Gold Drops $100! Is Now the Perfect Time for a Pre-Rebound Buy?With Trump’s presidency and his economic focus, gold prices have taken a sharp plunge, dropping nearly $100. While I anticipated a decline, this significant drop exceeded my expectations. Fortunately, we managed to close out our long positions above 2700 and also capitalized on a successful sell-off during the New York session.
Gold has now fallen below 2660 and remains pressured under the MA5 on the 30M chart. However, I believe a strong rebound is imminent. I estimate that gold could reach a solid bottom around 2646, with a possible low near 2631. On the 1D chart, the MA60 sits at approximately 2618, though I believe it’s unlikely to drop that far today.
Today’s plan is to buy on the dip, with an eye on a potential rise to around 2780, after which I’ll shift strategy to selling. By seizing this potential rebound, we stand to capture considerable gains!
Goldprediction
XAUUSD, 15-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHARTXAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD touched the resistance level of 2,667.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. The pair moved to the resistance level of 2,667.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a sell limit order at 2,665.
Set your stop loss at 2,670. below the previous low ($5.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,644. ($21.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD UPDATES MOMENTUM AHEADHello fellow traders, were back on. after the ascending channel, price corrects and clear the high. RUn liquidity for 30$ moves upside, then price has momentum on going back to its trendline. Im expecting a price to clear the previous corrections. First might get the OB then manipulate below.
The higher targets would be the previous high! THis is not a financial advice.
Follow for more.
chart invalid if the friday highs break next week.
For more detailed charts keep following.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A volatile day in the markets today from the US election and once again we were able to use our levels to navigate the markets even on a volatile day like this.
We did not chase momentum but instead we stuck with our plans to buy dips from our weighted levels for a 30 to 40 clean catch from 2700 level.
We are now seeing a further breakdown into the retracement range. EMA5 is lagging due to market momentum. However, although we are seeing price in the retracement range and ema5 lagging behind we will need to see ema5 lock below 2672 to open the swing range. Failure to cross and lock below 2672 will see price push up to test the Goldturns above.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2754
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2754 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2784
BEARISH TARGETS
2724 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2724 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2696 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2672 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2672 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2611
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
11.7 Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsOn Wednesday (November 5), gold prices fell below $2,700 as the dollar rose after Republican Donald Trump was elected as the US president after his amazing political comeback. Now it is trading sideways at $2,666.
Technical analysis:
Gold has key positions of support and resistance in the short term. At this stage, the $2,680-2,675 area constitutes an important support level for gold. If the gold price falls below this level, it may accelerate downward to test the support area below $2,650, which is the lower edge of the short-term rising channel since July. If it falls further, the next support range of market attention will be concentrated around $2,665, and further explore the $2,640 line.
At the same time, if the gold price rebounds, the $2,748-2,750 area may constitute the first resistance level, and the key resistance above is in the $2,780-2,785 range. If it can stand firm in this range, it may be expected to return to the $2,800 mark. It is worth noting that the $2,800 mark, as the pivot point of the long-term upward trend, will be of great significance to the bulls. If it can be steadily broken through, it may restart the upward trend.
BUY:2660
First target 2680
Second target 2700
Third target 2720
Analyzing the Factors Behind the Recent Gold Price Decline
A Post-Election Dip
Gold prices experienced a significant decline following the recent US election. The precious metal, often seen as a safe-haven asset, retreated as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields surged. This confluence of factors put pressure on gold, which tends to perform poorly in a rising interest rate environment.
Why Did Gold Fall?
1. Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar typically weighs on gold prices. When the dollar appreciates, it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers to purchase gold, reducing demand for the precious metal.
2. Rising Treasury Yields: Higher Treasury yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. As bond yields rise, investors may shift their focus from gold to fixed-income securities.
3. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: The election results, while not entirely unexpected, may have reduced some of the safe-haven demand for gold. Investors may have perceived less geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty, leading them to seek out riskier assets.
Is More Downside Ahead for Gold?
While the recent decline in gold prices has been significant, it's important to consider the factors that could influence its future trajectory:
1. Economic Uncertainty: Despite the post-election rally, global economic uncertainty remains elevated. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and potential economic slowdowns could continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal.
2. Inflationary Pressures: Persistent inflationary pressures could drive investors toward gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. Central banks may need to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, which could indirectly benefit gold.
3. Central Bank Demand: Central banks around the world have been significant buyers of gold in recent years. Continued central bank demand could provide support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold prices have broken below key support levels. A further decline could be on the cards, with potential targets at the next significant support levels. However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market sentiment can change rapidly.
Investor Strategies
Given the current market conditions, investors may consider the following strategies:
1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): By investing a fixed amount of money in gold at regular intervals, investors can reduce the impact of market volatility.
2. Physical Gold: Owning physical gold can provide a tangible asset and hedge against inflation.
3. Gold ETFs: Gold ETFs offer a convenient way to invest in gold without the physical storage costs.
4. Diversification: Incorporating gold into a diversified investment portfolio can help reduce overall portfolio risk.
In conclusion, while the recent decline in gold prices is concerning, it's essential to consider the long-term factors that could influence its future trajectory. Investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any investment decisions related to gold.
Scenario GOLD levels update This view of gold actually somehow confirms that I should be on the good side of the market, outside of the original analysis, we could see a false breakout from which the price consolidated around the zone marked by me, which may show us a head-and-shoulders formation, which may be followed by a correction against this formation
11.6 Gold price plunged sidewaysAfter the high-volume plunge on Thursday, the gold price has been trading sideways above 2720. The price will maintain less than 30 US dollars in the short term. Yesterday, the direct 2745 dry short price can be repeatedly shorted in the short term. 2730 has been broken as expected on Tuesday, and the price will fall below 2700. The US dollar index has begun to rise sharply, and the non-US has already reacted very clearly, and the gold price is following closely. The 2745 dry short price has fallen to 2731 in the morning. Repeatedly go up to 2749 and do short again! At present, 2750 is the second highest point of the gold price. Wait patiently for the large short volume! This sideways trading is to accumulate power for diving!
Intraday strategy:
SELL: 2745 2750 Target: 30------20
BUY: 2700 2705 Target: 35-----40
XAUUSD Pullback Set-Up Demand at 2722 Targeting 2700The XAUUSD (gold) market has a strong initial demand zone at 2722-17 , where a pullback is expected before facing resistance at 2747-53 , which is forecast as a significant supply level. Our major aim is 2700 , which corresponds to a robust daily demand zone.
Geopolitical developments are boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Heightened tensions in the Middle East, as well as the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia , have added to risk aversion, attracting investors to gold. Furthermore, the forthcoming presidential election in the United States on November 5 creates uncertainties about prospective fiscal policy moves. Historical trends demonstrate that election outcomes frequently cause volatility in gold as investors hedge against policy changes. These factors are strengthening demand at important levels, which aids our understanding of potential retracements and target zones.
If you find this analysis helpful, please consider boosting this idea. Thanks!
XAUUSD (GOLD): Is it bearish?!As you can see the 4H chart is Bullish.
but the 15 minutes chart is bearish and till the previous high respected we stay bearish on chart and expect the 15 min supply zone act as a resistance.
So we can expect the price has a bearish reaction to supply zone and we can enter to the sell position with 5 or 1 min. confirmation at 15 min supply zone.
GOLD - where is support? Holds or not??#GOLD.. market just near to his major support of the week, that is 2696-98
Keep close that support and keep in mind if market hold it in that case you can see again bounce from here and below that cut n reverse can be a good option after on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
GOLD - where is next support ? What's next??#GOLD.. market just trade above his weekly high that is 2722-24
And that is market most important area because in last couple of months market never closed below his perveiously week low and now breakage of that area can be important.
So keep close because if market break 27222-24 then next area will be 2696 97 as target area.
Good luck
Trade wisely
11.5 Gold adjustment is still continuing!1: For gold price, 2730 is support in the short term! 2730 is just a rebound, not a reversal. The pressure is concentrated in the range of 2745-50. The sideways trading at the bottom is not a bottoming out, but a new adjustment is brewing.
2: The reason is that gold has fallen from the high of 2790 US dollars. After breaking through the support of 2770 US dollars, the high point position has continued to break down. Even if the non-agricultural data is positive in the middle, it did not drive gold to continue to rise. It just rebounded to above 2760 to complete the top and bottom conversion (previously 2760-70 was a strong support, and strong pressure was formed after breaking).
3: From the $60 plunge in gold last Friday to the non-agricultural data, which did not rise, it shows that the selling pressure from above is large, the buyer's power is weakened, and the gold price can no longer be sent to a higher position. Moreover, the rise from 2605 to 2790 is a full $185. The technical side also needs to be corrected, and the profit-taking urgently needs to close the position and leave the market, so it is not blindly optimistic to chase more!
The 1-hour structure clearly indicates that the highs have been moving down from 2790/2760/2748, while the lows of 2770/2734/2725 have been lost. This is a typical adjustment market pattern. There is no need to guess where the bottom is. Just keep an eye on whether the last high point has been lost.
Gold Analysis==>>Falling ContinuesGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already started falling from the Resistance zone($2,751-$2,746) and the Resistance line ( in the 15-minute time frame ).
According to Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed main wave 4 , which has a structure of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,734-$2,731) , and if the Support zone breaks , we can confirm the end of main wave 4 , and most likely, Gold will fall to $2,721 .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold is consolidating in a narrow range, and the market is waiti
Gold prices retreated slightly in the early trading, reaching a low of around $2724-25, but quickly recovered the lost ground.
Voting for the general election has begun, and the preliminary results are expected to be announced at noon tomorrow. Taking previous elections as an example, the official results may take several days or longer, which is expected to further exacerbate market volatility. Therefore, no matter how you operate, you need to strictly stop losses.
After the morning decline, in principle, you need to go short once in the afternoon, and the position of the short should not be too high.
The pattern of the early trading belongs to the support sideways weakening break. From the perspective of the market, the continuous low point test has been touched many times. The more tests are made, the less meaningful the support is, and the greater the probability of breaking.
Under the general election, light positions are arranged. The high point of 2737 in the afternoon is the boundary between strength and weakness. If it breaks again, the arranged 2735-36 short positions need to be adjusted.
Today, the retracement time is set to around 4 o'clock in the European session. Once it breaks through 2730 again, it is expected to test 2720-18, which happens to be the target position for short positions and also the position for long positions to consider layout!
For the past two days, we can only wait and see. Avoiding risk events is a safe strategy. What this market lacks the most is opportunities! Be patient and wait!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea already playing out.
We started the week with a gap above at 2751 and a gap below at 2733. We stated that we will see price lay between these two levels and a cross and lock on either levels will confirm the next range.
We got the bearish target at 2733 hit, which gave us the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips. The full gap remains open and therefore we will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2751
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2751 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2782
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2782 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2799
BEARISH TARGETS
2733 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2733 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2717 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2705 - 2692
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Clear Outlook for Gold Rebound: Bulls May Retest 2753At today’s opening, gold formed a long lower shadow, indicating that support remains intact. Currently, the MA5 is undergoing a shift from support to resistance, which, if successful, could signal a short-term bullish trend and a potential move higher.
I expect gold to approach the MA60, around 2745, followed by a pullback to retest the MA5 to confirm support, potentially reaching 2753. Thus, buy orders placed on Friday may see profits today.
However, as we approach the New York session, gold may encounter downward pressure. The daily chart shows a notable bearish divergence, suggesting a long-term trend shift. Barring a major bullish catalyst, this divergence may only resolve through further declines or consolidation. Iran’s possible retaliation could serve as a pivotal event.
Meanwhile, tomorrow’s U.S. election is expected to bolster the dollar, potentially adding pressure on gold. Today’s strategy favors buying, but attention should shift to selling opportunities tomorrow.
XAUUSD GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves, " A " Corrective Waves and making its " B " Corrective Wave in a Consolidation in Short Time Frame. Strong Bullish Divergence in RSI. Need to wait until it Breaks and Retest its Extreme Point of Interest ( POI ) and Complete its Order Block