XAUUSD Loses Short-Term Support – Deeper Decline May FollowAt the current moment, gold (XAUUSD) has made a significant breakout, surpassing the key resistance zone at 3,326 USD and is now trading around 3,328.94 USD. This breakout confirms that the short-term bullish trend remains strong.
1. Short-Term Trend: Bullish Momentum Expands
After holding the key support zone around 3,311 – 3,315 USD (aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement), XAUUSD bounced back and broke above the previous high at 3,326 USD. The current uptrend is confirmed by higher lows and a clear breakout candle from the recent consolidation.
2. Updated Support and Resistance Zones:
Immediate Support: 3,318 – 3,320 USD, near the rising yellow trendline and breakout retest zone.
Next Resistance Target: No clear barrier on the 15-min chart, but psychological levels and Fibonacci extensions suggest 3,332 – 3,335 USD could act as the next upside targets.
3. Price Action Highlights:
The breakout candle closed strongly above the 3.618 Fibonacci extension level (3,326.26 USD), showing solid buying pressure.
A bullish signal ("B") from LuxAlgo was triggered near the minor pullback at 3,318 USD, adding further confirmation.
4. Key Technical Signals:
Price has broken out of the purple rectangle consolidation zone, expanding its trading range.
The 0.618 Fibonacci level at 3,311.78 USD continues to act as firm support.
The ascending yellow trendline remains intact, providing dynamic support to the bullish trend.
5. Suggested Trading Strategy:
Buy on Pullback: Consider long positions around 3,318 – 3,320 USD if price retests this zone with bullish confirmation.
Breakout Continuation Buy: A firm close above 3,330 USD with high volume could signal a move toward 3,335 – 3,340 USD.
If price falls below 3,315 USD and closes weakly, the bullish momentum may begin to fade.
XAUUSD is in an extended bullish phase after breaching the 3,326 USD resistance. As long as price holds above the 3,318 – 3,320 USD zone, there is room for the uptrend to continue.
Do you think gold will break above 3,330 USD? Drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s discuss trading strategies together!
Goldprediction
Gold Short Term OutlookGold continues its short-term recovery after bouncing from the Support Zone and reclaiming the $3,300 level. Price is now testing the $3,328 resistance zone, with both the 50MA and 200MA converging just below price.
A confirmed break and hold above $3,328 would open the door to higher resistance levels. However, failure to clear this zone could lead to a retest of the Support Zone. If that fails to hold, a deeper retracement toward the HTF Support Zone may follow.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,341
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,383
Support:
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,300
‣ $3,267
‣ $3,241
🔎 Fundamental Focus
All eyes on U.S. unemployment claims today
Expect volatility around the release – stay sharp.
Gold rose. Trend reversed.Gold rose slightly in early Asian trading on Wednesday, but fell under pressure near 3308. It fluctuated in the European trading range of 3296-3282. It broke through the US trading range and rose to around 3317 in the late trading. The daily line closed with a positive line with a lower shadow.
After a sharp drop on Tuesday, gold showed a downward recovery trend on Wednesday and closed positive. It rose slightly in early Asian trading today. From the daily level, in the short term, we should first pay attention to the resistance near 3325-3330. This area brings together the current positions of the 5-day moving average, the 10-day moving average and the 60-day moving average, which is an important gateway for the game between long and short forces in the short term. If the gold price continues to be under pressure in this area, it means that the short-term upward momentum is insufficient, and we need to be alert to the risk of a market decline.
If the above resistance area can be broken and the price continues to rise strongly, the next target will be the resistance near 3345, which is not only the high point on Tuesday, but also the current location of the 20-day moving average and the 30-day moving average, which has a strong technical resistance significance.
In terms of support below, first pay attention to the support near 3280, which is the current support level of the trend line formed by the low points of May 15 and June 30, which provides certain support for the gold price.
Operation strategy:
Short at price rebound near 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3320-3300
Long at price drop near 3315, stop loss at 3305, profit range 3320-3340
Gold is in the Bearish direction from a Support levelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Market Outlook: Testing Key Liquidity Zones🔹 Gold Faces Liquidity Pressure at 3300 - Can It Hold or Will a Deeper Pullback Occur?
Gold has been under pressure after rejecting key resistance levels, with the market now entering a crucial phase where liquidity zones are key to determining the next move. As global trade developments unfold and the latest economic data trickles in, traders are eyeing whether the gold market will continue its bullish momentum or face a deeper pullback.
🔹 Market Context – US Dollar Gains Strength Amid Positive Trade Sentiment
The US dollar is showing a notable rebound, driven by positive trade negotiations and agreements between the US and other major nations. As a result, the greenback is receiving short-term support, which is creating downward pressure on gold as traders rotate into a more risk-on environment. Additionally, lower-than-expected inflation data out of the US suggests the Fed may hold off on rate hikes, further boosting the dollar.
🔹 Geopolitical Factors Easing
Geopolitical tensions have somewhat eased, reducing the need for safe-haven assets like gold. This has contributed to a calm in the market, but it’s crucial to watch for any new developments that might trigger renewed interest in gold as a hedge.
🔹 Technical Outlook – Gold in Range-Bound Consolidation
On the H1 chart, gold is trending within a well-defined downward channel, ranging from 3360 to 3290. This range is currently acting as a resistance and support zone. If gold remains in this range, it could pull back further to the 3250 liquidity area. The market is effectively testing lower liquidity zones, and the reaction at these levels will be vital for determining the short-term direction.
🔹 Strategic View – Monitoring for Breakout or Continuation
Given the current price structure, we are likely to see the market retest key liquidity zones around 3320-3325. If the price holds above this zone, we might see buying pressure that leads to a bounce. However, traders should remain cautious as false breakouts are common, particularly when the market is moving fast and without confirmation from higher timeframes.
🔹TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY ZONE: 3346 – 3344 | Stop Loss: 3340 | TP 3350 - 3361 - 3372 - OPEN
SCALPING SELL ZONE: 3305 – 3307 | Stop Loss: 3310 | TP 3300 - 3395 - 3387 - OPEN
LIMIT SELL ZONE: 3334 – 3336 | Stop Loss: 3340 | TP 3327 - 3310 - 3300
As always, patience is key. Ensure you wait for solid confirmation signals, especially at these critical liquidity zones. False breakouts are frequent, and it's important to trade with a structured risk management plan.
🔹 Conclusion
The market is at a crucial inflection point. While we may see some upside pressure if buyers gain momentum, the risk of a further correction is present, especially if liquidity demand shifts. Watch how price behaves around the 3300 level, and be prepared to adapt to market conditions as they unfold.
XAUUSD Trade Setup Short📉 Trade Idea: Sell XAU/USD
Entry Zone: 3290–3293
Stop Loss (SL): 3300 (tight risk cap above resistance)
Take Profit (TP): 3270 (next support level)
🔍 Explanation:
🟠 Trade Logic:
Expecting price to reject 3290–3293, possibly a minor resistance zone or lower high in a downtrend.
A break below 3290 signals weakness continuation, with sellers in control.
TP at 3270 targets the next meaningful support area, offering a decent reward.
Data is about to be released. Where will gold go?Yesterday, the market expected a trade agreement between the United States and its trading partners, which boosted risk sentiment, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields further added pressure on gold prices. Gold fell 1% during the day and once lost the $3,300 mark during the session.
After gold bottomed out and stabilized at 3,320 on Monday, it fell sharply above 3,320 again on Tuesday and has now completely fallen below 3,320. The position of 3,320 is very important. In the 3,320-50 range, it chose to break down at 3,320 again.
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States will release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell remained neutral on the June interest rate decision, many Federal Reserve officials released dovish signals. Federal Reserve Board member Bowerman has turned to support the possibility of a rate cut in July.
From a technical point of view, the market has penetrated into the area around the lower support of 3,275-3,295.
The rhythm of the entire market is still a process of oscillating decline. From the perspective of pressure position, the daily MA5 average line has not fallen below, and may fall again to around 3270. Once the market falls too fast and approaches this position, there is a high probability that there will be a rebound demand.
Operation strategy:
Buy near 3375, stop loss at 3365, profit range 3315-3320.
Continue to hold position after breakthrough.
GOLD Intraday H2 Chart update for 9 July 2025Hello Traders
as you can see that we have strong resistance on 3310 level only break above that level will consider bullish move
Below 3300 Psychological level market remains Bearish and move towards 3245 level
FOMC Meeting minutes dues today
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAUUSD SELL ANALYSIS SETUP READ (CAPTION)hi trader's. what do you think about gold
current price: 3293
gold is breakout low 3289 in (H1) candle pettran and now gold resistance zone 3295 and 3308 and gold is reject this area and create sell candle then gold fall down
resistance zone: 3295-3308
target : 3270-3250
stop loss: : 3310
please don't forget to like comment and follow thank you
"Gold (XAUUSD) is moving down to grab liquidity."Looking for Impulse Down.
Gold/XauUsd: This chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) following a liquidity sweep (SMT) near the highs. Price is now respecting a bearish order block and forming lower highs, indicating smart money distribution.
Targeting sell-side liquidity at 3274.75 and 3246.50. Until price reclaims the most recent supply (above 3,300), the bearish bias remains intact.
Educational Use Only: This breakdown is for study and informational purposes and is not financial advice.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
Buy Gold! The short-term bottom may have appeared!Gold continued to retreat yesterday and hit a recent low, reaching around 3287. Then gold gradually rebounded to above 3300. Relatively speaking, the rebound momentum was weak. It is expected that the long and short sides will fight fiercely around 3300. However, from the recent characteristics of gold operation, it can be seen that although the short position of gold is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term, and I think the short-term decline of gold is basically in place, so at this stage, in terms of short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly;
As gold did not continue to fall after reaching around 3287, on the contrary, it gradually rebounded to above 3300, which may strengthen the market's consensus on the short-term bottom, thereby attracting the favor of off-site funds; from the current gold structure, if gold can maintain above 3300-3295, it may be combined with the 3287 low to build a "W" double bottom structure, which is conducive to supporting the rebound of gold.
However, as gold fell below 3300 again, the bearish trend is relatively strong, so we need to moderately lower our expectations for a gold rebound. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3315-3325 area, so we can temporarily look to this area for the rebound target. Therefore, in short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly, and you can first consider going long on gold in the 3300-3295 area, TP: 3310-3320-3330.
A High-Probability Play Unfolding!🌟 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – A High-Probability Play Unfolding! 🟡📉
Gold was riding a solid uptrend recently, showing strength across the board. But over the past few days, things have started to shift. We've seen a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside — signaling the start of a short-term bearish trend.
📍 What’s Happening Now?
Gold is currently trading lower after the BOS, but the market is now approaching a critical phase...
We’re expecting a retracement move to the upside — a temporary pullback that could trap early buyers (this is called inducement). This is where things get interesting!
🎯 What to Watch For:
Once the retracement plays out, we’ll be watching closely for:
🔻 Bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
🔻 Supply Zone Order Blocks
These areas could offer us high-probability sell entries aligned with the overall bearish momentum.
📉 The Target?
We’ll be aiming for the previous swing low, where liquidity is likely resting — a classic price magnet in such setups.
⚠️ Be Patient. Let the Market Come to You.
Wait for the retracement, let price fill the gaps, and only then look for confirmation to enter. Rushing in now means going against smart money flow.
🧠 DYOR – Do Your Own Research!
This is a market roadmap, not a signal.
(XAU/USD) 3H Chart – Bearish Reversal Setup from Resistance Zon1. Entry Point (Sell):
Marked at 3,335.03
This is a key resistance level where price is expected to reverse downward.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed above at 3,354.88
This acts as a protection level in case the trade goes against the direction.
3. Take Profit Targets (EA Target Points):
TP1 (Downside): 3,245.65
TP2 (Upside - if Stop Loss is hit): 3,455.76 (in case of reversal or long position)
4. Price Action Observation:
Price is currently around 3,320.56, climbing back toward the entry zone.
The red 50-period moving average (EMA) and blue 200-period MA show convergence, often preceding volatility.
---
📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Setup)
Sell Bias is expected from the 3,335 region.
If price respects the resistance zone and breaks down again, the target is 3,245.65, yielding approximately 90-point move.
This is a risk-reward favorable setup, with:
Risk: ~20 points
Reward: ~90 points
RRR ≈ 1:4.5
---
⚠️ Bullish Invalidity (Stop Loss Hit)
If the price breaks and closes above 3,354.88, it invalidates the bearish setup.
Then, the market may shift towards targeting 3,455.76 — about 100 points to the upside.
---
🔧 Technical Factors Supporting the Setup
Supply zone marked by the purple box around the entry.
Trend previously bearish — recent upward move may just be a retracement.
Confluence with MAs: Price is testing MAs — rejection here would add bearish confirmation.
---
✅ Summary of Trade Setup
Element Value
Entry 3,335.03
Stop Loss 3,354.88
Take Profit 3,245.65
Alt Target 3,455.76 (if SL hit)
Risk-Reward ~1:4.5
Bias Bearish (Sell Setup)
Gold fell under pressure, and the watershed is 3321.
⭐️Gold Information:
During the Asian session on Wednesday, gold prices (XAU/USD) continued to be under pressure, falling below the $3,300 mark, hitting the lowest point in more than a week. The decline in gold prices comes as the market generally believes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, especially as the market expects that tough U.S. tariffs may exacerbate inflation in the coming months.
Such expectations have pushed up U.S. Treasury yields and stabilized the U.S. dollar (USD) near a two-week high hit on Tuesday - a key resistance for the non-yielding precious metal, which continues to face downward pressure.
⭐️Personal comments:
Gold price fell below support, Dow Jones H1 pattern, gold price fell below 3300
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3344-3446 SL 3351
TP1: $3335
TP2: $3320
TP3: $3302
🔥Buy gold area: $3256-$3254 SL $3249
TP1: $3268
TP2: $3280
TP3: $3298
⭐️Technical analysis:
Set reasonable sell orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support and resistance areas.
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, projecting further downside after rejection from a resistance zone aligned with a descending trendline.
---
Analysis Summary
Trend Bias: Bearish
Current Price: ~$3,301.96
Structure: Price is respecting a descending channel, with multiple rejections from the upper boundary and key resistance zone.
---
Key Technical Insights
1. Resistance Zone & Downtrend Line:
Price was rejected from a resistance block near the EMA 200 (~$3,331) and descending trendline.
This level has repeatedly triggered strong downside moves (highlighted with red arrows).
2. EMA 200 Reaction:
The EMA 200 at $3,331.10 is acting as dynamic resistance.
Each time price reaches or crosses above this line, selling pressure increases.
3. Bearish Price Projection:
After recent rejection, the chart anticipates a pullback to the support zone between $3,248.26 and $3,245.71.
A deeper drop toward $3,159.13 is projected as a next major target, consistent with previous price moves.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI at 40.24 suggests bearish momentum is still in play but not yet oversold—indicating room for more downside.
---
Bearish Trade Idea
Element Level / Description
Entry Zone Below resistance: $3,310–$3,320
Target 1 $3,248.26–$3,245.71 (support zone)
Target 2 $3,159.13 (channel base / next support)
Stop-Loss Above $3,335 (above resistance zone)
---
Risk Considerations
Fundamental catalysts: Gold is sensitive to USD strength, interest rate decisions, and macroeconomic data.
Invalidation: A strong breakout and close above the descending trendline and EMA 200 would negate the bearish outlook.
---
Summary
This analysis outlines a bearish setup for XAU/USD, supported by trendline resistance, EMA rejection, and RSI momentum. If current structure holds, a move toward the $3,245 and $3,159 levels is likely.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
XAUUSD Continue to drop?XAUUSD from daily resistance of 3345.00 after strong liquidity grab price started to fall with strong momentum to the daily support level. Yesterday we have seen a long daily doji formed with a long wick at the bottom followed by wick fill as expected with long bearish engulfer with both cross over of 10ema and 20ema.
Currently price in sharp downtrend and possibility to drop to monthly support below 3250.00
A bearish trade is high probable.
Gold shocks and alternating long and short ideas
💡Message Strategy
As we mentioned before, the upper 3345-50 is the suppression position after the non-agricultural data last week. We can short at the 45-50 line when it rebounds. Yesterday, we also gave the idea of going long at the 3295-3301 line. At midnight, gold rebounded perfectly above the 3330 line and closed at the 3336 line.
Today we continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression of the 3345-50 line. If the rebound does not break, we will intervene in the short order. After all, the technical side needs to be adjusted and repaired during the day. We try to grasp the good entry position for operation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, welcome to communicate!
📊Technical aspects
From the 1-hour analysis, the short-term support of 3290-3295 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about the 3345-50 line, and the suppression of 3365-70 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3290-3300,SL:3275,Target: 3320-3340
Gold - The clear top formation!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) just created a top formation:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past four months, Gold has overall been moving sideways. Following a previous blow-off rally of about +25%, this cycle is very similar to the 2008 bullish cycle. Bulls are starting to slow down which will most likely result in the creation of at least a short term top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
XAUUSD h4 buying target levelsGOLD (XAU/USD) - 4H Analysis
Price is currently reacting from a well-defined support zone (demand area) near $3,250–3,270, which previously acted as strong resistance and now flipped to support.
🔍 I'm watching for bullish confirmation from this zone for a potential upward move toward the next resistance levels.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $3,400 (First key resistance)
Target 2: $3,460 (Major resistance & previous high)
📉 If price fails to hold above the support area, this setup will be invalidated. Risk management is key.
This idea is based on structure breakout and price respecting previous resistance turned support zone.
📊 Levels:
Support (Entry Area): $3,250 – $3,270
Target 1: $3,400
Target 2: $3,460
Invalidation Below: $3,240
#GOLD #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradingSetup #BuySetup #4HChart #ForYou #BreakoutTrade #SmartMoney #ForexAnalysis #LiquidityGrab
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Short-term gold bulls and bears are anxious,3330 becomes the keyAt present, the market has been fluctuating narrowly in the range of 3330-3320, and both bulls and bears are in a stalemate. However, gold has formed a double-layer head and shoulders bottom pattern, so the short-term bullish trend is definitely unchanged. In the previous post, I also mentioned that if the rebound in the European session is weak and gold continues to be below 3345, then the short-term NY session may usher in a retracement and a second bottom. Therefore, I still hold a long order of 3325-3315, and temporarily modify the TP to the 3335 line. I expect that there may be a retracement here, but there may also be a direct retracement. No matter what the situation is, we need to stabilize before entering the market.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
How to solve the problem of order being trapped in a loop📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. The lasting impact of new tariffs
2. The impact of geopolitical conflicts
3. The Fed’s interest rate cut
📈 Technical Analysis:
The recent market conditions have been volatile. Many brothers have reported that they have been trapped recently. They have just been released from short positions, but have fallen into the situation of being trapped by long orders again. I have also encountered such a situation recently. Brothers who follow me must know that I have been trapped, but in the process of being trapped, I still share my trading ideas for the brothers who are trapped to check, so that we can all get out of the trap.
Gold fell as expected and hit the lowest point of 3287 before rebounding. The current 3300-3290 range given at the bottom has certain support. At present, I have answered it. As long as it does not fall below 3285, we can still go long and look for rebound correction. TP can temporarily look at 3305-3310. At present, the short-term upper watershed is near the 3321 line. As time goes by, the medium-term point can be seen at 3345. Only when the price stands above 3345 can the upward momentum continue to touch the 3380 line, or even 3400. In the short term, you can go long if you look at the support below. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance above 3315-3320. If it encounters resistance under pressure, it will fall back. On the contrary, after breaking through the first level of resistance, the upward trend will continue.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3300-3290-3285
TP 3305-3315-3320-3345
SELL 3315-3321
TP 3300-3290
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Gold: Potential Correction on the Horizon?Gold has long been regarded as a safe haven asset, drawing the attention of investors during periods of economic uncertainty. In recent years, gold prices have reached historic highs, fueled by inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and shifts in monetary policy. However, as with any asset experiencing a prolonged rally, the question arises: Is a correction in gold prices imminent?
Understanding the Recent Gold Rally
Several factors have contributed to gold’s impressive performance:
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation has driven investors toward gold as a store of value.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing conflicts and global tensions have increased demand for safe haven assets.
Monetary Policy: Central banks’ dovish stances and low interest rates have made non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.
Several scenarios could catalyze a correction in gold prices:
Unexpected Economic Recovery: Stronger-than-expected economic data could reduce demand for safe haven assets.
Aggressive Rate Hikes: Faster-than-anticipated interest rate increases could shift investor preference away from gold.
Resolution of Geopolitical Tensions: Any de-escalation in major geopolitical hotspots may dampen gold’s appeal.
#gold #commodity #commodities #metals #trading #portfolio