Gold Price Analysis May 5The D candle cluster appears with the sellers still dominating. 3270 is still playing a key role in reversing the trend.
The h1 structure is creating a false break in the 70 zone and wants to continue falling in the corrective downtrend. Pay attention to the 3263 break zone in the European session, when breaking this zone, Gold will form an uptrend and the possibility of breaking the 3270 zone is very high. 3285 will be the next reaction zone when breaking 3270, then the Down wave of Gold will be broken. Gold can reach 3303 when there are retests to the support zones.
In the opposite direction, Gold does not break 3262 and continues to fall, it will be favorable for the downtrend and the possibility of forming a double top pattern and falling sharply is also quite high. The Trendline zone 3243 is considered an important support zone in the near future for the Gold price decline. Next, pay attention to the reaction zone of the daily support around 3225.
Goldprediction
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2956.50 on 04/07/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3357.00, 3500.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3057.40
3160.00
3257.03
3357.00
3500.00
__________________________________________________________________
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
(XAU/USD) Bullish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,506.52 with Entry aEntry Point: $3,221.19
Stop Loss: $3,169.80
Resistance Zone: Around $3,277.98 to $3,280.64
Target (TP) Point: $3,506.52 (Approx. 9.05% upside)
📊 Technical Indicators and Markings:
Moving Averages:
Likely a 50-period (blue) and 200-period (red) moving average.
Price is currently below both MAs, signaling a short-term downtrend.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Strong support around $3,207.67–$3,221.19 (entry area).
Resistance at $3,244.25–$3,280.64.
Stop-loss is strategically placed below support to limit downside risk.
Target Area:
Projected upside target is $3,506.52, with a potential 9.05% gain from the entry.
This is marked as the EA (Expert Advisor) Target Point, possibly suggesting this is a strategy from an automated trading system.
Orange Circles:
Likely indicate swing highs and lows, used to identify trend patterns and potential reversal points.
📈 Trading Idea Summary:
Bullish Setup: Buying at support, aiming for breakout above resistance to reach target.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, assuming price holds above $3,207.
Watch for Confirmation: Price needs to break above resistance around $3,280 for momentum continuation.
It’s the right time to short📌Fundamentals:
This week, the Federal Reserve will hold a rate decision, which is expected to dominate the market this week. In addition, we need to continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation.
📊Technical aspects:
The 1-hour moving average begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage of 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and gold will go short at 3325 first. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward without stepping back, there will be no opportunity to go long. Then there is no need to chase more gold. Go short first and look at the decline and adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to go short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3328-3330, and the support on the lower side is 3280-3293.
🎯Practical strategy:
Short gold when it rebounds to around 3325-3328, target around 3300-3280.
Buy gold when it falls back to 3280-3295, target around 3325-30.
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levels📌Fundamentals:
The market is still focused on Trump's tariffs, followed by geopolitical situations, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the Israeli-Palestinian ceasefire, and the Russia-Ukraine negotiations.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper pressure is around 3336-3345, and the lower support is around 3280-3293. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
🎯Practical strategy:
1. Short gold rebounds at 3336-45, with a target of 3280-3295.
2. Go long gold at 3280-3295, with a target of 3325-30.
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Gold pullback continues to see bulls
In my first article today, I reminded everyone to be careful that gold will stand above the 3300 mark again.
And I also told you to rely on 3255-50 to do more, looking at the upper 3280 and 3300 positions.
Sure enough, after the opening of the European session, gold has made rapid progress, and the highest has reached above 3300 so far.
I also notified the real-time students to enter the market and do more near 3255 during the Asian session, and directly gave the target position of 3300.
At present, the target position of 3300 has been perfectly reached, and I also made a profit of more than 55 US dollars.
From the current 4-hour chart:
It can be found that gold is now completely above the trend line.
The only suppression position above is currently around 3350.
The support below is currently located at 3275-85.
If gold does not retreat, then the upper side will directly test the suppression near 3350.
On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat next, then just focus on 3275-85.
As long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-85 range, you can directly enter the market and go long.
Continue to look at 3350 from above. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 in the future, you will see the 3380-3420 range.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our Bullish target at 3260 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3308. This was hit perfectly also completing this target.
We are now seeing ema5 lock above 3308 opening 3340. Any rejections on this zone will see price testing the lower Goldturns for suport and bonce inline with our plans to buy dips within the overall structure.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold bulls are back in force. What is the operation strategy?The gold price has reached the sideways fluctuation range expected by Quid. This matches my morning prediction.
From the 4-hour trend:
Gold has now broken through the first upward resistance level predicted by Quid, and is currently fluctuating slightly in the 3315-3320 range.
The current upward resistance position is around 3330. The lower support is currently located at 3275-85. If gold does not retreat, then the upward trend may test the position around 3350.
On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat, traders need to pay attention to the 3275-3285 decline range.
Quid believes that as long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-3285 range, then a long operation strategy can be carried out at this position.
The current upper high is still at 3350. If the upward resistance level of 3350 is broken later, I expect the price of gold to reach a height of 3380-3420.
Let's wait for gold to break new highs
Today, the price of gold bottomed out and rebounded, breaking through the expected dividing point of 3260.
At this time, many traders need to learn to adjust their thinking.
If it is a retracement, on the one hand, the price will not break through and open a decline, and on the other hand, after the force is too strong, it must be a position adjustment and a reverse long.
Even if you don’t go long, you can’t go short easily. In many cases, the rules of trading must be followed.
The second rise from the low point to the high point just corrected the 382 support 3252 and continued to rise and break the high. It depends on whether you have the courage to enter the market.
The intraday increase of 80 US dollars +, today there is only one idea, continue to go long;
The support level refers to 3210 and 3215, you can go long in batches, with 3290 as defense, and continue to watch the gold price break high!
After the strength, there will be a second high point!
Thank you dear traders for reading, if you like it, please tell me
How to plan when gold’s rise encounters resistance🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
Compared with today's market, the morning rise happened to be a sideways price, breaking through the previous high point. In a volatile rise, it doesn't matter. It is very likely that in the later trend, the price will return to the starting point or even lower, but it can continue to rise. This is a feature of the shock. At the same time, the current market is not extremely strong, and it is still in a volatile rise. Therefore, do not chase long, but retrace as much support as possible.
🎁SELL 3315-3325
🎁TP 3280-3270
🎁BUY 3270-3280
🎁TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold prices rose rapidly after falling. What happened?Gold prices rose in late Asian trading hours.
In the morning, gold prices stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to continued uncertainty in the US trade agreement with China and Japan, and increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The weak dollar before the Fed meeting and the decline in expectations for rate cuts also supported gold demand. The market focus remains on US trade news and the hawkish stance that the Fed may take this week.
Quaid's analysis of market views:
1. Despite the short-term adjustment in the market, the bullish logic of gold still exists, and bullish investors are more willing to buy when the price is low. The continued volatility of US government policies and the slowdown in US economic growth constitute strong support for gold.
2. During the previous Asian holiday, the gold market fell to the key support of $3,200. After the opening, Yanzhou buyers quickly bought at a low price, causing gold to rise rapidly in the short term.
Quaid believes that from a technical point of view, the gold price has reached the bottom resistance level of the range. If the price of gold does not react to the false breakout and continues to hit 3315-3320, then a breakout and consolidation above this level will strengthen it to 3320-3350.
Upward resistance: 3315, 3320, 3350
Downward support: 3265, 3250, 3220
Since the opening, the price of gold has retested 3269 twice. Buyers are testing the resistance level in the hope of a breakout. If the bulls break through 3315-3320 and consolidate above 3310, the possibility of an upside move will be high. However, the possibility of another test of the liquidity area of 3250 before the upside move cannot be ruled out.
If the price of gold breaks through the upward resistance, traders can try to go long in the short term and conduct scalping.
On the contrary, if the price of gold fluctuates sideways in the 3310-3315 range, Quaid recommends shorting in this range.
How to arrange when gold fluctuates upward🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
In the morning, we seized the opportunity to short and earn a wave of profits. Then gold fell back to 3255 and rebounded again, moving upward in a fluctuating manner. From the hourly chart, Friday's low was around 3220 and today's high was around 3270. In this trend, 3255 may be the short-term low for short-term trading. From the daily chart, gold has closed the cross star. The current gold price is more critical. If it breaks through 3285, it may continue to rise to the 3295-3300 line. If the gold price fails to effectively break through 3285, it may usher in a wave of retracement. It will be a good time for us to go long.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD / XAUUSD: Breaking the down channel (correction wave)Therefore, if the 21-day SMA holds in the event of a weak US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, a rebound toward the immediate static support-turned-resistance at 3260 could occur.
A sustained move above that level would encourage Gold buyers to push further toward the former channel support, now acting as resistance, at 3405.
Gold Bear Flag in Play – More Downside Ahead?Last week was a strong one for Gold bears, with price dropping sharply and reaching a low near the 3200 mark.
A normal recovery followed, but the bounce is now facing pressure below the 3270 level – a former support that has now turned into resistance.
Current price action is forming a bear flag, a classic continuation pattern. If we get a break back below 3250, this could trigger a new leg down, targeting the 3170 support zone.
My outlook remains bearish, and I’m continuing to sell rallies into resistance, expecting this bear flag to resolve to the downside.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis
Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen.
🕯Technical Analysis
After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500
BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
XAUUSD on swing Drop Market in opened with the strong bulls side and we have rising wedge pattern on M30 .
What possible scenario we have?
Bearish scenario:
-if h4 remains below 3260-3270 stay bearish side and target will have 3170.
Bullish scenario:
-if market again surpass 3280 then buying up to 3330 .
Key area: 3280(above bullish)
3260-3270( Below bearish)
Gold fluctuates widely; short-term trading analysis.In the morning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading around $3,270/ounce, an increase of about 0.9%.
As Mr. Trump's latest statement hit the market's risk appetite, the price of gold rose rapidly in the short term. The current London gold price has reached $3,270/ounce, climbing nearly $30.
In addition, the market focus has turned to the Federal Reserve's May FOMC meeting on May 7. Although the market has priced in a standstill, Powell's latest remarks and press questions after his radical statement in April will attract high attention.
Asian market morning analysis:
Gold prices rebounded again in the morning of the Asian market. Quaid believes that if gold does not break through strongly, it will still fluctuate within the range, and the current bullish situation has not reversed. If gold continues to maintain its strength, it can resume the bullish trend. But it has not broken through for the time being, so the possibility of shorting is still very large.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to be in a downward short position, and there is still room for gold shorting; gold was under pressure at 3270 in the early stage and fell back, and the early rebound was under pressure at 3270 and continued to fall. Gold is still fluctuating within the range in 1 hour, and Quide believes that the short-selling trading strategy is still the main one.
Operation strategy:
Short-term operation: short at 3265, stop loss at 3280, and profit at 3250-3240.
I hope Quide's analysis can help all traders make profits in the gold market in time and harvest the first gold of the day.
what is fair value gap ? what is fair value gap ?
-This Analysis is based on educational purposes using the concepts of Smart Money and Liquidity Sweep area
- We create two fair Value gaps in which market will act on that
first one is between 3247 to 3260 area expecting move down from that point and touched 3192 to 3165 which is a strong liquidity zone
XAUUSD is ready to FALL monthly target 3000!Through my weekly Episode multi time frame analysis , you will get deep insights .
Market in on rising channel since last year and did not respect the 2900 milestone after breaking it.
is it the time to retracement?
our eyes will be at 2980 milestone on this next 2weekly candles.
bearish scenario:
if any h4,D1 close below 3160 stay bearish side and our setup.
bullish scenario
if market again surpass 3280 then buying up to 3330 then 3360 where we have again selling sequence to 3000 milestone.
I'm expecting the bullish scenario I have mention will not activated.