Gold Key Points Summary How to grasp the end of the monthly line📌Fundamentals:
Trade policy easing and dollar rebound
Economic data and Fed policy game
Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East situation
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of the 3328-35 line, focusing on the 3345-56 first-line suppression. During the day, the counterattack relies on this position to continue to bearish and continue to fall. The lower support is around 3290-85, and the short-term long-short strong and weak watershed is the 3260-65 first-line mark. Before the daily level does not fall below this position, we will continue to see long and short shocks, and the high-altitude low-multi cycle will mainly participate.
🎯Practical strategy:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3328-35, and cover short positions when it rebounds at 3343-52. Target 3310-3315, and look at 3275-80 if it breaks;
Goldprediction
How should gold be positioned after the ADP data is released?Although the current ADP data is positive, and the US GDP in the first quarter is sluggish, the risk of US recession has increased, but gold has not risen sharply, and the 1H moving average is still radiating downward. At present, it can only be regarded as a short-term correction to the oversold area. If the upper 3300-3310 does not break, you can go short. Brothers who have made profits now can exit the transaction in time. We are patiently waiting for entry opportunities.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is forming a head and shoulders pattern!Analysis and interpretation:
Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend since the beginning of 2025. The daily chart shows that gold prices have climbed from around $2,600 to around the $3,500 mark. Recently, gold prices have formed a consolidation trend in the range of $3,260 to $3,380, indicating that the bulls and bears are fighting fiercely here. It can be seen from the K-line chart that gold prices fell back after hitting a record high of $3,499.83 in April, but then gained support and rebounded at $3,260.
The Bollinger Band indicator shows that the upper track is at $3,465.75, the middle track is at $3,191.92, and the lower track is $2,918.08. The current price is running between the upper and middle tracks, indicating that the medium-term upward trend is still maintained. Although the gold price may fluctuate in the range of $3,260 to $3,380 in the short term, the overall upward trend has not changed.
The MACD indicator shows that DIFF is 81.35, DEA is 84.74, and the MACD value is -6.80. The histogram shows a shrinking state, indicating that the upward momentum has weakened, but no obvious short signal has been formed. The RSI indicator is around 58.81, which is in the neutral to strong area, and has not reached the overbought or oversold level, and there is still room for growth.
Risk aversion eases, gold continues to fluctuateSpot gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated and fell, approaching the $3,300 mark, continuing the weak trend of the previous trading day.
From the daily chart, gold prices have fallen from their historical highs and are currently approaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (US$3,300-3,290). The key support level below is concentrated in the $3,265-3,260 range, which is also the previous consolidation range. If it falls below, it will open up the space for a 50% retracement level (US$3,225) or even $3,200.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator shows signs of a dead cross, and the green kinetic energy column expands moderately, indicating that short-term bears still have the initiative; the RSI indicator is still oscillating near the 50 axis, and has not yet shown extreme oversold, indicating that the downside space may be limited. Once the price rebounds, the initial resistance above is seen at $3,348-3,353.
After the breakthrough, it is expected to re-challenge the $3,400 mark, and even attack $3,425-3,427.
If the US PCE inflation and non-farm data weaken this week, it will further support the re-entry of gold bulls.
Gold------short near 3320, target 3310-3280Gold market analysis:
Gold has started to fluctuate and hover in the short term. There are opportunities for buying and selling in short-term operations. Yesterday, we also arranged 3 buy orders at low levels. Today, we have to consider changing our thinking and sell it at a suppressed position. The reason is that the weekly line is a big tombstone, which means that the weekly line still has room to fall. This week is basically halfway through. The first half of the week is volatile, and the second half of the week will begin to follow the weekly line to decline. The direction of the daily line is currently vague, but the trend of the weekly line is relatively clear. It has risen and fallen sharply. The data did not support the technical decline of gold. Later, we need to pay attention to the impact of holidays on it. Today, friends who are short-term gold can still intercept in the range. If you want to make a big profit, sell at a high position and hold it. I estimate that it will waterfall. The horizontal time is too long, and the time to fall later will be longer.
Look for opportunities to go short near 3320 in the Asian session. The suppression position is 3329. The current support is near 3300. From the perspective of form, this position still has support in the Asian session, but it is not sure whether it can continue to support gold in the European session. The current idea is to predict that if it breaks 3329, it is necessary to adjust the thinking to be bullish. In addition, the daily moving average is also beginning to turn up and suppress, and selling is beginning to move.
Support 3300, pressure 3320 and 3329, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3300.
Fundamental analysis:
Today, we will start to pay attention to the situation of ADP data, and there is also PCE data. Gold in the European and American sessions will definitely move greatly.
Operation suggestions:
Gold------short near 3320, target 3310-3280
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Bullish Double Bottom BreakoutHello guys!
Yesterday we got our profit from gold!
It is a new one:
Gold has formed a clear double bottom on the 1H timeframe, accompanied by a bullish divergence—a classic signal of potential reversal. Following the breakout above neckline resistance, the price is currently in a retest phase, revisiting the breakout zone (now turned support).
🔹 Pattern: Double Bottom
🔹 Signal: Bullish Divergence
🔹 Breakout: Confirmed
🔹 Support Zone: ~$3,300–$3,305
🔹 Target: ~$3,375–$3,385
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as the price holds above the support area. A failure to hold may invalidate the setup and lead to further consolidation or decline.
📌 Watch for bullish price action near the retest zone for potential entries.
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Buy Setup with High Reward-to-Risk Ratio1. Entry Point Zone: Around 3,271.79 USD
This is identified as a potential buy entry area, marked in purple.
2. Stop Loss: Below the entry point at 3,257.71 USD
Risk management level in case the trade moves against the setup.
3. Target Point One: Between 3,313.75 and 3,317.07 USD
A short-term take-profit level, likely based on previous resistance.
4. Final Target (EA Target Point): Around 3,373.04 USD
A more ambitious take-profit, possibly based on a major resistance level or Fibonacci extension.
5. Trade Range:
Risk: 3,271.79 - 3,257.71 = 14.08 USD
Reward to First Target: ~42 USD
Is gold's safe-haven appeal waning or is it gathering momentum?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 30), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,318 per ounce. London gold prices fell 0.8% on Tuesday, and Trump said that China will absorb the new tariff shock. The weak labor market and consumer confidence data in the United States have raised market expectations for policy easing. This has put pressure on the price of safe-haven asset gold, while the US dollar has taken the opportunity to rebound.With the PCE inflation data and non-farm payrolls report about to be released, the market has entered a critical game period. On the one hand, the easing of tariffs has weakened the safe-haven appeal of gold; on the other hand, signs of economic slowdown have strengthened the Fed's expectations of a rate cut. In the short term, the rebound in risk appetite has suppressed gold prices; but if this week's data confirms the risk of a recession, the Fed may be forced to turn, and then international gold may usher in a new round of outbreaks! The current market sentiment shows a clear contradictory state. On the one hand, concerns about global trade tensions drive safe-haven demand, and on the other hand, expectations that the United States may ease its trade policy trigger profit-taking. This trading day will usher in the US first quarter GDP data and March PCE data, which are likely to be the winners and losers of the next trend of gold.
Technical Review:
Gold hit 3500 and began to fall. The current low is temporarily at 3260. The daily cycle has failed to break down after three trading days of testing. The pattern is a Yin-Yang line conversion, and it is a very obvious wide-range oscillation market. This trend should not be chased. The market has no continuity and is just going back and forth. The gold daily line has been alternating between Yin and Yang for 5 consecutive trading days, maintaining a wide range of oscillations. The short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart moving averages are glued together, the RSI stops and maintains the middle axis, and the Bollinger Bands gradually close, forming a box range oscillation of 3265/3385. The trading idea is to sell at a high price and buy at a low price to participate in the short-term.
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to fluctuate. The data in the second half of the week is dense. Gold is likely to wait for data to break through. It maintains a fluctuating trend before the data. Gold continues to rise and fall in the early trading. The rebound is still under pressure. Today's small non-agricultural data is also a key node for gold trading. So if gold chooses a direction, don't be obsessed. Gold continues to fluctuate in 1 hour, and the fluctuation range begins to narrow, which means that it is getting closer to a change. Gold is still fluctuating downward. Gold once again hit 3328 in the Asian session and fell under pressure. Tonight's small non-agricultural data, if gold breaks through the fluctuation today, then follow up at that time.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3298-3302, stop loss at 3290, target at 3330-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3352-3355, stop loss at 3364, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3300, second support level: 3275, third support level: 3260
First resistance level: 3340, second resistance level: 3355, third resistance level: 3373
XAU/USD(20250430) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank expects prices to rise 2.9% over the next 12 months, up from 2.6% in February, according to a monthly survey released on Tuesday. This is the highest level since April 2024. The three-year indicator rose slightly to 2.5%. The ECB's first five-year forecast was 2.1%.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3321
Support and resistance levels
3370
3352
3340
3303
3291
3273
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3321, consider buying, the first target price is 3340
If the price breaks through 3303, consider selling, the first target price is 3291
Gold falls as expected, awaiting guidance from ADPGold continued to fluctuate in 1 hour. Now, the gold fluctuation is most likely a relay of decline. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. The gold 1-hour moving average gradually begins to stick together, but it is still diverging downward. If it continues to cross downward to form a dead cross, then there is still room for gold shorts to fall. Gold hit a high twice and was suppressed by the 3330 line. Today, gold continued to be short at highs under the pressure of 3330.
Gold bulls continue to rebound every time. Now gold bulls obviously have no confidence in further rise, so gold shorts take the opportunity to exert their strength. Gold is still the home of shorts, and gold rebounds and continues to be short.
US trading operation ideas:
Gold 3320 short, stop loss 3330, target 3300-3290;
The gold market fluctuated sideways. Waiting for a new trend?OANDA:XAUUSD During the Asian trading session, gold prices maintained a slight decline; in the early European trading, gold began to fall sharply, but it was still within the trend range expected by Quaid.
Today, the initial value of the US real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 will be released, and it is expected to grow by 0.3% at an annualized quarterly rate, after a strong growth of 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024.
If the world's largest economy unexpectedly shrinks, it will re-ignite bets on a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. And this data will boost the upward trend of gold.
On the other hand, if the cooling of US economic growth is less than expected, it may bring a short-term relief to the overall market and the US dollar, which will continue to put gold under corrective downward pressure.
However, traders will remain cautious before the release of US ADP employment data this week; this data will limit the reaction of gold prices to GDP data. US non-farm payrolls will help the market assess whether US tariffs have had a substantial impact on the labor market.
Current trend analysis:
The daily line closed negative, and it is still bearish today. At the same time, yesterday's decline encountered 3300 support. In this pattern, regardless of today's strength, short once and see how the European session trends. If the European session falls, short the US session; if the European session rises strongly, the US session may remain volatile. If the European session breaks the downward channel, the US session may continue to fall.
Hi guys, if you want a solid trade, please wait for the US GDP data this morning. Quaid conducts gold trading after professional analysis.
Gold fluctuates and is bearish, waiting for NF
📌 Policy factors
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued to fall, falling to $3,310 in the current European session on Wednesday, as signs of improved global risk sentiment and easing trade tensions curbed demand for safe-haven assets. Market participants remained cautious ahead of the release of major US economic data, including ADP employment changes, core PCE price index and first quarter GDP preliminary values, all of which are scheduled to be released later today.
It is reported that President Trump suddenly signed an executive order to provide automakers with up to 15% tariff rebates to ease the impact of his auto tariff policy. Even more unexpectedly, US Commerce Secretary Lutnick revealed that a trade agreement had been reached secretly with a certain country. These major changes immediately triggered a strong market reaction.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price maintains the accumulation range of 3265-3360, temporarily stable and waiting for large fluctuations
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell gold area: 3368-3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3330
🔥Buy gold area: $3264-$3262 SL $3257
TP1: $3280
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3318
🔥Buy gold area: $3285-$3283 SL $3280 scalping
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3295
TP3: $3300
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold maintains a volatile range, pay attention to subsequent breOn Tuesday, the gold price generally showed a downward trend. The highest price rose to 3348.45 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3299.49, closing at 3316.95. On Tuesday, gold was under pressure during the early trading session, and then the price continued to fluctuate during the European and US trading sessions. Overall, the price is still running within the fluctuation range, but once the daily support is broken, it is expected to break the lower edge of the range.
From the multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price rose for three months before and then a single-month correction occurred. Recently, it has risen for four months and then a single-month correction occurred. Therefore, according to the rhythm, April is generally bullish, but for May, we must pay attention to market risks. From the weekly level, the gold price is supported by the support level of the 3040 area. So from the perspective of the mid-line, we can continue to maintain a bullish view. From the daily level, the current price is supported by the 3004 area support. This position is the key watershed of the band trend. The market will further break down in the future, so it will be focused on in the future. At the same time, for the short-term four-hour price, it has been fluctuating up and down at the four-hour key position recently. Pay attention to the resistance of 3387 and 3370 on the top, and the 3260 area on the bottom. Before the data, the market as a whole tends to fluctuate temporarily. After breaking through the daily support, pay attention to the performance of breaking down the lower edge of the range.
(XAU/USD) 1H Chart: Long Setup Targeting 3,500 with Key Support Entry Point: Suggested near 3,301.51 USD (marked with the purple support zone).
Stop Loss Zone: Below 3,266.87 to 3,221.67 USD (marked in blue and purple). This is where you limit your loss if the trade goes wrong.
First Target (Target Point One): 3,376.65 USD.
Final Target (EA Target Point): 3,523.55 USD (~8.26% potential gain from entry).
Main Setup Idea:
The price is consolidating around the support zone.
There's a plan to buy (go long) at the purple zone (Entry Point) and aim for the two target points
Interpretation of technical ideas for short-term gold trading onGold opened this week in a volatile market. It opened high and fell on Monday. The US market rose above the high opening position. It fell in the Asian market on Tuesday. The European and American markets fluctuated and adjusted. The main reason is that the data this week is concentrated in the second half of the week. From the past market, this week's rebound did not touch 3370, so it cannot be treated as strong. It did not fall below the bottom support of 3260. The overall trend is convergent and volatile. Now the technical indicators are in a sticky posture, and the three lines of the Bollinger Bands are also closed. The Asian market mainly focuses on the continuation of volatility. The upper side focuses on the resistance of the hourly Bollinger Band upper rail 3330, and the lower support is at 3300.
Pay attention to the operation of the range at noon. If the gold price touches 3300 below, participate in long orders with a light position. With a small loss, look at the target of the upper rail pressure of the Bollinger Band at 3330; if there is a rebound before the European market that touches the upper rail of the Bollinger Band at 3330, you can try to arrange a short position to be bearish, and the target is whether 3300 can be broken. The small non-farm data will be released before the U.S. market opens, followed by the PCE data. At that time, I will re-position my position based on the data release and wait for the data release to help gold prices move out of the range of volatility.
Shorting opportunities are coming near 3330 in the US market!
📌 Driving events
Because the easing of US-China trade tensions has weakened gold's safe-haven appeal, while investors are waiting for US economic data to assess the Fed's policy direction. Gold has been in a range recently as the market now waits for details of the first trade agreement, which is expected to be announced this week or next week.
📊Comment analysis
Gold reached a turning point last week, with Trump making some very positive comments, while stagflation risks continued to be excluded, and gold continued to fall. Stagflation pricing has driven gold prices higher, and as the market begins to exclude this risk, it is normal for a correction to occur, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate around 3330 points, profit target around 3300 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts with our analysis playing out perfectly.
After completing our bearish target yesterday, we stated that we would now look for a test at 3344 to complete our Bullish target and then a cross and lock will open the level above or failure to lock above will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns.
- This played out perfectly. We got the 3344 target hit, as analysed, followed with no cross and lock above 3344 confirming the rejection into the lower Goldturns just like we stated.
3306 Goldturn provided the support and bounce and if this levels holds, we will see a retest above or a further cross and lock below will open the lower Goldturns.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3344 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3367
POTENTIALLY 3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
POTENTIALLY
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3285 - DONE
3259
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3159 - 3112
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold's shock trend and interpretation of US market thinkingGold continues to fluctuate, we continue to look down in the European session, try long orders near 82;
2025-4-29 Tuesday Gold Asia-Europe long and short strategies
The market is always changing, the only constant is the existence of risks.
Keeping the principal is always the first principle.
◆Short order◆
Aggressive: short near 3356, stop loss 7 points, short at 62-68 after breaking,
Stop loss: stop loss 7 points each, or unified stop loss 77. Target: 3286-69-54-42, continue to reduce holdings after breaking
◆Long order◆
Aggressive: long at 82, stop loss 7 points, long at 75-70 after breaking,
Stop loss: stop loss 7 points each, or unified stop loss 62. Target: 98-06-12, continue to reduce holdings after breaking;
Steady: 66 long, stop loss 7 points, 58-52 long after breaking,
Stop loss: 7 points for each stop loss, or a unified stop loss of 42. Target: 98-06-12, continue to reduce holdings if the position breaks;
【Today's long orders must be promptly protected after profit, and the next position will be entered after the principal is protected】
Stop loss is determined according to your actual tolerance. Protect in time after profit, and enter the next position after protection】
★ Pattern analysis and attention:
Daily strategy ideas: Asia and Europe, our current price 06 long orders are also given to around 22 as expected. We are still bearish if the resistance is not broken, and try 82 long orders
【Reference: Russia-Ukraine peace talks, US-Japan tariff negotiations】
【Data: wholesale inventory rate, consumer confidence index, job vacancies】
☆ There is a delay in posting, and the final operation is based on real-time strategy and current price orders. Please continue to pay attention;
☆ Strategy orders are divided into warehouses, and the total position shall not exceed 20%;
Gold is still volatile, buy at 3298-3305 in the US market
📊Comment analysis
Gold prices need economic news to break through the sideways price range of around 3300. Today, continue to wait and see around 3310, waiting for the right time to enter the market in time.
💰Strategy package
Long positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3298-3305 points, with a profit target around 3320 points
Short positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3320-3330 points, with a profit target around 3303 points
💢Precise sniping, follow the trading strategy = easy money
Gold moves sideways ahead of US GDP news. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD Optimism about US trade talks with major partners boosted risk appetite and supported the dollar. The US Treasury released a report that talks with India made good progress, while President Trump softened his rhetoric on China, which also boosted the dollar. Meanwhile, traders are on the sidelines ahead of the release of US first quarter GDP data. If the data is weak, gold as a safe haven asset may rise sharply. Therefore, the gold market remains sensitive to trade news and macro data, especially in the context of market rebalancing at the end of April.
Currently, as part of the current momentum and correction, Quaid expects gold prices to rise from the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci area. Gold prices may test 3325-3330 in the consolidation range and then resume the correction.
Resistance: 3325, 3350, 3370
Support: 3290, 3270
Traders please wait for the resolution of the tariff dispute and the economic data to be released tomorrow. However, during price consolidation, Quaid expects the price to bounce off the support levels. If the price continues to squeeze towards any boundary, giving priority to the support level, the possibility of breaking out of the consolidation bottom may increase.