Gold is about to fall, and the secret behind itFrom the hourly chart, the gold price rose rapidly from 2932 to 2946 in the morning, showing the strong power of the bulls. But in the afternoon, the situation suddenly changed, and the price quickly fell back from 2946 to 2932, and the bulls and bears played fiercely. In the European session, gold once again exerted its strength and climbed from 2932 to 2948. Combining the characteristics of the Asian and European sessions, it is not difficult to find that gold has a tendency to go back and forth in a certain range again. Looking back at the rebound from 2880 to 2948, it is very similar to the trend of the early March. That is, after a wave of short-term continuous positive pull-ups, it will enter a box-shaped oscillation state and last for several hours, and then start a short-term continuous positive pull-up again, and then fall into a box-shaped oscillation cycle again. The pressure formed by the upper rail of the channel 2951-53 line. If the gold price is under pressure here, there is a high probability that it will fall back repeatedly, and the target area is 2930-2920. Even reaching the 2910 area.
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Goldprediction
3.13 Technical analysis of gold short-term operationGold market analysis:
, Gold hourly level: In the morning, it rose from 2932 to 2946, and fell back to 2932 from 2946 in the afternoon. It rose from 2932 to 2948 in the European session. From the trend of the Asian and European sessions, it can be seen that it may enter a certain range of back and forth consolidation; combined with the trend of the bottom of 2880 rising to 2948, it can be found that there is a similar pattern in early March. After a short-term continuous rise, it will enter the box oscillation for several hours, and then continue to rise in a short-term continuous rise, and then continue to enter the box oscillation; then combined with the yellow channel in the above figure, pay attention to the pressure of the upper rail 2951-53 tonight. If it is suppressed, it may fall back to 2932-30 repeatedly. The lower rail support is an ideal bullish point. It will move up to 2923-25 tonight, which is also the top and bottom conversion position. If it can be touched, it is necessary to continue to follow the bullish
Resistance point l: 2945 2955 2970
Support level: 2935 2920 2900
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Bearish thesis for GOLD for the weekend XAU had been on a steady Bullish Run , Rightfully so.
if any asset deserves to appreciate in its price while doing the most amount of Good, its GOLD
But we traders , look for technical opportunities
that's where this trade idea comes in.
- Gold is pressuring its recent range with limited bullish strength
- also its its most popular cross - USD gaining substantial momentum the last 2 Quarters can make room for a correction before the trend continues to the upside.
therefore falling back on pure technical calculations leads us back to our excel sheets for daily range projections which put our range to be exactly 1.03% or 3034 /303* pips depending your brokerage metrics.
which leads me to make this 1:4 Trade idea for this week.
cheers.
Gold’s Next Move: A Pullback Before the Breakout?🔵 Current Market Overview: Gold in Consolidation
Gold has been consolidating in a tight range following a strong bullish impulse, as seen in the highlighted zone on the chart. This phase of sideways movement suggests that the market is gathering momentum before the next major move. Consolidation typically occurs when buyers and sellers are in temporary equilibrium, and a breakout or pullback often follows.
Despite this consolidation, gold remains fundamentally strong, largely due to macroeconomic factors and global uncertainties. The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has been increasing, which has contributed to its strong performance. However, before continuing higher, gold might seek liquidity at lower levels, triggering a retracement before the next leg up.
📉 Technical Analysis: Why a Pullback is Likely
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
Support Line – A rising trendline acts as a strong dynamic support level, aligning with potential retracement zones.
Golden Pocket Zone (0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci Retracement) – A historically significant level where price often reverses.
Local Resistance (Consolidation Range) – The price is struggling to break out of this range, indicating that liquidity may still need to be gathered at lower levels.
🔹 Expected Price Action
Gold is currently consolidating, meaning price is moving sideways after a large bullish impulse.
A retracement towards the golden pocket and trendline support is a high-probability scenario before gold resumes its uptrend.
Once the price reaches this zone, we can anticipate a strong bounce if buyers step in, aligning with the overall bullish momentum in the market.
🔹 Confluence Factors Supporting This Setup
Trendline & Fibonacci Alignment – The golden pocket overlaps with a key trendline, adding extra support.
Liquidity Zones – Large players often push price lower before a continuation to shake out weak hands.
Market Structure – A classic bullish retracement before continuation upwards.
⚡ Fundamental Strength of Gold
While technical analysis points to a short-term retracement, the broader macroeconomic landscape supports gold’s long-term strength.
🌍 Key Fundamental Factors Driving Gold’s Strength
Global Economic Uncertainty – Ongoing geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central bank policies are increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Inflation & Interest Rates – Central banks’ policies regarding interest rates significantly affect gold. With concerns about inflation still present, gold continues to attract investors looking for stability.
Stock Market Volatility – As riskier assets experience turbulence, gold remains a favored hedge against economic instability.
Institutional Demand – Central banks and large financial institutions have been increasing their gold reserves, adding to its bullish outlook.
Given these factors, gold’s long-term trajectory remains bullish, but short-term pullbacks are a natural part of market movement.
✅ Trade Strategy & Execution Plan
🔹 Entry Plan
Wait for price to retrace into the golden pocket zone (0.618 - 0.65 Fib retracement) before entering a long position.
Look for bullish confirmation signals such as reversal candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing, etc.), increased buying volume, or RSI divergence.
Consider a staggered entry approach, scaling into the trade as confirmation builds.
🔹 Risk Management
Stop-loss placement: Below the golden pocket and key support levels to allow room for volatility while protecting capital.
Position sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Potential invalidation: If price breaks below the golden pocket zone and fails to recover, reconsider the setup.
🔹 Take-Profit Targets
First target: Recent highs around $2,920 - $2,930
Second target: Potential breakout above $2,950+ if bullish momentum continues.
Final target: Depending on momentum and market conditions, gold could push towards new all-time highs.
Conclusion:
This trade setup presents a compelling opportunity for a high-probability pullback and bounce trade. Gold remains fundamentally strong, but a short-term retracement to a key technical level is likely before resuming its uptrend.
By waiting for price to reach the golden pocket and support zone, traders can position themselves for a high-reward trade with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. As always, proper risk management is essential to navigate market volatility effectively.
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Gold fake breakthrough, 2939--2945 is open shortBecause it is not a unilateral trend at the moment, it does not have the momentum for continuous rise. Without the promotion of events, it is extremely difficult to break the historical high. The market has the 80/20 rule. Before 2910-2920, many analysts asked you to short gold at a high position, but you were slapped in the face by the surge in gold. Now many analysts also suggest that you should go long after a decline. Today, gold will definitely plummet and slap you again. The bookmakers have also figured out the order-making methods of such analysts, and these analysts have been reduced to fish meat. Only a few people can judge clearly that gold will continue to fluctuate at present. This position is a false breakthrough, which is a bait thrown by the dealer to trap a group of people.
In the 4-hour cycle, the gold price is in the shape of a trumpet. Today's high point just touches the pressure line. Without saying too much, the opportunity is given to enter the market quickly to short in the 2939-2945 area.
Now let's witness the market being controlled by us.
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3.13 Gold surges higher againGold technical analysis
It has fluctuated continuously for two weeks in the 2890 to 2930 area. It broke through the Asian session yesterday. Then the second crazy game of the previous high formed a double top prototype structure. The global risk aversion gradually receded. The only rise was the economic recession of the United States. In fact, you think too much about global buying orders. Regardless of the recent territorial expansion speech or various taxes, or even selling cards, the purpose is to make the US dollar strong again, and hope to continue global hegemony. Therefore, it is uncertain that all kinds of speeches in the middle of the night stimulate risk aversion. Gold is constantly falling and giving you a V back every day, which is to constantly cultivate your inertia. Falling is an opportunity, and buying in batches is profit. So today is very simple. If the weakness is below 2956, it is at most 2942 to 2947, which is a direct decline, not giving you a second chance to rush high, or quickly reaching a new high, making you feel that gold is bullish again, the world is chasing more, or low-level shorts are forced to chase more hedges, then the market will change quickly.
The short-term operation ideas are as follows:
Pressure: 2955------2975 Support: 2880-----2830
Traders, if you like this idea or you have your own opinion on it, please write it in the comments. I will be happy
The downward trend is clear at a glanceCPI inflation in February recorded the slowest growth in four months, bringing a slight relief to the stagnation of the anti-inflation process in the past few months. According to data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday, after a sharp increase of 0.5% in January, the CPI in February increased by only 0.2% month-on-month, lower than the expected 0.3%, the lowest since October last year, and the year-on-year growth slowed to 2.8%, the lowest since November last year, lower than the previous value of 3% and the market expectation of 2.9%. After the data was released, gold once stretched to around $2,920, and then fell again to a low point near 2,905-06. After touching 2,905, it returned to support and then rebounded. As of now, the highest point is the rebound to around 2,940. It can be seen that the rise from 2,832 to the present is basically in the abc rising wave shape. At present, the upper 2940 is the 618 suppression point. If it cannot effectively stand at 2940, there must be a consolidation, and it must fall back. Secondly, 2920 was the high point of gold in the early stage. After breaking through, 2920 has become a support position. Therefore, if it cannot break through 2942, there is a high probability that there will be a wave of support 2920. Even lower 2900 area.
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Gold Prices Rise as Inflation Fears Subside◉ Fundamental Rationale
● Gold prices remain steady despite a strong US dollar, supported by a softer-than-expected US CPI report.
● The US CPI report showed a 0.4% rise, lower than the forecasted 0.5%, easing inflation concerns.
● Weaker US inflation data reduces the likelihood of a rate hike, making gold more attractive to investors.
● The strong US dollar, fueled by a surge in US Treasury yields, failed to dent gold's appeal.
● Prices are expected to remain supported as investors seek safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty.
◉ Technical Observations
● Gold prices have broken free from a Symmetrical Triangle pattern and surged upward.
● Currently trading near all-time highs, the rally is expected to continue, propelling prices beyond the previous high.
Gold Price Analysis March 12⭐️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices are fluctuating in a narrow range due to cautious sentiment before the US inflation data is released. The USD has recovered thanks to investors selling positions after the recent decline.
If inflation is weaker than expected, the Fed may cut interest rates, weakening the USD and pushing gold prices up. Conversely, if inflation is higher than expected, the Fed may keep interest rates high, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
In addition, US-Canada trade tensions and US-Russia peace talks on Ukraine also affect the market, so the impact of inflation data on gold prices may not last long.
⭐️ Technical analysis
Gold is sideways in the Asian session with a small range from 2912-2920. Waiting for signs of breaking out of this range. When the price breaks 2912 to 2908, the US session's Buyer zone is very noticeable. By the end of the US session, the price was still trading above 2908, proving that the price wanted to increase and break 2920 to reach 2929 and 2943. Note that the support zone of 2880 will still be the boundary that gold will find difficult to break today.
Gold (XAU/USD) Key Resistance Test – Breakout or Reversal?hello traders
what are your thoughts on xauusd.
in my analysis the gold is at resistance level here we can assume possible reversal.
The chart highlights a strong resistance area around 2,928-2,930, where price previously reversed.
if the market does not revers than we assume new high targets indecating in the chart
3.13CPI is bullish, gold cautiously rises and falls in short terThe CPI data released in the evening was lower than expected, which is bullish for gold in the short term and continues to fluctuate during the day.
In the short-term 1-hour chart, according to 4, the price has risen above the directionless 20-period SMA and 100-period SMA, while the 200-period SMA is rising below the above short-term moving averages. At the same time, technical indicators have lost directional strength and turned slightly lower within the neutral level, predicting that gold prices may fall soon.
Short-term trading: short near 2935, stop loss 2945, take profit 2920/2915
The Mystery Behind the Crazy Rise of GoldGold surges upwards as soon as it is stimulated by the news, but this momentum is not expected to last long. On the contrary, it is a good opportunity to short at high levels. From a macroeconomic perspective, the current global inflation expectations and monetary policy trends are profoundly affecting gold demand. In terms of technical indicators, MACD shows that although bullish energy is being released, KDJ has entered the overbought zone. It is expected that in the short term, after gold touches the resistance range of 2938-2945, it will continue to increase short positions, with the target of 2920-2910, accurately grasp the band opportunities, and achieve profit goals with the help of the possible callback market.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
A good opportunity to short gold, do you want to miss it?Because Trump mentioned the issue of tariffs, gold prices soared and broke through the recent range of fluctuations, reaching around 2938.
Gold prices soared due to the impact of the news, so the continuity is probably not strong. Gold is likely to return to the technical level of 2920-2910 in a short period of time; in addition, the accelerated rise of gold already means a short squeeze, and the top is facing strong pressure from the previous high area, and gold is likely to rise and then fall back.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I don’t think it is a wise choice to continue to chase the rise of gold. On the contrary, I think that the rise of gold is a good opportunity to short, and the 2935-2945 zone is also worth selling gold.
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Gold may Retest its All Time High once again.Hello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today once again. Yesterday we updated our 1H CHART IDEA and today we update our 4H CHART IDEA.
Great start with our Bullish target hit at 2889 earlier this week followed with no cross and lock confirming the rejection and support for the bounce into 2918 completing our Bullish target. We now have a lock above 2918 opening 2947. We will look for a test and lock for a further continuation or failure to lock above will see a rejection to find support at the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2918 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2918 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2947
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2978
BEARISH TARGETS
2889 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2889 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2857
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2813 - 2772
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is facing resistance to rise, and a fall is imminentGold CPI is bullish, but gold still has not broken through. This shows that the resistance of gold at high levels is still not to be underestimated. So gold will continue to fluctuate within the range, and high levels will continue to be short. Gold is currently priced at 2925-2935 and is directly shorted! The target area is 2915-2905.
Gold fluctuates in 1 hour, and there is not much to say. Gold is directly shorted. Gold still cannot break through upwards under so many bullish supports. The result is that gold bulls will lack confidence, giving gold bears an opportunity to take advantage.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
Successfully arrived at the target areaAfter the release of CIP data, bullish factors stimulated gold to fluctuate in a small range, which once made people feel that the market trend was full of variables, but we always adhered to the established plan and were not disturbed by short-term fluctuations. As expected, the price quickly turned downward and accurately reached the target area near 2907. This operation successfully gained 170pips, which used strength to interpret the accurate grasp of market trends. In the future, I will continue to pay attention to the market situation and seize every opportunity to share with you.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
The plan is to move forward steadily without deviationGold fluctuated at a high level during the day, and fell back after hitting the 2925 line in the European session, which was consistent with our expectations. There will be CPI data tonight, and there will be large short-term fluctuations. Pay attention to the impact of the data. In the 4H cycle, the white market has continuous high cross stars, and the Bollinger Bands are still closing in parallel. It will continue to fluctuate at night, but because the daily cycle is still bearish, the operation will fall back to the key position and then go short. Yesterday's low point was 2906, and the upper pressure was 2925-2930. Pay attention to the gains and losses of key positions after the data. We will pay close attention to market trends and grasp the subsequent market trends in a timely manner.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies so that you no longer blindly follow the trend.
The ruthless sickle finally fell, and the price of gold plummeteFrom the perspective of technical analysis, the technical graph of the gold price trend chart is like a clear marching road map. At this moment, if you are eager to gain profits in the gold market, shorting gold may be the strategy you dream of. Choose to enter the market decisively when the price rebounds to the key resistance level of 2915-2925, and exit the market decisively when the target is 2910-2900. Only in this investment battle can you win the game and reap rich returns. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to short gold?
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Breaks Out – Is a Major Rally Ahead or Just a False Alarm?🌟 Gold Surges 1% as USD Weakens Amid Growing Recession Fears
💰 Market Overview
Gold continues to be a safe-haven asset, benefiting from heightened market uncertainty. However, any positive developments in the ongoing negotiations between Russia and Ukraine could lower risk premiums, potentially affecting gold’s upward momentum.
🌍 The trade policies imposed by former US President Donald Trump on key global trading partners previously caused major volatility in the global markets, fueling concerns about economic growth.
📊 Key Economic Data on the Horizon
The focus now shifts to the upcoming US inflation reports:
📅 CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) are due for release on March 12 and 13.
📌 According to a Reuters poll, the CPI for February is expected to rise by 0.3%. These crucial data releases could have a significant impact on gold’s movement, making it vital for investors to remain vigilant.
📈 Technical Analysis & Trade Setup
✅ Gold has broken out of a parallel downward channel around the $2898 - $2900 range, showing a strong breakout and forming a continuation pattern (CP), surging 15-20 points afterward.
📌 The break of the bearish structure yesterday followed by the sharp rally suggests that gold still has strong buying momentum, underpinned by fundamentals favourable for both USD and gold.
📊 Key Support and Resistance Levels
📍 Major Resistance Levels: $2927 - $2944 - $2954
📍 Major Support Levels: $2899 - $2884 - $2873
📌 Trading Zones
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2884 - $2882
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2878
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2888 - $2892 - $2896 - $2900 - $2906 - $2910
🔴 SELL ZONE: $2943 - $2945
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): $2949
🎯 Take Profit (TP): $2940 - $2936 - $2932 - $2928 - $2922
📢 Final Thoughts
🕵️♂️ Tonight, the crucial CPI report will be released, and it could have a significant effect on gold’s direction this week. At the moment, gold’s movement seems erratic on lower timeframes, swinging between highs and lows as the market transitions from Winter-Spring to Summer-Fall.
📌 Traders should remain cautious, waiting for a clearer trend to emerge before making more aggressive moves. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your capital.
Best of luck and trade safely! 🚀