Gold Price Surges Amid Market Uncertainty – What’s Next?The late Friday session on March 28, 2025, ended with a strong rally in gold, as multiple price candles attempted to push higher. By 10 PM CET, gold had settled at $3,085.345, reflecting significant bullish momentum.
As the market reopened on Monday, the gold price gapped up by approximately +$12.5 , opening at $3,097.978 .
This type of price gap typically occurs when buyers are willing to pay more than the previous session’s close, signaling strong demand.
What’s Driving the Gold Rally?
The answer lies in a mix of tariffs, war, and recession fears. The global financial landscape remains highly unstable, and in times of uncertainty, gold historically acts as the preferred safe-haven asset. Investors are flocking to the precious metal as a hedge against economic instability.
Adding fuel to the fire, on April 2nd, additional U.S. tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump are set to take effect. This move could further disrupt markets, potentially driving even more capital into gold.
The Interest Rate Factor – A Hidden Risk?
While gold is surging, there’s a crucial factor to watch: Federal Reserve policy. So far, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has maintained a cautious stance on interest rates. However, if the situation deteriorates, the Fed might be forced to cut rates earlier than expected to stabilize the economy.
This could create a paradox for gold traders. While rate cuts typically support gold in the long run, a sudden policy shift could trigger a short-term sell-off as investors adjust their positions. If that happens, gold could see a sharp correction before resuming its trend.
Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, but traders should stay cautious. If the Fed pivots and announces rate cuts sooner than expected, we could see a pullback in gold before the next leg higher. The coming days will be critical – keep an eye on April 2 and any shifts in Fed policy that could shake up the market.
👉 Will gold continue its rally, or are we facing a major pullback? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Goldprediction
4.1 Technical analysis of short-term gold trading BUYGold is currently temporarily maintaining a high range oscillation in the 4-hour level trend, but the short-term moving average continues to maintain a strong trend, and a wave of bottoming rebound in the 4-hour level trend has basically completed the repair of the technical pattern. Pay attention to the secondary pull-up trend after the high-level oscillation repair is completed. The hourly level trend is currently temporarily maintained in a high-level oscillation, but the strength and continuity of the US market's retracement are not particularly large. The technical pattern of the small-level cycle trend has also been gradually adjusted and completed, and it tends to be able to continue to rise in the late trading.
Intraday short-term operation:
BUY: 3110 Stop loss: 3005-3100 Target 3125-3130
Strong acceleration to the top? Gold trading analysis strategyGold early layout plan: Long and short strategies in the real market all the way to stop profit, lucrative profits, witnessed by the whole network!
News: On the fundamentals, last week's re-strengthening, in addition to the escalation of tensions in the global economy and trade, there is also support from the Middle East tensions and the optimistic impact of the Ukraine negotiations that are not as expected; and this week will usher in Trump's tariff week, and countries are currently relatively tough and oppose the unilateral imposition of tariffs by the United States. And a comprehensive response is about to be made. This will increase economic concerns and the safe-haven demand for gold. Therefore, although there are some profit-taking and resistance suppression in the gold price at present, under the mutual game of global trade tariffs and the intensification of geopolitical tensions, a temporary retracement is still creating entry opportunities for bulls, and in the short term, it is still expected to refresh the historical high to around US$3,150. In the day, we will pay attention to data such as the Chicago PMI in March and the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index in March in the United States. It is expected that the impact will be limited. According to the trend of last week, there is also momentum for strengthening again. Therefore, the day will still be bullish and rebound-oriented. This week, the focus will be on the implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which may strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. Other important data include Tuesday's ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings, Wednesday's ADP employment, and Thursday's ISM non-manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims.
Gold technical analysis: Gold technical analysis: Gold is really simple, you can make money with your eyes closed, and now it has reached the point where everyone can make money. On the contrary, I began to become cautious and timid. Gold jumped high in the early trading, quickly sold off and washed the market, and successfully got many people off the bus with a trick of fishing for the moon in the bottom of the sea, and then pulled up all the way, which was really strong. I emphasized before that gold would not peak if it did not soar by hundreds of dollars, and now this rhythm is getting closer and closer. Today, it rose by 50 US dollars a day. I dare to guarantee that there will be another day of 100 US dollars this week, which means that the top is just around the corner. Go long with the trend, but don't be a long-term investor. Today, we will focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If it fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to go long when it falls back to around 3100-3105. Finally, I would like to advise the majority of retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3128-3130 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3097. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Maintain the main pullback and go long. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold operation strategy: Go long on the 3100-3105 line of gold.
Trading discipline: 1. Don’t blindly follow the trend: Don’t be swayed by market sentiment and other people’s opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A fantastic start to the week with our chart idea playing out perfectly inline with our trading plans.
We started the day with our Bullish target 3090 hit, followed with 3103 and then cross and lock confirmation to complete 3117. We also got the cross and lock above 3117 to open 3128 and just fell short of a pip. We will keep this full gap in mind, as we continue with our plans to buy dips
Rejection at this level will see lower Goldlturns tested and likely continue to see bounces on the weighted Goldturn levels, which we can use inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3090 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3103 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3103 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3117 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3117 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3128
BEARISH TARGETS
3074
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3074 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3055
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3039
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3039 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3020
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3020 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2999 - 2985
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
You must keep your trading mind active, only in this way can you avoid too many stupid trading signals.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies.
The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil
The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward.
Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand.
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon
Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility.
This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand.
The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence
The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend.
The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices.
Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge:
• Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
• Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income.
• Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets.
• Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices.
•
Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices
Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue:
• Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets.
• Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist.
• Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds.
However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices:
• Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors.
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets.
The Significance of Gold's Milestone
Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty.
As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
3.31 Gold US market operation analysis suggestions!Gold intraday analysis and operation: How to judge the next step after gold breaks through 3130!
Gold's strong rise in the Asian session has brought the price of gold close to 3130 and finally stagnated at 3127. The impact of the US market has not yet appeared, but with the current trend, the volatility of gold tonight will not be too small. The overall idea is to maintain the low north. The intraday volatility range is maintained within the range of 40 points between 3090 and 3130. The current increase has exceeded market expectations. Although there is selling pressure, it is all suppressed by the bulls!
US market pressure focus: 3130-3150 above and 3110-3095 below
The above analysis is a personal analysis suggestion, I hope it can bring some gains to everyone!
We will update regularly every day and introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention, we are very grateful
Gold surges and then falls, indicating an imminent fallGold early stage layout plan: Long and short strategy all the way to stop profit in the actual market, huge profits, witnessed by the whole network!
Technical analysis of gold: At present, Trump's tariff policy will be officially announced on Wednesday. Today, Asian stock markets fell across the board in the Asian session, because Asian stock markets opened the earliest. According to historical laws, the stock market's reaction is the fastest. European stocks may also fall across the board. The short-term decline in the stock market often brings a short-term rebound in the price of gold. Focus on the trend of the US stock market. Once the US stock market falls sharply and rapidly, it is often accompanied by a rapid decline in the price of gold. In the morning, the price of gold has rebounded by more than 50 points from the low of 3076 to 3127. After rebounding by more than 50 points, we can intervene in short selling at 3120-25, and close the position when it falls back to around 3105-15. Today, the European and American sessions focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If the European session fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to take long positions when it falls back to around 3105-3100. Finally, I would like to advise all retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, then shorting may be the best choice. It is better not to do it than to make mistakes! Watching more and doing less is also a suitable strategy. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and you should pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate and exchange!
Gold operation strategy: short gold at 3120-25, target 3105-3115, and go long at 3110-3100.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, and operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levels 30-03-25Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels
gold in an uptrend all week from last weeks buy level it ran 553 pips wit little to no drawdown.
For this week we are looking at 2 levels for both buy and sell entries .
For a buy ill look at entering at 3091 expecting 3098 to 3100 as first resistance , if we brreak we can expect 3112 as next resistance on the way to 3136.
For a sell ill look at entering at 3076 expecting 3068 to 3066 as first support , if broke we can expect 3054 to 3050 as next support.
With these trades its best to just wait for levels for a conformation and the bigger moves.
last weeks buy are did not register until Thursday morning but when it hit there was no drawdown and closure at the high gave 533 pips.
As always with these trades wait for levels and secure on the way by either taking profit or reducing lot size.
Trade is based on support and resistance, trend lines and fibonacci levels from the higher time frame.
Ill update as the week progresses , stay safe
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Chart AnalysisThis chart provides a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) price action using Fibonacci levels, consolidation zones, and key support/resistance levels.
Key Observations:
Price Level & Consolidation Zone
The price is currently around $3,119.525, experiencing a consolidation phase (marked in the gray box).
The market is indecisive, moving within a range, waiting for a breakout.
Fibonacci Levels (Support & Resistance)
0.5 Fibonacci Retracement Level ($3,111.919) is acting as support.
0.618 Fibonacci Level ($3,135.728) is acting as resistance, a potential target if the price breaks upward.
Breakout Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout (Up Move) 🚀
If the price breaks above the consolidation zone, the next resistance level is around $3,135-$3,140.
An uptrend continuation could be expected.
Bearish Breakdown (Down Move) 📉
If the price drops below $3,111, it may head towards the $3,100-$3,090 area.
This is confirmed by the downward arrows, showing potential price movement.
Volume & Trendline Considerations
Volume has increased significantly, indicating strong market interest.
A dotted downward trendline suggests a potential bearish scenario if the price fails to break above resistance.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Bias: Wait for a breakout above $3,125-$3,130 before entering long trades.
Bearish Bias: A breakdown below $3,110 could signal short opportunities.
Neutral Stance: If consolidation continues, wait for a clearer direction.
Next week’s opening trend forecast and layout!Early layout plan for gold: long and short strategies in the real market, all the way to profit, rich profits, witnessed by the whole network!
Technical analysis of gold: Gold rose again at the end of Friday, and finally closed the daily line with a bald positive line. After a brief adjustment, it rose again. Then, there will be high points to see next week. Continue to maintain the main decline and long, and do not guess the top for the bullish trend. This week is also a long and short strategy to stop profit all the way, and the intraday harvest is rich! The daily support is near 3057, but the strong will not have too much retracement, otherwise it will turn into shock, and the low point of the fall is near 3073. On Monday, the strong will rely on this position to be bullish. The upper pressure is near 3087. Don’t chase more before breaking the position. Breaking the position will gradually see above 3100! Next week, we will continue to focus on retracement and long, but don’t chase more. After all, the technical side needs to step back and adjust. Stepping back and long is the way to go with the trend. Maintain the main retracement and long, and watch more and move less in the middle position. Be cautious and chase orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, please pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3070-60.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes. Once there are changes, we will inform you in time, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
GOLD XAUUSD ShortI m short. Gold can go even to 3100.No matter I sell more
Wall Street goes full bull with tariffs and payrolls looming
Gold surges toward $3,100 amid unrelenting rally
Smart money knows one thing very clearly: a large part of the bad news is already baked into the prices, and there is limited room for further downside. Especially considering the parabolic moves we’ve seen
Never the less we are in overbought zone,A correction coming.That will be good chance to buy Gold again
NEXT HIGH is 3100 It's coming !! XAUUSD GOLD next move We have seen the gold rally from 2978 to 3058 , toped the level of 3058 which is the last all time high in last week , last fri day in US session we have seen some profit booking and also it retested the last swing low of asia of this week .
I'm predicting now that XAUUSD GOLD will make a new ALL TIME HIGH again in upcoming day's .
3.31 Gold officially breaks through 3100In the early Asian session on Monday (March 31), spot gold once again saw a surge in prices shortly after the opening. The most active gold futures contract in New York was traded in one minute from 10:22 to 10:23 Beijing time on March 31, with 890 lots traded, and the total value of the trading contracts was US$279 million. Affected by Trump's latest tariff news, spot gold maintained the current bull market trend. The gold price broke through the US$3,000 mark and broke through US$3,100 only half a month after breaking through the US$3,000 mark. As of 10:39 Beijing time, it was reported at US$3,105.23 per ounce.
Gold technical analysis: Gold closed higher with a big positive line last week, and after consolidating at a high level, it increased strongly and closed at a high level. The weekly K-line is still strong, with a big bald positive line. There will be further continuation this week. However, the monthly line closed today. After the volume is released, we must also be careful of the wash of the high and fall. The daily chart has continued to rise and set a new high. The Asian session is a slow consolidation and then a slow new high. The consolidation is not the high, and the volume is the top. At present, there is further rise in the short term. Gold was stimulated by risk aversion over the weekend. It opened high and fell back on Monday. However, gold fell back under pressure at 3100 in the short term. We must pay attention to adjustments. Then gold is just adjusting. Wait patiently for it to fall back before going long. The technical side of gold shows a strong upward trend. US$3070 has become a new short-term support level. The current upward momentum is sufficient and there is momentum for further rise. The influence of gold bulls on the current trend of gold has reached the highest level in history, but the trading scale and heat have not reached the most crowded range in history. There is still room for funds to further increase positions, which provides support for gold prices.
3.31 Gold Operation Strategy Reference:
Short Order Strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3100-3103, short (buy short) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3110, target around 3085-3075, and look at 3070 if it breaks; (Strategy is time-sensitive, more real-time layout strategies are announced in the channel.)
Long Order Strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back around 3070-3073, long (buy long) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3060, target around 3085-3095, and look at 3105 if it breaks; (Strategy is time-sensitive, more real-time layout strategies are announced in the channel.)
Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy
**📈 Bullish Strategy (Long Trade)**
**Entry:**
- Look for a **bounce** from the **$3,071 - $3,072 support zone** or **$3,063 S2 support level**.
- Confirmation signals:
- A **bullish candlestick pattern** (e.g., engulfing or pin bar) near support.
- Price holds above **7 EMA ($3,071)** and **21 EMA ($3,063)**.
**Stop-Loss (SL):**
- Below the **S2 support zone at $3,060** (to avoid fake breakouts).
**Take-Profit (TP) Levels:**
1. **First Target:** $3,080 (recent high)
2. **Second Target:** $3,090
3. **Extended Target:** $3,100+ if momentum continues
**Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Aim for a **1:2 or 1:3** ratio, risking 10-15 points for 20-30 points profit.
---
**📉 Bearish Strategy (Short Trade)**
**Entry:**
- If gold **breaks below $3,063 (S2)** with strong bearish momentum and volume.
- Confirmation signals:
- A **break and retest** of $3,063 as new resistance.
- Price trading below **50 EMA ($3,052)**.
**Stop-Loss (SL):**
- Above the $3,072 level (previous support turned resistance).
**Take-Profit (TP) Levels:**
1. **First Target:** $3,052 (50 EMA)
2. **Second Target:** $3,040
3. **Extended Target:** $3,020 (key psychological level)
**Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Ensure at least a **1:2 ratio**, risking 10-15 points for 20-30 points profit.
Additional Trading Tips
- **Wait for confirmation**: Don't enter trades too early—wait for candlestick confirmation at key levels.
- **Watch volume:** Higher volume increases trade reliability.
- **Monitor news & fundamentals:** Major US economic data and Fed speeches can impact gold prices.
- **Adjust SL & TP dynamically**: Use trailing stops if the trade moves in your favor.
GOLD UPDATESHello folks, like I said from previous note , I closed the idea with single target. with a buy/long positions at 3015.
Now I'm expecting manipulations since we have news today.
The initial target would be the previous highs.
Look for higher targets also 3100 zone.
This is only my view, I Base my idea on Fibonacci retracements expansion above.
Follow for more.
This is not a financial advice. The idea here is long and the target would be the previous high, above price 3100 is just speculation on Fibonacci.
Will Gold Break 3000? (Potential Bullish Continuation)Gold price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation on the Longer Timeframes as the price action may break the previous All Time High of 2956.
A potential break may be indicative of another top OR a new high.
We take our chance on the basis of a proper Bullish Breakout.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 2967
Stop Loss @ 2822
TP 1 @ 3112
Gold Next 24 to 48 hours (31/3/2025)Current Market Snapshot OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold closed the previous week at approximately $3,085 per ounce, after hitting a new all-time high of $3,087 on Friday. This indicate a bullish market, driven by persistent safe-haven demand, central bank purchases (notably from China and Russia), and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. However, there’s also chatter about potential profit-taking or consolidation, as gold approaches overbought conditions on some technical indicators.
Bullish Sentiment: Traders expect gold to break $3,100 soon, citing geopolitical risks and a weakening U.S. dollar index (DXY) forecasted to drop below 100.
Bearish/Cautious Sentiment: Some traders warn of a pullback to $3,055-$3,060 if $3,091 resistance holds or if unexpected U.S. economic data surprises markets.
Technical Analysis
Technical levels for next 24 to 48 hours:
Support Levels:
$3,060: Strong support from recent consolidation and a psychological round number.
$3,055: A deeper support level from late February 2025 trends.
$3,000: Major psychological and historical support if a significant sell-off occurs.
Resistance Levels:
$3,091: Immediate resistance; a break above this could trigger FOMO (fear of missing out) buying.
$3,100: Next psychological resistance
$3,200: Short-term bullish target
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) on daily charts (from web sources) is near 70, suggesting gold is overbought but not yet at extreme levels (80+), indicating room for further upside.
Moving Averages: Gold is trading above its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, reinforcing the bullish trend.
Price Range for next 24 to 48 hours
Low: $3,058 - $3,065
This accounts for potential profit-taking at the open or a risk-off move if weekend news is negative.
High: $3,100 - $3,150
This reflects bullish momentum if $3,091 is breached early, with traders targeting $3,200 as the next psychological level.
After weighing all factors, here’s my enhanced prediction:
Most Likely Scenario: Gold will open slightly lower ($3,080-$3,085) due to profit-taking but will recover throughout the day as buyers step in at support levels ($3,060-$3,065). If $3,091 is broken (70% probability), gold could rally to close near $3,100-$3,120 by Monday’s or Tuesday’s end.
Alternative Scenario: If selling pressure intensifies (30% probability), gold might drop to $3,058-$3,065 but is unlikely to fall below $3,050, as buyers would likely defend this level.
Key Catalysts to Watch:
Asian market open (Monday morning): If Chinese or Indian gold demand remains strong, prices could gap up.
U.S. market open: Watch for any statements from Fed officials or Trump administration policy announcements.
Volume: High volume above $3,091 would confirm bullish momentum; low volume could signal consolidation.
Apr 2 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI
Apr 2 USD JOLTS Job Openings
Apr 2 USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Apr 3 USD Unemployment Claims
Apr 4 USD ISM Services PMI
Apr 4 USD Average Hourly Earning
Apr 4 USD Non-Farm Employment Change
Apr 4 USD Unemployment Rate
Apr 5 USD Fed Chair Powell Speaks
XAUUSD H4 Trading Plan (Intraday Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Continuation)
Current Price: ~$3,093
Context: Price is accelerating after breaking key resistance, maintaining bullish structure.
🧠 1. Market Structure (H4)
Structure remains bullish, with well-defined HH & HL.
Recent consolidation block (OB + FVG): price broke out cleanly and is now expanding.
Short-term trend leg is steep → potential for shallow intraday pullbacks.
📌 2. Key Levels from Your Chart
🔝 Upside Target
3,120.14 – Major H4 resistance / next liquidity zone
🟦 Intraday Support Zones
3,049.57 – recent H4 resistance, now flipped support (ideal for pullback entries)
3,000.65 – clean structure zone, possible FVG fill
2,977.64 – origin of last impulse
2,960.27 / 2,899.69 – deeper HTF demand / OB zones
🔍 3. Order Blocks & Liquidity
🔲 OB zone breakout (highlighted gray area) → now acting as demand
💧Buy-side liquidity rests above 3,120
Any retracement into 3,049 / 3,000 could be used by Smart Money for re-entry longs
📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H4)
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation
Price holds above 3,049 → intraday continuation toward:
🎯 3,120
🎯 Potential extension: 3,150+
📌 Ideal setup: bullish engulfing or BOS + FVG entry on pullback to 3,049 zone
🔁 Scenario B: Pullback Before Continuation
Rejection near 3,100–3,120 leads to pullback toward:
🔁 3,049
🔁 3,000 (FVG / previous OB)
Monitor price action at those levels for continuation entries.
🟥 Scenario C: Bearish Shift (Low Probability for Now)
Break below 2,960 with strong bearish momentum → opens door toward:
🔻 2,899
This would invalidate current bullish short-term structure.
🧭 Summary
Trend is strong, momentum is clean → only looking for buy setups on dips.
Watch for continuation above 3,049 and especially reactive price action near 3,120.
If pullback occurs, 3,000 zone is prime location for re-entry longs.
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan (1D Outlook)🔍 1. Structure & Price Action
Price broke out aggressively from previous consolidation (~2960–3000).
Current impulse leg is strong, with very shallow pullbacks – trending conditions.
Daily candles show sustained buying pressure, minimal upper wicks → buyers in control.
📏 2. Key Levels (from your chart)
📌 Upside Targets:
🔸 3,120.14 – potential resistance / short-term TP
🔸 3,180.72 – extended upside target if momentum holds
🟩 Support Zones:
✅ 3,049.38 – minor intraday support
✅ 3,000.66 – recent breakout retest zone
✅ 2,960.77 – clean demand zone / OB zone
✅ 2,899.69 – last major demand / strong structure support
🧠 3. SMC & Liquidity Insights
Buy-side liquidity has been cleared → clean runway toward psychological zones (3100–3200).
FVG may exist between recent candles → shallow retracement into 3049 / 3000 possible.
No active bearish OBs above → price remains in price discovery mode.
📅 4. Daily Trade Scenarios
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation
Hold above 3,049–3,060 → continuation toward:
🎯 3,120
🎯 3,180+
Look for strong H4 bullish candles on retest of minor support.
⚠️ Scenario B: Pullback to Demand
Reject from 3,100+ and drop toward:
🔁 3,000 (retest previous high)
🔁 2,960 (key OB / FVG zone)
Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing, break of structure) for re-entry long.
🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Probable)
Break below 2,899 could shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish.
🧭 Summary
XAUUSD is in a strong trending phase with no major resistance above.
Pullbacks into 3,049 / 3,000 / 2,960 are ideal areas to look for continuation longs.
Focus remains on buy-the-dip setups as long as price holds above 2,899.
Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels 30-5-25Gold weekly forcast with both Buy and sell levels
gold in an uptrend all week from last weeks buy level it ran 553 pips wit little to no drawdown.
For this week we are looking at 2 levels for both buy and sell entries .
For a buy ill look at entering at 3091 expecting 3098 to 3100 as first resistance , if we brreak we can expect 3112 as next resistance on the way to 3136.
For a sell ill look at entering at 3076 expecting 3068 to 3066 as first support , if broke we can expect 3054 to 3050 as next support.
With these trades its best to just wait for levels for a conformation and the bigger moves.
last weeks buy are did not register until Thursday morning but when it hit there was no drawdown and closure at the high gave 533 pips.
As always with these trades wait for levels and secure on the way by either taking profit or reducing lot size.
Trade is based on support and resistance, trend lines and fibonacci levels from the higher time frame.
Ill update as the week progresses , stay safe
Accurately predict the timing of short position entryAs of now, we have made profits during the trading session. But gold hit the 3048 area yesterday. What should we do if some brothers did not close the order in time? We have made corresponding adjustments according to the current market.
Gold news:
On Friday, the price of gold climbed to 3083, mainly driven by factors such as rising risk aversion, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the global central bank's gold buying boom and increased inflationary pressure. The tense situation in the Middle East, global economic uncertainty and expectations of a depreciation of the US dollar have further enhanced the attractiveness of gold. This week, gold is expected to rise for the fourth consecutive week. The US PCE (personal consumption expenditure) data to be released tonight has attracted much attention from the market because it is the core indicator of the Federal Reserve to measure inflation and may have a significant impact on market expectations and asset prices. If the PCE data triggers concerns about stagflation, it may cause US Treasury yields to rise, further boosting gold prices. If the data eases inflationary pressures, it may boost risky assets, but gold may rise simultaneously due to rising expectations of interest rate cuts. Boosted by risk aversion, gold advanced all the way yesterday afternoon, hitting a new high of 3059 during the US trading session. Today's market continued to rise at the opening, and the current highest has reached 3086. Gold bulls rose like a tiger, where is the top?
Gold technical analysis: From the wave point of view, the large level is no longer repeated. The daily line 2832 runs a standard 5-wave structure upward, wave 1 2832-2929, wave 2 2929-2880, wave 3 2880-3057, wave 4 3057-2999. Yesterday's market broke through 3057 and rose. The current market is in the 5th wave. From the wave rule, wave 1 runs 97 US dollars. If the amplitude of wave 1 and wave 5 is equal, the high point of wave 5 can be seen near 3097. Using the Fibonacci retracement extension line, pay attention to the two resistance levels of 3088-3108 above. Therefore, the short-term continues to follow the trend of low-multiple bullishness. Pay attention to whether there is a structure to go short near 3108 above. Gold is currently high, and it is bound to fall back. This crazy bull trend cannot last long. This is inevitable. The gold price is currently seriously off track, that is, it is directly off track. This is unreasonable. Return is inevitable. There must be a deep fall today. The support below is around 3050, which is also the target of the fall.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold 3075-70 to increase the number of transactions. Target 3060-3050
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. The short profit area of 3060-3050 is all closed.
3. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.