. The Fed's interest rate expectations fluctuated sharply
The interest rate futures market has undergone dramatic changes this week: On Monday, the market once bet that the Fed would cut interest rates five times in 2025, a significant shift from the expectation of "one or no interest rate cut" a week ago.
3. The coordination of the US dollar and capital flows
The US dollar index weakened slightly on Tuesday, reducing the cost of holding gold for non-US investors.
Technical aspect: Attack and defense of key support level
From the perspective of the market structure, the trend of gold this week showed typical "sharp drop and slow rise" characteristics:
Support confirmation: On Monday, the gold price accurately tested the support of $2955 and then rebounded. This position corresponds to the neckline of the platform that broke through in mid-March, and formed a double defense line with the 55-day moving average (US$2930). The intraday lows were densely bought, indicating that medium- and long-term investors viewed the correction as an opportunity to build positions.
Resistance distribution: The first resistance above is at US$3040 (daily line R1), and after breaking through, it may test US$3057 (March 20 pivot point) and US$3097 (R2). The historical high of US$3167 is still a psychological barrier, but it is difficult to challenge it directly in the short term.
In the short term, the trend of gold will depend on two major catalysts: 1. The minutes of the Fed's March meeting on Wednesday: If the minutes suggest an open attitude towards rate cuts, it may push gold prices to test the $3,050-3,070 range; conversely, if the emphasis is on inflation stickiness, it may trigger long profit-taking. 2. Progress in trade negotiations: Any substantive implementation or easing of tariff policies may trigger fluctuations of more than 5% in gold prices. In the medium term, the upward trend of gold has not been broken. Institutional research reports show that the current global central bank's demand for gold purchases is still at a historical high, and in the downward cycle of interest rates, the relative attractiveness of interest-free assets will continue to stand out. If the technical side breaks through $3,057, it will open up space for the impact of the previous high; the defense strength of the $2,950-2,930 area needs to be closely monitored below.
Goldprediction
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets with our Goldturn levels playing out and respecting in true level to level fashion.
After completing the Bullish target from the retracement range yesterday; we stated that we were now playing in a bigger range and if 2975 fails to lock and open the swing range, the retracement range should give bounces into our Goldturns above. This played out perfectly, as 2999 and 3015 was tested from the bounce. We will now like to see ema5 lock above 3015 for a stronger confirmation for a continuation into 3034 and potentially into 3055 to test the full range again.
However, if we see the break below 2975 retracement level; it will open the swing range, which always gives us a bigger swing action then our usual weighted level bounces. This is the main difference between the weighted level bounces and our swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold fell100 points for 3 consecutive days Market trend analysisStop loss is always right, even if it is wrong; holding on is always wrong, even if it is right. Stop loss is unconditional! Without trading principles and trading discipline, all technology is equal to zero!
Spot gold fell by $212 in three days, and the bears shined. A while ago, we warned of the risks, but many people scoffed at it, thinking it was alarmist and that gold would not fall. The money earned by the bull market will definitely be lost with the principal and interest under the belief of the bull market. The three-day plunge in gold is enough to make many people return to the time before opening an account in three days!
The market staged a "holiday conspiracy theory" market, because the heat has reached, and it is facing the implementation of equal tariffs. The previous surge in gold is to buy expectations and sell facts. The bullish atmosphere is unprecedentedly high, and the main force can harvest it.
How arrogant the bulls of gold were at the beginning, how embarrassed they are now; the bears are far stronger than the bulls, the bulls cut meat with a blunt knife, and the bears cut the Gordian knot with a quick knife! Gold plunged $112 from 3167 to 3055 last Thursday, $120 from 3136 to 3016 on Thursday, and $100 from 3056 to 2056 yesterday, Monday. Last year, there were five days with a plunge of nearly or more than $100, and three consecutive days recently. Because the price is high, there will be more single-day plunges of 100 or more this year.
Yesterday, all three major U.S. stock indexes stopped falling at the lifeline of bulls and ushered in an oversold rebound. The panic decline of crude oil and silver was also alleviated. Silver stopped falling at the key support of bulls at 28-28.5. It shows that risk sentiment has been alleviated to a certain extent. Market risk sentiment has been released, and gold shorts also need to rest. The main force of gold has cultivated too many bulls from January to April 2025, and cultivated the bull market thinking of retail investors. It will definitely kill the bulls with the help of this round of sharp decline, and gold can start to rise again! In the medium term, the rebound correction is for a better decline. 2956-50 will be broken, and then 2930-2880 will be broken, and the ultimate 2830 will be broken. Today is the fourth day of the decline. The decline stopped at 2956 in the early morning, which is the previous high point. At present, the first round of gold decline in the short term has been in place. Many people panicked after three days of sharp decline. Those who bought the bottom dared not buy the bottom, and those who did not short should chase the short. The main force will continue to wash the market! Today, the correction rebound is mainly seen. The upper resistance focuses on 3000, then 3030-25 and yesterday's high 3045-55 area.
The focus of the day is 2956-60, and the short-term support is 2970-75. In theory, if you want to wash the market, wash it harder. 3000 can't stop it. Pay attention to the 3020-35 range, and even rush to yesterday's high area and then fall. Gold fluctuates by more than ten or dozens of dollars in 5 minutes. The article can only give ideas and areas. More specific strategies need to be given offline in combination with real trading. Orders must be strictly carried out with losses to prevent being stuck in the wrong direction. In an emotional market, watch more and do less!
In today's market:
1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator temporarily forms a small golden cross, but the strength and continuity of the golden cross are not shown; MACD double lines are downward, which is a bearish signal; the indicator is not a resonant bearish signal, so the 4-hour bias is corrected; in terms of form, it breaks the bottom and sets a new low, constantly pierces, and constantly rebounds. The support near the low of 2950 is effective here, and the back and forth piercing near 2970 is of little reference significance; the second decline is around 3050 and around 3020;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross, so the main high-altitude treatment is used; MACD double lines diverge, which is a bearish signal; the daily K is a resonant bearish signal, so the main idea of shorting at highs is used; the current central axis position is around 3010;
To sum up: the intraday short-term trend is around 2950 in 4 hours, and the decline rebounds; after the correction rebound, we continue to treat it as a high-altitude; several pressure positions 3 010-3020,
The second is around 3050, followed by around 3090; on the long side, the layout is in the range of 2955-2965; the large range is positioned in the range of 3050-2950
Strategy:
Short around 3015-17, defend 3024, target 3000-2990, the operation has been made and is not considered
Long around 2995-97, defend 299 0, the target 3000-3010-3030 has been entered and is no longer considered
Intraday short around 3030-40, defense 3045, target 3000--2980-2960-2930
Intraday secondary long around 2962-64, defense 2956, target 2975-2990
After falling below 2955, it will reach 2930 and 2880.
Gold----Sell near 3013, target 2980-2960Gold market analysis:
The gold market has been fluctuating a lot in the past few days because of the tariff issue, which has led to too much uncertainty in the market. Gold closed with a large tombstone candlestick pattern on the weekly line, which means that the top has appeared. Short-term buying is not as strong as those. Yesterday, gold hit a new low again. The daily cross star has a very long upper shadow. Today, we are more inclined to sell in the face of large fluctuations. Gold may continue yesterday's fluctuations. Today, we need to focus on finding the rhythm. It swings up and down by dozens of points. Buying and selling games are used to intercept the range. 3055 is already a new large suppression position. Today, 3055 is weak below. If it breaks, we will see a new buying momentum.
In the Asian session, we focus on the small suppression in the 3013-3016 area. This position is the bottom of yesterday's small shock. In addition, the indicator suppression position is 3008-3010. The Asian session is rising strongly. The 4H is expected to close with a big positive. You can decisively sell at the suppression position. Even if it breaks, there will be a large-scale retracement. If gold stands near 3016, it may return to the oscillation range of 3016-3055.
Suppression 3013-3016, strong pressure 3045 and 3055, support 2986, 2971, 2956, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 3000.
Fundamental analysis:
The US tariffs on the world are still brewing, which has also led to a sharp drop in global stock markets, and the market is not optimistic about expectations. Later this week, we will focus on the heavyweight CPI data.
Operation suggestions:
Gold----Sell near 3013, target 2980-2960
Gold's slow rise approaches key resistance! Follow 3020Early layout plan for gold: On Tuesday, the public strategy suggested shorting gold at 3015, which was perfectly hit again, and successfully obtained high-altitude profits. In the real market, short orders near 3014 were also arranged, and the market closed at 3000-2998, and then 14-16 points of profit were collected!
Gold technical analysis: On Monday, gold went long and short, and then rushed up and fell back! Yesterday, it was also mentioned that it was still a high-opening strategy, and then gold rebounded and plummeted in the evening; from a technical point of view, the previous gold daily chart encountered resistance near the historical important resistance level of 3135 and then went down, pulling out a big negative line, which is a strong message for the shorts! Although the current gold price is close to the lower track of the Bollinger band below, the shorts are still very strong.
But at present, our general direction is still bearish. In addition, according to the current 4-hour chart, gold formed a double top pattern correction in the early stage. Although the short-selling force is strong at present, the long-selling force is not weak. The slow rise and pullback in the early trading has some strength. The upper resistance is still around 3020, and the key pressure is above 3035!
Gold operation strategy: short around 3015-3020, defend the key resistance of 30-35, and target 2990-80!
Investing shouldn't be so difficult. I will provide one-on-one real-time guidance and tracking services for each customer, and will also share professional opinions in time to closely grasp the market dynamics. Here, you don't need to face the complex market alone. I will help you capture opportunities accurately and keep a close eye on the market. You just need to go to work as usual and accompany your family with peace of mind. When the trading opportunity comes, I will notify you as soon as possible. You just need to do a good job of entry and exit operations and reasonable position control. Don't ignore risks due to greed or negligence to avoid major losses due to sudden changes in the market. At the same time, the market is like sailing against the current. If you don't advance, you will retreat. Investors need to continue to pay attention to market dynamics, continue to learn and improve their investment capabilities, and adjust investment strategies in time to cope with the ever-changing market. This is the relaxed state that investment should have. Only 1-5 orders a day, follow a stable strategy, and continue to reap profits. Whether it is to recover the cost or to achieve several times the growth of funds, you can do it. When the market trends come, I'll be there! Please follow and contact me in time!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1h chart route map playing out, as analysed.
We started the session with our Bearish targets 3034 and 3034 and then the retracement range targets at 2999 and 2975, followed with our Bullish target at 3055, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips.
The range is currently big and we will continue to see play and test between the weighted levels. A re-test and break below the retracement range will open the swing rang. However, continuous support above the retracement range will see a further test at 3055 weighted Goldturn level and lock above 3055 will see the range above open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
4.8 Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!Spot gold rebounded slightly during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 8), once rising above the 3,000 mark, and is currently trading around $2,995.51 per ounce. Spot gold may rebound to $3,049 per ounce, as the price has previously completed a five-wave cycle starting from $3,168.
Analysts pointed out that the peak of wave d is around $3,049, which can be used as a rebound target. It is still difficult to judge whether this cycle is an impulse wave cycle or a correction wave cycle.
If it is an impulse wave cycle, it means that the downward trend will extend to well below $2,950. The correction wave cycle shows that despite the sharp drop from $3,168, the upward trend from $2,831 remains intact.
The information shown on the daily chart is very clear. The sharp drop in the past few days seems to be driven by wave (4), which may end near the strong support level of $2,970. The next wave (5) will push the upward trend above $3167.
Resistance level: 3015----3038-----3050
Pressure level: 3000---29833-----2970
XAU/USD) Bearish analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to be a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown
Key Elements:
1. Price Channel Break & CHoCH:
The price was in a rising channel.
A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred after the price broke below the structure, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
There's a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) highlighted in the yellow box around the 3,047–3,075 level.
The expectation is that price may retrace into this FVG before continuing downward.
Mr SMC Trading point
3. Target Zone:
A major demand zone or target point is marked around 2,940, indicating a potential bearish move of around -148 points (~4.8%) from the FVG.
4. EMA & RSI:
200 EMA is around 3,047, acting as dynamic resistance now.
RSI is below 40 and trending down, showing bearish momentum with slight bullish divergence, hinting at a short retracement before another drop.
---
Summary of the Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Trade Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone (~3,047–3,075).
Look for bearish confirmation (like bearish engulfing or rejections).
Enter short with a target at 2,940, stop above FVG.
Let me know if you’d like help formulating a trade setup or risk management plan based on this.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold's decline is not over yet, go short on the rebound!The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short arrangement, the momentum of gold shorts is still there, and gold rebounds and continues to short. Of course, gold has been falling sharply in the past few days, and the market may gradually begin to recover. You must wait patiently for opportunities to rebound, and do not chase short positions easily.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3017, stop loss 3027, target 2090
The above is purely a sharing of personal opinions and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
Gold price plummets by $100!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 8), spot gold fluctuated widely and is currently trading around $2,995/ounce. Gold prices fell nearly 2% on Monday, falling for three consecutive trading days. The lowest intraday price hit $2,956/ounce, a drop of nearly $100. London gold bulls suffered a bloodbath. After the United States' comprehensive tariffs triggered concerns about a global economic recession, investors turned to the US dollar as a safe haven. However, given the grim economic situation, there is still a certain amount of bargain hunting to support international gold prices.Trump refuted rumors of a 90-day suspension of tariffs, pushing the US dollar index to rebound. When the US dollar appreciates, gold becomes expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Amid market turmoil, investors turned to cash and safe haven assets such as the Swiss franc and the yen, which raised the risk of a deeper correction in gold prices. It should be reminded that although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell did not say that the Fed was eager to resume rate cuts, federal funds rate futures traders increased their bets on the number of rate cuts the Fed will make this year. This week’s U.S. economic focus will be the March consumer price and producer price reports, which will be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Data from last Friday showed that employers added more jobs than expected last month, but the unemployment rate also rose!
Technical Review:
The gold daily line structure continued to fluctuate downward, the moving average opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran below the middle axis. The rise was not continuous, and the tariff impact remained. Yesterday, the market reported a 90-day tariff suspension. It can be seen that U.S. stocks, crude oil, gold and silver all rose rapidly, and then it was confirmed to be false news, and then fell back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to sell.
The market is currently in a two-way power game between the selling of risky assets and the rising demand for risk aversion. Although gold is a safe-haven asset, it is also facing the pressure of liquidity withdrawal. In the context of the unclear Fed policy and the continued escalation of global trade concerns, the price of gold may continue to maintain a volatile pattern, and the main idea is to sell at a high price! However, the current fluctuation is too fast and the amplitude is too large, so short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, followed by the position, which means that gold will fall sharply. Gold hit 2956 and then bottomed out and rebounded, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuation is relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is caught in a large range of fluctuations, but the overall trend is still selling.
Today's analysis:
Yesterday's early trading had a new low, and another new low in the evening. In such a market environment, new lows continue to appear. This is a weak market, and this is a selling market. When the 3000 point fell below, the faith of many investors collapsed. They wanted to stand firm at the 3000 mark, but it broke at this moment, which means that the current downward trend has not ended yet, and continue to sell along with the trend. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross downward and sell, and the selling force has not weakened; the rebound is still short. Although gold rushed higher after filling the gap in 1 hour, the upper shadow line came down quickly. The overall trend is still weak, and the short-term pressure is around 3030! Today's rebound is under pressure at the resistance of 3030, and it is still possible to continue selling. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to have rebounded strongly, it eventually rushed up and fell back. Gold is still the main place for selling, but now it is more volatile. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound, and the volatility should not be underestimated. However, the idea is to continue to sell at a high price.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 2975-2978 buy, stop loss 2966, target 3010-3020;
Short-term gold 3030-3033 sell, stop loss 3042, target 2990-2980;
Key points:
First support level: 2978, second support level: 2963, third support level: 2955
First resistance level: 3000, second resistance level: 3013, third resistance level: 3030
XAU/USD(20250408) Today's AnalysisToday's long-short boundary:
2997
Support and resistance levels:
3096
3059
3035
2960
2936
2899
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 2997, consider buying, the first target price is 3035
If the price breaks through 2960, consider selling, the first target price is 2936
gold buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
4.8 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasGold price has fallen below the previous row support band in the daily trend. The K-line continues to be under pressure from the short-term moving average and maintains a weaker trend of shock. In the short term, pay attention to the pressure band around 3030. In the 4-hour level trend, the K-line is currently under pressure from the short-term moving average and is maintaining a low-level shock repair. The strength and continuation of the intraday rebound are not too large. Pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. At present, after continuous shocks in the small-level cycle trend, the technical pattern has begun to gradually adjust. The K-line has begun to slowly stand on the short-term moving average and tends to have a certain rebound space in the short-term trend. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Operational suggestions:
Short near 3017-8, stop loss 3023.9, or long near 2945-6, stop loss 2939.1.
Real-time market intraday guidance.
We will update regularly every day to introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reversal with 3.Timeframe: Appears to be intraday (possibly 5-15 minutes).
Indicators:
EMA 30 (red): Showing recent bearish momentum.
EMA 200 (blue): Positioned above, indicating a longer-term bearish trend.
Candlestick Pattern: After a steep drop, price shows signs of consolidation and potential reversal.
📌 Trade Setup (Long/Bullish Bias)
Entry Zone: Around $2,963.2
Price is expected to pull back into this purple demand zone before moving up.
Stop Loss (SL): $2,956.1
Placed below the support zone to limit downside risk.
Take Profit (TP / Target Point): $2,988.2
A previous supply zone near the EMA 30, where selling pressure could return.
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio
Risk: $2,963.2 - $2,956.1 = $7.1
Reward: $2,988.2 - $2,963.2 = $25
RRR (Reward-to-Risk Ratio): ~3.5:1
This is a solid ratio, suggesting a high-potential trade if the setup plays out.
📈 Bullish Scenario
Price pulls back into the demand zone (entry).
A bullish candlestick confirmation or wick rejection could trigger a buy.
Target is the previous structure + EMA zone.
#xauusd #Gold (April8)Levels where price reactions are most likely to occur during the day. Naturally, at each level, you can have buy and sell positions and you can freely use the levels for a new order or for TP of your postions. The levels are updated daily!
The results of price reaction to these levels will be shown in the upcoming videos.
You should note that the levels are based on price action knowledge, and no indicators are used to determine these levels. Therefore, the reaction ranges could occur a few pips above or below the levels marked on the charts!
Buy gold, expect a rebound to 3000Gold just fell to 2958, but quickly rebounded to above 2965. The short-term support of 2965-2960 was not effectively broken. Gold quickly recovered above the short-term support, proving that bulls still have room to fight back. I expect gold to at least rebound and test the 3000 position again, so in short-term trading, we should not be too bearish on gold.
I actually reminded everyone in the last article update that we can buy gold when gold falls. In this extremely fierce market, with a cautious trading mentality, I actually do not expect too much about the rebound space of the bulls. Once gold touches around 3000, I will leave the market safely and lock in profits!
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Result: Gold(April 7)The price has moved about 690 pips relative to the specified levels. The strategy a trader uses to enter the market and how much of this profit they’ve secured varies among traders. If you’ve got even half of this movement as profit, that’s excellent! :)
You should note that the levels are based on price action knowledge, and no indicators are used to determine these levels. Therefore, the reaction ranges could occur a few pips above or below the levels marked on the charts!
Gold's 4-hour range has been broken, waiting for further declineTechnical analysis of gold: Gold continued to fall in the US market, and the price continued to return to the low point of the Asian market. The rise was not continuous, and the impact of tariffs remained. The market reported that the tariffs would be suspended for 90 days. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver all rose rapidly, and then it was confirmed to be false news, and then fell back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to be sold. However, the current fluctuations are too fast and the amplitude is too large. Short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, followed by the position. In other words, gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold continued to rebound at the opening today. The rebound amplitude actually exceeded our expectations, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuations are relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is caught in a large range of fluctuations, but the overall trend is still bearish. The US market rebound is still bearish.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short divergence, and the short force has not weakened; the rebound is still short. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, the upper shadow line quickly came down. The overall situation is still weak. It is under pressure near 3050 in the short term. The US rebound is under pressure at 3012 resistance, so it can continue to be short. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it will eventually rush up and fall back. Gold is still the home of the shorts. However, it is now volatile. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound, and the volatility should not be underestimated. However, the thinking is still to maintain a high-altitude thinking. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold today is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3012-3015 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2950-2956 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: short gold rebound near 3012-3015, stop loss 10 points, target near 2980-2970, break to see 2956
Long order strategy: long gold callback near 2953-2956, stop loss 10 points, target near 2970-2980, break to see 3000
xauusd analysisGold prices experienced a sharp decline today, dropping to a three-and-a-half-week low. The move was driven by a combination of global macroeconomic concerns, investor behavior, and technical market dynamics.
🔍 Key Reasons Behind the Drop:
Global Trade Tensions Intensify
A major escalation in the U.S.-China trade war rattled markets. The U.S. announced new tariffs, and China retaliated with export restrictions on rare earth elements. This sparked broad risk-off sentiment across global markets.
Panic-Led Liquidation
Despite being a traditional safe haven, gold was sold off as investors rushed to cover losses in other risk assets. This often happens during periods of extreme volatility when liquidity becomes a priority.
Hawkish Fed Comments
Fed Chair Jerome Powell made comments suggesting the central bank might delay rate cuts due to persistent inflation and trade uncertainties. This caused the U.S. dollar to strengthen, which typically puts pressure on gold prices.
📈 Technical Analysis:
Current Price: Around $2,962
Support Levels:
First support around $2,950
Stronger support near $2,930
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance at $2,970 (Target 1 in your chart)
Further resistance near $3,000 (Target 2)
Trend & Indicators:
RSI is approaching oversold, indicating a potential bounce.
The short-term trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Volume spiked during the sell-off, showing strong momentum behind the move.
🧠 What to Watch Going Forward:
Any new trade developments between major economies.
Fed’s stance on inflation and interest rates.
Gold’s behavior around key support zones – bounce or breakdown?
XAUUSD Weekly Swing Trade Setup (Targeting New Highs)
Entry 2990
Last week's price action in XAUUSD was dramatic. Initial surges, driven by tariff announcements, propelled the pair to record highs. However, this was followed by a significant correction, leaving the market in a state of uncertainty as we enter the new week.
Considering the current market context (tariff implications, upcoming US economic data, central bank commentary) and the potential for continued volatility, this swing trade idea is indeed ambitious.
The Core Strategy:
We are anticipating a further decline in XAUUSD to a major support level. The key to this trade will be observing a strong rejection at this support, indicating renewed buying pressure. The ultimate goal is to capitalize on this potential rebound and ride the momentum towards making new all-time highs.
Key Considerations for the Coming Week:
Identify the Major Support Level: Pinpointing this level is crucial. It could be a significant previous swing low, a key Fibonacci retracement level, or a strong psychological barrier. Careful technical analysis is required to determine the most probable zone.
Confirmation of Rejection: We will be looking for clear bullish price action at the identified support. This could include bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing bar, pin bar), positive divergence on momentum indicators, or a break of a short-term downtrend line.
Risk Management: Given the ambition of targeting new all-time highs after a significant correction, robust risk management is paramount. This includes setting a well-defined stop-loss order below the identified support level to protect capital in case the rejection doesn't materialize. Position sizing should also be carefully considered.
Potential Catalysts: Be aware of the upcoming economic data and central bank commentary, as these events could significantly impact price action and either support or invalidate this trade idea.
Patience is Key: This is a swing trade, and the anticipated move may take time to develop. Avoid premature entry and wait for clear confirmation of the rejection at the support level.
In essence, this is a contrarian swing trade based on the expectation that the underlying bullish drivers for gold will reassert themselves after the recent correction. We are aiming to buy low at a significant support level with the high-conviction target of reaching new all-time highs.
Disclaimer: This is a potential trade setup idea and not financial advice. Trading Forex involves significant risk, and you could lose your capital. Conduct thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook:Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook:
🔸 Bearish Scenario:
If the price of gold breaks and closes below the key support level of 3016, it will indicate a strong bearish signal. This breakdown would suggest that selling pressure is increasing, and we could see a continued downward move toward the next support zone. The immediate target in this case would be around 3002, where buyers may attempt to step in. A sustained move below 3002 could open the door for further downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3016 (break level)
Target: 3002/2978
Additional downside possible if 3002 fails to hold
🔸 Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if gold breaks and closes above the resistance level of 3030, it will signal bullish momentum and a possible continuation of the uptrend. This breakout could trigger buying interest, pushing the price higher toward the next resistance levels at 3052 and 3065. These levels will act as short-term targets for bulls.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3030 (break level)
Bullish targets: 3052 and 3065
Further upside possible if momentum continues above 3065
GOLD (XAUUSD) 30-Min Chart Analysis – Key Reversal & Breakout Zo200 EMA (blue): 3085.72 (bearish as price is below it)
30 EMA (red): 3033.52
Current Price: 3034.10
🟪 Key Zones (Highlighted in Purple)
Resistance Zone: Around 3045.54–3065.70
Support Zone: Around 2968.27
Previous High Zone / Target Area: 3158.42
📉 Short Trade Setup (Blue Arrow Going Down)
Entry Area: If price rejects the resistance zone around 3045–3065
Stop Loss: Above the zone, around 3065.70
Take Profit: At the support zone, 2968.27
Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 2.4x (shown as -2.43%)
📈 Long Trade Setup (Blue Arrow Going Up)
Entry Area: If price breaks and holds above the 3065.70 zone
Stop Loss: Below 3045.54 zone
Take Profit: 3158.42 (previous resistance)
Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 3.0x (shown as 3.00%)
💡 Analysis Summary
Price is currently ranging just below the resistance zone.
Two possible scenarios:
Rejection from the zone → short entry.
Breakout above zone → long opportunity.
Use EMA alignment for confirmation:
Bearish if price stays below both EMAs.
Bullish if price breaks above 200 EMA (3085.72).
4.8 Gold Bollinger Bands bearish signal appearsRecently, the spot gold price once fell below the psychological barrier of $3,000, triggering technical concerns in the market about whether the gold bull market has reached its peak. On Monday (April 7) in the North American session, spot gold is currently trying to recover to around $3,030, but the technical indicators have shown obvious divergence.
Fundamental analysis
The market's concerns about US inflation continue to ferment, and the intensification of global trade frictions is driving the market's concerns about economic stagflation. The Fed's policy stance has also undergone subtle changes. The market has begun to price in five possible interest rate cuts this year. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in May has soared from 33.3% last Friday to 49.3%.
At present, traders are turning their attention to the US inflation data to be released this week, which will provide important clues for assessing the US economic situation.
Technical analysts' interpretation:
Bollinger band breakthrough signal indicates a short-term correction
On the daily chart, gold prices have formed a clear upward channel since mid-March, but recently touched the upper track of the Bollinger band and began to fall. It is worth noting that the middle track of the Bollinger Band 3006.13 has become a key support level. After breaking through the historical high of 3167.60, the price has shown a typical upward exhaustion pattern. The MACD indicator shows DIFF: 43.46, DEA: 48.65, MACD: -10.39, and the green kinetic energy column has begun to expand, indicating that the short-term downward momentum is accumulating.
RSI indicator shows overbought correction
The 120-minute chart shows that the RSI indicator has fallen from the overbought area to a neutral level of 40.37. At the same time, the CCI indicator has dropped to -45.05, further confirming the trend of short-term overbought correction.
Key support and resistance level analysis
The current gold price faces multiple technical resistances, among which 3055.00 and 3085.00 constitute the main resistance range for short-term rebound. The lower support levels are mainly concentrated at $3005.00 and $2971.31, and these two levels will determine whether the gold price can remain above the psychological level of $3,000. In particular, the $2971.31 level, as a recent low, may trigger a deeper adjustment if it is lost.
From the long-term daily chart, gold prices formed an accelerated upward channel after breaking through $2950.00. The recent high of $3167.60 is just at the upper track of the channel. This trend of peaking and falling is in line with the classic channel trading theory.
Outlook
Bull Outlook: If the US inflation data exceeds expectations, the market's expectations for a more aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve will be further strengthened, and gold prices are expected to re-challenge the high of $3167.60 after a correction. Technically, gold prices need to return to above $3055.00 to reactivate upward momentum. The widening of the Bollinger Band width indicates that volatility is increasing, which provides potential trading opportunities for bulls.
Bear Outlook: In the short term, the downward divergence of the upper track of the Bollinger Band indicates that gold prices may face further corrections. The MACD histogram turned green and continued to expand, suggesting that downward momentum is accumulating. If the gold price falls below the key support of $2,971.31, it may trigger a deeper adjustment, and the next target will be $2,950.00 or even $2,920.00.