Goldprediction
Gold's shock trend and interpretation of US market thinkingGold continues to fluctuate, we continue to look down in the European session, try long orders near 82;
2025-4-29 Tuesday Gold Asia-Europe long and short strategies
The market is always changing, the only constant is the existence of risks.
Keeping the principal is always the first principle.
◆Short order◆
Aggressive: short near 3356, stop loss 7 points, short at 62-68 after breaking,
Stop loss: stop loss 7 points each, or unified stop loss 77. Target: 3286-69-54-42, continue to reduce holdings after breaking
◆Long order◆
Aggressive: long at 82, stop loss 7 points, long at 75-70 after breaking,
Stop loss: stop loss 7 points each, or unified stop loss 62. Target: 98-06-12, continue to reduce holdings after breaking;
Steady: 66 long, stop loss 7 points, 58-52 long after breaking,
Stop loss: 7 points for each stop loss, or a unified stop loss of 42. Target: 98-06-12, continue to reduce holdings if the position breaks;
【Today's long orders must be promptly protected after profit, and the next position will be entered after the principal is protected】
Stop loss is determined according to your actual tolerance. Protect in time after profit, and enter the next position after protection】
★ Pattern analysis and attention:
Daily strategy ideas: Asia and Europe, our current price 06 long orders are also given to around 22 as expected. We are still bearish if the resistance is not broken, and try 82 long orders
【Reference: Russia-Ukraine peace talks, US-Japan tariff negotiations】
【Data: wholesale inventory rate, consumer confidence index, job vacancies】
☆ There is a delay in posting, and the final operation is based on real-time strategy and current price orders. Please continue to pay attention;
☆ Strategy orders are divided into warehouses, and the total position shall not exceed 20%;
Gold is still volatile, buy at 3298-3305 in the US market
📊Comment analysis
Gold prices need economic news to break through the sideways price range of around 3300. Today, continue to wait and see around 3310, waiting for the right time to enter the market in time.
💰Strategy package
Long positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3298-3305 points, with a profit target around 3320 points
Short positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3320-3330 points, with a profit target around 3303 points
💢Precise sniping, follow the trading strategy = easy money
Gold moves sideways ahead of US GDP news. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD Optimism about US trade talks with major partners boosted risk appetite and supported the dollar. The US Treasury released a report that talks with India made good progress, while President Trump softened his rhetoric on China, which also boosted the dollar. Meanwhile, traders are on the sidelines ahead of the release of US first quarter GDP data. If the data is weak, gold as a safe haven asset may rise sharply. Therefore, the gold market remains sensitive to trade news and macro data, especially in the context of market rebalancing at the end of April.
Currently, as part of the current momentum and correction, Quaid expects gold prices to rise from the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci area. Gold prices may test 3325-3330 in the consolidation range and then resume the correction.
Resistance: 3325, 3350, 3370
Support: 3290, 3270
Traders please wait for the resolution of the tariff dispute and the economic data to be released tomorrow. However, during price consolidation, Quaid expects the price to bounce off the support levels. If the price continues to squeeze towards any boundary, giving priority to the support level, the possibility of breaking out of the consolidation bottom may increase.
Risk aversion eases, gold continues to fluctuateSpot gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated and fell, approaching the $3,300 mark, continuing the weak trend of the previous trading day.
From the daily chart, gold prices have fallen from their historical highs and are currently approaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (US$3,300-3,290). The key support level below is concentrated in the $3,265-3,260 range, which is also the previous consolidation range. If it falls below, it will open up the space for a 50% retracement level (US$3,225) or even $3,200.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator shows signs of a dead cross, and the green kinetic energy column expands moderately, indicating that short-term bears still have the initiative; the RSI indicator is still oscillating near the 50 axis, and has not yet shown extreme oversold, indicating that the downside space may be limited. Once the price rebounds, the initial resistance above is seen at $3,348-3,353.
After the breakthrough, it is expected to re-challenge the $3,400 mark, and even attack $3,425-3,427.
If the US PCE inflation and non-farm data weaken this week, it will further support the re-entry of gold bulls.
Gold------Buy near 3302, target 3319-3350Gold market analysis:
Yesterday's gold fluctuations were actually in line with our expectations. The 3291 sell price we planned in the Asian session was hit. We followed the buy orders in the European and American sessions and made a lot of profit. The buy orders were very exaggerated and reached 3352. This is the market. We must respect the market. The fluctuation range is very large. The daily line and the pattern finally closed with a hammer candle pattern, and the lower shadow line is very long. Let's take a look at the 4H pattern, which shows that it has been a large fluctuation in the high range. The fluctuation range is 3370-3258. The structural fluctuation is very obvious. The direction will appear after the structure is broken. Today, let's take a look at its fluctuation direction. The Asian session directly plunged. We should not rush to take over. The market in the past two days is that it is easy to die if we take over the big support. If we want to take over, we also need to look at stabilization and 2 steps. We try to follow the direction of the hour level directly, rather than the direction of the daily line. The big market is 20 points in one hour.
Technical analysis:
The daily moving average begins to hover, and the weekly and monthly lines will show directions this week. The weekly tombstone top is still there. If the closing price is negative this week, then the gold below will continue to fall and continue to dive. There is no big news about the short-term tariff policy. Gold needs a technical retracement. In today's Asian session, we will focus on the support of 3302. Let's see if it stabilizes at this position. If it stabilizes, there will be fluctuations and rebounds. The pressure around 3352 is today.
Support 3302, strong at 3280, suppress 3333 and 3352, and the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3310
Fundamental analysis:
This week is a data week. Big data will be released one by one starting from Wednesday. In addition, continue to pay attention to the situation of the US dollar and the changes in tariff policies.
Operational suggestions:
Gold------Buy near 3302, target 3319-3350
Interpretation of the short-term operation ideas of shopping4-hour trend will not hit the high point within this 4-hour period, so currently we can focus on the morning high point and yesterday's high point 3348-3353. Currently we can focus on the support near 3316.
First point: After the 4-hour high closed with a small positive column yesterday, a big negative column fell in the morning, indicating that the price will continue to bottom out in the short term. Therefore, we can arrange short orders below yesterday's high point 3353-3348 in the white session, so 3340-44 is the best shorting point.
Second point: Because the price rose to 3336 after yesterday's high of 3302 and only retreated to 3319, the support of 3316-17 still exists. The point we focus on in the Asian and European sessions is when 3316-17 will break.
Third point: In the event of an accident, the price directly pulls back and breaks the high point, then the next short position is 3370-72; I think this probability is small. Then if it breaks 3315-16, we need to find a low position to go long. Then 3300-3288 and 3273 in yesterday's Asian and European sessions are the long positions. We can use small stop losses to bet on long positions.
Strategy:
Short at 3340-44 during the Asian session, defend at 3353, target at 3330-3320, break at 3315 and target at 3300-3290
Short at 3370-72, defend at 3378, target at 3350
After breaking 3315, short at 3300-328-3276 with a small stop loss of 5-6 US dollars, target at 3305-3350-70
Gold fluctuates within a wide range, and may stop falling as it On Tuesday, gold trading relied on the 3310 support level to directly go long, and the near-point pressure area of 3360/80 was bullish. The long logic of gold as a "safe haven trump card" is beyond doubt. The small cycle adjustment is only the accumulation stage. Once it starts to explode, it will be unstoppable. Recently, when gold touched 3500 again, there was a market view of "suspected top". It is recommended that all investors maintain their composure-the short-term adjustment is insignificant compared to the entire rising cycle. This time, the price retreated from 3500 and corrected by about US$240, which is still within a reasonable range relative to the previous increase. It is emphasized again that it is not recommended for investors to be bearish on gold in the long term, or to subjectively determine that 3500 has become the top. Such psychology is prone to trading deviations and even breeds a dangerous mentality of short orders to bear losses, which is the root cause of long-term losses.
In the early trading of the day, a 3310 long strategy has been deployed, and it is suggested that 3315 can be entered into the long position during the trading session. The current position is in market fluctuations. The current uptrend will first focus on the recovery of the 3340/45 line, and the opening price pressure level should be paid special attention to, especially during the Asian and European sessions. If the Asian and European sessions maintain a shock correction pattern, the support level will continue to be relied on for game play; if the uptrend effectively breaks through 3340/45 and stabilizes, the handover period between the European and American sessions is expected to explode to the 3380 line, or even challenge a higher price range.
XAU/USD(20250429) Today's AnalysisTechnical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3321
Support and resistance levels:
3405
3374
3353
3289
3268
3237
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3353, consider buying, the first target price is 3374
If the price breaks through 3321, consider selling, the first target price is 3289
GOLD - XAUUSD 15M Chart - Trading SignalXAU/USD – SCALPING BUY OPPORTUNITY
OANDA:XAUUSD
Direction: BUY Entry: 3320.00
Take Profit 1: 3323.00
Take Profit 2: 3330.00
Take Profit 3: 3340.00
Stop Loss: 3302.00
- Today, we are looking for a scalping opportunity on Gold (XAU/USD) .
The market is currently moving within a tight range, offering quick in-and-out setups. With global economic uncertainty on the rise, Gold remains a preferred asset for investors worldwide. Its role as a safe haven makes it especially attractive during periods of volatility and political tension. Gold as an asset is historically known for its ability to retain value over time, acting as a hedge against inflation, currency fluctuations, and broader market downturns. It is widely traded by both institutional and retail investors for portfolio protection and short-term speculation. In this setup, we are capitalizing on the short-term bullish momentum within the scalping range , targeting successive take profit levels while keeping risk controlled with a stop loss at 3302.00.
Gold is stuck in the 3300 area, when can it break through?
📊Comment Analysis
Gold prices need economic news to break through the sideways price range around 3300. Today, we will continue to wait and see around 3300, waiting for the right time to enter the market.
💰Strategy Package
Long positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3300-3310 points, with a profit target around 3330 points
Short positions:
💲Actively participate in gold around 3330-3340 points, with a profit target around 3310 points
💢Precise sniping, follow the trading strategy = lying down and making money
Gold plunged $36 during Asian trading hours. What's the reason?Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session, and the current price of gold is around $3,310/ounce, a plunge of $36 during the day.
In the optimistic market sentiment, the recovery of US dollar demand seems to put downward pressure on gold prices.
Quaid believes that optimism about the possible progress in trade negotiations between the United States and its major trading partners supports risk appetite, boosts the performance of the US dollar against major currency competitors, and gold sellers are trying to regain control.
The Wall Street Journal said that weakening the impact of auto tariffs is the latest concession of Trump's trade policy after market turmoil and fierce lobbying by companies and other countries.
Looking ahead to this trading day, trade headlines and the re-adjustment of positions at the end of the month will play a key role in driving gold prices.
Trading analysis:
From a technical point of view, gold prices are currently trying to break down again after failing to confirm a break below the three-week rising channel on Monday. However, as the 14-day relative strength index is still above the midline, any decline in gold prices may be quickly bought.
During Asian trading hours, gold must close at the rising trend line support of $3,300/oz to confirm a break below the rising channel. Long-term important support for gold prices is in the $3,260/oz area.
If gold prices continue to fall below the above level, a new downward trend towards the $2,975 area will begin.
If buyers defend the above channel support of $3,300/oz, a rebound to the static resistance of $3,370/oz will be inevitable. If gold prices continue to recover, the target will be $3,400/oz, followed by the historical high of $3,500/oz.
The market is currently in a state of sideways fluctuations. I hope Quaid's analysis can help all traders understand the trend of gold in depth.
Gold Market Outlook - Gold BearishGold is currently in a consolidation phase, trading within a range of $3,280 to $3,360. We are closely monitoring for a breakout in either direction.
Based on current technical analysis, there is a higher probability of a downside breakout below the support level of $3,280. If this support is breached, we may see the following downside targets:
Target 1: $3,270
Target 2: $3,260
Target 3: $3,250
Target 4: $3,240
Traders are advised to plan their positions accordingly, keeping risk management in focus.
Gold's counterattack? Today's market analysisGold has repeatedly tested the 3260-3270 area to gain support. Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the short term, so the short-term adjustment of gold may end.
Gold has formed multiple bottom structures in the 1-hour, and the 1-hour moving average has also begun to gradually turn. If it can turn upward and form a golden cross, then the 1-hour bulls of gold will exert their strength again. Stimulated by risk aversion, gold in the U.S. market once again broke through and rose, and finally broke through Monday's high. Then the first-line suppression of gold near 3335 did not form effective resistance. When gold fell back in the Asian market, we first followed the trend and went long. Gold quickly bottomed out at 3320 first-line support in early trading and then rebounded quickly. Then gold should only be operated in the short term or go long on dips.
Operation ideas:
Short-term long: 3310-3315 long, stop loss 3300, target 3350-3370;
Short-term short: 3350-3360 short, stop loss 3365, target, 3315-3310;
Friends, don’t be afraid of missing the market, wait patiently for your own opportunity, the market will never neglect those who are prepared.
Is gold’s adjustment over? Can we go long?Gold has repeatedly tested the 3260-3270 area to gain support. The short-term gold trend has formed multiple bottom structures, so the short-term gold trend may be over. Currently, gold is mainly long around 3330.
Trading ideas: Buy gold near 3330, stop loss 3320, target 3360
GOLD bulls ready to break higherHere we are looking at the 240/4hr chart. I am seeing price make a push higher from a previously well respected support zone and a possible triangle pattern forming after pushing down from previous highs.
Currently we're waiting for bears to push the price down either to the bottom of the triangle pattern, or breaking out to the highs for entries higher.
Plan for bears is to sell back into the triangle and in current resistance.
Plan here for bulls is to look for entries at a better price breaking this pattern, or into the highs.
Gold is trying to break through the upward channelGold started the new week on a bad note, hitting a low of 3260 in the morning, followed by a small shock adjustment; then it began to rise sharply. As of press time, it has risen to around 3350 and tried to break through the upward resistance.
Although some of gold's safe-haven appeal has weakened, its overall forecast and price trend remain optimistic. Until we see clear lower highs, lower lows, and a solid trade agreement rather than more political bragging from the Trump administration, the possibility of gold setting new highs cannot be underestimated.
Surface calm hides potential risks
Although last week's market movements and today's early trading performance show that the market is calming down, any sense of security is fragile. Under the surface, key risks remain: trade tensions, recession concerns, and uncertainty about monetary policy are real. Ongoing trade negotiations remain a key factor. If the United States sticks to its position on tariffs or the negotiations break down, risk aversion may quickly pick up, boosting demand for gold again.
Quaid's analysis:
Based on last week's market situation, Quaid conducted an analysis of gold's trend this week over the weekend. As I predicted, gold is trying to break through and try a new high.
Gold has risen to around 3350, and 3365 is a key resistance level in the upward trend. If the gold price breaks through this position and can maintain horizontal development, it will continue to rise in a stable situation.
From the upside, the initial resistance level is $3365, followed by $3430. If the bullish momentum is restored, it may soon hit the historical high of $3500 again.
On the contrary, if the price fails to break through the 3365 resistance level, Quaid believes that it is necessary to pay attention to the key support at the 3285 position.
Gold Trading Plan: Liquidity Grabs, Pullback, and UptrendHello Ladies and Gentlemen!
Based on recent news and Trump’s turbulence, we are closely following macroeconomics, the ongoing tariff wars, and geopolitical events. Gold is showing signs of exhaustion after last week's pullback. While we see a recovery, we must remember that not everything we see can be trusted. However, based on our analysis of the current situation and an understanding of market execution and liquidity grabs, we expect a pullback that could confirm the uptrend — providing a potential opportunity to go long.
Here’s the plan:
1. Double check at the current liquidation level
2. Wait for a pullback around a key level below.
3. Confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
We must carefully monitor each market session and pay close attention to macroeconomic news releases, as the market may react sharply by grabbing liquidity. It will be interesting to see how far we can go from here with liquidity runs and whether additional pullbacks will occur. For now, we remain patient and wait for clear confirmation signals.
Share your ideas!
No need to hesitate, gold continues to be bullish
I just told you that you can go long near 3298. Gold once retreated to around 3275 during the European session.
I think if you want to go long, there is definitely a chance, and I have been emphasizing this.
I am still in a stable state, and I only suggest going long near 3290 during the US session.
As of now, gold has reached around 3330, which has reached my two target positions.
Since gold can stand at 3330, it will definitely continue to rise in the future.
At present, gold is a W-shaped structure, and it will definitely hit the top near 3360 in the future.
So, my suggestion here is still to go long. But maybe gold will not be given a position below 3300.
Therefore, if there is a subsequent retracement of gold, you can focus on entering the market near 3300-3310 and go long. The final target is still around 3360.
Gold short-term bullish trend remains unchanged
I don't want to say more nonsense, just give the signal directly, after all, everyone only looks at the results, don't you think so, dear trader?
Gold
Buy around 3298, stop loss 3278, target 3310-3318
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Gold market, further decline is likelyOANDA:XAUUSD Continue to test the support level of 3270 points, looking for a breakthrough. Any easing of the Sino-US conflict may trigger a price drop. But things are not so simple.
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement: China and the United States have not discussed or negotiated on the issue of tariffs.
Gold prices are under pressure before the tariff war and the release of US data.
International situation: Russia issued a statement on a truce; and Ukraine issued a statement: If Russia really wants to achieve peace, it must immediately cease fire. If the two sides formally sign a truce agreement, the safe-haven demand for gold may also be greatly reduced.
In the morning, gold prices tested last week's low of $3260, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the possible easing of Sino-US trade risks put gold prices under pressure.
Traders are waiting for the release of key US GDP and labor market data, which may affect the Fed's interest rate expectations. In this context, if macro statistics are weak and geopolitical risks remain, the correction in gold prices may be replaced by growth.
Another test of the support level may trigger a breakthrough. It is necessary to pay attention to the situation between China and the United States. Any easing of the situation will trigger a decline in gold.
Upward resistance: 3300, 3325
Downward support: 3265, 3245, 3230
The possibility of further decline in gold prices has been exhausted since the opening. Gold prices may strengthen to the above resistance levels. A false breakout of 3300/3325 may trigger a decline, which may bring gold prices closer to the support level of 3270.
JPMorgan Forecasts Strong 60-90% Growth for Gold Mining JPMorgan Forecasts Strong 60-90% Growth for Gold Mining Sector as Gold Prices Reach Record Highs
Meta Description:
JPMorgan predicts the global gold mining industry will grow by 60% to 90% thanks to record-breaking gold prices, increasing investment demand, and stable production costs. Where are the opportunities for investors?
JPMorgan Forecasts 60-90% Growth for the Gold Mining Industry
According to the latest outlook from leading investment bank JPMorgan, the global gold mining sector is facing an exceptional growth opportunity, expected to rise by 60% to 90% in the near future. This forecast comes amid historic highs in gold prices and a strong surge in gold investment demand.
Rising Gold Prices – The Key Driver for Mining Industry Growth
JPMorgan experts note that gold prices have been setting multiple new records in global markets throughout 2024. The main factors are concerns about inflation, geopolitical instability, and continued monetary easing by major central banks. These conditions have driven investors to seek gold as a safe-haven asset.
Advantages for Gold Mining Companies
JPMorgan believes that gold mining companies will be among the biggest beneficiaries of this uptrend. With production costs remaining stable, gold companies are projected to see significant profit increases—some may even raise dividends for shareholders.
Key factors supporting the gold mining sector include:
Strong increases in international gold prices.
Consistent physical gold demand from central banks.
Growing purchases by both retail and institutional investors
Well-controlled production and mining costs.
Investment Opportunities and Potential Risks
JPMorgan recommends that investors prioritize shares in large gold mining companies with low production costs and strong financial foundations to optimize returns during this gold boom.
However, JPMorgan also warns that the gold mining sector still faces several risks, such as:
High volatility in global gold OANDA:XAUUSD prices.
Rising mining costs if energy prices fluctuate.
Legal and political risks in major gold-producing countries.
Conclusion
With a remarkable growth outlook of 60% to 90% as forecasted by JPMorgan, the gold mining industry is becoming a hotspot for global investment inflows. Still, investors should carefully consider potential risks and select the right gold companies to ensure both safety and effectiveness for their investment portfolios.
Gold is expected to rise in the US market
🌐 Driving factors
Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer.
Iran and the United States said on Saturday that they have agreed to continue nuclear talks in the coming week, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi was "extremely cautious" about whether the negotiations aimed at resolving the decades-long deadlock can be successful. US President Trump expressed confidence in reaching a new agreement with Iran to prevent the country from developing nuclear bombs.
Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11.
Bullish sentiment in the market cools down
📊Comment analysis
After the Asian session gold gapped up and opened, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. It is currently maintained near 3290. It may continue to fall in the short term, and the support below is maintained near the previous low of 3265-3260 US dollars. This position will also determine the trend of the long and short positions in the later period. It is very likely to retreat again near this position in the evening and continue to make directional choices in the later period. Once the support is effective, the US session may usher in a rebound again, and the key suppression area above is maintained near the integer level of 3300. This position is also the high point of the rebound in the European session, and it will also be the key suppression position of the US session. The operation idea of the US session is very simple. Continue to maintain a certain fluctuation in this range. Once it breaks through, consider stopping loss and exiting.
🔷Technical side:
For the current gold, the 4-hour chart is fluctuating widely between 3330-3270, and is currently near $3295.
✔Operational suggestions, keep short-term trading:
US gold operation strategy:
If you try to go long at 3265-60 first, the target is around 3280-3290, and the loss is 3255. If you first pull back to 3295-00, go short with a light position, and the target is around 3270-3265, and the loss is 3205. In the short term, the long and short positions may continue to pierce, so you need to operate with caution!
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, so be wary of reversals after inducing longs.
Summary: This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, the Fed's policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust their strategies flexibly.